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YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE.
Survey Results for Agriculture 1
YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE.
Executive Summary
Utahns want to protect and increase food production in our State.
• Current circumstances:
• Utah’s food production has declined precipitously to where Utah now produces only 2% of its
vegetables, 3% of its fruit, 25% of its dairy, 98% of its grains, and 135% of its protein needs, in part
because the current land development process incentivizes the loss of water and land for farming.
• These percentages could further decline significantly as Utah’s population nearly doubles and we
lose more prime farmland by 2050.
• Survey findings:
• Ninety-eight percent of Utahns want to increase food self-sufficiency from agriculture by putting
more land into production and/or changing crops to fruits and vegetables.
• To do that, Utahns are willing to:
• Cut back on watering their lawns and gardens to ensure we have enough water for agriculture
• Avoid building on high-quality farmland
• Spend more money to bring non-agricultural water to urban areas
• Utahns do not want to take water or land from agriculture.
2
YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE.
3
Table of Contents
Executive Summary 2
Agriculture Action Team Background 4
Agriculture Action Team Members 5
YUYF Survey Background 6
Survey Methodology 12
Utah Agriculture Values 21
YUYF Scenarios on Agriculture 24
YUYF Agriculture Results 31
Supporting Results 37
You May Still Take the Survey 40
YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE.
The agriculture action team worked for 18 months to create
scenarios for the future of agriculture in Utah.
2013
Agriculture, Public Lands,
& Recreation Action Team
Envision Utah and Governor Herbert invited
agriculture, public lands, and recreation
experts from across the state to join the
Your Utah, Your Future action team for
those topics. The team has 65 members
from the legislature, industry, local
businesses and government, advocacy
groups, research institutions, and other
organizations. The task force is facilitated by
Envision Utah.
2014 2015
Utah Quality of Life Values Study
Your Utah, Your Future
Scenarios & Choices
The action team worked for 18 months to
research and model what Utah’s agricultural
future could be like in 2050 under various
assumptions. They created four scenarios based
on different strategies and outcomes for food
production. Based on the public’s responses in the
Your Utah, Your Future survey, the action team
will create a vision for Utah’s agricultural future.
The values study found that agriculture
has become increasingly important to
Utahns across the state. The study also
concluded that Utahns care about
agriculture because they want high-
quality locally grown food and greater
food self sufficiency
4
YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE.
Agriculture, Public Lands, & Recreation Action Team Members
Action team members were selected by Governor Gary Herbert and Envision Utah to represent a spectrum of experience
and political persuasions. All action team members were invited to participate by Governor Herbert.
• Leonard Blackham, Utah Department of
Agriculture and Food, Retired Commissioner*
• Kathleen Clarke, Public Lands Policy
Coordination Office, Directo*
• Wendy Fisher, Utah Open Lands*
• Brad Peterson, Governor’s Outdoor Rec Office,
Director*
• Wayne Niederhauser, District 9, Utah State
Senator
• Laura Hanson, Jordan River Commission,
Executive Director
• Mike Styler, Department of Natural Resources
• Brent Tanner, Utah Cattlemen, Executive Vice
President
• Ashley Patterson, Wasatch Community Gardens
• Warren Peterson, Farmland Reserve, Vice
President
• Brad Barber, Barber Consulting
• Selma Sierra, Energy Dynamics Laboratory,
Director of Energy and Environmental Policy
• Ashley Korenblat, Public Land Solutions
• Ron Vance, Forest Service, Recreational and
Resource Manager
• Jon Hardman, Natural Resource Conservation
Service
• John Fairchild, Division of Wildlife Resources
• Mark Clemens, Sierra Club Utah Chapter,
Manager
• Jack Draxler, Utah State Legislature District 3
• Thayne Mickelson, Utah Conservation
Commission
• Nathan Rafferty, Ski Utah, President
• George Sommer, Blue Ribbon Fisheries
Commission, Chair
• Julia Geisler, Salt Lake Climbers Alliance, Executive
Director
• Eric Sadler, Wasatch Mountain Club
• Mark Compton, Utah Mining Association,
President
• LaNiece Davenport, WFRC Regional Planner
• Sarah Hinners, U of U Metropolitan Research
Center
• John Bennett, Utah Quality Growth Commission
• Larry Crist, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service
• Julie Peck Dabling, Salt Lake County Open Space &
Urban Farming
• David Ure, Summit County Council (Former
legislature)
• Vicki Varela, Managing Director Utah Office of
Tourism
• Lynn Jackson, Grand County Council
• LuAnn Adams, Box Elder County Commission
• Gordon Topham, Sevier County Commissioner
• Elizabeth Tubbs, Grand County Council
• Gene Ciarus, Grand County Council
• Bruce Adams, San Juan County Council
• Roger Barrus, Utah House of Representatives
District 18
• Mike Noel, Utah State Legislature, District 73
• Ralph Okerlund, Utah State Senator, District 24
• David Hinkins, Utah State Senator, District 27
• David Garbett, SUWA
• Randy Parker, Utah Farm Bureau
• John Mathis, Utah State Legislature, District 55
• Curtis Rowley, Cherry Hill Farms
• Scott Chew, Cattle and Sheep Uintah Basin
• Ed Sunderland, Sanpete County farmer
• Alma Adams, Iron County Commissioner
• Logan Wilde, Morgan County Council
• Kent Peatross, Duchesne County Commissioner
• Kerry Gibson, Weber County Commissioner
• Mike Kohler, Wasatch County Council
• Juan Palma, BLM state director
• Evan Vickers, Utah State Senator, District 28
• Kay McIff, Utah State Legislature, District 70
• Douglas Sagers, Utah State Legislature, District 21
• Peter Knudson, Utah State Senator, District 17
• Jim Dabakis, Utah State Senator, District 2
• David Livermore, Nature Conservancy, Utah State
Director
• Alan Matheson, Governor’s Office
• Chris McCandless , Sandy City Council
• John Evans, Petzl Climbing Equipment
• Mallory Bateman, Utah Foundation
• LuAnn Adams, Utah Department of Agriculture
and Food
• Joan Degiorgio, Nature Conservancy
• Laynee Jones, Mountain Accord
• Hans Ehrbar, U of U Department of Economics
• Brandie Balken, Equality Utah
• Tara McKee, Governor’s Outdoor Rec Office
• Wesley Smith, Salt Lake Chamber
• Michael Merrill, Salt Lake Chamber
• Dustin Rowley, Utah Association of Conservation
Districts
*Action Team Co-Chair
5
YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE.
Projections show that Utah’s population will nearly double by the year 2050.
The Your Utah, Your Future survey was designed for Utahns to create a vision
for the State of Utah for the next 35 years.
Envision Utah performed a values study to understand what Utahns care about
regarding the future and why those issues are personally important to them.
The study identified eleven key issues: agriculture, air quality, recreation,
disaster resilience, public lands, transportation and communities, housing and
cost of living, education, energy, jobs and economy, and water.
Four-hundred Utah experts worked in eight task forces to identify Utah’s
choices for each of the 11 topics. The information and options in the survey
were the direct findings of these taskforces.
The Your Utah, Your Future survey was designed to prioritize issues and their
associated outcomes in order to make strategic decisions for Utah’s future.
Nearly 53,000 people weighed in on the future that they want to create in 2050.
In Need of a
Solution
Identifying
the Issues
Choosing a
Future
Identifying
Choices and
Trade-offs
Your Utah, Your Future Background
6
YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE.
Your Utah, Your Future Background
The Challenge:
By 2050, Utah’s population will
nearly double in size. Utah will not.
Your Utah, Your Future Background
7
YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE.
Housing & Cost
of Living
EnergyPublic LandsWaterRecreationDisaster
Resilience
Economic
Development
Transportation &
Communities
Air Quality
Agriculture
Education
The Your Utah, Your Future survey asked Utahns to indicate
their choices for Utah’s Future on 11 specific issues.
Your Utah, Your Future Background
8
YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE.
Survey participants then chose between five overall scenarios
for Utah’s future, with each overall scenario proposing a set of
choices for the 11 specific issues.
Your Utah, Your Future Background
9
YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE.
Goal
Actual
50,000
Respondents
52,845
Respondents
Our goal was for
50,000 Utahns to
take the Your Utah,
Your Future survey
about their desires
for the future for
Utah.
Your Utah, Your Future Background
10
YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE.
Southern Nevada Strong
(Central Florida)
23,000
28,000
17,500
5,000
1,000
52,845
8,000
The Your Utah, Your Future survey garnered more
public participation than any such project ever has.
7,000
The original Envision Utah 1999
survey held the record with 17,500
public response for many years.
Your Utah, Your Future Background
Heartland 2050
(Omaha, NE)
PLANiTULSA
(Tulsa, OK)
(Atlanta, GA)
Louisiana Speaks
(Southern Louisiana after Katrina)
Show Your Love, San Diego
11
Total Survey Responses
Envision Utah Quality Growth Strategy
(Wasatch Front and Back—1998)
YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE.
Survey Methodology 12
YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE.
Survey participants chose among five overall scenarios for Utah’s future.
Survey Structure—Part One
Utahns were invited to participate in two parts of the survey.
In the first part:
Housing &
Cost of Living
Transportation
& Communities
Air Quality
AgricultureEducation
EnergyPublic
Lands
WaterRecreationDisaster
Resilience
Economic
Development
Each overall scenario was made up of a set a choices on 11 different topics.
13
YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE.
Participants compared the different options within each topic
and selected their preferred scenarios for that specific topic.
They were provided with in-depth
information and background data for
each of the topics and choices.
Survey Structure—Part One (Cont’d)
14
YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE.
After making selections for each of the 11 topics, participants could study a
summary comparison chart and vote on their preferred overall scenario.
15
Survey Structure—Part One (Cont’d)
YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE.
In the second part of the survey, Utahns participated in more
traditional survey exercises.
Prioritizing Issues Weighting Outcome Preference Indicating Tradeoff Willingness
Together, the results of parts one and two of the
survey allow a sophisticated analysis of what
Utahns want, why they want it, and what they’re
willing to do to achieve their goals.
Survey Structure—Part Two
16
YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE.Detailed Survey Methodology
SCENARIO SELECTIONS TRADE-OFF SURVEY1 2
Scenario
Vote
Issue Prioritization
Importance of
Outcomes
Trade-off Willingness
ProcessGoals
1. Educate Utahns on the key issues facing the state
2. Quantify preferences for issue-specific outcomes
3. Identify areas of consensus and disagreement
across issues
4. Quantify preferences for defined scenarios
1. Force Utahns to prioritize importance / level of
concern for all issues
2. Quantify importance of outcomes related to
specific issues
3. Assess willingness to make trade-offs in order to
reach desired outcomes
Issue
“Favoriting”
Each part of the survey had different goals and provided important information.
YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE.
A random sample survey of Utahns was used to cross-check outreach results
OUTREACH SAMPLE RANDOM SAMPLE
• School outreach
• Digital media
• Partner organization emails and posts
• Radio advertisements
• News coverage
• Direct email
• Physical mail (postcard invitations)
• Phone recruiting
Total participants: 52,845 Total participants: 1,264
Utahns that heard about the survey through
Envision Utah’s outreach efforts and went to
the website to vote
A statistically representative sample of
Utahns randomly sampled to participate in
the survey
Survey Participation
YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE.
Outreach Participants had the option to participate in Part Two
All Participants participated in Part One
n=52,845 n=1,264
All Random Sample Participants participated in Part Two
n=1,264
n=13,459
OUTREACH
RANDOM
SAMPLE
OUTREACH
RANDOM
SAMPLE
Survey Participation
YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE.Participant Comparison
Outreach and Random Sample participant responses were very
much aligned across issues and preferences.
Issue
“Favoriting”
Scenario
Vote
Issue
Prioritization
Importance
of Outcomes
Trade-off
Willingness
+/- 3%
+/- 4%
+/- 1.2%
+/- 2%
+/- 7%
Variance Across
Most Responses
“We can conclude that the results represent
the desires and opinions of Utahns.”
“Results were obtained via the largest public
outreach effort in the history of Utah, resulting
in public input from more than 50,000 people;
an effort that was cross-checked with a
random sample of 1,264 Utahns, and overseen
by Dan Jones & Associates.”
—Cicero; Dan Jones & Associates
YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE.
Agriculture Values 21
Envision Utah performed a values study in 2014 to
understand what Utahns care most about regarding
the future. The study found a significant increase in
the importance of agriculture to Utahns.
YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE.
In 2007, almost a third of Utahns did not have a strong opinion about farming and
ranching. However, by 2014, 74% agree that it is critical to Utah’s future.
22
Bailey
believes that farming
and ranching are
critical to the future of
Utah and help to
maintain the land and
values that are so
important to making Utah
a great place
to live.
10%
12%
4%
3%
1%
1%
15%
15%
34%
20%
28%
22%
11%
11%
74%
53%
Neither: 12%
2014
Neither: 32%
■ Somewhat ■ Strongly ■ Exactly
like Nelson like Nelson like
Nelson
■ Exactly ■ Strongly ■ Somewhat
like Bailey like Bailey like Bailey
BASE: ALL QUALIFIED RESPONDENTS (N=1000)
Q720. Below are the opinions of two hypothetical Utah residents. Please indicate which opinion comes closest to your own. Is your opinion more like Mr. Bailey or more like Mr.
Nelson?
Agriculture Values
Nelson
believes that farming and
ranching are just one of
many things that make
Utah great and that as
times change farming
and ranching will
need to decline in
order to make room for
other things that are more
important for the future
of the state.
2007
YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE.
23
Agriculture Value Pathways
23
AttributesPersonalValues
Produce locally
Quality food products
Organic
Pesticide/GMO
safeguards
Preserve farm
land Grazing on public
lands
Tax/regulation
policies
Water
usageFarm subsidies
Local jobs
Economic
development
Support local
economies/rural
lifestyle
More
affordable
Save money
Healthier living
More
productive
Safe food
Conserve energy
Not dependent on
others
Sustainable
Self reliant
Security
Do other
things
Better
community
Quality of
life
More/better time
with family
Take care of
children/family
Less
worry/stress
Conserve
water
Wastes/pollute
s land
Hurts/Protects
small
farmers/ranchers
Impacts
environment
Wastes
money
Peace of mind
Freedom
Live longer
Family Love
Better for future
generations
More
responsible/better
steward
Protect planet
Functional
Consequences
Psychosocial
Consequences
1%
6%
24% 32%
7%
6%
1%
12%
9%
2%
5%
6%
6%
4% 8%
27%
8%
Dominant Pathway
Secondary Pathway
Mostly Good Job
Utahns care about
agriculture because
locally grown food
provides jobs,
improves Utah’s self
reliance and food
security, and is better
for the health of Utah
families and future
generations.
YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE.
Agriculture Scenarios 24
In the Your Utah, Your Future survey, Utahns were given information
about Utah’s agriculture today and four different scenarios for what our
agriculture and food supply could be like in 2050
depending on the choices we make.
YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE.
95%
134%
3% 2%
26%
51%
70%
1.5% 1.1%
14%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
Grain Protein Fruit Vegetable Dairy
% Self Sufficient Today
% Self Sufficient in 2050 with Same Acres in Production
Utah’s Agriculture Today
• We produce only 3% of our fruit and
2% of our vegetables
• By 2050 we will cut our per person
production in half by population
growth alone
• If we continue to urbanize prime
agriculture land/take water from
farmland we will produce almost no
fruits and vegetables in Utah, and
very little dairy
25
YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE.
Questions Concerning the Future of Agriculture
• Should we urbanize high-quality agriculture land as we grow?
• Can we continue to increase farm efficiency?
• Should we shift from alfalfa to more fruits and vegetables in
some places?
• Should we expand agriculture onto additional lands (private and
public)?
26
YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE.
Allosaurus Scenario
Scenario Strategies
95%
134%
3% 2%
26%
47%
68%
0.6% 0.4%
11%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
Grain Protein Fruit Vegetable Dairy
Today 2050
27
• Homes & businesses replace
most Wasatch Front farms
• Water also moved from
working farms
• Food self-sufficiency
decreases significantly
YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE.
Bonneville Trout Scenario
Scenario Strategies
95%
134%
3% 2%
26%
49%
70%
1.0% 0.9%
14%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
Grain Protein Fruit Vegetable Dairy
Today 2050 28
• Homes & businesses replace
most Wasatch Front farms
• Water not moved from
working farms
• Food self-sufficiency
decreases
This is a likely outcome if Utah
does not change the current
approach to urban development
of agricultural land and water.
YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE.
Seagull & Sego Lily Scenarios
• Homes & businesses replace
farms more slowly
• Some shift of alfalfa/hay to
fruits & vegetables
• Food self-sufficiency
increases some
Scenario Strategies
95%
134%
3% 2%
26%
75%
71%
10% 10%
14%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
Grain Protein Fruit Vegetable Dairy
Today 2050 29
YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE.
Quaking Aspen Scenario
• Homes & businesses replace
farms more slowly
• Cropland added: significant
shift of alfalfa/hay to fruits,
vegetables & dairy
• Food self-sufficiency
improves significantly
Scenario Strategies
95%
134%
3% 2%
26%
100% 100%
20% 20%
30%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
Grain Protein Fruit Vegetable Dairy
Today 2050 30
YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE.
Agriculture Survey Results 31
YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE.
3.1%
3.7%
4.0%
5.1%
5.8%
6.5%
6.5%
7.4%
8.6%
11.4%
11.7%
12.9%
13.1%
0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% 14.0%
Communities
Transportation
Recreation
Disaster Resilience
Taxes
Housing and Cost of Living
Public Lands
Agriculture
Energy
Education
Air Quality
Water
Jobs and Economy
Share of Preference
Level of Concern for the Future—Outreach Sample Results
Share of Preference, n=13,459
Source: Survey – Keeping in mind that between now and the year 2050, Utah will almost double in population,
please consider how important each of the following issues is to you. Considering only these four issues, which is
the Most Important and which is the Least Important as you think about Utah’s future?
OUTREACH
n = 52,845
In the 2014 values
study, Utahns ranked
all 11 issues as being
important to Utah’s
future. The 2015
survey used a
sophisticated
technique to force a
“weighting” of the
issues, providing a
wider gradation of
concern.
32
YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE.
2.7%
2.9%
3.6%
4.8%
6.2%
8.0%
8.1%
8.3%
9.0%
9.8%
10.9%
11.1%
14.2%
0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% 14.0% 16.0%
Communities
Recreation
Transportation
Public Lands
Disaster Resilience
Agriculture
Taxes
Energy
Housing and Cost of Living
Education
Water
Air Quality
Jobs and Economy
Share of Preference
Level of Concern for the Future—Random Sample Results
Share of Preference, n=1,264
RANDOM
SAMPLE
n = 1,264
Results of the random
sample survey
evidenced greater
concern for housing &
cost of living and taxes
than agriculture
33
Source: Survey – Keeping in mind that between now and the year 2050, Utah will almost double in population,
please consider how important each of the following issues is to you. Considering only these four issues, which is
the Most Important and which is the Least Important as you think about Utah’s future?
YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE.
2%
2%
33%
65%
Very many farms gone;
much less food self-sufficiency
Many farms gone;
less food self-sufficiency
Some farms gone;
some crops change to increase
food self-sufficiency
Increased cropland
and food self-sufficiency
Issue-specific Scenarios
% “Favorite” Selections, n=19,389
Source: Website – Select your favorite agriculture outcome(s) from the 4
presented below for Utah in 2050. Consider our self sufficiency from local
agriculture.
65% of Utahns selected an agriculture
scenario in which Utah’s food self-sufficiency,
locally grown food, and cropland significantly
increase.
Another 33% chose a scenario in which
Utah’s food self-sufficiency and locally grown
food increase, but to a somewhat lesser
extent.
Only 4% want food production to continue
to decline.
OUTREACH
n = 52,845
Quaking Aspen
Seagull and Sego Lily
Bonneville Trout
Allosaurus
What Utahns Want:
YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE.
8%
12%
17%
19%
20%
23%
Allowing agricultural land and water to
convert through market forces to higher-
paying uses like houses and businesses
Maintaining Utah’s agricultural heritage
Improving rural Utah’s economy
Maintaining the open space provided
by farms and ranches
Ensuring Utahns can eat locally
grown food
Improving Utah's food self sufficiency
Importance of Outcomes
Average % Allocated, n=4,875
Source: Website – Please indicate each outcome’s relative importance by
allocating 100 points across all outcomes. The more points you allocate to a
given outcome, the more important it is to you to achieve that outcome.
Why Utahns Want to
Improve Agriculture:
Utahns want the state be
more self sufficient in
supplying its own food, as
well as have high-quality
locally grown food for
themselves and their
families.
OUTREACH
n = 52,845
YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE.
8%
7%
4%
13%
10%
9%
38%
24%
27%
25%
21%
23%
17%
37%
37%
We will need to spend more money
developing water infrastructure to move
non-agricultural water to urban areas
Utah would no longer be able to build homes
and businesses where high-quality
agricultural lands exist
There will be less water to use for watering
your lawn
Willingness to Make Tradeoffs
% Level of Willingness, n=4,875
Source: Survey – Please indicate your willingness to make each trade-off in
order to secure and expand agriculture in Utah. Outcomes:
• Increased locally grown food
• Less need to import food
• Increase agriculture exports
What Utahns are willing
to do:
Utahns are willing both
to have less water
available for lawns and to
avoid taking land and
water from agriculture,
even if it means water
costs increase to develop
non-agricultural water
for urban use.
OUTREACH
n = 52,845
1
Not At All
Willing
2 3
Somewhat
Willing
4 5
Very
Willing
YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE.
Supporting Survey Results 37
In addition to the specific results from agriculture questions, a number of
results from other topics show strong support for outcomes or strategies
that would increase or protect agriculture in the state.
YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE.
3%
8%
10%
12%
13%
24%
30%
Ensuring we have large yards
Ensuring we have sufficient grass and other greenery in
our yards, parks, and other landscaping
Minimizing how much we need to spend on water
infrastructure (pipes, reservoirs, etc.)
Limiting how much we need to spend maintaining our
yards
Ensuring there’s plenty of water in our streams and
lakes for recreation
Ensuring there’s plenty of water in our streams and
lakes for wildlife
Ensuring there is plenty of water for farms and food
production
Importance of Outcomes—Water
Average % Allocated
Source: Survey – Please indicate each outcome’s relative importance by allocating 100 points
across all outcomes. The more points you allocate to a given outcome, the more important it
is to you to achieve that outcome.
OUTREACH
n = 52,845
Utahns want to ensure there
will be enough water for
farms and food production.
Supporting Survey Results
YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE.
Source: Survey – Please indicate your willingness to make each trade-off in
order to maximize home sizes in Utah. Outcome:
• Bigger yards in more distant locations relative to city centers
Utahns are largely
unwilling convert
agricultural land for
housing.
Supporting Survey Results
OUTREACH
n = 52,845
45%
40%
37%
32%
33%
28%
27%
25%
25%
26%
24%
24%
18%
22%
23%
26%
26%
30%
5%
8%
8%
9%
10%
12%
5%
6%
7%
7%
7%
We will convert more farmland into houses
We will have to spend more money on
infrastructure and impact the environment to
develop and move water supplies because
larger lots use more water
People will be less able to travel by public
transportation, walking, or biking because
everything will be farther apart
Household transportation costs and time spent
driving will increase because homes will be
further from city centers, shopping, jobs, and
other destinations
Socioeconomic classes will not mix as much
because larger lots are more expensive, thus
leading to more income-segregated
communities
We will spend more money building and
maintaining infrastructure like roads and pipes,
which will have to stretch farther
Willingness to Make Tradeoffs for Larger Home Lot Sizes
% Level of Willingness, n=4,849
1
Not At All
Willing
2 3
Somewhat
Willing
4 5
Very
Willing
YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE.
The Survey is still available!
Visit envisionutah.net to view the choices for
agriculture and each of the 11 topics in the
Your Utah, Your Future survey.
YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE.
40

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Your Utah, Your Future: Envision Utah Survey Results for Agriculture

  • 1. YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE. Survey Results for Agriculture 1
  • 2. YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE. Executive Summary Utahns want to protect and increase food production in our State. • Current circumstances: • Utah’s food production has declined precipitously to where Utah now produces only 2% of its vegetables, 3% of its fruit, 25% of its dairy, 98% of its grains, and 135% of its protein needs, in part because the current land development process incentivizes the loss of water and land for farming. • These percentages could further decline significantly as Utah’s population nearly doubles and we lose more prime farmland by 2050. • Survey findings: • Ninety-eight percent of Utahns want to increase food self-sufficiency from agriculture by putting more land into production and/or changing crops to fruits and vegetables. • To do that, Utahns are willing to: • Cut back on watering their lawns and gardens to ensure we have enough water for agriculture • Avoid building on high-quality farmland • Spend more money to bring non-agricultural water to urban areas • Utahns do not want to take water or land from agriculture. 2
  • 3. YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE. 3 Table of Contents Executive Summary 2 Agriculture Action Team Background 4 Agriculture Action Team Members 5 YUYF Survey Background 6 Survey Methodology 12 Utah Agriculture Values 21 YUYF Scenarios on Agriculture 24 YUYF Agriculture Results 31 Supporting Results 37 You May Still Take the Survey 40
  • 4. YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE. The agriculture action team worked for 18 months to create scenarios for the future of agriculture in Utah. 2013 Agriculture, Public Lands, & Recreation Action Team Envision Utah and Governor Herbert invited agriculture, public lands, and recreation experts from across the state to join the Your Utah, Your Future action team for those topics. The team has 65 members from the legislature, industry, local businesses and government, advocacy groups, research institutions, and other organizations. The task force is facilitated by Envision Utah. 2014 2015 Utah Quality of Life Values Study Your Utah, Your Future Scenarios & Choices The action team worked for 18 months to research and model what Utah’s agricultural future could be like in 2050 under various assumptions. They created four scenarios based on different strategies and outcomes for food production. Based on the public’s responses in the Your Utah, Your Future survey, the action team will create a vision for Utah’s agricultural future. The values study found that agriculture has become increasingly important to Utahns across the state. The study also concluded that Utahns care about agriculture because they want high- quality locally grown food and greater food self sufficiency 4
  • 5. YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE. Agriculture, Public Lands, & Recreation Action Team Members Action team members were selected by Governor Gary Herbert and Envision Utah to represent a spectrum of experience and political persuasions. All action team members were invited to participate by Governor Herbert. • Leonard Blackham, Utah Department of Agriculture and Food, Retired Commissioner* • Kathleen Clarke, Public Lands Policy Coordination Office, Directo* • Wendy Fisher, Utah Open Lands* • Brad Peterson, Governor’s Outdoor Rec Office, Director* • Wayne Niederhauser, District 9, Utah State Senator • Laura Hanson, Jordan River Commission, Executive Director • Mike Styler, Department of Natural Resources • Brent Tanner, Utah Cattlemen, Executive Vice President • Ashley Patterson, Wasatch Community Gardens • Warren Peterson, Farmland Reserve, Vice President • Brad Barber, Barber Consulting • Selma Sierra, Energy Dynamics Laboratory, Director of Energy and Environmental Policy • Ashley Korenblat, Public Land Solutions • Ron Vance, Forest Service, Recreational and Resource Manager • Jon Hardman, Natural Resource Conservation Service • John Fairchild, Division of Wildlife Resources • Mark Clemens, Sierra Club Utah Chapter, Manager • Jack Draxler, Utah State Legislature District 3 • Thayne Mickelson, Utah Conservation Commission • Nathan Rafferty, Ski Utah, President • George Sommer, Blue Ribbon Fisheries Commission, Chair • Julia Geisler, Salt Lake Climbers Alliance, Executive Director • Eric Sadler, Wasatch Mountain Club • Mark Compton, Utah Mining Association, President • LaNiece Davenport, WFRC Regional Planner • Sarah Hinners, U of U Metropolitan Research Center • John Bennett, Utah Quality Growth Commission • Larry Crist, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service • Julie Peck Dabling, Salt Lake County Open Space & Urban Farming • David Ure, Summit County Council (Former legislature) • Vicki Varela, Managing Director Utah Office of Tourism • Lynn Jackson, Grand County Council • LuAnn Adams, Box Elder County Commission • Gordon Topham, Sevier County Commissioner • Elizabeth Tubbs, Grand County Council • Gene Ciarus, Grand County Council • Bruce Adams, San Juan County Council • Roger Barrus, Utah House of Representatives District 18 • Mike Noel, Utah State Legislature, District 73 • Ralph Okerlund, Utah State Senator, District 24 • David Hinkins, Utah State Senator, District 27 • David Garbett, SUWA • Randy Parker, Utah Farm Bureau • John Mathis, Utah State Legislature, District 55 • Curtis Rowley, Cherry Hill Farms • Scott Chew, Cattle and Sheep Uintah Basin • Ed Sunderland, Sanpete County farmer • Alma Adams, Iron County Commissioner • Logan Wilde, Morgan County Council • Kent Peatross, Duchesne County Commissioner • Kerry Gibson, Weber County Commissioner • Mike Kohler, Wasatch County Council • Juan Palma, BLM state director • Evan Vickers, Utah State Senator, District 28 • Kay McIff, Utah State Legislature, District 70 • Douglas Sagers, Utah State Legislature, District 21 • Peter Knudson, Utah State Senator, District 17 • Jim Dabakis, Utah State Senator, District 2 • David Livermore, Nature Conservancy, Utah State Director • Alan Matheson, Governor’s Office • Chris McCandless , Sandy City Council • John Evans, Petzl Climbing Equipment • Mallory Bateman, Utah Foundation • LuAnn Adams, Utah Department of Agriculture and Food • Joan Degiorgio, Nature Conservancy • Laynee Jones, Mountain Accord • Hans Ehrbar, U of U Department of Economics • Brandie Balken, Equality Utah • Tara McKee, Governor’s Outdoor Rec Office • Wesley Smith, Salt Lake Chamber • Michael Merrill, Salt Lake Chamber • Dustin Rowley, Utah Association of Conservation Districts *Action Team Co-Chair 5
  • 6. YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE. Projections show that Utah’s population will nearly double by the year 2050. The Your Utah, Your Future survey was designed for Utahns to create a vision for the State of Utah for the next 35 years. Envision Utah performed a values study to understand what Utahns care about regarding the future and why those issues are personally important to them. The study identified eleven key issues: agriculture, air quality, recreation, disaster resilience, public lands, transportation and communities, housing and cost of living, education, energy, jobs and economy, and water. Four-hundred Utah experts worked in eight task forces to identify Utah’s choices for each of the 11 topics. The information and options in the survey were the direct findings of these taskforces. The Your Utah, Your Future survey was designed to prioritize issues and their associated outcomes in order to make strategic decisions for Utah’s future. Nearly 53,000 people weighed in on the future that they want to create in 2050. In Need of a Solution Identifying the Issues Choosing a Future Identifying Choices and Trade-offs Your Utah, Your Future Background 6
  • 7. YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE. Your Utah, Your Future Background The Challenge: By 2050, Utah’s population will nearly double in size. Utah will not. Your Utah, Your Future Background 7
  • 8. YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE. Housing & Cost of Living EnergyPublic LandsWaterRecreationDisaster Resilience Economic Development Transportation & Communities Air Quality Agriculture Education The Your Utah, Your Future survey asked Utahns to indicate their choices for Utah’s Future on 11 specific issues. Your Utah, Your Future Background 8
  • 9. YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE. Survey participants then chose between five overall scenarios for Utah’s future, with each overall scenario proposing a set of choices for the 11 specific issues. Your Utah, Your Future Background 9
  • 10. YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE. Goal Actual 50,000 Respondents 52,845 Respondents Our goal was for 50,000 Utahns to take the Your Utah, Your Future survey about their desires for the future for Utah. Your Utah, Your Future Background 10
  • 11. YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE. Southern Nevada Strong (Central Florida) 23,000 28,000 17,500 5,000 1,000 52,845 8,000 The Your Utah, Your Future survey garnered more public participation than any such project ever has. 7,000 The original Envision Utah 1999 survey held the record with 17,500 public response for many years. Your Utah, Your Future Background Heartland 2050 (Omaha, NE) PLANiTULSA (Tulsa, OK) (Atlanta, GA) Louisiana Speaks (Southern Louisiana after Katrina) Show Your Love, San Diego 11 Total Survey Responses Envision Utah Quality Growth Strategy (Wasatch Front and Back—1998)
  • 12. YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE. Survey Methodology 12
  • 13. YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE. Survey participants chose among five overall scenarios for Utah’s future. Survey Structure—Part One Utahns were invited to participate in two parts of the survey. In the first part: Housing & Cost of Living Transportation & Communities Air Quality AgricultureEducation EnergyPublic Lands WaterRecreationDisaster Resilience Economic Development Each overall scenario was made up of a set a choices on 11 different topics. 13
  • 14. YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE. Participants compared the different options within each topic and selected their preferred scenarios for that specific topic. They were provided with in-depth information and background data for each of the topics and choices. Survey Structure—Part One (Cont’d) 14
  • 15. YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE. After making selections for each of the 11 topics, participants could study a summary comparison chart and vote on their preferred overall scenario. 15 Survey Structure—Part One (Cont’d)
  • 16. YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE. In the second part of the survey, Utahns participated in more traditional survey exercises. Prioritizing Issues Weighting Outcome Preference Indicating Tradeoff Willingness Together, the results of parts one and two of the survey allow a sophisticated analysis of what Utahns want, why they want it, and what they’re willing to do to achieve their goals. Survey Structure—Part Two 16
  • 17. YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE.Detailed Survey Methodology SCENARIO SELECTIONS TRADE-OFF SURVEY1 2 Scenario Vote Issue Prioritization Importance of Outcomes Trade-off Willingness ProcessGoals 1. Educate Utahns on the key issues facing the state 2. Quantify preferences for issue-specific outcomes 3. Identify areas of consensus and disagreement across issues 4. Quantify preferences for defined scenarios 1. Force Utahns to prioritize importance / level of concern for all issues 2. Quantify importance of outcomes related to specific issues 3. Assess willingness to make trade-offs in order to reach desired outcomes Issue “Favoriting” Each part of the survey had different goals and provided important information.
  • 18. YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE. A random sample survey of Utahns was used to cross-check outreach results OUTREACH SAMPLE RANDOM SAMPLE • School outreach • Digital media • Partner organization emails and posts • Radio advertisements • News coverage • Direct email • Physical mail (postcard invitations) • Phone recruiting Total participants: 52,845 Total participants: 1,264 Utahns that heard about the survey through Envision Utah’s outreach efforts and went to the website to vote A statistically representative sample of Utahns randomly sampled to participate in the survey Survey Participation
  • 19. YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE. Outreach Participants had the option to participate in Part Two All Participants participated in Part One n=52,845 n=1,264 All Random Sample Participants participated in Part Two n=1,264 n=13,459 OUTREACH RANDOM SAMPLE OUTREACH RANDOM SAMPLE Survey Participation
  • 20. YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE.Participant Comparison Outreach and Random Sample participant responses were very much aligned across issues and preferences. Issue “Favoriting” Scenario Vote Issue Prioritization Importance of Outcomes Trade-off Willingness +/- 3% +/- 4% +/- 1.2% +/- 2% +/- 7% Variance Across Most Responses “We can conclude that the results represent the desires and opinions of Utahns.” “Results were obtained via the largest public outreach effort in the history of Utah, resulting in public input from more than 50,000 people; an effort that was cross-checked with a random sample of 1,264 Utahns, and overseen by Dan Jones & Associates.” —Cicero; Dan Jones & Associates
  • 21. YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE. Agriculture Values 21 Envision Utah performed a values study in 2014 to understand what Utahns care most about regarding the future. The study found a significant increase in the importance of agriculture to Utahns.
  • 22. YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE. In 2007, almost a third of Utahns did not have a strong opinion about farming and ranching. However, by 2014, 74% agree that it is critical to Utah’s future. 22 Bailey believes that farming and ranching are critical to the future of Utah and help to maintain the land and values that are so important to making Utah a great place to live. 10% 12% 4% 3% 1% 1% 15% 15% 34% 20% 28% 22% 11% 11% 74% 53% Neither: 12% 2014 Neither: 32% ■ Somewhat ■ Strongly ■ Exactly like Nelson like Nelson like Nelson ■ Exactly ■ Strongly ■ Somewhat like Bailey like Bailey like Bailey BASE: ALL QUALIFIED RESPONDENTS (N=1000) Q720. Below are the opinions of two hypothetical Utah residents. Please indicate which opinion comes closest to your own. Is your opinion more like Mr. Bailey or more like Mr. Nelson? Agriculture Values Nelson believes that farming and ranching are just one of many things that make Utah great and that as times change farming and ranching will need to decline in order to make room for other things that are more important for the future of the state. 2007
  • 23. YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE. 23 Agriculture Value Pathways 23 AttributesPersonalValues Produce locally Quality food products Organic Pesticide/GMO safeguards Preserve farm land Grazing on public lands Tax/regulation policies Water usageFarm subsidies Local jobs Economic development Support local economies/rural lifestyle More affordable Save money Healthier living More productive Safe food Conserve energy Not dependent on others Sustainable Self reliant Security Do other things Better community Quality of life More/better time with family Take care of children/family Less worry/stress Conserve water Wastes/pollute s land Hurts/Protects small farmers/ranchers Impacts environment Wastes money Peace of mind Freedom Live longer Family Love Better for future generations More responsible/better steward Protect planet Functional Consequences Psychosocial Consequences 1% 6% 24% 32% 7% 6% 1% 12% 9% 2% 5% 6% 6% 4% 8% 27% 8% Dominant Pathway Secondary Pathway Mostly Good Job Utahns care about agriculture because locally grown food provides jobs, improves Utah’s self reliance and food security, and is better for the health of Utah families and future generations.
  • 24. YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE. Agriculture Scenarios 24 In the Your Utah, Your Future survey, Utahns were given information about Utah’s agriculture today and four different scenarios for what our agriculture and food supply could be like in 2050 depending on the choices we make.
  • 25. YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE. 95% 134% 3% 2% 26% 51% 70% 1.5% 1.1% 14% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% Grain Protein Fruit Vegetable Dairy % Self Sufficient Today % Self Sufficient in 2050 with Same Acres in Production Utah’s Agriculture Today • We produce only 3% of our fruit and 2% of our vegetables • By 2050 we will cut our per person production in half by population growth alone • If we continue to urbanize prime agriculture land/take water from farmland we will produce almost no fruits and vegetables in Utah, and very little dairy 25
  • 26. YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE. Questions Concerning the Future of Agriculture • Should we urbanize high-quality agriculture land as we grow? • Can we continue to increase farm efficiency? • Should we shift from alfalfa to more fruits and vegetables in some places? • Should we expand agriculture onto additional lands (private and public)? 26
  • 27. YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE. Allosaurus Scenario Scenario Strategies 95% 134% 3% 2% 26% 47% 68% 0.6% 0.4% 11% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% Grain Protein Fruit Vegetable Dairy Today 2050 27 • Homes & businesses replace most Wasatch Front farms • Water also moved from working farms • Food self-sufficiency decreases significantly
  • 28. YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE. Bonneville Trout Scenario Scenario Strategies 95% 134% 3% 2% 26% 49% 70% 1.0% 0.9% 14% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% Grain Protein Fruit Vegetable Dairy Today 2050 28 • Homes & businesses replace most Wasatch Front farms • Water not moved from working farms • Food self-sufficiency decreases This is a likely outcome if Utah does not change the current approach to urban development of agricultural land and water.
  • 29. YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE. Seagull & Sego Lily Scenarios • Homes & businesses replace farms more slowly • Some shift of alfalfa/hay to fruits & vegetables • Food self-sufficiency increases some Scenario Strategies 95% 134% 3% 2% 26% 75% 71% 10% 10% 14% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% Grain Protein Fruit Vegetable Dairy Today 2050 29
  • 30. YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE. Quaking Aspen Scenario • Homes & businesses replace farms more slowly • Cropland added: significant shift of alfalfa/hay to fruits, vegetables & dairy • Food self-sufficiency improves significantly Scenario Strategies 95% 134% 3% 2% 26% 100% 100% 20% 20% 30% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% Grain Protein Fruit Vegetable Dairy Today 2050 30
  • 31. YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE. Agriculture Survey Results 31
  • 32. YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE. 3.1% 3.7% 4.0% 5.1% 5.8% 6.5% 6.5% 7.4% 8.6% 11.4% 11.7% 12.9% 13.1% 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% 14.0% Communities Transportation Recreation Disaster Resilience Taxes Housing and Cost of Living Public Lands Agriculture Energy Education Air Quality Water Jobs and Economy Share of Preference Level of Concern for the Future—Outreach Sample Results Share of Preference, n=13,459 Source: Survey – Keeping in mind that between now and the year 2050, Utah will almost double in population, please consider how important each of the following issues is to you. Considering only these four issues, which is the Most Important and which is the Least Important as you think about Utah’s future? OUTREACH n = 52,845 In the 2014 values study, Utahns ranked all 11 issues as being important to Utah’s future. The 2015 survey used a sophisticated technique to force a “weighting” of the issues, providing a wider gradation of concern. 32
  • 33. YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE. 2.7% 2.9% 3.6% 4.8% 6.2% 8.0% 8.1% 8.3% 9.0% 9.8% 10.9% 11.1% 14.2% 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% 14.0% 16.0% Communities Recreation Transportation Public Lands Disaster Resilience Agriculture Taxes Energy Housing and Cost of Living Education Water Air Quality Jobs and Economy Share of Preference Level of Concern for the Future—Random Sample Results Share of Preference, n=1,264 RANDOM SAMPLE n = 1,264 Results of the random sample survey evidenced greater concern for housing & cost of living and taxes than agriculture 33 Source: Survey – Keeping in mind that between now and the year 2050, Utah will almost double in population, please consider how important each of the following issues is to you. Considering only these four issues, which is the Most Important and which is the Least Important as you think about Utah’s future?
  • 34. YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE. 2% 2% 33% 65% Very many farms gone; much less food self-sufficiency Many farms gone; less food self-sufficiency Some farms gone; some crops change to increase food self-sufficiency Increased cropland and food self-sufficiency Issue-specific Scenarios % “Favorite” Selections, n=19,389 Source: Website – Select your favorite agriculture outcome(s) from the 4 presented below for Utah in 2050. Consider our self sufficiency from local agriculture. 65% of Utahns selected an agriculture scenario in which Utah’s food self-sufficiency, locally grown food, and cropland significantly increase. Another 33% chose a scenario in which Utah’s food self-sufficiency and locally grown food increase, but to a somewhat lesser extent. Only 4% want food production to continue to decline. OUTREACH n = 52,845 Quaking Aspen Seagull and Sego Lily Bonneville Trout Allosaurus What Utahns Want:
  • 35. YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE. 8% 12% 17% 19% 20% 23% Allowing agricultural land and water to convert through market forces to higher- paying uses like houses and businesses Maintaining Utah’s agricultural heritage Improving rural Utah’s economy Maintaining the open space provided by farms and ranches Ensuring Utahns can eat locally grown food Improving Utah's food self sufficiency Importance of Outcomes Average % Allocated, n=4,875 Source: Website – Please indicate each outcome’s relative importance by allocating 100 points across all outcomes. The more points you allocate to a given outcome, the more important it is to you to achieve that outcome. Why Utahns Want to Improve Agriculture: Utahns want the state be more self sufficient in supplying its own food, as well as have high-quality locally grown food for themselves and their families. OUTREACH n = 52,845
  • 36. YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE. 8% 7% 4% 13% 10% 9% 38% 24% 27% 25% 21% 23% 17% 37% 37% We will need to spend more money developing water infrastructure to move non-agricultural water to urban areas Utah would no longer be able to build homes and businesses where high-quality agricultural lands exist There will be less water to use for watering your lawn Willingness to Make Tradeoffs % Level of Willingness, n=4,875 Source: Survey – Please indicate your willingness to make each trade-off in order to secure and expand agriculture in Utah. Outcomes: • Increased locally grown food • Less need to import food • Increase agriculture exports What Utahns are willing to do: Utahns are willing both to have less water available for lawns and to avoid taking land and water from agriculture, even if it means water costs increase to develop non-agricultural water for urban use. OUTREACH n = 52,845 1 Not At All Willing 2 3 Somewhat Willing 4 5 Very Willing
  • 37. YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE. Supporting Survey Results 37 In addition to the specific results from agriculture questions, a number of results from other topics show strong support for outcomes or strategies that would increase or protect agriculture in the state.
  • 38. YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE. 3% 8% 10% 12% 13% 24% 30% Ensuring we have large yards Ensuring we have sufficient grass and other greenery in our yards, parks, and other landscaping Minimizing how much we need to spend on water infrastructure (pipes, reservoirs, etc.) Limiting how much we need to spend maintaining our yards Ensuring there’s plenty of water in our streams and lakes for recreation Ensuring there’s plenty of water in our streams and lakes for wildlife Ensuring there is plenty of water for farms and food production Importance of Outcomes—Water Average % Allocated Source: Survey – Please indicate each outcome’s relative importance by allocating 100 points across all outcomes. The more points you allocate to a given outcome, the more important it is to you to achieve that outcome. OUTREACH n = 52,845 Utahns want to ensure there will be enough water for farms and food production. Supporting Survey Results
  • 39. YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE. Source: Survey – Please indicate your willingness to make each trade-off in order to maximize home sizes in Utah. Outcome: • Bigger yards in more distant locations relative to city centers Utahns are largely unwilling convert agricultural land for housing. Supporting Survey Results OUTREACH n = 52,845 45% 40% 37% 32% 33% 28% 27% 25% 25% 26% 24% 24% 18% 22% 23% 26% 26% 30% 5% 8% 8% 9% 10% 12% 5% 6% 7% 7% 7% We will convert more farmland into houses We will have to spend more money on infrastructure and impact the environment to develop and move water supplies because larger lots use more water People will be less able to travel by public transportation, walking, or biking because everything will be farther apart Household transportation costs and time spent driving will increase because homes will be further from city centers, shopping, jobs, and other destinations Socioeconomic classes will not mix as much because larger lots are more expensive, thus leading to more income-segregated communities We will spend more money building and maintaining infrastructure like roads and pipes, which will have to stretch farther Willingness to Make Tradeoffs for Larger Home Lot Sizes % Level of Willingness, n=4,849 1 Not At All Willing 2 3 Somewhat Willing 4 5 Very Willing
  • 40. YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE. The Survey is still available! Visit envisionutah.net to view the choices for agriculture and each of the 11 topics in the Your Utah, Your Future survey. YOUR UTAH. YOUR FUTURE. 40