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JAN 2013 Semester




  1
          Service Quality
          MKTG 1268
          Lecture Eight
          •    Balancing Demand
               Against Productive
               Capacity
                    (Chapter 9)
Overview of Chapter 9
2



       Fluctuations in Demand Threaten Service
        Productivity
       Defining Productive Service Capacity
       Managing Capacity
       Understanding Patterns of Demand
       Managing Demand
       Inventory Demand through Waiting Lines and
        Queuing Systems
       Customer Perceptions of Waiting Time
       Inventory Demand Through Reservations System
Managing Resorts Requires Effective Management of
    Demand and Capacity




3
4




FLUCTUATIONS IN DEMAND
    THREATEN SERVICE
      PRODUCTIVITY
Carefully balancing the demands (by customers) and
    the available capacity of the service firm’s resources
    requires careful planning




5
From Excess Demand to Excess Capacity
6

    Four conditions potentially faced by fixed-capacity services:
    1.    Excess demand
          Too   much demand relative to capacity at a given time
    2.    Demand exceeds optimum capacity
          Upper   limit to a firm’s ability to meet demand at a
           given time
    3.    Optimum capacity
          Pointbeyond which service quality declines as more
           customers are serviced
    4.    Excess capacity
          Too   much capacity relative to demand at a given time
Variations in Demand Relative to Capacity (Fig. 9.3)
7




                                                           7
Managing Capacity and Demand

    •   Define productive capacity
    •   Manage capacity
           Stretch capacity ― squeeze more people into a given
            capacity
           Adjust capacity to more closely match demand
    •   Understand demand
           Understand patterns of demand and determine demand
            drivers
    •   Manage demand
           Use marketing strategies to smooth out peaks, fill in valleys

8            © Pearson Education South Asia Pte Ltd 2013. All rights reserved
Building blocks for managing capacity and demand




9
What is Productive Capacity?

    •   Productive capacity can take several forms in services
           Physical facilities designed to contain customers
           Physical facilities designed for storing or processing
            goods
           Physical equipment used to process people, possessions,
            or information
           Labor
           Infrastructure
    •   Financial success in businesses that are limited in
        capacity depends largely on how capacity is used

1
             © Pearson Education South Asia Pte Ltd 2013. All rights reserved
0
Defining – specifically – the
     productive capacity of a
     service




11
Examples of the importance of defining productive capacity




12
13




MANAGING CAPACITY
Managing Capacity – Rush Hour Crowd in
     the Subway Train




14
Alternative Capacity Management Strategies
15


        Capacity is fixed, but more people are served at
         the same level of capacity
        Stretch and shrink:
          Offer inferior extra capacity at peaks (e.g. bus/train
           standees)
          Use   facilities for longer/shorter periods
          Reduce   amount of time spent in process by minimizing
           slack time
Adjusting Capacity to Match Demand
     (Vary amount of capacity to match anticipated demand):
16

     •   Schedule downtime during periods of low demand

     •   Cross-train employees

     •   Use part-time employees

     •   Invite customers to perform self-service

     •   Ask customers to share

     •   Create flexible capacity

     •   Rent or share extra facilities and equipment
Cross-training staff as a means of adjusting capacity to
     meet demand




17
18




ANALYZE PATTERNS
  OF DEMAND
Demand Varies by Market Segment

•   Demand may seem random, but analysis may reveal
    a predictable demand cycle for different segments

•   Keep good records of transactions to analyze
    demand patterns
       Sophisticated software can help to track customer
        consumption patterns


•   Record weather conditions and other special factors
    that might influence demand

1
           © Pearson Education South Asia Pte Ltd 2013. All rights reserved
9
Predictable Demand Patterns and
     Their Underlying Causes (Table 9.1) (1)
20



         Predictable Cycles                   Underlying Causes of
         of Demand Levels                     Cyclical Variations
              day                              employment
              week                             billing or tax payments/refunds
              month                            pay days
              year                             school hours/holidays
              other                            seasonal climate changes
                                                public/religious holidays
                                                natural cycles




                 See full details in Table 9.1 on page 272 of the text             20
21
Some service jobs can be regularly scheduled –
     example maintenance jobs




22
Predictable Demand Patterns and
Their Underlying Causes (Table 9.1) (2)


    Underlying causes of randomly changing
     demand levels
       Weather
       Health problems
       Accidents, Fires, Crime
       Natural disasters



 Disaggregate demand by market segment for a particular service over
  time
      Use patterns by particular type of customer or for a particular purpose
      Variations in net profitability for each completed transaction
                                                                                 23
Understanding patterns of demand – seasonal trends in
     tourist arrivals




24
25




MANAGING DEMAND
Alternative Demand Management Strategies (Table 9.2)
26

           Take no action
              Let customers sort it out
           Reduce demand
              Higher prices
              Communication encouraging use of other time slots
           Increase demand
              Lower prices
              Communication, including promotional incentives
              Vary product features to increase desirability
              More convenient delivery times and places
           Inventory demand by reservation system
           Inventory demand by formalized queuing
                See full details in Table 9.2 on page 275 of the text
Alternative Demand
     Management Strategies




27
Marketing Strategies Can Reshape Some Demand
     Patterns
28



         Use price and other costs to manage demand.
          If the firm understands the shape of demand
          curves for different market segments, then
          prices may be raised/lowered to
          discourage/attract particular segments at
          particular times.

         Change product elements. Features may be
          varied according to the time of day (e.g.,
          restaurants) or season of the year (hotels) to
          attract different market segments.
Marketing Mix Elements Can Be Used To Shape
     Demand Patterns (Pricing)




29
Marketing Strategies Can Reshape Some Demand
     Patterns
30


        Modifying time and place of delivery to reflect
         changing market needs over the product demand
         cycle.

        Use promotion and education. Signage,
         advertising, and promotion can be used to inform
         customers of peak periods (encouraging them to
         avoid using the service during these times, if
         possible) and promoting off-peak times when the
         service facility is less crowded and service faster.
Seasonal demand
     for a service




31
Service Insight 9.1 : Discouraging Demand for
     Non-Emergency Calls




32
33




  INVENTORY DEMAND
THROUGH WAITING LINES
   AND RESERVATIONS
When Demand Exceeds Supply
34


         Steps to take to inventory demand (keep capacity
          for use later)

         Asking customers to wait in line (queue), usually
          on a first-come first-served basis

         Offering customers the opportunity to reserve or
          book capacity in advance
Why do queues exist?
35


        Because number of arrivals at a facility
         exceeds capacity of system to process them at
         a specific point in the process

        Queues are basically a symptom of
         unresolved capacity management problems
Helping customers
     avoid the hassle
     of waiting lines




36
Waiting In Line
37


        Almost nobody likes to wait
            An average person may spend up to 30 minutes/day
             waiting in line—equivalent to 20 months in an 80 year
             lifetime
            It's boring, time-wasting, and sometimes physically
             uncomfortable

        Not all queues take physical waiting in a single
         location
           Queues may be physical but geographically
            dispersed
           Some are virtual
Reduce Waiting Time By:
38


        Rethinking the design of queuing system
        Installing reservations system
        Tailoring the queuing system to different market
         segments
        Managing customer behavior and their
         perceptions of wait
        Redesign processes to shorten the time of each
         transaction
Alternative Queuing Configurations (Fig. 9.15)
39




                                                      39
Queue Configurations:
40


        Single line sequential stage queues are appropriate for small
         waiting time and each stage is simple with little chances of
         stand-offs.
        Single line to multiple servers (snake) is always preferable
         over multiple lines to multiple servers, as multiple lines may
         not move at the same speed.
        Designated lines to designated servers configuration are
         suitable for different segments of customers and different
         jobs.
        Take a number approach saves from the hassles of standing
         in the queue, if waiting time is too long. In the meantime
         customers can do something else.
Different versions of queuing systems




41
Virtual Waits
42


        One problem of waiting is the waste of customers’
         time
        Virtual queues can eliminate the need to wait
        Customers register their place in line on a
         computer, which estimates the time they need to
         reach the front of the virtual line, customers then
         return later to claim their place
        See Service Insights 9.3 (page 283)
Queuing Systems can be Tailored to Market
     Segments
43


        Urgency of job
          Emergencies   vs. non-emergencies
        Duration of service transaction
          Number of items to transact
          Complexity of task

        Payment of premium price
        Importance of customer
          Frequent   users/high volume purchasers vs. others
44




PERCEPTIONS OF
 WAITING TIME
Ten Propositions to Make Waiting More
     Bearable (1)
45


     1.   Unoccupied time feels longer than occupied
          time
     2.   Solo waits feel longer than group waits
     3.   Physically uncomfortable waits feel longer
          than comfortable ones
     4.   Pre- and post-process waits feel longer than
          in-process waits
     5.   Unexplained waits are longer than explained
          waits
                           Sources: Maister; Davis & Heineke; Jones &
                           Peppiatt
                                                                        Cont.
Occupying customers during waits




46
Ten Propositions to Make Waiting More
     Bearable (2)
47



     6.  Unfamiliar waits seem longer than familiar
         ones
     7. Uncertain waits are longer than known, finite
         waits
     8. Unfair waits are longer than fair waits

     9. Anxiety makes waits seem longer

     10. People will wait longer for more valuable
         services


                           Sources: Maister; Davis & Heineke; Jones & Peppiatt
Uncertain waits create customer anxiety and stress




48
49




 INVENTORY DEMAND
     THROUGH A
RESERVATIONS SYSTEM
Benefits of Reservations
50



        Avoid customer dissatisfaction due to excessive
         waits
        Controls and smoothes demand
        Allows implementation of revenue management
         and preselling of service to different customer
         segments
        Data captured helps organizations
            Prepare financial projections
            Plan operations and staffing levels
Reservation systems in a library




51
Characteristics of Well-Designed Reservations System
52




          Fast and user-friendly for customers and staff

          Answers customer questions

          Offers options for self service (e.g. Web)

          Accommodates preferences (e.g., room with view)

          Deflects demand from unavailable first choices to
           alternative times and locations
Reservations Strategies Should Focus on Yield
53

        Yield analysis helps managers recognize
         opportunity cost of allocating capacity to one
         customer/segment when another segment might
         yield a higher rate later
        Decisions need to be based on good information
          Detailed record of past usage
          Supported by current market intelligence and good
           marketing sense
          Realistic estimate of changes of obtaining higher
           rated business
        When firms overbook to increase yield,
            Victims of over-booking should be compensated to
             preserve the relationship
Setting Hotel Room Sales Targets by Segment
     and Time Period




54
Developing Loyalty Programs




55
Summary of Chapter 9 ― Balancing
    Demand and Productive Capacity (1)
•    At any moment in time, a fixed-capacity service may
     face
        Excess demand
        Demand exceeding optimum capacity
        Demand and supply well-balanced at the level of optimum capacity
        Excess capacity
•    Managing capacity and demand
        Define productive capacity
        Manage capacity
        Understand and manage demand
        Stretching or shrinking capacity levels
        Adjusting capacity to match demand

5
             © Pearson Education South Asia Pte Ltd 2013. All rights reserved
6
Summary of Chapter 9 ― Balancing
    Demand and Productive Capacity (2)

    •   Five basic ways to manage demand

           Take no action

           Reduce demand in peak periods

           Increase demand in low periods

           Inventory demand using a queuing system

           Inventory demand using a reservations system

5
               © Pearson Education South Asia Pte Ltd 2013. All rights reserved
7
Summary of Chapter 9 ― Balancing
    Demand and Productive Capacity (3)

    •   Demand levels can be reshaped by marketing
        strategies

           Use price and other costs to manage demand

           Change product elements

           Modify place and time of delivery

           Use promotion and education




5
              © Pearson Education South Asia Pte Ltd 2013. All rights reserved
8
Summary of Chapter 9 ― Balancing
    Demand and Productive Capacity (4)

•    Waiting is a universal phenomenon. Waits can be
     reduced by
        Rethinking the design of the queuing system
        Installing a reservation system
        Tailoring queuing system to different market segments
        Managing customers’ behavior and their perceptions of the wait
        Redesigning the processes to shorten the time of each transaction
•    An effective reservations system
        Enables demand to be controlled and smoothed in manageable way
        Should focus on yield
        Requires information

5
             © Pearson Education South Asia Pte Ltd 2013. All rights reserved
9
Practice Exam Essay Question:
60


     In a popular massage parlour, there are often
     customers waiting at the reception to get a massage
     because all the masseurs are already occupied / busy
     serving other customers.
     (a) Recommend three demand and capacity
     management actions this massage parlour can take to
     respond to the above situation.
     (b) Drawing on what you have learnt in relation to the
     psychology of waiting, how could this massage
     parlour make waiting more ‘bearable’ for customers?

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SQ Lecture Eight - Balancing Demand Against Productive Capacity

  • 1. JAN 2013 Semester 1 Service Quality MKTG 1268 Lecture Eight • Balancing Demand Against Productive Capacity (Chapter 9)
  • 2. Overview of Chapter 9 2  Fluctuations in Demand Threaten Service Productivity  Defining Productive Service Capacity  Managing Capacity  Understanding Patterns of Demand  Managing Demand  Inventory Demand through Waiting Lines and Queuing Systems  Customer Perceptions of Waiting Time  Inventory Demand Through Reservations System
  • 3. Managing Resorts Requires Effective Management of Demand and Capacity 3
  • 4. 4 FLUCTUATIONS IN DEMAND THREATEN SERVICE PRODUCTIVITY
  • 5. Carefully balancing the demands (by customers) and the available capacity of the service firm’s resources requires careful planning 5
  • 6. From Excess Demand to Excess Capacity 6 Four conditions potentially faced by fixed-capacity services: 1. Excess demand  Too much demand relative to capacity at a given time 2. Demand exceeds optimum capacity  Upper limit to a firm’s ability to meet demand at a given time 3. Optimum capacity  Pointbeyond which service quality declines as more customers are serviced 4. Excess capacity  Too much capacity relative to demand at a given time
  • 7. Variations in Demand Relative to Capacity (Fig. 9.3) 7 7
  • 8. Managing Capacity and Demand • Define productive capacity • Manage capacity  Stretch capacity ― squeeze more people into a given capacity  Adjust capacity to more closely match demand • Understand demand  Understand patterns of demand and determine demand drivers • Manage demand  Use marketing strategies to smooth out peaks, fill in valleys 8 © Pearson Education South Asia Pte Ltd 2013. All rights reserved
  • 9. Building blocks for managing capacity and demand 9
  • 10. What is Productive Capacity? • Productive capacity can take several forms in services  Physical facilities designed to contain customers  Physical facilities designed for storing or processing goods  Physical equipment used to process people, possessions, or information  Labor  Infrastructure • Financial success in businesses that are limited in capacity depends largely on how capacity is used 1 © Pearson Education South Asia Pte Ltd 2013. All rights reserved 0
  • 11. Defining – specifically – the productive capacity of a service 11
  • 12. Examples of the importance of defining productive capacity 12
  • 14. Managing Capacity – Rush Hour Crowd in the Subway Train 14
  • 15. Alternative Capacity Management Strategies 15  Capacity is fixed, but more people are served at the same level of capacity  Stretch and shrink:  Offer inferior extra capacity at peaks (e.g. bus/train standees)  Use facilities for longer/shorter periods  Reduce amount of time spent in process by minimizing slack time
  • 16. Adjusting Capacity to Match Demand (Vary amount of capacity to match anticipated demand): 16 • Schedule downtime during periods of low demand • Cross-train employees • Use part-time employees • Invite customers to perform self-service • Ask customers to share • Create flexible capacity • Rent or share extra facilities and equipment
  • 17. Cross-training staff as a means of adjusting capacity to meet demand 17
  • 18. 18 ANALYZE PATTERNS OF DEMAND
  • 19. Demand Varies by Market Segment • Demand may seem random, but analysis may reveal a predictable demand cycle for different segments • Keep good records of transactions to analyze demand patterns  Sophisticated software can help to track customer consumption patterns • Record weather conditions and other special factors that might influence demand 1 © Pearson Education South Asia Pte Ltd 2013. All rights reserved 9
  • 20. Predictable Demand Patterns and Their Underlying Causes (Table 9.1) (1) 20 Predictable Cycles Underlying Causes of of Demand Levels Cyclical Variations  day  employment  week  billing or tax payments/refunds  month  pay days  year  school hours/holidays  other  seasonal climate changes  public/religious holidays  natural cycles See full details in Table 9.1 on page 272 of the text 20
  • 21. 21
  • 22. Some service jobs can be regularly scheduled – example maintenance jobs 22
  • 23. Predictable Demand Patterns and Their Underlying Causes (Table 9.1) (2)  Underlying causes of randomly changing demand levels  Weather  Health problems  Accidents, Fires, Crime  Natural disasters  Disaggregate demand by market segment for a particular service over time  Use patterns by particular type of customer or for a particular purpose  Variations in net profitability for each completed transaction 23
  • 24. Understanding patterns of demand – seasonal trends in tourist arrivals 24
  • 26. Alternative Demand Management Strategies (Table 9.2) 26  Take no action  Let customers sort it out  Reduce demand  Higher prices  Communication encouraging use of other time slots  Increase demand  Lower prices  Communication, including promotional incentives  Vary product features to increase desirability  More convenient delivery times and places  Inventory demand by reservation system  Inventory demand by formalized queuing See full details in Table 9.2 on page 275 of the text
  • 27. Alternative Demand Management Strategies 27
  • 28. Marketing Strategies Can Reshape Some Demand Patterns 28  Use price and other costs to manage demand. If the firm understands the shape of demand curves for different market segments, then prices may be raised/lowered to discourage/attract particular segments at particular times.  Change product elements. Features may be varied according to the time of day (e.g., restaurants) or season of the year (hotels) to attract different market segments.
  • 29. Marketing Mix Elements Can Be Used To Shape Demand Patterns (Pricing) 29
  • 30. Marketing Strategies Can Reshape Some Demand Patterns 30  Modifying time and place of delivery to reflect changing market needs over the product demand cycle.  Use promotion and education. Signage, advertising, and promotion can be used to inform customers of peak periods (encouraging them to avoid using the service during these times, if possible) and promoting off-peak times when the service facility is less crowded and service faster.
  • 31. Seasonal demand for a service 31
  • 32. Service Insight 9.1 : Discouraging Demand for Non-Emergency Calls 32
  • 33. 33 INVENTORY DEMAND THROUGH WAITING LINES AND RESERVATIONS
  • 34. When Demand Exceeds Supply 34  Steps to take to inventory demand (keep capacity for use later)  Asking customers to wait in line (queue), usually on a first-come first-served basis  Offering customers the opportunity to reserve or book capacity in advance
  • 35. Why do queues exist? 35  Because number of arrivals at a facility exceeds capacity of system to process them at a specific point in the process  Queues are basically a symptom of unresolved capacity management problems
  • 36. Helping customers avoid the hassle of waiting lines 36
  • 37. Waiting In Line 37  Almost nobody likes to wait  An average person may spend up to 30 minutes/day waiting in line—equivalent to 20 months in an 80 year lifetime  It's boring, time-wasting, and sometimes physically uncomfortable  Not all queues take physical waiting in a single location  Queues may be physical but geographically dispersed  Some are virtual
  • 38. Reduce Waiting Time By: 38  Rethinking the design of queuing system  Installing reservations system  Tailoring the queuing system to different market segments  Managing customer behavior and their perceptions of wait  Redesign processes to shorten the time of each transaction
  • 40. Queue Configurations: 40  Single line sequential stage queues are appropriate for small waiting time and each stage is simple with little chances of stand-offs.  Single line to multiple servers (snake) is always preferable over multiple lines to multiple servers, as multiple lines may not move at the same speed.  Designated lines to designated servers configuration are suitable for different segments of customers and different jobs.  Take a number approach saves from the hassles of standing in the queue, if waiting time is too long. In the meantime customers can do something else.
  • 41. Different versions of queuing systems 41
  • 42. Virtual Waits 42  One problem of waiting is the waste of customers’ time  Virtual queues can eliminate the need to wait  Customers register their place in line on a computer, which estimates the time they need to reach the front of the virtual line, customers then return later to claim their place  See Service Insights 9.3 (page 283)
  • 43. Queuing Systems can be Tailored to Market Segments 43  Urgency of job  Emergencies vs. non-emergencies  Duration of service transaction  Number of items to transact  Complexity of task  Payment of premium price  Importance of customer  Frequent users/high volume purchasers vs. others
  • 45. Ten Propositions to Make Waiting More Bearable (1) 45 1. Unoccupied time feels longer than occupied time 2. Solo waits feel longer than group waits 3. Physically uncomfortable waits feel longer than comfortable ones 4. Pre- and post-process waits feel longer than in-process waits 5. Unexplained waits are longer than explained waits Sources: Maister; Davis & Heineke; Jones & Peppiatt Cont.
  • 47. Ten Propositions to Make Waiting More Bearable (2) 47 6. Unfamiliar waits seem longer than familiar ones 7. Uncertain waits are longer than known, finite waits 8. Unfair waits are longer than fair waits 9. Anxiety makes waits seem longer 10. People will wait longer for more valuable services Sources: Maister; Davis & Heineke; Jones & Peppiatt
  • 48. Uncertain waits create customer anxiety and stress 48
  • 49. 49 INVENTORY DEMAND THROUGH A RESERVATIONS SYSTEM
  • 50. Benefits of Reservations 50  Avoid customer dissatisfaction due to excessive waits  Controls and smoothes demand  Allows implementation of revenue management and preselling of service to different customer segments  Data captured helps organizations  Prepare financial projections  Plan operations and staffing levels
  • 51. Reservation systems in a library 51
  • 52. Characteristics of Well-Designed Reservations System 52  Fast and user-friendly for customers and staff  Answers customer questions  Offers options for self service (e.g. Web)  Accommodates preferences (e.g., room with view)  Deflects demand from unavailable first choices to alternative times and locations
  • 53. Reservations Strategies Should Focus on Yield 53  Yield analysis helps managers recognize opportunity cost of allocating capacity to one customer/segment when another segment might yield a higher rate later  Decisions need to be based on good information  Detailed record of past usage  Supported by current market intelligence and good marketing sense  Realistic estimate of changes of obtaining higher rated business  When firms overbook to increase yield,  Victims of over-booking should be compensated to preserve the relationship
  • 54. Setting Hotel Room Sales Targets by Segment and Time Period 54
  • 56. Summary of Chapter 9 ― Balancing Demand and Productive Capacity (1) • At any moment in time, a fixed-capacity service may face  Excess demand  Demand exceeding optimum capacity  Demand and supply well-balanced at the level of optimum capacity  Excess capacity • Managing capacity and demand  Define productive capacity  Manage capacity  Understand and manage demand  Stretching or shrinking capacity levels  Adjusting capacity to match demand 5 © Pearson Education South Asia Pte Ltd 2013. All rights reserved 6
  • 57. Summary of Chapter 9 ― Balancing Demand and Productive Capacity (2) • Five basic ways to manage demand  Take no action  Reduce demand in peak periods  Increase demand in low periods  Inventory demand using a queuing system  Inventory demand using a reservations system 5 © Pearson Education South Asia Pte Ltd 2013. All rights reserved 7
  • 58. Summary of Chapter 9 ― Balancing Demand and Productive Capacity (3) • Demand levels can be reshaped by marketing strategies  Use price and other costs to manage demand  Change product elements  Modify place and time of delivery  Use promotion and education 5 © Pearson Education South Asia Pte Ltd 2013. All rights reserved 8
  • 59. Summary of Chapter 9 ― Balancing Demand and Productive Capacity (4) • Waiting is a universal phenomenon. Waits can be reduced by  Rethinking the design of the queuing system  Installing a reservation system  Tailoring queuing system to different market segments  Managing customers’ behavior and their perceptions of the wait  Redesigning the processes to shorten the time of each transaction • An effective reservations system  Enables demand to be controlled and smoothed in manageable way  Should focus on yield  Requires information 5 © Pearson Education South Asia Pte Ltd 2013. All rights reserved 9
  • 60. Practice Exam Essay Question: 60 In a popular massage parlour, there are often customers waiting at the reception to get a massage because all the masseurs are already occupied / busy serving other customers. (a) Recommend three demand and capacity management actions this massage parlour can take to respond to the above situation. (b) Drawing on what you have learnt in relation to the psychology of waiting, how could this massage parlour make waiting more ‘bearable’ for customers?