SlideShare uma empresa Scribd logo
1 de 73
Baixar para ler offline
Investor Day
Calgary, Alberta
January 11, 2012
Disclaimers
•   Forward Looking Statements
•   This document contains statements that constitute “forward-looking information” within the meaning of applicable securities legislation as to NAL
    Energy Corporation’s (“NAL’s”) internal projections, expectations and beliefs relating to future events or future performance. This forward-looking
    information includes, among others, statements regarding: NAL’s strategic focus, business strategy and plans and budgets; business plans for drilling,
    exploration and development, including drilling locations; estimates of production and operations performance; forecasted commodity price estimates
    of future sales; estimated amounts, allocation and timing of capital expenditures; estimates of operating costs and unit operating costs; the estimated
    timing and results of new development programs; estimates of anticipated funds from operations, cash flow, netbacks, dividends, working capital and
    debt levels; estimated rates of return; the anticipated results of NAL’s divestiture program; various tax matters related to NAL; NAL’s hedging program;
    NAL’s prospect inventory; and other expectations, beliefs, plans, goals, objectives, assumptions, information and statements about possible future
    events, conditions, results of operations or performance.
•   Various assumptions were used in drawing the conclusions or making the forecasts and projections contained in the forward-looking information
    contained in this presentation including, without limitation, with respect to commodity prices, interest rates, exchange rates, royalty rates, general
    and administrative expenses, the success of NAL's drilling programs and the production profile of NAL's oil and natural gas reserves. Forward-looking
    information is based on current expectations, estimates and projections that involve a number of risks, which could cause actual results to vary and in
    some instances to differ materially from those anticipated by NAL and described in the forward-looking information contained in this document. Undue
    reliance should not be placed on forward-looking information. The material risk factors include, but are not limited to: the risks of the oil and gas
    industry, such as operational risks in exploring for, developing and producing oil and natural gas, market demand and unpredictable facilities outages;
    risks and uncertainties involving the geology of oil and gas deposits; the uncertainty of estimates and projections relating to production, costs and
    expenses; potential delays or changes in plans with respect to exploration or development projects or capital expenditures; risk that adequate pipeline
    capacity to transport oil and natural gas to market may not be available; fluctuations in oil and gas prices, foreign currency exchange rates and interest
    rates; the outcome and effects of any future acquisitions and dispositions; safety and environmental risks; uncertainties as to the availability and cost
    of financing and changes in capital markets; competitive actions of other industry participants; changes in general economic and business conditions;
    the possibility that government policies or laws may change or governmental approvals may be delayed or withheld; changes in tax laws; changes in
    royalty rates; the results of NAL’s risk mitigation strategies, including insurance; and NAL’s ability to implement its business strategy. Readers are
    cautioned that the foregoing list of risk factors is not exhaustive. Additional information on these and other factors which could affect NAL’s operations
    or financial results are included in NAL’s most recent Annual Information Form and Annual Financial Report. In addition, information is available in
    NAL’s other filings with Canadian securities regulatory authorities.
•   Forward-looking information is based on the estimates and opinions of NAL’s management at the time the information is released.
•   Boe Conversion
•   Throughout this press release, the calculation of barrels of oil equivalent (boe) is based on the widely recognized conversion rate of six thousand cubic
    feet (mcf) of natural gas for one barrel (bbl) of oil. Boes may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A boe conversion ratio of 6 mcf:1 bbl is
    based on an energy equivalence conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalence at the wellhead.
•   All dollar amounts in Canadian dollars, unless otherwise stated.




                                                                                                                                                                 2
Schedule
Introduction
Strategic Direction & Guidance        10 min
Financial Plan                        10 min
Assets Overview                        5 min
Operational Plan & Core Area Review   15 min
Emerging Prospect Inventory           10 min
Summary/Key Messages                  10 min




                                               3
NAL Energy Corporation Profile
TSX Symbol                                    NAE
Market Capitalization1                        $1.1 Billion
Monthly Dividend                              $0.05/share
Net Debt2                                     $376 Million
Current Shares Outstanding2                   150.4 Million
                              Convertible Debentures
Trading Symbol                      NAE.DB       NAE.DB.A
Coupon                              6.75%        6.25%
Principal Outstanding ($MM)         80           115
Conversion Price ($/Share)          14.00        16.50
Maturity Date                       31AUG12      31DEC14

Notes:
1) As at January 10, 2012
2) As at Q3/11
                                                              4
Strategic Direction and Guidance
Strategic Direction – Long Term Sustainability

• Dividend paying E&P company
  • Maximize cash flow
  • Add scalable liquids opportunities
  • Utilize new tools and technologies
  • Deliver operating and capital cost efficiency
  • Actively manage business risk
  • Disciplined acquisition focus
  • Balance dividend with sustaining capital
                                                    6
Key Focus – Grow Liquids Volumes
                  16,000

                  15,000

                  14,000
Volumes (Boe/d)




                  13,000

                  12,000

                  11,000

                  10,000

                   9,000

                   8,000
                           Q1/11   Q2/11    Q3/11   Q4/11E Q1/12E Q2/12E Q3/12E Q4/12E

                                           NAL Liquids Volumes


                                                                                         7
2012 Corporate Plan

1. Grow cash flow and liquids volumes
  • Targeting cash flow increase of 3%
  • Forecast oil volumes increasing 5%
  • Liquids mix increasing from 47% to 50%
2. Capital focused on high ROR and recycle ratio projects
  • Oil focused capital projects
  • Higher liquids yields on selected gas projects
  • Less focused on delivering gas volumes (6:1 Boe)



                                                            8
2012 Corporate Plan

3. Higher proportion of development capital

  • Represents 95% of 2012 program – up 11%
  • Lower risk improves volume certainty

4. Continued appraisal activity in new oil resource plays

5. Maintain financial flexibility




                                                            9
2012 Full Year Guidance


• Production (boe/d)        28,000 – 29,000


• Capital ($MM)                  200


• Operating Costs ($/boe)    11.50 – 12.00




                                              10
Financial Plan
Financial Strategy

                 Maintain Financial Flexibility
     Maintain an
   optimal capital     Target total debt      Total payout
                       to cash flow ratio    ratios between
    structure and       at 2x and not to
   strong balance         exceed 2.5x        100% and 120%
        sheet

       Maintain             Minimizes
   appropriate mix     financing charges    Provide access to
       of debt            (term/mix of      multiple markets
     instruments       fixed vs floating)


                            Capital                                Systematic
                       investment that                             hedging of
                                            Increase liquids
  Sustain cash flows       replaces
                                               weighting
                                                                commodities, FX
                       production at 2x                           and interest
                         recycle ratio                                rates




                                                                                  12
Financial Action Plan
                           Reduce monthly
                          dividend to $0.05
                              per share


                                                 Maintain credit
   Refinance 2012
                                                     lines by
     convertible
                                                focusing capital
    maturity ($80
                                                    on oil and
   MM) with debt
                              Financial           liquids plays
                              Flexibility



       Term out a                             Converted bank
    portion of existing                       line from one to
      bank line with                          three year term
        high yield                                 in 2011



                                                                   13
2012 Key Assumptions
WTI ($US/bbl)                                                      85.00                 95.00                  105.00

AECO ($C/GJ)                                                        2.50                 3.00                    3.50
FX (CAD/US)                                                         1.00                 0.98                    0.96

Monthly Dividend ($)                                                 4.7                 0.05                    4.7

Volume (boe/d)                                                                          28,500

G&A ($/boe)2                                                        3.00                 2.50                    3.00

Royalties (%)                                                         17                   18                    19

Oil Differential (%)3                                                 90                   90                    90

DRIP Participation (%)                                                23                   23                    23

Weighted Avg Shares O/S (MM)                                       152.3                  152                   152.3

Note: 1) Commodity, FX and Royalty assumptions are held constant through the year; 2) G&A excludes Unit Based
Compensation (UBC); 3) NAL forecast price differential to C$ WTI .
                                                                                                                         14
2012 Financial Forecast

  Funds From Operations “FFO” ($MM)   275     265     275

  Net Capital Expenditures ($MM)      (200)   (200)   (200)

  Dividends ($MM)                     (90)    (92)    (90)
  Payout Ratios (% of FFO):

    Basic                              46      35      46
    Basic + Capital                   122     110     122
    Basic + Capital, net of DRIP      117     102     117



                                                              15
2012 Balance Sheet Forecast
                                                                                  Year end 2012e ($MM)

 Bank Debt at Year-end 2012e                                                412                    305    412
 Working Capital Deficit                                                     72                      70   72
 Net Debt                                                                   484                    375    484
 Convertible Debentures1                                                    115                    195    115
 Total Debt                                                                 599                    570    599
 Net Debt/2012e Cash Flow                                                  1.8x                   1.4x    1.8x
 Total Debt/2012e Cash Flow                                                2.2x                   2.2x    2.2x
 Available Capacity ($550MM bank line)                                     138                    245     138

Notes: 1) Assumes 2012 convertible maturity ($80MM) is refinanced with either high yield or convertible
debenture. 2015 maturity shown at face value and assumes no conversion in 2012.


                                                                                                                 16
Quality Asset Base
Operate Across Western Canada



British Columbia       Alberta
% Gas & NGL’s: 100%    % Crude Oil: 45%
% of Production: 14%   % of Production: 59%




                                 SE Saskatchewan
                                 % Crude Oil: 93%
                                 % of Production: 25%

  Cardium Oil
  Mississippian Oil
  Natural Gas

                                                        18
Reserves Profile
•                     P+P reserves: 104 MMBoe – 109% total production replacement
•                     Proved reserves: 68% of total P+P
•                     Current RLI: 9.4 years
•                     Mix: 50% Liquids – 50% Natural gas
•                     3 yr average F&D of $18.80/boe; FD&A of $21.86/boe

                      120,000


                      100,000
                                              Natural Gas
                                                                                                                                         Reserves @ Jan 1 2011
                                              Oil & Liquids
P+P Reserves (Mboe)




                       80,000

                                                                                                                                          PROBABLE
                       60,000                                                                                                                32%

                                                                                                                                                      PROVED
                       40,000
                                                                                                                                                     PRODUCING
                                                                                                                                                        58%
                       20,000
                                                                                                                                          PUD's
                                                                                                                                           10%
                           0
                                1996
                                       1997
                                              1998
                                                     1999
                                                            2000
                                                                   2001
                                                                          2002
                                                                                 2003
                                                                                        2004
                                                                                               2005
                                                                                                      2006
                                                                                                             2007
                                                                                                                    2008
                                                                                                                           2009
                                                                                                                                  2010




                                                                                                                                                                 19
Increasing RLI & Stable Reserves Per Share
                              10


                               9                                • Production growth of 44%
                                                                  over the same time
                RLI (Years)




                               8
                                                                  frame
                               7


                               6


                               5
                                    2007   2008   2009   2010


                    0.70
                    0.60                                        • Stable reserves per share
                    0.50                                          performance reinvesting
                                                                  approximately 59% of
 Mboe / 000 units




                    0.40
                    0.30
                                                                  cash flow
                    0.20
                    0.10
                    0.00
                                   2007    2008   2009   2010
                                                                                              20
2012 Operating Plan
Operational Strategy

• Oil 85% of the capital program

• Deliver capital performance

• Actively managing execution risk

• Enhance capital / operational efficiency

• High grade opportunity inventory

• Farm-out unproven acreage
                                             22
2012 Capital Allocation
                                                   2011e   2012e

    Drill, Complete & Tie-in                         200     170

    Plant & Facilities                                18      10

    Land & Seismic                                    18      10

    Subtotal E&D                                     236     190

    Other                                             10      10

    Total                                            246     200


Note: Net dispositions totaled ~($29) MM in 2011


                                                                   23
Capital Allocation By Play
Drill, Complete & Tie-in - $170 MM
                                                                                                   $79
     Cardium Oil                                                                             $73
                                                                           $51

                                                                  $39
Mississippian Oil                                                          $51
                                                                  $40
                                                                                                          2012
                                                     $26                                                  2011
        Other Oil                                           $34
                                                  $23                                                     2010


                                                     $26
Liquids Rich Gas                                                   $42
                                                    $26

                     $0        $10        $20        $30       $40       $50     $60   $70     $80       $90
                                                           (Millions)



Note: Does not include G&A, Facilities, Land & Seismic.

                                                                                                                 24
Drilling 62 Net Wells (124 Gross)

                                                       24
     Cardium Oil                                     22
                                             17


                                                         24
 Mississippian Oil                                                 30
                                                                   30
                                                                             2012
                                 9                                           2011
        Other Oil                     13
                                     12                                      2010

                         5
 Liquids Rich Gas                9
                             8

                     0       10                20             30        40

                                           (Net Wells)


                                                                                    25
Focusing Development on Best of Inventory
                                                    Title: Plot of Attribute A vesus Attribute B
                                                   Plot of Production Efficiency versus Recycle Ratio
                                   -
 Capital Efficiency ($/boed)




                               10,000


                               20,000

                                              Increasing
                               30,000         Production
                                                Volume
                                               Potential
                               40,000                             Greater Hoffer
                                                                     MSSP Oil
                               50,000

                                                                  Increasing Cash Flow Potential
                               60,000
                                        1.0          1.5    2.0     2.5         3.0         3.5    4.0   4.5   5.0
                                                                          Recycle Ratio

                               • 2012 program designed to drive cash flow

                                                                                                                     26
Lower Risk Profile in 2012 Drilling Program

            2011 Program                            2012e Program
        Proof of Concept   Development          Proof of Concept        Development


                                                                   5%

                           17%




                    83%                                      95%



• A number of projects moving from positioning and appraisal phase in 2011 to
 development phase in 2012 (Neptune, Sawn Lake, Cochrane, Fireweed)



                                                                                      27
Actively Managing Execution Risks

• Contracted equipment & core services
• Continuous programs to retain experienced crews

• Early regulatory and surface land approvals

• Operatorship and drill ready inventory provides
  ability to substitute weather impacted areas

• Hoffer central gathering facility tied-in to
  Enbridge – reduces costs and increases reliability



                                                       28
Cardium Oil
Cardium Oil: West Central AB
                                                       • Developing selectively to 3-4 wells/section

        Garrington/                                    • Local sweet-spots emerging - focus on high-
        Westward Ho
                                                         graded lands in Garrington/Westward Ho

                                                       • De-risking non-core through farm-outs

                                                       • New land deal completed in January 2012




                                      Lochend

        NAL Access Lands
        Tier 1 Halo
        Tier 2 Halo
        Tier 3 Halo
        Conventional
                                                       Gross Risked Locations assuming up to 4 wells/ sec
                                                       (see Appendix)

**Resource Halo Areas provided by Canadian Discovery
                                                                                                            30
Cardium Oil: Cochrane / Lochend AB

                        •                                Sweet spot outperforming regional type
                                                         curve by 2-3 times
                        •                                New 3D applied to delineate sweet spot
                        •                                Solution gas infrastructure added



                                                         500
                                                                                      Lochend Sweet Spot
                   3D                                    450
                                                                                      Lochend Normal
                                                         400                          WWHO




                            Production Volumes (Boe/d)
                                                         350                          Garrington
                                                         300
                                                         250
                                                         200
                                                         150
                                                         100
NAL Access Lands
Key Penetrations
                                                          50
2012 Program                                               0
2011 Program                                                   1   13    25           37      49
                                                                              Month




                                                                                                           31
Lochend Cardium Exceeding Expectations
                                                       Lochend
     W5M          3-17-027-03 1-17-027-03 1-18-027-03 16-19-027-03 14-20-027-03 16-20-027-03 8-33-027-03

                  August 27, December 1, November 3, November 3, September December 1,        August 6,
On Production
                    2010        2011        2011        2011       5, 2011    2011              2011
30 day IP
                     335          310         588          840         770          300         172
(boe/d)
90 day IP
                     268           -            -           -            -           -          162
(boe/d)

Current (boe/d)      174          153         258          660         234          167         100

Formation         Cardium A    Cardium A   Cardium A    Cardium A   Cardium A    Cardium A   Cardium A

Frac Fluid Type     Water        Water       Water        Water       Water        Water       Water

Number of Fracs       10          15           11          13           14          14           12

Lateral length
                    1,082        1,179       1,024        1,260       1,132        1,276       1,000
(m)

 • Q4 2011 results set-up active program for 2012
 • Liquids and solution gas handling facilities added in 2011
                                                                                                           32
Production (Boe/d)




                                            1000
                                                   1500
                                                             2000
                                                                    2500
                                                                           3000
                                                                                  3500
                                                                                         4000
                                                                                                4500
                                                                                                       5000




                                  0
                                      500
                           Jan
                           Feb
                           Mar
                           Apr
                           May
                           Jun




                    2010
                            Jul
                           Aug
                           Sep
                           Oct
                           Nov
                           Dec
                           Jan




     Base
                           Feb
                           Mar
                           Apr
                           May
                           Jun




                    2011
                                                                                                                                                Cardium Volume Profile




                            Jul
                           Aug
                           Sep
                           Oct
                           Nov
                           Dec
                           Jan



     2012 Program
                           Feb
                           Mar
                           Apr
                           May
                           Jun
                                                                                                              300% volume growth over 3 years




                            Jul
                    2012




                           Aug
                           Sep
                           Oct
                           Nov
                           Dec
33
Mississippian Oil
SE Saskatchewan - Mississippian
                                    Chapleau Lake




                 Greater Williston Area


                          Weyburn



         Hardy                                                   Nottingham/ Alida

                                                    Midale



      Greater Hoffer
      Area                                                       NAL Access Lands
                                                       Estevan   Mississippian Oil Pools
                                                                 3D Seismic Outline
                             Hoffer




 • NAL has more than doubled land position in past 2 years
 • Greater Hoffer area is core growth oil area for company

                                                                                           35
Mississippian Oil – SE Saskatchewan
    Chapleau Lake                                         • Greater Williston area
                                                            provides 3 to 5 year
                                                            inventory of low risk
                                                            development locations
                                                          • Significant oil & cash
Weyburn
                                                            generating region for NAL
                                                            since 1996
                                 Nottingham/ Alida
                    Midale

                                                                 Greater Williston Mississippian
                                                                  Prospect Inventory: n=111

                                                                                                  2012 Program
                      Estevan
                                NAL Access Lands                                23
                                Mississippian Oil Pools        37
                                3D Seismic Outline                                                Drillable Inventory


                                                                             51                   Contingent Locations
                                                          Gross Risked Locations (see Appendix)

                                                          Gross Risked Locations (see Appendix)




                                                                                                                         36
Mississippian Oil – Greater Hoffer
                                                           • Multiple play trends now proven

                                                           • Infrastructure in-place to:
       Neptune                                                 o   Facilitate pressure maintenance
  New Pool Discovery
                                                               o   Minimize production down-time

                                                               o   Reduce operating costs
        Beaubier
    New Pool Discovery                                     • Land position increasing through strategic
                                                              farm-ins completed in Q4/11
                                             Oungre
                                          Pool Extension
NAL Access Lands                                                      Mississippian Prospect
MSSP Producers
2012 Program                      Hoffer
                            2009 Pool Discovery
                                                                        Inventory: n=114
2011 Program
MSSP Oil Pools                                                                                2012 Program
3D Seismic Outline
                                                                                  30
                                                                     39
           Area Play-Types Schematic                                                          Drillable Inventory

                                                                            45
                                                                                              Contingent
                                                                                              Locations

                                                           Gross Risked Locations assuming 300 m inter-well spacing
                                                           (see Appendix)

                                                                                                                      37
Mississippian Oil Volume Profile
Strong cash generator with volumes returning to 2010 levels
 Production (Boe/d)




                            2009                 2010                       2011e
                      Cash flow $100MM      Cash flow $119MM           Cash flow $125MM
                      Capex $23MM           Capex $50MM                Capex $57MM
                                        Severe weather impacts
                                    volumes Q1 through Q3 of 2011




                          2010                  2011                          2012

                                         Base           2012 Program
                                                                                          38
Emerging Prospect Inventory
Emerging Tight Oil Play – Sawn Lake
                                     •   Scalable, repeatable oil resource play
                                         targeting Slave Point Platform Carbonates
                                         – positioned in 2010 - 2011
          3D                         •   OOIP of up to 6 mmboe/section
                                     •   Ave 50% WI in 32 gross sections
                                     •   Analogous development at 8 wells/ sec
                                     •   Play de-risked by offsetting industry
                                         activity
 1-26-91-13W5
IP: 445 bopd                                        Slave Point Prospect
    & 2%WC                                            Inventory: n=48
 16-35-91-13W5                                         2
IP: 380 bopd
    & 7%WC                                                               2012 Program

                                              20
                 NAL Access Lands
                                                            26           Drillable Inventory
                 SLVP Penetrations
                 2012 Program
                 2011 Program
                                                                         Contingent Locations

                                     Gross Risked Locations assuming 4 wells/ sec (see Appendix)



                                                                                                   40
Montney – Fireweed - NE British Columbia
                      • Scalable liquids-rich gas discovery in H2/11
 NAL Access Lands
 MNTY Penetrations
                      • Initial liquids yield of ~100 bbl/mmcf
 2012 Program
 2011 Program         • Initial gas rates of up to 4 mmcf/d

                      • EUR - 630 mboe per well

                      • 100% WI in 21 gas spacing units

                      • Second earning well drilled Q1/12

                              Montney Prospect Inventory:
                                        n=20
                                         1
                                                          2012 Program

                                 8
                                             11           Drillable Inventory



                                                          Contingent Locations

                      Gross Risked Locations assuming 3 wells/ sec (see Appendix)



                                                                                    41
Significant Potential To Increase Oil Reserves
                                                       Gross                                     Net
                                                                              Upside                Upside
                                                         Total     EUR per
                         Drillable        Contingent                          Reserve    Average    Reserve
                                                        Risked      Well
                        Inventory         Inventory                          Potential    WI%      Potential
                                                       Locations   (mboe)
                                                                             (mmboe)               (mmboe)
Cardium                     151                191       342         170       58.1        65          37.8
Mississippian –
                             75                39        114         65         7.4        50           3.7
East
Mississippian –
                             74                37        111         85         9.4        50           4.7
West
Slave Point
                             28                20         48         170        8.2        100          8.2
Carbonate
Montney                      12                 8         20         630       12.6        100         12.6
                                                         635                   95.7                    67.0*
*Note: includes 9.2 mmboe of booked reserves

 • Non-contingent development drilling inventory is drill-ready
 • Well defined production and capital profiles
 • Third Party activity is actively de-risking off-setting contingent locations
 • Incremental potential exists at Fireweed and Sawn Lake to double location
   tallies beyond that represented above
                                                                                                               42
Extensive Land Base

     NAL Access Lands (Gross Acres)                                         NAL Undeveloped Access Lands
                                                                                   (Gross Acres)

                                                                                           195,000
      294,000                                 Developed                                              BC
                                                                         271,000

                          955,000

                                              Undeveloped                                            Alberta
 919,000
                                                                                        747,000

                                              JV                                                     Saskatchewan




• 2.2 million gross acres                                            • 1.2 million gross acres



Note: Excludes Approx 950,000 Acres (Gross) of undifferentiated Developed and Undeveloped Lands

                                                                                                                    43
Summary & Key Messages
Summary & Key Messages



           Attractive   Sustainable
            relative     business
           valuation      model


          Increasing      Capital
            liquids     focused in
           volumes      core areas




                                      45
Appendix
Experienced Management Team
                                                     Andrew Wiswell
                                                     President & CEO


  Keith Steeves       Vacant               Angele Mullins         John Kanik         John Koyanagi     Clayton Paradis
VP Finance & CFO   VP Ops & COO             Director, HR      Director, Marketing   VP Business Dev.     Director, IR


   Tracy Heck                      David Allen                                         Alex Tworo
   Controller                     Director, E&D                                       A&D Geology


                               Jim Van Camp
                              Saskatchewan BU


                                    Lance Berg
                                  Sylvan Lake BU


                                  Darcy Reding
                                   Western BU


                              Tim Brandenborg
                              Non-Operated BU


                                  Darcy Erickson
                                    Drilling &
                                   Completions


                                   Deric Orton
                                  Director, Land

                                                                                                                         47
Strategic Partnership with Manulife
                              Manulife:
                              • Direct investor in oil and gas assets since
  NAL Resources Management      1990
                              • Long term investment horizon
   (manages 46,500 boe/d)
                              • Desire to increase investment

                              Terms of Administrative Cost Sharing
                                Agreement:
 NAL Energy        Manulife   • No management or acquisition fees
                              • Shared G&A costs
   28,500           18,000    • Independently controlled board
   boe/d            boe/d     • Long term contract - 90 day NAL Energy
                                exit option

  65% of assets are common    Benefits:
      90% are operated        • Enhanced technical/financial capability
                              • Broad market view & investment discipline
                              • Financial partner in transactions



                                                                              48
Non-Taxable For Many Years
Available Tax Pools                      $ MM
Canadian Exploration Expense               91
Canadian Development Expense              442
Canadian Oil & Gas Property Expense       417
Undepreciated Capital Costs               261
Other (including loss carry forwards)     328
Total                                   1,539


Note: as at September 30, 2011

                                                49
NAL Shareholder Analysis
                                               Income Focused
   High Canadian Ownership
                                            Institutional Presence
                    Foreign                   Manulife
                      3%                        1%



            U.S.
            22%

                                                         Institutional
                                                             41%
                                              Retail
                                 Canadian     58%
                                   75%




Note: As at September 30, 2011

                                                                         50
Available Credit Lines

                                                     Credit Lines ($MM)
                                                         2011
  Bank of Montreal*                                        145        $247 MM of
                                                                      credit
  Royal Bank of Canada                                     110        available as
                                                                      at Sept. 30th
  CIBC                                                    87.5
  Bank of Nova Scotia                                     87.5
  Alberta Treasury Branch                                   40
  National Bank Financial                                   40
  Union Bank of California                                  40
  Total                                                    550
* Includes $15 million of working capital facility

                                                                                      51
Hedging Programs Manage Risk

• Objective - Protect cash flow for the purposes of
 sustaining dividends and maintaining an active capital
 program


• Board approval: maximum of 60% of net revenue

• Counterparties: all Canadian chartered banks




                                                          52
2012 Hedging Program
• Crude oil hedges:
  • 67% of 2012 oil volumes
  • Average floor price of US$ 97.42/bbl

• Natural gas hedges:
  • 12% of 2012 gas volumes
  • Average floor price of C$ 4.05/GJ

• Interest rate:
  • 30 – 35% of 2012 bank debt @ 1.71%*

• Foreign Exchange:
  • 45% of 2012 US$ exposure @ 1.01(70% collared to 1.045)
 * All in bank interest rate 5.1% after bank fees


                                                             53
Crude Oil Hedge Positions
                                                                                                Crude Oil Hedge Contracts as at 1/5/2012


                                                                                                 Q1-12             Q2-12             Q3-12              Q4-12

US$ Collar Contracts
$US WTI Collar Volume (b/d)                                                                       900               900               700                 700
Bought Puts – Average Strike Price ($US/bbl)                                                    101.11            101.11            101.43              101.43

Sold Calls – Average Strike Price ($US/bbl)                                                     117.07            117.07            117.66              117.66
US$ Swap Contracts
$US WTI Swap Volume (b/d)*                                                                       6,950             6,950             6,750               6,750
Average WTI Swap Price ($US/bbl)                                                                 97.03             97.03             96.93               96.93
Cdn$ Collar Contracts
$Cdn WTI Collar Volume (b/d)
Bought Puts – Average Strike Price ($Cdn/bbl)

Sold Calls – Average Strike Price ($Cdn/bbl)
Cdn$ Swap Contracts
$Cdn WTI Swap Volume (b/d)
Average WTI Swap Price ($Cdn/bbl)
Total Volume (b/d)                                                                               7,850             7,850             7,450              7,450

Note: All counterparties are Canadian banks in our syndicate.
•   For calendar 2012, there are 4 swap contracts for a total of 1,250 bbl/d at an average price of $100.96, that contain extendable call options. These options
    provide the counterparty with the right to extend the contract into calendar 2013 under the same price and volumetric terms. The counterparty can exercise
    this option anytime before December 31, 2012.




                                                                                                                                                                   54
Natural Gas Hedge Positions

                                                                Natural Gas Hedge Contracts as at 1/5/2012
                                                        Q1-12          Q2-12       Q3-12       Q4-12

  Collar Contracts
  AECO Collar Volume (GJ/d)
  Bought Puts – AECO Average Strike Price
  ($Cdn/GJ)
  Sold Calls – AECO Average Strike Price
  ($Cdn/GJ)
  Swap Contracts
  AECO Swap Volume (GJ/d)                              24,000          5,000       5,000       3,674

  AECO Average Price ($Cdn/GJ)                           3.98           4.16        4.16        4.17



  Total Volume (GJ/d)                                  24,000          5,000       5,000       3,674

Note: All counterparties are Canadian banks in our syndicate.




                                                                                                             55
Interest Rate Hedge Positions

                                                         Financial Interest Rate Swap Contracts as at 1/5/2012



 Remaining Term                          Notional (Cdn $MM)                     Floating Rate                    Fixed Rate
                                                                                  (Receive)                         (Pay)



 Oct 2011– Jan 2013                                22                        CAD-BA-CDOR 3 month                  1.3850%

 Oct 2011– Jan 2014                                22                        CAD-BA-CDOR 3 month                  1.5100%

 Oct 2011 – Mar 2013                               14                        CAD-BA-CDOR 3 month                  1.8500%

 Oct 2011 – Mar 2013                               14                        CAD-BA-CDOR 3 month                  1.8750%

 Oct 2011 – Mar 2014                               14                        CAD-BA-CDOR 3 month                  1.9300%

 Oct 2011 – Mar 2014                               14                        CAD-BA-CDOR 3 month                  1.9850%

 Total Notional (Cdn $)                           100*



* Fixed approximately 30% of floating bank debt ($325MM average for 2012e)
Note: All counterparties are Canadian banks in our syndicate.

                                                                                                                              56
Foreign Exchange Hedge Positions
                                        Notional (US) per                             Term                                    Counterparty Floating Rate
       Option Fixing Range                   month
           (USD/CAD)

           0.97 – 1.04                      $1.0 MM                       Jan 1, 2012 to Dec 31, 2012                BofC Monthly Average Noon Rate

When the monthly average noon spot foreign exchange rate exceeds the fixing range, NAL is committed to selling the above listed USD at the lower fixing rate
for that month. To the extent the monthly average spot foreign exchange rate is below the lower fixing rate, NAL has a commitment to sell the above listed
USD at the lower fixing rate. When the monthly average noon spot foreign exchange rate falls within the fixing range, NAL has no commitment to sell USD.


    Option Payout Range        Notional (US) per                         Term                               Counterparty Floating Rate                Monthly
         (USD/CAD)                  month                                                                                                             Premium
                                                                                                                                                      Received
        0.93 - 1.01                 $2.0 MM            Jan 1, 2012 to Dec 31, 2012                BofC Monthly Average Noon Rate                      CAD $40K
        0.90 - 1.15                 $1.0 MM            Jan 1, 2013 to Sept 30, 2013               BofC Monthly Average Noon Rate                      CAD $40K

When the monthly average noon spot foreign exchange rate is outside the payout range, the monthly premium is forfeited. NAL is committed to selling the
above listed USD at the upper payout range value for that month when the average noon spot foreign exchange rate exceeds the payout range.

    Fade-in Level            Strike Price          Participation Level     Notional (US)                 Term                      Counterparty Floating Rate
     (USD/CAD)               (USD/CAD)                 (USD/CAD)            per month

         0.92                   0.985                        1.03               $2.0 MM      Jan 1, 2012 to Dec 31, 2012      BofC Monthly Average Noon Rate
         0.91                  1.0075                        1.05               $1.5 MM      Jan 1, 2012 to Dec 31, 2012      BofC Monthly Average Noon Rate
        0.935                   1.00                         1.05               $0.5 MM      Jan 1, 2012 to Dec 31, 2012      BofC Monthly Average Noon Rate
         0.92                   1.012                       1.0625              $0.5 MM      Jan 1, 2012 to Dec 31, 2012      BofC Monthly Average Noon Rate
         0.92                   0.995                       1.035               $1.0 MM      Jan 1, 2012 to Dec 31, 2012      BofC Monthly Average Noon Rate
         0.93                   1.04                        1.075               $0.5 MM       Jan 1, 2012 to Dec 31, 2012     BofC Monthly Average Noon Rate

         0.90                   1.065                        1.15               $1.0 MM      Jan 1, 2013 to Sept 30, 2013     BofC Monthly Average Noon Rate

NAL is fixed to sell USD on a monthly basis at the strike price. If the Bank of Canada monthly average noon rate is below the fade-in level or between the strike and
participating level, NAL has no commitment to sell USD.

Note: FX contracts as at 01/05/2012.

                                                                                                                                                                        57
Foreign Exchange Hedge Positions

                Fixed Rate            Notional (US)                    Term                          Counterparty Floating Rate
                (USD/CAD)              per month

                  0.9954                $2.0 MM              Jan 1, 2012 to Dec 31, 2012        BofC Monthly Average Noon Rate

                  1.0565                $1.5 MM              Jan 1, 2012 to Dec 31, 2012        BofC Monthly Average Noon Rate



       NAL has a monthly commitment to settle the above fixed rates against the Bank of Canada monthly average noon rate.




Note: FX contracts as at 01/05/2012.



                                                                                                                                  58
2012 Program: Half Cycle Play Metrics




                                                                                                                                                              BTAX NPV @15 - Gross




                                                                                                                                                                                                     BTAX Payout (mnths)
                                                                    EUR per Well - Gross
                                              DCET Capital- Gross
                            Approximate %WI




                                                                                                                                          Recycle Ratio (x)
                                                                                                                      Netback ($/boe)




                                                                                                                                                                                                                           2012e Program
                                                                                                     F & D ($/boe)




                                                                                                                                                                                     BTAX ROR (%)
                                                                         (mboe)

                                                                                            % Gas
                                                    ($MM)




                                                                                                                                                                    ($MM)
Cochrane CRDM                 65              3.5 - 3.7 200 - 300                           21      12 - 20             60              3.5 - 5.0 1.7 - 6.0 30 - 200                                8 - 36                  16

Garr/ WWho CRDM           65 - 70             3.0 -3.3                  160                 20        20                75                4.0                 1.4 - 1.7 34 - 40                     24 - 30                 15

Deep Basin Gas            20 - 70             3.0 - 6.0 300 - 550 60 - 94                           9 - 14           20 - 35 2.0 - 4.0 0.6 - 2.0 20 - 50                                            22 - 40                 10

Fireweed- MNTY              100               7.5 - 9.0                 630                 60        14                29                2.1                    0.45                 17               58                      1

SW Williston MSSP             50              1.8 - 2.3 85 - 105                             0      20 - 27          55 - 60 2.0 - 3.0 0.8 - 1.4 30 - 50                                            24 - 36                 23

Greater Williston MSSP 35 - 100 1.2 - 1.7 60 - 70                                          0 - 10   18 - 28          70 - 85 2.5 - 4.0 0.9 - 1.9 45 - 190                                           12 - 24                 22

Sawn Lake- SLVP               50              4.0 - 5.0                 167                  5        25                62                2.5                      1.9                55               15                      2

Other Oil                 35 - 100 1.5 - 3.0 80 - 270                                      0 - 60   6 - 30           40 - 60 2.0 - 9.0 0.8 - 3.5 35 - 200                                           10 - 34                 24

Misc.                                                                                                                                                                                                                       11



Note: See Appendix for price assumptions
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           59
Understanding Our Inventory
                                  Geoscience Professionals
                                  feeding Prospect Hopper
                  Economic
 Prospect                Proven
Attributes                         Well Constrained by Mapping
                                    Positioning complete


                                                                                                       Un-Risked
             Tier 1 locations            Tier 2 locations                    Tier 3 locations
                                                                                                       Inventory
                                                                                                        (n=2,750)

   Risk                                    Execution Barriers
  Factors                                                        Failed Proof-of-concept
                                                                                Positioning Barriers
                     80%
                                                   50%
                                                                                       20%
 >100% ROR
                Drillable
              Immediately                   Drillable in                                                 Risked
   20% ROR
                                            Near Term                         Drillable in             Inventory
                                                                             Medium Term                (n=1,150)


                                                                                                               60
Understanding Our Inventory

• Drillable Inventory equals
  • 100% of Tier 1 Locations


• Total Risked Inventory equals
 • 90% of Tier 1 locations plus
 • 50% of Tier 2 locations plus
 • 10% of Tier 3 locations


• Contingent Inventory equals
 • Total Risked Inventory minus Drillable Inventory




                                                      61
2010 – Stable Reserves Performance

• Reserves performance in the McDaniel report
  was stable and predictable
• 109% total production replacement,
  approximately 90% through the drill bit
• 3 yr average F&D of $18.80/boe; FD&A of
  $21.86/boe




                                                62
Reserves & Capital Efficiency Summary
                                                   2010    2009
Reserves (MMboe)
Proved                                             71.0    70.91
Proved + Probable (“P+P)                           103.9   102.21
P+P Reserves/sh (boe/sh)                           0.71    0.74
RLI (years)
P+P                                                 9.4     9.2
Reserves Replacement Ratio
P+P (excluding A&D)                                90%     131%
P+P (including A&D)                                109%    445%
                                                                               Three Year
                                                                            Weighted Average
Including Changes in Future Development Capital    2010    2009     2008      2008 – 2010
Finding & Development Costs ($/boe)
Proved                                             21.41   18.52    14.18        17.92
P+P                                                22.60   17.86    16.24        18.80
F&D Recycle Ratio(3)
Proved                                              1.4     1.7      3.0          1.9
P+P                                                 1.3     1.8      2.6          1.8
Finding, Development & Acquisition Costs ($/boe)
Proved                                             22.37   27.87    19.41        24.77
P+P                                                22.85   22.33    19.66        21.86

                                                                                               63
Conservatively Booked Reserves
          PDP reserves represent a high percentage of total proved

        80,000
                                                                 85%    86%
        70,000

        60,000
                                                          94%
                                             95%
        50,000          93%
                                94%
 Mboe




        40,000

        30,000   96%

        20,000

        10,000

            0
                 2004   2005    2006         2007         2008   2009   2010

                                       PROVED PRODUCING




                                                                               64
Conservatively Booked Reserves
          Probables represent a low percentage of total P+P reserves


     120,000
                                                                   31%    32%
     100,000


                                                            28%
         80,000                              27%
                         30%
                                 30%
  Mboe




         60,000

                  29%
         40,000


         20,000


             0
                  2004   2005    2006        2007           2008   2009   2010

                                        PROVED   PROBABLE




                                                                                 65
Stable Reserves Per Share Performance
Stable reserves per share performance reinvesting approximately 59% of cash flow


                                      0.70

                                      0.60

                                      0.50
                   Mboe / 000 units




                                      0.40

                                      0.30

                                      0.20

                                      0.10

                                      0.00
                                             2007           2008                2009                2010



 Note: DARPU calculated using year-end reserves, net debt, convertibles and units outstanding.
 Net debt converted to units using annual average unit price. Converts converted to units at strike price

                                                                                                            66
Stable Production Per Share Performance
                             Stable production per share performance reinvesting
                                         approximately 59% of cash flow

                       120                                                                                   35,000

                       100
                                                                                                             30,000

                        80




                                                                                                                      Production (boe/d)
     boe / 000 units




                                                                                                             25,000
                        60
                                                                                                             20,000
                        40

                                                                                                             15,000
                        20

                        0                                                                                    10,000
                               2007               2008                     2009                     2010
                                      P+P Reserves Per Unit                      Annual Average Production

Note: Production per unit calculated using annual average production and annual average units outstanding.
This metric is not debt-adjusted given complications in calculating average annual debt figures.
                                                                                                                                           67
2012 Sensitivities on FFO
                                                    Impact on FFO – Excluding Hedges
                                           Change        ($MM)             $/share
WTI ($US/bbl)                              $5.00          16.9              0.11
AECO ($C/GJ)                               $0.50          14.4              0.09
FX (CAD/US)                                $0.01           3.4              0.02
Prime Rate                                 1.0%            3.4              0.02
Production (bbl/d)                         100             2.1              0.01
Production (mmcf/d)                        1               0.4              0.003
Oil Differential                           1.0%            3.9              0.03
Gas Differential                           1.0%            0.9              0.01
Note: Excludes impact of hedge contracts




                                                                                       68
2012 Sensitivities on FFO
                                                   Impact on FFO – Including Hedges
                                                        ($MM)             $/share
WTI ($US/bbl)                              $5.00          2.9              0.02
AECO ($C/GJ)                               $0.50         12.7              0.08
FX (CAD/US)                                $0.01          2.3              0.02
Prime Rate                                 1.0%           2.4              0.02


Note: Includes impact of hedge contracts




                                                                                      69
Economic Evaluation Price Assumptions

              Edmonton Par ($C/bbl)   AECO Gas ($C/GJ)

   2012              88.95                  3.50

   2013              92.00                  3.90

   2014              93.98                  4.15

   2015              95.96                  4.40

   2016              97.94                  4.65

 Thereafter         +2%/year              +2%/year




                                                         70
Sell-side Research
     Analyst                   Firm              Recommen
     Gordon Tait        BMO Capital Markets           Market
     Grant Hofer          Barclays Capital               Unde
     Jeremy Kaliel      CIBC World Markets        Sector Outpe
     Kevin C.H. Lo       FirstEnergy Capital          Market
     Stacey McDonald       GMP Securities
     Cristina Lopez      Macquarie Capital
     Kyle Preston      National Bank Financial            Out
     Jeff Martin            Peters & Co.               Sector
     Kristopher Zack      Raymond James               Market
     Mark Friesen       RBC Capital Markets            Sector
     Gordon Currie        Salman Partners
     Patrick Bryden        Scotia Capital              Sector
     Michael Zuk           Stifel Nicolaus
     Travis Wood            TD Securities

                                                          71
New Cardium Land Deal Increases Inventory

• New four year deal finalized January 2012
• Net $6MM commitment per year
• Access to 280 (182 net) sections of Cardium
  prospective land directly offsetting existing
  Garrington/Westward Ho acreage
• Adds 50 new drillable Cardium locations plus
  future upside




                                                  72
Corporate Information
EXECUTIVE TEAM                                       TRUSTEE AND TRANSFER AGENT

Andrew Wiswell      President & CEO                  Computershare Trust Company
                                                     of Canada
Keith Steeves       VP Finance & CFO
                                                     AUDITOR
John Koyanagi       VP Business Development
                                                     KPMG
                                                     ENGINEERING CONSULTANTS
INVESTOR RELATIONS                                   McDaniel & Associates
Clayton Paradis     Director, Investor Relations     LEGAL COUNSEL
Local: (403) 294-3620                                Bennett Jones LLP
Toll-free: (888) 223.8792                            STOCK EXCHANGE LISTING
E-mail: investor.relations@nal.ca                    & SYMBOL
                                                     Toronto Stock Exchange: NAE


                                EXECUTIVE OFFICE
                1000 – 550 6th Avenue SW, Calgary, Alberta, T2P 0S2
                          Website: www.nalenergy.com


                                                                                   73

Mais conteúdo relacionado

Mais procurados

PVA Howard Weil Presentation
PVA Howard Weil PresentationPVA Howard Weil Presentation
PVA Howard Weil Presentation
PennVirginiaCorp
 
PVA Howard Weil Presentation
PVA Howard Weil PresentationPVA Howard Weil Presentation
PVA Howard Weil Presentation
PennVirginiaCorp
 
PVA IPAA OGIS NY Presentation
PVA IPAA OGIS NY PresentationPVA IPAA OGIS NY Presentation
PVA IPAA OGIS NY Presentation
PennVirginiaCorp
 
PVA Investor Presentation
PVA Investor Presentation PVA Investor Presentation
PVA Investor Presentation
PennVirginiaCorp
 
Crestwood MLPA 2017 Annual Investor Conference Presentation
Crestwood MLPA 2017 Annual Investor Conference PresentationCrestwood MLPA 2017 Annual Investor Conference Presentation
Crestwood MLPA 2017 Annual Investor Conference Presentation
CrestwoodCorporate
 
Investor presentation march 2016 v final
Investor presentation march 2016 v finalInvestor presentation march 2016 v final
Investor presentation march 2016 v final
CrestwoodCorporate
 
GMAC Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer Sanjiv Khattri.
GMAC Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer Sanjiv Khattri.GMAC Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer Sanjiv Khattri.
GMAC Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer Sanjiv Khattri.
finance8
 
Relevant Fact – Swift & Co. Closing
Relevant Fact – Swift & Co. ClosingRelevant Fact – Swift & Co. Closing
Relevant Fact – Swift & Co. Closing
JBS RI
 
JP Morgan Inaugural Energy Equity Investor Conference
JP Morgan Inaugural Energy Equity Investor ConferenceJP Morgan Inaugural Energy Equity Investor Conference
JP Morgan Inaugural Energy Equity Investor Conference
Devon Energy Corporation
 
PVA JPMorgan High Yield Investor Presentation
PVA JPMorgan High Yield Investor PresentationPVA JPMorgan High Yield Investor Presentation
PVA JPMorgan High Yield Investor Presentation
PennVirginiaCorp
 

Mais procurados (20)

Am website presentation (c) february 2017
Am website presentation (c)   february 2017Am website presentation (c)   february 2017
Am website presentation (c) february 2017
 
PVA Howard Weil Presentation
PVA Howard Weil PresentationPVA Howard Weil Presentation
PVA Howard Weil Presentation
 
PVA Howard Weil Presentation
PVA Howard Weil PresentationPVA Howard Weil Presentation
PVA Howard Weil Presentation
 
PVA IPAA OGIS NY Presentation
PVA IPAA OGIS NY PresentationPVA IPAA OGIS NY Presentation
PVA IPAA OGIS NY Presentation
 
Celp investor presentation march 2016
Celp investor presentation march 2016Celp investor presentation march 2016
Celp investor presentation march 2016
 
PVA Investor Presentation
PVA Investor Presentation PVA Investor Presentation
PVA Investor Presentation
 
PVA Investor Presentation
PVA Investor PresentationPVA Investor Presentation
PVA Investor Presentation
 
Crestwood MLPA 2017 Annual Investor Conference Presentation
Crestwood MLPA 2017 Annual Investor Conference PresentationCrestwood MLPA 2017 Annual Investor Conference Presentation
Crestwood MLPA 2017 Annual Investor Conference Presentation
 
Investor presentation march 2016 v final
Investor presentation march 2016 v finalInvestor presentation march 2016 v final
Investor presentation march 2016 v final
 
Mlpa crestwood investor presentation_june 2016
Mlpa crestwood investor presentation_june 2016Mlpa crestwood investor presentation_june 2016
Mlpa crestwood investor presentation_june 2016
 
PDAC 2013 Corporate Presentation Forum for Investors
PDAC 2013 Corporate Presentation Forum for InvestorsPDAC 2013 Corporate Presentation Forum for Investors
PDAC 2013 Corporate Presentation Forum for Investors
 
Crestwood investor deck august 2017
Crestwood investor deck august 2017Crestwood investor deck august 2017
Crestwood investor deck august 2017
 
November 2016 corporate presentation final
November 2016 corporate presentation finalNovember 2016 corporate presentation final
November 2016 corporate presentation final
 
GMAC Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer Sanjiv Khattri.
GMAC Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer Sanjiv Khattri.GMAC Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer Sanjiv Khattri.
GMAC Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer Sanjiv Khattri.
 
JP Morgan Energy Equity Conference
JP Morgan Energy Equity ConferenceJP Morgan Energy Equity Conference
JP Morgan Energy Equity Conference
 
BMO Global Metals & Mining Conference
BMO Global Metals & Mining Conference BMO Global Metals & Mining Conference
BMO Global Metals & Mining Conference
 
Hpt investor presentation 4_q16_final
Hpt investor presentation  4_q16_finalHpt investor presentation  4_q16_final
Hpt investor presentation 4_q16_final
 
Relevant Fact – Swift & Co. Closing
Relevant Fact – Swift & Co. ClosingRelevant Fact – Swift & Co. Closing
Relevant Fact – Swift & Co. Closing
 
JP Morgan Inaugural Energy Equity Investor Conference
JP Morgan Inaugural Energy Equity Investor ConferenceJP Morgan Inaugural Energy Equity Investor Conference
JP Morgan Inaugural Energy Equity Investor Conference
 
PVA JPMorgan High Yield Investor Presentation
PVA JPMorgan High Yield Investor PresentationPVA JPMorgan High Yield Investor Presentation
PVA JPMorgan High Yield Investor Presentation
 

Destaque (8)

02 微渦輪發電機
02 微渦輪發電機02 微渦輪發電機
02 微渦輪發電機
 
Isro technological advancements
Isro technological advancementsIsro technological advancements
Isro technological advancements
 
Nal energy corporate presentation - january 2012
Nal energy   corporate presentation - january 2012Nal energy   corporate presentation - january 2012
Nal energy corporate presentation - january 2012
 
Indian Space Research Organisation
Indian Space Research OrganisationIndian Space Research Organisation
Indian Space Research Organisation
 
Presentation hal
Presentation halPresentation hal
Presentation hal
 
My insight on ISRO
My insight on ISROMy insight on ISRO
My insight on ISRO
 
Hindustan areonautics ltd.
Hindustan areonautics ltd.Hindustan areonautics ltd.
Hindustan areonautics ltd.
 
ISRO MARS MISSION
ISRO MARS MISSIONISRO MARS MISSION
ISRO MARS MISSION
 

Semelhante a Nal 2012 investor day and guidance presentation

June 2012 GHS100 Conference Presentation
June 2012 GHS100 Conference PresentationJune 2012 GHS100 Conference Presentation
June 2012 GHS100 Conference Presentation
Company Spotlight
 
Pace Oil and Gas Investor Presentation
Pace Oil and Gas Investor PresentationPace Oil and Gas Investor Presentation
Pace Oil and Gas Investor Presentation
Company Spotlight
 
Teranga agm webcast final
Teranga agm webcast finalTeranga agm webcast final
Teranga agm webcast final
Teranga Gold
 
el paso D7A9D355-197F-480A-8FF4-86834B0DD876_EP_4Q_2008_Earnings_FINAL(Color...
el paso  D7A9D355-197F-480A-8FF4-86834B0DD876_EP_4Q_2008_Earnings_FINAL(Color...el paso  D7A9D355-197F-480A-8FF4-86834B0DD876_EP_4Q_2008_Earnings_FINAL(Color...
el paso D7A9D355-197F-480A-8FF4-86834B0DD876_EP_4Q_2008_Earnings_FINAL(Color...
finance49
 
el paso D7A9D355-197F-480A-8FF4-86834B0DD876_EP_4Q_2008_Earnings_FINAL(Color...
el paso  D7A9D355-197F-480A-8FF4-86834B0DD876_EP_4Q_2008_Earnings_FINAL(Color...el paso  D7A9D355-197F-480A-8FF4-86834B0DD876_EP_4Q_2008_Earnings_FINAL(Color...
el paso D7A9D355-197F-480A-8FF4-86834B0DD876_EP_4Q_2008_Earnings_FINAL(Color...
finance49
 
PVA Capital One Investor Presentation 2012
PVA Capital One Investor Presentation 2012PVA Capital One Investor Presentation 2012
PVA Capital One Investor Presentation 2012
PennVirginiaCorp
 
PVA Jefferies Investor Presentation 2012
PVA Jefferies Investor Presentation 2012PVA Jefferies Investor Presentation 2012
PVA Jefferies Investor Presentation 2012
PennVirginiaCorp
 
PVA Investor Presentation December 2012
PVA Investor Presentation December 2012PVA Investor Presentation December 2012
PVA Investor Presentation December 2012
PennVirginiaCorp
 

Semelhante a Nal 2012 investor day and guidance presentation (20)

NAL Energy - 2012 CIBC Presentation
NAL Energy - 2012 CIBC PresentationNAL Energy - 2012 CIBC Presentation
NAL Energy - 2012 CIBC Presentation
 
June 2012 GHS100 Conference Presentation
June 2012 GHS100 Conference PresentationJune 2012 GHS100 Conference Presentation
June 2012 GHS100 Conference Presentation
 
Pace Oil and Gas Investor Presentation
Pace Oil and Gas Investor PresentationPace Oil and Gas Investor Presentation
Pace Oil and Gas Investor Presentation
 
Pace November Presentation
Pace November PresentationPace November Presentation
Pace November Presentation
 
August 2012 Matziwin Update
August 2012 Matziwin UpdateAugust 2012 Matziwin Update
August 2012 Matziwin Update
 
Teranga agm webcast final
Teranga agm webcast finalTeranga agm webcast final
Teranga agm webcast final
 
el paso D7A9D355-197F-480A-8FF4-86834B0DD876_EP_4Q_2008_Earnings_FINAL(Color...
el paso  D7A9D355-197F-480A-8FF4-86834B0DD876_EP_4Q_2008_Earnings_FINAL(Color...el paso  D7A9D355-197F-480A-8FF4-86834B0DD876_EP_4Q_2008_Earnings_FINAL(Color...
el paso D7A9D355-197F-480A-8FF4-86834B0DD876_EP_4Q_2008_Earnings_FINAL(Color...
 
el paso D7A9D355-197F-480A-8FF4-86834B0DD876_EP_4Q_2008_Earnings_FINAL(Color...
el paso  D7A9D355-197F-480A-8FF4-86834B0DD876_EP_4Q_2008_Earnings_FINAL(Color...el paso  D7A9D355-197F-480A-8FF4-86834B0DD876_EP_4Q_2008_Earnings_FINAL(Color...
el paso D7A9D355-197F-480A-8FF4-86834B0DD876_EP_4Q_2008_Earnings_FINAL(Color...
 
PVA Capital One Investor Presentation 2012
PVA Capital One Investor Presentation 2012PVA Capital One Investor Presentation 2012
PVA Capital One Investor Presentation 2012
 
Barclays CEO Energy Conference
Barclays CEO Energy ConferenceBarclays CEO Energy Conference
Barclays CEO Energy Conference
 
Barclays CEO Energy Conference
Barclays CEO Energy ConferenceBarclays CEO Energy Conference
Barclays CEO Energy Conference
 
PVA Jefferies Investor Presentation 2012
PVA Jefferies Investor Presentation 2012PVA Jefferies Investor Presentation 2012
PVA Jefferies Investor Presentation 2012
 
PVA Investor Presentation
PVA Investor PresentationPVA Investor Presentation
PVA Investor Presentation
 
Zargon q12012may142012r5ch
Zargon q12012may142012r5chZargon q12012may142012r5ch
Zargon q12012may142012r5ch
 
Capital return-announcement-with-non-gaaps
Capital return-announcement-with-non-gaapsCapital return-announcement-with-non-gaaps
Capital return-announcement-with-non-gaaps
 
1Q12 Results Presentation
1Q12 Results Presentation1Q12 Results Presentation
1Q12 Results Presentation
 
August Investor Presentation
August Investor PresentationAugust Investor Presentation
August Investor Presentation
 
Dvn august investor presentation
Dvn august investor presentationDvn august investor presentation
Dvn august investor presentation
 
IFRS Earnings Presentation, March 31, 2012
IFRS Earnings Presentation, March 31, 2012IFRS Earnings Presentation, March 31, 2012
IFRS Earnings Presentation, March 31, 2012
 
PVA Investor Presentation December 2012
PVA Investor Presentation December 2012PVA Investor Presentation December 2012
PVA Investor Presentation December 2012
 

Nal 2012 investor day and guidance presentation

  • 2. Disclaimers • Forward Looking Statements • This document contains statements that constitute “forward-looking information” within the meaning of applicable securities legislation as to NAL Energy Corporation’s (“NAL’s”) internal projections, expectations and beliefs relating to future events or future performance. This forward-looking information includes, among others, statements regarding: NAL’s strategic focus, business strategy and plans and budgets; business plans for drilling, exploration and development, including drilling locations; estimates of production and operations performance; forecasted commodity price estimates of future sales; estimated amounts, allocation and timing of capital expenditures; estimates of operating costs and unit operating costs; the estimated timing and results of new development programs; estimates of anticipated funds from operations, cash flow, netbacks, dividends, working capital and debt levels; estimated rates of return; the anticipated results of NAL’s divestiture program; various tax matters related to NAL; NAL’s hedging program; NAL’s prospect inventory; and other expectations, beliefs, plans, goals, objectives, assumptions, information and statements about possible future events, conditions, results of operations or performance. • Various assumptions were used in drawing the conclusions or making the forecasts and projections contained in the forward-looking information contained in this presentation including, without limitation, with respect to commodity prices, interest rates, exchange rates, royalty rates, general and administrative expenses, the success of NAL's drilling programs and the production profile of NAL's oil and natural gas reserves. Forward-looking information is based on current expectations, estimates and projections that involve a number of risks, which could cause actual results to vary and in some instances to differ materially from those anticipated by NAL and described in the forward-looking information contained in this document. Undue reliance should not be placed on forward-looking information. The material risk factors include, but are not limited to: the risks of the oil and gas industry, such as operational risks in exploring for, developing and producing oil and natural gas, market demand and unpredictable facilities outages; risks and uncertainties involving the geology of oil and gas deposits; the uncertainty of estimates and projections relating to production, costs and expenses; potential delays or changes in plans with respect to exploration or development projects or capital expenditures; risk that adequate pipeline capacity to transport oil and natural gas to market may not be available; fluctuations in oil and gas prices, foreign currency exchange rates and interest rates; the outcome and effects of any future acquisitions and dispositions; safety and environmental risks; uncertainties as to the availability and cost of financing and changes in capital markets; competitive actions of other industry participants; changes in general economic and business conditions; the possibility that government policies or laws may change or governmental approvals may be delayed or withheld; changes in tax laws; changes in royalty rates; the results of NAL’s risk mitigation strategies, including insurance; and NAL’s ability to implement its business strategy. Readers are cautioned that the foregoing list of risk factors is not exhaustive. Additional information on these and other factors which could affect NAL’s operations or financial results are included in NAL’s most recent Annual Information Form and Annual Financial Report. In addition, information is available in NAL’s other filings with Canadian securities regulatory authorities. • Forward-looking information is based on the estimates and opinions of NAL’s management at the time the information is released. • Boe Conversion • Throughout this press release, the calculation of barrels of oil equivalent (boe) is based on the widely recognized conversion rate of six thousand cubic feet (mcf) of natural gas for one barrel (bbl) of oil. Boes may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A boe conversion ratio of 6 mcf:1 bbl is based on an energy equivalence conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalence at the wellhead. • All dollar amounts in Canadian dollars, unless otherwise stated. 2
  • 3. Schedule Introduction Strategic Direction & Guidance 10 min Financial Plan 10 min Assets Overview 5 min Operational Plan & Core Area Review 15 min Emerging Prospect Inventory 10 min Summary/Key Messages 10 min 3
  • 4. NAL Energy Corporation Profile TSX Symbol NAE Market Capitalization1 $1.1 Billion Monthly Dividend $0.05/share Net Debt2 $376 Million Current Shares Outstanding2 150.4 Million Convertible Debentures Trading Symbol NAE.DB NAE.DB.A Coupon 6.75% 6.25% Principal Outstanding ($MM) 80 115 Conversion Price ($/Share) 14.00 16.50 Maturity Date 31AUG12 31DEC14 Notes: 1) As at January 10, 2012 2) As at Q3/11 4
  • 6. Strategic Direction – Long Term Sustainability • Dividend paying E&P company • Maximize cash flow • Add scalable liquids opportunities • Utilize new tools and technologies • Deliver operating and capital cost efficiency • Actively manage business risk • Disciplined acquisition focus • Balance dividend with sustaining capital 6
  • 7. Key Focus – Grow Liquids Volumes 16,000 15,000 14,000 Volumes (Boe/d) 13,000 12,000 11,000 10,000 9,000 8,000 Q1/11 Q2/11 Q3/11 Q4/11E Q1/12E Q2/12E Q3/12E Q4/12E NAL Liquids Volumes 7
  • 8. 2012 Corporate Plan 1. Grow cash flow and liquids volumes • Targeting cash flow increase of 3% • Forecast oil volumes increasing 5% • Liquids mix increasing from 47% to 50% 2. Capital focused on high ROR and recycle ratio projects • Oil focused capital projects • Higher liquids yields on selected gas projects • Less focused on delivering gas volumes (6:1 Boe) 8
  • 9. 2012 Corporate Plan 3. Higher proportion of development capital • Represents 95% of 2012 program – up 11% • Lower risk improves volume certainty 4. Continued appraisal activity in new oil resource plays 5. Maintain financial flexibility 9
  • 10. 2012 Full Year Guidance • Production (boe/d) 28,000 – 29,000 • Capital ($MM) 200 • Operating Costs ($/boe) 11.50 – 12.00 10
  • 12. Financial Strategy Maintain Financial Flexibility Maintain an optimal capital Target total debt Total payout to cash flow ratio ratios between structure and at 2x and not to strong balance exceed 2.5x 100% and 120% sheet Maintain Minimizes appropriate mix financing charges Provide access to of debt (term/mix of multiple markets instruments fixed vs floating) Capital Systematic investment that hedging of Increase liquids Sustain cash flows replaces weighting commodities, FX production at 2x and interest recycle ratio rates 12
  • 13. Financial Action Plan Reduce monthly dividend to $0.05 per share Maintain credit Refinance 2012 lines by convertible focusing capital maturity ($80 on oil and MM) with debt Financial liquids plays Flexibility Term out a Converted bank portion of existing line from one to bank line with three year term high yield in 2011 13
  • 14. 2012 Key Assumptions WTI ($US/bbl) 85.00 95.00 105.00 AECO ($C/GJ) 2.50 3.00 3.50 FX (CAD/US) 1.00 0.98 0.96 Monthly Dividend ($) 4.7 0.05 4.7 Volume (boe/d) 28,500 G&A ($/boe)2 3.00 2.50 3.00 Royalties (%) 17 18 19 Oil Differential (%)3 90 90 90 DRIP Participation (%) 23 23 23 Weighted Avg Shares O/S (MM) 152.3 152 152.3 Note: 1) Commodity, FX and Royalty assumptions are held constant through the year; 2) G&A excludes Unit Based Compensation (UBC); 3) NAL forecast price differential to C$ WTI . 14
  • 15. 2012 Financial Forecast Funds From Operations “FFO” ($MM) 275 265 275 Net Capital Expenditures ($MM) (200) (200) (200) Dividends ($MM) (90) (92) (90) Payout Ratios (% of FFO): Basic 46 35 46 Basic + Capital 122 110 122 Basic + Capital, net of DRIP 117 102 117 15
  • 16. 2012 Balance Sheet Forecast Year end 2012e ($MM) Bank Debt at Year-end 2012e 412 305 412 Working Capital Deficit 72 70 72 Net Debt 484 375 484 Convertible Debentures1 115 195 115 Total Debt 599 570 599 Net Debt/2012e Cash Flow 1.8x 1.4x 1.8x Total Debt/2012e Cash Flow 2.2x 2.2x 2.2x Available Capacity ($550MM bank line) 138 245 138 Notes: 1) Assumes 2012 convertible maturity ($80MM) is refinanced with either high yield or convertible debenture. 2015 maturity shown at face value and assumes no conversion in 2012. 16
  • 18. Operate Across Western Canada British Columbia Alberta % Gas & NGL’s: 100% % Crude Oil: 45% % of Production: 14% % of Production: 59% SE Saskatchewan % Crude Oil: 93% % of Production: 25% Cardium Oil Mississippian Oil Natural Gas 18
  • 19. Reserves Profile • P+P reserves: 104 MMBoe – 109% total production replacement • Proved reserves: 68% of total P+P • Current RLI: 9.4 years • Mix: 50% Liquids – 50% Natural gas • 3 yr average F&D of $18.80/boe; FD&A of $21.86/boe 120,000 100,000 Natural Gas Reserves @ Jan 1 2011 Oil & Liquids P+P Reserves (Mboe) 80,000 PROBABLE 60,000 32% PROVED 40,000 PRODUCING 58% 20,000 PUD's 10% 0 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 19
  • 20. Increasing RLI & Stable Reserves Per Share 10 9 • Production growth of 44% over the same time RLI (Years) 8 frame 7 6 5 2007 2008 2009 2010 0.70 0.60 • Stable reserves per share 0.50 performance reinvesting approximately 59% of Mboe / 000 units 0.40 0.30 cash flow 0.20 0.10 0.00 2007 2008 2009 2010 20
  • 22. Operational Strategy • Oil 85% of the capital program • Deliver capital performance • Actively managing execution risk • Enhance capital / operational efficiency • High grade opportunity inventory • Farm-out unproven acreage 22
  • 23. 2012 Capital Allocation 2011e 2012e Drill, Complete & Tie-in 200 170 Plant & Facilities 18 10 Land & Seismic 18 10 Subtotal E&D 236 190 Other 10 10 Total 246 200 Note: Net dispositions totaled ~($29) MM in 2011 23
  • 24. Capital Allocation By Play Drill, Complete & Tie-in - $170 MM $79 Cardium Oil $73 $51 $39 Mississippian Oil $51 $40 2012 $26 2011 Other Oil $34 $23 2010 $26 Liquids Rich Gas $42 $26 $0 $10 $20 $30 $40 $50 $60 $70 $80 $90 (Millions) Note: Does not include G&A, Facilities, Land & Seismic. 24
  • 25. Drilling 62 Net Wells (124 Gross) 24 Cardium Oil 22 17 24 Mississippian Oil 30 30 2012 9 2011 Other Oil 13 12 2010 5 Liquids Rich Gas 9 8 0 10 20 30 40 (Net Wells) 25
  • 26. Focusing Development on Best of Inventory Title: Plot of Attribute A vesus Attribute B Plot of Production Efficiency versus Recycle Ratio - Capital Efficiency ($/boed) 10,000 20,000 Increasing 30,000 Production Volume Potential 40,000 Greater Hoffer MSSP Oil 50,000 Increasing Cash Flow Potential 60,000 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 Recycle Ratio • 2012 program designed to drive cash flow 26
  • 27. Lower Risk Profile in 2012 Drilling Program 2011 Program 2012e Program Proof of Concept Development Proof of Concept Development 5% 17% 83% 95% • A number of projects moving from positioning and appraisal phase in 2011 to development phase in 2012 (Neptune, Sawn Lake, Cochrane, Fireweed) 27
  • 28. Actively Managing Execution Risks • Contracted equipment & core services • Continuous programs to retain experienced crews • Early regulatory and surface land approvals • Operatorship and drill ready inventory provides ability to substitute weather impacted areas • Hoffer central gathering facility tied-in to Enbridge – reduces costs and increases reliability 28
  • 30. Cardium Oil: West Central AB • Developing selectively to 3-4 wells/section Garrington/ • Local sweet-spots emerging - focus on high- Westward Ho graded lands in Garrington/Westward Ho • De-risking non-core through farm-outs • New land deal completed in January 2012 Lochend NAL Access Lands Tier 1 Halo Tier 2 Halo Tier 3 Halo Conventional Gross Risked Locations assuming up to 4 wells/ sec (see Appendix) **Resource Halo Areas provided by Canadian Discovery 30
  • 31. Cardium Oil: Cochrane / Lochend AB • Sweet spot outperforming regional type curve by 2-3 times • New 3D applied to delineate sweet spot • Solution gas infrastructure added 500 Lochend Sweet Spot 3D 450 Lochend Normal 400 WWHO Production Volumes (Boe/d) 350 Garrington 300 250 200 150 100 NAL Access Lands Key Penetrations 50 2012 Program 0 2011 Program 1 13 25 37 49 Month 31
  • 32. Lochend Cardium Exceeding Expectations Lochend W5M 3-17-027-03 1-17-027-03 1-18-027-03 16-19-027-03 14-20-027-03 16-20-027-03 8-33-027-03 August 27, December 1, November 3, November 3, September December 1, August 6, On Production 2010 2011 2011 2011 5, 2011 2011 2011 30 day IP 335 310 588 840 770 300 172 (boe/d) 90 day IP 268 - - - - - 162 (boe/d) Current (boe/d) 174 153 258 660 234 167 100 Formation Cardium A Cardium A Cardium A Cardium A Cardium A Cardium A Cardium A Frac Fluid Type Water Water Water Water Water Water Water Number of Fracs 10 15 11 13 14 14 12 Lateral length 1,082 1,179 1,024 1,260 1,132 1,276 1,000 (m) • Q4 2011 results set-up active program for 2012 • Liquids and solution gas handling facilities added in 2011 32
  • 33. Production (Boe/d) 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500 5000 0 500 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun 2010 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Base Feb Mar Apr May Jun 2011 Cardium Volume Profile Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan 2012 Program Feb Mar Apr May Jun 300% volume growth over 3 years Jul 2012 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 33
  • 35. SE Saskatchewan - Mississippian Chapleau Lake Greater Williston Area Weyburn Hardy Nottingham/ Alida Midale Greater Hoffer Area NAL Access Lands Estevan Mississippian Oil Pools 3D Seismic Outline Hoffer • NAL has more than doubled land position in past 2 years • Greater Hoffer area is core growth oil area for company 35
  • 36. Mississippian Oil – SE Saskatchewan Chapleau Lake • Greater Williston area provides 3 to 5 year inventory of low risk development locations • Significant oil & cash Weyburn generating region for NAL since 1996 Nottingham/ Alida Midale Greater Williston Mississippian Prospect Inventory: n=111 2012 Program Estevan NAL Access Lands 23 Mississippian Oil Pools 37 3D Seismic Outline Drillable Inventory 51 Contingent Locations Gross Risked Locations (see Appendix) Gross Risked Locations (see Appendix) 36
  • 37. Mississippian Oil – Greater Hoffer • Multiple play trends now proven • Infrastructure in-place to: Neptune o Facilitate pressure maintenance New Pool Discovery o Minimize production down-time o Reduce operating costs Beaubier New Pool Discovery • Land position increasing through strategic farm-ins completed in Q4/11 Oungre Pool Extension NAL Access Lands Mississippian Prospect MSSP Producers 2012 Program Hoffer 2009 Pool Discovery Inventory: n=114 2011 Program MSSP Oil Pools 2012 Program 3D Seismic Outline 30 39 Area Play-Types Schematic Drillable Inventory 45 Contingent Locations Gross Risked Locations assuming 300 m inter-well spacing (see Appendix) 37
  • 38. Mississippian Oil Volume Profile Strong cash generator with volumes returning to 2010 levels Production (Boe/d) 2009 2010 2011e Cash flow $100MM Cash flow $119MM Cash flow $125MM Capex $23MM Capex $50MM Capex $57MM Severe weather impacts volumes Q1 through Q3 of 2011 2010 2011 2012 Base 2012 Program 38
  • 40. Emerging Tight Oil Play – Sawn Lake • Scalable, repeatable oil resource play targeting Slave Point Platform Carbonates – positioned in 2010 - 2011 3D • OOIP of up to 6 mmboe/section • Ave 50% WI in 32 gross sections • Analogous development at 8 wells/ sec • Play de-risked by offsetting industry activity 1-26-91-13W5 IP: 445 bopd Slave Point Prospect & 2%WC Inventory: n=48 16-35-91-13W5 2 IP: 380 bopd & 7%WC 2012 Program 20 NAL Access Lands 26 Drillable Inventory SLVP Penetrations 2012 Program 2011 Program Contingent Locations Gross Risked Locations assuming 4 wells/ sec (see Appendix) 40
  • 41. Montney – Fireweed - NE British Columbia • Scalable liquids-rich gas discovery in H2/11 NAL Access Lands MNTY Penetrations • Initial liquids yield of ~100 bbl/mmcf 2012 Program 2011 Program • Initial gas rates of up to 4 mmcf/d • EUR - 630 mboe per well • 100% WI in 21 gas spacing units • Second earning well drilled Q1/12 Montney Prospect Inventory: n=20 1 2012 Program 8 11 Drillable Inventory Contingent Locations Gross Risked Locations assuming 3 wells/ sec (see Appendix) 41
  • 42. Significant Potential To Increase Oil Reserves Gross Net Upside Upside Total EUR per Drillable Contingent Reserve Average Reserve Risked Well Inventory Inventory Potential WI% Potential Locations (mboe) (mmboe) (mmboe) Cardium 151 191 342 170 58.1 65 37.8 Mississippian – 75 39 114 65 7.4 50 3.7 East Mississippian – 74 37 111 85 9.4 50 4.7 West Slave Point 28 20 48 170 8.2 100 8.2 Carbonate Montney 12 8 20 630 12.6 100 12.6 635 95.7 67.0* *Note: includes 9.2 mmboe of booked reserves • Non-contingent development drilling inventory is drill-ready • Well defined production and capital profiles • Third Party activity is actively de-risking off-setting contingent locations • Incremental potential exists at Fireweed and Sawn Lake to double location tallies beyond that represented above 42
  • 43. Extensive Land Base NAL Access Lands (Gross Acres) NAL Undeveloped Access Lands (Gross Acres) 195,000 294,000 Developed BC 271,000 955,000 Undeveloped Alberta 919,000 747,000 JV Saskatchewan • 2.2 million gross acres • 1.2 million gross acres Note: Excludes Approx 950,000 Acres (Gross) of undifferentiated Developed and Undeveloped Lands 43
  • 44. Summary & Key Messages
  • 45. Summary & Key Messages Attractive Sustainable relative business valuation model Increasing Capital liquids focused in volumes core areas 45
  • 47. Experienced Management Team Andrew Wiswell President & CEO Keith Steeves Vacant Angele Mullins John Kanik John Koyanagi Clayton Paradis VP Finance & CFO VP Ops & COO Director, HR Director, Marketing VP Business Dev. Director, IR Tracy Heck David Allen Alex Tworo Controller Director, E&D A&D Geology Jim Van Camp Saskatchewan BU Lance Berg Sylvan Lake BU Darcy Reding Western BU Tim Brandenborg Non-Operated BU Darcy Erickson Drilling & Completions Deric Orton Director, Land 47
  • 48. Strategic Partnership with Manulife Manulife: • Direct investor in oil and gas assets since NAL Resources Management 1990 • Long term investment horizon (manages 46,500 boe/d) • Desire to increase investment Terms of Administrative Cost Sharing Agreement: NAL Energy Manulife • No management or acquisition fees • Shared G&A costs 28,500 18,000 • Independently controlled board boe/d boe/d • Long term contract - 90 day NAL Energy exit option 65% of assets are common Benefits: 90% are operated • Enhanced technical/financial capability • Broad market view & investment discipline • Financial partner in transactions 48
  • 49. Non-Taxable For Many Years Available Tax Pools $ MM Canadian Exploration Expense 91 Canadian Development Expense 442 Canadian Oil & Gas Property Expense 417 Undepreciated Capital Costs 261 Other (including loss carry forwards) 328 Total 1,539 Note: as at September 30, 2011 49
  • 50. NAL Shareholder Analysis Income Focused High Canadian Ownership Institutional Presence Foreign Manulife 3% 1% U.S. 22% Institutional 41% Retail Canadian 58% 75% Note: As at September 30, 2011 50
  • 51. Available Credit Lines Credit Lines ($MM) 2011 Bank of Montreal* 145 $247 MM of credit Royal Bank of Canada 110 available as at Sept. 30th CIBC 87.5 Bank of Nova Scotia 87.5 Alberta Treasury Branch 40 National Bank Financial 40 Union Bank of California 40 Total 550 * Includes $15 million of working capital facility 51
  • 52. Hedging Programs Manage Risk • Objective - Protect cash flow for the purposes of sustaining dividends and maintaining an active capital program • Board approval: maximum of 60% of net revenue • Counterparties: all Canadian chartered banks 52
  • 53. 2012 Hedging Program • Crude oil hedges: • 67% of 2012 oil volumes • Average floor price of US$ 97.42/bbl • Natural gas hedges: • 12% of 2012 gas volumes • Average floor price of C$ 4.05/GJ • Interest rate: • 30 – 35% of 2012 bank debt @ 1.71%* • Foreign Exchange: • 45% of 2012 US$ exposure @ 1.01(70% collared to 1.045) * All in bank interest rate 5.1% after bank fees 53
  • 54. Crude Oil Hedge Positions Crude Oil Hedge Contracts as at 1/5/2012 Q1-12 Q2-12 Q3-12 Q4-12 US$ Collar Contracts $US WTI Collar Volume (b/d) 900 900 700 700 Bought Puts – Average Strike Price ($US/bbl) 101.11 101.11 101.43 101.43 Sold Calls – Average Strike Price ($US/bbl) 117.07 117.07 117.66 117.66 US$ Swap Contracts $US WTI Swap Volume (b/d)* 6,950 6,950 6,750 6,750 Average WTI Swap Price ($US/bbl) 97.03 97.03 96.93 96.93 Cdn$ Collar Contracts $Cdn WTI Collar Volume (b/d) Bought Puts – Average Strike Price ($Cdn/bbl) Sold Calls – Average Strike Price ($Cdn/bbl) Cdn$ Swap Contracts $Cdn WTI Swap Volume (b/d) Average WTI Swap Price ($Cdn/bbl) Total Volume (b/d) 7,850 7,850 7,450 7,450 Note: All counterparties are Canadian banks in our syndicate. • For calendar 2012, there are 4 swap contracts for a total of 1,250 bbl/d at an average price of $100.96, that contain extendable call options. These options provide the counterparty with the right to extend the contract into calendar 2013 under the same price and volumetric terms. The counterparty can exercise this option anytime before December 31, 2012. 54
  • 55. Natural Gas Hedge Positions Natural Gas Hedge Contracts as at 1/5/2012 Q1-12 Q2-12 Q3-12 Q4-12 Collar Contracts AECO Collar Volume (GJ/d) Bought Puts – AECO Average Strike Price ($Cdn/GJ) Sold Calls – AECO Average Strike Price ($Cdn/GJ) Swap Contracts AECO Swap Volume (GJ/d) 24,000 5,000 5,000 3,674 AECO Average Price ($Cdn/GJ) 3.98 4.16 4.16 4.17 Total Volume (GJ/d) 24,000 5,000 5,000 3,674 Note: All counterparties are Canadian banks in our syndicate. 55
  • 56. Interest Rate Hedge Positions Financial Interest Rate Swap Contracts as at 1/5/2012 Remaining Term Notional (Cdn $MM) Floating Rate Fixed Rate (Receive) (Pay) Oct 2011– Jan 2013 22 CAD-BA-CDOR 3 month 1.3850% Oct 2011– Jan 2014 22 CAD-BA-CDOR 3 month 1.5100% Oct 2011 – Mar 2013 14 CAD-BA-CDOR 3 month 1.8500% Oct 2011 – Mar 2013 14 CAD-BA-CDOR 3 month 1.8750% Oct 2011 – Mar 2014 14 CAD-BA-CDOR 3 month 1.9300% Oct 2011 – Mar 2014 14 CAD-BA-CDOR 3 month 1.9850% Total Notional (Cdn $) 100* * Fixed approximately 30% of floating bank debt ($325MM average for 2012e) Note: All counterparties are Canadian banks in our syndicate. 56
  • 57. Foreign Exchange Hedge Positions Notional (US) per Term Counterparty Floating Rate Option Fixing Range month (USD/CAD) 0.97 – 1.04 $1.0 MM Jan 1, 2012 to Dec 31, 2012 BofC Monthly Average Noon Rate When the monthly average noon spot foreign exchange rate exceeds the fixing range, NAL is committed to selling the above listed USD at the lower fixing rate for that month. To the extent the monthly average spot foreign exchange rate is below the lower fixing rate, NAL has a commitment to sell the above listed USD at the lower fixing rate. When the monthly average noon spot foreign exchange rate falls within the fixing range, NAL has no commitment to sell USD. Option Payout Range Notional (US) per Term Counterparty Floating Rate Monthly (USD/CAD) month Premium Received 0.93 - 1.01 $2.0 MM Jan 1, 2012 to Dec 31, 2012 BofC Monthly Average Noon Rate CAD $40K 0.90 - 1.15 $1.0 MM Jan 1, 2013 to Sept 30, 2013 BofC Monthly Average Noon Rate CAD $40K When the monthly average noon spot foreign exchange rate is outside the payout range, the monthly premium is forfeited. NAL is committed to selling the above listed USD at the upper payout range value for that month when the average noon spot foreign exchange rate exceeds the payout range. Fade-in Level Strike Price Participation Level Notional (US) Term Counterparty Floating Rate (USD/CAD) (USD/CAD) (USD/CAD) per month 0.92 0.985 1.03 $2.0 MM Jan 1, 2012 to Dec 31, 2012 BofC Monthly Average Noon Rate 0.91 1.0075 1.05 $1.5 MM Jan 1, 2012 to Dec 31, 2012 BofC Monthly Average Noon Rate 0.935 1.00 1.05 $0.5 MM Jan 1, 2012 to Dec 31, 2012 BofC Monthly Average Noon Rate 0.92 1.012 1.0625 $0.5 MM Jan 1, 2012 to Dec 31, 2012 BofC Monthly Average Noon Rate 0.92 0.995 1.035 $1.0 MM Jan 1, 2012 to Dec 31, 2012 BofC Monthly Average Noon Rate 0.93 1.04 1.075 $0.5 MM Jan 1, 2012 to Dec 31, 2012 BofC Monthly Average Noon Rate 0.90 1.065 1.15 $1.0 MM Jan 1, 2013 to Sept 30, 2013 BofC Monthly Average Noon Rate NAL is fixed to sell USD on a monthly basis at the strike price. If the Bank of Canada monthly average noon rate is below the fade-in level or between the strike and participating level, NAL has no commitment to sell USD. Note: FX contracts as at 01/05/2012. 57
  • 58. Foreign Exchange Hedge Positions Fixed Rate Notional (US) Term Counterparty Floating Rate (USD/CAD) per month 0.9954 $2.0 MM Jan 1, 2012 to Dec 31, 2012 BofC Monthly Average Noon Rate 1.0565 $1.5 MM Jan 1, 2012 to Dec 31, 2012 BofC Monthly Average Noon Rate NAL has a monthly commitment to settle the above fixed rates against the Bank of Canada monthly average noon rate. Note: FX contracts as at 01/05/2012. 58
  • 59. 2012 Program: Half Cycle Play Metrics BTAX NPV @15 - Gross BTAX Payout (mnths) EUR per Well - Gross DCET Capital- Gross Approximate %WI Recycle Ratio (x) Netback ($/boe) 2012e Program F & D ($/boe) BTAX ROR (%) (mboe) % Gas ($MM) ($MM) Cochrane CRDM 65 3.5 - 3.7 200 - 300 21 12 - 20 60 3.5 - 5.0 1.7 - 6.0 30 - 200 8 - 36 16 Garr/ WWho CRDM 65 - 70 3.0 -3.3 160 20 20 75 4.0 1.4 - 1.7 34 - 40 24 - 30 15 Deep Basin Gas 20 - 70 3.0 - 6.0 300 - 550 60 - 94 9 - 14 20 - 35 2.0 - 4.0 0.6 - 2.0 20 - 50 22 - 40 10 Fireweed- MNTY 100 7.5 - 9.0 630 60 14 29 2.1 0.45 17 58 1 SW Williston MSSP 50 1.8 - 2.3 85 - 105 0 20 - 27 55 - 60 2.0 - 3.0 0.8 - 1.4 30 - 50 24 - 36 23 Greater Williston MSSP 35 - 100 1.2 - 1.7 60 - 70 0 - 10 18 - 28 70 - 85 2.5 - 4.0 0.9 - 1.9 45 - 190 12 - 24 22 Sawn Lake- SLVP 50 4.0 - 5.0 167 5 25 62 2.5 1.9 55 15 2 Other Oil 35 - 100 1.5 - 3.0 80 - 270 0 - 60 6 - 30 40 - 60 2.0 - 9.0 0.8 - 3.5 35 - 200 10 - 34 24 Misc. 11 Note: See Appendix for price assumptions 59
  • 60. Understanding Our Inventory Geoscience Professionals feeding Prospect Hopper Economic Prospect Proven Attributes Well Constrained by Mapping Positioning complete Un-Risked Tier 1 locations Tier 2 locations Tier 3 locations Inventory (n=2,750) Risk Execution Barriers Factors Failed Proof-of-concept Positioning Barriers 80% 50% 20% >100% ROR Drillable Immediately Drillable in Risked 20% ROR Near Term Drillable in Inventory Medium Term (n=1,150) 60
  • 61. Understanding Our Inventory • Drillable Inventory equals • 100% of Tier 1 Locations • Total Risked Inventory equals • 90% of Tier 1 locations plus • 50% of Tier 2 locations plus • 10% of Tier 3 locations • Contingent Inventory equals • Total Risked Inventory minus Drillable Inventory 61
  • 62. 2010 – Stable Reserves Performance • Reserves performance in the McDaniel report was stable and predictable • 109% total production replacement, approximately 90% through the drill bit • 3 yr average F&D of $18.80/boe; FD&A of $21.86/boe 62
  • 63. Reserves & Capital Efficiency Summary 2010 2009 Reserves (MMboe) Proved 71.0 70.91 Proved + Probable (“P+P) 103.9 102.21 P+P Reserves/sh (boe/sh) 0.71 0.74 RLI (years) P+P 9.4 9.2 Reserves Replacement Ratio P+P (excluding A&D) 90% 131% P+P (including A&D) 109% 445% Three Year Weighted Average Including Changes in Future Development Capital 2010 2009 2008 2008 – 2010 Finding & Development Costs ($/boe) Proved 21.41 18.52 14.18 17.92 P+P 22.60 17.86 16.24 18.80 F&D Recycle Ratio(3) Proved 1.4 1.7 3.0 1.9 P+P 1.3 1.8 2.6 1.8 Finding, Development & Acquisition Costs ($/boe) Proved 22.37 27.87 19.41 24.77 P+P 22.85 22.33 19.66 21.86 63
  • 64. Conservatively Booked Reserves PDP reserves represent a high percentage of total proved 80,000 85% 86% 70,000 60,000 94% 95% 50,000 93% 94% Mboe 40,000 30,000 96% 20,000 10,000 0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 PROVED PRODUCING 64
  • 65. Conservatively Booked Reserves Probables represent a low percentage of total P+P reserves 120,000 31% 32% 100,000 28% 80,000 27% 30% 30% Mboe 60,000 29% 40,000 20,000 0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 PROVED PROBABLE 65
  • 66. Stable Reserves Per Share Performance Stable reserves per share performance reinvesting approximately 59% of cash flow 0.70 0.60 0.50 Mboe / 000 units 0.40 0.30 0.20 0.10 0.00 2007 2008 2009 2010 Note: DARPU calculated using year-end reserves, net debt, convertibles and units outstanding. Net debt converted to units using annual average unit price. Converts converted to units at strike price 66
  • 67. Stable Production Per Share Performance Stable production per share performance reinvesting approximately 59% of cash flow 120 35,000 100 30,000 80 Production (boe/d) boe / 000 units 25,000 60 20,000 40 15,000 20 0 10,000 2007 2008 2009 2010 P+P Reserves Per Unit Annual Average Production Note: Production per unit calculated using annual average production and annual average units outstanding. This metric is not debt-adjusted given complications in calculating average annual debt figures. 67
  • 68. 2012 Sensitivities on FFO Impact on FFO – Excluding Hedges Change ($MM) $/share WTI ($US/bbl) $5.00 16.9 0.11 AECO ($C/GJ) $0.50 14.4 0.09 FX (CAD/US) $0.01 3.4 0.02 Prime Rate 1.0% 3.4 0.02 Production (bbl/d) 100 2.1 0.01 Production (mmcf/d) 1 0.4 0.003 Oil Differential 1.0% 3.9 0.03 Gas Differential 1.0% 0.9 0.01 Note: Excludes impact of hedge contracts 68
  • 69. 2012 Sensitivities on FFO Impact on FFO – Including Hedges ($MM) $/share WTI ($US/bbl) $5.00 2.9 0.02 AECO ($C/GJ) $0.50 12.7 0.08 FX (CAD/US) $0.01 2.3 0.02 Prime Rate 1.0% 2.4 0.02 Note: Includes impact of hedge contracts 69
  • 70. Economic Evaluation Price Assumptions Edmonton Par ($C/bbl) AECO Gas ($C/GJ) 2012 88.95 3.50 2013 92.00 3.90 2014 93.98 4.15 2015 95.96 4.40 2016 97.94 4.65 Thereafter +2%/year +2%/year 70
  • 71. Sell-side Research Analyst Firm Recommen Gordon Tait BMO Capital Markets Market Grant Hofer Barclays Capital Unde Jeremy Kaliel CIBC World Markets Sector Outpe Kevin C.H. Lo FirstEnergy Capital Market Stacey McDonald GMP Securities Cristina Lopez Macquarie Capital Kyle Preston National Bank Financial Out Jeff Martin Peters & Co. Sector Kristopher Zack Raymond James Market Mark Friesen RBC Capital Markets Sector Gordon Currie Salman Partners Patrick Bryden Scotia Capital Sector Michael Zuk Stifel Nicolaus Travis Wood TD Securities 71
  • 72. New Cardium Land Deal Increases Inventory • New four year deal finalized January 2012 • Net $6MM commitment per year • Access to 280 (182 net) sections of Cardium prospective land directly offsetting existing Garrington/Westward Ho acreage • Adds 50 new drillable Cardium locations plus future upside 72
  • 73. Corporate Information EXECUTIVE TEAM TRUSTEE AND TRANSFER AGENT Andrew Wiswell President & CEO Computershare Trust Company of Canada Keith Steeves VP Finance & CFO AUDITOR John Koyanagi VP Business Development KPMG ENGINEERING CONSULTANTS INVESTOR RELATIONS McDaniel & Associates Clayton Paradis Director, Investor Relations LEGAL COUNSEL Local: (403) 294-3620 Bennett Jones LLP Toll-free: (888) 223.8792 STOCK EXCHANGE LISTING E-mail: investor.relations@nal.ca & SYMBOL Toronto Stock Exchange: NAE EXECUTIVE OFFICE 1000 – 550 6th Avenue SW, Calgary, Alberta, T2P 0S2 Website: www.nalenergy.com 73