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Subcon'nental-­‐scale	
  transects	
  for	
  assessing	
  
and	
  monitoring	
  ecological	
  change:	
  the	
  
Australian	
  Transect	
  Network	
  
	
   Alan	
  Andersen,	
  Nikki	
  Thurgate	
  and	
  Stefan	
  Caddie-­‐Retalic	
  
Australian	
  Transect	
  Network	
  
                                    NATT	
  
                                    North	
  Australian	
  	
  
                                    Tropical	
  Transect	
  




SWATT	
  
South	
  West	
  Australian	
  
Transi>onal	
  Transect	
                                                               BATS	
  
                                                                                        Biodiversity	
  and	
  Adapta>on	
  
                                                 TREND	
                                Transect	
  Sydney	
  
                                                 TRansect	
  for	
  ENvironmental	
  
                                                 monitoring	
  and	
  Decision	
  
                                                 making	
  	
  
Australian	
  Transect	
  Network	
  



ATN	
  as	
  powerful	
  ecological	
  infrastructure	
  for:	
  

      • 	
  Scaling-­‐up	
  from	
  local,	
  plot-­‐based	
  studies	
  

      • 	
  Developing,	
  calibra>ng	
  and	
  valida>ng	
  ecological	
  models	
  and	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  
      remote	
  sensing	
  products	
  

      • 	
  Iden>fying	
  sensi>ve	
  zones	
  in	
  rela>on	
  to	
  stress	
  and	
  disturbance	
  
Australian	
  Transect	
  Network	
  



Focal	
  ques'ons:	
  

     • 	
  How	
  do	
  species	
  abundances,	
  composi>on,	
  richness	
  and	
  ecological	
  func>on	
  
     change	
  along	
  large-­‐scale	
  environmental	
  gradients?	
  	
  

     • 	
  Is	
  there	
  predictable	
  varia>on	
  in	
  ecosystem	
  resilience	
  in	
  rela>on	
  to	
  rainfall,	
  
     temperature	
  and	
  soil	
  type?	
  

     • 	
  How	
  might	
  ecosystems	
  respond	
  to	
  climate	
  change?	
  	
  
Northern	
  Australian	
  Tropical	
  Transect	
  




                          IGBP	
  –	
  GCTE	
  global	
  network	
  of	
  transects	
  



Overarching	
  research	
  framework	
  of	
  responses	
  of	
  ecosystems	
  to	
  stress	
  
                 (PAM,	
  AN)	
  and	
  disturbance	
  (fire,	
  grazing)	
  
Australia’s	
  savanna	
  biome	
  

                 • Ecologically	
  intact,	
  but	
  under	
  threat	
  
                 • High	
  biodiversity	
  values	
  
                 • 30%	
  terrestrial	
  carbon	
  stocks	
  
                 • 3%	
  na'onal	
  GHG	
  emissions	
  
Northern	
  Australian	
  Tropical	
  Transect	
  

                                                  Mean	
  daily	
  rainfall	
  
1500	
  mm	
                                      (mm)	
  
                 DARWIN	
                        10	
  
                                                                  Darwin	
  
                                                  9	
  
                                                                  Katherine	
  
                                                  8	
  
                                                                  Larimah	
  
                                                  7	
  
1250	
  mm	
                                                      EllioQ	
  
                                                  6	
  
                                                                  Tennant	
  	
  
1000	
  mm	
                                      5	
  
                                                  4	
  
                                                  3	
  
 750	
  mm	
                                      2	
  
                                                  1	
  
                                                 0	
  
                                                          0	
       100	
           200	
       300	
     400	
  

 500	
  mm	
                                                                  Time	
  (d)	
  



                          TENNANT	
  CREEK	
  
Northern	
  Australian	
  Tropical	
  Transect	
  


1500	
  mm	
  
                 DARWIN	
  



1250	
  mm	
  
1000	
  mm	
  

 750	
  mm	
  




 500	
  mm	
  


                          TENNANT	
  CREEK	
  

                                                       Photos	
  by	
  Adam	
  Liedloff	
  
Northern	
  Australian	
  Tropical	
  Transect	
  


 DARWIN	
  




                                         OzFlux	
  Towers	
  

                                           Super	
  Sites	
  
                                 0	
  




          TENNANT	
  CREEK	
  
NATT	
  Focal	
  Areas	
  	
  
                        	
  
         1.	
  Tree	
  dynamics	
  


DARWIN	
  


                                      Overview	
  of	
  tree	
  growth	
  
                                      • 	
  a	
  site	
  every	
  100	
  km	
  
                                      • 	
  12	
  eucalypts	
  tagged	
  per	
  site	
  
                                      • 	
  ini>al	
  measurements	
  2000	
  
                                      • 	
  re-­‐measured	
  2012	
  




         TENNANT	
  CREEK	
  
Tree	
  growth	
  along	
  NATT	
  
                                                     Height	
  (for	
  tree	
  with	
  25	
  cm	
  dbh)	
  
                                                     DBH	
  

                                  0.5	
                                                                                                        0.25	
  




                                                                                                                                                          Height	
  increment	
  (m/yr)	
  
DBH	
  increment	
  (cm/yr)	
  




                                  0.4	
                                                                                                        0.2	
  

                                  0.3	
                                                                                                        0.15	
  

                                  0.2	
                                                                                                        0.1	
  

                                  0.1	
                                                                                                        0.05	
  

                                     0	
                                                                                                0	
  
                                             0	
           200	
        400	
   600	
   800	
   1000	
   1200	
   1400	
   1600	
   1800	
  
                                                                               Median	
  annual	
  rainfall	
  (mm)	
  

                                                                                                                              G.	
  D.	
  Cook,	
  unpublished	
  
NATT	
  Focal	
  Areas	
  	
  
                                                      	
  
                                       1.	
  Tree	
  dynamics	
  

                                                                      18	
  1-­‐ha	
  plots	
  
TWP	
  fire	
  experiment	
  
• 	
  2,200	
  trees	
  tagged	
  
                                     DARWIN	
                                         	
  
                                                                                      	
  
                                                                                 A1

                                                                                 A2


                                                                                       	
  
                                                                                       	
  
                                                                                 A3




                                                                                      	
  
                                                                                 A4




                                                                                      	
  
                                                                                 A5

                                                                                 A6




                                                                                   	
  
                                                                                  	
  
                                                                                 B1



                                                                                  	
  
                                                                                 B2




                                                                                  	
  
                                                                                 B3




                                                                                  	
  
                                                                                 B4




                                                                                  	
  
                                                                                 B5

                                                                                 B6


                                                                                  	
  
                                                                                  	
  
                                                                                 C1




                                                                                  	
  
                                                                                 C2

                                                                                 C3


                                                                                  	
  
                                                                                  	
  
                                                                                 C4




                                                                                  	
  
                                                                                 C5

                                              TENNANT	
  CREEK	
                 C6
NATT	
  Focal	
  Areas	
  	
  
                                                                 	
  
                                                  1.	
  Tree	
  dynamics	
  

TWP	
  fire	
  experiment	
  
• 	
  2,200	
  trees	
  tagged	
  
                                                DARWIN	
  




Kidman	
  Springs	
  
• 	
  500	
  trees	
  to	
  be	
  tagged	
  




 Henbury	
  
 • 	
  500	
  trees	
  to	
  be	
  tagged	
              TENNANT	
  CREEK	
  
NATT	
  Focal	
  Areas	
  	
  
                                                                    	
  
                                                 2.	
  Carbon	
  stocks	
  and	
  fluxes	
  
                                                                       Tree	
  cover	
  
                                             1.2

                                                 1

                                             0.8
                                                                                                                                                      Sand
                                             0.6
                                                                                                                                                      Loam
                                             0.4

                                             0.2

                                                 0
                                                     0           500        1000           1500                                          2000



Tree	
  carbon	
  stocks	
  –	
  above	
  ground	
                                 Tree	
  carbon	
  stocks	
  –	
  below	
  ground	
  
                                                                                                                        5
                      8
   log Biomass (kg)




                                                                                                                        4

                      6



                                                                                             log root biomass (kg/m2)
                                                                                                                        3


                      4
                                                                                                                        2


                      2                                                                                                 1



                                                                                                                        0
                      0
                                                                                                                             0.0   0.5   1.0    1.5     2.0      2.5      3.0   3.5   4.0   4.5
                          0   1   2         3            4   5
                                                                                                                        -1
                                  log DBH (cm)                                                                                                        log tree DBH (cm)
NATT	
  Focal	
  Areas	
  	
  
                                            	
  
                         2.	
  Carbon	
  stocks	
  and	
  fluxes	
  


• 	
  LiDAR	
  
• 	
  Integra>on	
  with	
  flux-­‐tower	
  
measurements	
  




                                                       	
  Collabora'ng	
  ins'tu'ons:	
  
                                                              • 	
  CDU	
  (Hutley	
  and	
  Maier)	
  
                                                              • 	
  Max	
  Planck	
  (Levick)	
  	
  
Spider	
  abundance	
  along	
  NATT	
  
     NATT	
  Focal	
  Areas	
  
                          	
  
                                            	
  



            3.	
  Biodiversity	
  
           Clay    Loam           Sand

50
40
30                                                  Lycosidae	
  
20
10
 0
     0    500      1000          1500     2000


 50
 40
 30                                                Zodariidae
 20
 10
  0
      0   500      1000          1500    2000

                  Rainfall	
  
Compara>ve	
  focal	
  taxon	
  for	
  ith	
  increasing	
  tudies
   Ants	
  as	
  a	
   ant	
  richness	
  w biodiversity	
  s aridity	
  
                                                   	
  
                                                                                                      	
  




                                                                  Plot	
  (1	
  ha)	
  richness	
  
                                             120

                                             100

                                             80




                               No. species
                                                                                                                   Sand
                                             60
                                                                                                                   Loam
                                             40

                                             20

                                              0
                                                          1500   1250         1000          750              500

                                                                    Annual rainfall (mm)

                                                                           Arid	
  

                                                                        Tropical	
  
Ant	
  biogeographic	
  discon>nui>es	
  




                                                  Plot	
  richness	
  
                             120

                             100

                             80

               No. species
                                                                                            Sand
                             60
                                                                                            Loam
                             40

                             20

                              0
                                   1500       1250          1000          750   500

                                                   Annual rainfall (mm)

                                      Mesic	
                Semi-­‐arid	
       Arid	
  
Ant	
  species	
  distribu'on	
  modelling	
  in	
  rela'on	
  
                    to	
  climate	
  change        	
  
                                                                       	
  




U.S.	
  Fulbright	
  PhD	
  scholar	
  Israel	
  Del	
  Toro,	
  University	
  of	
  Amherst	
  
Detec>ng	
  ecosystem	
  changes	
  over	
  >me:	
  implica>ons	
  for	
  the	
  future	
  

                                                                                Hop	
  Bush	
  
                            Orchids	
                                           leaves	
  
                            flowering	
  20	
                                    narrowing	
  
                            days	
  earlier	
  than	
                           over	
  >me	
  
                            20	
  years	
  ago	
  
Current	
  and	
  
                     predicted	
  
                     future	
  
                     species	
  
                     distribu>ons	
  

                                                 Climate	
  
                                           resilient	
  and	
  
                                               sensi>ve	
  
Now	
                                     communi>es	
  
          2050	
  
Policy	
  outcome:	
  	
  
Weighted	
  benefit	
  maps	
  for	
  policy	
  and	
  land	
  
management	
  decision	
  makers	
  
Connec>ng	
  the	
  public	
  to	
  research	
  is	
  a	
  TREND	
  priority.	
  
       This	
  should	
  be	
  a	
  two-­‐way	
  dialogue.	
  
Trans-­‐Australian	
  Transect	
  



             NATT	
  




                        TREND	
  
Distribu'on	
  of	
  dominant	
  eucalypts	
  in	
  rela'on	
  to	
  rainfall	
  
                               120	
  
                                                  Summer-­‐dominant	
  rain	
  
                               100	
  


                                 80	
  


                                 60	
  
Rainfall	
  seasonality	
  




                                 40	
  


                                 20	
  


                                    0	
  
                                        100	
                                                                    1000	
  

                                -­‐20	
  


                                -­‐40	
  


                                -­‐60	
  


                                -­‐80	
  

                                                  Winter-­‐dominant	
  rain	
  
                              -­‐100	
  
                                                                                  Rainfall	
  (mm:	
  log	
  scale)	
  
                                                                                                                            Cook	
  and	
  Liedloff,	
  unpublished	
  
Australian	
  Transect	
  Network	
  




                          Ecological	
  infrastructure	
  
                              • 	
  Data	
  
                              • 	
  Regression	
  models	
  
                              • 	
  Long-­‐term	
  monitoring	
  

                          for	
  enhanced	
  ecosystem	
  
                          understanding	
  and	
  management	
  

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Alan Andersen_Subcontinental-scale transects for assessing and monitoring ecological change in Australia

  • 1. Subcon'nental-­‐scale  transects  for  assessing   and  monitoring  ecological  change:  the   Australian  Transect  Network     Alan  Andersen,  Nikki  Thurgate  and  Stefan  Caddie-­‐Retalic  
  • 2. Australian  Transect  Network   NATT   North  Australian     Tropical  Transect   SWATT   South  West  Australian   Transi>onal  Transect   BATS   Biodiversity  and  Adapta>on   TREND   Transect  Sydney   TRansect  for  ENvironmental   monitoring  and  Decision   making    
  • 3. Australian  Transect  Network   ATN  as  powerful  ecological  infrastructure  for:   •   Scaling-­‐up  from  local,  plot-­‐based  studies   •   Developing,  calibra>ng  and  valida>ng  ecological  models  and           remote  sensing  products   •   Iden>fying  sensi>ve  zones  in  rela>on  to  stress  and  disturbance  
  • 4. Australian  Transect  Network   Focal  ques'ons:   •   How  do  species  abundances,  composi>on,  richness  and  ecological  func>on   change  along  large-­‐scale  environmental  gradients?     •   Is  there  predictable  varia>on  in  ecosystem  resilience  in  rela>on  to  rainfall,   temperature  and  soil  type?   •   How  might  ecosystems  respond  to  climate  change?    
  • 5. Northern  Australian  Tropical  Transect   IGBP  –  GCTE  global  network  of  transects   Overarching  research  framework  of  responses  of  ecosystems  to  stress   (PAM,  AN)  and  disturbance  (fire,  grazing)  
  • 6. Australia’s  savanna  biome   • Ecologically  intact,  but  under  threat   • High  biodiversity  values   • 30%  terrestrial  carbon  stocks   • 3%  na'onal  GHG  emissions  
  • 7. Northern  Australian  Tropical  Transect   Mean  daily  rainfall   1500  mm   (mm)   DARWIN   10   Darwin   9   Katherine   8   Larimah   7   1250  mm   EllioQ   6   Tennant     1000  mm   5   4   3   750  mm   2   1   0   0   100   200   300   400   500  mm   Time  (d)   TENNANT  CREEK  
  • 8. Northern  Australian  Tropical  Transect   1500  mm   DARWIN   1250  mm   1000  mm   750  mm   500  mm   TENNANT  CREEK   Photos  by  Adam  Liedloff  
  • 9. Northern  Australian  Tropical  Transect   DARWIN   OzFlux  Towers   Super  Sites   0   TENNANT  CREEK  
  • 10. NATT  Focal  Areas       1.  Tree  dynamics   DARWIN   Overview  of  tree  growth   •   a  site  every  100  km   •   12  eucalypts  tagged  per  site   •   ini>al  measurements  2000   •   re-­‐measured  2012   TENNANT  CREEK  
  • 11. Tree  growth  along  NATT   Height  (for  tree  with  25  cm  dbh)   DBH   0.5   0.25   Height  increment  (m/yr)   DBH  increment  (cm/yr)   0.4   0.2   0.3   0.15   0.2   0.1   0.1   0.05   0   0   0   200   400   600   800   1000   1200   1400   1600   1800   Median  annual  rainfall  (mm)   G.  D.  Cook,  unpublished  
  • 12. NATT  Focal  Areas       1.  Tree  dynamics   18  1-­‐ha  plots   TWP  fire  experiment   •   2,200  trees  tagged   DARWIN       A1 A2     A3   A4   A5 A6     B1   B2   B3   B4   B5 B6     C1   C2 C3     C4   C5 TENNANT  CREEK   C6
  • 13. NATT  Focal  Areas       1.  Tree  dynamics   TWP  fire  experiment   •   2,200  trees  tagged   DARWIN   Kidman  Springs   •   500  trees  to  be  tagged   Henbury   •   500  trees  to  be  tagged   TENNANT  CREEK  
  • 14. NATT  Focal  Areas       2.  Carbon  stocks  and  fluxes   Tree  cover   1.2 1 0.8 Sand 0.6 Loam 0.4 0.2 0 0 500 1000 1500 2000 Tree  carbon  stocks  –  above  ground   Tree  carbon  stocks  –  below  ground   5 8 log Biomass (kg) 4 6 log root biomass (kg/m2) 3 4 2 2 1 0 0 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 0 1 2 3 4 5 -1 log DBH (cm) log tree DBH (cm)
  • 15. NATT  Focal  Areas       2.  Carbon  stocks  and  fluxes   •   LiDAR   •   Integra>on  with  flux-­‐tower   measurements    Collabora'ng  ins'tu'ons:   •   CDU  (Hutley  and  Maier)   •   Max  Planck  (Levick)    
  • 16. Spider  abundance  along  NATT   NATT  Focal  Areas       3.  Biodiversity   Clay Loam Sand 50 40 30 Lycosidae   20 10 0 0 500 1000 1500 2000 50 40 30 Zodariidae 20 10 0 0 500 1000 1500 2000 Rainfall  
  • 17. Compara>ve  focal  taxon  for  ith  increasing  tudies Ants  as  a   ant  richness  w biodiversity  s aridity       Plot  (1  ha)  richness   120 100 80 No. species Sand 60 Loam 40 20 0 1500 1250 1000 750 500 Annual rainfall (mm) Arid   Tropical  
  • 18. Ant  biogeographic  discon>nui>es   Plot  richness   120 100 80 No. species Sand 60 Loam 40 20 0 1500 1250 1000 750 500 Annual rainfall (mm) Mesic   Semi-­‐arid   Arid  
  • 19. Ant  species  distribu'on  modelling  in  rela'on   to  climate  change     U.S.  Fulbright  PhD  scholar  Israel  Del  Toro,  University  of  Amherst  
  • 20.
  • 21. Detec>ng  ecosystem  changes  over  >me:  implica>ons  for  the  future   Hop  Bush   Orchids   leaves   flowering  20   narrowing   days  earlier  than   over  >me   20  years  ago  
  • 22. Current  and   predicted   future   species   distribu>ons   Climate   resilient  and   sensi>ve   Now   communi>es   2050  
  • 23. Policy  outcome:     Weighted  benefit  maps  for  policy  and  land   management  decision  makers  
  • 24. Connec>ng  the  public  to  research  is  a  TREND  priority.   This  should  be  a  two-­‐way  dialogue.  
  • 26. Distribu'on  of  dominant  eucalypts  in  rela'on  to  rainfall   120   Summer-­‐dominant  rain   100   80   60   Rainfall  seasonality   40   20   0   100   1000   -­‐20   -­‐40   -­‐60   -­‐80   Winter-­‐dominant  rain   -­‐100   Rainfall  (mm:  log  scale)   Cook  and  Liedloff,  unpublished  
  • 27. Australian  Transect  Network   Ecological  infrastructure   •   Data   •   Regression  models   •   Long-­‐term  monitoring   for  enhanced  ecosystem   understanding  and  management