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www.wizardea.com | contact@wizardea.com
B. M. Shahrier Majumder, PMP
PMP® Exam Preparation
Project Risk Management
www.wizardea.com | contact@wizardea.com
Learning Objectives
Upon completion of this topic you will learn about
– The processes, activities and documentation items for Project
Communication Management
– Elements (and deliverables) for Project Risk Management
– Tools and techniques of the key activities of the Project Risk
Management
3
www.wizardea.com | contact@wizardea.com
Risk Management
Includes the processes of conducting risk management planning,
identification, analysis, response planning, and monitoring and control
of a project.
4
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Key Activities of Risk Management
 Plan Risk Management: The process of defining how to conduct risk
management activities for a project.
 Identify Risks: The process of determining which risk may affect the
project and documenting their characteristics.
 Perform Qualitative Risk Analysis: The process of prioritizing risks for
further analysis or action by assessing and combining their probability
of occurrence and impact.
 Perform Quantitative Risk Analysis: The process of numerically
analyzing the effect of identified risks on overall project objectives.
5
www.wizardea.com | contact@wizardea.com
Key Activities of Risk Management
• Plan Risk Responses: The process of developing options and
actions to enhance opportunities and to reduce threats to project
objectives.
• Monitor and Control Risk: The process of implementing risk response
plans, tracking identified risks, monitoring residual risks, identified
new risks, and evaluating risk process effectiveness throughout the
project.
6
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Planning Risk Management | Data Flow Diagram
7
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Planning Risk Management
Inputs Tools & Techniques Outputs
Project scope statement
Cost management plan
Schedule management
plan
Communication
management plan
Enterprise environmental
factors
Organizational process
assets
Project meetings and
analysis
Risk management plan
8
www.wizardea.com | contact@wizardea.com
Plan Risk Management > Outputs
• Risk Management Plan
• Methodology
• Roles and responsibilities
• Budgeting
• Timing
• Risk Categories
• Definition of Risk Probability and Impact
• Probability and Impact Matrix
• Reporting Formats
• Tracking
9
www.wizardea.com | contact@wizardea.com
Identify Risks | Data Flow Diagram
www.wizardea.com | contact@wizardea.com
Identify Risks
Inputs Tools & Techniques Outputs
Risk management plan
Activity cost estimates
Activity duration estimate
Scope baseline
Stakeholder register
Cost management plan
Schedule management
plan
Quality management plan
Enterprise environmental
factors
Organizational process
assets
Documentation reviews
Information gathering
techniques
Checklist analysis
Assumption analysis
Diagramming techniques
SWOT Analysis
Expert judgment
Risk register
www.wizardea.com | contact@wizardea.com
Identify Risks > Tools and Techniques
• Information gathering techniques
• Brainstorming
• Delphi technique
• Interviewing
• Root cause analysis
• Diagramming techniques
• Cause-effect diagrams
• System or process flow charts
• Influence diagrams
12
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Identify Risks > Outputs
• Risk register
13
S/
N
Risk
Description
Category Probability
P = 1 to 10
Impact
I = 1 to 10
Exposure
E = P X I
Mitigation
Plan
Contingency
Plan
1
2
www.wizardea.com | contact@wizardea.com
Perform Qualitative Risk Analysis | DFD
www.wizardea.com | contact@wizardea.com
Perform Qualitative Risk Analysis
Inputs Tools & Techniques Outputs
Risk management plan
Risk register
Project scope statement
Organizational process
assets
Risk probability and impact
assessment
Probability and impact
matrix
Risk data quality
assessment
Risk categorization
Risk urgency assessment
Expert judgment
Risk register updates
www.wizardea.com | contact@wizardea.com
Perform Qualitative Risk Analysis > Tools and
Techniques
• Probability and Impact Matrix
• Risk Categorization
• Source of risk
• Project effected
• Project phase
16
www.wizardea.com | contact@wizardea.com
Perform Quantitative Risk Analysis | DFD
www.wizardea.com | contact@wizardea.com
Perform Quantitative Risk Analysis
Inputs Tools & Techniques Outputs
Risk management plan
Risk register
Cost management plan
Schedule management
plan
Organizational process
assets
Data gathering and
representation techniques
Quantitative risk analysis
and modeling techniques
Expert judgment
Risk register updates
www.wizardea.com | contact@wizardea.com
Perform Quantitative Risk Analysis > Tools and
Techniques
• Data gathering and representation technique
• Interviewing
• Probability distribution
• Quantitative risk analysis and modeling techniques
• Sensitivity analysis
• Expected monetary value analysis
• Modeling and simulation
19
www.wizardea.com | contact@wizardea.com
Plan Risk Response | Data Flow Diagram
www.wizardea.com | contact@wizardea.com
Plan Risk Response
Inputs Tools & Techniques Outputs
Risk management plan
Risk register
Strategies for negative
risks or threats
Strategies for positive risk
or opportunities
Contingent response
strategies
Expert judgment
Risk register updates
Risk related contract
decision
Project management plan
updates
Project document updates
www.wizardea.com | contact@wizardea.com
Plan Risk Response > Tools and Techniques
• Strategies for Negative risk or threats
• Avoid (e.g. extending schedule, reduce scope)
• Transfer (e.g. fixed price contract)
• Mitigate (e.g. more testing, choose more stable supplier)
• Accept
• Strategies for Positive risk or opportunities
• Exploit (e.g. assign most talented resources in a project/task)
• Share (e.g. joint venture)
• Enhance (e.g. adding more resources)
• Accept
22
www.wizardea.com | contact@wizardea.com
Monitoring & Control Risks | Data Flow Diagram
www.wizardea.com | contact@wizardea.com
Monitoring & Control Risks
Inputs Tools & Techniques Outputs
Risk register
Project management plan
Work performance
information
Performance reports
Risk reassessment
Risk audit
Variance and trend analysis
Technical performance
measurement
Reserve analysis
Status meetings
Risk register updates
Organization process
assets updates
Change requests
Project management plan
updates
Project document updates
www.wizardea.com | contact@wizardea.com
Questions
25
• [mail.shahrier@gmail.com]
• http://bd.linkedin.com/in/shahrier

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PMP Exam Preparation Course: 10 Project Risk Management

  • 1. www.wizardea.com | contact@wizardea.com B. M. Shahrier Majumder, PMP PMP® Exam Preparation
  • 3. www.wizardea.com | contact@wizardea.com Learning Objectives Upon completion of this topic you will learn about – The processes, activities and documentation items for Project Communication Management – Elements (and deliverables) for Project Risk Management – Tools and techniques of the key activities of the Project Risk Management 3
  • 4. www.wizardea.com | contact@wizardea.com Risk Management Includes the processes of conducting risk management planning, identification, analysis, response planning, and monitoring and control of a project. 4
  • 5. www.wizardea.com | contact@wizardea.com Key Activities of Risk Management  Plan Risk Management: The process of defining how to conduct risk management activities for a project.  Identify Risks: The process of determining which risk may affect the project and documenting their characteristics.  Perform Qualitative Risk Analysis: The process of prioritizing risks for further analysis or action by assessing and combining their probability of occurrence and impact.  Perform Quantitative Risk Analysis: The process of numerically analyzing the effect of identified risks on overall project objectives. 5
  • 6. www.wizardea.com | contact@wizardea.com Key Activities of Risk Management • Plan Risk Responses: The process of developing options and actions to enhance opportunities and to reduce threats to project objectives. • Monitor and Control Risk: The process of implementing risk response plans, tracking identified risks, monitoring residual risks, identified new risks, and evaluating risk process effectiveness throughout the project. 6
  • 7. www.wizardea.com | contact@wizardea.com Planning Risk Management | Data Flow Diagram 7
  • 8. www.wizardea.com | contact@wizardea.com Planning Risk Management Inputs Tools & Techniques Outputs Project scope statement Cost management plan Schedule management plan Communication management plan Enterprise environmental factors Organizational process assets Project meetings and analysis Risk management plan 8
  • 9. www.wizardea.com | contact@wizardea.com Plan Risk Management > Outputs • Risk Management Plan • Methodology • Roles and responsibilities • Budgeting • Timing • Risk Categories • Definition of Risk Probability and Impact • Probability and Impact Matrix • Reporting Formats • Tracking 9
  • 11. www.wizardea.com | contact@wizardea.com Identify Risks Inputs Tools & Techniques Outputs Risk management plan Activity cost estimates Activity duration estimate Scope baseline Stakeholder register Cost management plan Schedule management plan Quality management plan Enterprise environmental factors Organizational process assets Documentation reviews Information gathering techniques Checklist analysis Assumption analysis Diagramming techniques SWOT Analysis Expert judgment Risk register
  • 12. www.wizardea.com | contact@wizardea.com Identify Risks > Tools and Techniques • Information gathering techniques • Brainstorming • Delphi technique • Interviewing • Root cause analysis • Diagramming techniques • Cause-effect diagrams • System or process flow charts • Influence diagrams 12
  • 13. www.wizardea.com | contact@wizardea.com Identify Risks > Outputs • Risk register 13 S/ N Risk Description Category Probability P = 1 to 10 Impact I = 1 to 10 Exposure E = P X I Mitigation Plan Contingency Plan 1 2
  • 14. www.wizardea.com | contact@wizardea.com Perform Qualitative Risk Analysis | DFD
  • 15. www.wizardea.com | contact@wizardea.com Perform Qualitative Risk Analysis Inputs Tools & Techniques Outputs Risk management plan Risk register Project scope statement Organizational process assets Risk probability and impact assessment Probability and impact matrix Risk data quality assessment Risk categorization Risk urgency assessment Expert judgment Risk register updates
  • 16. www.wizardea.com | contact@wizardea.com Perform Qualitative Risk Analysis > Tools and Techniques • Probability and Impact Matrix • Risk Categorization • Source of risk • Project effected • Project phase 16
  • 17. www.wizardea.com | contact@wizardea.com Perform Quantitative Risk Analysis | DFD
  • 18. www.wizardea.com | contact@wizardea.com Perform Quantitative Risk Analysis Inputs Tools & Techniques Outputs Risk management plan Risk register Cost management plan Schedule management plan Organizational process assets Data gathering and representation techniques Quantitative risk analysis and modeling techniques Expert judgment Risk register updates
  • 19. www.wizardea.com | contact@wizardea.com Perform Quantitative Risk Analysis > Tools and Techniques • Data gathering and representation technique • Interviewing • Probability distribution • Quantitative risk analysis and modeling techniques • Sensitivity analysis • Expected monetary value analysis • Modeling and simulation 19
  • 20. www.wizardea.com | contact@wizardea.com Plan Risk Response | Data Flow Diagram
  • 21. www.wizardea.com | contact@wizardea.com Plan Risk Response Inputs Tools & Techniques Outputs Risk management plan Risk register Strategies for negative risks or threats Strategies for positive risk or opportunities Contingent response strategies Expert judgment Risk register updates Risk related contract decision Project management plan updates Project document updates
  • 22. www.wizardea.com | contact@wizardea.com Plan Risk Response > Tools and Techniques • Strategies for Negative risk or threats • Avoid (e.g. extending schedule, reduce scope) • Transfer (e.g. fixed price contract) • Mitigate (e.g. more testing, choose more stable supplier) • Accept • Strategies for Positive risk or opportunities • Exploit (e.g. assign most talented resources in a project/task) • Share (e.g. joint venture) • Enhance (e.g. adding more resources) • Accept 22
  • 23. www.wizardea.com | contact@wizardea.com Monitoring & Control Risks | Data Flow Diagram
  • 24. www.wizardea.com | contact@wizardea.com Monitoring & Control Risks Inputs Tools & Techniques Outputs Risk register Project management plan Work performance information Performance reports Risk reassessment Risk audit Variance and trend analysis Technical performance measurement Reserve analysis Status meetings Risk register updates Organization process assets updates Change requests Project management plan updates Project document updates
  • 25. www.wizardea.com | contact@wizardea.com Questions 25 • [mail.shahrier@gmail.com] • http://bd.linkedin.com/in/shahrier