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PM Challenge 2012


              마스터 제목 스타일 편집

 KARI Space Project Management
in a Changing Global Environment


                         2012. 2. 22

               Korea Aerospace Research Institute

 2012-04-24                                                   1
                                                              1
1. Major Factors to Change a Global                       PM Challenge 2012
   Environment in Space Program


    Diplomacy     Iran, North Korea, …


                  Bankrupcy of Lehman Bros.(2008), European
     Economy
                  Sovereign Debt Crisis(2009 - present), …


      Nature      Global Warming, Natural Disaster, …


                  Mars Exploration, Asteroid Exploration, Space
     Initiative
                  Defense, Green Energy, …

       New
                  Alien, New Creature, Water in Moon,…
    Discovery


                                                                    2
PM Challenge 2012
2. Global Space Economy Size

              Global Space Activity Revenues and Budgets

   Commercial Space Products & Services                         Commercial Infrastructure & Support Industries
   Commercial Space Transportation Services                     U.S. Government Space Budgets
   Non-U.S. Government Space Budgets

                                                                                                 단위, B$
                        102                   87            0.01         65              22
      2010                                                                                       276.5

                        93               77          0.09           64              22             Average Annual
      2009                                                                                 256.8
                                                                                                    growth rate :
      2008
                    84                  86           0.04       58             16
                                                                                         244.1     greater than 5%

                   73               93             0.04        53         14                       2020년: $400B
      2007                                                                          232.4
                                                                                                 Keep increasing
                  70               81         0.03        61             13
      2006                                                                      225.4            despite economy
                                                                                                 crises
                                                                (출처: Space Foundation, The Space Report 2011)

                                                                                                                    3
PM Challenge 2012
 2. Global Space Economy Size

                                Global Space Activity, 2010
                                                     $0.01B      Commercial Space
                             Non-U.S. Government     (<1%)    Transportation Services
                               Space Budgets
 Government Space Budget
                                           $22.49B
  - Space Exploration                       (8%)
  - National Security Program
  - Scientific Research                                                           Commercial Space
                                                                                 Products & Services
              U.S. Government                                         $102B
               Space Budgets    $64.63B                               (37%)
                                 (23%)
                                                   Total
2010 Military Space Budget
 - U.S.       $43.7B                          $276.52Billion
 - Non U.S. $2.3B
 - Total      $46.0B

                                                                                 Korean Government
                                                                                Budget in 2010 : $271B
                                                $87.39B
                                                 (32%)


                                      Commercial Infrastructure &
                                         Support Industries
                                                                                                       4
PM Challenge 2012
2. Global Space Economy Size

         Commercial Space Product & Service, 2010

                                            Unit : B$

                         Type       2010       2019(E)

       Earth Observation            2.01        3.80

        - Data Sales               (0.89)       (1.80)

        - Value-Added Services     (1.12)       (2.00)

       Direct-to-Home TV           79.22

       Satellite Radio              2.84

       Satellite Services          17.92

                         Total     102.00




                                                                   5
PM Challenge 2012
2. Global Space Economy Size

          Commercial Infrastructure & Support Industries, 2010

                                                                                    Unit : B$

                              Type                                    Commercial Government     Sum

 Launch Industry                                                         2.45       4.90        7.35

 Satellite Manufacturing                                                 3.41       7.14        10.55

 Ground Station & Equipment                                             80.47

  - Geolocation & Navigation Equipment                                 (71.62)

  - Others (Ground Control Station, Mobile Satellite Terminal, etc)     (8.85)

 Independent Research & Development                                      0.18

 Insurance                                                               0.88

                              Sum                                       87.39



                                                                                                       6
PM Challenge 2012
3. Space Competitiveness Index




                     SCI in 2009   (From : Futron, 2009 Space Competitiveness Index(SCI))

                                                                              7
PM Challenge 2012
4. Korea Competitiveness
                         Korea Competitiveness in Market Share
                Global
Automobile
   In 2009      Korea          $47.7B (3.5%)                             $1.4Trill
 ※Complete
   Car

Semi-Conductor Global                       $300B
   In 2010
                Korea         $39B (12.9%)



                Global        $71.7B
Ship Building
   In 2010
                Korea
                              $30.6B(42.7%)


                Global
                                                    $570B
Aerospace
   In 2010
                Korea         $2.5B(0.4%)




                                                                           8
PM Challenge 2012
5. Korea Space Sales
                      Korea Space Industries Sales
                                                2007      2008     2009    2010
 Space               Satellite                    45.4      40.9    17.0    40.2
 Manufacturing
                     Launcher                     15.7      19.1     5.8     1.3
 ($Mill)
                     Ground Equipment             75.4     158.6   119.2    38.8
 Space Application   ($Mill)                     818.4     565.4   534.0   618.7

             Year                   2006        2007      2008     2009    2010
      Sales Total ($Mill)               733       955       784     676     699
    Space Manufacturing                 8.1%    14.3%     27.9%     21%    11.5%
      Space Application             91.9%       85.7%     72.1%    79.0%   88.5%


            Korea Space Activities (Sales+R&D+Research)
            Year                 2006      2007          2008      2009    2010
  Activities Total ($Bill)        1.17         1.36       1.19      1.00     0.91


                                                                                       9
PM Challenge 2012
6. KARI Top Management Strategy


             Success of
                                                  Achievement
             Government
                                                     of Core
               Space
                                                  Technologies
              Projects

Collaboration with
several government                                    Evolution of technology
bodies                                KARI


              Expansion
                                                  Collaboration
                  of
                                                  with Foreign
                Space
                                                   Countries
               Culture


       CanSat, CubeSat for students               Space Exploration,
                                             Space Science, Earth Science
                                                (w/ NASA, JAXA, etc.)

                                                                            10
PM Challenge 2012
7. KARI Project Management

                      Collaborative Support from Government

                                   National Committee of
                                    Space Development
                                         Political Support



                        ME                                           MEST
   Environment                                                                 System/Bus
   Payload                                2nd Korean
   Development                                                                Development
                                         Geostationary
                                           Satellite
   Meteorological                                                           Ocean Payload
   Payload                                                                   Development
   Development
                       KMA
                                                                     MLTM

 MEST : Ministry of Education, Science & Technology      ME : Ministry of Environment
 MLTM : Ministry of Land, Transport & Maritime Affairs   KMA : Korea Meteorological Administration

                                                                                             11
PM Challenge 2012
7. KARI Project Management


            Evolution of Technology




             1999                             2006                       2012
            KOMPSAT-1                      KOMPSAT-2                    KOMPSAT-3
             Co-Op                                   Consult
             (w/ Satellite
              II. )          Development
  System                        Led by                with     Indigenous

             Co-Op
   Bus                            Led by                       Indigenous
             (w/   )
             Procure + OJT        Co-Op
  Payload                                                      Led by        Consult
             (w/    )             (w/ ELOP)



                                                                                       12
PM Challenge 2012
7. KARI Project Management

     Evolution of Technology



     AREA                COMS      GEO-KOMPSAT2

                                  Korea leading
     System
                                  development
                       Co-        (Expert support for some
     Satellite                    insufficient Technology)
      Bus          Development
    Optical                         Co-Development
    Payload
    Ka-band
    Payload           Self-
    Ground/        Development   Self-development
    Operation                    (Performance Enhancement)




                                                                   13
PM Challenge 2012
7. KARI Project Management

      ○ Space Science and Space Exploration are most suitable area
         for international cooperation
      ○ Mutual use of infra and resources is the big advantage


  KARI and NASA offered the following joint project topics
   - Space Exploration : 5 topics including lunar impactor
   - Space Science : 3 topics
   - Earth Science : 6 topics

  KARI and JAXA are collaborating in the following areas;
   - ISS/JEM Utilization
   - Aviation Program
   - Environmental Test Technology
   - Sentinel Asia Program
   - Space Education, APRSAF Task Force, etc.


                                                                           14
PM Challenge 2012
7. KARI Project Management
Example
  The Lunar Impactor mission is designed to investigate the lunar swirls
  which are one of the most enigmatic geologic features in the solar system.
     • NASA will lead the mothership            • KARI would possibly join the mothership
     (orbiter) & cubesat design, analysis &     (orbiter) design, analysis & manufacturing in
     manufacturing                              the selected subsystem as well as mission
                                                design for the whole lunar mission
     • NASA will provide the launch service
     and DSN(Deep Space Network) for the        • Korean universities perform cubesat design
     lunar impactor mission                     & manufacturing as well as scientific analysis
                                                from the acquired scientific data

                                    Cubesat Probe




                                         Lunar Prospector
                                         Magnetic Field Map                      Lunar Swirl
           Orbiting Mother ship
           < 200kg

                                                                                               15
PM Challenge 2012
8. Summary

  ○ Despite economy crises, global space economy size has increased
  ○ Korea space economy size has fluctuated during that period
  ○ In Korea, the major customer is the government so that, at present, the
    domestic environment is much more important than the global
    environment
  ○ KARI has 4 launches(4 satellites and 1 launcher) in 2012
    so that KARI space project management will be evaluated
    according to the results




          KOMPSAT-3         KOMPSAT-5           STSAT-3
                                               End of 2012     NARO 3rd Attempt
           2012. 5. 18     Middle of 2012                      October of 2012

                                                                           16
PM Challenge 2012
8. Summary


 ○ Space exploration, space science and earth science may be the most
    suitable areas to cooperate with global partners in any global
    environment changes
 ○ The space development strategy and program management approaches
    developed in Korea could be a bench mark model to emerging
    countries in space development




                                                                           17
Thank You

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Choi nasa pmc_2012

  • 1. PM Challenge 2012 마스터 제목 스타일 편집 KARI Space Project Management in a Changing Global Environment 2012. 2. 22 Korea Aerospace Research Institute 2012-04-24 1 1
  • 2. 1. Major Factors to Change a Global PM Challenge 2012 Environment in Space Program Diplomacy Iran, North Korea, … Bankrupcy of Lehman Bros.(2008), European Economy Sovereign Debt Crisis(2009 - present), … Nature Global Warming, Natural Disaster, … Mars Exploration, Asteroid Exploration, Space Initiative Defense, Green Energy, … New Alien, New Creature, Water in Moon,… Discovery 2
  • 3. PM Challenge 2012 2. Global Space Economy Size Global Space Activity Revenues and Budgets Commercial Space Products & Services Commercial Infrastructure & Support Industries Commercial Space Transportation Services U.S. Government Space Budgets Non-U.S. Government Space Budgets 단위, B$ 102 87 0.01 65 22 2010 276.5 93 77 0.09 64 22 Average Annual 2009 256.8 growth rate : 2008 84 86 0.04 58 16 244.1 greater than 5% 73 93 0.04 53 14 2020년: $400B 2007 232.4 Keep increasing 70 81 0.03 61 13 2006 225.4 despite economy crises (출처: Space Foundation, The Space Report 2011) 3
  • 4. PM Challenge 2012 2. Global Space Economy Size Global Space Activity, 2010 $0.01B Commercial Space Non-U.S. Government (<1%) Transportation Services Space Budgets Government Space Budget $22.49B - Space Exploration (8%) - National Security Program - Scientific Research Commercial Space Products & Services U.S. Government $102B Space Budgets $64.63B (37%) (23%) Total 2010 Military Space Budget - U.S. $43.7B $276.52Billion - Non U.S. $2.3B - Total $46.0B Korean Government Budget in 2010 : $271B $87.39B (32%) Commercial Infrastructure & Support Industries 4
  • 5. PM Challenge 2012 2. Global Space Economy Size Commercial Space Product & Service, 2010 Unit : B$ Type 2010 2019(E) Earth Observation 2.01 3.80 - Data Sales (0.89) (1.80) - Value-Added Services (1.12) (2.00) Direct-to-Home TV 79.22 Satellite Radio 2.84 Satellite Services 17.92 Total 102.00 5
  • 6. PM Challenge 2012 2. Global Space Economy Size Commercial Infrastructure & Support Industries, 2010 Unit : B$ Type Commercial Government Sum Launch Industry 2.45 4.90 7.35 Satellite Manufacturing 3.41 7.14 10.55 Ground Station & Equipment 80.47 - Geolocation & Navigation Equipment (71.62) - Others (Ground Control Station, Mobile Satellite Terminal, etc) (8.85) Independent Research & Development 0.18 Insurance 0.88 Sum 87.39 6
  • 7. PM Challenge 2012 3. Space Competitiveness Index SCI in 2009 (From : Futron, 2009 Space Competitiveness Index(SCI)) 7
  • 8. PM Challenge 2012 4. Korea Competitiveness Korea Competitiveness in Market Share Global Automobile In 2009 Korea $47.7B (3.5%) $1.4Trill ※Complete Car Semi-Conductor Global $300B In 2010 Korea $39B (12.9%) Global $71.7B Ship Building In 2010 Korea $30.6B(42.7%) Global $570B Aerospace In 2010 Korea $2.5B(0.4%) 8
  • 9. PM Challenge 2012 5. Korea Space Sales Korea Space Industries Sales 2007 2008 2009 2010 Space Satellite 45.4 40.9 17.0 40.2 Manufacturing Launcher 15.7 19.1 5.8 1.3 ($Mill) Ground Equipment 75.4 158.6 119.2 38.8 Space Application ($Mill) 818.4 565.4 534.0 618.7 Year 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Sales Total ($Mill) 733 955 784 676 699 Space Manufacturing 8.1% 14.3% 27.9% 21% 11.5% Space Application 91.9% 85.7% 72.1% 79.0% 88.5% Korea Space Activities (Sales+R&D+Research) Year 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Activities Total ($Bill) 1.17 1.36 1.19 1.00 0.91 9
  • 10. PM Challenge 2012 6. KARI Top Management Strategy Success of Achievement Government of Core Space Technologies Projects Collaboration with several government Evolution of technology bodies KARI Expansion Collaboration of with Foreign Space Countries Culture CanSat, CubeSat for students Space Exploration, Space Science, Earth Science (w/ NASA, JAXA, etc.) 10
  • 11. PM Challenge 2012 7. KARI Project Management Collaborative Support from Government National Committee of Space Development Political Support ME MEST Environment System/Bus Payload 2nd Korean Development Development Geostationary Satellite Meteorological Ocean Payload Payload Development Development KMA MLTM MEST : Ministry of Education, Science & Technology ME : Ministry of Environment MLTM : Ministry of Land, Transport & Maritime Affairs KMA : Korea Meteorological Administration 11
  • 12. PM Challenge 2012 7. KARI Project Management Evolution of Technology 1999 2006 2012 KOMPSAT-1 KOMPSAT-2 KOMPSAT-3 Co-Op Consult (w/ Satellite II. ) Development System Led by with Indigenous Co-Op Bus Led by Indigenous (w/ ) Procure + OJT Co-Op Payload Led by Consult (w/ ) (w/ ELOP) 12
  • 13. PM Challenge 2012 7. KARI Project Management Evolution of Technology AREA COMS GEO-KOMPSAT2 Korea leading System development Co- (Expert support for some Satellite insufficient Technology) Bus Development Optical Co-Development Payload Ka-band Payload Self- Ground/ Development Self-development Operation (Performance Enhancement) 13
  • 14. PM Challenge 2012 7. KARI Project Management ○ Space Science and Space Exploration are most suitable area for international cooperation ○ Mutual use of infra and resources is the big advantage KARI and NASA offered the following joint project topics - Space Exploration : 5 topics including lunar impactor - Space Science : 3 topics - Earth Science : 6 topics KARI and JAXA are collaborating in the following areas; - ISS/JEM Utilization - Aviation Program - Environmental Test Technology - Sentinel Asia Program - Space Education, APRSAF Task Force, etc. 14
  • 15. PM Challenge 2012 7. KARI Project Management Example The Lunar Impactor mission is designed to investigate the lunar swirls which are one of the most enigmatic geologic features in the solar system. • NASA will lead the mothership • KARI would possibly join the mothership (orbiter) & cubesat design, analysis & (orbiter) design, analysis & manufacturing in manufacturing the selected subsystem as well as mission design for the whole lunar mission • NASA will provide the launch service and DSN(Deep Space Network) for the • Korean universities perform cubesat design lunar impactor mission & manufacturing as well as scientific analysis from the acquired scientific data Cubesat Probe Lunar Prospector Magnetic Field Map Lunar Swirl Orbiting Mother ship < 200kg 15
  • 16. PM Challenge 2012 8. Summary ○ Despite economy crises, global space economy size has increased ○ Korea space economy size has fluctuated during that period ○ In Korea, the major customer is the government so that, at present, the domestic environment is much more important than the global environment ○ KARI has 4 launches(4 satellites and 1 launcher) in 2012 so that KARI space project management will be evaluated according to the results KOMPSAT-3 KOMPSAT-5 STSAT-3 End of 2012 NARO 3rd Attempt 2012. 5. 18 Middle of 2012 October of 2012 16
  • 17. PM Challenge 2012 8. Summary ○ Space exploration, space science and earth science may be the most suitable areas to cooperate with global partners in any global environment changes ○ The space development strategy and program management approaches developed in Korea could be a bench mark model to emerging countries in space development 17