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Anders Kvist
Head of Group Treasury
SEB

                          Cheuvreux
                         Bank Capital
                            Seminar


                             March 30, 2009




                                              1
Capital Strategy
Capital Sensitivity

Quality of capital




                      2
Capital Strategy
Capital Sensitivity

Quality of capital




                      3
Strategic goals
                         Customer               Sustainable profit
                         satisfaction:          growth
                         No 1 in chosen
 Long-                   markets
   Long-term

  term                   Highest Return on
                                                AA-rating
                         Equity




                    The leading bank in Northern Europe


               Grow revenues with existing customers through high
medium-term




               interaction and increased share of wallet
  Short-to




               Cost management

               Risk management - Credit quality and work-out activities

               Maintain a strong capital and liquidity
               position

                                                                          4
SEB’s Capital Strategy

 Already in 2005, SEB established a strategy to strengthen the
 Group’s capital adequacy in order to:
 – Manage expected growth in business volumes
 – Create a capital buffer against a possible future economic
    down-turn with lower internal capital generation and effects
    from pro-cyclicality under Basel II
 Conservative view on the general effects from Basel II - no
 anticipated major capital relief from the lower reported RWA
 under Basel II.
 Commitment to maintain a strong capital position with
 conservative dividend policy
 In addition, SEB consistently works to improve the quality of its
 capital base


                                                                     5
Capital adequacy development
                                                                                                               10
    1 200
                                                                                       8,9
                                                                                 8,6         8,6
                                                                    8,5                                        9
                                                                                                         8,4
                                                              8,3          8,3
             8,2                                        8,2                                        8,2
                                                 7,9
                   7,9   7,8
                               7,5         7,5                                                                 8
    1 000                            7,3
                                                                                                         986
                                                                                                               7
                                                                                                   937
                                                                                             871
                                                                                 842                           6
     800
                                                                                       817
                                                                          797
                                                                    783
                                                              753
                                           747
                                     741         743   741                                                     5
                               705
                         679
                   648                                                                                         4
     600
             601
                                                                                                               3

                                                                                                               2
     400

                                                                                                               1

                                                                                                               0
     200
            Q1/05 Q2/05 Q3/05 Q4/05 Q1/06 Q2/06 Q3/06 Q4/06 Q1/07 Q2/07 Q3/07 Q4/07 Q1/08 Q2/08 Q3/08 Q4/08
                                                       RWA      Tier 1 ratio

 The growth in business volumes and risk weighted assets has been
 supported by the growth in the capital base which has lead to that the
 tier 1 ratio has continuously improved since 2005


                                                                                                                    6
Capital position coming into the
financial crisis
Reported Tier 1 ratio Q4 2007

                                       8.6


                                                                      6.7




                                      SEB                         Nordic Peers*

 * Average Reported tier 1 ratio for the 5 largest Nordic banks


                                                                                  7
Dividend - % of earnings

        48,6


                   40,2
                              37,8

                                                    32,6
                                         32,0




        2003       2004       2005       2006      2007




  Earnings has been retained in the capital base to support
  business growth and improve capital ratios to manage a down
  turn


                                                                8
Dividend policy

 No dividend for the 2008 financial year
 – Enhances SEB’s capital position by SEK 4.5 bn, compared to
   maintaining the 2007 dividend
 SEB maintains its existing long-term dividend policy of 40% of
 earnings per share over a business cycle
 – Future dividends will be assessed in the light of prevailing
   economic conditions, SEB’s earnings, capital position and
   growth potential
 Short-term focus on capital preservation




                                                                  9
Recent measures taken to maintain a
    strong capital position
    Announced capital measures of SEK 19.5 bn



The capital increase will be             ● 2008 YE pro forma Tier 1
achieved through:                          Capital Ratio of 12.1% (Basel
1. A fully committed and underwritten      II without transition floor)
   rights issue of SEK 15 bn of A-shares
                                         ● New long-term Tier 1 Capital
2. No dividend payments for 2008
                                           Ratio target of 10%




                                                                           10
Background and rationale for
capital measures
       Further enhances capital ratios in response to the
 1                   changing environment
             - provides a substantial capital buffer



     Enhances SEB’s ability to be a strong business partner
 2
                     for its customers




     Addresses market expectations of higher levels of capital
 3
        in the banking sector




                                                                 11
Rights issue positions SEB in the top quartile of capital ratios among European and
      Nordic peers
      SEB is acting pro-actively in addressing any concerns surrounding its capital position
  SEB FY’08 Tier 1 ratio vs. peers                                                                                              SEB FY’08 Core Tier 1 ratio vs. peers
                                                                                                                                SEB Post-Cap Measures (8)
                                                                                                          13.3                                                                                                                         10.4
                                  (6)
                                                                                                  12.1                                                                                                                              9.9
 SEB Post-Cap Measures                                                                                                                                          (1)

                                                                                                11.5                                                                                                                             9.3
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                9.1
                                                                                            10.8
                                 (1)                                                                                                                            (1)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                9.0
                                                                                           10.7
                                 (1)

                                                                                           10.7                                                                                                                            8.6
                                                                                        10.1                                                                                                                              8.4
                                                                                        9.9                                                                                                                              8.3
                                 (1)                                                                                                                            (1)

                                                                                       9.8                                       SEB Pre-Cap Measures(7)                                                                8.0
                                 (1)

                                                                                       9.8                                                                                                                              8.0
                                 (2)

                                                                                       9.7                                                                                                                            7.8
                                 (1)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                    7.3
                                                                                      9.6                                                                       (3)
                                  (5)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    7.3
                                                                                     9.4
  SEB Pre-Cap Measures
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    7.3
                                                                                    9.3
                                 (1)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                   7.2
                                                                                    9.3
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  7.0
                                                                                   9.2                                                                          (1)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                 6.7
                                                                                   9.1                                                                          (1)

                                                                                  8.8                                                                                                                          6.7
                                                                                                                                                                (1)

                                                                                 8.5                                                                                                                          6.4
                                 (3)                                                                                                                            (2)

                                                                                                                                                                                                             6.2
                                                                              7.9
                                                                                                                                                                                                             6.2
                                                                              7.9                                                                               (4)

                                                                                                                                                                                                          5.7
                                                                        6.9
                                 (4)                                                                                                                            (4)

                                                                                                                                                                                                         5.5
                                                                       6.5
                                 (4)



                                                   Other Western European Banks
              Nordic banks

Ratios are based on latest available company reports (presented on Basel II basis and, where available, without transitional floors) and adjusted pro forma for announced dividend cuts, capital injections, mergers and
acquisitions. Peers include the top 20 Western European banks by market cap and the six largest Nordic banks by market cap as at 03/03/2009.
Notes:
(1) Pro forma for capital injection (2) Pro forma for acquisition (3) As of 30/06/2008 (4) As of 30/09/2009 (5) Based on Tier 1 capital of SEK82,463 M as of 31/12/08, less SEK4,500 M of dividend cancelled pursuant to capital
measures announced by SEB, less reduction in Tier 1 capital contribution of SEK786 M from perpetual subordinated debts as a result of the decreased share capital level, divided by total risk-weighted assets of SEK 817,788 M
(6) Based on Tier 1 capital of SEK98,666 M, as adjusted for the amount of net proceeds of the rights issue, divided by total risk-weighted assets of SEK 817,788 M (7) Tier 1 capital per footnote (5) less Tier 1 capital contribution
of SEK 12,371M, divided by risk-weighted assets of SEK 817,788M (8) Tier 1 capital per footnote (6) less Tier 1 capital contribution of SEK 13,974M, divided by risk-weighted assets of SEK 817,788M.




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              12
Rights issue significantly improves leverage ratios
     SEB’s lending to the public only constitutes half of the balance sheet *
                                                                                                                                                                                                     (9)
SEB FY’08 Tier 1 capital / total assets vs. peers                                                      SEB FY’08 tangible equity / tangible assets vs. peers
                                                                                                                                                                                              4.7
                                                                                            4.4
                          (1)

                                                                                                                                                                                        4.3
                                                                                            4.4
                          (2)                                                                                                     (4)

                                                                                                                                                                                   4.0
                                                                                          4.4
                                                                                                                                                                                3.7
                                                                                          4.4                                     (1)
                          (3)

                                                                                                                                                                                3.7
                                                                                         4.3
                                                                                                                                                                               3.6
                                                                                         4.3                                      (3)

                                                                                                                                                                               3.6
                                                                                      4.1                                         (1)

                                                                                                                                                                             3.4
                                                                                      4.1
                           (6)
                                                                                                                                                                          3.2
                                                                                   3.9
SEB Post-Cap Measures
                                                                                                                                                                          3.2
                                                                                  3.8
                          (1)                                                                                                     (1)

                                                                                                                                                                          3.2
                                                                               3.6                                                (4)
                          (1)
                                                                                                                                   (8)
                                                                                                                                                                         3.1
                                                                                                         SEB Post-Cap Measures
                                                                             3.4
                                                                                                                                                                       2.9
                          (5)
                                                                       3.1
 SEB Pre-Cap Measures                                                                                                             (1)

                                                                                                          SEB Pre-Cap Measures(7)                                   2.6
                                                                     2.9
                                                                                                                                                                2.3
                                                                   2.8
                          (1)                                                                                                     (1)

                                                                                                                                                               2.2
                                                                 2.6
                          (1)

                                                                                                                                                               2.2
                                                                2.5                                                               (1)
                                                                                    * The other half of the balance
                                                                                                                                                              2.1
                                                               2.4
                          (1)
                                                                                   sheet consists i a of insurance
                                                                                                                                                           1.8
                                                         2.0                       assets and liabilities on behalf               (1)
                          (1)

                                                                                   of policy holders, public                                              1.7
                                                         2.0
                          (1)
                                                                                   covered bond funding with
                                                                                                                                                          1.7
                                                        1.9                                                                       (1)
                                                                                   assets maintained on the
                                                                                                                                                        1.5
                                                      1.7                          balance sheet and derivatives.
                                                                                                                                                  1.0
                                                1.4

                                         Other Western European Banks
          Nordic banks
Ratios are based on latest available company reports (intangible assets from most recent disclosure provided) and adjusted pro forma for announced dividend cuts, capital injections, mergers and
acquisitions. Peers include the top 20 Western European banks by market cap and the six largest Nordic banks by market cap as at 03/03/2009.
Notes:
(1) Pro forma for acquisition (2) Pro forma for capital injection (3) As of 30/06/2008 (4) As of 30/09/2008 (5) Based on Tier 1 capital of SEK82,463 M as of 31/12/08, less SEK4,500 M of dividend
cancelled pursuant to capital measures announced by SEB, less reduction in Tier 1 capital contribution of SEK786 M from perpetual subordinated debts as a result of the decreased share capital level,
divided by total assets of SEK 2,510,702 M (6) Based on Tier 1 capital of SEK98,666 M, as adjusted for the amount of net proceeds of the rights issue, divided by total assets of SEK 2,525,302M,
adjusted for SEK14,600M net proceeds of rights issue (7) Tangible equity based on total equity of SEK83,729M less intangible assets of SEK 19,395M, and tangible assets based on total assets of
SEK2,510,702 less intangble assets of SEK19,395M (8) Based on tangible equity and tangible assets per footnote (7) adjusted for SEK14,600M of net proceeds of rights issue (9) Tangible equity is
calculated as total shareholders’ equity plus minority interest less intangible assets, and tangible assets are calculated as total assets less intangible assets.




                                                                                                                                                                                                           13
Capital Strategy
Capital Sensitivity

Quality of capital




                      14
Capital sensitivity

Main drivers
  Currency mis-match between risk weighted assets and capital
  base
  Risk class migration Risk on new exposures (“entries”) and
  maturing exposures (“exits”)


Stress test




                                                                15
Distribution of credit portfolio and
   credit risk RWA
Credit portfolio by geography                      RWA (Basel II) by currency
                                                            OTH
                                                            12%
                                                      LTL
                    Norway 6%
   Sweden                                             2%
                           Denmark 2%
    50%                                             LVL
                              Finland 2%            1%
                                              EEK
                                               1%


                                                                                EUR
                                                                                43%
                            Germany
                             25%

                                              SEK
                                              27%



                                      Estonia 3%
                                 Latvia 3%
                           Lithuania 5%
                    Other 5%                                        USD
                                                                    14%




                                                                                      16
Currency composition of the tier 1 capital

Tier 1 capital                                                               31 Dec
SEKm                                                                          2008
Total equity according to balance sheet                                      83 729
./. Dividend (excl repurchased shares)                                            0
./. Deductions for investments outside the financial group of undertakings      - 76
./. O ther deductions outside the financial group of undertakings            - 2 878
                                                                                       Mainly SEK denominated
= Total equity in the capital adequacy                                       80 775
                                                                                       due to equity hedging of
A djustment for hedge contracts                                              - 1 395
                                                                                       non-Swedish subsidiaries
Net provisioning amount for IR B- reported credit exposures                  - 1 133
U nrealised value changes on available- for- sale financial assets            3 062
./. G oodwill                                                                - 7 305
./. O ther intangible assets                                                 - 2 090
./. Deferred tax assets                                                      - 1 822
= Core Tier I capital                                                        70 092     USD 1 100 M
                                                                                        EUR 500 M
Tier I capital contribution (H ybrid capital)                                12 371
= Tier I capital                                                             82 463




      The mis-match between the currency distribution of credit risk RWA
      and the currency composition of the tier 1 capital implies that capital
      ratios will be affected by changes in the FX rates.




                                                                                                                  17
Risk class migration
 Background on SEB’s methodology

     SEB uses through-the-cycle Probability of Default (PD)
     estimates
     Reflects the expected long-term average default frequency over
     a full business cycle
     The PD values are calculated as averages of the internal*
     historical observed default frequencies over one or more full
     business cycles (data from the early 1990s).
     Similarly Loss Given Defaults (LGD)** and Credit Conversion
     Factors (CCF)** estimates are based on the Group’s historical
     data together with relevant external data used e.g. for business
     cycle

* In those geographies where internal data has been insufficient, external data have been used
** For those models were own estimates are used



                                                                                                 18
Estimated Probability of Default (PD)
frequency versus Observed Default (OD) frequency
Non-retail portfolio, 2008


                     1.61




                                                0.77




                    Est PD                      OD

    Buffer for higher actual observed defaults compared to estimated PD
    No trigger for a general risk class migration across the portfolio



                                                                          19
Average risk class and risk class
    migration 2008
        Loan book quality improved despite challenging environment
        Average risk class of corporate book improved in 2008
        Limited impact of risk class migration
        New lending to high grade customers more than offset risk class migration in 2008

              Corporate risk class migration during Q4 2008*                                SEB Group           Average risk class
100%                                                                                        (Excl households and banks)
                                             90.4%
                                                                                            ● Average year-end 2007          6.95
 80%
                                                                                            ● Net negative risk migration   +0.15
 60%
                                                                                            ● Effect from new volumes       -0.30
                       Down-Rated                                Up-Rated
 40%
                                                                                            ● Average year-end 2008          6.81
 20%
                              4.9%
          0.4% 0.3% 1.4% 1.1%                        1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2%
                                                                                              In 2008, ratings migration of
   0%
                                                                                              non-retail exposure is
          >-4     -4      -3     -2     -1     0      1      2       3      4    >+4
                                                                                              estimated to have increased
                # of internal risk class rating notches up- or down-rated
                                                                                              RWA net by SEK 23bn, 2.8%.
* Based on SEK 778bn of Exposure at Default (EAD) included in the IRB reported RWA
calculation and where exposures existed at the end of Q3 and Q4 2008. As such, 94% of the
Group’s corporate EAD for IRB is included. The remainder is explained by the inclusion of
additional volumes in IRB during the quarter.




                                                                                                                                     20
Stress tests
Integrated part of capital planning

 “Bottom-up” approach to stress testing, utilizing all SEB areas of
 expertise
 Estimated the impact of a range of GDP scenarios, including a
 severe worsening, in each of our core markets on
 – revenues and expenses
 – loan losses
 – capital and capital requirements
 Modelled scenarios, taking into account a range of GDP
 scenarios and drawing upon experience of the Swedish banking
 crisis in the early 1990’s and past crises comparable to the one
 in Baltics




                                                                      21
Example
 Regression of Swedish Bankruptcy index with GDP growth
  5,0%                                                                                                                                  0
             GDP growth
             Corp def index

  4,0%                                                                                                                                  50




  3,0%                                                                                                                                  100




  2,0%                                                                                                                                  150




  1,0%                                                                                                                                  200




  0,0%                                                                                                                                  250
         1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006


 -1,0%                                                                                                                                  300




 -2,0%                                                                                                                                  350




 -3,0%                                                                                                                                  400


Actual bankruptcy rates correlate well to GDP and form a good base
for the modelling
                                                                                                                                              22
Capital Strategy
Capital Sensitivity

Quality of capital




                      23
Quality of the capital base
Focus on true loss absorption
Focus on core capital but hybrid capital     100%
with true loss absorption valuable as a
                                                                                      32.1
complement
                                                               35.5
                                               80%
Active strategy to improve the quality and
                                                                                      8.6
loss absorption capacity of the capital                                               5.5
                                                                7.5
                                               60%
base:                                                                                 80.8
                                                               60.6
● LT2 redemption in June 2007 replaced
  by hybrid tier 1 capital in December         40%
  2007
● € 500 hybrid tier 1 capital issued in        20%
  December 2007 - enhanced loss
  absorption capacity; cancellation of
                                                 0%
  coupon payments and write-down of
                                                           'Dec 2006            'Dec 2008
  principal pre-liquidation
                                              Equity *                    Enhanced hybrid capital
                                              Hybrid capital              Tier II

                                             * Total equity in the capital adequacy




                                                                                                    24
Capital base
 Capital base                                                      December 31, 2008      PF December 31, 2008
 SEKm                                                                                  (Rights issue of SEK 15 bn)
 Total equity according to balance sheet                                 83 729                    98 729
 ./. Proposed dividend (excl repurchased shares)                            0                         0
 ./. Deductions for investments outside the financial group o              -76                       -76
 ./. Other deductions outside the financial group of undertak            -2 878                    -2 878
 Total equity in the capital adequacy                                    80 775                    95 775
 Adjustment for hedge contracts                                          -1 395                    -1 395
 Net provisioning amount for IRB-reported credit exposures               -1 133                    -1 133
 Unrealised value changes on available-for-sale financial as              3 062                     3 062
 ./. Goodwill                                                            -7 305                    -7 305
 ./. Other intangible assets                                             -2 090                    -2 090
 ./. Deferred tax assets                                                 -1 822                    -1 822
 Core equity Tier 1                                                      70 092                    85 092
 Hybrid tier 1 capital                                                   12 371                    13 974
 Tier 1 capital                                                          82 463                    99 066
 Dated subordinated debt                                                 21 552                    21 552
 ./. Deduction for remaining maturity                                    -2 242                    -2 242
 Perpetual subordinated debt                                             14 421                   12 892
 Net provisioning amount for IRB-reported credit exposures               -1 133                    -1 133
 Unrealised gains on available-for-sale financial assets                 1 221                      1 221
 ./. Deductions for investments outside the financial group o              -76                       -76
 Supplementary capital (tier 2)                                          33 743                    32 214
 ./. Deductions for investments in insurance companies                  -10 620                   -10 620
 ./. Deduction for pension assets in excess of related liabiliti          -863                      -863
 Capital base                                                           104 723                  119 797




                                                                                                                     25
Capital base incl rights issue
Hybrid capital capacity
     SEK M
             140 000

             120 000
                                                                              14 860
             100 000                                                           886
                                                                              13 974
                                      12 371
              80 000                  12 371

              60 000

                                                                              85 092
              40 000
                                      70 092
              20 000

                  0
                                  Dec 31 2008                         Proforma Dec 31 2008

          Core equity tier 1   Innovative Tier 1   Additional Innovative Tier 1   Non-innovative tier 1


  The rights issue will increase the space for innovative hybrid capital by c. SEK 2,5 bn. The
  c. SEK 1,6 bn of SEB’s existing non-innovative hybrid capital that currently falls outside the
  15 % limit will be included as tier 1 when the rights issue is finalized. This leaves an
  unutilized amount of c. SEK 0,9 bn of innovative hybrid space.
  The current unutilized space for non-innovative hybrid capital will increase from SEK 12,7
  bn to SEK 14,9 bn


                                                                                                          26
Issued subordinated debt

                                               Maturity     First call
  Issue date              Ratings Format       date         date         Step-up                  Currency Size (mn)
  Lower Tier II Issues

               6-Oct-04 Aa3/A/A     10NC5       6-Oct-14      6-Oct-09        3-mth € + 175 bps       EUR        750
             20-May-03 Aa3/A/A      12NC7      28-May-15     28-May-10        3-mth € + 213 bps       EUR        500
             15-Sep-05 Aa3/A/A      12NC7      28-Sep-17     28-Sep-12         3-mth €+ 175bps        EUR        500

  Upper Tier II Issues

              25-okt-00   Aa3/A-/A PerpNCIO     Perpetual    30-okt-10       3-mth $L + 280 bps       USD           2
              9-Dec-05    Aa3/A-/A PerpNCS      Perpetual    09-dec-10        3-mth £L+ 183bps        GBP         500
             28-Nov-06    Aa3/A-/A PerpNCS      Perpetual    28-nov-11        3-mth £L+ 184bps        GBP         375
             29-Dec-97    Aa3/A-/A Perpetual    Perpetual    28-jan-28    6-mth JPY L + 150 bps       JPY      15 000
             26-Jun-95    Aa3/A-/A Perpetual    Perpetual    24-nov-15    6-mth JPY L + 200 bps       JPY      10 000

  Tier I Issues - Hybrid capital
              19-Mar-04 A1/A-/A PerpNCIO        Perpetual    25-mar-14        3-mth $L+ 182bps         USD       500
              23-Mar-05 A1/A-/A PerpNCIO        Perpetual    23-mar-15        3-mth $L+ 154bps         USD       600
              17-Dec-07 A1/A-/A PerpNCIO        Perpetual    21-dec-17        3-mth € + 340 bps        EUR       500




                                                                                                                        27

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SEB Chevreux Conference Stockholm March 2009

  • 1. Anders Kvist Head of Group Treasury SEB Cheuvreux Bank Capital Seminar March 30, 2009 1
  • 4. Strategic goals Customer Sustainable profit satisfaction: growth No 1 in chosen Long- markets Long-term term Highest Return on AA-rating Equity The leading bank in Northern Europe Grow revenues with existing customers through high medium-term interaction and increased share of wallet Short-to Cost management Risk management - Credit quality and work-out activities Maintain a strong capital and liquidity position 4
  • 5. SEB’s Capital Strategy Already in 2005, SEB established a strategy to strengthen the Group’s capital adequacy in order to: – Manage expected growth in business volumes – Create a capital buffer against a possible future economic down-turn with lower internal capital generation and effects from pro-cyclicality under Basel II Conservative view on the general effects from Basel II - no anticipated major capital relief from the lower reported RWA under Basel II. Commitment to maintain a strong capital position with conservative dividend policy In addition, SEB consistently works to improve the quality of its capital base 5
  • 6. Capital adequacy development 10 1 200 8,9 8,6 8,6 8,5 9 8,4 8,3 8,3 8,2 8,2 8,2 7,9 7,9 7,8 7,5 7,5 8 1 000 7,3 986 7 937 871 842 6 800 817 797 783 753 747 741 743 741 5 705 679 648 4 600 601 3 2 400 1 0 200 Q1/05 Q2/05 Q3/05 Q4/05 Q1/06 Q2/06 Q3/06 Q4/06 Q1/07 Q2/07 Q3/07 Q4/07 Q1/08 Q2/08 Q3/08 Q4/08 RWA Tier 1 ratio The growth in business volumes and risk weighted assets has been supported by the growth in the capital base which has lead to that the tier 1 ratio has continuously improved since 2005 6
  • 7. Capital position coming into the financial crisis Reported Tier 1 ratio Q4 2007 8.6 6.7 SEB Nordic Peers* * Average Reported tier 1 ratio for the 5 largest Nordic banks 7
  • 8. Dividend - % of earnings 48,6 40,2 37,8 32,6 32,0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Earnings has been retained in the capital base to support business growth and improve capital ratios to manage a down turn 8
  • 9. Dividend policy No dividend for the 2008 financial year – Enhances SEB’s capital position by SEK 4.5 bn, compared to maintaining the 2007 dividend SEB maintains its existing long-term dividend policy of 40% of earnings per share over a business cycle – Future dividends will be assessed in the light of prevailing economic conditions, SEB’s earnings, capital position and growth potential Short-term focus on capital preservation 9
  • 10. Recent measures taken to maintain a strong capital position Announced capital measures of SEK 19.5 bn The capital increase will be ● 2008 YE pro forma Tier 1 achieved through: Capital Ratio of 12.1% (Basel 1. A fully committed and underwritten II without transition floor) rights issue of SEK 15 bn of A-shares ● New long-term Tier 1 Capital 2. No dividend payments for 2008 Ratio target of 10% 10
  • 11. Background and rationale for capital measures Further enhances capital ratios in response to the 1 changing environment - provides a substantial capital buffer Enhances SEB’s ability to be a strong business partner 2 for its customers Addresses market expectations of higher levels of capital 3 in the banking sector 11
  • 12. Rights issue positions SEB in the top quartile of capital ratios among European and Nordic peers SEB is acting pro-actively in addressing any concerns surrounding its capital position SEB FY’08 Tier 1 ratio vs. peers SEB FY’08 Core Tier 1 ratio vs. peers SEB Post-Cap Measures (8) 13.3 10.4 (6) 12.1 9.9 SEB Post-Cap Measures (1) 11.5 9.3 9.1 10.8 (1) (1) 9.0 10.7 (1) 10.7 8.6 10.1 8.4 9.9 8.3 (1) (1) 9.8 SEB Pre-Cap Measures(7) 8.0 (1) 9.8 8.0 (2) 9.7 7.8 (1) 7.3 9.6 (3) (5) 7.3 9.4 SEB Pre-Cap Measures 7.3 9.3 (1) 7.2 9.3 7.0 9.2 (1) 6.7 9.1 (1) 8.8 6.7 (1) 8.5 6.4 (3) (2) 6.2 7.9 6.2 7.9 (4) 5.7 6.9 (4) (4) 5.5 6.5 (4) Other Western European Banks Nordic banks Ratios are based on latest available company reports (presented on Basel II basis and, where available, without transitional floors) and adjusted pro forma for announced dividend cuts, capital injections, mergers and acquisitions. Peers include the top 20 Western European banks by market cap and the six largest Nordic banks by market cap as at 03/03/2009. Notes: (1) Pro forma for capital injection (2) Pro forma for acquisition (3) As of 30/06/2008 (4) As of 30/09/2009 (5) Based on Tier 1 capital of SEK82,463 M as of 31/12/08, less SEK4,500 M of dividend cancelled pursuant to capital measures announced by SEB, less reduction in Tier 1 capital contribution of SEK786 M from perpetual subordinated debts as a result of the decreased share capital level, divided by total risk-weighted assets of SEK 817,788 M (6) Based on Tier 1 capital of SEK98,666 M, as adjusted for the amount of net proceeds of the rights issue, divided by total risk-weighted assets of SEK 817,788 M (7) Tier 1 capital per footnote (5) less Tier 1 capital contribution of SEK 12,371M, divided by risk-weighted assets of SEK 817,788M (8) Tier 1 capital per footnote (6) less Tier 1 capital contribution of SEK 13,974M, divided by risk-weighted assets of SEK 817,788M. 12
  • 13. Rights issue significantly improves leverage ratios SEB’s lending to the public only constitutes half of the balance sheet * (9) SEB FY’08 Tier 1 capital / total assets vs. peers SEB FY’08 tangible equity / tangible assets vs. peers 4.7 4.4 (1) 4.3 4.4 (2) (4) 4.0 4.4 3.7 4.4 (1) (3) 3.7 4.3 3.6 4.3 (3) 3.6 4.1 (1) 3.4 4.1 (6) 3.2 3.9 SEB Post-Cap Measures 3.2 3.8 (1) (1) 3.2 3.6 (4) (1) (8) 3.1 SEB Post-Cap Measures 3.4 2.9 (5) 3.1 SEB Pre-Cap Measures (1) SEB Pre-Cap Measures(7) 2.6 2.9 2.3 2.8 (1) (1) 2.2 2.6 (1) 2.2 2.5 (1) * The other half of the balance 2.1 2.4 (1) sheet consists i a of insurance 1.8 2.0 assets and liabilities on behalf (1) (1) of policy holders, public 1.7 2.0 (1) covered bond funding with 1.7 1.9 (1) assets maintained on the 1.5 1.7 balance sheet and derivatives. 1.0 1.4 Other Western European Banks Nordic banks Ratios are based on latest available company reports (intangible assets from most recent disclosure provided) and adjusted pro forma for announced dividend cuts, capital injections, mergers and acquisitions. Peers include the top 20 Western European banks by market cap and the six largest Nordic banks by market cap as at 03/03/2009. Notes: (1) Pro forma for acquisition (2) Pro forma for capital injection (3) As of 30/06/2008 (4) As of 30/09/2008 (5) Based on Tier 1 capital of SEK82,463 M as of 31/12/08, less SEK4,500 M of dividend cancelled pursuant to capital measures announced by SEB, less reduction in Tier 1 capital contribution of SEK786 M from perpetual subordinated debts as a result of the decreased share capital level, divided by total assets of SEK 2,510,702 M (6) Based on Tier 1 capital of SEK98,666 M, as adjusted for the amount of net proceeds of the rights issue, divided by total assets of SEK 2,525,302M, adjusted for SEK14,600M net proceeds of rights issue (7) Tangible equity based on total equity of SEK83,729M less intangible assets of SEK 19,395M, and tangible assets based on total assets of SEK2,510,702 less intangble assets of SEK19,395M (8) Based on tangible equity and tangible assets per footnote (7) adjusted for SEK14,600M of net proceeds of rights issue (9) Tangible equity is calculated as total shareholders’ equity plus minority interest less intangible assets, and tangible assets are calculated as total assets less intangible assets. 13
  • 15. Capital sensitivity Main drivers Currency mis-match between risk weighted assets and capital base Risk class migration Risk on new exposures (“entries”) and maturing exposures (“exits”) Stress test 15
  • 16. Distribution of credit portfolio and credit risk RWA Credit portfolio by geography RWA (Basel II) by currency OTH 12% LTL Norway 6% Sweden 2% Denmark 2% 50% LVL Finland 2% 1% EEK 1% EUR 43% Germany 25% SEK 27% Estonia 3% Latvia 3% Lithuania 5% Other 5% USD 14% 16
  • 17. Currency composition of the tier 1 capital Tier 1 capital 31 Dec SEKm 2008 Total equity according to balance sheet 83 729 ./. Dividend (excl repurchased shares) 0 ./. Deductions for investments outside the financial group of undertakings - 76 ./. O ther deductions outside the financial group of undertakings - 2 878 Mainly SEK denominated = Total equity in the capital adequacy 80 775 due to equity hedging of A djustment for hedge contracts - 1 395 non-Swedish subsidiaries Net provisioning amount for IR B- reported credit exposures - 1 133 U nrealised value changes on available- for- sale financial assets 3 062 ./. G oodwill - 7 305 ./. O ther intangible assets - 2 090 ./. Deferred tax assets - 1 822 = Core Tier I capital 70 092 USD 1 100 M EUR 500 M Tier I capital contribution (H ybrid capital) 12 371 = Tier I capital 82 463 The mis-match between the currency distribution of credit risk RWA and the currency composition of the tier 1 capital implies that capital ratios will be affected by changes in the FX rates. 17
  • 18. Risk class migration Background on SEB’s methodology SEB uses through-the-cycle Probability of Default (PD) estimates Reflects the expected long-term average default frequency over a full business cycle The PD values are calculated as averages of the internal* historical observed default frequencies over one or more full business cycles (data from the early 1990s). Similarly Loss Given Defaults (LGD)** and Credit Conversion Factors (CCF)** estimates are based on the Group’s historical data together with relevant external data used e.g. for business cycle * In those geographies where internal data has been insufficient, external data have been used ** For those models were own estimates are used 18
  • 19. Estimated Probability of Default (PD) frequency versus Observed Default (OD) frequency Non-retail portfolio, 2008 1.61 0.77 Est PD OD Buffer for higher actual observed defaults compared to estimated PD No trigger for a general risk class migration across the portfolio 19
  • 20. Average risk class and risk class migration 2008 Loan book quality improved despite challenging environment Average risk class of corporate book improved in 2008 Limited impact of risk class migration New lending to high grade customers more than offset risk class migration in 2008 Corporate risk class migration during Q4 2008* SEB Group Average risk class 100% (Excl households and banks) 90.4% ● Average year-end 2007 6.95 80% ● Net negative risk migration +0.15 60% ● Effect from new volumes -0.30 Down-Rated Up-Rated 40% ● Average year-end 2008 6.81 20% 4.9% 0.4% 0.3% 1.4% 1.1% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% In 2008, ratings migration of 0% non-retail exposure is >-4 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 >+4 estimated to have increased # of internal risk class rating notches up- or down-rated RWA net by SEK 23bn, 2.8%. * Based on SEK 778bn of Exposure at Default (EAD) included in the IRB reported RWA calculation and where exposures existed at the end of Q3 and Q4 2008. As such, 94% of the Group’s corporate EAD for IRB is included. The remainder is explained by the inclusion of additional volumes in IRB during the quarter. 20
  • 21. Stress tests Integrated part of capital planning “Bottom-up” approach to stress testing, utilizing all SEB areas of expertise Estimated the impact of a range of GDP scenarios, including a severe worsening, in each of our core markets on – revenues and expenses – loan losses – capital and capital requirements Modelled scenarios, taking into account a range of GDP scenarios and drawing upon experience of the Swedish banking crisis in the early 1990’s and past crises comparable to the one in Baltics 21
  • 22. Example Regression of Swedish Bankruptcy index with GDP growth 5,0% 0 GDP growth Corp def index 4,0% 50 3,0% 100 2,0% 150 1,0% 200 0,0% 250 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 -1,0% 300 -2,0% 350 -3,0% 400 Actual bankruptcy rates correlate well to GDP and form a good base for the modelling 22
  • 24. Quality of the capital base Focus on true loss absorption Focus on core capital but hybrid capital 100% with true loss absorption valuable as a 32.1 complement 35.5 80% Active strategy to improve the quality and 8.6 loss absorption capacity of the capital 5.5 7.5 60% base: 80.8 60.6 ● LT2 redemption in June 2007 replaced by hybrid tier 1 capital in December 40% 2007 ● € 500 hybrid tier 1 capital issued in 20% December 2007 - enhanced loss absorption capacity; cancellation of 0% coupon payments and write-down of 'Dec 2006 'Dec 2008 principal pre-liquidation Equity * Enhanced hybrid capital Hybrid capital Tier II * Total equity in the capital adequacy 24
  • 25. Capital base Capital base December 31, 2008 PF December 31, 2008 SEKm (Rights issue of SEK 15 bn) Total equity according to balance sheet 83 729 98 729 ./. Proposed dividend (excl repurchased shares) 0 0 ./. Deductions for investments outside the financial group o -76 -76 ./. Other deductions outside the financial group of undertak -2 878 -2 878 Total equity in the capital adequacy 80 775 95 775 Adjustment for hedge contracts -1 395 -1 395 Net provisioning amount for IRB-reported credit exposures -1 133 -1 133 Unrealised value changes on available-for-sale financial as 3 062 3 062 ./. Goodwill -7 305 -7 305 ./. Other intangible assets -2 090 -2 090 ./. Deferred tax assets -1 822 -1 822 Core equity Tier 1 70 092 85 092 Hybrid tier 1 capital 12 371 13 974 Tier 1 capital 82 463 99 066 Dated subordinated debt 21 552 21 552 ./. Deduction for remaining maturity -2 242 -2 242 Perpetual subordinated debt 14 421 12 892 Net provisioning amount for IRB-reported credit exposures -1 133 -1 133 Unrealised gains on available-for-sale financial assets 1 221 1 221 ./. Deductions for investments outside the financial group o -76 -76 Supplementary capital (tier 2) 33 743 32 214 ./. Deductions for investments in insurance companies -10 620 -10 620 ./. Deduction for pension assets in excess of related liabiliti -863 -863 Capital base 104 723 119 797 25
  • 26. Capital base incl rights issue Hybrid capital capacity SEK M 140 000 120 000 14 860 100 000 886 13 974 12 371 80 000 12 371 60 000 85 092 40 000 70 092 20 000 0 Dec 31 2008 Proforma Dec 31 2008 Core equity tier 1 Innovative Tier 1 Additional Innovative Tier 1 Non-innovative tier 1 The rights issue will increase the space for innovative hybrid capital by c. SEK 2,5 bn. The c. SEK 1,6 bn of SEB’s existing non-innovative hybrid capital that currently falls outside the 15 % limit will be included as tier 1 when the rights issue is finalized. This leaves an unutilized amount of c. SEK 0,9 bn of innovative hybrid space. The current unutilized space for non-innovative hybrid capital will increase from SEK 12,7 bn to SEK 14,9 bn 26
  • 27. Issued subordinated debt Maturity First call Issue date Ratings Format date date Step-up Currency Size (mn) Lower Tier II Issues 6-Oct-04 Aa3/A/A 10NC5 6-Oct-14 6-Oct-09 3-mth € + 175 bps EUR 750 20-May-03 Aa3/A/A 12NC7 28-May-15 28-May-10 3-mth € + 213 bps EUR 500 15-Sep-05 Aa3/A/A 12NC7 28-Sep-17 28-Sep-12 3-mth €+ 175bps EUR 500 Upper Tier II Issues 25-okt-00 Aa3/A-/A PerpNCIO Perpetual 30-okt-10 3-mth $L + 280 bps USD 2 9-Dec-05 Aa3/A-/A PerpNCS Perpetual 09-dec-10 3-mth £L+ 183bps GBP 500 28-Nov-06 Aa3/A-/A PerpNCS Perpetual 28-nov-11 3-mth £L+ 184bps GBP 375 29-Dec-97 Aa3/A-/A Perpetual Perpetual 28-jan-28 6-mth JPY L + 150 bps JPY 15 000 26-Jun-95 Aa3/A-/A Perpetual Perpetual 24-nov-15 6-mth JPY L + 200 bps JPY 10 000 Tier I Issues - Hybrid capital 19-Mar-04 A1/A-/A PerpNCIO Perpetual 25-mar-14 3-mth $L+ 182bps USD 500 23-Mar-05 A1/A-/A PerpNCIO Perpetual 23-mar-15 3-mth $L+ 154bps USD 600 17-Dec-07 A1/A-/A PerpNCIO Perpetual 21-dec-17 3-mth € + 340 bps EUR 500 27