SlideShare uma empresa Scribd logo
1 de 29
Baixar para ler offline
EGM 2012


           Bo Askvik, President & CEO

                   Stockholm
                7 December 2012
Presentation outline

    1      Financial highlights           2     Recapitalisation proposal                   3    Way forward - business plan

        » Operational recent                  » Equity increase of SEK 1,700                    » Financial strength combined
          developments                          million                                           with farm-out transactions
        » Q3 operational result in line       » Net debt reduced to SEK 1,900                   » Development of 30 Mmboe at
          with market expectations              million 1)                                        USD 9/boe in operated assets
        » Congo asset impairment of           » Equity post recapitalisation                    » Asset revaluation – upside
          SEK 1,495 million                     transaction approx. SEK 2,500                     potential
                                                million

                                               1) After cost and assuming 100% acceptance




2
Recent development
    HIGHLIGHTS
    •   Alen field development progressing according to plan,
        targeting first production in 2H 2013
    •   Block I targets for exploration and appraisal drilling in
        2013 in progress
    •   Zarat permit extended until July 2015, with Elyssa
        appraisal well scheduled in 2013, farm-out activities
        on-going
    •   Appraisal requirements and development options are
        evaluated on Danish 12/06 – parallel with efforts to
        locate available rig continues. Initiated discussions with
        Maersk for infrastructure tie back
    •   Awarded provisional UKCS licence - Block 22/19a -
        containing undeveloped Fiddich gas/condensate field
        (1984) and adjacent to PAR-operated Block 22/18c
    •   German licence farm-out to Danoil (10%) – partner in
        adjacent 12/06 licence.
    •   Tentative Unitization agreement of the Zarat field




3
Production and sales Ytd 2012
                  Average production per country (bopd)
12000
                                                                                       bopd              Ytd 2012     Q3 2012     Nov. 2012
               Congo: Azurite        EG: Aseng       Tunisia: Didon & Onshore
                                                                                       West Africa          5,700        5,600           4,800
10000

8000                                                                                   North Africa         2,300        2,100           2,400

6000
                                                                                       Group Total          8,000        7,700           7,200
4000

2000

      0
     Q1 2011    Q2 2011      Q3 2011       Q4 2011   Q1 2012       Q2 2012   Q3 2012     • ASENG: New production level of 60,000-63,000
                                                                                           bopd to maximise reservoir recovery
                      Average sales price (USD/bbl)
                                                                                         • AZURITE: Sidetrack operations begun in Q4 and
    140                     PA Resources                   Brent                           expected to last several months. Plug & abandon
                                             117   113
                                                               119                         completed, drilling to commence.
    120                              106                 109          108     109
                                                               120                       • TUNISIA: Onshore fields are back in production
    100                       85            109                       109    109
                79    78
                                                   106   104                               after the temporary shut down in Aug/Sep
          77                          97
    80
                 78
                                82                                                       • PRICE: PA Resources realised price equal to
    60    71           72                                                                  Brent average for the third quarter
    40

    20
           Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
          2010 2010 2010 2010 2011 2011 2011 2011 2012 2012 2012




4
Q3 financial highlights
                          Q1
Q3 impairments and tax adjustments
                       Impairments                                          Tax adjustments
    • One-off and non-cash impairment charges and           • Previously unreported deferred tax liabilities
      write downs in Q3 of in total SEK 1,495 million         pertaining to periods before 2011 have been
                                                              adjusted by SEK 445 million and reported directly
    • The Marine XIV license in the Republic of Congo         against share-holders' equity for the opening
      was relinquished in early October, resulting in a       balance of 2011
      write down of approximately SEK 174 million
                                                            • New opening balance of equity 2012
    • The annual impairment test performed and                SEK 2,816 million
      assets in the Republic of Congo impaired,
      mainly as a result of a revision of Azurite field’s   • Previously unreported deferred tax assets in the
      recoverable reserves                                    parent company reduced income taxes in Q3 by
                                                              SEK 125 million
    • Azurite/Mer Profonde Sud impairment of SEK
      1,321 million. Azurite future book value only new
      sidetrack/well




6
Earnings and key ratios
                                                  Q3             Q2       Jan-Sep        Jan -Sep
                                                2012           2012          2012            2011     KEY COMMENTS Q3 vs Q2
 Production (bopd)                             7,700           8,000          8,100          8,700    • Lower production lowered
                                                                                                        revenue
 Oil price (USD/barrel)                           109            109             113            103
                                                                                                      • Stable OPEX, to a large extent
                                                                                                        fixed costs

 Revenue (SEK million)                            525            542          1,717          1,619    • EBITDA margin of 55.7%
                                                                                                      • Depreciation somewhat lower
 EBITDA (SEK million)                             292            302            990             989
                                                                                                        due to lower production
 EBITDA margin                                55.7%           55.7%          57.6%          61.1%     • Financial net strengthened due to
                                                                                                        fx effects and both lower interest
 Profit before tax                                 64             -23           107             147     and amortized cost
 (SEK million) *
                                                                                                      • Tax/EBITDA 27% in Q3
 Profit for the period                            -15           -118            -166           -229
 (SEK million)*
 Earnings per share (SEK)                       -2.17          -0.33           -2.55          -0.36

 * Figures 2012 exclude non-cash, one-off write downs and impairment charges of SEK 1.495million
(SEK 1.370 million after tax) in Q3, SEK 92 million in Q2 and SEK 1.585 million (SEK 1.460 million
after tax) in the nine-month period.




 7
Cash flow

                             Q3      Q2     Jan-Sep   Jan-Sep
                                                                KEY COMMENTS
     SEK million            2012    2012     2012       2011
     Operating cash flow      64      425      664       917    • Operating cash flow of SEK 664
                                                                  million Jan-Sep
     of which income           0       -2        -5       -38   • Continued low capex spending,
     taxes paid                                                   mainly on Aseng and Alen
     CAPEX                    -16     -21       -69    -1,478     development in EG

     Financing activities     -51    -570      -634      -445

     Net cash flow             -2    -167       -39    -1,005




8
Capex forecast 2012/2013

                   Capex 2011 - 2013                   KEY COMMENTS
           1 800
                   1,613        Actual   Forecasted    • 2012 forecast of SEK 240-375 million unchanged
           1 600
                                                       • Capex of SEK 16 million in Q3 and SEK 69 million
           1 400
                                                         for nine-month period 2012
           1 200
                                                       • Azurite sidetrack drilling imminent
    MSEK




           1 000

            800
                                                       • 2013 forecast SEK 250-380 million

            600

            400             240 - 375     250-380
                                                              Drilling program/planned wells 2012-2014
            200
                                                      Tunisia: Zarat        Elyssa             2013    Appraisal/1
              0                69
                    2011      2012          2013      Tunisia: Makthar                         2014   Exploration/1

                                                      Congo: MPS           Azurite        Q4 2012      Sidetrack/1

                                                                                                        Appraisal/
                                                      EG: Block I          Block I             2013
                                                                                                      exploration/1

                                                      EG: Block H            Aleta    Q4 2012/2013    Exploration/1

                                                      DK: 12/06          Lille John      2013/2014     Appraisal/1




9
Current debt situation

                         Covenants and net debt                        KEY COMMENTS
                            Q3 2012   Q2 2012     Q1 2012   Covenant
                                                                       •   Recapitalisation to restore Equity and Book
Book Equity (SEK million)       956    3,064       2,994      >2,000       equity/Capital employed above requirement
Book Equity to                                                             in covenants
                               22%      47%         43%        >40%
Capital Employed
                                                                       •   Waiver obtained for both NOK & SEK bonds
Net debt (SEK million)        3,410    3,503       3,803        N/A        covenants
                                                                       •   Waiver conditional on EGM approval of
                                                                           proposed recapitalisation
                                                                       •   Bond loans will be due for immediate
                                                                           repayment if waiver is withdrawn
                                                                       •   New equity post recapitalisation of approx.
                                                                           SEK 2,500 million




10
Recapitalisation
Transaction in brief
                       Q1
Development 2010–2012: Azurite set-back
                                          Production                                                                              CAPEX
               20 000                                                                               6 000

                                                                                                    5 000
               15 000
Average bopd




                                                                                                    4 000




                                                                                             MSEK
               10 000                                                                               3 000

                                                                                                    2 000
                5 000
                                                                                                    1 000

                       0                                                                                0
                        2010                          2011                        2012 YTD                            2010-2012                            2010-2012E

                               2010 Strategic Plan       Actual Production                                          2010 Strategic Plan         Actual CAPEX



                                    Operating cash flow*
                                                                                                    • Production 2012 YTD turned out almost 10,000 boepd
               4 000
                                                                                                      below the plan set fourth in 2010 – mainly due to Azurite
               3 500
                                                                                                       – Negative operating cash flow effect of more than
               3 000                                                                                      SEK 2.9 billion 2010-2012 YTD*
               2 500
                                                                                                    • Other assets – especially Aseng – have performed in
    MSEK




               2 000                                                                                  line or above plan
               1 500
                                                                                                    • Planned capex delayed due to cash flow constraints
               1 000
                500                                                                                 • Operating cash flow** from producing assets remains
                  0                                                                                   strong – SEK 664 million 2012 YTD
                                  2010-2012                         2010-2012E
                                                                                                            *) Net entitlement. Based on an oil price of USD 80/bbl
                          2010 Strategic Plan        Actual Operating Cash Flow                             **) Operating cash flow pre capex, post tax



       12
Indebtedness too high given current asset base
                         Background                                                                        Net debt development
                                                                                5                                                                                         200%

                 Poor Azurite performance                                                                                                 4,0
                                                                                4    3,7                                         3,7             3,8




                                                                                                                                                                                 Net debt/equity (%)
                                                                                                                         3,5                             3,5        3,4   150%




                                                              Net debt (SEKm)
                                                                                                          3,1    3,2
                                                                                3                  2,8
                                                                                             2,5
                                                                                                                                                 127%                     100%
                Accelerated amortizations                                                                                                 122%          114% 140%
                                                                                2
                                                                                     85%                                77%     72%
                                                                                                          60%    68%                                                      50%
                                                                                1                   52%
                                                                                             41%
                      Weak balance sheet
                                                                                0                                                                                         0%
                                                                                      Q1     Q2    Q3     Q4     Q1      Q2      Q3       Q4     Q1      Q2         Q3
                                                                                               2010                         2011                        2012
                      Perceived inability to
                        develop assets                                                         Net debt      of which convertible bonds          Net debt*/equity

                                                                                    *) Includes convertible bonds, before impairment




                        Unfavourable                                                       • Underlying cash flow from production stable but
                        conditions for                                                       net indebtedness following Azurite set-back too
                        credit facilities                                                    high and liquidity has become a constraint
      Difficulty to
                                            Low perceived                                  • Recapitalisation to strengthen balance sheet
     make asset                                                                              critical to avoid financial distress
                                            value of assets
     transactions

                        Price pressure
                         on all traded
                         instruments




13
Solution: Recapitalisation for future growth
         Board of Directors propose a two-step transaction strengthening equity with SEK 1.7 billion

     1       Set-off issue                                                            Ownership                                                           Outcome
                                                                                                 8%

         » Offer to convertible bondholders                                                                                    » The company believes that after the
           to set-off their convertible bonds                                                                                    transactions its balance sheet will be
           against newly issued shares at                                              92%                                       sufficiently strong to:
           SEK 0.15                                                           Current                   Convertible
                                                                              shareholders              bondholders                 •      Increase ability to complete asset
                                                                                                                                           divestments

     2                                                                                Ownership                                     •      In combination with new debt
                Rights issue
                                                                                                                                           financing, enable ability to develop
                                                                                    24%
                                                                                                4%                                         prioritised assets to secure future
                                                                                                                                           growth
         » Fully underwritten rights issue
           of approx. SEK 700 million at
                                                                                                       48%                          •      In combination with new debt
                                                                                   24%                                                     financing, enable planned
           SEK 0.10 (~50% directed to old
           equityholders and ~50% to                                       Current                   Convertible                           amortisation of bond loans and
                                                                           shareholders              bondholders
           convertible bondholders)                                                                                                        credit facilities during 2013
                                                                           Convertible               Shareholders’ share
                                                                           bondholders’              of new issue
                                                                           share of new issue


         » Post transaction – continue to benefit from operating cash flow and development potential inherent in assets
           primarily in North Africa and the North Sea


     The set-off issue and fully underwritten rights issue are subject to the underwriting agreement entered into between the company and Carnegie not being
     terminated. Carnegie has the right to terminate the agreement, inter alia, if the set-off issue is not subscribed for to such extent that more than 90% of the claim
     under the convertible bonds (including accrued interest as at 6 November 2012) is used as payment for the new class B share by way of set-off.

14
Terms of set-off and rights issue
     1      Set-off issue


                               • Set-off of one (1) convertible bond of nominal value including accrued
                                 interest of in total SEK 17.40 for 116 new B shares at SEK 0.15 per share
          Set-off issue
                               • Maximum of 7.1 billion new B shares (increase in equity of SEK 1.1
                                 billion)



     2       Rights issue approx. SEK 700 million (assuming 100% acceptance in set-off issue)


         Rights issue to
                                • Rights issue directed to the current shareholders (holders of A
            current
                                  shares) of approximately SEK 350 million at SEK 0.10 per share
          shareholders




      Rights issue to         • Rights issue directed to holders of new B shares from set-off issue of
     holders of new B           approximately SEK 350 million at 0.10 per share
          share




15
PA Resources way forward – business plan
    Operating cash flow       » Cash flow from producing assets to finance maintenance investments in the Aseng
 and rights issue proceeds      and Didon fields
   enables maintenance        » Strengthened balance sheet, in combination with new debt financing, enables
        investments             planned amortizations of bond loans and credit facilities during 2013


                              » Work ongoing to reduce interest in certain prioritized assets
     Farm-outs to reduce
      risk exposure and              • Zarat license in Tunisia (Elyssa, Zarat and Didon)
      future investments             • 12/06 in Denmark (Broder Tuck and Lille John)


                              » Cash flow from producing fields combined with new debt financing enables
       Development of           development of prioritized assets – target to develop ~32 mmboe to production
     prioritized assets for         • Zarat and Elyssa in Tunisia
           long-term                • Broder Tuck and Lille John in Denmark
      production growth
                              » Net debt to remain in line with the level following the transactions


     Selective exploration
       to increase the        » Selective exploration and appraisal of Block I in EG and Makthar in Tunisia
        resource base         » Only a few planned commitments


     Improved position for
                              » Strengthened balance sheet secures the value of the asset portfolio and improves
      farm-outs and asset
                                the position in future farm-outs and asset related transactions
      related transactions




16
Zarat Field – Largest undeveloped discovery in Tunisia
     1990       1992              1995             2005           2010-2011             2011-2012               2013       2013-2017     2017/2018
Permit Award   Discovery       Appraisal Well   PA Acquisition   ZRT-N1 Appraisal   POD Update, Unitisation   UPOD, UUOA   Development   First production



                           • c. 80 mmbbl liquids
                                                                                                              Outlook - Forward Plan
   Gross
 Recoverable               • c. 600 Bscf gas incl. inerts                              » Tunisian gas deficit growing – more gas projects required
  Volumes                  • Largest undeveloped discovery in Tunisia                    with Elyssa & Zarat as clear candidates
                                                                                       » Submit Unit Plan of Development by Q1 2013
                           • c. 60% of field lies in Zarat Permit                      » Agree unitisation principles with Joint Oil Block
  Unitisation                                                                          » Actively participate in Government infrastructure initiative
                           • c. 40% in Joint Oil Block

 Ownership &               • Zarat Permit: PA Resources 100%                                                  Development Concept
 Operatorship              • Joint Oil Block: Sonde 100%


                           •   El Gueria fm reservoir
  Subsurface               •   30m oil rim with > 70m rich gas cap
   Aspects                 •   40° API oil, 53° API condensate
                           •   Significant inert component in gas


                           •   40,000 bopd initial oil/cond rate first year
                           •   200 mmscf/d initial raw gas rate
Facilities and             •   9 producer wells, 4 gas injectors
Development                •   Objective to maximise liquid recovery
  Aspects                  •   Plan assumes a 7yr gas recycling phase
                           •   Followed by gas cap blowdown
                           •   25yr + production life


17
Zarat Field – Tentative Unitization agreement
     RECENT DEVELOPMENT                                                                                               Joint Oil Block

                                                                                           Zarat field
     •   Tentative agreement reached on Unitization of Zarat
         field reached with Sonde Resources (licence holder
                                                                                                                                 ZRTN-1
         to North Zarat licence)                                                                                       ZRT-1 Zarat Field
                                                                                                                        ZRT-2

     •   Agreement includes principles relating to Unit Area,
                                                                                                                       El Nisr
         Unit Plan of Development Area and Tract Participation                                      Aliyan


     •   Unit Plan of Development on track for submission to                                                 Updip

         Tunisian Authorities by end Q2 2013                                                                   Massinissa


     •   Detailed reservoir technical evaluation undertaken                                    Didon North Field

         jointly by PA Resources and Sonde is on-going

     •   Preliminary results indicate gas recycling option as      Zarat West        Didon South    Didon Field


         a viable production option – allows production of
         oil and condensate in advance of gas blow down                                                              Zarat Permit
                                                                                Elyssa Field
                                                                                                                     Zarat Field (PART)
     •   Further announcement once all approvals have                                                                Didon Concession
         been obtained                                                                                               Fields
                                                                                                                     Lead / Prospects


                                                                           TUNISIA                     LIBYA

                                                                 Licence Group: Operator PA Resouces 100%
                                                                     ETAP has a back-in right of up to 55%




18
Elyssa – Appraisal well in 2013
 1974          1992               2005            2006/2007               2010              2013            2014     2014-2016           2016
Discovery   Appraisal Well     PA Acquisition   Appraisal Well + ST   New 3D Seismic ELY-4 Appraisal Well    POD      Development    First Production



                                                                                                            Outlook - Forward Plan
   Gross              • c. 50 mmboe
 Recoverable          • Mainly gas resources                                           » Tunisian gas deficit growing – more gas projects
  Volumes             • Small quantity of oil/condensate                                 required with Elyssa & Zarat as clear candidates
                                                                                       » Seismic re-interpretation & modeling by end 2012
 Ownership &                                                                           » Drill appraisal well in 2013
                      • PA Resources 100%
 Operatorship
                                                                                                            Development Concept

                      • Asymmetric anticline structure
                      • Gas & oil accumulation in Vascus Cherahil
 Subsurface             and Bireno reservoirs
  Aspects             • 36-37° API oil
                      • Low inert, c. 16% assumed



                      •      50 m water depth
Facilities and        •      6 production wells
Development           •      Development via tie-back
  Aspects             •      c. 3,000 bopd initial oil/cond rate
                      •      c. 120 mmscf/d initial raw gas rate




19
Denmark 12/06 – 2011 discoveries and way forward
 PA Resources Operator with 64%

                        Broder Tuck
 •   High quality Middle Jurassic reservoir proved by wells
 •   Mid to high case assessment of c. 25-50 mmboe gross
     of contingent resources including liquids
 •   Commercialisation studies continues through 2012
 •   Initiated discussions with Maersk for infrastructure tie back
                                                                                      12/06                  Broder Tuck-2
 •   Assumed production start in 2017


                          Lille John                                                                      Lille John-1
 •   Wells established 35 API oil in Miocene sandstone
     at c. 900m – exceptionally light oil for shallow depth
 •   Work focused on Miocene prospect inventory                                               B20008-73
 •   Remaining deeper potential likely – Chalk remains and
     well result upgrades Middle Jurassic prospect
 •   2012 work programme to reprocess 3D to determine
     prospect inventory and appraisal well location
                                                                     Licence Group: Operator PA Resources (64%), Danish
 •   Drilling project management tendered and efforts to locate      North Sea Fund (20%), Spyker Energy (8%), Danoil (8%)
     available rig continues
 •   Initiated discussions with Maersk for infrastructure tie back
 •   Assumed production start in 2016




20
Reserves and Resources for development
                                             2P                        Contingent              Risked Prospective
     MMboe
                                           Reserves                    Resources                   Resources
                                                                                              Block I, Block H, MPS,
                                      Didon, Azurite, Aseng       Block I, MPS, 12/06,       Marine XIV, Zarat permit,
     Assets
                                    liquids, Alen, Zarat field   Marine XIV, Zarat permit,    Jelma, Makthar, Jenein
     included
                                          liquids, DST                 Netherlands           Center, Gita, 12/06, Block
                                                                                                8, Netherlands, UK

     2011.12.31                               60.2                         145                          409



     Present PAR working interest

     Tunisia: Zarat                           43.9                         29.3

     Tunisia: Elyssa                                                       42.2

     Denmark: Lille John                                                   9.1                          9.1

     Denmark: Broder Tuck                                                  21.4

     Total                                    43.9                        102.2                         9.1
     Developed Net after farm-out              8.8                         21.5                         2.2




21
Prioritised investments/projects 2013-2018
                                                                                                             Farm-out
                                    2013E       2014E      2015E      2016E       2017E   2018E    Total
                                                                                                              target      • CAPEX forecast
                                                                                                                            assumes farm-out of
Development Projects                                                                                                        prioritised assets
Producing Fields                     240         160        140          30          0      0      570                    • Maintenance CAPEX of
Denmark: 12/06 Field                 130         220        310         180          0      0      840      64% to 15%
                                                                                                                            producing fields included

Tunisia: Zarat Field                 210         500       1 060        680        230      0      2 680    100% to 20%

Exploration                          110          70           0           0         0      0      180

CAPEX Forecast (MSEK)                690         950       1 510        890        230      0      4 270

PAR Carry Estimate                   520         680        970         300          0      0      2 470

Net CAPEX (MSEK)                     170         270        540         590        230      0      1 800


                                            Total assets
                             Production and reserves under development
                                     2013       2014      2015     2016                   2017     2018
Reserves*
Reserves in producing fields
(MMBOE)                                  12.8           10.9         8.9          7.6      6.2      5.0
Reserves in assets to be
developed (MMBOE)                        32.5           32.5         32.5        30.3      27.5     23.2
Total                                    45.3           43.4         41.4        37.9      33.7     28.2

Production (boepd)*
Working interest                        6,300          5,300        5,400        9,500    11,500   15,000

*) Assuming farm-outs
Note: Assumes an oil price of 110 USD/bbl, USD/SEK of 6.53 and a discount factor of 10%

22
Expected outcome of Business Plan
                  Estimated development of reserves (MMBOE)
                                                                                         HIGHLIGHTS:
     40
     35                                                                                  •   Continued production from currently producing
     30                                                                                      assets
     25
                                                                       30 MMBOE          •   Investments in 2013-2015 adds new production
     20
                                                                                             and long-term cash flow – 30 mmboe developed
     15
                                                                                             to production
     10
     5                                                                                   •   Farm-outs critical to reduce risk and capex
     0
      2013          2014             2015         2016           2017         2018       •   Further investments in 2016-2017
                           Producing Fields   Fields to be developed                         to maintain and add new production

                                                                                         •   Planned production start for Lille John and
                           Production development (boepd)                                    Elyssa in 2016 followed by Broder Tuck and
                                                                                             Block I in 2017 and Zarat field in 2018
 17 500
 15 000
 12 500
 10 000
  7 500
  5 000
  2 500
          0
           2013       2014             2015         2016           2017           2018

                      Producing Fields        Fields to be developed




23
Expected outcome of Business Plan
                                 Production and cash flow* development                                                                                          Net debt development
                                                                                                                                         8                                                                          160%
                         2 000                                       1,820   20 000




                                                                                                           Net debt and equity (SEKbn)
                                                                                                                                         6                                                                          120%
                         1 500                                               15 000                                                                                                                    5,0




                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Net debt/equity (%)
                                                                                      Production (boepd)
                                                                                                                                                                       86%
      Cash flow (SEKm)




                                                                                                                                                           76%                     72%
                                                                                                                                         4     68%                                            3,6                   80%
                         1 000                                840            10 000                                                                                               2,8
                                                                                                                                              2,5         2,4         2,4
                                                                                                                                                                            2,1         2,0    33%
                                                                                                                                                    1,7         1,8
                                                                                                                                         2                                                       1,2                40%
                          500                                                5 000
                                   180
                                                         60
                                                                                                                                         0                                                             -13%         0%
                            0                                                0
                                         -100                                                                                                                                                                -0,6
                         -500                   -270                         -5 000                                                      -2                                                                         -40%
                                  2013e 2014e 2015e 2016e 2017e 2018e                                                                         2013e       2014e       2015e       2016e       2017e    2018e
                                                                                                                                                           Equity            Net debt           Net debt/equity
                                         Net cash flow        Production


     *) Cash flow post capex, G&A and interest payments




24
CAPEX forecast – Total and per barrel
                              CAPEX incl carry proceeds
                1 800                                                                                                                                 CAPEX HIGHLIGHTS:
                1 600
                1 400                                                                                                                                 • Development of prioritised key assets and
                1 200                                                                                                                                   continued selective exploration activities
         MSEK




                1 000
                                                                                                                                                      • 30 MMBOE to be developed to producing
                    800
                                                                                                                                                        reserves
                    600
                    400                                                                                                                               • Total capex forecast of SEK 1.8 billion
                    200
                      0                                                                                                                               • Development capex of approx. USD 9/boe
                             2010

                                           2011

                                                          2012E

                                                                          2013E

                                                                                          2014E

                                                                                                      2015E

                                                                                                                 2016E

                                                                                                                           2017E

                                                                                                                                    2018E
                                                                                                                                                        including carry proceeds


                                       CAPEX/Produced barrel
               80
               70
               60
               50
     USD/bbl




               40
               30
               20
               10                                                                                                                           Cost per developed boe incl carry proceeds
                0
                      2010

                                    2011

                                                  2012E

                                                                  2013E

                                                                                  2014E

                                                                                                  2015E

                                                                                                              2016E

                                                                                                                         2017E

                                                                                                                                   2018E




25
Prioritised assets – Value through farm-outs
                             Asset valuation before and after farm-outs
                                                                          After Farm -outs     KEY COMMENTS:
                             Reserves &               Current   Current
                             Contingent               Working     PAR    Working      PAR      •   Farm-out of prioritised assets to reach
                             Resources    Book Value Interest Valuation Interest Valuation         preferred working interest level and
      North Africa            (mmboe)       (MSEK)      (%)     (MSEK)     (%)      (MSEK)         reduce risk on individual assets
                 Didon*                                  100,0%             50,0%
                   DST*                                   75,0%             75,0%
                                                                                               •   Value per barrel potential increase from
                  Zarat
                                      120       2 807
                                                         100,0%
                                                                   8 300
                                                                            20,0%
                                                                                       3 000       $4/boe in current book value to $19/boe
                 Elyssa                                  100,0%             20,0%                  on prioritised assets after development
                  Total               120       2 807              8 300               3 000       and farm-outs
                                                                                               •   Upside potential compared to current
      West Africa
                                                                                                   book values in West Africa and North
               Azurite*                                   35,0%              35,0%
                                       13        707                2 100              2 100       Sea development assets
                Block I*                                   5,7%               5,7%
                  Total                13        707                2 100              2 100   •   Large portion of value in North African
                                                                                                   assets
       North Sea
                                                                                               ASSUMPTIONS FOR VALUATION:
      12/06, Broder Tuck
                                       40        384      64,0%     3 100    15,0%     1 100
         12/06, Lille John                                                                     •   Reserve data from third party reports
                     Total             40        384                3 100              1 100
                                                                                               •   Business plan as previously presented
  Exploration assets                                                                               Oil price of 110 USD/bbl
      Other Assets, incl.                                                                      •   USD/SEK of 6.53
                                     441**      1 693         -     2 300         -    2 300
            Exploration**
                   Total             441**      1 693               2 300              2 300   •   Cash flow discounted at 10%

                    Total                      5 591              15 800              8 500
*) Producing assets
**) Includes prospective resources




 26
Asset valuation – Summary
                   10

                                                      8,5
                                                                                                                                                                                     8.5
                    8
                                                      2,3

                                                                                                                                                                                     6.2
     SEK billion




                    6           5,6
                                                                                                   Total equity of SEK ~1.9 billion
                                1,7
                                                      3,9
                    4                                                                                                                     0.1***
                                                                                                                    0.7**
                                1,6
                                                                                               1.1**                                                                                 2.3
                    2

                                2,3                   2,3               1.9**

                    0
                           Book values          PAR valuation         Net debt            New equity from New equity from           Old equity**            Upside to NAV
                                               assuming farm-                               convertible     rights issue
                                                   outs*                                   bondholders
                                    Asset valuation                                                Upside potential to business plan



                                 Producing assets      Assets to                                                        New equity from
                                                                          Net debt post       New equity from                                      Old equity     Upside potential
                                                       be developed                                                     rights issue
                                                                          transactions        convertible bondholders
                                 Exploration assets



                   *) Based on reserve data from third party reports, the business plan as presented on the previous pages, an oil price of 110 USD/bbl,
                   USD/SEK of 6.53 and a discount factor of 10%
                   **) Assumes 100% acceptance in the exchange offer
                   ***) Based on a share price of SEK 0.14, i.e. the theoretical share price post transactions




27
Summary and outlook

     INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS:
     •   Cash flow from current production

     •   Financial capacity to finance development
         capex according to plan and repay/refinance
         the SEK bond due in 2013

     •   Development of existing reserves adding after
         farm-out 30 MMBOE for long-term production
         growth - expected to result in net cash position
         in 2018

     •   Value in asset portfolio secured and
         strengthened position for future farm-outs and
         transactions




28
Thank you!
             Q1

Mais conteúdo relacionado

Mais procurados

Cabo presentation feb282011ppt(f)
Cabo presentation feb282011ppt(f)Cabo presentation feb282011ppt(f)
Cabo presentation feb282011ppt(f)Company Spotlight
 
Pa Resources Rights issue and bond undertakings 5 june 2013
Pa Resources Rights issue and bond undertakings 5 june 2013Pa Resources Rights issue and bond undertakings 5 june 2013
Pa Resources Rights issue and bond undertakings 5 june 2013PA Resources AB
 
Pa resources agm 2013 presentation 14 may 2013
Pa resources agm 2013 presentation 14 may 2013Pa resources agm 2013 presentation 14 may 2013
Pa resources agm 2013 presentation 14 may 2013PA Resources AB
 
4Q09 and fy09 Earnings Results
4Q09 and fy09 Earnings Results 4Q09 and fy09 Earnings Results
4Q09 and fy09 Earnings Results Gafisa RI !
 
Pa resources q1 2013 results 24 april 2013
Pa resources q1 2013 results 24 april 2013Pa resources q1 2013 results 24 april 2013
Pa resources q1 2013 results 24 april 2013PA Resources AB
 
Hard Creek Nickel Investor Presentation
Hard Creek Nickel Investor PresentationHard Creek Nickel Investor Presentation
Hard Creek Nickel Investor PresentationCompany Spotlight
 
ARC Resources - December 2012 Investor Presentation
ARC Resources - December 2012 Investor PresentationARC Resources - December 2012 Investor Presentation
ARC Resources - December 2012 Investor PresentationARC Resources
 
Avion Corporate Presentation
Avion Corporate PresentationAvion Corporate Presentation
Avion Corporate PresentationAvion Gold Corp
 
ARC Resources - January 2013 Investor Presentation
ARC Resources - January 2013 Investor PresentationARC Resources - January 2013 Investor Presentation
ARC Resources - January 2013 Investor PresentationARC Resources
 
GasLog Q3 2012 results presentation
GasLog Q3 2012 results presentationGasLog Q3 2012 results presentation
GasLog Q3 2012 results presentationTradeWindsnews
 
Pa resources nordic energy summit 2013 21 march 2013
Pa resources nordic energy summit 2013 21 march 2013Pa resources nordic energy summit 2013 21 march 2013
Pa resources nordic energy summit 2013 21 march 2013PA Resources AB
 
Vms presentation january_2012_final
Vms presentation january_2012_finalVms presentation january_2012_final
Vms presentation january_2012_finalVMS Ventures
 
FUS Mid-year Financial Update January 2012
FUS Mid-year Financial Update January 2012FUS Mid-year Financial Update January 2012
FUS Mid-year Financial Update January 2012fusmadison
 
newmont mining oct_30_Q32008EarningsReleasePresentationFinal
newmont mining oct_30_Q32008EarningsReleasePresentationFinalnewmont mining oct_30_Q32008EarningsReleasePresentationFinal
newmont mining oct_30_Q32008EarningsReleasePresentationFinalfinance37
 
Bellatrix Investor Presentation
Bellatrix Investor Presentation Bellatrix Investor Presentation
Bellatrix Investor Presentation Company Spotlight
 
Pa resources q2 2013 final_14 aug 2013
Pa resources q2 2013 final_14 aug 2013Pa resources q2 2013 final_14 aug 2013
Pa resources q2 2013 final_14 aug 2013PA Resources AB
 
Power breakfast presentation (edama) 4 12 2012
Power breakfast presentation (edama)   4 12 2012Power breakfast presentation (edama)   4 12 2012
Power breakfast presentation (edama) 4 12 2012EDAMA
 

Mais procurados (18)

Cabo presentation feb282011ppt(f)
Cabo presentation feb282011ppt(f)Cabo presentation feb282011ppt(f)
Cabo presentation feb282011ppt(f)
 
Pa Resources Rights issue and bond undertakings 5 june 2013
Pa Resources Rights issue and bond undertakings 5 june 2013Pa Resources Rights issue and bond undertakings 5 june 2013
Pa Resources Rights issue and bond undertakings 5 june 2013
 
Pa resources agm 2013 presentation 14 may 2013
Pa resources agm 2013 presentation 14 may 2013Pa resources agm 2013 presentation 14 may 2013
Pa resources agm 2013 presentation 14 may 2013
 
4Q09 and fy09 Earnings Results
4Q09 and fy09 Earnings Results 4Q09 and fy09 Earnings Results
4Q09 and fy09 Earnings Results
 
Pa resources q1 2013 results 24 april 2013
Pa resources q1 2013 results 24 april 2013Pa resources q1 2013 results 24 april 2013
Pa resources q1 2013 results 24 april 2013
 
Hard Creek Nickel Investor Presentation
Hard Creek Nickel Investor PresentationHard Creek Nickel Investor Presentation
Hard Creek Nickel Investor Presentation
 
ARC Resources - December 2012 Investor Presentation
ARC Resources - December 2012 Investor PresentationARC Resources - December 2012 Investor Presentation
ARC Resources - December 2012 Investor Presentation
 
Avion Corporate Presentation
Avion Corporate PresentationAvion Corporate Presentation
Avion Corporate Presentation
 
ARC Resources - January 2013 Investor Presentation
ARC Resources - January 2013 Investor PresentationARC Resources - January 2013 Investor Presentation
ARC Resources - January 2013 Investor Presentation
 
GasLog Q3 2012 results presentation
GasLog Q3 2012 results presentationGasLog Q3 2012 results presentation
GasLog Q3 2012 results presentation
 
Pa resources nordic energy summit 2013 21 march 2013
Pa resources nordic energy summit 2013 21 march 2013Pa resources nordic energy summit 2013 21 march 2013
Pa resources nordic energy summit 2013 21 march 2013
 
Vms presentation january_2012_final
Vms presentation january_2012_finalVms presentation january_2012_final
Vms presentation january_2012_final
 
FUS Mid-year Financial Update January 2012
FUS Mid-year Financial Update January 2012FUS Mid-year Financial Update January 2012
FUS Mid-year Financial Update January 2012
 
newmont mining oct_30_Q32008EarningsReleasePresentationFinal
newmont mining oct_30_Q32008EarningsReleasePresentationFinalnewmont mining oct_30_Q32008EarningsReleasePresentationFinal
newmont mining oct_30_Q32008EarningsReleasePresentationFinal
 
Bellatrix Investor Presentation
Bellatrix Investor Presentation Bellatrix Investor Presentation
Bellatrix Investor Presentation
 
20120912 ipt presentation
20120912 ipt presentation20120912 ipt presentation
20120912 ipt presentation
 
Pa resources q2 2013 final_14 aug 2013
Pa resources q2 2013 final_14 aug 2013Pa resources q2 2013 final_14 aug 2013
Pa resources q2 2013 final_14 aug 2013
 
Power breakfast presentation (edama) 4 12 2012
Power breakfast presentation (edama)   4 12 2012Power breakfast presentation (edama)   4 12 2012
Power breakfast presentation (edama) 4 12 2012
 

Destaque

Pareto E&P conference PA Resources
Pareto E&P conference PA ResourcesPareto E&P conference PA Resources
Pareto E&P conference PA ResourcesPA Resources AB
 
Pa resources farm out and review-presentation 29 may_final
Pa resources farm out and review-presentation 29 may_finalPa resources farm out and review-presentation 29 may_final
Pa resources farm out and review-presentation 29 may_finalPA Resources AB
 
PA Resources Q3 2011 presentation 26 Oct
PA Resources Q3 2011 presentation 26 OctPA Resources Q3 2011 presentation 26 Oct
PA Resources Q3 2011 presentation 26 OctPA Resources AB
 
Pa resources q3 2013 results 23 october 2013
Pa resources q3 2013 results 23 october 2013Pa resources q3 2013 results 23 october 2013
Pa resources q3 2013 results 23 october 2013PA Resources AB
 
Linkedin presentation-red-1225231144081339-8
Linkedin presentation-red-1225231144081339-8Linkedin presentation-red-1225231144081339-8
Linkedin presentation-red-1225231144081339-8jafpelaez
 
Presentazione ScheDia
Presentazione ScheDiaPresentazione ScheDia
Presentazione ScheDiaLuca Sarto
 
Pa resources Pareto O&O Conference 5 sept 2013
Pa resources Pareto O&O Conference 5 sept 2013Pa resources Pareto O&O Conference 5 sept 2013
Pa resources Pareto O&O Conference 5 sept 2013PA Resources AB
 
PA Resources Annual General Meeting 2011 Presentation
PA Resources Annual General Meeting 2011 PresentationPA Resources Annual General Meeting 2011 Presentation
PA Resources Annual General Meeting 2011 PresentationPA Resources AB
 
I Print 2012 Final
I Print 2012  FinalI Print 2012  Final
I Print 2012 FinalJigar Shah
 
Pareto securities corporate bond conference 23 January 2014
Pareto securities corporate bond conference 23 January 2014Pareto securities corporate bond conference 23 January 2014
Pareto securities corporate bond conference 23 January 2014PA Resources AB
 
I Print 2011 Final
I Print 2011  FinalI Print 2011  Final
I Print 2011 FinalJigar Shah
 
PA Resources Q2 2011 presentation 17 aug
PA Resources Q2 2011 presentation 17 augPA Resources Q2 2011 presentation 17 aug
PA Resources Q2 2011 presentation 17 augPA Resources AB
 

Destaque (13)

Pareto E&P conference PA Resources
Pareto E&P conference PA ResourcesPareto E&P conference PA Resources
Pareto E&P conference PA Resources
 
Pa resources farm out and review-presentation 29 may_final
Pa resources farm out and review-presentation 29 may_finalPa resources farm out and review-presentation 29 may_final
Pa resources farm out and review-presentation 29 may_final
 
Q4 2013 presentation
Q4 2013 presentationQ4 2013 presentation
Q4 2013 presentation
 
PA Resources Q3 2011 presentation 26 Oct
PA Resources Q3 2011 presentation 26 OctPA Resources Q3 2011 presentation 26 Oct
PA Resources Q3 2011 presentation 26 Oct
 
Pa resources q3 2013 results 23 october 2013
Pa resources q3 2013 results 23 october 2013Pa resources q3 2013 results 23 october 2013
Pa resources q3 2013 results 23 october 2013
 
Linkedin presentation-red-1225231144081339-8
Linkedin presentation-red-1225231144081339-8Linkedin presentation-red-1225231144081339-8
Linkedin presentation-red-1225231144081339-8
 
Presentazione ScheDia
Presentazione ScheDiaPresentazione ScheDia
Presentazione ScheDia
 
Pa resources Pareto O&O Conference 5 sept 2013
Pa resources Pareto O&O Conference 5 sept 2013Pa resources Pareto O&O Conference 5 sept 2013
Pa resources Pareto O&O Conference 5 sept 2013
 
PA Resources Annual General Meeting 2011 Presentation
PA Resources Annual General Meeting 2011 PresentationPA Resources Annual General Meeting 2011 Presentation
PA Resources Annual General Meeting 2011 Presentation
 
I Print 2012 Final
I Print 2012  FinalI Print 2012  Final
I Print 2012 Final
 
Pareto securities corporate bond conference 23 January 2014
Pareto securities corporate bond conference 23 January 2014Pareto securities corporate bond conference 23 January 2014
Pareto securities corporate bond conference 23 January 2014
 
I Print 2011 Final
I Print 2011  FinalI Print 2011  Final
I Print 2011 Final
 
PA Resources Q2 2011 presentation 17 aug
PA Resources Q2 2011 presentation 17 augPA Resources Q2 2011 presentation 17 aug
PA Resources Q2 2011 presentation 17 aug
 

Semelhante a PA Resources EGM 7 December 2012

Quarterly report (Q4) 2008
Quarterly report (Q4) 2008Quarterly report (Q4) 2008
Quarterly report (Q4) 2008Tele2
 
Quarterly report (Q1) 2009
Quarterly report (Q1) 2009Quarterly report (Q1) 2009
Quarterly report (Q1) 2009Tele2
 
PA Resources Interim Report Q1 2011 Presentation
PA Resources Interim Report Q1 2011 PresentationPA Resources Interim Report Q1 2011 Presentation
PA Resources Interim Report Q1 2011 PresentationPA Resources AB
 
Eni 2011 1Q Results
Eni 2011 1Q ResultsEni 2011 1Q Results
Eni 2011 1Q ResultsEni
 
PA Resources Q4 Interim report
PA Resources Q4 Interim report PA Resources Q4 Interim report
PA Resources Q4 Interim report PA Resources AB
 
2011 third quarter results (27 October 2011)
2011 third quarter results (27 October 2011)2011 third quarter results (27 October 2011)
2011 third quarter results (27 October 2011)Eni
 
2014 interim results presentation no script
2014 interim results presentation   no script2014 interim results presentation   no script
2014 interim results presentation no scriptCompany Spotlight
 
Swedbank's Third Quarter 2011 Results Presentation
Swedbank's Third Quarter 2011 Results PresentationSwedbank's Third Quarter 2011 Results Presentation
Swedbank's Third Quarter 2011 Results PresentationSwedbank
 
Financial statements andreview, 4thquarter 2010
Financial statements andreview, 4thquarter 2010Financial statements andreview, 4thquarter 2010
Financial statements andreview, 4thquarter 2010Statoilasa
 
Quarterly report (Q4) 2009
Quarterly report (Q4) 2009Quarterly report (Q4) 2009
Quarterly report (Q4) 2009Tele2
 
Premier oil inv_pres_nov_2015
Premier oil inv_pres_nov_2015Premier oil inv_pres_nov_2015
Premier oil inv_pres_nov_2015Company Spotlight
 
Interim results Q4 2009
Interim results Q4 2009Interim results Q4 2009
Interim results Q4 2009EDB
 
Candax Energy Corporate Presentation
Candax Energy Corporate PresentationCandax Energy Corporate Presentation
Candax Energy Corporate PresentationCompany Spotlight
 
Teekay Offshore Partners Third Quarter 2012 Earnings Presentation
Teekay Offshore Partners Third Quarter 2012 Earnings PresentationTeekay Offshore Partners Third Quarter 2012 Earnings Presentation
Teekay Offshore Partners Third Quarter 2012 Earnings PresentationAltera Infrastructure
 
2010 Results Presentation
2010 Results Presentation 2010 Results Presentation
2010 Results Presentation AES Eletropaulo
 
2011 Q4 Results
2011 Q4 Results2011 Q4 Results
2011 Q4 ResultsEni
 
Metso Interim Review January-June 2012 presentation
Metso Interim Review January-June 2012 presentationMetso Interim Review January-June 2012 presentation
Metso Interim Review January-June 2012 presentationMetso Group
 
TOO Q1 2012: Teekay Offshore Partners First Quarter 2012 Earnings Presention
TOO Q1 2012: Teekay Offshore Partners First Quarter 2012 Earnings PresentionTOO Q1 2012: Teekay Offshore Partners First Quarter 2012 Earnings Presention
TOO Q1 2012: Teekay Offshore Partners First Quarter 2012 Earnings PresentionAltera Infrastructure
 
MEED Projects Oil and gas Webinar Presentation 10.12.12
MEED Projects Oil and gas Webinar Presentation 10.12.12MEED Projects Oil and gas Webinar Presentation 10.12.12
MEED Projects Oil and gas Webinar Presentation 10.12.12humeras
 

Semelhante a PA Resources EGM 7 December 2012 (20)

Quarterly report (Q4) 2008
Quarterly report (Q4) 2008Quarterly report (Q4) 2008
Quarterly report (Q4) 2008
 
Quarterly report (Q1) 2009
Quarterly report (Q1) 2009Quarterly report (Q1) 2009
Quarterly report (Q1) 2009
 
PA Resources Interim Report Q1 2011 Presentation
PA Resources Interim Report Q1 2011 PresentationPA Resources Interim Report Q1 2011 Presentation
PA Resources Interim Report Q1 2011 Presentation
 
Eni 2011 1Q Results
Eni 2011 1Q ResultsEni 2011 1Q Results
Eni 2011 1Q Results
 
PA Resources Q4 Interim report
PA Resources Q4 Interim report PA Resources Q4 Interim report
PA Resources Q4 Interim report
 
2011 third quarter results (27 October 2011)
2011 third quarter results (27 October 2011)2011 third quarter results (27 October 2011)
2011 third quarter results (27 October 2011)
 
2014 interim results presentation no script
2014 interim results presentation   no script2014 interim results presentation   no script
2014 interim results presentation no script
 
Swedbank's Third Quarter 2011 Results Presentation
Swedbank's Third Quarter 2011 Results PresentationSwedbank's Third Quarter 2011 Results Presentation
Swedbank's Third Quarter 2011 Results Presentation
 
Financial statements andreview, 4thquarter 2010
Financial statements andreview, 4thquarter 2010Financial statements andreview, 4thquarter 2010
Financial statements andreview, 4thquarter 2010
 
Quarterly report (Q4) 2009
Quarterly report (Q4) 2009Quarterly report (Q4) 2009
Quarterly report (Q4) 2009
 
Premier oil inv_pres_nov_2015
Premier oil inv_pres_nov_2015Premier oil inv_pres_nov_2015
Premier oil inv_pres_nov_2015
 
Interim results Q4 2009
Interim results Q4 2009Interim results Q4 2009
Interim results Q4 2009
 
Candax Energy Corporate Presentation
Candax Energy Corporate PresentationCandax Energy Corporate Presentation
Candax Energy Corporate Presentation
 
Teekay Offshore Partners Third Quarter 2012 Earnings Presentation
Teekay Offshore Partners Third Quarter 2012 Earnings PresentationTeekay Offshore Partners Third Quarter 2012 Earnings Presentation
Teekay Offshore Partners Third Quarter 2012 Earnings Presentation
 
Se 2012-09 en
Se 2012-09 enSe 2012-09 en
Se 2012-09 en
 
2010 Results Presentation
2010 Results Presentation 2010 Results Presentation
2010 Results Presentation
 
2011 Q4 Results
2011 Q4 Results2011 Q4 Results
2011 Q4 Results
 
Metso Interim Review January-June 2012 presentation
Metso Interim Review January-June 2012 presentationMetso Interim Review January-June 2012 presentation
Metso Interim Review January-June 2012 presentation
 
TOO Q1 2012: Teekay Offshore Partners First Quarter 2012 Earnings Presention
TOO Q1 2012: Teekay Offshore Partners First Quarter 2012 Earnings PresentionTOO Q1 2012: Teekay Offshore Partners First Quarter 2012 Earnings Presention
TOO Q1 2012: Teekay Offshore Partners First Quarter 2012 Earnings Presention
 
MEED Projects Oil and gas Webinar Presentation 10.12.12
MEED Projects Oil and gas Webinar Presentation 10.12.12MEED Projects Oil and gas Webinar Presentation 10.12.12
MEED Projects Oil and gas Webinar Presentation 10.12.12
 

Último

the 25 most beautiful words for a loving and lasting relationship.pdf
the 25 most beautiful words for a loving and lasting relationship.pdfthe 25 most beautiful words for a loving and lasting relationship.pdf
the 25 most beautiful words for a loving and lasting relationship.pdfFrancenel Paul
 
Corporate Presentation Probe April 2024.pdf
Corporate Presentation Probe April 2024.pdfCorporate Presentation Probe April 2024.pdf
Corporate Presentation Probe April 2024.pdfProbe Gold
 
WheelTug PLC Pitch Deck | Investor Insights | April 2024
WheelTug PLC Pitch Deck | Investor Insights | April 2024WheelTug PLC Pitch Deck | Investor Insights | April 2024
WheelTug PLC Pitch Deck | Investor Insights | April 2024Hector Del Castillo, CPM, CPMM
 
slideshare_2404_presentation materials_en.pdf
slideshare_2404_presentation materials_en.pdfslideshare_2404_presentation materials_en.pdf
slideshare_2404_presentation materials_en.pdfsansanir
 
Corporate Presentation Probe April 2024.pdf
Corporate Presentation Probe April 2024.pdfCorporate Presentation Probe April 2024.pdf
Corporate Presentation Probe April 2024.pdfProbe Gold
 
9654467111 Low Rate Call Girls In Tughlakabad, Delhi NCR
9654467111 Low Rate Call Girls In Tughlakabad, Delhi NCR9654467111 Low Rate Call Girls In Tughlakabad, Delhi NCR
9654467111 Low Rate Call Girls In Tughlakabad, Delhi NCRSapana Sha
 
Leveraging USDA Rural Development Grants for Community Growth and Sustainabil...
Leveraging USDA Rural Development Grants for Community Growth and Sustainabil...Leveraging USDA Rural Development Grants for Community Growth and Sustainabil...
Leveraging USDA Rural Development Grants for Community Growth and Sustainabil...USDAReapgrants.com
 
Best investment platform in india - falcon invoice discounting
Best investment platform in india - falcon invoice discountingBest investment platform in india - falcon invoice discounting
Best investment platform in india - falcon invoice discountingFalcon Invoice Discounting
 
9654467111 Call Girls In Katwaria Sarai Short 1500 Night 6000
9654467111 Call Girls In Katwaria Sarai Short 1500 Night 60009654467111 Call Girls In Katwaria Sarai Short 1500 Night 6000
9654467111 Call Girls In Katwaria Sarai Short 1500 Night 6000Sapana Sha
 
Collective Mining | Corporate Presentation - April 2024
Collective Mining | Corporate Presentation - April 2024Collective Mining | Corporate Presentation - April 2024
Collective Mining | Corporate Presentation - April 2024CollectiveMining1
 
Q1 Quarterly Update - April 16, 2024.pdf
Q1 Quarterly Update - April 16, 2024.pdfQ1 Quarterly Update - April 16, 2024.pdf
Q1 Quarterly Update - April 16, 2024.pdfProbe Gold
 

Último (15)

the 25 most beautiful words for a loving and lasting relationship.pdf
the 25 most beautiful words for a loving and lasting relationship.pdfthe 25 most beautiful words for a loving and lasting relationship.pdf
the 25 most beautiful words for a loving and lasting relationship.pdf
 
Corporate Presentation Probe April 2024.pdf
Corporate Presentation Probe April 2024.pdfCorporate Presentation Probe April 2024.pdf
Corporate Presentation Probe April 2024.pdf
 
WheelTug PLC Pitch Deck | Investor Insights | April 2024
WheelTug PLC Pitch Deck | Investor Insights | April 2024WheelTug PLC Pitch Deck | Investor Insights | April 2024
WheelTug PLC Pitch Deck | Investor Insights | April 2024
 
slideshare_2404_presentation materials_en.pdf
slideshare_2404_presentation materials_en.pdfslideshare_2404_presentation materials_en.pdf
slideshare_2404_presentation materials_en.pdf
 
Call Girls in South Ex⎝⎝9953056974⎝⎝ Escort Delhi NCR
Call Girls in South Ex⎝⎝9953056974⎝⎝ Escort Delhi NCRCall Girls in South Ex⎝⎝9953056974⎝⎝ Escort Delhi NCR
Call Girls in South Ex⎝⎝9953056974⎝⎝ Escort Delhi NCR
 
Corporate Presentation Probe April 2024.pdf
Corporate Presentation Probe April 2024.pdfCorporate Presentation Probe April 2024.pdf
Corporate Presentation Probe April 2024.pdf
 
young call girls in Govindpuri 🔝 9953056974 🔝 Delhi escort Service
young call girls in Govindpuri 🔝 9953056974 🔝 Delhi escort Serviceyoung call girls in Govindpuri 🔝 9953056974 🔝 Delhi escort Service
young call girls in Govindpuri 🔝 9953056974 🔝 Delhi escort Service
 
young Call girls in Dwarka sector 1🔝 9953056974 🔝 Delhi escort Service
young Call girls in Dwarka sector 1🔝 9953056974 🔝 Delhi escort Serviceyoung Call girls in Dwarka sector 1🔝 9953056974 🔝 Delhi escort Service
young Call girls in Dwarka sector 1🔝 9953056974 🔝 Delhi escort Service
 
9654467111 Low Rate Call Girls In Tughlakabad, Delhi NCR
9654467111 Low Rate Call Girls In Tughlakabad, Delhi NCR9654467111 Low Rate Call Girls In Tughlakabad, Delhi NCR
9654467111 Low Rate Call Girls In Tughlakabad, Delhi NCR
 
Leveraging USDA Rural Development Grants for Community Growth and Sustainabil...
Leveraging USDA Rural Development Grants for Community Growth and Sustainabil...Leveraging USDA Rural Development Grants for Community Growth and Sustainabil...
Leveraging USDA Rural Development Grants for Community Growth and Sustainabil...
 
Best investment platform in india - falcon invoice discounting
Best investment platform in india - falcon invoice discountingBest investment platform in india - falcon invoice discounting
Best investment platform in india - falcon invoice discounting
 
9654467111 Call Girls In Katwaria Sarai Short 1500 Night 6000
9654467111 Call Girls In Katwaria Sarai Short 1500 Night 60009654467111 Call Girls In Katwaria Sarai Short 1500 Night 6000
9654467111 Call Girls In Katwaria Sarai Short 1500 Night 6000
 
young call girls in Hauz Khas,🔝 9953056974 🔝 escort Service
young call girls in Hauz Khas,🔝 9953056974 🔝 escort Serviceyoung call girls in Hauz Khas,🔝 9953056974 🔝 escort Service
young call girls in Hauz Khas,🔝 9953056974 🔝 escort Service
 
Collective Mining | Corporate Presentation - April 2024
Collective Mining | Corporate Presentation - April 2024Collective Mining | Corporate Presentation - April 2024
Collective Mining | Corporate Presentation - April 2024
 
Q1 Quarterly Update - April 16, 2024.pdf
Q1 Quarterly Update - April 16, 2024.pdfQ1 Quarterly Update - April 16, 2024.pdf
Q1 Quarterly Update - April 16, 2024.pdf
 

PA Resources EGM 7 December 2012

  • 1. EGM 2012 Bo Askvik, President & CEO Stockholm 7 December 2012
  • 2. Presentation outline 1 Financial highlights 2 Recapitalisation proposal 3 Way forward - business plan » Operational recent » Equity increase of SEK 1,700 » Financial strength combined developments million with farm-out transactions » Q3 operational result in line » Net debt reduced to SEK 1,900 » Development of 30 Mmboe at with market expectations million 1) USD 9/boe in operated assets » Congo asset impairment of » Equity post recapitalisation » Asset revaluation – upside SEK 1,495 million transaction approx. SEK 2,500 potential million 1) After cost and assuming 100% acceptance 2
  • 3. Recent development HIGHLIGHTS • Alen field development progressing according to plan, targeting first production in 2H 2013 • Block I targets for exploration and appraisal drilling in 2013 in progress • Zarat permit extended until July 2015, with Elyssa appraisal well scheduled in 2013, farm-out activities on-going • Appraisal requirements and development options are evaluated on Danish 12/06 – parallel with efforts to locate available rig continues. Initiated discussions with Maersk for infrastructure tie back • Awarded provisional UKCS licence - Block 22/19a - containing undeveloped Fiddich gas/condensate field (1984) and adjacent to PAR-operated Block 22/18c • German licence farm-out to Danoil (10%) – partner in adjacent 12/06 licence. • Tentative Unitization agreement of the Zarat field 3
  • 4. Production and sales Ytd 2012 Average production per country (bopd) 12000 bopd Ytd 2012 Q3 2012 Nov. 2012 Congo: Azurite EG: Aseng Tunisia: Didon & Onshore West Africa 5,700 5,600 4,800 10000 8000 North Africa 2,300 2,100 2,400 6000 Group Total 8,000 7,700 7,200 4000 2000 0 Q1 2011 Q2 2011 Q3 2011 Q4 2011 Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 • ASENG: New production level of 60,000-63,000 bopd to maximise reservoir recovery Average sales price (USD/bbl) • AZURITE: Sidetrack operations begun in Q4 and 140 PA Resources Brent expected to last several months. Plug & abandon 117 113 119 completed, drilling to commence. 120 106 109 108 109 120 • TUNISIA: Onshore fields are back in production 100 85 109 109 109 79 78 106 104 after the temporary shut down in Aug/Sep 77 97 80 78 82 • PRICE: PA Resources realised price equal to 60 71 72 Brent average for the third quarter 40 20 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2010 2010 2010 2010 2011 2011 2011 2011 2012 2012 2012 4
  • 6. Q3 impairments and tax adjustments Impairments Tax adjustments • One-off and non-cash impairment charges and • Previously unreported deferred tax liabilities write downs in Q3 of in total SEK 1,495 million pertaining to periods before 2011 have been adjusted by SEK 445 million and reported directly • The Marine XIV license in the Republic of Congo against share-holders' equity for the opening was relinquished in early October, resulting in a balance of 2011 write down of approximately SEK 174 million • New opening balance of equity 2012 • The annual impairment test performed and SEK 2,816 million assets in the Republic of Congo impaired, mainly as a result of a revision of Azurite field’s • Previously unreported deferred tax assets in the recoverable reserves parent company reduced income taxes in Q3 by SEK 125 million • Azurite/Mer Profonde Sud impairment of SEK 1,321 million. Azurite future book value only new sidetrack/well 6
  • 7. Earnings and key ratios Q3 Q2 Jan-Sep Jan -Sep 2012 2012 2012 2011 KEY COMMENTS Q3 vs Q2 Production (bopd) 7,700 8,000 8,100 8,700 • Lower production lowered revenue Oil price (USD/barrel) 109 109 113 103 • Stable OPEX, to a large extent fixed costs Revenue (SEK million) 525 542 1,717 1,619 • EBITDA margin of 55.7% • Depreciation somewhat lower EBITDA (SEK million) 292 302 990 989 due to lower production EBITDA margin 55.7% 55.7% 57.6% 61.1% • Financial net strengthened due to fx effects and both lower interest Profit before tax 64 -23 107 147 and amortized cost (SEK million) * • Tax/EBITDA 27% in Q3 Profit for the period -15 -118 -166 -229 (SEK million)* Earnings per share (SEK) -2.17 -0.33 -2.55 -0.36 * Figures 2012 exclude non-cash, one-off write downs and impairment charges of SEK 1.495million (SEK 1.370 million after tax) in Q3, SEK 92 million in Q2 and SEK 1.585 million (SEK 1.460 million after tax) in the nine-month period. 7
  • 8. Cash flow Q3 Q2 Jan-Sep Jan-Sep KEY COMMENTS SEK million 2012 2012 2012 2011 Operating cash flow 64 425 664 917 • Operating cash flow of SEK 664 million Jan-Sep of which income 0 -2 -5 -38 • Continued low capex spending, taxes paid mainly on Aseng and Alen CAPEX -16 -21 -69 -1,478 development in EG Financing activities -51 -570 -634 -445 Net cash flow -2 -167 -39 -1,005 8
  • 9. Capex forecast 2012/2013 Capex 2011 - 2013 KEY COMMENTS 1 800 1,613 Actual Forecasted • 2012 forecast of SEK 240-375 million unchanged 1 600 • Capex of SEK 16 million in Q3 and SEK 69 million 1 400 for nine-month period 2012 1 200 • Azurite sidetrack drilling imminent MSEK 1 000 800 • 2013 forecast SEK 250-380 million 600 400 240 - 375 250-380 Drilling program/planned wells 2012-2014 200 Tunisia: Zarat Elyssa 2013 Appraisal/1 0 69 2011 2012 2013 Tunisia: Makthar 2014 Exploration/1 Congo: MPS Azurite Q4 2012 Sidetrack/1 Appraisal/ EG: Block I Block I 2013 exploration/1 EG: Block H Aleta Q4 2012/2013 Exploration/1 DK: 12/06 Lille John 2013/2014 Appraisal/1 9
  • 10. Current debt situation Covenants and net debt KEY COMMENTS Q3 2012 Q2 2012 Q1 2012 Covenant • Recapitalisation to restore Equity and Book Book Equity (SEK million) 956 3,064 2,994 >2,000 equity/Capital employed above requirement Book Equity to in covenants 22% 47% 43% >40% Capital Employed • Waiver obtained for both NOK & SEK bonds Net debt (SEK million) 3,410 3,503 3,803 N/A covenants • Waiver conditional on EGM approval of proposed recapitalisation • Bond loans will be due for immediate repayment if waiver is withdrawn • New equity post recapitalisation of approx. SEK 2,500 million 10
  • 12. Development 2010–2012: Azurite set-back Production CAPEX 20 000 6 000 5 000 15 000 Average bopd 4 000 MSEK 10 000 3 000 2 000 5 000 1 000 0 0 2010 2011 2012 YTD 2010-2012 2010-2012E 2010 Strategic Plan Actual Production 2010 Strategic Plan Actual CAPEX Operating cash flow* • Production 2012 YTD turned out almost 10,000 boepd 4 000 below the plan set fourth in 2010 – mainly due to Azurite 3 500 – Negative operating cash flow effect of more than 3 000 SEK 2.9 billion 2010-2012 YTD* 2 500 • Other assets – especially Aseng – have performed in MSEK 2 000 line or above plan 1 500 • Planned capex delayed due to cash flow constraints 1 000 500 • Operating cash flow** from producing assets remains 0 strong – SEK 664 million 2012 YTD 2010-2012 2010-2012E *) Net entitlement. Based on an oil price of USD 80/bbl 2010 Strategic Plan Actual Operating Cash Flow **) Operating cash flow pre capex, post tax 12
  • 13. Indebtedness too high given current asset base Background Net debt development 5 200% Poor Azurite performance 4,0 4 3,7 3,7 3,8 Net debt/equity (%) 3,5 3,5 3,4 150% Net debt (SEKm) 3,1 3,2 3 2,8 2,5 127% 100% Accelerated amortizations 122% 114% 140% 2 85% 77% 72% 60% 68% 50% 1 52% 41% Weak balance sheet 0 0% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2010 2011 2012 Perceived inability to develop assets Net debt of which convertible bonds Net debt*/equity *) Includes convertible bonds, before impairment Unfavourable • Underlying cash flow from production stable but conditions for net indebtedness following Azurite set-back too credit facilities high and liquidity has become a constraint Difficulty to Low perceived • Recapitalisation to strengthen balance sheet make asset critical to avoid financial distress value of assets transactions Price pressure on all traded instruments 13
  • 14. Solution: Recapitalisation for future growth Board of Directors propose a two-step transaction strengthening equity with SEK 1.7 billion 1 Set-off issue Ownership Outcome 8% » Offer to convertible bondholders » The company believes that after the to set-off their convertible bonds transactions its balance sheet will be against newly issued shares at 92% sufficiently strong to: SEK 0.15 Current Convertible shareholders bondholders • Increase ability to complete asset divestments 2 Ownership • In combination with new debt Rights issue financing, enable ability to develop 24% 4% prioritised assets to secure future growth » Fully underwritten rights issue of approx. SEK 700 million at 48% • In combination with new debt 24% financing, enable planned SEK 0.10 (~50% directed to old equityholders and ~50% to Current Convertible amortisation of bond loans and shareholders bondholders convertible bondholders) credit facilities during 2013 Convertible Shareholders’ share bondholders’ of new issue share of new issue » Post transaction – continue to benefit from operating cash flow and development potential inherent in assets primarily in North Africa and the North Sea The set-off issue and fully underwritten rights issue are subject to the underwriting agreement entered into between the company and Carnegie not being terminated. Carnegie has the right to terminate the agreement, inter alia, if the set-off issue is not subscribed for to such extent that more than 90% of the claim under the convertible bonds (including accrued interest as at 6 November 2012) is used as payment for the new class B share by way of set-off. 14
  • 15. Terms of set-off and rights issue 1 Set-off issue • Set-off of one (1) convertible bond of nominal value including accrued interest of in total SEK 17.40 for 116 new B shares at SEK 0.15 per share Set-off issue • Maximum of 7.1 billion new B shares (increase in equity of SEK 1.1 billion) 2 Rights issue approx. SEK 700 million (assuming 100% acceptance in set-off issue) Rights issue to • Rights issue directed to the current shareholders (holders of A current shares) of approximately SEK 350 million at SEK 0.10 per share shareholders Rights issue to • Rights issue directed to holders of new B shares from set-off issue of holders of new B approximately SEK 350 million at 0.10 per share share 15
  • 16. PA Resources way forward – business plan Operating cash flow » Cash flow from producing assets to finance maintenance investments in the Aseng and rights issue proceeds and Didon fields enables maintenance » Strengthened balance sheet, in combination with new debt financing, enables investments planned amortizations of bond loans and credit facilities during 2013 » Work ongoing to reduce interest in certain prioritized assets Farm-outs to reduce risk exposure and • Zarat license in Tunisia (Elyssa, Zarat and Didon) future investments • 12/06 in Denmark (Broder Tuck and Lille John) » Cash flow from producing fields combined with new debt financing enables Development of development of prioritized assets – target to develop ~32 mmboe to production prioritized assets for • Zarat and Elyssa in Tunisia long-term • Broder Tuck and Lille John in Denmark production growth » Net debt to remain in line with the level following the transactions Selective exploration to increase the » Selective exploration and appraisal of Block I in EG and Makthar in Tunisia resource base » Only a few planned commitments Improved position for » Strengthened balance sheet secures the value of the asset portfolio and improves farm-outs and asset the position in future farm-outs and asset related transactions related transactions 16
  • 17. Zarat Field – Largest undeveloped discovery in Tunisia 1990 1992 1995 2005 2010-2011 2011-2012 2013 2013-2017 2017/2018 Permit Award Discovery Appraisal Well PA Acquisition ZRT-N1 Appraisal POD Update, Unitisation UPOD, UUOA Development First production • c. 80 mmbbl liquids Outlook - Forward Plan Gross Recoverable • c. 600 Bscf gas incl. inerts » Tunisian gas deficit growing – more gas projects required Volumes • Largest undeveloped discovery in Tunisia with Elyssa & Zarat as clear candidates » Submit Unit Plan of Development by Q1 2013 • c. 60% of field lies in Zarat Permit » Agree unitisation principles with Joint Oil Block Unitisation » Actively participate in Government infrastructure initiative • c. 40% in Joint Oil Block Ownership & • Zarat Permit: PA Resources 100% Development Concept Operatorship • Joint Oil Block: Sonde 100% • El Gueria fm reservoir Subsurface • 30m oil rim with > 70m rich gas cap Aspects • 40° API oil, 53° API condensate • Significant inert component in gas • 40,000 bopd initial oil/cond rate first year • 200 mmscf/d initial raw gas rate Facilities and • 9 producer wells, 4 gas injectors Development • Objective to maximise liquid recovery Aspects • Plan assumes a 7yr gas recycling phase • Followed by gas cap blowdown • 25yr + production life 17
  • 18. Zarat Field – Tentative Unitization agreement RECENT DEVELOPMENT Joint Oil Block Zarat field • Tentative agreement reached on Unitization of Zarat field reached with Sonde Resources (licence holder ZRTN-1 to North Zarat licence) ZRT-1 Zarat Field ZRT-2 • Agreement includes principles relating to Unit Area, El Nisr Unit Plan of Development Area and Tract Participation Aliyan • Unit Plan of Development on track for submission to Updip Tunisian Authorities by end Q2 2013 Massinissa • Detailed reservoir technical evaluation undertaken Didon North Field jointly by PA Resources and Sonde is on-going • Preliminary results indicate gas recycling option as Zarat West Didon South Didon Field a viable production option – allows production of oil and condensate in advance of gas blow down Zarat Permit Elyssa Field Zarat Field (PART) • Further announcement once all approvals have Didon Concession been obtained Fields Lead / Prospects TUNISIA LIBYA Licence Group: Operator PA Resouces 100% ETAP has a back-in right of up to 55% 18
  • 19. Elyssa – Appraisal well in 2013 1974 1992 2005 2006/2007 2010 2013 2014 2014-2016 2016 Discovery Appraisal Well PA Acquisition Appraisal Well + ST New 3D Seismic ELY-4 Appraisal Well POD Development First Production Outlook - Forward Plan Gross • c. 50 mmboe Recoverable • Mainly gas resources » Tunisian gas deficit growing – more gas projects Volumes • Small quantity of oil/condensate required with Elyssa & Zarat as clear candidates » Seismic re-interpretation & modeling by end 2012 Ownership & » Drill appraisal well in 2013 • PA Resources 100% Operatorship Development Concept • Asymmetric anticline structure • Gas & oil accumulation in Vascus Cherahil Subsurface and Bireno reservoirs Aspects • 36-37° API oil • Low inert, c. 16% assumed • 50 m water depth Facilities and • 6 production wells Development • Development via tie-back Aspects • c. 3,000 bopd initial oil/cond rate • c. 120 mmscf/d initial raw gas rate 19
  • 20. Denmark 12/06 – 2011 discoveries and way forward PA Resources Operator with 64% Broder Tuck • High quality Middle Jurassic reservoir proved by wells • Mid to high case assessment of c. 25-50 mmboe gross of contingent resources including liquids • Commercialisation studies continues through 2012 • Initiated discussions with Maersk for infrastructure tie back 12/06 Broder Tuck-2 • Assumed production start in 2017 Lille John Lille John-1 • Wells established 35 API oil in Miocene sandstone at c. 900m – exceptionally light oil for shallow depth • Work focused on Miocene prospect inventory B20008-73 • Remaining deeper potential likely – Chalk remains and well result upgrades Middle Jurassic prospect • 2012 work programme to reprocess 3D to determine prospect inventory and appraisal well location Licence Group: Operator PA Resources (64%), Danish • Drilling project management tendered and efforts to locate North Sea Fund (20%), Spyker Energy (8%), Danoil (8%) available rig continues • Initiated discussions with Maersk for infrastructure tie back • Assumed production start in 2016 20
  • 21. Reserves and Resources for development 2P Contingent Risked Prospective MMboe Reserves Resources Resources Block I, Block H, MPS, Didon, Azurite, Aseng Block I, MPS, 12/06, Marine XIV, Zarat permit, Assets liquids, Alen, Zarat field Marine XIV, Zarat permit, Jelma, Makthar, Jenein included liquids, DST Netherlands Center, Gita, 12/06, Block 8, Netherlands, UK 2011.12.31 60.2 145 409 Present PAR working interest Tunisia: Zarat 43.9 29.3 Tunisia: Elyssa 42.2 Denmark: Lille John 9.1 9.1 Denmark: Broder Tuck 21.4 Total 43.9 102.2 9.1 Developed Net after farm-out 8.8 21.5 2.2 21
  • 22. Prioritised investments/projects 2013-2018 Farm-out 2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E Total target • CAPEX forecast assumes farm-out of Development Projects prioritised assets Producing Fields 240 160 140 30 0 0 570 • Maintenance CAPEX of Denmark: 12/06 Field 130 220 310 180 0 0 840 64% to 15% producing fields included Tunisia: Zarat Field 210 500 1 060 680 230 0 2 680 100% to 20% Exploration 110 70 0 0 0 0 180 CAPEX Forecast (MSEK) 690 950 1 510 890 230 0 4 270 PAR Carry Estimate 520 680 970 300 0 0 2 470 Net CAPEX (MSEK) 170 270 540 590 230 0 1 800 Total assets Production and reserves under development 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Reserves* Reserves in producing fields (MMBOE) 12.8 10.9 8.9 7.6 6.2 5.0 Reserves in assets to be developed (MMBOE) 32.5 32.5 32.5 30.3 27.5 23.2 Total 45.3 43.4 41.4 37.9 33.7 28.2 Production (boepd)* Working interest 6,300 5,300 5,400 9,500 11,500 15,000 *) Assuming farm-outs Note: Assumes an oil price of 110 USD/bbl, USD/SEK of 6.53 and a discount factor of 10% 22
  • 23. Expected outcome of Business Plan Estimated development of reserves (MMBOE) HIGHLIGHTS: 40 35 • Continued production from currently producing 30 assets 25 30 MMBOE • Investments in 2013-2015 adds new production 20 and long-term cash flow – 30 mmboe developed 15 to production 10 5 • Farm-outs critical to reduce risk and capex 0 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 • Further investments in 2016-2017 Producing Fields Fields to be developed to maintain and add new production • Planned production start for Lille John and Production development (boepd) Elyssa in 2016 followed by Broder Tuck and Block I in 2017 and Zarat field in 2018 17 500 15 000 12 500 10 000 7 500 5 000 2 500 0 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Producing Fields Fields to be developed 23
  • 24. Expected outcome of Business Plan Production and cash flow* development Net debt development 8 160% 2 000 1,820 20 000 Net debt and equity (SEKbn) 6 120% 1 500 15 000 5,0 Net debt/equity (%) Production (boepd) 86% Cash flow (SEKm) 76% 72% 4 68% 3,6 80% 1 000 840 10 000 2,8 2,5 2,4 2,4 2,1 2,0 33% 1,7 1,8 2 1,2 40% 500 5 000 180 60 0 -13% 0% 0 0 -100 -0,6 -500 -270 -5 000 -2 -40% 2013e 2014e 2015e 2016e 2017e 2018e 2013e 2014e 2015e 2016e 2017e 2018e Equity Net debt Net debt/equity Net cash flow Production *) Cash flow post capex, G&A and interest payments 24
  • 25. CAPEX forecast – Total and per barrel CAPEX incl carry proceeds 1 800 CAPEX HIGHLIGHTS: 1 600 1 400 • Development of prioritised key assets and 1 200 continued selective exploration activities MSEK 1 000 • 30 MMBOE to be developed to producing 800 reserves 600 400 • Total capex forecast of SEK 1.8 billion 200 0 • Development capex of approx. USD 9/boe 2010 2011 2012E 2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E including carry proceeds CAPEX/Produced barrel 80 70 60 50 USD/bbl 40 30 20 10 Cost per developed boe incl carry proceeds 0 2010 2011 2012E 2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E 25
  • 26. Prioritised assets – Value through farm-outs Asset valuation before and after farm-outs After Farm -outs KEY COMMENTS: Reserves & Current Current Contingent Working PAR Working PAR • Farm-out of prioritised assets to reach Resources Book Value Interest Valuation Interest Valuation preferred working interest level and North Africa (mmboe) (MSEK) (%) (MSEK) (%) (MSEK) reduce risk on individual assets Didon* 100,0% 50,0% DST* 75,0% 75,0% • Value per barrel potential increase from Zarat 120 2 807 100,0% 8 300 20,0% 3 000 $4/boe in current book value to $19/boe Elyssa 100,0% 20,0% on prioritised assets after development Total 120 2 807 8 300 3 000 and farm-outs • Upside potential compared to current West Africa book values in West Africa and North Azurite* 35,0% 35,0% 13 707 2 100 2 100 Sea development assets Block I* 5,7% 5,7% Total 13 707 2 100 2 100 • Large portion of value in North African assets North Sea ASSUMPTIONS FOR VALUATION: 12/06, Broder Tuck 40 384 64,0% 3 100 15,0% 1 100 12/06, Lille John • Reserve data from third party reports Total 40 384 3 100 1 100 • Business plan as previously presented Exploration assets Oil price of 110 USD/bbl Other Assets, incl. • USD/SEK of 6.53 441** 1 693 - 2 300 - 2 300 Exploration** Total 441** 1 693 2 300 2 300 • Cash flow discounted at 10% Total 5 591 15 800 8 500 *) Producing assets **) Includes prospective resources 26
  • 27. Asset valuation – Summary 10 8,5 8.5 8 2,3 6.2 SEK billion 6 5,6 Total equity of SEK ~1.9 billion 1,7 3,9 4 0.1*** 0.7** 1,6 1.1** 2.3 2 2,3 2,3 1.9** 0 Book values PAR valuation Net debt New equity from New equity from Old equity** Upside to NAV assuming farm- convertible rights issue outs* bondholders Asset valuation Upside potential to business plan Producing assets Assets to New equity from Net debt post New equity from Old equity Upside potential be developed rights issue transactions convertible bondholders Exploration assets *) Based on reserve data from third party reports, the business plan as presented on the previous pages, an oil price of 110 USD/bbl, USD/SEK of 6.53 and a discount factor of 10% **) Assumes 100% acceptance in the exchange offer ***) Based on a share price of SEK 0.14, i.e. the theoretical share price post transactions 27
  • 28. Summary and outlook INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS: • Cash flow from current production • Financial capacity to finance development capex according to plan and repay/refinance the SEK bond due in 2013 • Development of existing reserves adding after farm-out 30 MMBOE for long-term production growth - expected to result in net cash position in 2018 • Value in asset portfolio secured and strengthened position for future farm-outs and transactions 28