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SECURITY AND SAFETY IN HAITI
What is the role and impact of perception surveys?


                  June 2012

               Robert Muggah
WHO IS PROMOTING SECURITY?
    Rule of Law (RoL) and security
         sector reform (SSR)
              (1991-2004)

   Disarmament, demobilization and
         reintegration (DDR)
      (1994-1996 and 2004-2006)

  Stabilizaton and community violence
             reduction (CVR)
               (2007-2012)
WHO MEASURES IMPACTS?
•   No reliable administrative data since 1990
•   Limited census or survey data since 1990
•   No valid monitoring and evaluation by UN
•   No comparative assessments by NGOs
•   A small selection of human
    rights, victimization and nutritional surveys by
    foreign research institutes

• YET MUCH SPECULATION ABOUT
  VIOLENCE
SURVEYING SECURITY
• 2005 household survey (n: 1,260) cluster
  survey focused on Port-au-Prince

• 2009 household survey (n: 2,800) including
  1,800 from Port-au-Prince and 1,000 national

• 2010 household survey (n: 2,947) including
  1,800 from Port-au-Prince and 1,147 from
  IDP camps (25 randomly selected)
SURVEY METHODS
• Multi-cluster random sampling – GPS
  coordinate sampling and random number
  table (and ILO, USDA food sec, Pearsons QoL
  index)

• Haitian, Canadian and US team members
  deployed for several months at a time
  (University of Michigan, University of
  McMaster, Igarape Institute, SAS)
SURVEY THEMES
•   Demographic and socio-economic profiles
•   Mortality and morbidity (verbal autopsy)
•   Victimization and insecurity
•   Mental health
•   Quality of life
•   Access to services
•   Attitudes toward service providers
•   Attitudes toward disarmament
HOMICIDAL VIOLENCE
   (per 100,000)
PHYSICAL ASSAULTS
   (per 100,000)
CRIME BEFORE/AFTER THE
    QUAKE (n - 2,947)
HOUSEHOLDS REPORTING
PROPERTY CRIME (n – VARIOUS)
WHO WOULD YOU TURN TO IF
ROBBED/THREATENED (n-2974)
WHO SHOULD BE RESPONSIBLE
  FOR SECURITY (n – 2,947)
LAST TIME YOU SAW THE
   POLICE (n – 2,947)
EFFECTIVENESS OF POLICE
        (n - 2,900)
CONFIDENCE IN POLICE
      (n – 2,900)
WHO IS COMMITING CRIME
     (n – VARIOUS)
RISK FACTORS FOR GANGS (1,042)
PROTECTION FACTORS FOR GANGS (1,042)
GANG MEMBERSHIP (18-29) P-AU-P
ACADEMIC IMPACTS
MEDIA IMPACTS
POLICY IMPACTS
REFLECTIONS
• Critical role of timely and targeted evidence to
  shape policy – pursue multiple outlets

• Investment in robust empirical methods and
  transparency in the methods

• Surveys are rapid/cost-effective but need to be
  supplemented – multi-prong approach

• Importance of well-trained local teams with deep
  contextual understanding

• Value of longitudinal and geo-tagged datasets
  to allow for measurement over time

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Views amidst violence: Robert Muggah presentation

  • 1. SECURITY AND SAFETY IN HAITI What is the role and impact of perception surveys? June 2012 Robert Muggah
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6. WHO IS PROMOTING SECURITY? Rule of Law (RoL) and security sector reform (SSR) (1991-2004) Disarmament, demobilization and reintegration (DDR) (1994-1996 and 2004-2006) Stabilizaton and community violence reduction (CVR) (2007-2012)
  • 7. WHO MEASURES IMPACTS? • No reliable administrative data since 1990 • Limited census or survey data since 1990 • No valid monitoring and evaluation by UN • No comparative assessments by NGOs • A small selection of human rights, victimization and nutritional surveys by foreign research institutes • YET MUCH SPECULATION ABOUT VIOLENCE
  • 8. SURVEYING SECURITY • 2005 household survey (n: 1,260) cluster survey focused on Port-au-Prince • 2009 household survey (n: 2,800) including 1,800 from Port-au-Prince and 1,000 national • 2010 household survey (n: 2,947) including 1,800 from Port-au-Prince and 1,147 from IDP camps (25 randomly selected)
  • 9. SURVEY METHODS • Multi-cluster random sampling – GPS coordinate sampling and random number table (and ILO, USDA food sec, Pearsons QoL index) • Haitian, Canadian and US team members deployed for several months at a time (University of Michigan, University of McMaster, Igarape Institute, SAS)
  • 10. SURVEY THEMES • Demographic and socio-economic profiles • Mortality and morbidity (verbal autopsy) • Victimization and insecurity • Mental health • Quality of life • Access to services • Attitudes toward service providers • Attitudes toward disarmament
  • 11. HOMICIDAL VIOLENCE (per 100,000)
  • 12. PHYSICAL ASSAULTS (per 100,000)
  • 13. CRIME BEFORE/AFTER THE QUAKE (n - 2,947)
  • 15. WHO WOULD YOU TURN TO IF ROBBED/THREATENED (n-2974)
  • 16. WHO SHOULD BE RESPONSIBLE FOR SECURITY (n – 2,947)
  • 17. LAST TIME YOU SAW THE POLICE (n – 2,947)
  • 18. EFFECTIVENESS OF POLICE (n - 2,900)
  • 19. CONFIDENCE IN POLICE (n – 2,900)
  • 20. WHO IS COMMITING CRIME (n – VARIOUS)
  • 21. RISK FACTORS FOR GANGS (1,042)
  • 22. PROTECTION FACTORS FOR GANGS (1,042)
  • 27. REFLECTIONS • Critical role of timely and targeted evidence to shape policy – pursue multiple outlets • Investment in robust empirical methods and transparency in the methods • Surveys are rapid/cost-effective but need to be supplemented – multi-prong approach • Importance of well-trained local teams with deep contextual understanding • Value of longitudinal and geo-tagged datasets to allow for measurement over time