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T.A. Cook Information Study Tar Western Europe
1.
Market Study Western Europe Technical
services for turnarounds in petrochemical plants Information T.A. Cook Research & Studies, Berlin May 2011
2.
Information about the
publisher Authors: Alex Lawrence Mateus Siwek Nina Wolfs Editors: Frank-Uwe Hess Rupert Clark Copyright: This Publication is protected by Copyright of T.A. Cook. It may not be exploited, in whole or part, without the approval of the publisher. This applies in particular to any forms of reproduction, translation, microfilming and incorporation and processing in electric systems. Publisher T.A.Cook Consultants Leipziger Platz 2, D-10117 Berlin Tel.: +49 30 884207-0 | Fax: +49 30 884307-30 © Copyright T.A. Cook Consultants, Research & Studies 19.05.2011 Seite 2
3.
Table of study
contents (1) TABLE OF CONTENTS 3 1 MANAGEMENT SUMMARY 16 2 OBJECTIVES AND SCOPE 63 2.1 BACKGROUND 63 2.2 MOTIVATION 63 2.3 STUDY OBJECTIVES/QUESTIONS 64 2.4 METHODOLOGY 65 2.5 SAMPLE COMPOSITION 71 2.6 PROBLEMS AND LIMITATIONS OF THE STUDY 79 2.7 TERMINOLOGY 80 2.8 INTRODUCTION TO TURNAROUNDS 83 3 FRAMEWORK CONDITIONS 93 3.1 LEGAL FRAMEWORK CONDITIONS 93 3.2 ECONOMIC FRAMEWORK CONDITIONS 100 3.3 SPECIFIC TURNAROUND REQUIREMENTS IN THE PETROCHEMICAL INDUSTRY 118 © Copyright T.A. Cook Consultants, Research & Studies 19.05.2011 Seite 3
4.
Table of study
contents (2) 4 OPERATORS OF PETROCHEMICAL PLANTS 131 4.1 OVERVIEW 131 4.2 COMMERCIAL ASPECTS OF SHUTDOWNS & TURNAROUNDS 142 4.3 ANALYSIS OF DEMAND VOLUME 143 4.3.1 Factors Determining Demand for Technical Services 143 4.3.2 Calculation of Current Market Volume 147 5 SPECIFIC SERVICES FOR TURNAROUND PROJECTS 157 5.1 PROJECT MANAGEMENT 160 5.2 MECHANICAL WORK 168 5.3 ELECTROTECHNICS/ INSTRUMENTATION & CONTROL TECHNOLOGY 188 5.4 SAFETY ENGINEERING 191 5.5 INSPECTIONS 195 5.6 INFRASTRUCTURE/LOGISTICS 198 5.7 SCAFFOLDING 202 5.8 CLEANING OPERATIONS 203 5.9 REFRACTORY LINING OPERATIONS 205 © Copyright T.A. Cook Consultants, Research & Studies 19.05.2011 Seite 4
5.
Table of study
contents (3) 6 BUSINESS AND ORGANISATIONAL MODELS FOR SERVICE PROVIDERS 207 6.1 STRUCTURE OF TECHNICAL SERVICE PROVIDERS 207 6.1.1 Historical Development 207 6.1.2 Classification of Service Providers 211 6.2 THE DEMAND CONFLICT FOR TURNAROUNDS 220 6.2.1 Too Many or Too Few Projects 220 6.2.2 Ways Out of the Demand Conflict 222 6.3 TAR SERVICE PROVIDER BUSINESS MODELS 226 6.3.1 Basic Business Models 226 6.3.2 Relationship Models between Plant Operators and Technical Service Providers 232 6.3.3 Payment Models 239 6.4 SELLING & MARKETING TURNAROUND SERVICES 242 7 TURNAROUND SERVICE PROVIDERS 249 7.1 THE TOP 25 TAR SERVICE PROVIDERS 249 7.2 DYNAMICS AND CURRENT DEVELOPMENTS IN COMPETITION 324 7.2.1 Distribution and Reach of Service Providers through Western Europe 324 7.2.2 Service Provider Market Positioning 342 7.2.3 Competition in Specific Turnaround Trades 349 7.2.4 Trends in Market Developments 362 © Copyright T.A. Cook Consultants, Research & Studies 19.05.2011 Seite 5
6.
Table of study
contents (4) 8 FUTURE TRENDS, STRATEGIES AND SCENARIOS 371 8.1 MARKET DEVELOPMENT TRENDS 371 8.1.1 Development of Demand through 2020 372 8.1.2 Impact of Capital Projects 378 8.1.3 Changes in Turnaround Strategy 380 8.1.4 Development of Organisational Cooperation 385 8.1.5 Competition and Market Developments 391 8.1.6 Influence of Technological Developments 400 8.2 DEVELOPMENT PERSPECTIVES AND POSSIBLE MARKET SCENARIOS 402 8.2.1 Scenario 1: Dominant Service Provider 404 8.2.2 Scenario 2: Mobile Turnaround Networks 406 8.3 STRATEGIC COURSES OF ACTION 408 9 APPENDIX 413 9.1 ILLUSTRATIONS 413 9.2 INDEX OF TABLES 417 9.3 REFERENCE MATERIAL 418 9.4 OPERATOR PROFILES OF PETROCHEMICAL PLANTS 419 9.5 COMPANY PROFILES OF SELECTED SERVICE PROVIDERS 598 9.6 TABLE OF SUPPLIERS 671 © Copyright T.A. Cook Consultants, Research & Studies 19.05.2011 Seite 6
7.
Study Objectives/Questions
Who exactly are the customers of technical What types of contracts have been most services for turnarounds and how large is common in this sector to date and which the annual volume of contracts awarded will become more important in the future? each year for turnaround services in the What requirements do technical service petrochemical industry? companies have to fulfil in order to achieve Who are the suppliers in this market a significant position in the market for segment, what services do they offer and TARs? how are they positioned in the market? What opportunities are there for large and How will demand and supply develop until small providers of technical services to 2020? strategically position themselves? How has competition between technical How do international trends affect service service providers developed? companies in Western Europe on the long What economic conditions and legal term? requirements determine the market for turnarounds in petrochemical plants? © Copyright T.A. Cook Consultants, Research & Studies 19.05.2011 Seite 7
8.
Target groups 173 P
lant Operators Petro- Refine- Cracker chemical ries © Copyright T.A. Cook Consultants, Research & Studies 19.05.2011 Seite 8
9.
Target groups 461 technical
Service P roviders 6 5 3 Distribution of studied 5 79 126 service providers through Europe 141 23 Home/main countries only 2 48 1 13 6 3 © Copyright T.A. Cook Consultants, Research & Studies 19.05.2011 Seite 9
10.
TAR demand in
Western Europe TAR dem and volum e in W estern Europe is about 2900 m illion € per year Petrochemical plants 722 (24.8%) Cracker 254 (8.7%) Detailed description, analysis and figures on TAR cycles, frequency and dates can be found in the study Refineries 1935 (66.5%) © Copyright T.A. Cook Consultants, Research & Studies 19.05.2011 Seite 10
11.
TAR demand in
Western Europe Graphics on the number of plants, TAR volumes, capacities and many more can be found in the study. © Copyright T.A. Cook Consultants, Research & Studies 19.05.2011 Seite 11
12.
Future Trends W
hich trends w ill influence Turnarounds in the future? Decreasing prices due to competition 3% 9% 30% 33% 24% Long term partnerships between plant operators and main contractors 9% 18% 58% 15% Outsourcing Turnaround project management and planning 19% 16% 44% 22% Tougher safety requirements / regulations 15% 36% 27% 21% Increasing share of additional projects 21% 38% 28% 14% Increasing availability of components 9% 32% 32% 26% Shortening downtime 6% 15% 47% 32% Longer periods between Turnarounds 3% 29% 44% 24% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Not important Low importance Important Very important Essential © Copyright T.A. Cook Consultants, Research & Studies 19.05.2011 Seite 12
13.
Mateus Siwek Senior
Research Consultant T.A. Cook Research & Studies Leipziger Platz 2 10117 Berlin +49 (0) 30 88 43 07-0 M.Siwek@tacook.com