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Resilience and adaptive capacity in
     social-ecological systems:
     the good, the bad and the trendy


              Christo Fabricius




                          Resilience
                             Alliance
Here it is…
Social-ecological systems




                 from Ostrom 2009. Science 235: 420
resilience




• The ability to absorb disturbances
• Capacity of the system to be changed
   – and then to re-organise
   – and still retain the same basic structure and ways of
     functioning
• Declining resilience -> declining magnitude of shocks
  from which system cannot recover
Resilience




  Time
The Resilience of the Earth System
The slippery slope of resilience loss




   Cundill & Fabricius 2009 in Exploring Sustainability Science: a Southern
   African perspective, pp. 537-568.
Adaptive renewal cycle
                • Several possible states
                • Crucial role of disturbance
                • Irregular cycles of ‘capital’
                  accumulation, release and
                  re-organization


                • Feedbacks between and
                  within scales
Lock-in traps
  • An undesirable state from
    which ‘escape’ is difficult
  • The system has become locked
    in
  • Characterized by
             • low potential for change
             • rigidity
             • high resistance to change

  • Sources of novelty and
    innovation have been
    eliminated
Allison, H. E. and R. J. Hobbs. 2004. Ecology and
Society 9(1): 3.
Thresholds and regime shifts
The problem with resilience..
• What if the system is not in a good place?
  – would adapting and ‘bouncing back’ be enough?
• Some untenable situations can be very
  resilient
• Elements of adaptive capacity, e.g.
  – traditions, sense of place, identity
• might inhibit meaningful change
• Response: reduce resilience?
A ‘resilience’ approach to
      development..
Transfer of vulnerability
               Building resilience in one context
               sometimes creates vulnerabilities
               in another
Transformation
• Transformability: “The capacity to create a
  fundamentally new system when ecological, economic,
  or social (including political) conditions make the
  existing system untenable”




                                                   www.resalliance.org




Walker et al. 2004. Ecology and Society 9(2): 5.
“can we innovate sufficiently rapidly and with
sufficient intelligence to transform our system
out of a destructive pathway….”

Westley et al. 2011. Ambio 40: 762-789
Processes of transformation




• Institutional        • Bridging agents   •   Earth stewardship
  entrepreneurs        • Connectors        •   Incentives
• Behind the scenes’   • Communities of    •   Monitoring
  innovations            practice          •   Adaptive management
• Shadow networks                          •   Repair & restoration



                                               www.stockholmresilience.su.se
Transformation through knowledge sharing &
      interrogating conventional beliefs
Transformation through
creating new awareness
Transformation through
        learning

            Forming alliances and
            knowledge networks
Transformation through institutional renewal



                           Leadership:
                           the importance of ‘key individuals’
                           or ‘stewards’
Transformation through linkages and
             alliances
Transformation through repair of ecosystem
                 services
A few research questions
• What can we learn from existing self-organizing
  transformations?
  – the role of citizen’s science
• Which social-ecological processes promote and
  inhibit transformation?
• What are the long term impacts of adaptation vs.
  transformation?
• Challenges:
  – hold our frameworks loosely
  – embrace multiple epistemologies
  – be prepared to tread ‘where angels fear to go’

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Resilience and adaptive capacity in social-ecological systems: the good, the bad and the trendy

  • 1. Resilience and adaptive capacity in social-ecological systems: the good, the bad and the trendy Christo Fabricius Resilience Alliance
  • 3. Social-ecological systems from Ostrom 2009. Science 235: 420
  • 4. resilience • The ability to absorb disturbances • Capacity of the system to be changed – and then to re-organise – and still retain the same basic structure and ways of functioning • Declining resilience -> declining magnitude of shocks from which system cannot recover
  • 6. The Resilience of the Earth System
  • 7. The slippery slope of resilience loss Cundill & Fabricius 2009 in Exploring Sustainability Science: a Southern African perspective, pp. 537-568.
  • 8. Adaptive renewal cycle • Several possible states • Crucial role of disturbance • Irregular cycles of ‘capital’ accumulation, release and re-organization • Feedbacks between and within scales
  • 9. Lock-in traps • An undesirable state from which ‘escape’ is difficult • The system has become locked in • Characterized by • low potential for change • rigidity • high resistance to change • Sources of novelty and innovation have been eliminated Allison, H. E. and R. J. Hobbs. 2004. Ecology and Society 9(1): 3.
  • 11. The problem with resilience..
  • 12. • What if the system is not in a good place? – would adapting and ‘bouncing back’ be enough? • Some untenable situations can be very resilient
  • 13. • Elements of adaptive capacity, e.g. – traditions, sense of place, identity • might inhibit meaningful change • Response: reduce resilience?
  • 14. A ‘resilience’ approach to development..
  • 15. Transfer of vulnerability Building resilience in one context sometimes creates vulnerabilities in another
  • 16.
  • 17. Transformation • Transformability: “The capacity to create a fundamentally new system when ecological, economic, or social (including political) conditions make the existing system untenable” www.resalliance.org Walker et al. 2004. Ecology and Society 9(2): 5.
  • 18. “can we innovate sufficiently rapidly and with sufficient intelligence to transform our system out of a destructive pathway….” Westley et al. 2011. Ambio 40: 762-789
  • 19. Processes of transformation • Institutional • Bridging agents • Earth stewardship entrepreneurs • Connectors • Incentives • Behind the scenes’ • Communities of • Monitoring innovations practice • Adaptive management • Shadow networks • Repair & restoration www.stockholmresilience.su.se
  • 20. Transformation through knowledge sharing & interrogating conventional beliefs
  • 22. Transformation through learning Forming alliances and knowledge networks
  • 23. Transformation through institutional renewal Leadership: the importance of ‘key individuals’ or ‘stewards’
  • 25. Transformation through repair of ecosystem services
  • 26. A few research questions • What can we learn from existing self-organizing transformations? – the role of citizen’s science • Which social-ecological processes promote and inhibit transformation? • What are the long term impacts of adaptation vs. transformation? • Challenges: – hold our frameworks loosely – embrace multiple epistemologies – be prepared to tread ‘where angels fear to go’