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Demography of Sudan

 Geneva Foundation for Medical
    Education and Research
      GFMER Sudan 2012
        Forum No: ( 3 )
Name of presenter
Name              Position              Institution
Dr/ MAJDI MOHD.   PHARMACIST/ MSC.      UMST
SABAHELZAIN       PUBLIC AND TROPICAL
                  HEALTH
THE CONTENTS

•   DEFINITION OF DEMOGRAPHY
•   SUDAN POPULATION PROFILE
•   SUDAN POPULATION ANALYSIS
•   POPULATION PYRAMID AND DEMOGRAPHIC
    STAGES OF SUDAN
Demography of Sudan
Demography of Sudan

        Learning Objectives
        Definition of Demography
        What is SWOT Analysis?

         Sudan Population Profile

         Sudan Population Analysis

         Population pyramid and Demographic Stages




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Demography: historical
         perspective

Demography is the study of human population
dynamics.

Guillard defined demography as: ‘the mathematical
knowledge of populations, their general movements,
and their physical, civil, intellectual
and moral state’ (Guillard 1855:xxvi).
Demography
The determinants and consequences of population
change and is concerned with virtually everything that
influences or can be influenced by:
     Population Size

      Population growth or decline

     Population processes (levels and trends in mortality,
     fertility and migration that are determining
     population size and change).
Demography
Population characteristics (education, religion,
or ethnicity)

Population structure (how many by age)
Processes relevant to demography:

                         • Mortality rate in Sudan=
                         17.2 per 1000 live birth
                         •Maternal mortality ratio (per
                       2 100,000 live births)= 216
                         • Under-5 mortality rate (per
                         1,000live births)= 78 (UNFPA)

                              Mortality


         Fertility                              Migration
      • Thetotal fertility rate
                                               •Net Migration Rate -4.52
      was estimated at 5.6 in
  1                                        3   migrant(s)/1,000
      2010 SHHS
                                               population (2011 est
Demography of Sudan

        Learning Objectives
         Definition of Demography

        Aim of SWOT Analysis
        Sudan Population Profile

         Sudan Population Analysis

         Population pyramid and Demographic Stages




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Sudan Population
Profile
   Population
   33.419,000 (UNFPA)

   33 % urban
   67 % rural

   Annual Population
   Growth Rate
   2.4 %
Sudan Population
Profile
    Youth population
    62 %

    Internally Displaced
    Population
    14 %

    Nomads Population
    9.1 %
Sudan Population
Profile
   Contraceptives Prevalence
   Rate 9.1 % (SHHS 2010)

   Unmet need for family
   planning
   29.9 % (SHHS 2010)
Premium Membership




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Population density




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SWOT Analysis


        Learning Objectives
         What is SWOT Analysis?
         Definition of Demography

         Sudan Population Profile

         Who needs SWOT Analysis?
         Sudan Population Analysis

         Population pyramid and Demographic Stages




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Sudan Population Analysis

Mortality rates remain high at 17.2 deaths per 1,000

Life expectancy at birth is about 60 years. The life
expectancy shows an increased trend over the years
(from 38 years in 1956)
National poverty rate stands at 46.5 % with regional
disparities ranging from 26 % in Khartoum State to
69.4% in North Darfur State.
Maternal mortality varies widely between regions
(highest MMR is 334.9 in South Darfur state and lowest
is 105 in Sinnar state).
Sudan Population Analysis
In 2010, half of deliveries were assisted only by a Village
Midwife; just one fifth were delivered by skilled health
personnel.
HIV prevalence rate is 0.67 % reflecting a concentrated
epidemic among most at-risk populations. Current trends,
however, suggest an increase in HIV prevalence to 1.12 %
by 2015.
Sudan has always had a highly mobile population. There is a
significant nomadic population (up to 10%), heavy seasonal
labor migration and large outmigration; Sudan is the source
of both skilled and unskilled labor for most of the Gulf
States.
Sudan Population Analysis
 Close to half of women in Sudan are illiterate. Women
 are disadvantage in most communities and the majority
 of women who work are engaged in unpaid work and in
 the informal sector activities.
Gender-based and sexual violence and exploitation of
women and girls is widespread in conflict-affected areas.
Female Genital Mutilation/Cutting and child marriage are
also wide spread. FGM/C prevalence rate stands at 65 %
despite intensive campaigns to eradicate the practice.

Despite the high youth population (62 %), the role of
young people in social and political life is limited.
Sudan Population Analysis
A quarter of young people living in urban areas and
half of those living in rural areas are poor.


Sudan has over four million Internally Displaced Persons
(IDPS), many in large camps in Darfur and many settled
in margins of the urban areas.

 Despite high rates of early marriage, 95 % of married
 adolescents do not have access to family planning.
 (UNFPA)
SWOT Analysis

        Learning Objectives
         Definition of Demography

         Sudan Population Profile

         Sudan Population Analysis

        How to conduct SWOT Analysis?
        Population pyramid and Demographic Stages




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Population pyramid:
    age structure

The number and proportion of people at each age in
a population
Demographic stages
 Post Industrial Stage
 Low birth and death rates
 Population growth very slow.

Transitional Stage               Industrial Stage
 Lowered death rate              Birth rate decline
 Rapid population                Population growth slow
growth
                   Pre-industrial Stage
                    Birth and death rates high
                    Modest population growth
Population pyramid: age
structure(Expanding)= pre industrial
               stage
Population pyramid: age structure
Population pyramid: age structure
            (Stable)
Demography and population of sudan
Demography and population of sudan

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Demography and population of sudan

  • 1. Demography of Sudan Geneva Foundation for Medical Education and Research GFMER Sudan 2012 Forum No: ( 3 )
  • 2. Name of presenter Name Position Institution Dr/ MAJDI MOHD. PHARMACIST/ MSC. UMST SABAHELZAIN PUBLIC AND TROPICAL HEALTH
  • 3. THE CONTENTS • DEFINITION OF DEMOGRAPHY • SUDAN POPULATION PROFILE • SUDAN POPULATION ANALYSIS • POPULATION PYRAMID AND DEMOGRAPHIC STAGES OF SUDAN
  • 5. Demography of Sudan Learning Objectives Definition of Demography What is SWOT Analysis? Sudan Population Profile Sudan Population Analysis Population pyramid and Demographic Stages Example text Go ahead and replace it with your own text. This is an example text. Your own footer Your Logo
  • 6. Demography: historical perspective Demography is the study of human population dynamics. Guillard defined demography as: ‘the mathematical knowledge of populations, their general movements, and their physical, civil, intellectual and moral state’ (Guillard 1855:xxvi).
  • 7. Demography The determinants and consequences of population change and is concerned with virtually everything that influences or can be influenced by: Population Size Population growth or decline Population processes (levels and trends in mortality, fertility and migration that are determining population size and change).
  • 8. Demography Population characteristics (education, religion, or ethnicity) Population structure (how many by age)
  • 9. Processes relevant to demography: • Mortality rate in Sudan= 17.2 per 1000 live birth •Maternal mortality ratio (per 2 100,000 live births)= 216 • Under-5 mortality rate (per 1,000live births)= 78 (UNFPA) Mortality Fertility Migration • Thetotal fertility rate •Net Migration Rate -4.52 was estimated at 5.6 in 1 3 migrant(s)/1,000 2010 SHHS population (2011 est
  • 10. Demography of Sudan Learning Objectives Definition of Demography Aim of SWOT Analysis Sudan Population Profile Sudan Population Analysis Population pyramid and Demographic Stages Example text Go ahead and replace it with your own text. This is an example text. Your own footer Your Logo
  • 11. Sudan Population Profile Population 33.419,000 (UNFPA) 33 % urban 67 % rural Annual Population Growth Rate 2.4 %
  • 12. Sudan Population Profile Youth population 62 % Internally Displaced Population 14 % Nomads Population 9.1 %
  • 13. Sudan Population Profile Contraceptives Prevalence Rate 9.1 % (SHHS 2010) Unmet need for family planning 29.9 % (SHHS 2010)
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  • 15. Population density Example text Go ahead and replace it with your own text. This is an example text. Your own footer Your Logo
  • 16. SWOT Analysis Learning Objectives What is SWOT Analysis? Definition of Demography Sudan Population Profile Who needs SWOT Analysis? Sudan Population Analysis Population pyramid and Demographic Stages Example text Go ahead and replace it with your own text. This is an example text. Your own footer Your Logo
  • 17. Sudan Population Analysis Mortality rates remain high at 17.2 deaths per 1,000 Life expectancy at birth is about 60 years. The life expectancy shows an increased trend over the years (from 38 years in 1956) National poverty rate stands at 46.5 % with regional disparities ranging from 26 % in Khartoum State to 69.4% in North Darfur State. Maternal mortality varies widely between regions (highest MMR is 334.9 in South Darfur state and lowest is 105 in Sinnar state).
  • 18. Sudan Population Analysis In 2010, half of deliveries were assisted only by a Village Midwife; just one fifth were delivered by skilled health personnel. HIV prevalence rate is 0.67 % reflecting a concentrated epidemic among most at-risk populations. Current trends, however, suggest an increase in HIV prevalence to 1.12 % by 2015. Sudan has always had a highly mobile population. There is a significant nomadic population (up to 10%), heavy seasonal labor migration and large outmigration; Sudan is the source of both skilled and unskilled labor for most of the Gulf States.
  • 19. Sudan Population Analysis Close to half of women in Sudan are illiterate. Women are disadvantage in most communities and the majority of women who work are engaged in unpaid work and in the informal sector activities. Gender-based and sexual violence and exploitation of women and girls is widespread in conflict-affected areas. Female Genital Mutilation/Cutting and child marriage are also wide spread. FGM/C prevalence rate stands at 65 % despite intensive campaigns to eradicate the practice. Despite the high youth population (62 %), the role of young people in social and political life is limited.
  • 20. Sudan Population Analysis A quarter of young people living in urban areas and half of those living in rural areas are poor. Sudan has over four million Internally Displaced Persons (IDPS), many in large camps in Darfur and many settled in margins of the urban areas. Despite high rates of early marriage, 95 % of married adolescents do not have access to family planning. (UNFPA)
  • 21. SWOT Analysis Learning Objectives Definition of Demography Sudan Population Profile Sudan Population Analysis How to conduct SWOT Analysis? Population pyramid and Demographic Stages Example text Go ahead and replace it with your own text. This is an example text. Your own footer Your Logo
  • 22. Population pyramid: age structure The number and proportion of people at each age in a population
  • 23. Demographic stages Post Industrial Stage Low birth and death rates Population growth very slow. Transitional Stage Industrial Stage  Lowered death rate  Birth rate decline  Rapid population  Population growth slow growth Pre-industrial Stage  Birth and death rates high  Modest population growth
  • 26. Population pyramid: age structure (Stable)