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Environment Group

Presentation Of Findings From A Statewide
     Survey Of 600 Likely 2010 General
     Election Voters In Missouri With An
  Oversample Of Rural And Exurban Voters

                                            1
Key Findings
• A Large Majority Believe Global Warming Constitutes A Serious Threat
•    A Solid Majority, Across Most Demographic Groups, Favor Action To
    Reduce Carbon Emissions
• A Plurality Believe That Reducing Global Warming Will Create New Jobs
• Over Two-Thirds Support The Combined Proposal To Reduce Emissions
  And Require Clean Energy Sources
• A Sizeable Majority Say They Would Feel More Favorably Towards A
  Senator Who Voted For The Clean Energy Plan
• Most Say They Would Feel More Favorably Towards A Senator For
  Supporting An Emissions Cap




                                                                         2
Methodology

• 600 Likely 2010 General Election
  Voters In Missouri + Oversample Of
  104 Exurban And 100 Rural Voters

• Interviews Conducted October 20th-
  25th, 2009

• Margin Of Error +/- 4.0% Overall,
  Higher For Subgroups
                                       3
A Large Majority Believe Global Warming
                          Constitutes A Serious Threat
                                                                                                Serious   Not
   Generally speaking, how serious of a threat do you think global
  warming is today – very serious, somewhat serious, not too serious,   Democrat ID             83%       15%
     or not serious at all – or don’t you have an opinion on this?      Independent ID          61%       34%
                                                                        Republican ID           35%       63%
                                                                        Liberal                 85%       13%
                                                                        Moderate                74%       22%
                                                      61%               Conservative            37%       60%
                    29% Very                                            Young Women             68%       31%
    Serious                                                             Young Men               51%       48%
                                                                        Older Women             69%       25%
                                                                        Older Men               57%       39%
                                                                        HS or Less              60%       33%
                                          36%                           Some College            66%       34%
                                                                        College+                60%       39%
Not Serious 17% Not at all                                              White                   59%       40%
                                                                        Non-White               79%       13%
                                                                        Urban                   69%       27%
                                                                        Exurban                 67%       31%
                                                                        Rural                   49%       49%
                          3%                                            St. Louis Co.           76%       21%
                                                                        Rest of St. Louis DMA   61%       37%
          DK                                                            Jackson/KC              52%       46%
                                                                        Northeast               59%       40%
                                                                        North Central           49%       48%
               0%       20%      40%       60%       80%      100%      South                   54%       45%

                                                                                                                4
A Solid Majority, Across Most Demographic
  Groups, Favor Action To Reduce Carbon Emissions
         Do you favor or oppose the United States taking                                 Favor   Oppose
         action to reduce it emissions of gases like carbon
                dioxide that cause global warming?               Democrat ID             86%     6%
                                                                 Independent ID          64%     24%
                                                                 Republican ID           52%     36%
                                                                 Liberal                 88%     5%
                                                       68%       Moderate                75%     13%
                                                                 Conservative            51%     37%
 Favor        45% Strongly
                                                                 Young Women             73%     16%
                                                                 Young Men               60%     32%
                                                                 Older Women             69%     15%
                                                                 Older Men               73%     21%
                              21%                                HS or Less              71%     18%
                                                                 Some College            64%     23%
Oppose    13%                                                    College+                69%     21%
                                                                 White                   67%     23%
                                                                 Non-White               77%     10%
                                                                 Urban                   72%     18%
                                                                 Exurban                 72%     20%
                         9%                                      Rural                   63%     26%
Undec.                                                           St. Louis Co.           80%     13%
                                                                 Rest of St. Louis DMA   63%     27%
                                                                 Jackson/KC              60%     29%
                                                                 Northeast               64%     24%
         0%        20%        40%     60%       80%       100%   North Central           65%     20%
                                                                 South                   64%     25%
                                                                                                          5
A Plurality Believe That Reducing Global Warming
                      Will Create New Jobs
 Which comes closer to your point of view:                                                     Create   Cost   Not
                                                                       Democrat ID             64%      12%    16%
     Efforts to reduce global warming will create new American jobs                            40%      32%    16%
                                                                       Independent ID
     Efforts to reduce global warming will cost American jobs          Republican ID           21%      45%    24%
     Efforts to reduce global warming will not affect American jobs    Liberal                 70%      12%    14%
                                                                       Moderate                44%      19%    21%
                                                                       Conservative            24%      46%    19%
                                                 43%                   Young Women             47%      27%    19%
     30% strong                                                        Young Men               37%      36%    21%
                                                                       Older Women             46%      23%    17%
                                                                       Older Men               40%      30%    17%
                                                                       HS or Less              43%      23%    18%
     24%                      29%                                      Some College            44%      27%    19%
                                                           +14         College+                42%      34%    18%
                                                                       White                   40%      31%    18%
                                                                       Non-White               55%      15%    19%
     12%               18%                                             Urban                   47%      24%    19%
                                                                       Exurban                 46%      32%    8%
                                                                       Rural                   36%      35%    21%
                                                                       St. Louis Co.           47%      23%    20%
                                                                       Rest of St. Louis DMA   42%      32%    13%
               10%                                                     Jackson/KC              38%      29%    19%
                        (darker shading=stronger intensity)            Northeast               40%      33%    14%
                                                                       North Central           39%      34%    19%
0%               20%              40%                60%         80%   South                   38%      33%    21%

                                                                                                                6
Over Two-Thirds Support The Combined Proposal To
    Reduce Emissions And Require Clean Energy Sources
   Congress is considering an energy plan that has two key
      parts. One part would require factories and power                              Favor   Oppose
      companies to reduce their emissions of the carbon      Democrat ID             84%     8%
   pollution that causes global warming by 20% by the year   Independent ID          63%     24%
      2020 and by 80% by the year 2050. The other part       Republican ID           50%     39%
   would require power companies to generate 15% of their    Liberal                 89%     6%
   power from clean energy sources like wind and solar by    Moderate                73%     14%
   the year 2025. Would you favor/oppose this entire plan?   Conservative            49%     40%
                                                             Young Women             73%     19%
                                                             Young Men               55%     34%
                                                             Older Women             70%     17%
    Favor    44% strong                         67%          Older Men               71%     21%
                                                             HS or Less              73%     15%
                                                             Some College            70%     20%
                                               +44           College+                61%     30%
                          23%                                White                   64%     25%
  Oppose     15%                                             Non-White               85%     12%
                                                             Urban                   73%     18%
                                                             Exurban                 67%     24%
                                                             Rural                   59%     31%
                   10%                                       St. Louis Co.
                                                             Rest of St. Louis DMA
                                                                                     79%
                                                                                     63%
                                                                                             14%
                                                                                             26%
Undec./DK
                                                             Jackson/KC              53%     28%
                                                             Northeast               61%     28%
                                                             North Central           55%     28%
        0%         20%      40%        60%       80%         South                   63%     28%
                                                                                                      7
A Sizeable Majority Say They Would Feel More Favorably
Towards A Senator Who Voted For The Clean Energy Plan
 How would you feel about your US Senator if they                        More   Less
  voted for a plan to require power companies to        Democrat ID      79%    3%
  generate 25% of their power from clean energy         Independent ID   53%    19%
   sources like wind and solar by the year 2025?        Republican ID    40%    34%
                                                        Liberal          80%    3%
                                                        Moderate         64%    10%
                                                        Conservative     41%    33%
      More                                 59%          Young Women      63%    15%
                   35% Much                             Young Men        52%    26%
  Favorable
                                                        Older Women      60%    11%
                                                        Older Men        61%    19%
                                                        HS or Less       62%    13%
                                                        Some College     60%    15%
      Less                    18%                       College+         55%    23%
                   9%                                   White            55%    20%
 Favorable                                              Non-White        78%    5%
                                                        Urban            62%    13%
                                                        Exurban          56%    18%
                                                        Rural            54%    24%
                               24%                      St. Louis Co.    69%    8%
       No                                               Rest St.L DMA    58%    19%
Difference                                              Jackson/KC       43%    24%
                                                        Northeast        49%    23%
                                                        North Central    52%    28%
              0%        20%   40%    60%   80%   100%   South            57%    23%

                                                                                       8
Most Say They Would Feel More Favorably Towards A
      Senator For Supporting An Emissions Cap
                                                                           More   Less
   How would you feel about your US Senator if they
 voted for a plan to require factories and power plants   Democrat ID      79%    4%
  to reduce their global warming pollution by 80% by      Independent ID   50%    21%
                      the year 2050                       Republican ID    39%    39%
                                                          Liberal          80%    5%
                                                          Moderate         64%    10%
       More                                               Conservative     37%    38%
   Favorable                                 57%          Young Women      59%    17%
                     35% Much                             Young Men        44%    33%
                                                          Older Women      63%    11%
                                                          Older Men        62%    21%
                                                          HS or Less       63%    15%
                                                          Some College     56%    18%
                                                          College+         53%    26%
       Less                     21%                       White            54%    23%
                     11%
  Favorable                                               Non-White        77%    9%
                                                          Urban            63%    15%
                                                          Exurban          49%    27%
                                                          Rural            51%    28%
                                                          St. Louis Co.    68%    11%
                                 23%                      Rest St.L DMA    52%    25%
No Difference                                             Jackson/KC       38%    30%
                                                          Northeast        48%    26%
                                                          North Central    47%    31%
                                                          South            57%    22%
                0%      20%     40%    60%   80%   100%

                                                                                         9
Poll MO

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Poll MO

  • 1. Environment Group Presentation Of Findings From A Statewide Survey Of 600 Likely 2010 General Election Voters In Missouri With An Oversample Of Rural And Exurban Voters 1
  • 2. Key Findings • A Large Majority Believe Global Warming Constitutes A Serious Threat • A Solid Majority, Across Most Demographic Groups, Favor Action To Reduce Carbon Emissions • A Plurality Believe That Reducing Global Warming Will Create New Jobs • Over Two-Thirds Support The Combined Proposal To Reduce Emissions And Require Clean Energy Sources • A Sizeable Majority Say They Would Feel More Favorably Towards A Senator Who Voted For The Clean Energy Plan • Most Say They Would Feel More Favorably Towards A Senator For Supporting An Emissions Cap 2
  • 3. Methodology • 600 Likely 2010 General Election Voters In Missouri + Oversample Of 104 Exurban And 100 Rural Voters • Interviews Conducted October 20th- 25th, 2009 • Margin Of Error +/- 4.0% Overall, Higher For Subgroups 3
  • 4. A Large Majority Believe Global Warming Constitutes A Serious Threat Serious Not Generally speaking, how serious of a threat do you think global warming is today – very serious, somewhat serious, not too serious, Democrat ID 83% 15% or not serious at all – or don’t you have an opinion on this? Independent ID 61% 34% Republican ID 35% 63% Liberal 85% 13% Moderate 74% 22% 61% Conservative 37% 60% 29% Very Young Women 68% 31% Serious Young Men 51% 48% Older Women 69% 25% Older Men 57% 39% HS or Less 60% 33% 36% Some College 66% 34% College+ 60% 39% Not Serious 17% Not at all White 59% 40% Non-White 79% 13% Urban 69% 27% Exurban 67% 31% Rural 49% 49% 3% St. Louis Co. 76% 21% Rest of St. Louis DMA 61% 37% DK Jackson/KC 52% 46% Northeast 59% 40% North Central 49% 48% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% South 54% 45% 4
  • 5. A Solid Majority, Across Most Demographic Groups, Favor Action To Reduce Carbon Emissions Do you favor or oppose the United States taking Favor Oppose action to reduce it emissions of gases like carbon dioxide that cause global warming? Democrat ID 86% 6% Independent ID 64% 24% Republican ID 52% 36% Liberal 88% 5% 68% Moderate 75% 13% Conservative 51% 37% Favor 45% Strongly Young Women 73% 16% Young Men 60% 32% Older Women 69% 15% Older Men 73% 21% 21% HS or Less 71% 18% Some College 64% 23% Oppose 13% College+ 69% 21% White 67% 23% Non-White 77% 10% Urban 72% 18% Exurban 72% 20% 9% Rural 63% 26% Undec. St. Louis Co. 80% 13% Rest of St. Louis DMA 63% 27% Jackson/KC 60% 29% Northeast 64% 24% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% North Central 65% 20% South 64% 25% 5
  • 6. A Plurality Believe That Reducing Global Warming Will Create New Jobs Which comes closer to your point of view: Create Cost Not Democrat ID 64% 12% 16% Efforts to reduce global warming will create new American jobs 40% 32% 16% Independent ID Efforts to reduce global warming will cost American jobs Republican ID 21% 45% 24% Efforts to reduce global warming will not affect American jobs Liberal 70% 12% 14% Moderate 44% 19% 21% Conservative 24% 46% 19% 43% Young Women 47% 27% 19% 30% strong Young Men 37% 36% 21% Older Women 46% 23% 17% Older Men 40% 30% 17% HS or Less 43% 23% 18% 24% 29% Some College 44% 27% 19% +14 College+ 42% 34% 18% White 40% 31% 18% Non-White 55% 15% 19% 12% 18% Urban 47% 24% 19% Exurban 46% 32% 8% Rural 36% 35% 21% St. Louis Co. 47% 23% 20% Rest of St. Louis DMA 42% 32% 13% 10% Jackson/KC 38% 29% 19% (darker shading=stronger intensity) Northeast 40% 33% 14% North Central 39% 34% 19% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% South 38% 33% 21% 6
  • 7. Over Two-Thirds Support The Combined Proposal To Reduce Emissions And Require Clean Energy Sources Congress is considering an energy plan that has two key parts. One part would require factories and power Favor Oppose companies to reduce their emissions of the carbon Democrat ID 84% 8% pollution that causes global warming by 20% by the year Independent ID 63% 24% 2020 and by 80% by the year 2050. The other part Republican ID 50% 39% would require power companies to generate 15% of their Liberal 89% 6% power from clean energy sources like wind and solar by Moderate 73% 14% the year 2025. Would you favor/oppose this entire plan? Conservative 49% 40% Young Women 73% 19% Young Men 55% 34% Older Women 70% 17% Favor 44% strong 67% Older Men 71% 21% HS or Less 73% 15% Some College 70% 20% +44 College+ 61% 30% 23% White 64% 25% Oppose 15% Non-White 85% 12% Urban 73% 18% Exurban 67% 24% Rural 59% 31% 10% St. Louis Co. Rest of St. Louis DMA 79% 63% 14% 26% Undec./DK Jackson/KC 53% 28% Northeast 61% 28% North Central 55% 28% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% South 63% 28% 7
  • 8. A Sizeable Majority Say They Would Feel More Favorably Towards A Senator Who Voted For The Clean Energy Plan How would you feel about your US Senator if they More Less voted for a plan to require power companies to Democrat ID 79% 3% generate 25% of their power from clean energy Independent ID 53% 19% sources like wind and solar by the year 2025? Republican ID 40% 34% Liberal 80% 3% Moderate 64% 10% Conservative 41% 33% More 59% Young Women 63% 15% 35% Much Young Men 52% 26% Favorable Older Women 60% 11% Older Men 61% 19% HS or Less 62% 13% Some College 60% 15% Less 18% College+ 55% 23% 9% White 55% 20% Favorable Non-White 78% 5% Urban 62% 13% Exurban 56% 18% Rural 54% 24% 24% St. Louis Co. 69% 8% No Rest St.L DMA 58% 19% Difference Jackson/KC 43% 24% Northeast 49% 23% North Central 52% 28% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% South 57% 23% 8
  • 9. Most Say They Would Feel More Favorably Towards A Senator For Supporting An Emissions Cap More Less How would you feel about your US Senator if they voted for a plan to require factories and power plants Democrat ID 79% 4% to reduce their global warming pollution by 80% by Independent ID 50% 21% the year 2050 Republican ID 39% 39% Liberal 80% 5% Moderate 64% 10% More Conservative 37% 38% Favorable 57% Young Women 59% 17% 35% Much Young Men 44% 33% Older Women 63% 11% Older Men 62% 21% HS or Less 63% 15% Some College 56% 18% College+ 53% 26% Less 21% White 54% 23% 11% Favorable Non-White 77% 9% Urban 63% 15% Exurban 49% 27% Rural 51% 28% St. Louis Co. 68% 11% 23% Rest St.L DMA 52% 25% No Difference Jackson/KC 38% 30% Northeast 48% 26% North Central 47% 31% South 57% 22% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 9