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The	
  5	
  Stages	
  of	
  Market	
  Evolu4on	
  in	
  the	
  Compu4ng	
  Industry	
  
	
  
	
  
Red	
  Ocean	
  Disrup/on	
  (ROD)	
  Graphing	
  for	
  Visualizing	
  Pa/erns	
  in	
  the	
  Evolu5on	
  of	
  Mul5-­‐sided	
  Business	
  Models	
  
Register	
  at	
  www.visionaryd.com	
  to	
  learn	
  more	
  about	
  Business	
  Model	
  Stripping.	
  	
  
Lean	
  Startup	
  Coach.	
  Dr.	
  Rod	
  King.	
  rodkuhnhking@gmail.com	
  &	
  h/p://businessmodels.ning.com	
  &	
  h/p://twi/er.com/RodKuhnKing	
  
ORPHAN	
  
(Stone)	
  
Pa/ern	
  
CHAIN	
  
(Linear/Pipe)	
  
Pa/ern	
  
TREE	
  
(Hierarchical/V-­‐)	
  
Pa/ern	
  
TRIANGLE	
  
(Network)	
  
Pa/ern	
  
WEB	
  
(Network)	
  
Pa/ern	
  
No	
  Market	
   1-­‐Sided	
  Market	
   2-­‐Sided	
  Market	
   2-­‐Sided	
  Market	
   Mul5-­‐sided	
  Market	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
From	
  
Ver4cal	
  
Integra4on	
  
(Bundling;	
  
Centraliza5on)	
  
To	
  Horizontal	
  
Integra4on	
  
(Unbundling;	
  
Decentraliza5on;	
  
Outsourcing)	
  
Ver5cal	
  Integra5on	
  
(Miniaturiza5on):	
  
	
  
q IBM	
  (Mainframe)	
  
q Apple	
  Computer	
  
q IBM	
  (PC)	
  
Ver5cal	
  Disintegra5on	
  
(Modulariza5on):	
  
	
  
q Hardware:	
  IBM	
  (PC);	
  Intel	
  
q SoXware:	
  MicrosoX	
  
(MSDOS)	
  
	
  
Physical	
  Horizontal	
  
Integra5on	
  (Bridging):	
  
	
  
q SoXware	
  PlaZorm	
  
Integra5on:	
  
MicrosoX	
  
(Windows)	
  
Online	
  Horizontal	
  Integra5on	
  
(Networking;	
  Interoperability):	
  
	
  
q SoXware	
  Econetwork:	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  Google	
  
Supplier	
  
(Enterprise)	
  
Customer	
  1	
  
(Hardware)	
  
Customer	
  2	
  
(SoXware)	
  
Customer	
  1	
  
(Hardware)	
  
Customer	
  2	
  
(SoXware)	
  
Supplier	
  
(Hardware	
  &	
  SoRware)	
  
Supplier	
  
(SoRware)	
  
Customer	
  
(Hardware	
  &	
  SoXware)	
  
Supplier	
  
(Hardware	
  &	
  SoRware)	
  
Customer	
  1	
  
(Hardware)	
  
Customer	
  2	
  
(SoXware)	
  
Customer	
  3	
  
(3rd	
  Party	
  
Developer)	
  
Supplier	
  
(SoRware)	
  
The	
  5	
  Stages	
  of	
  Market	
  Evolu4on	
  in	
  the	
  Compu4ng	
  Industry	
  
	
  
	
  
Red	
  Ocean	
  Disrup/on	
  (ROD)	
  Graphing	
  for	
  Visualizing	
  Pa/erns	
  in	
  the	
  Evolu5on	
  of	
  Mul5-­‐sided	
  Business	
  Models	
  
Register	
  at	
  www.visionaryd.com	
  to	
  learn	
  more	
  about	
  Business	
  Model	
  Stripping.	
  	
  
Lean	
  Startup	
  Coach.	
  Dr.	
  Rod	
  King.	
  rodkuhnhking@gmail.com	
  &	
  h/p://businessmodels.ning.com	
  &	
  h/p://twi/er.com/RodKuhnKing	
  
ORPHAN	
  
(Stone)	
  
Pa/ern	
  
CHAIN	
  
(Linear/Pipe)	
  
Pa/ern	
  
TREE	
  
(Hierarchical/V-­‐)	
  
Pa/ern	
  
TRIANGLE	
  
(Network)	
  
Pa/ern	
  
WEB	
  
(Network)	
  
Pa/ern	
  
No	
  Market	
   1-­‐Sided	
  Market	
   2-­‐Sided	
  Market	
   2-­‐Sided	
  Market	
   Mul5-­‐sided	
  Market	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
From	
  
Ver4cal	
  
Integra4on	
  
(Bundling;	
  
Centraliza5on)	
  
To	
  Horizontal	
  
Integra4on	
  
(Unbundling;	
  
Decentraliza5on;	
  
Outsourcing)	
  
Ver5cal	
  Integra5on	
  
(Miniaturiza5on):	
  
	
  
q IBM	
  (Mainframe)	
  
q Apple	
  Computer	
  
q IBM	
  (PC)	
  
Ver5cal	
  Disintegra5on	
  
(Modulariza5on):	
  
	
  
q Hardware:	
  IBM	
  (PC);	
  Intel	
  
q SoXware:	
  MicrosoX	
  
(MSDOS)	
  
	
  
Physical	
  Horizontal	
  
Integra5on	
  (Bridging):	
  
	
  
q SoXware	
  PlaZorm	
  
Integra5on:	
  
MicrosoX	
  
(Windows)	
  
Online	
  Horizontal	
  Integra5on	
  
(Networking;	
  Interoperability):	
  
	
  
q SoXware	
  Econetwork:	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  Google	
  
Supplier	
  
(Enterprise)	
  
Customer	
  1	
  
(Hardware)	
  
Customer	
  2	
  
(SoXware)	
  
Customer	
  1	
  
(Hardware)	
  
Customer	
  2	
  
(SoXware)	
  
Supplier	
  
(Hardware	
  &	
  SoRware)	
  
Supplier	
  
(SoRware)	
  
Customer	
  
(Hardware	
  &	
  SoXware)	
  
Supplier	
  
(Hardware	
  &	
  SoRware)	
  
Customer	
  1	
  
(Hardware)	
  
Customer	
  2	
  
(SoXware)	
  
Customer	
  3	
  
(3rd	
  Party	
  
Developer)	
  
Supplier	
  
(SoRware)	
  
BUMP	
   BUMP	
   BUMP	
   BUMP	
  (BUMP:	
  
Big	
  Urgent	
  	
  
Market	
  Problem)	
  
VALUE	
  ENGINE	
  MAP	
  of	
  Size	
  vs	
  Decentraliza4on:	
  Customer	
  Segments	
  (For	
  COMPUTER	
  INDUSTRY)	
  
BLUE	
  OCEAN	
  
(Value	
  Innova/on;	
  
Mass	
  Customiza/on)	
  
RED	
  OCEAN	
  
(-­‐):	
  PAIN:	
  Size	
  (Inaccessibility)	
  
(+):	
  DELIGHT:	
  Decentraliza-on	
  (Unbundling)	
   Job	
  To	
  Be	
  Done	
  (Market/Goal):	
  Obtain	
  convenient,	
  instant	
  access	
  and	
  high	
  quality	
  of	
  info/data	
  processing	
  service	
  
Big	
  Urgent	
  Market	
  Problem	
  (BUMP):	
  Inadequate	
  access	
  and	
  quality	
  of	
  info/data	
  processing	
  service	
  
Small:	
  Virtual	
  
(1)	
  
Large:	
  Physical	
  
(10)	
  
Central-­‐
ized;	
  
Monolith	
  
(1)	
  
Decentral-­‐
ized;	
  
Modular	
  
(10)	
  
SWEET	
  SPOT	
   LUXURY	
  SPOT	
  
(High	
  Differen/a/on;	
  	
  
Sustaining	
  Innova/on:	
  
High-­‐end	
  Market)	
  
“Undershot”	
  Customers	
  –	
  
Bundled/Integrated	
  Solu5on	
  
DISRUPTION	
  SPOT	
  
(Low	
  Cost;	
  
Disrup/ve	
  Innova/on:	
  
Low-­‐end	
  Market)	
  
“Overshot”	
  Customers	
  –	
  
Unbundled/MVP-­‐Solu5on	
  
VALUE	
  ENGINE	
  MAP	
  of	
  Size	
  vs	
  Decentraliza4on:	
  Customer	
  Segments	
  (For	
  COMPUTER	
  INDUSTRY)	
  
BLUE	
  OCEAN	
  
(Value	
  Innova/on)	
  
RED	
  OCEAN	
  
(-­‐):	
  PAIN:	
  Size	
  (Inaccessibility)	
  
(+):	
  DELIGHT:	
  Decentraliza-on	
  (Unbundling)	
  
Small:	
  Virtual	
  
(1)	
  
Large:	
  Physical	
  
(10)	
  
LUXURY	
  SPOT	
  
(High	
  Differen/a/on)	
  
DISRUPTION	
  SPOT	
  
(Low	
  Cost)	
  
SWEET	
  SPOT	
  
Job	
  To	
  Be	
  Done	
  (Market/Goal):	
  Obtain	
  convenient,	
  instant	
  access	
  and	
  high	
  quality	
  of	
  info/data	
  processing	
  service	
  
Big	
  Urgent	
  Market	
  Problem	
  (BUMP):	
  Inadequate	
  access	
  and	
  quality	
  of	
  info/data	
  processing	
  service	
  
Central-­‐
ized;	
  
Monolith	
  
(1)	
  
Decentral-­‐
ized;	
  
Modular	
  
(10)	
  
“0-­‐1-­‐N”	
  Evolu4onary	
  Cycle	
  for	
  Compu4ng	
  and	
  Other	
  Industries	
  
	
  
Cycle	
  of	
  Centraliza/on-­‐Decentraliza/on-­‐Miniaturiza/on	
  
Register	
  at	
  www.visionaryd.com	
  to	
  learn	
  more	
  about	
  Business	
  Model	
  Stripping.	
  	
  
Lean	
  Startup	
  Coach.	
  Dr.	
  Rod	
  King.	
  rodkuhnhking@gmail.com	
  &	
  h/p://businessmodels.ning.com	
  &	
  h/p://twi/er.com/RodKuhnKing	
  
NOTHING:	
  
0-­‐System	
  
SOMETHING:	
  
1-­‐System	
  
MANY:	
  
N-­‐System	
  
Centraliza4on	
  
(Crea/on;“Big	
  Bang”;	
  
Inven/on)	
  
Decentraliza4on	
  
(Divergence;	
  
Mul/plica/on)	
  
Miniaturiza4on	
  
(Singularity;	
  “Big	
  Crunch”;	
  
Convergence”)	
  
“0-­‐1-­‐N”	
  	
  
Evolu4onary	
  
Cycle	
  

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5 Stages of Market Evolution

  • 1. The  5  Stages  of  Market  Evolu4on  in  the  Compu4ng  Industry       Red  Ocean  Disrup/on  (ROD)  Graphing  for  Visualizing  Pa/erns  in  the  Evolu5on  of  Mul5-­‐sided  Business  Models   Register  at  www.visionaryd.com  to  learn  more  about  Business  Model  Stripping.     Lean  Startup  Coach.  Dr.  Rod  King.  rodkuhnhking@gmail.com  &  h/p://businessmodels.ning.com  &  h/p://twi/er.com/RodKuhnKing   ORPHAN   (Stone)   Pa/ern   CHAIN   (Linear/Pipe)   Pa/ern   TREE   (Hierarchical/V-­‐)   Pa/ern   TRIANGLE   (Network)   Pa/ern   WEB   (Network)   Pa/ern   No  Market   1-­‐Sided  Market   2-­‐Sided  Market   2-­‐Sided  Market   Mul5-­‐sided  Market                 From   Ver4cal   Integra4on   (Bundling;   Centraliza5on)   To  Horizontal   Integra4on   (Unbundling;   Decentraliza5on;   Outsourcing)   Ver5cal  Integra5on   (Miniaturiza5on):     q IBM  (Mainframe)   q Apple  Computer   q IBM  (PC)   Ver5cal  Disintegra5on   (Modulariza5on):     q Hardware:  IBM  (PC);  Intel   q SoXware:  MicrosoX   (MSDOS)     Physical  Horizontal   Integra5on  (Bridging):     q SoXware  PlaZorm   Integra5on:   MicrosoX   (Windows)   Online  Horizontal  Integra5on   (Networking;  Interoperability):     q SoXware  Econetwork:            Google   Supplier   (Enterprise)   Customer  1   (Hardware)   Customer  2   (SoXware)   Customer  1   (Hardware)   Customer  2   (SoXware)   Supplier   (Hardware  &  SoRware)   Supplier   (SoRware)   Customer   (Hardware  &  SoXware)   Supplier   (Hardware  &  SoRware)   Customer  1   (Hardware)   Customer  2   (SoXware)   Customer  3   (3rd  Party   Developer)   Supplier   (SoRware)  
  • 2. The  5  Stages  of  Market  Evolu4on  in  the  Compu4ng  Industry       Red  Ocean  Disrup/on  (ROD)  Graphing  for  Visualizing  Pa/erns  in  the  Evolu5on  of  Mul5-­‐sided  Business  Models   Register  at  www.visionaryd.com  to  learn  more  about  Business  Model  Stripping.     Lean  Startup  Coach.  Dr.  Rod  King.  rodkuhnhking@gmail.com  &  h/p://businessmodels.ning.com  &  h/p://twi/er.com/RodKuhnKing   ORPHAN   (Stone)   Pa/ern   CHAIN   (Linear/Pipe)   Pa/ern   TREE   (Hierarchical/V-­‐)   Pa/ern   TRIANGLE   (Network)   Pa/ern   WEB   (Network)   Pa/ern   No  Market   1-­‐Sided  Market   2-­‐Sided  Market   2-­‐Sided  Market   Mul5-­‐sided  Market                 From   Ver4cal   Integra4on   (Bundling;   Centraliza5on)   To  Horizontal   Integra4on   (Unbundling;   Decentraliza5on;   Outsourcing)   Ver5cal  Integra5on   (Miniaturiza5on):     q IBM  (Mainframe)   q Apple  Computer   q IBM  (PC)   Ver5cal  Disintegra5on   (Modulariza5on):     q Hardware:  IBM  (PC);  Intel   q SoXware:  MicrosoX   (MSDOS)     Physical  Horizontal   Integra5on  (Bridging):     q SoXware  PlaZorm   Integra5on:   MicrosoX   (Windows)   Online  Horizontal  Integra5on   (Networking;  Interoperability):     q SoXware  Econetwork:            Google   Supplier   (Enterprise)   Customer  1   (Hardware)   Customer  2   (SoXware)   Customer  1   (Hardware)   Customer  2   (SoXware)   Supplier   (Hardware  &  SoRware)   Supplier   (SoRware)   Customer   (Hardware  &  SoXware)   Supplier   (Hardware  &  SoRware)   Customer  1   (Hardware)   Customer  2   (SoXware)   Customer  3   (3rd  Party   Developer)   Supplier   (SoRware)   BUMP   BUMP   BUMP   BUMP  (BUMP:   Big  Urgent     Market  Problem)  
  • 3. VALUE  ENGINE  MAP  of  Size  vs  Decentraliza4on:  Customer  Segments  (For  COMPUTER  INDUSTRY)   BLUE  OCEAN   (Value  Innova/on;   Mass  Customiza/on)   RED  OCEAN   (-­‐):  PAIN:  Size  (Inaccessibility)   (+):  DELIGHT:  Decentraliza-on  (Unbundling)   Job  To  Be  Done  (Market/Goal):  Obtain  convenient,  instant  access  and  high  quality  of  info/data  processing  service   Big  Urgent  Market  Problem  (BUMP):  Inadequate  access  and  quality  of  info/data  processing  service   Small:  Virtual   (1)   Large:  Physical   (10)   Central-­‐ ized;   Monolith   (1)   Decentral-­‐ ized;   Modular   (10)   SWEET  SPOT   LUXURY  SPOT   (High  Differen/a/on;     Sustaining  Innova/on:   High-­‐end  Market)   “Undershot”  Customers  –   Bundled/Integrated  Solu5on   DISRUPTION  SPOT   (Low  Cost;   Disrup/ve  Innova/on:   Low-­‐end  Market)   “Overshot”  Customers  –   Unbundled/MVP-­‐Solu5on  
  • 4. VALUE  ENGINE  MAP  of  Size  vs  Decentraliza4on:  Customer  Segments  (For  COMPUTER  INDUSTRY)   BLUE  OCEAN   (Value  Innova/on)   RED  OCEAN   (-­‐):  PAIN:  Size  (Inaccessibility)   (+):  DELIGHT:  Decentraliza-on  (Unbundling)   Small:  Virtual   (1)   Large:  Physical   (10)   LUXURY  SPOT   (High  Differen/a/on)   DISRUPTION  SPOT   (Low  Cost)   SWEET  SPOT   Job  To  Be  Done  (Market/Goal):  Obtain  convenient,  instant  access  and  high  quality  of  info/data  processing  service   Big  Urgent  Market  Problem  (BUMP):  Inadequate  access  and  quality  of  info/data  processing  service   Central-­‐ ized;   Monolith   (1)   Decentral-­‐ ized;   Modular   (10)  
  • 5. “0-­‐1-­‐N”  Evolu4onary  Cycle  for  Compu4ng  and  Other  Industries     Cycle  of  Centraliza/on-­‐Decentraliza/on-­‐Miniaturiza/on   Register  at  www.visionaryd.com  to  learn  more  about  Business  Model  Stripping.     Lean  Startup  Coach.  Dr.  Rod  King.  rodkuhnhking@gmail.com  &  h/p://businessmodels.ning.com  &  h/p://twi/er.com/RodKuhnKing   NOTHING:   0-­‐System   SOMETHING:   1-­‐System   MANY:   N-­‐System   Centraliza4on   (Crea/on;“Big  Bang”;   Inven/on)   Decentraliza4on   (Divergence;   Mul/plica/on)   Miniaturiza4on   (Singularity;  “Big  Crunch”;   Convergence”)   “0-­‐1-­‐N”     Evolu4onary   Cycle