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Sociological classifications and simulation models of social inequality  [9.9.2010] Paul Lambert, Mark Birkin and Guy Warner Social Stratification Research Seminar, Utrecht,  8-10 September 2010  Lambert, Birkin, Warner: SSRC, Sep 2010
Sociological classifications and simulation models of social inequality ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Lambert, Birkin, Warner: SSRC, Sep 2010
1) www.neiss.org.uk ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],Lambert, Birkin, Warner: SSRC, Sep 2010
Contributions of the ‘NeISS’ project ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Lambert, Birkin, Warner: SSRC, Sep 2010
2) Social simulation models as longitudinal methods  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Lambert, Birkin, Warner: SSRC, Sep 2010
The contribution of simulation ,[object Object],Plagiarism cases, year 1 essays
[object Object],- Simulation models find ways to respond to the evolving population structures and constraints, typically in a ‘non-linear’ way - Good for seeing a likely pattern, but weak in terms of realistic margins of error
Simulation approaches ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The contribution of simulation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Might social classifications matter in longitudinal simulations? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Lambert, Birkin, Warner: SSRC, Sep 2010
A selection of possible measures of social inequality using BHPS 1991-2007 Lambert, Birkin, Warner: SSRC, Sep 2010 1991  Mean 2007 R2 with year 2 Intergenerational correlation (CAMSIS) (all adults) 28 25 24 83 Intergenerational correlation (CAMSIS) (men only) 31 28 28 77 Husband-wife homogamy (CAMSIS r) 39 37 33 70 Personal income Gini (all adults) 45 44 43 87 Personal income Gini (men only) 40 40 40 46 Household income Gini (all adults) 38 38 37 55 Occupational Gini (CAMSIS) (all adults) 29 28 27 91 Percent of all adults in EGP I 14 16 18 73 Percent of all adults in EGP I or II 33 37 43 93 Percent of all adults in RGSC I or II 32 37 42 96 Source: BHPS cross-sectional aggregates, weighted using {w}xrwght.
Lambert, Birkin, Warner: SSRC, Sep 2010
Variations in deterministic parameters  ,[object Object],..Many more variations of these and other measures are possible, for future consideration…
3) Ageing and inequality ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
‘… the interaction between ageing effects and [the] nature and impact of socio-economic inequalities..’ ,[object Object],Lambert, Birkin, Warner: SSRC, Sep 2010
Lambert, Birkin, Warner: SSRC, Sep 2010
‘… the interaction between ageing effects and [the] nature and impact of socio-economic inequalities..’ [ctd] ,[object Object],Lambert, Birkin, Warner: SSRC, Sep 2010
Methodological topics ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
How to proceed?  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
E.g.: This shows projected mean incomes as function of education, with less and more uni. expansion over time
4) BHPS based transition probabilities ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Lambert, Birkin, Warner: SSRC, Sep 2010
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Lambert, Birkin, Warner: SSRC, Sep 2010
5)  First evidence on the effects of different sociological classifications   Lambert, Birkin, Warner: SSRC, Sep 2010
Lambert, Birkin, Warner: SSRC, Sep 2010
Gini calculations on income and occupations: so far the regression model generating the simulated values isn’t doing a good job of summarising inequality as it tends to reduce inequalities Lambert, Birkin, Warner: SSRC, Sep 2010
[object Object],Lambert, Birkin, Warner: SSRC, Sep 2010
6) Conclusions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Lambert, Birkin, Warner: SSRC, Sep 2010
References ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Lambert, Birkin, Warner: SSRC, Sep 2010
[object Object],Lambert, Birkin, Warner: SSRC, Sep 2010
… from the NeISS application… ,[object Object],Lambert, Birkin, Warner: SSRC, Sep 2010
Some specific research questions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Lambert, Birkin, Warner: SSRC, Sep 2010

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Sociological classifications and simulation models of social inequality

  • 1. Sociological classifications and simulation models of social inequality [9.9.2010] Paul Lambert, Mark Birkin and Guy Warner Social Stratification Research Seminar, Utrecht, 8-10 September 2010 Lambert, Birkin, Warner: SSRC, Sep 2010
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12. A selection of possible measures of social inequality using BHPS 1991-2007 Lambert, Birkin, Warner: SSRC, Sep 2010 1991 Mean 2007 R2 with year 2 Intergenerational correlation (CAMSIS) (all adults) 28 25 24 83 Intergenerational correlation (CAMSIS) (men only) 31 28 28 77 Husband-wife homogamy (CAMSIS r) 39 37 33 70 Personal income Gini (all adults) 45 44 43 87 Personal income Gini (men only) 40 40 40 46 Household income Gini (all adults) 38 38 37 55 Occupational Gini (CAMSIS) (all adults) 29 28 27 91 Percent of all adults in EGP I 14 16 18 73 Percent of all adults in EGP I or II 33 37 43 93 Percent of all adults in RGSC I or II 32 37 42 96 Source: BHPS cross-sectional aggregates, weighted using {w}xrwght.
  • 13. Lambert, Birkin, Warner: SSRC, Sep 2010
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17. Lambert, Birkin, Warner: SSRC, Sep 2010
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20.
  • 21. E.g.: This shows projected mean incomes as function of education, with less and more uni. expansion over time
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24. 5) First evidence on the effects of different sociological classifications Lambert, Birkin, Warner: SSRC, Sep 2010
  • 25. Lambert, Birkin, Warner: SSRC, Sep 2010
  • 26. Gini calculations on income and occupations: so far the regression model generating the simulated values isn’t doing a good job of summarising inequality as it tends to reduce inequalities Lambert, Birkin, Warner: SSRC, Sep 2010
  • 27.
  • 28.
  • 29.
  • 30.
  • 31.
  • 32.