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V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




REBOOT 2020
 Sander Duivestein
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




    0
INTRODUCTION
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




 We are all interested in the FUTURE       , for that is
where you and I are going to spend the rest of our lives.
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




    1
ME THE MEDIA
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




RISE OF THE CONVERSATION SOCIETY
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




1440
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




1605
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




1804
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




1840
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




1875
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




1878
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




1880
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




1885
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




1895
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




1903
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




1904
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




1906
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




1946
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




1989
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




2001
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




2007
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




2009
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




2010
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




TECHNOLOGY accelerates SOCIETY
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




TIMES are CHANGING
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




 the single most frequent failure in the history of
forecasting has been grossly underestimating the
    IMPACT OF TECHNOLOGIES
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




RESISTANCE is FUTILE
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




We are moving from the MECHANICAL
                                AGE OF
SPEED into the DIGITAL AGE OF REAL TIME.
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




PEOPLE are now in CONTROL
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




MARKETS are CONVERSATIONS
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




from   MASS MEDIA to MEDIA MESS
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




SOCIAL MEDIA is the new DIAL TONE
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




           2
COLLABORATION IN THE CLOUD
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




VALUE CHAIN 2.0
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




It is not the strongest of
the species that
survives, nor the most
intelligent that survives.
It is the one that is
MOST ADAPTABLE TO
CHANGE.
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




NEW NATURE of the FIRM
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




    3
DON’T BE EVIL
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




Water    1768   1793   1829
Steam    1829   1848   1873
Oil      1875   1893   1918
Energy   1908   1929   1974
ICT      1971   2008     ?
NBIC
GDP
                                               ICT
                                   Energy
                                                       6
                          Oil
                                               5
                                       4
           Steam
                          3            1971
Water
               2                1908

  1                1875
                                   Atoms      Bits
        1829
1771
                                                     Time
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




 We are moving away from a world of

ATOMS towards a world of BITS
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




DATA is the NEW OIL
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




PRIVACY is the new ATOMIC BOMB
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




CITIZEN JOURNALISM
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




REALTIME is the new PRIME TIME
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




   4
WE THE WEB
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




FUTURE of the WEB
WEB OF PAGES   WEB OF PEOPLE   WEB OF THE WORLD
 LINK GRAPH    SOCIAL GRAPH     INTEREST GRAPH
   GOOGLE        FACEBOOK          TWITTER
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends
Reboot 2020
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




BIG DATA
DIKW+ HIERARCHY

                                    ENLIGHTENMENT    HOW CAN I MAKE IT HAPPEN?
UNDERSTANDING  CONTEXT



                          FUTURE
                                       WISDOM        WHAT IS LIKELY TO HAPPEN?


                                      KNOWLEDGE      WHAT IS HAPPENING?
                          PAST




                                     INFORMATION     WHY DID IT HAPPEN?


                                        DATA         WHAT HAPPENED?
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




     5
THE RIGHT BRAIN
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




      When people understand that this
    GENERATION GAP is really a
TECHNOLOGICAL GAP, it will help them
   to get things in some sort of order again.
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




THE LAST GENERATION
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




We shape our tools and thereafter
OUR TOOLS SHAPE US.
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




HOMO HABILIS      HOMO ERECTUS         HOMO SAPIENS



         650 CC              1075 CC                1425 CC

  2.500.000       1.800.000 – 70.000     250.000
    Tools                Fire            Speech
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




THE RIGHT BRAIN
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




   6
CONCLUSION
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




THE APP EFFECT
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




TECHNOLOGY is an EXTENSION OF MAN
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




SINGULARITY is NEAR
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




INNOVATE and EXPERIMENT
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




QUESTIONS
V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends




@duivestein
+31 6 250 260 20

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Reboot 2020

  • 1. V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends REBOOT 2020 Sander Duivestein
  • 2. V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends 0 INTRODUCTION
  • 3. V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends
  • 4. V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends We are all interested in the FUTURE , for that is where you and I are going to spend the rest of our lives.
  • 5. V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends 1 ME THE MEDIA
  • 6. V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends RISE OF THE CONVERSATION SOCIETY
  • 7. V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends 1440
  • 8. V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends 1605
  • 9. V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends 1804
  • 10. V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends 1840
  • 11. V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends 1875
  • 12. V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends 1878
  • 13. V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends 1880
  • 14. V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends 1885
  • 15. V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends 1895
  • 16. V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends 1903
  • 17. V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends 1904
  • 18. V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends 1906
  • 19. V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends 1946
  • 20. V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends 1989
  • 21. V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends 2001
  • 22. V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends 2007
  • 23. V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends 2009
  • 24. V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends 2010
  • 25. V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends TECHNOLOGY accelerates SOCIETY
  • 26. V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends TIMES are CHANGING
  • 27. V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends the single most frequent failure in the history of forecasting has been grossly underestimating the IMPACT OF TECHNOLOGIES
  • 28. V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends RESISTANCE is FUTILE
  • 29. V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends We are moving from the MECHANICAL AGE OF SPEED into the DIGITAL AGE OF REAL TIME.
  • 30. V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends PEOPLE are now in CONTROL
  • 31. V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends MARKETS are CONVERSATIONS
  • 32. V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends from MASS MEDIA to MEDIA MESS
  • 33. V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends SOCIAL MEDIA is the new DIAL TONE
  • 34. V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends 2 COLLABORATION IN THE CLOUD
  • 35. V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends
  • 36. V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends VALUE CHAIN 2.0
  • 37. V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends It is not the strongest of the species that survives, nor the most intelligent that survives. It is the one that is MOST ADAPTABLE TO CHANGE.
  • 38. V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends NEW NATURE of the FIRM
  • 39. V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends
  • 40. V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends 3 DON’T BE EVIL
  • 41. V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends Water 1768 1793 1829 Steam 1829 1848 1873 Oil 1875 1893 1918 Energy 1908 1929 1974 ICT 1971 2008 ?
  • 42. NBIC GDP ICT Energy 6 Oil 5 4 Steam 3 1971 Water 2 1908 1 1875 Atoms Bits 1829 1771 Time
  • 43. V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends We are moving away from a world of ATOMS towards a world of BITS
  • 44. V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends DATA is the NEW OIL
  • 45. V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends PRIVACY is the new ATOMIC BOMB
  • 46. V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends
  • 47. V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends CITIZEN JOURNALISM
  • 48. V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends REALTIME is the new PRIME TIME
  • 49. V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends 4 WE THE WEB
  • 50. V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends FUTURE of the WEB
  • 51. WEB OF PAGES WEB OF PEOPLE WEB OF THE WORLD LINK GRAPH SOCIAL GRAPH INTEREST GRAPH GOOGLE FACEBOOK TWITTER
  • 52. V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends
  • 54. V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends BIG DATA
  • 55. DIKW+ HIERARCHY ENLIGHTENMENT HOW CAN I MAKE IT HAPPEN? UNDERSTANDING CONTEXT FUTURE WISDOM WHAT IS LIKELY TO HAPPEN? KNOWLEDGE WHAT IS HAPPENING? PAST INFORMATION WHY DID IT HAPPEN? DATA WHAT HAPPENED?
  • 56. V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends 5 THE RIGHT BRAIN
  • 57. V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends When people understand that this GENERATION GAP is really a TECHNOLOGICAL GAP, it will help them to get things in some sort of order again.
  • 58. V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends THE LAST GENERATION
  • 59. V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends
  • 60. V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends We shape our tools and thereafter OUR TOOLS SHAPE US.
  • 61. V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends HOMO HABILIS HOMO ERECTUS HOMO SAPIENS 650 CC 1075 CC 1425 CC 2.500.000 1.800.000 – 70.000 250.000 Tools Fire Speech
  • 62. V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends THE RIGHT BRAIN
  • 63. V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends 6 CONCLUSION
  • 64. V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends THE APP EFFECT
  • 65. V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends TECHNOLOGY is an EXTENSION OF MAN
  • 66. V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends SINGULARITY is NEAR
  • 67. V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends INNOVATE and EXPERIMENT
  • 68. V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends QUESTIONS
  • 69. V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends @duivestein +31 6 250 260 20