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DEUS EX MACHINA




              Leo Lein
THREE KINDS OF MONEY
WHO IS THE MOST PRODUCTIVE?
THE DARK AGES BEGIN
100 YEARS OF PAPER
 MONEY COLLAPSE
DEBT EXPLOSION
THE DESTRUCTION OF PAPER MONEY
    Ounces of gold bought for $ 1,000
Investment   Year   Ounces Gold         %
                           Price     change
 $1,000      1911     50      $ 20    -99%
 $1,000      1971     28      $ 35    -98%
 $1,000      1999      4     $ 250    -86%
 $1,000      2002      3     $ 300    -83%
 $1,000      2011     0.5   $1,800      -
A STEALTH MARKET
GOLD in AUD

GOLD IN AUD IS UP
4.5 X SINCE 1999

CAGR 13%
ASX vs GOLD in AUD




  ASX vs GOLD
  DOWN 70% SINCE
  PEAK IN 2007
AUSTRALIAN HOUSE
 PRICE COLLAPSE


                2005-2010
                Down 40%




    1968-1979
    Down 90%
BENEFITS SUPERVISOR
     SLEEPING
      by LUCIAN FREUD
EU’s MILK COW SLEEPING
GOVERNMENT DEBT WILL NEVER BE REPAID
DEBTS THAT WILL NEVER
           BE REPAID
•   Government, state, city, municipality debts
•   Central bank debts
•   Housing loans, personal loans, car loans
•   Credit cards, student loans
•   Commercial mortgages
•   Toxic bank debt
•   Derivatives
LOSE - LOSE

•   Deflation or Inflation – Austerity or QE
•   Deflation – collapse of the financial system
•   No bank will survive with deflation
•   Money printing – QE
•   Currency weakens
•   Creates hyperinflation
HYPERINFLATION
CONSEQUENCES
•   Government deficits explode
•   All currencies fall
•   Interest rates surge
•   Unemployment surges
•   Assets financed by credit bubble fall
•   Exchange controls
•   Financial system will fail
•   Social structures break down
•   Wars
GOLD STORAGE
Matterhorn Asset Management
• Wealth preservation experts, Zurich

• GoldSwitzerland
  – Specialises in physical Gold and Silver bullion
  – Stored outside the banking system
  – Gold/Silver bars owned directly by investor
  – Personal access to metals
  – Ultimate form of wealth preservation
THIS IS NOT WEALTH
             PROTECTION

•   Gold / Silver ETFs in banking system
•   Unallocated or allocated Gold/Silver in bank
•   COMEX Gold
•   Futures Gold
•   Bank safe deposit box
•   Storing gold at home
TOO LATE TO JUMP ON THE
     GOLDWAGON?
GOLD TARGETS
WEIMAR GOLD




From DM 100 to DM 100 trillion
THE FINAL COLLAPSE
  “THERE IS NO MEANS OF AVOIDING THE
  FINAL COLLAPSE OF A BOOM BROUGHT
    ABOUT BY CREDIT EXPANSION. THE
ALTERNATIVE IS ONLY WHETHER THE CRISIS
 SHOULD COME SOONER AS A RESULT OF A
 VOLUNTARY ABANDONMENT OF FURTHER
 CREDIT EXPANSION, OR LATER AS A FINAL
OR TOTAL CATASTROPHE OF THE CURRENCY
           SYSTEM INVOLVED”

                         Ludwig von Mises
Gold is up 4.5x since 1999 as fiat currencies collapse

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Gold is up 4.5x since 1999 as fiat currencies collapse

  • 1.
  • 2. DEUS EX MACHINA Leo Lein
  • 4. WHO IS THE MOST PRODUCTIVE?
  • 6. 100 YEARS OF PAPER MONEY COLLAPSE
  • 7.
  • 9. THE DESTRUCTION OF PAPER MONEY Ounces of gold bought for $ 1,000 Investment Year Ounces Gold % Price change $1,000 1911 50 $ 20 -99% $1,000 1971 28 $ 35 -98% $1,000 1999 4 $ 250 -86% $1,000 2002 3 $ 300 -83% $1,000 2011 0.5 $1,800 -
  • 11. GOLD in AUD GOLD IN AUD IS UP 4.5 X SINCE 1999 CAGR 13%
  • 12. ASX vs GOLD in AUD ASX vs GOLD DOWN 70% SINCE PEAK IN 2007
  • 13. AUSTRALIAN HOUSE PRICE COLLAPSE 2005-2010 Down 40% 1968-1979 Down 90%
  • 14. BENEFITS SUPERVISOR SLEEPING by LUCIAN FREUD
  • 15. EU’s MILK COW SLEEPING
  • 16. GOVERNMENT DEBT WILL NEVER BE REPAID
  • 17. DEBTS THAT WILL NEVER BE REPAID • Government, state, city, municipality debts • Central bank debts • Housing loans, personal loans, car loans • Credit cards, student loans • Commercial mortgages • Toxic bank debt • Derivatives
  • 18. LOSE - LOSE • Deflation or Inflation – Austerity or QE • Deflation – collapse of the financial system • No bank will survive with deflation • Money printing – QE • Currency weakens • Creates hyperinflation
  • 20.
  • 21. CONSEQUENCES • Government deficits explode • All currencies fall • Interest rates surge • Unemployment surges • Assets financed by credit bubble fall • Exchange controls • Financial system will fail • Social structures break down • Wars
  • 23. Matterhorn Asset Management • Wealth preservation experts, Zurich • GoldSwitzerland – Specialises in physical Gold and Silver bullion – Stored outside the banking system – Gold/Silver bars owned directly by investor – Personal access to metals – Ultimate form of wealth preservation
  • 24. THIS IS NOT WEALTH PROTECTION • Gold / Silver ETFs in banking system • Unallocated or allocated Gold/Silver in bank • COMEX Gold • Futures Gold • Bank safe deposit box • Storing gold at home
  • 25. TOO LATE TO JUMP ON THE GOLDWAGON?
  • 27. WEIMAR GOLD From DM 100 to DM 100 trillion
  • 28. THE FINAL COLLAPSE “THERE IS NO MEANS OF AVOIDING THE FINAL COLLAPSE OF A BOOM BROUGHT ABOUT BY CREDIT EXPANSION. THE ALTERNATIVE IS ONLY WHETHER THE CRISIS SHOULD COME SOONER AS A RESULT OF A VOLUNTARY ABANDONMENT OF FURTHER CREDIT EXPANSION, OR LATER AS A FINAL OR TOTAL CATASTROPHE OF THE CURRENCY SYSTEM INVOLVED” Ludwig von Mises