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Anders Hoffmann,
 Dorte Høeg Kock
  David J Storey
Copenhagen 28 November 2012
+ The “front-end” of policy: the strategic
  decision of whether and how to “intervene”
+ The “back-end” of policy: did it work?


This is about the “middle” aspect of policy –its
implementation
1. The policy-maker faces a wide range of
   choices on how to deliver policy
2. The policy-maker may be unaware of the
   options available
3. There is an absence of theory and reliable
   practice to help in deciding amongst the
   options
4. Effective implementation is vital for policy
   success
The decision to focus on such firms has been
made. The issues are:
+ An advice service already exists
+ The tradition is to deliver advice regionally
+ The tradition is for this to be delivered by
  semi-public bodies where local government is
  present.
+ It is a classic Principal Agent problem
Central Government [Principal] wants:             Growth Houses [Agent] wants:
+   To show the funding was distributed in        +   To exercise discretion on how money is to
    line with stated public policies.                 be spent because of variations in local
                                                      circumstances which are imperfectly
+   To show it was spent on the policy areas          understood by the Principal.
    specified by the legislators.                 +   To have discretion over the selection of
                                                      their client group of firms.
                                                  +   To demonstrate the impact of working
+   To show it contributed to achieving the
    overall government objective of                   with a small group of firms with growth
    enhancing enterprise.                             potential.
                                                  +   To enhance the performance of clients,
                                                      without having to “hand them over” to
+   To ensure it did not lead to private sector       private sector consultants” prematurely.
    consultants being “crowded out”.              +   To have a reward system that is based
+   To show the taxpayer got “value for               upon factors under their control – such as
    money” from the expenditure.                      number of hours of support.
+   To ensure an appropriate distribution of      +   To avoid having an uncertain rewards
    funding amongst the regions.                      system which is heavily dependent on firm
+   To have a funding distribution system that        performance -over which they have little
    is flexible to changed circumstances and          control
    rewards good performance from Agents.
Table 3 - Goals for the Regional Growth Houses, 2007-2010

                                          2007                       2008              2009     2010
Recruiting Director                    April 1th.                     -                 -        -
Cooperation agreements with
local business units
                                     Min. 90 pct.                     -                 -        -
Cooperation agreements with
other public actors
                                   15 + agreements                    -                 -        -
Co-operation agreements with
private operators
                                   10 + agreements                    -                 -        -
Deadline for the development
of website
                                    December 1th.                     -                 -        -

                                50+ associated
Mentor Networks                                                       -                 -        -
                                mentors.

                                Completed first stage of
                                                         Networks to have completed
Competence development for      competence
advisors
                                                         competency development over    -        -
                                development
                                                         two days.
                                programme

Users of the Growth Houses               5,075                       2,500             2,000    2,500
% referred to private
consultants, public operators            75% +                       75% +             > 75 %   >75%
etc.
% referred to private
consultants
                                           -                          -                 -       70 %
% Satisfied or very satisfied
with Growth House services
                                          80 %                        80%              >80%     >80 %
Number of users of the Growth Houses              5,075                    2,500                          2,000                     2,500

Share referred to private consultants,
                                                  >75%                     >75%                        Min. 75 pct.             Min. 75 pct.
public operators etc.
Share referred to private consultants               -                       -                               -                      70 pct.
Users satisfaction with the Growth Houses
(Satisfied or very satisfied with the             >80%                     > 80 %                      Min. 80 pct.             Min. 80 pct.
services)
User satisfaction with the counsellors
                                                    -                       -                          Min. 70 pct.             Min. 80 pct.
(satisfied or very satisfied)
Cooperative partner satisfaction with the
                                                    -                      >80%                        Min. 80 pct.             Min. 80 pct.
Growth Houses (satisfied or very satisfied)
                                                           Create competency profiles on 50 +
                                                    -                                                       -                        -
Cooperation with private consultants                       private consultants
                                                                                                                          >10 % compared with
Employment growth in the counselled                        >10% compared with non-counselled Same growth rate as in
                                                    -                                                                     the year of
enterprises                                                enterprises                       the year of counselling
                                                                                                                          counselling
                                                                                               >20 % (compared with       >15% compared to
Turnover growth in the counselled                          >20% compared with non-counselled
                                                    -                                          non-counselled             the year of
enterprises                                                enterprises
                                                                                               enterprises                counselling
                                                           Min. +20 percentage points
                                                                                               >20 % compared with        >10 % compared with
Export growth in the counselled enterprises         -      (compared to non-counselled
                                                                                               year of counselling        year of counselling
                                                           enterprises)
Share of high-growth enterprises in the                    Min. +2 percentage points (compared >1 % compared with last    >2 % with compared
                                                    -
region                                                     to last year)                       year                       to last year
                                              Arrange                                           Jointly develop and        Conduct 5 new
Development of new activities / services      40+                           -                   implement 3+ new           projects to develop
                                              activities                                        programmes                 service quality
                                                                                                The equivalent of 20+ %
                                                           Act as regional coordinator of a
                                                                                                of firms receiving
Events etc.                                         -      nationwide growth campaign from                                            -
                                                                                                counselling participate in
                                                           November 17th - 23th 2008.
                                                                                                regional events.
Press coverage and the knowledge rate to
                                                    -                       -                               -               >10 % improvement
the Regional Growth Houses
Deciding whether there was added value:
+ Over what period of time would we expect to
  see impact?
+ Which metrics
+ Should we use control groups?
+ What control groups are appropriate?
+ THE GLOBAL RECESSION
Number of employees in firms using the
                              Growth Houses
                                       Observation Period
                             Q1-Q2    Q3-Q4     Q1-Q2
                              2008     2008      2009        Q3 2009
                     Q1-Q2
                     2008         4240                 4261   3744    3533
Counselling Period




                     Q3-Q4
                     2008       15047                15140    13419   12521




                     Q1-Q2
                     2009         9408                 9778   8960    8443
                     Q3-Q4
                     2009         8164                 8498   8056    7978

                             Source: Statistics Denmark.
Table 5: Sales Change for Growth House clients and Control group firms
                   Change 2008 Change 2009
                  Clients         Control group Clients           Control group

Clients in 2008             9.1            7.1            -12.8           -15.2
Clients in 2009             9.2            8.9             -8.6           -14.5
2008-2009            2009-2010             2010-2011

           Growth    Control     Growth    Control     Growth    Control
           House     group       House     group       House     group
           customers             customers             customers
Year           -8,1      -7,9       -3         -3         4,2       2,7
2008
Year          [-5,6]    [-8,6]      -1,2      -1,6        4,9       2,9
2009
Year                               [0,1]      [-2,6]      8,0       7,4
2010

       * Enterprises from same region, industries and of same
       sizes, weighted data
+ Implementation of policy faces key challenges
+ The Principal Agent framework is helpful since at its
  core is the Contract
+ The terms of the Contract influences the behaviour
  of those delivering the policy
+ The contract has to evolve over time to reflect both
  “learning” and changed external circumstances
+ The availability of high quality current data is critical
  for informing changes to the Contract.

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Ii b - storey&hoffmann evaluating the effect of soft forms of business support in denmark

  • 1. Anders Hoffmann, Dorte Høeg Kock David J Storey Copenhagen 28 November 2012
  • 2. + The “front-end” of policy: the strategic decision of whether and how to “intervene” + The “back-end” of policy: did it work? This is about the “middle” aspect of policy –its implementation
  • 3. 1. The policy-maker faces a wide range of choices on how to deliver policy 2. The policy-maker may be unaware of the options available 3. There is an absence of theory and reliable practice to help in deciding amongst the options 4. Effective implementation is vital for policy success
  • 4. The decision to focus on such firms has been made. The issues are: + An advice service already exists + The tradition is to deliver advice regionally + The tradition is for this to be delivered by semi-public bodies where local government is present. + It is a classic Principal Agent problem
  • 5. Central Government [Principal] wants: Growth Houses [Agent] wants: + To show the funding was distributed in + To exercise discretion on how money is to line with stated public policies. be spent because of variations in local circumstances which are imperfectly + To show it was spent on the policy areas understood by the Principal. specified by the legislators. + To have discretion over the selection of their client group of firms. + To demonstrate the impact of working + To show it contributed to achieving the overall government objective of with a small group of firms with growth enhancing enterprise. potential. + To enhance the performance of clients, without having to “hand them over” to + To ensure it did not lead to private sector private sector consultants” prematurely. consultants being “crowded out”. + To have a reward system that is based + To show the taxpayer got “value for upon factors under their control – such as money” from the expenditure. number of hours of support. + To ensure an appropriate distribution of + To avoid having an uncertain rewards funding amongst the regions. system which is heavily dependent on firm + To have a funding distribution system that performance -over which they have little is flexible to changed circumstances and control rewards good performance from Agents.
  • 6.
  • 7. Table 3 - Goals for the Regional Growth Houses, 2007-2010 2007 2008 2009 2010 Recruiting Director April 1th. - - - Cooperation agreements with local business units Min. 90 pct. - - - Cooperation agreements with other public actors 15 + agreements - - - Co-operation agreements with private operators 10 + agreements - - - Deadline for the development of website December 1th. - - - 50+ associated Mentor Networks - - - mentors. Completed first stage of Networks to have completed Competence development for competence advisors competency development over - - development two days. programme Users of the Growth Houses 5,075 2,500 2,000 2,500 % referred to private consultants, public operators 75% + 75% + > 75 % >75% etc. % referred to private consultants - - - 70 % % Satisfied or very satisfied with Growth House services 80 % 80% >80% >80 %
  • 8. Number of users of the Growth Houses 5,075 2,500 2,000 2,500 Share referred to private consultants, >75% >75% Min. 75 pct. Min. 75 pct. public operators etc. Share referred to private consultants - - - 70 pct. Users satisfaction with the Growth Houses (Satisfied or very satisfied with the >80% > 80 % Min. 80 pct. Min. 80 pct. services) User satisfaction with the counsellors - - Min. 70 pct. Min. 80 pct. (satisfied or very satisfied) Cooperative partner satisfaction with the - >80% Min. 80 pct. Min. 80 pct. Growth Houses (satisfied or very satisfied) Create competency profiles on 50 + - - - Cooperation with private consultants private consultants >10 % compared with Employment growth in the counselled >10% compared with non-counselled Same growth rate as in - the year of enterprises enterprises the year of counselling counselling >20 % (compared with >15% compared to Turnover growth in the counselled >20% compared with non-counselled - non-counselled the year of enterprises enterprises enterprises counselling Min. +20 percentage points >20 % compared with >10 % compared with Export growth in the counselled enterprises - (compared to non-counselled year of counselling year of counselling enterprises) Share of high-growth enterprises in the Min. +2 percentage points (compared >1 % compared with last >2 % with compared - region to last year) year to last year Arrange Jointly develop and Conduct 5 new Development of new activities / services 40+ - implement 3+ new projects to develop activities programmes service quality The equivalent of 20+ % Act as regional coordinator of a of firms receiving Events etc. - nationwide growth campaign from - counselling participate in November 17th - 23th 2008. regional events. Press coverage and the knowledge rate to - - - >10 % improvement the Regional Growth Houses
  • 9. Deciding whether there was added value: + Over what period of time would we expect to see impact? + Which metrics + Should we use control groups? + What control groups are appropriate? + THE GLOBAL RECESSION
  • 10. Number of employees in firms using the Growth Houses Observation Period Q1-Q2 Q3-Q4 Q1-Q2 2008 2008 2009 Q3 2009 Q1-Q2 2008 4240 4261 3744 3533 Counselling Period Q3-Q4 2008 15047 15140 13419 12521 Q1-Q2 2009 9408 9778 8960 8443 Q3-Q4 2009 8164 8498 8056 7978 Source: Statistics Denmark.
  • 11. Table 5: Sales Change for Growth House clients and Control group firms Change 2008 Change 2009 Clients Control group Clients Control group Clients in 2008 9.1 7.1 -12.8 -15.2 Clients in 2009 9.2 8.9 -8.6 -14.5
  • 12. 2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011 Growth Control Growth Control Growth Control House group House group House group customers customers customers Year -8,1 -7,9 -3 -3 4,2 2,7 2008 Year [-5,6] [-8,6] -1,2 -1,6 4,9 2,9 2009 Year [0,1] [-2,6] 8,0 7,4 2010 * Enterprises from same region, industries and of same sizes, weighted data
  • 13. + Implementation of policy faces key challenges + The Principal Agent framework is helpful since at its core is the Contract + The terms of the Contract influences the behaviour of those delivering the policy + The contract has to evolve over time to reflect both “learning” and changed external circumstances + The availability of high quality current data is critical for informing changes to the Contract.