10. “ The US military has warned that surplus oil product ion capacity could disappear within two years and there could be serious shortages by 2015 with a significant economic and political impact.” -- The Guardian , April 11, 2010 Source: Wikipedia PEAK PETROLEUM
11. "Crude oil output reaches an undulating plateau of around 68-69 mb/d, by 2020, but never regains its all-time peak of 70mb/day reached in 2006." — International Energy Agency Source: Wikipedia PEAK PETROLEUM
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16. “ The real issue of our time is how we make a graceful and ethical descent from the energy peak.” ~ David Holmgren
25. PERMACULTURE: --meeting human needs while increasing ecological and social health. -- ecosystem mimicry through conscious design.
26. PERMACULTURE: --meeting human needs while increasing ecological and social health. -- ecosystem mimicry through conscious design. --meeting human needs while increasing ecological and social health. -- ecosystem mimicry through conscious design. --rebuilding resilient local economies that embody the above.
27. THE PERMACULTURE PIE perennial vegetables coppice woodcrafts & biomass composting & compost tea biochar/ terra preta apiculture aquaculture edible forest gardening mycoscaping bioremediation earthworks keyline natural building green architecture management- intensive grazing alternative currencies agroforestry
41. Global Problems Local Solutions Local Solutions www.primaryagriculture.com “ Over 50% of Russia’s agricultural output [is] coming from family garden-plots...” -- Family Gardens: Russia’s Primary Agriculture, Dr. Leonid Sharaskin
42. Global Problems Local Solutions Local Solutions Victory Gardens in the US and Britain
45. Global Problems Local Solutions Local Solutions Gaia University International www.gaiauniversity.org www.gaianortheast.org
Notas do Editor
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) estimates that there will be 150 million environmental refugees by 2050. The Institute for Environment and Human Security, affiliated with United Nations University, estimated the number of environmental refugees at 20 million in 2005 and predicted the number could be 50 million as early as 2010. http://www.climatechangecorp.com/content.asp?contentid=5871
DR M King Hubbert - Shell Oil geophysicist in 1956 modeled peak oil production for lower 48. “Correctly predicted peak in 1970”
Million tons of oil equivalent Liquid Fuels: Liquid fuels - nonvolatile, easily transportable, pipable without being under pressure, all of our transportation infra.
Unit = quadrillions of british thermal units 1 is enough to heat 1 pound of water 1 degree F
Holmgren is one of the founders of the ecological design system we’re trained in, but we’ll get to that later
• The permaculture pie. All elements must be functionally interconnected. • Buildings must be living, functionally interconnected pieces of the whole system. • example: home - small scale • example: new low-rise. water catchment. rooftop forest gardens and aquaculture. aquaponics and farm-floors. local organic restaurant (forget foodmiles - let's talk foodfeet!). all waste treated on site with living machines. down to the next level of solar pumps. • example: Marbletown Green. • crazy? we need to push the edges of what's been done before. push the edges, but back to the center -- food, water, shelter, energy.
--Ubiquitous in tropical world, likely predating annual crop agriculture by many millennia.