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Carpe Diem
Living in a Post-Durbin World
                                                             Royal Cole
                                Financial Institution Services President
Flow of Today’s Discussion
• Overview of Credit Unions in Current Financial
  Environment

• Steps to Success

• Opportunities for Growth Post-Durbin

• Emerging Marketplace

• Implications for Credit Unions

• Conclusions




                             2
Overview
Improving Signs Will Accelerate
Credit Unions’ Growth Opportunities
  Consumer sentiment is up


  Unemployment is moving downward (although slowly)



  Consumers report higher satisfaction level with Credit Unions



  Once-in-a-lifetime growth opportunity for Credit Unions




                                 4
Overview
                                                            Consumer Confidence Index                                                                                                                                                                                       Total Unemployed & Underemployed Rate
                                                                              (The Conference Board)                                                                                                                                                            18%
100
90                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              16%
80
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                14%
70
60
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                12%
50
40                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              10%
30
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 8%
20
10                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               6%
 0
                                 Jun'08




                                                                                       Jun'09




                                                                                                                                                         Jun'10




                                                                                                                                                                                                               Jun'11
               Feb'08




                                                                     Feb'09




                                                                                                                           Feb'10




                                                                                                                                                                                             Feb'11




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Feb'12
                        Apr'08



                                                   Oct'08



                                                                              Apr'09



                                                                                                         Oct'09



                                                                                                                                                Apr'10



                                                                                                                                                                           Oct'10



                                                                                                                                                                                                      Apr'11



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Oct'11
      Dec'07




                                          Aug'08


                                                            Dec'08




                                                                                                Aug'09


                                                                                                                  Dec'09




                                                                                                                                                                  Aug'10


                                                                                                                                                                                    Dec'10




                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Aug'11


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Dec'11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Unemployment                 Underemployment

                                                                                                                                                                                                 Total Debt vs. % Revolving Debt
                                                                                                                                                      2,600                                                                                                                            39%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       38%
                                                                                                                                                      2,550
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       37%
                                                                                                                              Total Debt (billions)




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             % Revolving Debt
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       36%
                                                                                                                                                      2,500
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       35%
                                                                                                                                                      2,450                                                                                                                            34%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       33%
                                                                                                                                                      2,400
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       32%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       31%
                                                                                                                                                      2,350
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       30%
                                                                                                                                                      2,300                                                                                                                            29%



                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Total Debt                          % Revolving Debt

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            5
Overview




           6
Overview

  According to J.D. Power and Associates,
  9.6% of customers switched their primary
  banking relationship during the past year.

             The main reasons…


       Fees and Poor Service

                      7
Overview
Gen Y Satisfaction with Service: 2011 vs. 2010




        Gen Y:
        • In their 20’s and early 30’s
        • Familiar with new media and technology
        • Hyper-networked: rely on each other’s opinions
        • Credit Union satisfaction index at 83%

                              8
Overview
Opportunity to Grow Mind - and Market - Share

   Traditional Credit Union high member satisfaction level
   represents a leverage point in this environment



   Large Banks experiencing negative press and organized
   consumer backlash post-Durbin



   Momentum from Bank Transfer Day




                                 9
Negative Press Can Take Different
Forms




                 10
Unintended Consequences
Post- Durbin
“Even though we are not at $10B in Assets (YET), the
Durbin Amendment has impacted us in several ways. We
are projecting an annual reduction of more than $500,000
in interchange income (mainly from card organization
interchange modifications and merchant routing). And we
were forced to add an unaffiliated secondary network.”



    Bob Marquette - Members 1st FCU,
      Mechanicsburg, PA

                           11
Durbin Amendment Major Provisions
     Debit        ▪ Fed to set debit interchange for issuers
     inter-
                        with $10B+ in assets
     change
     rate         ▪     Takes effect 12 months from enactment


                  ▪ Prepaid cards are exempt from debit interchange
     Prepaid   regulation unless
     economics
                  ▪ Issuers can charge cardholders overdraft fees or a
                        fee for the first in-network ATM withdrawal per month
                                                                                                Durbin
                                                                                               Amendment
                  ▪ Debit card issuers must issue cards that allow
    Network     authorization via more than one network operator
    exclusivity
                  ▪ Network agreements cannot restrict merchant’s
                        routing of debit authorizations


                    ▪ Merchants can discount based on method of payment;
    Merchant            prohibits discrimination by network or issuer
    steering        ▪   Merchants may set a $10 minimum for credit card
                        purchases; prohibits discrimination by network or issuer
SOURCE: Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act of 2010; McKinsey analysis
                                                                                                           1
                                                                                                           2
Impact of Durbin Amendment
• The amendment is supposed to provide consumers with greater
  benefits and lower costs, but we have yet to see that happen
• Most banks have eliminated or reduced debit card rewards
  programs.
  • Looking at new account fees to offset lost debit card revenues.
• According to a recent Ipsos Public Affairs survey, just 7% of
  respondents believe most retailers are passing their savings on
  to consumers.
• Total loss of revenue is estimated at $8B; for small ticket items
  the merchant is actually disadvantaged due to flat rate pricing.
  • In the 4th quarter of 2011 interchange revenue fell by 26% to
    $6.2B
• The amendment also requires two unaffiliated payment
    networks for each debit card (for pin and signature).
Overview
Play to Win           Member
                     Satisfaction




        Appealing
                      Credit
        to Young
         People
                      Union         Low Fees

                    Strengths

                       Mobile
                       Apps



                          14
Overview
• The landscape is shifting, particularly with
 younger consumers
       Core Consumers
       Emerging Consumers

• Credit unions have built a solid platform of
 strategic assets for growth
       Phenomenal brand equity
       Real performance, not just empty words

• What got you here won’t get you there



                           15
Steps to Success
Steps to Success
                  Drive Market
                  Share Growth

                   Know the
                  Competitive
                  Environment

                    Incent the
                 Right Behaviors


         Segment Your Customers; Turning
                Data Into Action


            Understand Your Portfolio




                       17
Understand Your Portfolio

                       Develop Card Groups
                        • Any available
                          demographic or
                          performance information:
                              Last activity
                              High/Low users
                              Transaction type
                              Account type - Card
                              or Checking
                              Branch locations
                              VIP
                              And many more….
                        • TAKE ACTION!




                 18
TAKE ACTION!




               19
Segment Your Customers



                     Benchmark Performance
                     • Control Group
                     • Prior to Campaign
                     • During Campaign
                     • Post Campaign




               20
Turning Data into Action


  “There has been a shift in the nature of
  added value - it’s now leaning toward
  analytics and data visualization, and the
  ability to turn data into action.”
                —From Enterprise Data Management
                       Trade Association




                      21
Turning Data into Action
Analyze Your Portfolio (Credit, Debit and Prepaid):

      Have a 360º lens into your portfolio



      Incent desired behaviors



      Identify member behaviors you want to modify



      Incorporate external AND internal data




                                 22
Incenting the Right Behaviors
Understand Which Members / Relationships
Have the Highest Potential:
                       Deep Dive Into
                         Portfolio




          Incent the                     Identify
                                        Potentially
            Right                       Profitable
          Behaviors                     Members




                       Test and Learn


                             23
Gaining Market Share
Opportunity
  Consumer Worst Fears:

     Unauthorized Charges (86%),


     Unexpected Fees (84%),


     Being Charged by Store for Payment Method (80%),


     Being Declined (77%)

                   From the Vantiv/Mercator Insight Series Research, February 2012



                                    24
Opportunities for Growth Post-Durbin


                  Gen Y


            Big
           Bank
           Fees
                          Products
                            and
                         innovation




                    25
Opportunities for Growth Post-Durbin

• Market players are jockeying to take
  advantage of the new market environment
       Too soon to pick winners and losers


• Brand assets position Credit Unions
  perfectly to be winners




                       26
Opportunities for Growth
 Attract New Members

                   •   Branch
     Traditional   •   Web
                   •   Direct Marketing
     Channels
                   •   Call Center


                       •   Mobile
      Emerging         •   Text
                       •   Social Media
      Channels
                       •   Email



                             27
Opportunities for Growth
 Attract New Members

     Traditional   • Credit
                   • Auto Loans
     Channels      • Small Business Services



                    •   Prepaid
      Emerging      •   Debit Rewards
                    •   Personal Financial Mgmt
      Channels      •   Mobile Banking




                           28
Opportunities for Growth


 “The goal is to get members in when they’re
 young and make sure they’re satisfied with the
 two most basic products—checking and savings
 accounts. Then, through continued education,
 we can be there when they’re ready for, say, a
 mortgage.”
             —Jenn Cloud, Vantage Credit Union’s
              Young & Free Spokesperson




                          29
Opportunities for Growth –
Consumers and Small Business

             Develop Acquisition Strategies

    Be local:
                   Learn about                        Strengthen
    Leverage
                       their            Develop      relationship;
  institutional
                  concerns and        leading edge   communicate
   strength at
                    become a             product       trust and
       the
                     trusted            offerings      reliability
   grassroots
                     advisor
      level




                                 30
Emerging Trends
Emerging Players
Competition


                 •   Prepaid Cards
      Today’s    •   Web Banking
     Channels    •   Green Dot
                 •   On-line Banks


                     •   PayPal
       New           •   Facebook
      Entrants       •   Google
                     •   Apple



                           32
Implications
Implications
 Be Prepared for Change:
   • Look over the horizon
       Anticipate change
       Drive strategies to adapt and grow
       Use analytics to focus on the future


   • Evolve your member base
       Grow profitable members
       Identify and attract new profitable
       members

   • Seek new solutions for growth
       New opportunities require new
       approaches
       Evolve solution mix with new partners
                               34
Implications
 Be Prepared for Change:
  Have you built mobile technologies
  and social media into your future
  growth strategies?


  How about…
     • Prepaid
     • Data Rewards
     • Personal Financial Management
     • Mobile Banking

                         35
Conclusions
Conclusions
Carpe Diem:

    Entice younger consumers to become members


    Invest in Mobile

    Remember the Steps to Success
    (Understand your Portfolio, Segment Your Customers, Know the Competitive
    Environment, and Gain Market Share)


    Don’t forget Small Businesses


    Don’t ignore the new product landscape and new entrants



                                          37

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  • 1. Carpe Diem Living in a Post-Durbin World Royal Cole Financial Institution Services President
  • 2. Flow of Today’s Discussion • Overview of Credit Unions in Current Financial Environment • Steps to Success • Opportunities for Growth Post-Durbin • Emerging Marketplace • Implications for Credit Unions • Conclusions 2
  • 4. Improving Signs Will Accelerate Credit Unions’ Growth Opportunities Consumer sentiment is up Unemployment is moving downward (although slowly) Consumers report higher satisfaction level with Credit Unions Once-in-a-lifetime growth opportunity for Credit Unions 4
  • 5. Overview Consumer Confidence Index Total Unemployed & Underemployed Rate (The Conference Board) 18% 100 90 16% 80 14% 70 60 12% 50 40 10% 30 8% 20 10 6% 0 Jun'08 Jun'09 Jun'10 Jun'11 Feb'08 Feb'09 Feb'10 Feb'11 Feb'12 Apr'08 Oct'08 Apr'09 Oct'09 Apr'10 Oct'10 Apr'11 Oct'11 Dec'07 Aug'08 Dec'08 Aug'09 Dec'09 Aug'10 Dec'10 Aug'11 Dec'11 Unemployment Underemployment Total Debt vs. % Revolving Debt 2,600 39% 38% 2,550 37% Total Debt (billions) % Revolving Debt 36% 2,500 35% 2,450 34% 33% 2,400 32% 31% 2,350 30% 2,300 29% Total Debt % Revolving Debt 5
  • 7. Overview According to J.D. Power and Associates, 9.6% of customers switched their primary banking relationship during the past year. The main reasons… Fees and Poor Service 7
  • 8. Overview Gen Y Satisfaction with Service: 2011 vs. 2010 Gen Y: • In their 20’s and early 30’s • Familiar with new media and technology • Hyper-networked: rely on each other’s opinions • Credit Union satisfaction index at 83% 8
  • 9. Overview Opportunity to Grow Mind - and Market - Share Traditional Credit Union high member satisfaction level represents a leverage point in this environment Large Banks experiencing negative press and organized consumer backlash post-Durbin Momentum from Bank Transfer Day 9
  • 10. Negative Press Can Take Different Forms 10
  • 11. Unintended Consequences Post- Durbin “Even though we are not at $10B in Assets (YET), the Durbin Amendment has impacted us in several ways. We are projecting an annual reduction of more than $500,000 in interchange income (mainly from card organization interchange modifications and merchant routing). And we were forced to add an unaffiliated secondary network.” Bob Marquette - Members 1st FCU, Mechanicsburg, PA 11
  • 12. Durbin Amendment Major Provisions Debit ▪ Fed to set debit interchange for issuers inter- with $10B+ in assets change rate ▪ Takes effect 12 months from enactment ▪ Prepaid cards are exempt from debit interchange Prepaid regulation unless economics ▪ Issuers can charge cardholders overdraft fees or a fee for the first in-network ATM withdrawal per month Durbin Amendment ▪ Debit card issuers must issue cards that allow Network authorization via more than one network operator exclusivity ▪ Network agreements cannot restrict merchant’s routing of debit authorizations ▪ Merchants can discount based on method of payment; Merchant prohibits discrimination by network or issuer steering ▪ Merchants may set a $10 minimum for credit card purchases; prohibits discrimination by network or issuer SOURCE: Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act of 2010; McKinsey analysis 1 2
  • 13. Impact of Durbin Amendment • The amendment is supposed to provide consumers with greater benefits and lower costs, but we have yet to see that happen • Most banks have eliminated or reduced debit card rewards programs. • Looking at new account fees to offset lost debit card revenues. • According to a recent Ipsos Public Affairs survey, just 7% of respondents believe most retailers are passing their savings on to consumers. • Total loss of revenue is estimated at $8B; for small ticket items the merchant is actually disadvantaged due to flat rate pricing. • In the 4th quarter of 2011 interchange revenue fell by 26% to $6.2B • The amendment also requires two unaffiliated payment networks for each debit card (for pin and signature).
  • 14. Overview Play to Win Member Satisfaction Appealing Credit to Young People Union Low Fees Strengths Mobile Apps 14
  • 15. Overview • The landscape is shifting, particularly with younger consumers Core Consumers Emerging Consumers • Credit unions have built a solid platform of strategic assets for growth Phenomenal brand equity Real performance, not just empty words • What got you here won’t get you there 15
  • 17. Steps to Success Drive Market Share Growth Know the Competitive Environment Incent the Right Behaviors Segment Your Customers; Turning Data Into Action Understand Your Portfolio 17
  • 18. Understand Your Portfolio Develop Card Groups • Any available demographic or performance information: Last activity High/Low users Transaction type Account type - Card or Checking Branch locations VIP And many more…. • TAKE ACTION! 18
  • 20. Segment Your Customers Benchmark Performance • Control Group • Prior to Campaign • During Campaign • Post Campaign 20
  • 21. Turning Data into Action “There has been a shift in the nature of added value - it’s now leaning toward analytics and data visualization, and the ability to turn data into action.” —From Enterprise Data Management Trade Association 21
  • 22. Turning Data into Action Analyze Your Portfolio (Credit, Debit and Prepaid): Have a 360º lens into your portfolio Incent desired behaviors Identify member behaviors you want to modify Incorporate external AND internal data 22
  • 23. Incenting the Right Behaviors Understand Which Members / Relationships Have the Highest Potential: Deep Dive Into Portfolio Incent the Identify Potentially Right Profitable Behaviors Members Test and Learn 23
  • 24. Gaining Market Share Opportunity Consumer Worst Fears: Unauthorized Charges (86%), Unexpected Fees (84%), Being Charged by Store for Payment Method (80%), Being Declined (77%) From the Vantiv/Mercator Insight Series Research, February 2012 24
  • 25. Opportunities for Growth Post-Durbin Gen Y Big Bank Fees Products and innovation 25
  • 26. Opportunities for Growth Post-Durbin • Market players are jockeying to take advantage of the new market environment Too soon to pick winners and losers • Brand assets position Credit Unions perfectly to be winners 26
  • 27. Opportunities for Growth Attract New Members • Branch Traditional • Web • Direct Marketing Channels • Call Center • Mobile Emerging • Text • Social Media Channels • Email 27
  • 28. Opportunities for Growth Attract New Members Traditional • Credit • Auto Loans Channels • Small Business Services • Prepaid Emerging • Debit Rewards • Personal Financial Mgmt Channels • Mobile Banking 28
  • 29. Opportunities for Growth “The goal is to get members in when they’re young and make sure they’re satisfied with the two most basic products—checking and savings accounts. Then, through continued education, we can be there when they’re ready for, say, a mortgage.” —Jenn Cloud, Vantage Credit Union’s Young & Free Spokesperson 29
  • 30. Opportunities for Growth – Consumers and Small Business Develop Acquisition Strategies Be local: Learn about Strengthen Leverage their Develop relationship; institutional concerns and leading edge communicate strength at become a product trust and the trusted offerings reliability grassroots advisor level 30
  • 32. Emerging Players Competition • Prepaid Cards Today’s • Web Banking Channels • Green Dot • On-line Banks • PayPal New • Facebook Entrants • Google • Apple 32
  • 34. Implications Be Prepared for Change: • Look over the horizon Anticipate change Drive strategies to adapt and grow Use analytics to focus on the future • Evolve your member base Grow profitable members Identify and attract new profitable members • Seek new solutions for growth New opportunities require new approaches Evolve solution mix with new partners 34
  • 35. Implications Be Prepared for Change: Have you built mobile technologies and social media into your future growth strategies? How about… • Prepaid • Data Rewards • Personal Financial Management • Mobile Banking 35
  • 37. Conclusions Carpe Diem: Entice younger consumers to become members Invest in Mobile Remember the Steps to Success (Understand your Portfolio, Segment Your Customers, Know the Competitive Environment, and Gain Market Share) Don’t forget Small Businesses Don’t ignore the new product landscape and new entrants 37