France - Telecoms, IP Networks, Digital Media and Forecasts

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France - Telecoms, IP Networks, Digital Media and Forecasts
Published on November 2010

Report Summary

This report provides a comprehensive overview of trends and developments in France's telecommunications market. The report
analyses the mobile, Internet, broadband, digital TV and converging media sectors. Subjects include:

Market and industry analyses, trends and developments;
Facts, figures and statistics;
Industry and regulatory issues;
Infrastructure;
Major players, revenues, subscribers, ARPU, MoU;
Internet, VoIP, IPTV;
Mobile voice and data markets;
Broadband (FttH, DSL, cable TV, wireless);
Convergence and digital media;
3G subscriber and mobile ARPU forecasts to 2015;
Broadband market forecasts for selective years to 2020.This report is essential reading for those needing high level strategic
information and objective analysis on the telecom sector in France. It provides further information on:

Market liberalisation and regulatory issues;
The impact of the global economic crisis;
Telecoms operators ' privatisation, acquisitions, new licences;
Mobile data market developments in coming years in light of spectrum auctions and new licence awards in 2010;
3G developments, regulatory issues and technologies including HSPA and LTE;
Broadband migration to an FttH architecture;
Historical and current subscriber statistics and forecasts;
ARPU statistics and forecasts.
Researcher:- Henry Lancaster
Current publication date:- November 2010 (9th Edition)
Next publication date:- November 2011

France pursuing competitive fibre rollouts to 2019BuddeComm's annual publication, France - Telecoms, IP Networks, Digital Media
and Forecasts, provides a comprehensive overview of the trends and developments in the telecommunications and digital media
markets in one of Europe's key markets for telecom services and innovation.
France has the third largest telecom market in Europe, behind Germany and the UK, representing about 3% of GDP. Telecom
revenue is expected to continue to recover slightly in 2010, having fallen in 2008 in part through unfavourable economic conditions,
and show similar moderate growth during the next few years, tempered by the effects of regulated tariffs on mobile termination rates
and roaming, competition among players, as the continuing decline in voice revenue.
Investment in the sector has nevertheless weathered the troubled liquidity markets, having risen steadily year-on-year, though as a
proportion of revenue it remains among the lowest in the EU. Pressure to maintain the investment momentum during the next few
years will partly come from the government, which is keen to see its broadband strategies come to fruition.
Overall investment in the telecom sector is estimated to be around '6.6 billion in 2010, only slightly higher than in 2008 and 2009.

France - Telecoms, IP Networks, Digital Media and Forecasts Page 1/10


Fixed-line investments are particularly strong in the fibre sector where Free (Iliad), France Telecom, Numéricable and SFR are the
main players. Investments by mobile network operators are concentrated in software upgrades for LTE and similar technologies which
can support mobile broadband services. Investment will be encouraged by favourable terms, including 20-year licences and no
requirements for geographical coverage or deadlines for network roll-outs.
For the next decade telecoms strategies and regulatory policies will largely be guided by the government's Digital Plan 2012, which
includes measures to fill the gap in broadband coverage, increase broadband penetration, license frequencies for 3G use, stimulate
the deployment of DTTV, and allocate digital dividend spectrum for mobile broadband. The regulator's 2010 report has in addition
promoted the extension of FttH deep into the regions and into rural areas.
In the mobile sector, Free Mobile secured the fourth 3G licence in mid-2010, and its proposed launch in early 2012 will provide a
welcome addition to the country's competing triopoly of players. Free Mobile is also committed to host MVNOs, a market which has
shown steady growth during the last few years, and which by the end of 2010 accounted for about 7% of all mobile subscribers.
Growth in the MVNO subscriber base is about five times as high as that for MNOs.
France has progressed steadily with the ASO schedule thus far, yet although the last region to complete switchover is expected to do
so by the end of 2011, the public body tasked with helping the public adopt the digital broadcasting system, France Tele Numérique,
has pressed for its postponement to 2013 or 2014.
One of the main broadcasters, Canal +, has its own timetable and may bring forward ASO by several months, while early 2010 the
seven main legacy broadcasters agreed to a simultaneous ASO for signals carried by Eutelsat to coincide with last regional
switchover.
In the broadband sector, France is among the key markets for providing universal access and for deploying a national All-IP network.
With four main fibre players (including Numéricable, which relies on fibre backhaul for its cable infrastructure), France is among the
most competitive markets globally, with the result that consumers enjoy some of the cheapest prices for triple-play and quad-play
packages in Europe.
Nevertheless, the number of FttH/FttB subscribers, at about 90,000 in mid-2010, is a relatively low proportion of the number of
households passed with fibre (910,000), and this has strengthened the case for operators to share infrastructure and so reduce the
cost of rolling out networks.
Key telecom parameters ' 2009 - 2011
Sector | 2009 | 2011 (e) |
Broadband: |
Fixed broadband subscribers (million) | 19.49 | 21.33 |
Fixed broadband penetration rate | 29% | 34% |
Subscribers to telecoms services: |
Fixed-line telephony (million) | 40.4 | 39.9 |
Mobile phone (million) | 61.4 | 65.3 |
Mobile penetration (population) | 95% | 105% |
(Source: BuddeComm)
Market highlights:

The award to Free Mobile of the fourth 3G licence will introduce a powerful competitor to France Telecom and other major players for
convergent services, including mobile voice and data as well as IP-delivered services based on DSL and fibre networks. The operator
is required to cover at least 90% of the population by 2018, while refarmed 900MHz spectrum will allow Free Mobile to enter the
mobile market from January 2011, with a licence to run until 2034. With the extension of existing 3G licences to 2019 conditions have
become more favourable for further investment in networks and technologies.
LTE trials have continued apace, with all MNOs having secured technology partners during 2010. Spectrum in the 2.1GHz band,
awarded in mid-2010, will complement that in the 2.6GHz band to be used for mobile broadband services.
The number of FttH subscribers is very low in proportion to the number of passed homes but this is expected to change rapidly given
the low consumer cost of fibre-based services and the anticipated plethora of new services which can be accommodated on the
networks in coming years. By mid-2010 there were some 40,000 fibre rollouts by alternative carriers using a wholesale offer from the
incumbent, including those from some 20 municipalities. However, the number of connected homes, at some 450, remains small.
The government has committed itself to investing '4.5 billion to support the rollout of NGNs. For now, the government is concentrating
on several priorities, including education, research, the digital economy, and industry. Broadband infrastructure alone will receive '2



billion from public funds to enable up to 70% of the population to access at least 100Mb/s services by 2019. Public funding is
expected to be supplemented by up to '4 billion from the private sector, and together this investment will guarantee France's position
among the leading markets in Europe for IP infrastructure.Henry LancasterNovember 2010
Data in this report is the latest available at the time of preparation and may not be for the current year.

Table of Content

1. Key Statistics
2. Telecommunications Market
2.1 Overview of France's telecom market
3. Regulatory Environment
3.1 History
3.2 National legal framework
3.3 France NumErique 2012
3.4 Regulatory authority
3.4.1 Communications and Postal Regulatory Authority (ARCEP)
3.5 Telecom sector liberalisation in France
3.5.1 Privatisation of France Telecom
3.5.2 Interconnect
3.5.3 Access
3.5.4 Number portability (NP)
3.5.5 Carrier PreSelection (CPS)
4. Fixed Network Operators
4.1 Market overview
4.2 Fixed-line statistics
4.3 France Telecom
4.3.1 Into 2010
4.3.2 Difficulties ahead
4.3.3 Future strategies
4.3.4 2015 Action Plan
4.3.5 Rebranding
4.4 SFR
4.4.1 Acquisition of neuf Cegetel
4.5 Free (Iliad)
5. Telecommunications Infrastructure
5.1 National telecom network
5.2 Next Generation Networks (NGNs)
5.3 International infrastructure
5.3.1 Submarine cable networks
5.3.2 Satellite networks
5.3.3 Wholesaling
6. Broadband Market
6.1 Overview
6.1.1 Local Loop Unbundling (LLU)
6.1.2 Wholesale access
6.1.3 Bitstream access



6.1.4 Regulatory issues
6.1.5 Leased line market
6.1.6 Broadband statistics
6.2 Cable modems
6.2.1 Cable network agreements
6.2.2 Cable consolidation
6.2.3 Numéricable
6.3 Asymmetrical Digital Subscriber Line (ADSL)
6.3.1 Providers
6.3.2 ADSL2+
6.3.3 READSL2
6.3.4 Very High Data Rate Digital Subscriber Line (VDSL)
6.3.5 Symmetric Digital Subscriber Lines (SDSL)
6.4 Broadband Powerline (BPL)
6.5 Fibre market
6.5.1 Overview
6.5.3 Regional support
6.5.4 Local authorities
6.6 Fibre-to-the-Home (FttH) networks
6.6.1 Statistics
6.6.2 Orange
6.6.3 Iliad (Free)
6.6.4 SFR
6.6.5 Numéricable
6.6.6 Municipal drive ' Paris
6.6.7 Other municipal projects
6.6.8 The Pau Project
6.6.9 Fibre network sharing
6.7 Wireless broadband
6.7.1 Wireless Local Loop (WLL)
6.7.2 WiMAX players
6.7.3 WLAN/WiFi
6.7.4 Free
6.7.5 Public Analogue Mobile Radio (PAMR)
6.7.6 Internet via satellite
6.7.7 Mobile broadband
7. Digital Media
7.1 Convergence
7.1.1 Key general trends
7.1.2 Business models
7.2 Digital TV
7.2.1 Overview
7.2.2 Broadband TV (IPTV)
7.2.3 Video-on-Demand (VoD)
7.2.4 VoIP
7.2.5 Interactive TV (iTV)
7.2.6 Cable TV (CATV)
7.2.7 Satellite-based digital pay TV developments



7.2.8 Digital Terrestrial TV (DTTV)
7.2.9 Free-to-Air (FTA)
8. Mobile Communications
8.1 Overview of France's mobile market
8.1.1 Mobile statistics
8.1.2 Operator market shares
8.2 Regulatory issues
8.2.1 Spectrum regulations and spectrum auctions
8.2.2 Mobile termination rates (MTR)
8.2.3 SMS interconnection
8.2.4 Roaming
8.2.5 Mobile Number Portability (MNP)
8.2.6 Fixed-Mobile Convergence (FMC)
8.3 Mobile technologies
8.3.1 Digital
8.3.2 Third Generation (3G) mobile
8.4 Major mobile operators
8.4.1 Orange
8.4.2 SFR
8.4.3 Free Mobile
8.4.4 Bouygues Telecom
8.4.5 MVNOs
8.5 Mobile voice services
8.5.1 Prepaid
8.6 Mobile data services market
8.6.1 Overview
8.6.2 Mobile technologies
8.6.3 Mobile Messaging
8.6.4 Mobile data services
8.6.5 Mobile content and applications
9. Forecasts
9.1 Forecasts ' broadband subscribers ' 2009 - 2012; 2020
9.1.1 Scenario 1 ' higher growth broadband subscriber growth
9.1.2 Scenario 2 ' lower broadband subscriber growth
9.2 Forecasts ' mobile ARPU to 2015
9.3 Forecasts ' UMTS subscribers to 2015
9.4 Forecasts ' Mobile TV subscribers to 2015
10. Glossary of Abbreviations
Table 1 ' Country statistics France ' 2010
Table 2 ' Telecom revenue and investment statistics ' 2010 (e)
Table 3 ' Telephone network statistics ' June 2010
Table 4 ' Internet user statistics ' June 2010
Table 5 ' Broadband statistics ' June 2010
Table 6 ' Mobile statistics ' June 2010
Table 7 ' National telecommunications authorities
Table 8 ' Telecom service investment and annual change ' 2003 - 2010
Table 9 ' Telecom service operators declared ' 2010
Table 10 ' End-user traffic volume in minutes by sector ' 2002 - 2010
Table 11 ' End-user traffic growth by sector ' 2002 - 2010
Table 12 ' Average monthly bill, by service ' 2005 - 2010



Table 13 ' Proportion of fixed lines by technology ' 2004 - 2011
Table 14 ' End-user telecom market value ' 2003 - 2010
Table 15 ' End-user telecom market value annual change ' 2003 - 2010
Table 16 ' Fixed lines subscriptions by type ' 2003 - 2010
Table 17 ' Fixed-call termination charges ' 2008 - 2010
Table 18 ' Interconnect revenue and annual change ' 2007 - 2010
Table 19 ' Interconnect volume in minutes and annual change ' 2007 - 2010
Table 20 ' France Telecom wholesale broadband lines ' 2005 - 2010
Table 21 ' LLU, shared access price ' connection, monthly rental ' 2006 - 2009
Table 22 ' Access lines, LLU and bitstream (regulator data) ' 2007 - 2010
Table 23 ' Fixed numbers ported annually ' 2003 - 2009
Table 24 ' Annual change in carrier preselection usage ' 2002 - 2010
Table 25 ' CPS as proportion of total subscriptions (excluding cable) ' 2000 - 2009
Table 26 ' France Telecom customers by sector (France) ' 2006 - 2010
Table 27 ' France Telecom Group financial data ' 2008 - 2010
Table 28 ' France Telecom (France) financial data ' 2007 - 2009
Table 29 ' France Telecom fixed-line, LLU, DSL subscribers ' 2006 - 2010
Table 30 ' neuf Cegetel financial data (historic) ' 2006 - 2007
Table 31 ' neuf Cegetel subscribers (historic) ' 2006 - 2008
Table 32 ' Free financial data and annual change ' 2006 - 2010
Table 33 ' Free DSL, LLU subscribers ' 2005 - 2010
Table 34 ' Internet users and penetration rate ' 1995 - 2011
Table 35 ' Percentage of households with Internet access ' 1997 - 2011
Table 36 ' Access lines, LLU and bitstream (regulator data) ' 2007 - 2010
Table 37 ' Bitstream lines ' 2009 - 2010
Table 38 ' Internet revenue by access type ' 1998 - 2010
Table 39 ' Broadband subscribers by type and penetration ' 2000 - 2010
Table 40 ' Broadband penetration by technology ' 2007 - 2009
Table 41 ' Broadband subscribers by type ' incumbent or other provider ' 2006 - 2009
Table 42 ' Numéricable subscribers by type ' 2007 - 2009
Table 43 ' Numéricable Completel financial data ' 2008 - 2009
Table 44 ' Free financial data and annual change ' 2006 - 2010
Table 45 ' Free DSL, LLU subscribers ' 2005 - 2010
Table 46 ' Free projections - Paris fibre ' 2006; 2008; 2010; 2012; 2014
Table 48 ' WiMAX licences by operator ' 2009 - 2010
Table 49 ' Cable pay TV subscribers and penetration ' 1997 - 2011
Table 50 ' Satellite pay TV subscribers and penetration ' 1997 - 2011
Table 51 ' Canal Group subscribers ' 2006 - 2010
Table 52 ' CanalSat subscribers ' 2007 - 2009
Table 53 ' Mobile sector investment ' 2007 - 2010
Table 54 ' Total mobile revenue by prepaid and contract sectors ' 2006 - 2010
Table 55 ' Mobile network operators, subscribers and annual change ' June 2010
Table 56 ' Mobile subscribers (national) and penetration rate ' 1999 - 2011
Table 57 ' Mobile services revenue (voice) and traffic in minutes ' 1998 - 2010
Table 58 ' Mobile voice traffic in minutes ' 2006 - 2010
Table 59 ' Mobile operator market share ' 2005 - 2010
Table 60 ' Mobile termination charges ' 2005 - 2010
Table 61 ' European roaming charges ' 2007 - 2011
Table 62 - Cumulative mobile numbers ported ' 2004 - 2010
Table 63 - Active 3G subscribers and annual change ' 2007 - 2011



Table 64 ' Orange mobile subscribers (France) ' 2005 - 2010
Table 65 ' Orange annualised ARPU ' 2005 - 2010
Table 66 ' Bouygues Telecom financial data ' 2005 - 2010
Table 67 ' Data market revenue ' 2002 - 2010
Table 68 ' Mobile services revenues by sector ' 2007 - 2010
Table 69 ' 3G coverage and base stations ' January 2010
Table 70 ' Value-added services revenue and volume (mobile networks) ' 2003 - 2009
Table 71 ' Mobile multimedia users and annual change (metropolitan) ' 2004 - 2010
Table 72 ' Forecast broadband subscribers ' higher market growth scenario ' 2007 - 2012; 2020
Table 73 ' Forecast broadband subscribers ' lower market growth scenario ' 2007 - 2012; 2020
Table 74 ' Forecast mobile ARPU ' 2005 - 2015
Table 75 ' Forecast UMTS subscriber growth to 2015
Chart 1 ' Fixed numbers ported ' 2006 - 2010
Chart 2 ' Indirect connections ' 2006 - 2010
Chart 3 ' Fixed-line revenue (outbound) ' 2004 - 2010
Chart 4 ' Fixed-telephony revenue by calls and services ' 2004 - 2010
Chart 5 ' France Telecom PSTN lines ' 2007 - 2010
Chart 6 ' SFR subscribers ' 2010
Chart 7 ' SFR revenue ' 2005 - 2010
Chart 8 ' France Telecom wholesale DSL, WLR lines ' 2006 - 2010
Chart 9 ' France Telecom naked ADSL lines ' 2006 - 2010
Chart 10 ' Average Internet user monthly bill: dial-up and broadband ' 2005 - 2010
Chart 11 ' Dial-up Internet subscribers ' 2005 - 2011
Chart 12 ' Dial-up Internet traffic ' 2004 - 2011
Chart 13 ' Cable modem subscribers ' 2002 - 2011
Chart 14 ' ADSL subscribers ' 2002 - 2011
Chart 15 ' France Telecom Internet subscribers ' 2007 - 2010
Chart 16 ' SFR broadband subscribers ' 2004 - 2010
Chart 18 ' FttH/FttC subscribers ' 2008 - 2010
Chart 19 ' FttH equipped and passed buildings ' 2008 - 2010
Chart 20 - Orange fibre subscribers ' 2006 - 2010
Chart 21 ' Orange satellite broadband subscribers ' 2008 - 2010
Chart 22 - Orange mobile broadband subscribers ' 2005 - 2010
Chart 23 ' IPTV subscribers; proportion of DSL base ' 2004 - 2011
Chart 24 ' IPTV as proportion of DSL base ' 2004 - 2011
Chart 25 ' France Telecom IPTV subscribers ' 2005 - 2010
Chart 26 ' Orange pay-TV subscribers ' 2007 - 2010
Chart 27 ' Free broadband subscribers ' 2005 - 2010
Chart 28 ' VoD market value ' 2008 - 2011
Chart 29 ' VoIP traffic as proportion to all traffic ' 2004 - 2010
Chart 30 ' VoIP lines and traffic in minutes ' 2004 - 2010
Chart 31 ' France Telecom VoIP and Livebox subscribers ' 2005 - 2010
Chart 32 ' Canal+ Group revenue ' 2005 - 2010
Chart 33 ' Orange TV subscribers ' 2007 - 2010
Chart 34 ' Average monthly bill and ARPU - 2006 - 2010
Chart 35 ' Data as proportion of mobile service revenue ' 2004 - 2011
Chart 36 ' Mobile interconnection revenue ' 2003 - 2010
Chart 37 ' Mobile roaming revenue and traffic in minutes ' 2003 - 2010
Chart 38 ' Orange mobile consumer revenue ' 2005 - 2010



Chart 39 ' Orange mobile customer acquisition costs ' 2007 - 2010
Chart 40 ' SFR mobile ARPU ' 2004 - 2010
Chart 42 ' SFR subscribers ' 2006 - 2010
Chart 43 ' Bouygues Telecom subscribers ' 2005 - 2010
Chart 44 ' MNO, MVNO subscribers (metropolitan) ' 2005 - 2010
Chart 45 ' MVNO market share (metropolitan) ' 2005 - 2010
Chart 46 ' Prepaid and contract subscribers (national) ' 2005 - 2010
Chart 47 ' Percentage of prepaid versus contract subscribers ' 2001 - 2011
Chart 48 ' Orange data revenue as proportion of total (Q4) ' 2005 - 2010
Chart 49 ' Active 3G subscribers and annual change ' 2007 - 2011
Chart 50 ' Quarterly SMS traffic volume; SMS/user/month (national) ' 2004 - 2010
Chart 51 ' Annual SMS volume ' 2003 - 2011
Chart 52 ' SMS user market growth (national) ' 2002 - 2010
Chart 53 ' Annual MMS volume ' 2000 - 2011
Chart 54 ' Mobile data revenue ' 2009 - 2011
Chart 55 ' Orange mobile broadband subscribers ' 2004 - 2010
Chart 56 ' Orange mobile subscribers (France) ' 2005 - 2010
Chart 57 ' Orange annualised voice and data ARPU (Q4) ' 2005 - 2010
Chart 58 ' Orange mobile data share of total mobile revenue ' 2007 - 2010
Chart 59 ' Orange mobile consumer revenue ' 2005 - 2010
Chart 61 ' SFR mobile ARPU ' 2004 - 2010
Chart 64 ' Forecast mobile TV subscribers ' 2010 - 2015
Exhibit 1 ' EU ' The New Regulatory Framework (NRF)
Exhibit 2 ' Access and the local loop
Exhibit 3 ' Principal FttH and FttC (FttLA) deployments - 2010
Exhibit 4 ' Overview of media convergence
Exhibit 5 ' 3G licensees
Exhibit 6 ' Operating MVNOs launch dates and network provider ' 2001 - 2011
Exhibit 7 ' Premium SMS market overview ' 2010



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France - Telecoms, IP Networks, Digital Media and Forecasts