1. BusMezzoDynamic Transit Operations Tool with Passenger Route Choice Oded Cats Centre for Traffic Research (CTR) Kungliga Tekniska Högskolan (KTH) 2011-01-13 Transportforum 2011 Linköping

3. Dynamic route choiceCase study: Real-time information

4. Motivation and Objectives Existing transit models are static Simplifying assumptions regarding traveler behavior, traffic conditions and transit operations Suitable for strategic planning of route network, time-tables, etc. Not suitable for operations analysis, Advanced Public Transport Systems (APTS) evaluation Need for dynamic transit modeling tool Capturing the dynamics of traffic conditions, traveler behavior and transit operations at a network-wide level Experimental tool for assessing how operations strategies address policy objectives

6. Effects of transit route changes

7. Time-table assessment

8. Service coordination

9. Operations

10. Public transport performance and level of service analysis

11. Impacts of transit priority

12. Restoration from major disruptions

13. Fleet assignment efficiency

14. Real-time

15. Evaluation of real-time control strategies

18. Stochastic processes

19. Traffic dynamics:

20. Aggregate behavior on links

21. Turn-specific queue servers

22. Enables large scale applications

23. OOP (C++)

25. Suitable for APTS applications

26. Transit processes:

27. Time-tables

28. Vehicle scheduling

29. Travel time

30. Boarding and alighting processes

31. Dwell time

32. Capacity constraints

35. Transit users’ decisions survey Web-based questionnaire Experimental design Path-adaptive structure RP & SP Chosen transit route Transit route choice (composing, selecting, rating) Transit route choice experiments Transfer stop choice Analysis Random utility model estimation Testing behavioral thresholds, choice-set size Estimating and validating choice-set composition method

36. Survey results - examples Estimated choice model coefficients Choice-set size distribution

38. Recursive search method

40. Connection distances

41. Clustering transfer stops

44. 10 min headway, schedule-based holding control

46. Service disruptions

47. A 50% reduction in frequency

49. RTI Metro case studyPassenger journey time under different operation conditions and levels of RTI

51. Particularly significant time savings in case of irregular service conditions

52. A simple improvement in transfer coordination can be very beneficial

53. The incorporation of walking times is important in the context of transit route choice