SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1 of 93
Download to read offline
Real Estate Market Update/
                     2012 FORECAST


California Desert AOR
January 26, 2012
Leslie Appleton-Young, Chief Economist
Overview

 US and California Economies
 California Housing Market
 Regional & Local Markets
 2011 Annual Market Survey
 2012 Housing Market Forecast
 CA Buyers & Sellers in Today’s Housing Market
U.S. Economic Outlook
Economy Slowly Gaining
                     Post-Stimulus Momentum
      GDP 2010: 2.8% 2011:1.8% 2012: 2.6%
 8%
 7%
 6%
                                                                        ANNUAL                                                                               QTRLY
 5%
 4%
 3%
 2%
 1%
 0%
-1%
-2%
-3%
                    2009 Largest Annual Drop since 1938 (-3.4%)
-4%
-5%
-6%
-7%
-8%
      1970
             1972
                    1974
                           1976
                                  1978
                                         1980
                                                1982
                                                       1984
                                                              1986
                                                                     1988
                                                                            1990
                                                                                   1992
                                                                                          1994
                                                                                                 1996
                                                                                                        1998
                                                                                                               2000
                                                                                                                      2002
                                                                                                                             2004
                                                                                                                                    2006
                                                                                                                                           2008
                                                                                                                                                  2010
                                                                                                                                                         Q3-10
                                                                                                                                                                 Q1-11
                                                                                                                                                                         Q3-11
Performance Targets for National Economy

                                                Current      This Year -
                                                Target        Projected

            Unemployment                          6%            9.0%

            US GDP                            3% or higher      1.8%

            Nonfarm Job                         3%+ or
                                                                1.0%
            Growth                             400K+/mo

            CPI                                  2.5%           3.2%


SOURCE: California Association of REALTORS®
Consumer Spending Rebounding
                           Holiday and Auto Sales
                                      Consumer Spending 2011 Q3: 2.4%

8%
                QUARTERLY PERCENT CHANGE
6%

4%

2%

0%

-2%

-4%
      1Q-2000


                  1Q-2001


                            1Q-2002


                                        1Q-2003


                                                  1Q-2004


                                                            1Q-2005


                                                                      1Q-2006


                                                                                1Q-2007


                                                                                          1Q-2008


                                                                                                    1Q-2009


                                                                                                              1Q-2010


                                                                                                                        1Q-2011
SOURCE: US Dept of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
20
          40
               60
                    80
                         100
                               120
                                     140
                                                             160
Jan-00
Jul-00
Jan-01
Jul-01
Jan-02
Jul-02
                                           INDEX, 100=1985



Jan-03
Jul-03
Jan-04
Jul-04
Jan-05
Jul-05
Jan-06
Jul-06
Jan-07
Jul-07
Jan-08
                                                                   December 2011: 64.5




Jul-08
Jan-09
Jul-09
Jan-10
Jul-10
Jan-11
Jul-11
                                                                                          Consumer Confidence: Nov/Dec Rebound
                                                                                         Holiday Shoppers & Improved Jobs Reports
CA Underwater Mortgages:
                            Reverse Wealth Effect
                   Negative Equity Share in CA             Near Negative Equity Share in CA
  40%
  35%
                                                                                        30.2%
  30%
  25%
  20%
  15%
  10%
                                                                                                    4.6%
    5%
    0%
              Q4‐2009




                            Q1‐2010




                                       Q2‐2010




                                                 Q3‐2010




                                                                   Q4‐2010




                                                                              Q1‐2011




                                                                                          Q2‐2011
SOURCE: CoreLogic
Unemployment: Heading Lower
                    U.S. at 3 year low
                                                   December 2011
California (11.1%) vs. United States (8.5%)
14%
                                                    CA                         US
12%


10%


 8%


 6%


 4%


 2%


 0%
      Jan-00


               Jan-01


                        Jan-02


                                 Jan-03


                                          Jan-04


                                                    Jan-05


                                                             Jan-06


                                                                      Jan-07


                                                                                    Jan-08


                                                                                             Jan-09


                                                                                                      Jan-10


                                                                                                               Jan-11
SOURCE: CA Employment Development Division
U.S. Non-farm Job Growth: Gaining!
                                                         Month-to-Month Changes


                                                    Recession Job Losses: 8.8 million
                                                       Since Jan’10: +2.4 million
     600,000

     400,000

     200,000

            0

    -200,000

    -400,000

    -600,000

    -800,000

  -1,000,000
                Jan-08

                         Apr-08

                                  Jul-08

                                           Oct-08

                                                      Jan-09

                                                               Apr-09

                                                                        Jul-09

                                                                                 Oct-09

                                                                                          Jan-10

                                                                                                   Apr-10

                                                                                                            Jul-10

                                                                                                                     Oct-10

                                                                                                                              Jan-11

                                                                                                                                       Apr-11

                                                                                                                                                Jul-11

                                                                                                                                                         Oct-11
SOURCE: US Dept of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics
California Non-farm Job Growth
                                                   Month-to-Month Changes
                                                            Recession Job Losses: 1.3 million
                                                                Since Jan’10: +282,000
     100000
      80000
      60000
      40000
      20000
           0
     -20000
     -40000
     -60000
     -80000
    -100000
    -120000
    -140000
    -160000
                                                            Nov-08




                                                                                                                  Nov-09




                                                                                                                                                                        Nov-10




                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Nov-11
                                          Jul-08
                                                   Sep-08




                                                                                                Jul-09
                                                                                                         Sep-09




                                                                                                                                                      Jul-10
                                                                                                                                                               Sep-10




                                                                                                                                                                                                            Jul-11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Sep-11
               Jan-08




                                                                     Jan-09




                                                                                                                           Jan-10




                                                                                                                                                                                 Jan-11
                                 May-08




                                                                                       May-09




                                                                                                                                             May-10




                                                                                                                                                                                                   May-11
                        Mar-08




                                                                              Mar-09




                                                                                                                                    Mar-10




                                                                                                                                                                                          Mar-11
SOURCE: CA Employment Development Division
Where are California’s Jobs?
             Employment Trends:
Construction & Financial Sectors Biggest Losers

                                                                       Year to
     Industry                                   2005       Jul-11
                                                                        Date
     Mining and Logging                          23,600      27,600       4,000
     Construction                               905,300     567,300    -338,000
     Manufacturing                             1,502,600   1,257,600   -245,000
     Trade, Transportation & Utilities         2,822,100   2,641,500   -180,600
     Information                                473,600     455,400     -18,200
     Financial Activities                       920,300     755,800    -164,500
     Professional & Business Services          2,160,700   2,136,200    -24,500
     Educational & Health Services             1,593,400   1,837,000    243,600
     Leisure & Hospitality                     1,475,200   1,531,600     56,400
     Other Services                             505,500     484,500     -21,000
     Government                                2,420,200 2,380,200      -40,000
     TOTAL                                    14,802,500 14,074,700    -727,800


SOURCE: California Association of REALTORS®
CA New Housing Permits
               2011: 47,015 units, Up 5.0% from 2010

    300,000

                                           Single Family      Multi-Family
    250,000
                                                           Household Growth: 220,000-250,000/yr


    200,000


    150,000


    100,000


     50,000


          0
               1988


                      1990


                             1992


                                    1994


                                             1996


                                                    1998


                                                              2000


                                                                     2002


                                                                             2004


                                                                                    2006


                                                                                           2008


                                                                                                  2010
SOURCE: CBIA
Classic Liquidity Trap: Consumers Deleveraging
             Low Rates and Tight Credit
              Fed easing through 2012
10%

9%

8%

7%

6%

5%

4%

3%

2%                                                             FRM
                                                               ARM
1%
                                                               Federal Funds
0%
      Jan-00


               Jan-01


                        Jan-02


                                 Jan-03


                                          Jan-04


                                                   Jan-05


                                                            Jan-06


                                                                     Jan-07


                                                                              Jan-08


                                                                                       Jan-09


                                                                                                Jan-10


                                                                                                         Jan-11
  SOURCE: Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation
US Deficit Highest in Decades
                      2010: 11% of GDP (Revenues – Expenses)
     4.0%
                                               Deficit as a % of GDP
     2.0%

     0.0%

    ‐2.0%

    ‐4.0%

    ‐6.0%

    ‐8.0%

  ‐10.0%

  ‐12.0%
             1962
             1964
             1966
             1968
             1970
             1972
             1974
             1976
             1978
             1980
             1982
             1984
             1986
             1988
             1990
             1992
             1994
             1996
             1998
             2000
             2002
             2004
             2006
             2008
             2010
Source: US Treasury, BEA, compiled by C.A.R.
Note: Positive = Surplus
Federal Issues – Critical Concerns
     for the REALTOR Party

 Future of Fannie and Freddie? FHA?

 Tax Reform on the horizon – Mortgage Interest
 Deduction?

 QRM (Qualified Residential Mortgage)
 20% Down requirement -- Is the future of the
 30 year mortgage in doubt?
U.S. Economic Outlook

                            2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011f 2012f
                                              •
  US GDP                    3.1% 2.7% 2.0% 0.0% -2.6% 2.9% 1.8% 2.6%

  Nonfarm Job
                            1.7% 1.8% 1.1% -0.6% -4.4% -0.7% 1.0% 0.9%
  Growth

  Unemployment              5.1% 4.6% 4.6% 5.8% 9.3% 9.6% 9.0% 8.9%

  CPI                       3.4% 3.2% 2.8% 3.8% -0.4% 1.6% 3.2% 2.3%

  Real Disposable
  Income, %                 1.3% 4.0% 2.2% 0.5% 0.9% 1.4% 1.7% 1.5%
  Change

   Forecast Date: January 2012
SOURCE: California Association of REALTORS®
California Economic Outlook

                         2005       2006         •
                                               2007   2008   2009    2010   2011f 2012f

Nonfarm Job
                         1.8%       1.7%       0.8%   -1.3% -6.0% -1.4%     1.5%   2.1%
Growth

Unemployment
                         5.4%       4.9%       5.4%   7.2% 11.4% 12.4% 12.0% 11.2%
Rate

Population
                         1.2%       1.1%       1.1%   1.2%   1.1%    0.9%   0.9%   0.9%
Growth
Real Disposable
Income, %                1.3%       3.4%       1.5%   0.1%   -2.2%   1.6%   1.5%   2.0%
Change


 Forecast Date: January 2012

 SOURCE: California Association of REALTORS®
California Housing Market
Sales Hit Bottom 4 Years Ago
                     Median Price 2011 = 2002
  UNITS/MEDIAN PRICE $
                         “Lost Decade”
                                                Sales of Existing Detached Homes                                Median Price

  700,000
                                                                                                                                            -44%
  600,000

  500,000
                                                       -61%                               -25%
  400,000

  300,000

  200,000

  100,000

         0
             1970
                    1972
                           1974
                                  1976
                                         1978
                                                1980
                                                       1982
                                                              1984
                                                                     1986
                                                                            1988
                                                                                   1990
                                                                                           1992
                                                                                                  1994
                                                                                                         1996
                                                                                                                1998
                                                                                                                       2000
                                                                                                                              2002
                                                                                                                                     2004
                                                                                                                                            2006
                                                                                                                                                   2008
                                                                                                                                                          2010
SOURCE: California Association of REALTORS®
Sales of Existing Detached Homes and Pacific West Consumer Confidence
•     California, December 2011 Sales: 520,940 Units, Up 1.1% YTD, Up 0.1% YTY


       UNITS                                             Sales            Consumer Confidence                                     INDEX

       700,000                                                                                                                    160

       600,000                                                                                                                    140

                                                                                                                                  120
       500,000
                                                                                                                                  100
       400,000
                                                                                                                                  80
       300,000
                                                                                                                                  60
       200,000
                                                                                                                                  40

       100,000                                                                                                                    20

                0                                                                                                                 0
                    Jan-00


                             Jan-01


                                      Jan-02


                                               Jan-03


                                                        Jan-04


                                                                 Jan-05


                                                                            Jan-06


                                                                                     Jan-07


                                                                                              Jan-08


                                                                                                       Jan-09


                                                                                                                Jan-10


                                                                                                                         Jan-11
    SOURCE: California Association of REALTORS®; The Conference Board

    *Sales are seasonally adjusted and annualized
Mortgage Loan Applications for Purchase
                                                             January 20, 2012: 184.8
600
               INDEX, 100 = 03/16/90
500


400


300


200


100


  0
      Jan-90
                Jan-91
                         Jan-92
                                  Jan-93
                                           Jan-94
                                                    Jan-95
                                                             Jan-96
                                                                      Jan-97
                                                                               Jan-98
                                                                                        Jan-99
                                                                                                 Jan-00
                                                                                                          Jan-01
                                                                                                                   Jan-02
                                                                                                                            Jan-03
                                                                                                                                     Jan-04
                                                                                                                                              Jan-05
                                                                                                                                                       Jan-06
                                                                                                                                                                Jan-07
                                                                                                                                                                         Jan-08
                                                                                                                                                                                  Jan-09
                                                                                                                                                                                           Jan-10
                                                                                                                                                                                                    Jan-11
                                                                                                                                                                                                             Jan-12
Source: Mortgage Bankers Association
Mortgage Applications – Total Purchase Loans
                                                     (Weekly % Chg.)
  60%

  50%

  40%

  30%

  20%

  10%

   0%

 -10%

 -20%

 -30%

 -40%
                                                                         Aug-11




                                                                                                    Nov-11
                                   Apr-11




                                                                                  Sep-11


                                                                                           Oct-11
        Jan-11




                                                                                                             Dec-11


                                                                                                                      Jan-12
                 Feb-11




                                                       Jun-11


                                                                Jul-11
                                            May-11
                          Mar-11




Source: Mortgage Bankers Association
Median Price of Existing Detached Homes
  California, December 2011: $285,920, Down 6.2% YTY

$700,000                                                                   P: May-07
                                                                           $594,530
$600,000

$500,000                                                                                        T: Feb-09
                                                                                                 $245,230
$400,000                                                                                        -59% from
                                                                                                   peak
$300,000

$200,000

$100,000

       $0
            Jan-00

                     Jan-01

                              Jan-02

                                       Jan-03

                                                Jan-04

                                                         Jan-05

                                                                  Jan-06

                                                                            Jan-07

                                                                                     Jan-08

                                                                                              Jan-09

                                                                                                       Jan-10

                                                                                                                Jan-11
SOURCE: California Association of REALTORS®
Trough vs. Current Price – December 2011
              Southern California
                                          Trough     Trough    Dec-11 % Chg From
        Region
                                          Month       Price    Median   Trough
        San Bernardino County              May-09    $120,410 $128,450       6.7%
        Ventura Couty                      Feb-09    $359,630 $391,060       8.7%
        Orange County                      Jan-09    $442,170 $484,630       9.6%
        San Diego County                   Mar-09    $326,830 $359,930      10.1%
        Palm Springs/Lower Desert           Apr-09   $150,140 $165,960      10.5%
        Inland Empire                       Apr-09   $150,860 $172,430      14.3%
        CALIFORNIA                         Feb-09    $245,230 $285,920      16.6%
        Southern California                 Apr-09   $246,063 $286,950      16.6%
        Los Angeles Metro                   Apr-09   $227,370 $265,830      16.9%
        Riverside County                    Apr-09   $171,480 $203,650      18.8%
        Los Angeles County                 May-09    $248,850 $306,950      23.3%




SOURCE: California Association of REALTORS®
0
                                                           2
                                                               4
                                                                   6
                                                                       8
                                                                           10
                                                                                12
                                                                                     14
                                                                                          16
                                                                                               18
                                                                                                    20
                                                                                                         MONTHS
                                              Jan-88
                                              Jan-89
                                              Jan-90
                                              Jan-91
                                              Jan-92
                                              Jan-93
                                              Jan-94
                                              Jan-95
                                              Jan-96
                                              Jan-97
                                              Jan-98




SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
                                              Jan-99
                                              Jan-00
                                              Jan-01
                                              Jan-02
                                              Jan-03
                                              Jan-04
                                              Jan-05
                                                                                                                                                          Unsold Inventory Index




                                              Jan-06
                                              Jan-07
                                              Jan-08
                                              Jan-09
                                                                                                                  California, December 2011: 4.2 Months




                                              Jan-10
                                              Jan-11
Tight Supply of Inventory for REO Sales

                                                2011
Unsold
Inventory Index                                               8.9
(Months)

   9
                    6.7
   8
   7
   6
   5
                                                2.7
   4
   3
   2
   1
   0
            Equity Sales              REO Sales        Short Sales

  SOURCE: California Association of REALTORS®
Higher Price = Higher Inventory
                 Unsold Inventory Index
                                (Months of Supply)



     Price Range (Thousand)                   Dec-10 Nov-11 Dec-11

   $1,000K+                                      8.2    9.6    8.3
   $750-1000K                                    5.7    7.0    5.9
   $500-750K                                     4.7    6.0    4.5
   $300-500K                                     4.9    5.3    4.4
   $0-300K                                       4.9    4.7    3.9


SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
California’s Million-Dollar Home Sales
     Year
       1988       2,718
       1989           4,271
       1990          3,773
       1991         3,362
       1992        2,890
       1993         2,298
       1994       2,522
       1995       2,017
       1996        2,651
       1997          3,762
       1998            5,366
       1999                    8,906
       2000                           13,101
       2001                        10,658
       2002                               15,703
       2003                                          20,595
       2004                                                            36,990
       2005                                                                                           54,773
       2006                                                                                      50,010
       2007                                                                     42,506
       2008                                             24,436
       2009                                  18,621
       2010                                              22529
              0




                           10000




                                             20000




                                                              30000




                                                                        40000




                                                                                         50000




                                                                                                           60000
                                                     Number of Homes

Source: DataQuick Information Systems
Market Breakdown:
Equity v. Distressed
       Sales
Share of Distressed Sales to Total Sales
                                              Dec‐11




                                                       REOs, 24.6%


                            Equity Sales,         Short Sales, 
                              52.7%                 22.2%




                                                                  Other Distressed 
                                                                     Sales (Not 
                                                                  Specified), 0.5%
SOURCE: California Association of REALTORS®
Share of Equity Sales
             Increased Throughout 2011
                       Equity Sales   Short Sale     Bank Owned

  60%


  50%


  40%


  30%


  20%


  10%


   0%
     Jan-09 Apr-09 Jul-09 Oct-09 Jan-10 Apr-10 Jul-10 Oct-10 Jan-11 Apr-11 Jul-11


SOURCE: ForeclosureRadar.com
Distressed Sales: Southern California
(Percent of Total Sales)                               Dec-11
  100%



   80%

                                                        63%           67%
   60%                 49%

                                      42%
    40%


                                                                                  28%
    20%


     0%
              Los Angeles
                                Orange
                                                Riverside
         SOURCE: California Association of REALTORS®               San
                                                                Bernardino   San Diego
REO & Short Sales: Southern California
(Percent of Total Sales)
 100%                                              Dec 2011


  80%                                Short Sales

                                     REO Sales

  60%
                                                                    19%
                                                       31%
  40%                27%
                                     26%
   20%
                     21%                                            47%
                                                       31%                      10%
                                     15%
    0%
                                                                                18%
            Los Angeles
                               Orange
                                               Riverside
                                                                 San
         SOURCE: California Association of REALTORS®
                                                              Bernardino   San Diego
Mortgage Foreclosure & Delinquency Rates
       California: Q3-2011

                                       Delinquency Rate        Foreclosure Rate

       12%


       10%

                                                                                              7.6%
        8%                                            Delinquencies: Long Run Average: 4.4%


        6%


        4%                                                                                    3.6%

                  Foreclosure Rate: Long Run Average: 1.2%
        2%


        0%
             Q1/74
             Q2/75
             Q3/76
             Q4/77
             Q1/79
             Q2/80
             Q3/81
             Q4/82
             Q1/84
             Q2/85
             Q3/86
             Q4/87
             Q1/89
             Q2/90
             Q3/91
             Q4/92
             Q1/94
             Q2/95
             Q3/96
             Q4/97
             Q1/99
             Q2/00
             Q3/01
             Q4/02
             Q1/04
             Q2/05
             Q3/06
             Q4/07
             Q1/09
             Q2/10
             Q3/11
SOURCE: Mortgage Bankers Association
California Foreclosure Outcomes, Dec. 2011
    REO: -16.4% YTD • 3rd Party: +5.0% YTD • Cancel: -13.1% YTD

                                          REOs                  Sold to 3rd Party                                     Cancellations

                   6 Month Average:
 30,000
                   REO: 8,950

 25,000
                   3rd Party: 3,353
                   Cancelled: 13,243
 20,000


 15,000


 10,000


  5,000


      0
                            Jul-07




                                                                Jul-08




                                                                                                    Jul-09




                                                                                                                                         Jul-10




                                                                                                                                                                             Jul-11
          Jan-07

                   Apr-07



                                     Oct-07

                                              Jan-08

                                                       Apr-08



                                                                         Oct-08

                                                                                  Jan-09

                                                                                           Apr-09



                                                                                                             Oct-09

                                                                                                                       Jan-10

                                                                                                                                Apr-10



                                                                                                                                                  Oct-10

                                                                                                                                                           Jan-11

                                                                                                                                                                    Apr-11



                                                                                                                                                                                      Oct-11
SOURCE: ForeclosureRadar.com
California Foreclosure Inventories, Dec. 2011
         Preforeclosure: -19.7% YTD • Schedule for Sale: -21.7% YTD •
                            Bank Owned: 0.6% YTD
                                Preforeclosure                               Scheduled for Sale                                        Bank Owned

                     6 Month Average:
 200,000             Preforeclosure: 109,200
                     Schedule for Sale: 89,029
                     Bank Owned: 100,887
 150,000



 100,000



  50,000



        0
            Jan-07

                       Apr-07

                                Jul-07




                                                                    Jul-08




                                                                                                        Jul-09
                                         Oct-07

                                                  Jan-08

                                                           Apr-08



                                                                             Oct-08

                                                                                      Jan-09

                                                                                               Apr-09



                                                                                                                 Oct-09

                                                                                                                          Jan-10

                                                                                                                                   Apr-10

                                                                                                                                            Jul-10

                                                                                                                                                     Oct-10

                                                                                                                                                              Jan-11

                                                                                                                                                                       Apr-11

                                                                                                                                                                                Jul-11

                                                                                                                                                                                         Oct-11
SOURCE: ForeclosureRadar.com
0
                                                   10
                                                        20
                                                             30
                                                                  40
                                                                       50
                                                                            60
                                       Q1/84
                                       Q1/85                                     THOUSANDS
                                       Q1/86
                                       Q1/87
                                       Q1/88
                                       Q1/89
                                       Q1/90




SOURCE: Real Estate Research Council
                                       Q1/91
                                       Q1/92
                                       Q1/93
                                       Q1/94
                                       Q1/95
                                       Q1/96
                                       Q1/97
                                       Q1/98
                                       Q1/99
                                       Q1/00
                                       Q1/01
                                                                                                                   Foreclosures




                                       Q1/02
                                                                                             Southern California




                                       Q1/03
                                       Q1/04
                                       Q1/05
                                       Q1/06
                                       Q1/07
                                       Q1/08
                                       Q1/09
                                       Q1/10
                                       Q1/11
Palm Desert
               Preforeclosure: 199 • Auction: 123 • Bank Owned: 88




Source: ForeclosureRadar.com as of 01/19/2012.
La Quinta
              Preforeclosure: 159 • Auction: 138 • Bank Owned: 100




Source: ForeclosureRadar.com as of 01/19/2012.
Indio
              Preforeclosure: 315 • Auction: 205 • Bank Owned: 157




Source: ForeclosureRadar.com as of 01/19/2012.
Sacramento
        Preforeclosure: 2,216 • Auction: 1,905 • Bank Owned: 1,560




Source: ForeclosureRadar.com as of 08/19/11
Sacramento
        Preforeclosure: 2,216 • Auction: 1,905 • Bank Owned: 1,560




Source: ForeclosureRadar.com as of 08/19/11
Sacramento
        Preforeclosure: 2,216 • Auction: 1,905 • Bank Owned: 1,560




Source: ForeclosureRadar.com as of 08/19/11
Sacramento
        Preforeclosure: 2,216 • Auction: 1,905 • Bank Owned: 1,560




Source: ForeclosureRadar.com as of 08/19/11
Local Market
 Conditions
Sales of Residential Properties
       Palm Desert, 2011: 1,514 Units, Up 7.4% YTY

      180
      160
      140
      120
      100
        80
        60                                                                                2010
        40
                                                                                          2011
        20
         0


                                                                                 O ct
                                       Apr




                                                                        S ep t
                                                           Ju l




                                                                                        Nov

                                                                                              D ec
                                M ar
                      F eb




                                                    Ju n



                                                                  Aug
               Jan




                                             M ay




SOURCE: Clarus Market Metrics
Sales of Residential Homes
                           Palm Desert, December 2011: 121 Unit
                             , Up 17.5% MTM, Down 2.4% YTY




SOURCE: Clarus Market Metrics
Median Price of Residential Homes
                          Palm Desert, December 2011: $265,000
                              Up 6.0% MTM, Down 8.5% YTY




SOURCE: Clarus Market Metrics
Sales of Residential Properties
          La Quinta, 2011: 1,353 Units, Up 5.5% YTY

      160
      140
      120
      100
        80
        60
                                                                                       2010
        40
        20                                                                             2011

         0




                                                                           Oct

                                                                                 Nov

                                                                                         Dec
                                      Apr




                                                                    Sept
                                                        Jul
               Jan

                      Feb




                                                  Jun




                                                              Aug
                                            May
                                Mar




SOURCE: Clarus Market Metrics
Sales of Residential Homes
                            La Quinta, December 2011: 129 Units
                               Up 51.8% MTM, Up 18.3% YTY




SOURCE: Clarus Market Metrics
Median Price of Residential Homes
                            La Quinta, December 2011: $285,000
                               Down 9.8% MTM, Up 0.4% YTY




SOURCE: Clarus Market Metrics
Sales of Residential Properties
            Indio, 2011: 1,461 Units, Down 2.1% YTY

      200
      180
      160
      140
      120
      100
       80
       60                                                                                     2010
       40
                                                                                              2011
       20
        0


                                                                                 O ct
                                       Apr




                                                                        S ep t
                                                           Ju l




                                                                                        Nov

                                                                                                D ec
                                M ar
                      F eb




                                                    Ju n



                                                                  Aug
               Jan




                                             M ay




SOURCE: Clarus Market Metrics
Sales of Residential Homes
                                Indio, December 2011: 125 Units
                                Up 26.3% MTM, Down 4.6% YTY




SOURCE: Clarus Market Metrics
Median Price of Residential Homes
                                Indio, December 2011: $159,900
                                 Up 6.6% MTM, Down 8.6% YTY




SOURCE: Clarus Market Metrics
2011 Annual Housing
   Market Survey
Equity vs. REO vs. Short Sales
                                  Equity Sales   REO Sales   Short Sales
Share of Total Sales                58.7%         19.7%        20.2%
Median Home Price                  $431,000      $240,000    $287,000
Square Footage                       1,783        1,500        1,600
Price / SF                           $250          $112         $175
Sales‐to‐List Price Ratio           95.9%         98.0%        95.9%
% of Sales With Multiple Offers     35.2%         58.3%        57.5%
Avg. Number of Offers                 3.0           3.0         3.6
% of All Cash Sales                 25.5%         34.0%        23.3%
Days on MLS                           67            50          141
Days in Escrow                        35            35           45
Proportion of Sellers Planning to
                            Repurchase
      80%
      70%
      60%
      50%
      40%
      30%
      20%
      10%
       0%
               2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Q. Is the seller planning on purchasing another home?
Reasons Sellers Not Planning to
                           Buy Another Home

                           Seller is a lender/bank                      19.8%

   Seller prefers to have less financial obligation             11.4%

                         Poor credit background                 10.9%

                 Lack of cash for down payment           5.7%

                      Out of work/unemployment          4.9%

                Decide to live with family/friends      4.7%

                     Waiting for market to bottom      2.7%



                                                  0%     10%        20%         30%   40%   50%




Q. Why is the seller not planning to purchase another home?
Reasons For Selling
                                           All Home Sellers
              Foreclosure/Short
                 Sale/Default

         Change in Family Status

           Retirement/Move to
          Retirement Community
                Investment/ Tax
                 Consderations

         Desired Better Location


           Desired Smaller Home


                  Changed Jobs


           Desired Larger Home


                          Other

                                   0%     5%      10%       15%       20%       25%   30%   35%

Q. What was the single most important reason for selling/buying the property?
Investments & Second/
              Vacation Homes
      Investment/Rental Property   Vacation/Second Home

25%

20%                                                       7%

15%

10%
                                                          17%
5%

0%
Foreign Buyers
      10%
                                      % of Foreign Buyers
                       8%
        8%

                                      6%                    6%
        6%                                           5%


        4%


        2%


        0%
                      2008           2009           2010    2011
Q. Was the buyer a foreign buyer?
California Housing
 Market Forecast
Forecast Progress Report
                                   2010                      2011 
                                 Projected                  Forecast      2011 
                                              2010 Actual
                                  October                   October     Projected
                                   2010                      2010
   SFH Resales 
                                   492.0        491.5        502.0       491.1
   (000s)
   % Change                       ‐10.0%        ‐10.1%       2.0%        ‐0.1%
   Median Price 
                                  $306.5        $303.1      $312.5       $291.0
   ($000s)
   % Change                        11.5%        10.2%        2.0%        ‐4.0%

    Forecast Date: September 2011 vs October 2010

Source: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
California Housing Market Outlook
                  2005      2006      2007    2008    2009    2010    2011f   2012f

  SFH Resales
                   625.0     477.5    346.9   441.8   546.9   491.5   491.1   496.2
  (000s)

  % Change        0.03% -23.6% -27.3% 27.3%           23.8% -10.1% -0.1%      1.0%
  Median
  Price          $522.7 $556.4 $560.3 $348.5 $275.0 $303.1 $291.0 $296.0
  ($000s)
  % Change        16.0%     6.5%      0.7%    -37.8% -21.1% 10.2% -4.0%       1.7%
  30-Yr FRM       5.9%      6.4%      6.3%    6.0%    5.1%    4.7%    4.5%    4.7%
  1-Yr ARM        4.5%      5.5%      5.6%    5.2%    4.7%    3.5%    3.0%    3.1%



 Forecast Date: September 2011

Source: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
Real Estate Buyers &
 Sellers in Today’s
       Market
How Buyers Found Home
                                               - 2011 -




Q. How did you find the home your purcahsed?
The Buying Experience

Considered buying for over 4 months
Shopped 2.5 months before contacting agent
Viewed 12 homes in 8 weeks with agent
76% of buyers didn’t close escrow on time
49% owned previous home
Motivated by price decreases, low mortgage
rates and tax deductions
80% found home through agent
The Selling Experience


Home was listed more than 2 months
before opening escrow
Median escrow length was 1.5 months
Only 40% of sellers said their escrow
closed on time
20% of sellers used electronic signature
Why Buyers Chose their Agent

  1.    Most responsive (28%)
  2.    Worked with agent before (18%)
  3.    First to respond (17%)
  4.    Most aggressive (16%)
  5.    Most knowledgeable (6%)




Q. What was the single most important reason for selecting the agent that you
used in your recent home purchase?
Why Sellers Chose their Agent

  1.    First to Respond (21%)
  2.    Seemed most responsive (21%)
  3.    Seemed most aggressive (19%)
  4.    Worked with agent before (16%)
  5.    Understanding of distressed properties (6%)




Q. What was the single most important reason for selecting the agent that you
used in your recent home purchase?
Buyer Method of Communicating With Agent

                      Preferred                                   Actual
         E-mail          73%                                       70%
         Telephone       37%                                       50%
         Text message    32%                                        1%
         Twitter         21%                                        0%
         Facebook        14%                                        0%
         In-person       6%                                         3%


Q. What was your preferred method of communicating with your agent? How did
your agent actually communicate with you?
Preferred          Actual
                                                                                          73%
                                                                                                69%
                                                                                    64%

                                                       47%



                                                                      26%
                                                             18%
                                   3% 5%         6%
                                                                               1%




Q: What was your preferred method of communication with your agent?
Q: What was the actual method of communication used most frequently with your agent?




                      Agent / Seller Communication Gap
Buyer Expected vs Actual Agent Response Time

                                           Expected        Actual
     100%
      90%
      80%
      70%
      60%
      50%
                 37%                                     37%
      40%
                             28%
      30%
                       18%                                              16%
      20%                                15%                     13%
                                   7%               11%         8%
                                               6%
      10%                                                              2%       4%
                                                                              0%
       0%
               Instantly    Within Within 1 Within 2 Within 4 Same day    1
                            30mins.       hr.         hrs. hrs.        business
Q. What was the typical response time you expected from                  day
your agent to return any form of communication to you?

Q. On average, what was the actual response time of your
agent to return any form of communication to you?
Actual       Expected

       45%
       40%
       35%
       30%
       25%
       20%
       15%
       10%
        5%
        0%
                 Instantly Within 30  Within 1  Within 2  Within 4  Same day    1 
                           Minutes     Hour      Hours     Hours             business 
                                                                               day
Q: What was the typical response time you EXPECTED from your agent to return any form of communication with you?
Q: On average, what was the ACTUAL time of your agent to return any form of communication to you?




                Seller Response Time is of the Essence
Buyer Reasons for Satisfaction With Agent

    1.    Worked hard on my behalf (55%)
    2.    Helped find the best home for me (55%)
    3.    Always quick to respond (31%)
    4.    Negotiated good deal on my behalf (29%)
    5.    Listened to what we needed (20%)




Q. Why do you have that level of satisfaction with your agent?
Buyer Reasons for Dissatisfaction With Agent



       1.    Slow to respond (51%)
       2.    Communication problems (19%)
       3.    Didn’t communicate effectively during
             transaction (14%)
       4.    Didn’t negotiate aggressively on my behalf
             (12%)
       5.    Wasted time with homes I’m not likely to buy
             (3%)
Q. Why do you have that level of satisfaction with your agent?
What Buyers Would Like to Change About their
     Home Buying Experience

    1.    Faster response from agent (30%)

    2.    Better agent negotiation (27%)

    3.    Better agent communication (25%)

    4.    Better market direction understanding (19%)

    5.    Escrow close on time (9%)

Q. If there is one thing you would like to change about your home buying
experience, what would that be?
Quick Facts About Buyers


•   59% found their agent online
•   51% Googled their agent
•   52% used social media in the buying process
•   93% are receptive to receiving information via
    social media
How Internet Was Used
    Activity                                                          Percentage of Buyers
    Preview homes to narrow search                                    75%
    Find an agent                                                     68%
    Identify homes for agent to show                                  47%
    Find a real estate firm                                           40%
    Learn about neighborhoods                                         33%
    Get information about financing & downpayments                    33%




Q. For which of the following did you use the internet as a part of your home
buying process?
Buyer Importance of Online
                            Features in Home Viewing




Q. Please rate the following online features by the level of importance in your home viewing
on a scale of one to five, with five being extremely important and one being not at all
important.
Top 10 Websites Used




                                                     Real estate agent website
Q. Which websites did you use as part of your home buying process?
52% of Buyers Used Social Media


     Activity                                      Percent of Buyers Who Engaged in Activity
     Agent referrals                               33%
     Video home tours                              26%
     Agent Facebook page                           24%
     Home buying tips                              23%
     Comments on neighborhoods                     21%
     Neighborhood lifestyle                        20%




Q. How did you use social media (such as Facebook, Twitter, LinkedIn, etc.) in
your home buying process?
77% of Sellers Used Social Media




Q: Which social media websites did you use to learn more about and communicate with
real estate agents and companies?
Closing Thoughts
Direction of Home Prices: Sellers
                              Skeptical; Buyers Hopeful
                                               Down         Flat       Unsure         Up




          100%

            80%

            60%

            40%

            20%

              0%
                                      Sellers                                  Buyers
Q: Do you think home prices in your neighborhood will go up, down or stay flat in one year, five years and 10 years?
Real Estate: It’s Time To Buy Again


              “Forget stocks. Don't bet on gold.
              After four years of plunging home
              prices, the most attractive asset
              class in America is housing.”




SOURCE: “Real estate: It’s time to buy again” Fortune Magazine’s 3/28/11 article written by Shawn Tully
8 in 10 Americans Agree Buying a Home is
                 the Best Investment One Can Make




SOURCE: Pew Research Center’s “Home Sweet Home. Still. Five Years After the Bubble Burst”
8 in 10 Renters Would Like to
                       Buy in the Future

     “…renters are hardly
     immune to the allure of
     homeownership, even in
     the face of the five-year
     decline in prices. Asked if
     they rent out of choice or
     because they cannot
     afford to buy a home, just
     24% say they
     rent out of
     choice.”

SOURCE: Pew Research Center’s “Home Sweet Home. Still. Five Years After the Bubble Burst”
C.A.R. Strategic Planning Books
Thank You

www.car.org.marketdata

   lesliea@car.org

More Related Content

What's hot

MyTownCryer Mid Year 2010 Analysis
MyTownCryer Mid Year 2010 AnalysisMyTownCryer Mid Year 2010 Analysis
MyTownCryer Mid Year 2010 AnalysisTom Cryer
 
Use of Simulation Modeling to Address Impact of Recurring Bad Weather Events,...
Use of Simulation Modeling to Address Impact of Recurring Bad Weather Events,...Use of Simulation Modeling to Address Impact of Recurring Bad Weather Events,...
Use of Simulation Modeling to Address Impact of Recurring Bad Weather Events,...Vijay Agrawal
 
Automating Your Infrastructure
Automating Your InfrastructureAutomating Your Infrastructure
Automating Your InfrastructureDmitry Buzdin
 
09 21-11 forecast2012
09 21-11 forecast201209 21-11 forecast2012
09 21-11 forecast2012pushpanagaraj
 
Housing Market Outlook and Affordable Housing in the Twin Cities Metro
Housing Market Outlook and Affordable Housing in the Twin Cities MetroHousing Market Outlook and Affordable Housing in the Twin Cities Metro
Housing Market Outlook and Affordable Housing in the Twin Cities Metrosotatodd
 
April 2009 Philadelphia Housing Market
April 2009 Philadelphia Housing MarketApril 2009 Philadelphia Housing Market
April 2009 Philadelphia Housing MarketRajeev Sajja
 
Credit Suisse Chemical and Ag Science Conference
	 Credit Suisse Chemical and Ag Science Conference	 Credit Suisse Chemical and Ag Science Conference
Credit Suisse Chemical and Ag Science Conferencefinance5
 
From Oecd To SNR
From Oecd To SNRFrom Oecd To SNR
From Oecd To SNR30088
 
What Changes in Federal Policy Might Spur Innovation?
What Changes in Federal Policy Might Spur Innovation?What Changes in Federal Policy Might Spur Innovation?
What Changes in Federal Policy Might Spur Innovation?Congressional Budget Office
 
Erwin Rode on Prospects for Property
Erwin Rode on Prospects for PropertyErwin Rode on Prospects for Property
Erwin Rode on Prospects for Propertymoneyweb
 
Real Estate and Economic Outlook, by Dr. Lawrence Yun
Real Estate and Economic Outlook, by Dr. Lawrence YunReal Estate and Economic Outlook, by Dr. Lawrence Yun
Real Estate and Economic Outlook, by Dr. Lawrence YunNar Res
 
Residential Movement in the Greater Washington DC Area
Residential Movement in the Greater Washington DC AreaResidential Movement in the Greater Washington DC Area
Residential Movement in the Greater Washington DC AreaNar Res
 
The CEO’s Dilemma - How to drive efficient innovation in the organization
The CEO’s Dilemma - How to drive efficient innovation in the organizationThe CEO’s Dilemma - How to drive efficient innovation in the organization
The CEO’s Dilemma - How to drive efficient innovation in the organizationJoeBarkai
 
Lesson 8 presentation
Lesson 8 presentationLesson 8 presentation
Lesson 8 presentationrhernande128
 

What's hot (19)

10 07-11 leslie to mtg
10 07-11 leslie to mtg10 07-11 leslie to mtg
10 07-11 leslie to mtg
 
Think!0310 Eng
Think!0310  EngThink!0310  Eng
Think!0310 Eng
 
MyTownCryer Mid Year 2010 Analysis
MyTownCryer Mid Year 2010 AnalysisMyTownCryer Mid Year 2010 Analysis
MyTownCryer Mid Year 2010 Analysis
 
Use of Simulation Modeling to Address Impact of Recurring Bad Weather Events,...
Use of Simulation Modeling to Address Impact of Recurring Bad Weather Events,...Use of Simulation Modeling to Address Impact of Recurring Bad Weather Events,...
Use of Simulation Modeling to Address Impact of Recurring Bad Weather Events,...
 
Automating Your Infrastructure
Automating Your InfrastructureAutomating Your Infrastructure
Automating Your Infrastructure
 
09 21-11 forecast2012
09 21-11 forecast201209 21-11 forecast2012
09 21-11 forecast2012
 
Housing Market Outlook and Affordable Housing in the Twin Cities Metro
Housing Market Outlook and Affordable Housing in the Twin Cities MetroHousing Market Outlook and Affordable Housing in the Twin Cities Metro
Housing Market Outlook and Affordable Housing in the Twin Cities Metro
 
Local Foods Strengthen Your Local Economy
Local Foods Strengthen Your Local EconomyLocal Foods Strengthen Your Local Economy
Local Foods Strengthen Your Local Economy
 
April 2009 Philadelphia Housing Market
April 2009 Philadelphia Housing MarketApril 2009 Philadelphia Housing Market
April 2009 Philadelphia Housing Market
 
Credit Suisse Chemical and Ag Science Conference
	 Credit Suisse Chemical and Ag Science Conference	 Credit Suisse Chemical and Ag Science Conference
Credit Suisse Chemical and Ag Science Conference
 
41518607
4151860741518607
41518607
 
From Oecd To SNR
From Oecd To SNRFrom Oecd To SNR
From Oecd To SNR
 
Strengthening pensions: the economic context
Strengthening pensions: the economic contextStrengthening pensions: the economic context
Strengthening pensions: the economic context
 
What Changes in Federal Policy Might Spur Innovation?
What Changes in Federal Policy Might Spur Innovation?What Changes in Federal Policy Might Spur Innovation?
What Changes in Federal Policy Might Spur Innovation?
 
Erwin Rode on Prospects for Property
Erwin Rode on Prospects for PropertyErwin Rode on Prospects for Property
Erwin Rode on Prospects for Property
 
Real Estate and Economic Outlook, by Dr. Lawrence Yun
Real Estate and Economic Outlook, by Dr. Lawrence YunReal Estate and Economic Outlook, by Dr. Lawrence Yun
Real Estate and Economic Outlook, by Dr. Lawrence Yun
 
Residential Movement in the Greater Washington DC Area
Residential Movement in the Greater Washington DC AreaResidential Movement in the Greater Washington DC Area
Residential Movement in the Greater Washington DC Area
 
The CEO’s Dilemma - How to drive efficient innovation in the organization
The CEO’s Dilemma - How to drive efficient innovation in the organizationThe CEO’s Dilemma - How to drive efficient innovation in the organization
The CEO’s Dilemma - How to drive efficient innovation in the organization
 
Lesson 8 presentation
Lesson 8 presentationLesson 8 presentation
Lesson 8 presentation
 

Similar to 2012 Real Estate Market Update

Navigating the Storm: The Impact of the Economic Crisis and Strategic Respons...
Navigating the Storm: The Impact of the Economic Crisis and Strategic Respons...Navigating the Storm: The Impact of the Economic Crisis and Strategic Respons...
Navigating the Storm: The Impact of the Economic Crisis and Strategic Respons...Ga S
 
Experience Exchange Meeting of Thailand
Experience Exchange Meeting of ThailandExperience Exchange Meeting of Thailand
Experience Exchange Meeting of ThailandDr.Choen Krainara
 
Social-ecological dynamics and the effects of bonding social capital on local...
Social-ecological dynamics and the effects of bonding social capital on local...Social-ecological dynamics and the effects of bonding social capital on local...
Social-ecological dynamics and the effects of bonding social capital on local...Kemraj Parsram
 
Robert Deluce: Gaining altitude in turbulent times – a view from the cockpit ...
Robert Deluce: Gaining altitude in turbulent times – a view from the cockpit ...Robert Deluce: Gaining altitude in turbulent times – a view from the cockpit ...
Robert Deluce: Gaining altitude in turbulent times – a view from the cockpit ...MaRS Discovery District
 
Marie Elodie Perga - Gliding from limnology to paleolimnology to study the ec...
Marie Elodie Perga - Gliding from limnology to paleolimnology to study the ec...Marie Elodie Perga - Gliding from limnology to paleolimnology to study the ec...
Marie Elodie Perga - Gliding from limnology to paleolimnology to study the ec...International Paleolimnology Symposium 2012
 
01 edwin koot - solarplaza
01   edwin koot - solarplaza01   edwin koot - solarplaza
01 edwin koot - solarplazaLinea Trovata
 
Four degrees and beyond: What might this mean for agriculture in sub-Saharan ...
Four degrees and beyond: What might this mean for agriculture in sub-Saharan ...Four degrees and beyond: What might this mean for agriculture in sub-Saharan ...
Four degrees and beyond: What might this mean for agriculture in sub-Saharan ...ILRI
 
Corporate presentation november_2011_4
Corporate presentation november_2011_4Corporate presentation november_2011_4
Corporate presentation november_2011_4NALenergy
 
Spain Economic Policy and 2010 Funding Strategy
Spain Economic Policy and 2010 Funding StrategySpain Economic Policy and 2010 Funding Strategy
Spain Economic Policy and 2010 Funding Strategyoscarm
 
Presentacion España Financial Times
Presentacion España Financial TimesPresentacion España Financial Times
Presentacion España Financial TimesJose Miguel Durán
 
Wind in our Sails - The coming of Europe's offshore wind energy industry
Wind in our Sails - The coming of Europe's offshore wind energy industryWind in our Sails - The coming of Europe's offshore wind energy industry
Wind in our Sails - The coming of Europe's offshore wind energy industryEWEA - European Wind Energy Association
 
Venturefest Bristol 2011 Professor Nigel jump, University of Bath
Venturefest Bristol 2011 Professor Nigel jump, University of BathVenturefest Bristol 2011 Professor Nigel jump, University of Bath
Venturefest Bristol 2011 Professor Nigel jump, University of BathScience City Bristol
 
Case-Shiller November 2012
Case-Shiller November 2012Case-Shiller November 2012
Case-Shiller November 2012Harriet Stopher
 
home depot PDF Frank Blake Presentation
home depot  PDF  	Frank Blake Presentation home depot  PDF  	Frank Blake Presentation
home depot PDF Frank Blake Presentation finance2
 

Similar to 2012 Real Estate Market Update (20)

CAR_EconomicForcast_April_20_2012
CAR_EconomicForcast_April_20_2012CAR_EconomicForcast_April_20_2012
CAR_EconomicForcast_April_20_2012
 
Navigating the Storm: The Impact of the Economic Crisis and Strategic Respons...
Navigating the Storm: The Impact of the Economic Crisis and Strategic Respons...Navigating the Storm: The Impact of the Economic Crisis and Strategic Respons...
Navigating the Storm: The Impact of the Economic Crisis and Strategic Respons...
 
Experience Exchange Meeting of Thailand
Experience Exchange Meeting of ThailandExperience Exchange Meeting of Thailand
Experience Exchange Meeting of Thailand
 
Social-ecological dynamics and the effects of bonding social capital on local...
Social-ecological dynamics and the effects of bonding social capital on local...Social-ecological dynamics and the effects of bonding social capital on local...
Social-ecological dynamics and the effects of bonding social capital on local...
 
Robert Deluce: Gaining altitude in turbulent times – a view from the cockpit ...
Robert Deluce: Gaining altitude in turbulent times – a view from the cockpit ...Robert Deluce: Gaining altitude in turbulent times – a view from the cockpit ...
Robert Deluce: Gaining altitude in turbulent times – a view from the cockpit ...
 
Marie Elodie Perga - Gliding from limnology to paleolimnology to study the ec...
Marie Elodie Perga - Gliding from limnology to paleolimnology to study the ec...Marie Elodie Perga - Gliding from limnology to paleolimnology to study the ec...
Marie Elodie Perga - Gliding from limnology to paleolimnology to study the ec...
 
It Transformation
It TransformationIt Transformation
It Transformation
 
01 edwin koot - solarplaza
01   edwin koot - solarplaza01   edwin koot - solarplaza
01 edwin koot - solarplaza
 
Four degrees and beyond: What might this mean for agriculture in sub-Saharan ...
Four degrees and beyond: What might this mean for agriculture in sub-Saharan ...Four degrees and beyond: What might this mean for agriculture in sub-Saharan ...
Four degrees and beyond: What might this mean for agriculture in sub-Saharan ...
 
Corporate presentation november_2011_4
Corporate presentation november_2011_4Corporate presentation november_2011_4
Corporate presentation november_2011_4
 
Spain Economic Policy and 2010 Funding Strategy
Spain Economic Policy and 2010 Funding StrategySpain Economic Policy and 2010 Funding Strategy
Spain Economic Policy and 2010 Funding Strategy
 
Presentacion España Financial Times
Presentacion España Financial TimesPresentacion España Financial Times
Presentacion España Financial Times
 
Liberty2012
Liberty2012Liberty2012
Liberty2012
 
Wind in our Sails - The coming of Europe's offshore wind energy industry
Wind in our Sails - The coming of Europe's offshore wind energy industryWind in our Sails - The coming of Europe's offshore wind energy industry
Wind in our Sails - The coming of Europe's offshore wind energy industry
 
Venturefest Bristol 2011 Professor Nigel jump, University of Bath
Venturefest Bristol 2011 Professor Nigel jump, University of BathVenturefest Bristol 2011 Professor Nigel jump, University of Bath
Venturefest Bristol 2011 Professor Nigel jump, University of Bath
 
Fcc team activities eng 001
Fcc team activities eng 001Fcc team activities eng 001
Fcc team activities eng 001
 
Case-Shiller November 2012
Case-Shiller November 2012Case-Shiller November 2012
Case-Shiller November 2012
 
home depot PDF Frank Blake Presentation
home depot  PDF  	Frank Blake Presentation home depot  PDF  	Frank Blake Presentation
home depot PDF Frank Blake Presentation
 
The Race for Global Innovation Advantage and U.S. Economic Prospects
The Race for Global Innovation Advantage and U.S. Economic ProspectsThe Race for Global Innovation Advantage and U.S. Economic Prospects
The Race for Global Innovation Advantage and U.S. Economic Prospects
 
Peter Clinch
Peter ClinchPeter Clinch
Peter Clinch
 

More from SDM: Music Venture

CALIFORNIA WATER CONSERVATION: WHERE'S THE LEGISLATURE AND GOVERNOR?
CALIFORNIA WATER CONSERVATION: WHERE'S THE LEGISLATURE AND GOVERNOR?CALIFORNIA WATER CONSERVATION: WHERE'S THE LEGISLATURE AND GOVERNOR?
CALIFORNIA WATER CONSERVATION: WHERE'S THE LEGISLATURE AND GOVERNOR?SDM: Music Venture
 
Trend visionreport rancho mirage
Trend visionreport   rancho mirageTrend visionreport   rancho mirage
Trend visionreport rancho mirageSDM: Music Venture
 
Palm Springs Area For Sale vs. Sold Feb 2011- April 2012
Palm Springs Area For Sale vs. Sold Feb 2011- April 2012Palm Springs Area For Sale vs. Sold Feb 2011- April 2012
Palm Springs Area For Sale vs. Sold Feb 2011- April 2012SDM: Music Venture
 
Palm Springs Area Months of Homes Inventory: February 2011-April 2012
Palm Springs Area Months of Homes Inventory: February 2011-April 2012Palm Springs Area Months of Homes Inventory: February 2011-April 2012
Palm Springs Area Months of Homes Inventory: February 2011-April 2012SDM: Music Venture
 
2012 Forecast: Real Data Strategies
2012 Forecast: Real Data Strategies2012 Forecast: Real Data Strategies
2012 Forecast: Real Data StrategiesSDM: Music Venture
 
Windermere Broker Comparison Sales Chart (Palm Springs Area) - February 2011
Windermere Broker Comparison Sales Chart (Palm Springs Area) - February 2011Windermere Broker Comparison Sales Chart (Palm Springs Area) - February 2011
Windermere Broker Comparison Sales Chart (Palm Springs Area) - February 2011SDM: Music Venture
 
Palm Springs Area Real Estate Market Study (Through First Quarter 2010) ...
Palm Springs Area Real Estate Market Study (Through First Quarter 2010)      ...Palm Springs Area Real Estate Market Study (Through First Quarter 2010)      ...
Palm Springs Area Real Estate Market Study (Through First Quarter 2010) ...SDM: Music Venture
 
Palm Springs Area Listings Sold By Calendar Quarter (Through March 2010)
Palm Springs Area Listings Sold By Calendar Quarter (Through March 2010)Palm Springs Area Listings Sold By Calendar Quarter (Through March 2010)
Palm Springs Area Listings Sold By Calendar Quarter (Through March 2010)SDM: Music Venture
 
Windermere Real Estate Will Dominate Palm Springs in 2010
Windermere Real Estate Will Dominate Palm Springs in 2010Windermere Real Estate Will Dominate Palm Springs in 2010
Windermere Real Estate Will Dominate Palm Springs in 2010SDM: Music Venture
 
Windermere Real Estate January 2010 Sales Charts (Palm Springs Area)
Windermere Real Estate January 2010 Sales Charts (Palm Springs Area) Windermere Real Estate January 2010 Sales Charts (Palm Springs Area)
Windermere Real Estate January 2010 Sales Charts (Palm Springs Area) SDM: Music Venture
 
Windermere Real Estate Market Share 2009 Year End
Windermere Real Estate Market Share 2009 Year EndWindermere Real Estate Market Share 2009 Year End
Windermere Real Estate Market Share 2009 Year EndSDM: Music Venture
 
Windermere Real Estate Market Share 2009 Year End
Windermere Real Estate Market Share 2009 Year EndWindermere Real Estate Market Share 2009 Year End
Windermere Real Estate Market Share 2009 Year EndSDM: Music Venture
 
California Association of Real Estate 2010 Market Analysis
California Association of Real Estate 2010 Market AnalysisCalifornia Association of Real Estate 2010 Market Analysis
California Association of Real Estate 2010 Market AnalysisSDM: Music Venture
 
Leslie Appleton Young 2010 Forecast
Leslie Appleton Young 2010 ForecastLeslie Appleton Young 2010 Forecast
Leslie Appleton Young 2010 ForecastSDM: Music Venture
 
Palm Springs Area Real Estate Forecast for 2010
Palm Springs Area Real Estate Forecast for 2010Palm Springs Area Real Estate Forecast for 2010
Palm Springs Area Real Estate Forecast for 2010SDM: Music Venture
 

More from SDM: Music Venture (19)

CALIFORNIA WATER CONSERVATION: WHERE'S THE LEGISLATURE AND GOVERNOR?
CALIFORNIA WATER CONSERVATION: WHERE'S THE LEGISLATURE AND GOVERNOR?CALIFORNIA WATER CONSERVATION: WHERE'S THE LEGISLATURE AND GOVERNOR?
CALIFORNIA WATER CONSERVATION: WHERE'S THE LEGISLATURE AND GOVERNOR?
 
Trend visionreport rancho mirage
Trend visionreport   rancho mirageTrend visionreport   rancho mirage
Trend visionreport rancho mirage
 
Palm Springs Area For Sale vs. Sold Feb 2011- April 2012
Palm Springs Area For Sale vs. Sold Feb 2011- April 2012Palm Springs Area For Sale vs. Sold Feb 2011- April 2012
Palm Springs Area For Sale vs. Sold Feb 2011- April 2012
 
Palm Springs Area Months of Homes Inventory: February 2011-April 2012
Palm Springs Area Months of Homes Inventory: February 2011-April 2012Palm Springs Area Months of Homes Inventory: February 2011-April 2012
Palm Springs Area Months of Homes Inventory: February 2011-April 2012
 
2012 Forecast: Real Data Strategies
2012 Forecast: Real Data Strategies2012 Forecast: Real Data Strategies
2012 Forecast: Real Data Strategies
 
Home Buyers' Handbook
Home Buyers' HandbookHome Buyers' Handbook
Home Buyers' Handbook
 
Home Sellers' Handbook
Home Sellers' HandbookHome Sellers' Handbook
Home Sellers' Handbook
 
Windermere Broker Comparison Sales Chart (Palm Springs Area) - February 2011
Windermere Broker Comparison Sales Chart (Palm Springs Area) - February 2011Windermere Broker Comparison Sales Chart (Palm Springs Area) - February 2011
Windermere Broker Comparison Sales Chart (Palm Springs Area) - February 2011
 
Grant Deed Scam
Grant Deed ScamGrant Deed Scam
Grant Deed Scam
 
Palm Springs Area Real Estate Market Study (Through First Quarter 2010) ...
Palm Springs Area Real Estate Market Study (Through First Quarter 2010)      ...Palm Springs Area Real Estate Market Study (Through First Quarter 2010)      ...
Palm Springs Area Real Estate Market Study (Through First Quarter 2010) ...
 
Palm Springs Area Listings Sold By Calendar Quarter (Through March 2010)
Palm Springs Area Listings Sold By Calendar Quarter (Through March 2010)Palm Springs Area Listings Sold By Calendar Quarter (Through March 2010)
Palm Springs Area Listings Sold By Calendar Quarter (Through March 2010)
 
Windermere Real Estate Will Dominate Palm Springs in 2010
Windermere Real Estate Will Dominate Palm Springs in 2010Windermere Real Estate Will Dominate Palm Springs in 2010
Windermere Real Estate Will Dominate Palm Springs in 2010
 
Windermere Real Estate January 2010 Sales Charts (Palm Springs Area)
Windermere Real Estate January 2010 Sales Charts (Palm Springs Area) Windermere Real Estate January 2010 Sales Charts (Palm Springs Area)
Windermere Real Estate January 2010 Sales Charts (Palm Springs Area)
 
Windermere Real Estate Market Share 2009 Year End
Windermere Real Estate Market Share 2009 Year EndWindermere Real Estate Market Share 2009 Year End
Windermere Real Estate Market Share 2009 Year End
 
Windermere Real Estate Market Share 2009 Year End
Windermere Real Estate Market Share 2009 Year EndWindermere Real Estate Market Share 2009 Year End
Windermere Real Estate Market Share 2009 Year End
 
Tax Credit Extension
Tax Credit ExtensionTax Credit Extension
Tax Credit Extension
 
California Association of Real Estate 2010 Market Analysis
California Association of Real Estate 2010 Market AnalysisCalifornia Association of Real Estate 2010 Market Analysis
California Association of Real Estate 2010 Market Analysis
 
Leslie Appleton Young 2010 Forecast
Leslie Appleton Young 2010 ForecastLeslie Appleton Young 2010 Forecast
Leslie Appleton Young 2010 Forecast
 
Palm Springs Area Real Estate Forecast for 2010
Palm Springs Area Real Estate Forecast for 2010Palm Springs Area Real Estate Forecast for 2010
Palm Springs Area Real Estate Forecast for 2010
 

Recently uploaded

Mysore Call Girls 8617370543 WhatsApp Number 24x7 Best Services
Mysore Call Girls 8617370543 WhatsApp Number 24x7 Best ServicesMysore Call Girls 8617370543 WhatsApp Number 24x7 Best Services
Mysore Call Girls 8617370543 WhatsApp Number 24x7 Best ServicesDipal Arora
 
Regression analysis: Simple Linear Regression Multiple Linear Regression
Regression analysis:  Simple Linear Regression Multiple Linear RegressionRegression analysis:  Simple Linear Regression Multiple Linear Regression
Regression analysis: Simple Linear Regression Multiple Linear RegressionRavindra Nath Shukla
 
Ensure the security of your HCL environment by applying the Zero Trust princi...
Ensure the security of your HCL environment by applying the Zero Trust princi...Ensure the security of your HCL environment by applying the Zero Trust princi...
Ensure the security of your HCL environment by applying the Zero Trust princi...Roland Driesen
 
Enhancing and Restoring Safety & Quality Cultures - Dave Litwiller - May 2024...
Enhancing and Restoring Safety & Quality Cultures - Dave Litwiller - May 2024...Enhancing and Restoring Safety & Quality Cultures - Dave Litwiller - May 2024...
Enhancing and Restoring Safety & Quality Cultures - Dave Litwiller - May 2024...Dave Litwiller
 
KYC-Verified Accounts: Helping Companies Handle Challenging Regulatory Enviro...
KYC-Verified Accounts: Helping Companies Handle Challenging Regulatory Enviro...KYC-Verified Accounts: Helping Companies Handle Challenging Regulatory Enviro...
KYC-Verified Accounts: Helping Companies Handle Challenging Regulatory Enviro...Any kyc Account
 
VIP Call Girls Gandi Maisamma ( Hyderabad ) Phone 8250192130 | ₹5k To 25k Wit...
VIP Call Girls Gandi Maisamma ( Hyderabad ) Phone 8250192130 | ₹5k To 25k Wit...VIP Call Girls Gandi Maisamma ( Hyderabad ) Phone 8250192130 | ₹5k To 25k Wit...
VIP Call Girls Gandi Maisamma ( Hyderabad ) Phone 8250192130 | ₹5k To 25k Wit...Suhani Kapoor
 
Cracking the Cultural Competence Code.pptx
Cracking the Cultural Competence Code.pptxCracking the Cultural Competence Code.pptx
Cracking the Cultural Competence Code.pptxWorkforce Group
 
RSA Conference Exhibitor List 2024 - Exhibitors Data
RSA Conference Exhibitor List 2024 - Exhibitors DataRSA Conference Exhibitor List 2024 - Exhibitors Data
RSA Conference Exhibitor List 2024 - Exhibitors DataExhibitors Data
 
Event mailer assignment progress report .pdf
Event mailer assignment progress report .pdfEvent mailer assignment progress report .pdf
Event mailer assignment progress report .pdftbatkhuu1
 
Grateful 7 speech thanking everyone that has helped.pdf
Grateful 7 speech thanking everyone that has helped.pdfGrateful 7 speech thanking everyone that has helped.pdf
Grateful 7 speech thanking everyone that has helped.pdfPaul Menig
 
Monthly Social Media Update April 2024 pptx.pptx
Monthly Social Media Update April 2024 pptx.pptxMonthly Social Media Update April 2024 pptx.pptx
Monthly Social Media Update April 2024 pptx.pptxAndy Lambert
 
Best VIP Call Girls Noida Sector 40 Call Me: 8448380779
Best VIP Call Girls Noida Sector 40 Call Me: 8448380779Best VIP Call Girls Noida Sector 40 Call Me: 8448380779
Best VIP Call Girls Noida Sector 40 Call Me: 8448380779Delhi Call girls
 
Value Proposition canvas- Customer needs and pains
Value Proposition canvas- Customer needs and painsValue Proposition canvas- Customer needs and pains
Value Proposition canvas- Customer needs and painsP&CO
 
Creating Low-Code Loan Applications using the Trisotech Mortgage Feature Set
Creating Low-Code Loan Applications using the Trisotech Mortgage Feature SetCreating Low-Code Loan Applications using the Trisotech Mortgage Feature Set
Creating Low-Code Loan Applications using the Trisotech Mortgage Feature SetDenis Gagné
 
Insurers' journeys to build a mastery in the IoT usage
Insurers' journeys to build a mastery in the IoT usageInsurers' journeys to build a mastery in the IoT usage
Insurers' journeys to build a mastery in the IoT usageMatteo Carbone
 
Mondelez State of Snacking and Future Trends 2023
Mondelez State of Snacking and Future Trends 2023Mondelez State of Snacking and Future Trends 2023
Mondelez State of Snacking and Future Trends 2023Neil Kimberley
 
HONOR Veterans Event Keynote by Michael Hawkins
HONOR Veterans Event Keynote by Michael HawkinsHONOR Veterans Event Keynote by Michael Hawkins
HONOR Veterans Event Keynote by Michael HawkinsMichael W. Hawkins
 
It will be International Nurses' Day on 12 May
It will be International Nurses' Day on 12 MayIt will be International Nurses' Day on 12 May
It will be International Nurses' Day on 12 MayNZSG
 

Recently uploaded (20)

Mysore Call Girls 8617370543 WhatsApp Number 24x7 Best Services
Mysore Call Girls 8617370543 WhatsApp Number 24x7 Best ServicesMysore Call Girls 8617370543 WhatsApp Number 24x7 Best Services
Mysore Call Girls 8617370543 WhatsApp Number 24x7 Best Services
 
Regression analysis: Simple Linear Regression Multiple Linear Regression
Regression analysis:  Simple Linear Regression Multiple Linear RegressionRegression analysis:  Simple Linear Regression Multiple Linear Regression
Regression analysis: Simple Linear Regression Multiple Linear Regression
 
Ensure the security of your HCL environment by applying the Zero Trust princi...
Ensure the security of your HCL environment by applying the Zero Trust princi...Ensure the security of your HCL environment by applying the Zero Trust princi...
Ensure the security of your HCL environment by applying the Zero Trust princi...
 
Enhancing and Restoring Safety & Quality Cultures - Dave Litwiller - May 2024...
Enhancing and Restoring Safety & Quality Cultures - Dave Litwiller - May 2024...Enhancing and Restoring Safety & Quality Cultures - Dave Litwiller - May 2024...
Enhancing and Restoring Safety & Quality Cultures - Dave Litwiller - May 2024...
 
KYC-Verified Accounts: Helping Companies Handle Challenging Regulatory Enviro...
KYC-Verified Accounts: Helping Companies Handle Challenging Regulatory Enviro...KYC-Verified Accounts: Helping Companies Handle Challenging Regulatory Enviro...
KYC-Verified Accounts: Helping Companies Handle Challenging Regulatory Enviro...
 
VIP Call Girls Gandi Maisamma ( Hyderabad ) Phone 8250192130 | ₹5k To 25k Wit...
VIP Call Girls Gandi Maisamma ( Hyderabad ) Phone 8250192130 | ₹5k To 25k Wit...VIP Call Girls Gandi Maisamma ( Hyderabad ) Phone 8250192130 | ₹5k To 25k Wit...
VIP Call Girls Gandi Maisamma ( Hyderabad ) Phone 8250192130 | ₹5k To 25k Wit...
 
Cracking the Cultural Competence Code.pptx
Cracking the Cultural Competence Code.pptxCracking the Cultural Competence Code.pptx
Cracking the Cultural Competence Code.pptx
 
Forklift Operations: Safety through Cartoons
Forklift Operations: Safety through CartoonsForklift Operations: Safety through Cartoons
Forklift Operations: Safety through Cartoons
 
RSA Conference Exhibitor List 2024 - Exhibitors Data
RSA Conference Exhibitor List 2024 - Exhibitors DataRSA Conference Exhibitor List 2024 - Exhibitors Data
RSA Conference Exhibitor List 2024 - Exhibitors Data
 
Event mailer assignment progress report .pdf
Event mailer assignment progress report .pdfEvent mailer assignment progress report .pdf
Event mailer assignment progress report .pdf
 
Grateful 7 speech thanking everyone that has helped.pdf
Grateful 7 speech thanking everyone that has helped.pdfGrateful 7 speech thanking everyone that has helped.pdf
Grateful 7 speech thanking everyone that has helped.pdf
 
Monthly Social Media Update April 2024 pptx.pptx
Monthly Social Media Update April 2024 pptx.pptxMonthly Social Media Update April 2024 pptx.pptx
Monthly Social Media Update April 2024 pptx.pptx
 
Best VIP Call Girls Noida Sector 40 Call Me: 8448380779
Best VIP Call Girls Noida Sector 40 Call Me: 8448380779Best VIP Call Girls Noida Sector 40 Call Me: 8448380779
Best VIP Call Girls Noida Sector 40 Call Me: 8448380779
 
Value Proposition canvas- Customer needs and pains
Value Proposition canvas- Customer needs and painsValue Proposition canvas- Customer needs and pains
Value Proposition canvas- Customer needs and pains
 
Creating Low-Code Loan Applications using the Trisotech Mortgage Feature Set
Creating Low-Code Loan Applications using the Trisotech Mortgage Feature SetCreating Low-Code Loan Applications using the Trisotech Mortgage Feature Set
Creating Low-Code Loan Applications using the Trisotech Mortgage Feature Set
 
VVVIP Call Girls In Greater Kailash ➡️ Delhi ➡️ 9999965857 🚀 No Advance 24HRS...
VVVIP Call Girls In Greater Kailash ➡️ Delhi ➡️ 9999965857 🚀 No Advance 24HRS...VVVIP Call Girls In Greater Kailash ➡️ Delhi ➡️ 9999965857 🚀 No Advance 24HRS...
VVVIP Call Girls In Greater Kailash ➡️ Delhi ➡️ 9999965857 🚀 No Advance 24HRS...
 
Insurers' journeys to build a mastery in the IoT usage
Insurers' journeys to build a mastery in the IoT usageInsurers' journeys to build a mastery in the IoT usage
Insurers' journeys to build a mastery in the IoT usage
 
Mondelez State of Snacking and Future Trends 2023
Mondelez State of Snacking and Future Trends 2023Mondelez State of Snacking and Future Trends 2023
Mondelez State of Snacking and Future Trends 2023
 
HONOR Veterans Event Keynote by Michael Hawkins
HONOR Veterans Event Keynote by Michael HawkinsHONOR Veterans Event Keynote by Michael Hawkins
HONOR Veterans Event Keynote by Michael Hawkins
 
It will be International Nurses' Day on 12 May
It will be International Nurses' Day on 12 MayIt will be International Nurses' Day on 12 May
It will be International Nurses' Day on 12 May
 

2012 Real Estate Market Update

  • 1. Real Estate Market Update/ 2012 FORECAST California Desert AOR January 26, 2012 Leslie Appleton-Young, Chief Economist
  • 2. Overview US and California Economies California Housing Market Regional & Local Markets 2011 Annual Market Survey 2012 Housing Market Forecast CA Buyers & Sellers in Today’s Housing Market
  • 4. Economy Slowly Gaining Post-Stimulus Momentum GDP 2010: 2.8% 2011:1.8% 2012: 2.6% 8% 7% 6% ANNUAL QTRLY 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% -1% -2% -3% 2009 Largest Annual Drop since 1938 (-3.4%) -4% -5% -6% -7% -8% 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 Q3-10 Q1-11 Q3-11
  • 5. Performance Targets for National Economy Current This Year - Target Projected Unemployment 6% 9.0% US GDP 3% or higher 1.8% Nonfarm Job 3%+ or 1.0% Growth 400K+/mo CPI 2.5% 3.2% SOURCE: California Association of REALTORS®
  • 6. Consumer Spending Rebounding Holiday and Auto Sales Consumer Spending 2011 Q3: 2.4% 8% QUARTERLY PERCENT CHANGE 6% 4% 2% 0% -2% -4% 1Q-2000 1Q-2001 1Q-2002 1Q-2003 1Q-2004 1Q-2005 1Q-2006 1Q-2007 1Q-2008 1Q-2009 1Q-2010 1Q-2011 SOURCE: US Dept of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
  • 7. 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 Jan-00 Jul-00 Jan-01 Jul-01 Jan-02 Jul-02 INDEX, 100=1985 Jan-03 Jul-03 Jan-04 Jul-04 Jan-05 Jul-05 Jan-06 Jul-06 Jan-07 Jul-07 Jan-08 December 2011: 64.5 Jul-08 Jan-09 Jul-09 Jan-10 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Consumer Confidence: Nov/Dec Rebound Holiday Shoppers & Improved Jobs Reports
  • 8. CA Underwater Mortgages: Reverse Wealth Effect Negative Equity Share in CA Near Negative Equity Share in CA 40% 35% 30.2% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 4.6% 5% 0% Q4‐2009 Q1‐2010 Q2‐2010 Q3‐2010 Q4‐2010 Q1‐2011 Q2‐2011 SOURCE: CoreLogic
  • 9. Unemployment: Heading Lower U.S. at 3 year low December 2011 California (11.1%) vs. United States (8.5%) 14% CA US 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% Jan-00 Jan-01 Jan-02 Jan-03 Jan-04 Jan-05 Jan-06 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11 SOURCE: CA Employment Development Division
  • 10. U.S. Non-farm Job Growth: Gaining! Month-to-Month Changes Recession Job Losses: 8.8 million Since Jan’10: +2.4 million 600,000 400,000 200,000 0 -200,000 -400,000 -600,000 -800,000 -1,000,000 Jan-08 Apr-08 Jul-08 Oct-08 Jan-09 Apr-09 Jul-09 Oct-09 Jan-10 Apr-10 Jul-10 Oct-10 Jan-11 Apr-11 Jul-11 Oct-11 SOURCE: US Dept of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics
  • 11. California Non-farm Job Growth Month-to-Month Changes Recession Job Losses: 1.3 million Since Jan’10: +282,000 100000 80000 60000 40000 20000 0 -20000 -40000 -60000 -80000 -100000 -120000 -140000 -160000 Nov-08 Nov-09 Nov-10 Nov-11 Jul-08 Sep-08 Jul-09 Sep-09 Jul-10 Sep-10 Jul-11 Sep-11 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11 May-08 May-09 May-10 May-11 Mar-08 Mar-09 Mar-10 Mar-11 SOURCE: CA Employment Development Division
  • 12. Where are California’s Jobs? Employment Trends: Construction & Financial Sectors Biggest Losers Year to Industry 2005 Jul-11 Date Mining and Logging 23,600 27,600 4,000 Construction 905,300 567,300 -338,000 Manufacturing 1,502,600 1,257,600 -245,000 Trade, Transportation & Utilities 2,822,100 2,641,500 -180,600 Information 473,600 455,400 -18,200 Financial Activities 920,300 755,800 -164,500 Professional & Business Services 2,160,700 2,136,200 -24,500 Educational & Health Services 1,593,400 1,837,000 243,600 Leisure & Hospitality 1,475,200 1,531,600 56,400 Other Services 505,500 484,500 -21,000 Government 2,420,200 2,380,200 -40,000 TOTAL 14,802,500 14,074,700 -727,800 SOURCE: California Association of REALTORS®
  • 13. CA New Housing Permits 2011: 47,015 units, Up 5.0% from 2010 300,000 Single Family Multi-Family 250,000 Household Growth: 220,000-250,000/yr 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 SOURCE: CBIA
  • 14. Classic Liquidity Trap: Consumers Deleveraging Low Rates and Tight Credit Fed easing through 2012 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% FRM ARM 1% Federal Funds 0% Jan-00 Jan-01 Jan-02 Jan-03 Jan-04 Jan-05 Jan-06 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11 SOURCE: Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation
  • 15. US Deficit Highest in Decades 2010: 11% of GDP (Revenues – Expenses) 4.0% Deficit as a % of GDP 2.0% 0.0% ‐2.0% ‐4.0% ‐6.0% ‐8.0% ‐10.0% ‐12.0% 1962 1964 1966 1968 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 Source: US Treasury, BEA, compiled by C.A.R. Note: Positive = Surplus
  • 16. Federal Issues – Critical Concerns for the REALTOR Party Future of Fannie and Freddie? FHA? Tax Reform on the horizon – Mortgage Interest Deduction? QRM (Qualified Residential Mortgage) 20% Down requirement -- Is the future of the 30 year mortgage in doubt?
  • 17. U.S. Economic Outlook 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011f 2012f • US GDP 3.1% 2.7% 2.0% 0.0% -2.6% 2.9% 1.8% 2.6% Nonfarm Job 1.7% 1.8% 1.1% -0.6% -4.4% -0.7% 1.0% 0.9% Growth Unemployment 5.1% 4.6% 4.6% 5.8% 9.3% 9.6% 9.0% 8.9% CPI 3.4% 3.2% 2.8% 3.8% -0.4% 1.6% 3.2% 2.3% Real Disposable Income, % 1.3% 4.0% 2.2% 0.5% 0.9% 1.4% 1.7% 1.5% Change Forecast Date: January 2012 SOURCE: California Association of REALTORS®
  • 18. California Economic Outlook 2005 2006 • 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011f 2012f Nonfarm Job 1.8% 1.7% 0.8% -1.3% -6.0% -1.4% 1.5% 2.1% Growth Unemployment 5.4% 4.9% 5.4% 7.2% 11.4% 12.4% 12.0% 11.2% Rate Population 1.2% 1.1% 1.1% 1.2% 1.1% 0.9% 0.9% 0.9% Growth Real Disposable Income, % 1.3% 3.4% 1.5% 0.1% -2.2% 1.6% 1.5% 2.0% Change Forecast Date: January 2012 SOURCE: California Association of REALTORS®
  • 20. Sales Hit Bottom 4 Years Ago Median Price 2011 = 2002 UNITS/MEDIAN PRICE $ “Lost Decade” Sales of Existing Detached Homes Median Price 700,000 -44% 600,000 500,000 -61% -25% 400,000 300,000 200,000 100,000 0 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 SOURCE: California Association of REALTORS®
  • 21. Sales of Existing Detached Homes and Pacific West Consumer Confidence • California, December 2011 Sales: 520,940 Units, Up 1.1% YTD, Up 0.1% YTY UNITS Sales Consumer Confidence INDEX 700,000 160 600,000 140 120 500,000 100 400,000 80 300,000 60 200,000 40 100,000 20 0 0 Jan-00 Jan-01 Jan-02 Jan-03 Jan-04 Jan-05 Jan-06 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11 SOURCE: California Association of REALTORS®; The Conference Board *Sales are seasonally adjusted and annualized
  • 22. Mortgage Loan Applications for Purchase January 20, 2012: 184.8 600 INDEX, 100 = 03/16/90 500 400 300 200 100 0 Jan-90 Jan-91 Jan-92 Jan-93 Jan-94 Jan-95 Jan-96 Jan-97 Jan-98 Jan-99 Jan-00 Jan-01 Jan-02 Jan-03 Jan-04 Jan-05 Jan-06 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Source: Mortgage Bankers Association
  • 23. Mortgage Applications – Total Purchase Loans (Weekly % Chg.) 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% -10% -20% -30% -40% Aug-11 Nov-11 Apr-11 Sep-11 Oct-11 Jan-11 Dec-11 Jan-12 Feb-11 Jun-11 Jul-11 May-11 Mar-11 Source: Mortgage Bankers Association
  • 24. Median Price of Existing Detached Homes California, December 2011: $285,920, Down 6.2% YTY $700,000 P: May-07 $594,530 $600,000 $500,000 T: Feb-09 $245,230 $400,000 -59% from peak $300,000 $200,000 $100,000 $0 Jan-00 Jan-01 Jan-02 Jan-03 Jan-04 Jan-05 Jan-06 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11 SOURCE: California Association of REALTORS®
  • 25. Trough vs. Current Price – December 2011 Southern California Trough Trough Dec-11 % Chg From Region Month Price Median Trough San Bernardino County May-09 $120,410 $128,450 6.7% Ventura Couty Feb-09 $359,630 $391,060 8.7% Orange County Jan-09 $442,170 $484,630 9.6% San Diego County Mar-09 $326,830 $359,930 10.1% Palm Springs/Lower Desert Apr-09 $150,140 $165,960 10.5% Inland Empire Apr-09 $150,860 $172,430 14.3% CALIFORNIA Feb-09 $245,230 $285,920 16.6% Southern California Apr-09 $246,063 $286,950 16.6% Los Angeles Metro Apr-09 $227,370 $265,830 16.9% Riverside County Apr-09 $171,480 $203,650 18.8% Los Angeles County May-09 $248,850 $306,950 23.3% SOURCE: California Association of REALTORS®
  • 26. 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 MONTHS Jan-88 Jan-89 Jan-90 Jan-91 Jan-92 Jan-93 Jan-94 Jan-95 Jan-96 Jan-97 Jan-98 SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® Jan-99 Jan-00 Jan-01 Jan-02 Jan-03 Jan-04 Jan-05 Unsold Inventory Index Jan-06 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 California, December 2011: 4.2 Months Jan-10 Jan-11
  • 27. Tight Supply of Inventory for REO Sales 2011 Unsold Inventory Index 8.9 (Months) 9 6.7 8 7 6 5 2.7 4 3 2 1 0 Equity Sales REO Sales Short Sales SOURCE: California Association of REALTORS®
  • 28. Higher Price = Higher Inventory Unsold Inventory Index (Months of Supply) Price Range (Thousand) Dec-10 Nov-11 Dec-11 $1,000K+ 8.2 9.6 8.3 $750-1000K 5.7 7.0 5.9 $500-750K 4.7 6.0 4.5 $300-500K 4.9 5.3 4.4 $0-300K 4.9 4.7 3.9 SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
  • 29. California’s Million-Dollar Home Sales Year 1988 2,718 1989 4,271 1990 3,773 1991 3,362 1992 2,890 1993 2,298 1994 2,522 1995 2,017 1996 2,651 1997 3,762 1998 5,366 1999 8,906 2000 13,101 2001 10,658 2002 15,703 2003 20,595 2004 36,990 2005 54,773 2006 50,010 2007 42,506 2008 24,436 2009 18,621 2010 22529 0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 Number of Homes Source: DataQuick Information Systems
  • 30. Market Breakdown: Equity v. Distressed Sales
  • 31. Share of Distressed Sales to Total Sales Dec‐11 REOs, 24.6% Equity Sales,  Short Sales,  52.7% 22.2% Other Distressed  Sales (Not  Specified), 0.5% SOURCE: California Association of REALTORS®
  • 32. Share of Equity Sales Increased Throughout 2011 Equity Sales Short Sale Bank Owned 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Jan-09 Apr-09 Jul-09 Oct-09 Jan-10 Apr-10 Jul-10 Oct-10 Jan-11 Apr-11 Jul-11 SOURCE: ForeclosureRadar.com
  • 33. Distressed Sales: Southern California (Percent of Total Sales) Dec-11 100% 80% 63% 67% 60% 49% 42% 40% 28% 20% 0% Los Angeles Orange Riverside SOURCE: California Association of REALTORS® San Bernardino San Diego
  • 34. REO & Short Sales: Southern California (Percent of Total Sales) 100% Dec 2011 80% Short Sales REO Sales 60% 19% 31% 40% 27% 26% 20% 21% 47% 31% 10% 15% 0% 18% Los Angeles Orange Riverside San SOURCE: California Association of REALTORS® Bernardino San Diego
  • 35.
  • 36. Mortgage Foreclosure & Delinquency Rates California: Q3-2011 Delinquency Rate Foreclosure Rate 12% 10% 7.6% 8% Delinquencies: Long Run Average: 4.4% 6% 4% 3.6% Foreclosure Rate: Long Run Average: 1.2% 2% 0% Q1/74 Q2/75 Q3/76 Q4/77 Q1/79 Q2/80 Q3/81 Q4/82 Q1/84 Q2/85 Q3/86 Q4/87 Q1/89 Q2/90 Q3/91 Q4/92 Q1/94 Q2/95 Q3/96 Q4/97 Q1/99 Q2/00 Q3/01 Q4/02 Q1/04 Q2/05 Q3/06 Q4/07 Q1/09 Q2/10 Q3/11 SOURCE: Mortgage Bankers Association
  • 37. California Foreclosure Outcomes, Dec. 2011 REO: -16.4% YTD • 3rd Party: +5.0% YTD • Cancel: -13.1% YTD REOs Sold to 3rd Party Cancellations 6 Month Average: 30,000 REO: 8,950 25,000 3rd Party: 3,353 Cancelled: 13,243 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 Jul-07 Jul-08 Jul-09 Jul-10 Jul-11 Jan-07 Apr-07 Oct-07 Jan-08 Apr-08 Oct-08 Jan-09 Apr-09 Oct-09 Jan-10 Apr-10 Oct-10 Jan-11 Apr-11 Oct-11 SOURCE: ForeclosureRadar.com
  • 38. California Foreclosure Inventories, Dec. 2011 Preforeclosure: -19.7% YTD • Schedule for Sale: -21.7% YTD • Bank Owned: 0.6% YTD Preforeclosure Scheduled for Sale Bank Owned 6 Month Average: 200,000 Preforeclosure: 109,200 Schedule for Sale: 89,029 Bank Owned: 100,887 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 Jan-07 Apr-07 Jul-07 Jul-08 Jul-09 Oct-07 Jan-08 Apr-08 Oct-08 Jan-09 Apr-09 Oct-09 Jan-10 Apr-10 Jul-10 Oct-10 Jan-11 Apr-11 Jul-11 Oct-11 SOURCE: ForeclosureRadar.com
  • 39. 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Q1/84 Q1/85 THOUSANDS Q1/86 Q1/87 Q1/88 Q1/89 Q1/90 SOURCE: Real Estate Research Council Q1/91 Q1/92 Q1/93 Q1/94 Q1/95 Q1/96 Q1/97 Q1/98 Q1/99 Q1/00 Q1/01 Foreclosures Q1/02 Southern California Q1/03 Q1/04 Q1/05 Q1/06 Q1/07 Q1/08 Q1/09 Q1/10 Q1/11
  • 40. Palm Desert Preforeclosure: 199 • Auction: 123 • Bank Owned: 88 Source: ForeclosureRadar.com as of 01/19/2012.
  • 41. La Quinta Preforeclosure: 159 • Auction: 138 • Bank Owned: 100 Source: ForeclosureRadar.com as of 01/19/2012.
  • 42. Indio Preforeclosure: 315 • Auction: 205 • Bank Owned: 157 Source: ForeclosureRadar.com as of 01/19/2012.
  • 43. Sacramento Preforeclosure: 2,216 • Auction: 1,905 • Bank Owned: 1,560 Source: ForeclosureRadar.com as of 08/19/11
  • 44. Sacramento Preforeclosure: 2,216 • Auction: 1,905 • Bank Owned: 1,560 Source: ForeclosureRadar.com as of 08/19/11
  • 45. Sacramento Preforeclosure: 2,216 • Auction: 1,905 • Bank Owned: 1,560 Source: ForeclosureRadar.com as of 08/19/11
  • 46. Sacramento Preforeclosure: 2,216 • Auction: 1,905 • Bank Owned: 1,560 Source: ForeclosureRadar.com as of 08/19/11
  • 48. Sales of Residential Properties Palm Desert, 2011: 1,514 Units, Up 7.4% YTY 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 2010 40 2011 20 0 O ct Apr S ep t Ju l Nov D ec M ar F eb Ju n Aug Jan M ay SOURCE: Clarus Market Metrics
  • 49. Sales of Residential Homes Palm Desert, December 2011: 121 Unit , Up 17.5% MTM, Down 2.4% YTY SOURCE: Clarus Market Metrics
  • 50. Median Price of Residential Homes Palm Desert, December 2011: $265,000 Up 6.0% MTM, Down 8.5% YTY SOURCE: Clarus Market Metrics
  • 51. Sales of Residential Properties La Quinta, 2011: 1,353 Units, Up 5.5% YTY 160 140 120 100 80 60 2010 40 20 2011 0 Oct Nov Dec Apr Sept Jul Jan Feb Jun Aug May Mar SOURCE: Clarus Market Metrics
  • 52. Sales of Residential Homes La Quinta, December 2011: 129 Units Up 51.8% MTM, Up 18.3% YTY SOURCE: Clarus Market Metrics
  • 53. Median Price of Residential Homes La Quinta, December 2011: $285,000 Down 9.8% MTM, Up 0.4% YTY SOURCE: Clarus Market Metrics
  • 54. Sales of Residential Properties Indio, 2011: 1,461 Units, Down 2.1% YTY 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 2010 40 2011 20 0 O ct Apr S ep t Ju l Nov D ec M ar F eb Ju n Aug Jan M ay SOURCE: Clarus Market Metrics
  • 55. Sales of Residential Homes Indio, December 2011: 125 Units Up 26.3% MTM, Down 4.6% YTY SOURCE: Clarus Market Metrics
  • 56. Median Price of Residential Homes Indio, December 2011: $159,900 Up 6.6% MTM, Down 8.6% YTY SOURCE: Clarus Market Metrics
  • 57. 2011 Annual Housing Market Survey
  • 58. Equity vs. REO vs. Short Sales Equity Sales REO Sales Short Sales Share of Total Sales 58.7% 19.7% 20.2% Median Home Price $431,000 $240,000 $287,000 Square Footage 1,783 1,500 1,600 Price / SF $250 $112 $175 Sales‐to‐List Price Ratio 95.9% 98.0% 95.9% % of Sales With Multiple Offers 35.2% 58.3% 57.5% Avg. Number of Offers 3.0 3.0 3.6 % of All Cash Sales 25.5% 34.0% 23.3% Days on MLS 67 50 141 Days in Escrow 35 35 45
  • 59. Proportion of Sellers Planning to Repurchase 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Q. Is the seller planning on purchasing another home?
  • 60. Reasons Sellers Not Planning to Buy Another Home Seller is a lender/bank 19.8% Seller prefers to have less financial obligation 11.4% Poor credit background 10.9% Lack of cash for down payment 5.7% Out of work/unemployment 4.9% Decide to live with family/friends 4.7% Waiting for market to bottom 2.7% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% Q. Why is the seller not planning to purchase another home?
  • 61. Reasons For Selling All Home Sellers Foreclosure/Short Sale/Default Change in Family Status Retirement/Move to Retirement Community Investment/ Tax Consderations Desired Better Location Desired Smaller Home Changed Jobs Desired Larger Home Other 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% Q. What was the single most important reason for selling/buying the property?
  • 62. Investments & Second/ Vacation Homes Investment/Rental Property Vacation/Second Home 25% 20% 7% 15% 10% 17% 5% 0%
  • 63. Foreign Buyers 10% % of Foreign Buyers 8% 8% 6% 6% 6% 5% 4% 2% 0% 2008 2009 2010 2011 Q. Was the buyer a foreign buyer?
  • 65. Forecast Progress Report 2010  2011  Projected  Forecast  2011  2010 Actual October  October  Projected 2010 2010 SFH Resales  492.0 491.5 502.0 491.1 (000s) % Change ‐10.0% ‐10.1% 2.0% ‐0.1% Median Price  $306.5 $303.1 $312.5 $291.0 ($000s) % Change 11.5% 10.2% 2.0% ‐4.0% Forecast Date: September 2011 vs October 2010 Source: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
  • 66. California Housing Market Outlook 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011f 2012f SFH Resales 625.0 477.5 346.9 441.8 546.9 491.5 491.1 496.2 (000s) % Change 0.03% -23.6% -27.3% 27.3% 23.8% -10.1% -0.1% 1.0% Median Price $522.7 $556.4 $560.3 $348.5 $275.0 $303.1 $291.0 $296.0 ($000s) % Change 16.0% 6.5% 0.7% -37.8% -21.1% 10.2% -4.0% 1.7% 30-Yr FRM 5.9% 6.4% 6.3% 6.0% 5.1% 4.7% 4.5% 4.7% 1-Yr ARM 4.5% 5.5% 5.6% 5.2% 4.7% 3.5% 3.0% 3.1% Forecast Date: September 2011 Source: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
  • 67. Real Estate Buyers & Sellers in Today’s Market
  • 68. How Buyers Found Home - 2011 - Q. How did you find the home your purcahsed?
  • 69. The Buying Experience Considered buying for over 4 months Shopped 2.5 months before contacting agent Viewed 12 homes in 8 weeks with agent 76% of buyers didn’t close escrow on time 49% owned previous home Motivated by price decreases, low mortgage rates and tax deductions 80% found home through agent
  • 70. The Selling Experience Home was listed more than 2 months before opening escrow Median escrow length was 1.5 months Only 40% of sellers said their escrow closed on time 20% of sellers used electronic signature
  • 71. Why Buyers Chose their Agent 1. Most responsive (28%) 2. Worked with agent before (18%) 3. First to respond (17%) 4. Most aggressive (16%) 5. Most knowledgeable (6%) Q. What was the single most important reason for selecting the agent that you used in your recent home purchase?
  • 72. Why Sellers Chose their Agent 1. First to Respond (21%) 2. Seemed most responsive (21%) 3. Seemed most aggressive (19%) 4. Worked with agent before (16%) 5. Understanding of distressed properties (6%) Q. What was the single most important reason for selecting the agent that you used in your recent home purchase?
  • 73. Buyer Method of Communicating With Agent Preferred Actual E-mail 73% 70% Telephone 37% 50% Text message 32% 1% Twitter 21% 0% Facebook 14% 0% In-person 6% 3% Q. What was your preferred method of communicating with your agent? How did your agent actually communicate with you?
  • 74. Preferred Actual 73% 69% 64% 47% 26% 18% 3% 5% 6% 1% Q: What was your preferred method of communication with your agent? Q: What was the actual method of communication used most frequently with your agent? Agent / Seller Communication Gap
  • 75. Buyer Expected vs Actual Agent Response Time Expected Actual 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 37% 37% 40% 28% 30% 18% 16% 20% 15% 13% 7% 11% 8% 6% 10% 2% 4% 0% 0% Instantly Within Within 1 Within 2 Within 4 Same day 1 30mins. hr. hrs. hrs. business Q. What was the typical response time you expected from day your agent to return any form of communication to you? Q. On average, what was the actual response time of your agent to return any form of communication to you?
  • 76. Actual Expected 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Instantly Within 30  Within 1  Within 2  Within 4  Same day 1  Minutes Hour Hours Hours business  day Q: What was the typical response time you EXPECTED from your agent to return any form of communication with you? Q: On average, what was the ACTUAL time of your agent to return any form of communication to you? Seller Response Time is of the Essence
  • 77. Buyer Reasons for Satisfaction With Agent 1. Worked hard on my behalf (55%) 2. Helped find the best home for me (55%) 3. Always quick to respond (31%) 4. Negotiated good deal on my behalf (29%) 5. Listened to what we needed (20%) Q. Why do you have that level of satisfaction with your agent?
  • 78. Buyer Reasons for Dissatisfaction With Agent 1. Slow to respond (51%) 2. Communication problems (19%) 3. Didn’t communicate effectively during transaction (14%) 4. Didn’t negotiate aggressively on my behalf (12%) 5. Wasted time with homes I’m not likely to buy (3%) Q. Why do you have that level of satisfaction with your agent?
  • 79. What Buyers Would Like to Change About their Home Buying Experience 1. Faster response from agent (30%) 2. Better agent negotiation (27%) 3. Better agent communication (25%) 4. Better market direction understanding (19%) 5. Escrow close on time (9%) Q. If there is one thing you would like to change about your home buying experience, what would that be?
  • 80. Quick Facts About Buyers • 59% found their agent online • 51% Googled their agent • 52% used social media in the buying process • 93% are receptive to receiving information via social media
  • 81. How Internet Was Used Activity Percentage of Buyers Preview homes to narrow search 75% Find an agent 68% Identify homes for agent to show 47% Find a real estate firm 40% Learn about neighborhoods 33% Get information about financing & downpayments 33% Q. For which of the following did you use the internet as a part of your home buying process?
  • 82. Buyer Importance of Online Features in Home Viewing Q. Please rate the following online features by the level of importance in your home viewing on a scale of one to five, with five being extremely important and one being not at all important.
  • 83. Top 10 Websites Used Real estate agent website Q. Which websites did you use as part of your home buying process?
  • 84. 52% of Buyers Used Social Media Activity Percent of Buyers Who Engaged in Activity Agent referrals 33% Video home tours 26% Agent Facebook page 24% Home buying tips 23% Comments on neighborhoods 21% Neighborhood lifestyle 20% Q. How did you use social media (such as Facebook, Twitter, LinkedIn, etc.) in your home buying process?
  • 85. 77% of Sellers Used Social Media Q: Which social media websites did you use to learn more about and communicate with real estate agents and companies?
  • 87. Direction of Home Prices: Sellers Skeptical; Buyers Hopeful Down Flat Unsure Up 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% Sellers Buyers Q: Do you think home prices in your neighborhood will go up, down or stay flat in one year, five years and 10 years?
  • 88. Real Estate: It’s Time To Buy Again “Forget stocks. Don't bet on gold. After four years of plunging home prices, the most attractive asset class in America is housing.” SOURCE: “Real estate: It’s time to buy again” Fortune Magazine’s 3/28/11 article written by Shawn Tully
  • 89. 8 in 10 Americans Agree Buying a Home is the Best Investment One Can Make SOURCE: Pew Research Center’s “Home Sweet Home. Still. Five Years After the Bubble Burst”
  • 90. 8 in 10 Renters Would Like to Buy in the Future “…renters are hardly immune to the allure of homeownership, even in the face of the five-year decline in prices. Asked if they rent out of choice or because they cannot afford to buy a home, just 24% say they rent out of choice.” SOURCE: Pew Research Center’s “Home Sweet Home. Still. Five Years After the Bubble Burst”
  • 92.