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Asphalt Manufacturing in the U.S.

February 1, 2009
Worldwide annual consumption of asphalt is at more than 100 million tons. In the United
States, generally 90% of liquid asphalt cement consumed is used for road paving and
approximately 10% is used for roofing products, with other specialty applications
accounting for only a very small fraction of consumption.

Though asphalt occurs naturally, the majority of today’s asphalt is produced as a
residual product of the crude oil refining process. Most refiners focus on refining more
expensive, lighter, “sweeter” crudes to produce the higher-value products such gasoline
and diesel fuel. In all, about two to three percent of all refined crude oil in the United
States becomes asphalt.

Most crude oil asphalt comes from less expensive, heavier, “sour” crude oils rather than
the more expensive lighter, sweet crude oils. For crude oil refiners asphalt accounts for
a much larger portion of the product refined.

Demand for asphalt is driven to a small degree by the private sector, but most demand
comes from federal, state, and local governments. Funding for highway and road
infrastructure construction and maintenance plays the largest role, but other public
sector projects such as airport runway and taxiway construction can also affect demand.
Since funding for highway and road construction and maintenance projects are often set
for several years, demand tends to remain rather constant growing more or less at the
rate of inflation. However, the recent prospect of massive infrastructure spending to
stimulate growth in the U.S. economy under the new Obama administration suggest
demand will likely increase significantly in the coming years.

Specialists in Business Information (SBI) estimates the U.S. market for liquid asphalt
cement totaled $11.7 billion in 2008, up 34% from $8.7 billion in 2007. This report
explains why, and forecasts what lies ahead for the asphalt industry from 2009 - 2013.

Scope of the Report

This SBI report contains data and analysis describing the U.S. market for asphalt. The
report focuses on the primary commodity market, refined liquid asphalt cement, and the
secondary product market, asphalt paving mixtures. In addition, limited data and
analysis are provided for the asphalt shingle and coating materials manufacturing
market (asphalt roofing products). Chapter 3 covers the liquid asphalt cement market
while Chapter 4 covers the asphalt paving mixtures and asphalt roofing products
market. SBI refers to the asphalt paving and roofing markets as the asphalt products
market. Chapter 5 covers the competitive landscape of asphalt refiners and blenders
with data and analysis on U.S. asphalt refining capacity and utilization including profiles
of major asphalt refiners, blenders, and paving mixture manufacturers. Chapter 6 looks
at economic and market trends affecting the asphalt industry. Included are an analysis
and forecast through 2009 of gross domestic product (GDP), an in-depth cost and price
analysis of various components of the asphalt market as well as the competing concrete
market, and a look at the shift to warm mix, eco-challenges and weather/seasonality
trends.. Finally, Chapter 7 provides a snapshot of the two end-user markets, asphalt
paving and asphalt roofing.



Additional Information

Market Insights: A Selection From The Report



Asphalt Demand
Demand for asphalt is driven to a small degree by the private sector, but most demand
comes from federal, state, and local governments. Funding for highway and road
infrastructure construction and maintenance plays the largest role, but other public
sector projects such as airport runway and taxiway construction can also affect demand.
Since funding for highway and road construction and maintenance projects are often set
for several years, demand tends to remain rather constant growing more or less at the
rate of inflation. However, the recent prospect of massive infrastructure spending to
stimulate growth in the U.S. economy under the new Obama administration suggest
demand will likely increase significantly in the coming years.

U.S. Market Nears $12 Billion
SBI estimates the U.S. market for liquid asphalt cement totaled $11.7 billion in 2008, up
34% from $8.7 billion in 2007. According to SBI estimates, this followed a relatively
modest decline in 2007 of six percent from the 2006 level of $9.3 billion and 44% gain
over the 2005 level of $6.4 billion. The remarkable rise in value of the market over these
few years came about as refiners began to cut back production of asphalt in favor of
higher-valued, highermargin refined products resulting in an asphalt shortage that drove
prices sharply higher. For the ten-year period between 1999 and 2008, the market grew
at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 16%, however, for the five-year period
2004-2008, growth was at a CAGR of 23%.

In the News
Asphalt Industry Big Winner in Obama Stimulus Plan

New York, January 28, 2009 - Thirty billion dollars is the current figure specified for
highway construction in the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act moving swiftly
toward signature by President Barack Obama. That’s a lot of asphalt!

The President’s commitment to a colossal investment in the nation’s road infrastructure
is further reinforced by the proposed National Infrastructure Reinvestment Bank that will
invest $60 billion over ten years and generate nearly two million new jobs. In the all-new
report, Asphalt Manufacturing in the U.S., industrial market research publisher SBI
estimates that as much as 28% of the proposed $60 billion will go towards increasing
paving projects across American roads.

SBI subsequently expects the domestic asphalt industry to surge over the next four
years and build on the nearly $12 billion the U.S. market for liquid asphalt cement
totaled in 2008, which was a 34% increase from almost $9 billion in 2007. Through
2013, SBI forecasts the U.S. liquid asphalt cement market will top $16 billion
accompanied by a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7%. Overall, the U.S.
asphalt products market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 10% through 2013 to over
$38 billion compared to almost $24 billion in 2008.

“The major infrastructure spending expected by the Obama administration and a
democratic Congress will mean greater demand for asphalt paving mixtures following
the passage of a bill, which we at SBI expect may happen as early as spring 2009. The
effects will be most noticeable in 2010 and beyond as state and local governments get
their hands on much needed funds for projects already on hold,” says SBI Associate
Publisher Shelley Carr.

Historically, the demand for asphalt is primarily driven by federal, state, and local
governments seeking to fund highways and road infrastructure construction and
maintenance.

Asphalt Manufacturing in the U.S. provides comprehensive market information for an
asphalt industry certain to benefit from President Barack Obama's determination to
create jobs in the U.S. quickly. Included are forecasts of what lies ahead for the asphalt
industry from 2009-2013. The report focuses on the primary commodity market (refined
liquid asphalt cement) and the secondary product market (asphalt paving mixtures).
Limited data and analysis are also provided for the asphalt shingle and coating
materials manufacturing market (asphalt roofing products).

About SBI
SBI (Specialists in Business Information) publishes research reports in the industrial,
energy, building/construction, automotive/transportation and packaging markets. SBI
also offers a full range of custom research services.
TABLE OF CONTENTS

Chapter 1: Executive Summary
      Scope of the Report
      Market Data Provided
      Methodology
      A Note on Measures Used
      Asphalt Production
      Asphalt Consumption
      Asphalt Applications
      Asphalt Supply
      Asphalt Demand
      Asphalt Economics
      Asphalt Distribution and Seasonality
The U.S. Liquid Asphalt Cement Market
      U.S. Market Nears $12 Billion
      Table 1-1: U.S. Liquid Asphalt Cement Value of Apparent Consumption and
      Year-over-Year Percentage Change, 1999-2008 (in millions of dollars)
      2008 Production Drops 14%
      Table 1-2: U.S. Liquid Asphalt Cement Apparent Consumption by Volume,
      Average Price per Barrel, and Year-over-Year Percentage Changes, 1999-2008
      (in millions of barrels)
      Liquid Asphalt Cement Market Forecast
      Crude Costs to Remain Below 2008 Levels
      Obama Administration Likely to Spend on Infrastructure
      Coker Unit Investments Slow
      2009 Production Increases Modest, Price Drops Significant
      Table 1-3: U.S. Liquid Asphalt Cement Value of Apparent Consumption Forecast
      and Year-over-Year Percentage Change, 2008-2013 (in millions of dollars)
      Consumption Growth at 8%, Prices Fluctuate
      Table 1-4: U.S. Liquid Asphalt Cement Apparent Consumption by Volume,
      Average Price per Barrel Forecasts, and Year-over-Year Percentage Changes,
      2008-2013 (in millions of barrels)
The U.S. Asphalt Products Market
      Asphalt Products Market Reaches $24 Billion
      Table 1-5: U.S. Asphalt Products’ Value of Apparent Consumption and Yearover-
      Year Percentage Change, 1999-2008 (in millions of dollars)
      Total Quantities on the Decline
      Prices on the Move Upward
      Table 1-6: U.S. Asphalt Products’ Apparent Consumption by Quantity, Average
      Price per Metric Ton, and Year-over-Year Percentage Changes, 1999-2008 (in
      thousand metric tons)
      Asphalt Products Market to Top $38 billion by 2013
      Paving Mixtures CAGR 14% by 2013
Table 1-7: U.S. Asphalt Products’ Market Forecast by Segment and Yearover-
     Year Percentage Changes: Asphalt Paving Mixtures and Shingle and Coating
     Materials, 2008-2013 (in millions of dollars)
Competitive Overview: Refiner Focus
     Fragmented and Regional Business Landscape
     Marathon Is Largest Refiner with 12% Share of Production Capacity
     Low Refiner Capacity Utilization
     Producers/Pavers Highly Fragmented
Economic & Marketplace Trends
     Real GDP Growth Projected at Negative 0.8% for 2009
     Figure 1-1: Percentage Changes in U.S. Current-Dollar GDP, Real GDP and the
     GDP Price Index, 2002-2008 (percentage)
     Asphalt Product Producer Prices Skyrocket
     Price Increases by Product
     Paving Products: Mixtures See 17% Gain in 2008
     Roofing Products See Relatively Modest Price Increases in 2008
     Asphalt Input Prices: Crude Up 75%+
     Coker Projects May Further Reduce Asphalt Supply
     Pavement Input Prices: Liquid Asphalt and Aggregate Up Overall 7%
     Other Asphalt Pavement Input Costs
     Higher Prices on Input Materials for Concrete
     Prices and Supply Jeopardizing Road Maintenance Budgets
     Warming Weather Trends Benefit Marketplace
     Re-Defining as a Green Industry
     Labor Shortages and Immigration to Hamper Road Building
     Warm Mix Asphalt Positioned to Usurp Hot Mix
End User Markets
     Paving Industry Consumes 93% Asphalt Plus
     Asphalt Roofing No Growth in Sight
     Total Construction Spending Declines
     Table 1-8: Total U.S. Construction Spending and Year-over-Year Percent
     Change, 2002-2008 (in millions of dollars)
     Highway & Street Construction Down from Mid-Decade
     Table 1-9: Total Highway & Street Construction Spending and Year-over- Year
     Percent Change, 2002-2008 (in billions of dollars)
     State & Local Pavement Spending at $50 Billion for 2008
     Table 1-10: Total State & Local Pavement Spending and Year-over-Year Percent
     Change, 2002-2008 (in billions of dollars)
     Federal Spending and SAFETEA-LU
     Table 1-11: Safe, Accountable, Flexible, Efficient Transportation Equity Act: A
     Legacy for Users (SAFETEA-LU) Total Highway Spending (Excluding
     Transportation Research) and Year-over-Year Percent Change, 2005-2009 (in
     billions of dollars)
     Non-Residential Pavement Contractor Revenue Affected by Price Fluctuations
     Table 1-12: Total Non-Residential Pavement Contractor Revenues and
     Yearover- Year Percent Change, 2002-2008 (in billions of dollars)
“Residential” Pavement Contractor Revenue Arcs Downward
      Table 1-13: Total “Residential” Pavement Contractor Revenues and Yearover-
      Year Percent Change, 2002-2008 (in billions of dollars)
      Roofing Contractor Revenues Decline 16% in 2008
      Table 1-14: Total Roofing Contractor Revenues and Year-over-Year Percent
      Change, 2002-2008 (in billions of dollars)

Chapter 2: Introduction
     Scope of the Report
     Market Data Provided
     Competitive Landscape
     Economic and Market Trends
     End User Markets
     Methodology
     Terms
     A Note on Measures Used
     Asphalt Primer
     Production
     Consumption
     Applications
     Supply
     Demand
     Asphalt Economics
     Distribution and Seasonality

Chapter 3: The U.S. Liquid Asphalt Cement Market
     U.S. Market Nears $12 Billion
     Figure 3-1: U.S. Liquid Asphalt Cement Value of Apparent Consumption, 1999-
     2008 (in billions of dollars)
     Table 3-1: U.S. Liquid Asphalt Cement Value of Apparent Consumption and
     Year-over-Year Percentage Change, 1999-2008 (in millions of dollars)
     Real Consumption Lower, Prices Higher
     Figure 3-2: U.S. Liquid Asphalt Cement Apparent Consumption by Volume and
     Average Price per Barrel, 1999-2008 (in millions of barrels)
     2008 Production Drops 14%
     Table 3-2: U.S. Liquid Asphalt Cement Apparent Consumption by Volume,
     Average Price per Barrel, and Year-over-Year Percentage Changes, 1999-2008
     (in millions of barrels)
     Components of Trade
     Table 3-3: U.S. Liquid Asphalt Cement Value of Components of Trade, 1999-
     2008 (in millions of dollars)
     Table 3-4: U.S. Liquid Asphalt and Road Oil Supply and Disposition, 1999-2008
     (in millions of barrels)
     Value of Net Shipments
     Figure 3-3: U.S. Liquid Asphalt Cement Value of Net shipments (Shipments Less
     Exports) and Percent of U.S. Apparent Consumption, 1999-2008 (in billions of
     dollars)
Table 3-5: U.S. Liquid Asphalt Cement Value of Net Shipments and Yearover-
     Year Percentage Change, 1999-2008 (in millions of dollars)
     Net Shipment Volume, Prices
     Figure 3-4: U.S. Liquid Asphalt Cement Net Shipments (Shipments Less Exports)
     by Volume and Average Net Shipment Prices per Barrel, 1999-2008 (in billions of
     dollars)
     Table 3-6: U.S. Liquid Asphalt Cement Net Shipments by Volume, Average Price
     per Barrel, and Year-over-Year Percentage Changes, 1999-2008 (in millions of
     barrels)
     Value of Imports Volatile
     Figure 3-5: U.S. Liquid Asphalt Cement Imports and Percent of U.S. Value of
     Apparent Consumption, 1999-2008 (in millions of dollars)
     Table 3-7: U.S. Liquid Asphalt Cement Value of Imports and Year-over-Year
     Percentage Change, 1999-2008 (in millions of dollars)
     Import Volume Growth at 4%, Prices at 25% in Ten-Year Period
     Figure 3-6: U.S. Liquid Asphalt Cement Imports by Volume and Average Price
     per Barrel, 1999-2008 (in millions of barrels)
     Table 3-8: U.S. Liquid Asphalt Cement Imports by Volume, Average Price per
     Barrel, and Year-over-Year Percentage Changes, 1999-2008 (in millions of
     barrels)
     Export Share Improves
     Figure 3-7: U.S. Liquid Asphalt Cement Value of Exports and Percent of U.S.
     Value of Shipments, 1999-2008 (in millions of dollars)
     Table 3-9: U.S. Liquid Asphalt Cement Value of Exports and Year-over-Year
     Percentage Change, 1999-2008 (in millions of dollars)
     Export Volume Growth at 20%, Prices at 11% in Ten-Year Period
     Figure 3-8: U.S. Liquid Asphalt Cement Imports by Volume and Average Price
     per Barrel, 1999-2008 (in millions of barrels)
     Table 3-10: U.S. Liquid Asphalt Cement Exports by Volume, Average Price per
     Barrel, and Year-over-Year Percentage Changes, 1999-2008 (in millions of
     barrels)
Market Forecast
     Asphalt Cement Market Impacted by Supply, Demand and Commodity Pricing
     Crude Costs to Remain Below 2008 Levels
     Obama Administration Likely to Spend on Infrastructure
     Coker Unit Projects Further Shift Refiner Interests Away from Asphalt
     Figure 3-9: U.S. Liquid Asphalt Cement Value of Apparent Consumption
     Forecast, 1999-2008 (in billions of dollars)
     2009 Production Increases Modest, Price Drops Significant
     Table 3-11: U.S. Liquid Asphalt Cement Value of Apparent Consumption
     Forecast and Year-over-Year Percentage Change, 2008-2013 (in millions of
     dollars)
     Consumption Growth at 8%, Price Fluctuates
     Figure 3-10: U.S. Liquid Asphalt Cement Apparent Consumption by Volume and
     Average Price per Barrel Forecasts, 2008-2013 (in millions of barrels).
Table 3-12: U.S. Liquid Asphalt Cement Apparent Consumption by Volume,
      Average Price per Barrel Forecasts, and Year-over-Year Percentage Changes,
      2008-2013 (in millions of barrels)

Chapter 4: The U.S. Asphalt Products Market
     Asphalt Products Market Reaches $24 Billion
     Figure 4-1: U.S. Asphalt Products’ Value of Apparent Consumption, 1999-2008
     (in billions of dollars)
     Table 4-1: U.S. Asphalt Products’ Value of Apparent Consumption and Year-
     over-Year Percentage Change, 1999-2008 (in millions of dollars)
     Figure 4-2: Share of U.S. Asphalt Products’ Value of Apparent Consumption by
     Segment: Asphalt Paving Mixtures and Asphalt Shingle and Coatings, 2008
     (percentage)
     Total Quantities on the Decline
     Figure 4-3: U.S. Asphalt Products’ Apparent Consumption by Quantity and
     Average Price per Metric Ton, 1999-2008 (in million metric tons)
     Prices on the Rise
     Table 4-2: U.S. Asphalt Products’ Apparent Consumption by Quantity, Average
     Price per Metric Ton, and Year-over-Year Percentage Changes, 1999-2008 (in
     thousand metric tons)
     Figure 4-4: Share of U.S. Asphalt Products’ Quantity of Apparent Consumption
     by Segment: Asphalt Paving Mixtures and Asphalt Shingle and Coatings, 2008
     (percentage)
Asphalt Paving Mixtures Market
     Paving Mixtures Reaches $17 Billion
     Figure 4-5: U.S. Asphalt Paving Mixtures Apparent Consumption and Percent of
     Total U.S. Asphalt Products’ Market, 1999-2008 (in billions of dollars)
     Table 4-3: U.S. Asphalt Paving Mixtures Apparent Consumption Value and Year-
     over-Year Percentage Change, 1999-2008 (in millions of dollars)
     Asphalt Paving Mixtures Quantity and Price
     Figure 4-6: U.S. Asphalt Paving Mixtures Apparent Consumption by Quantity and
     Average Price per Metric Ton, 1999-2008 (in millions of metric tons)
     Table 4-4: U.S. Asphalt Paving Mixtures Apparent Consumption by Quantity,
     Average Price per Metric Ton, and Year-over-Year Percentage Changes, 1999-
     2008 (in thousand metric tons)
     Components of Trade
     Table 4-5: U.S. Asphalt Paving Mixtures Components of Trade Value, 1999-
     2008 (in millions of dollars)
     Net Shipment Value, Quantity and Price
     Figure 4-7: U.S. Asphalt Paving Mixtures Net Shipments Value (Shipments Less
     Exports) and Percent of U.S. Apparent Consumption, 1999-2008 (in billions of
     dollars)
     Table 4-6: U.S. Asphalt Paving Mixtures Net Shipments Value (Shipments Less
     Exports) and Year-over-Year Percentage Changes, 1999-2008 (in millions of
     dollars)
Figure 4-8: U.S. Asphalt Paving Mixtures Net Shipments (Shipments Less
     Exports) by Quantity and Average Prices per Metric Ton, 1999-2008 (in million
     metric tons)
     Table 4-7: U.S. Asphalt Paving Mixtures Net Shipments (Shipments Less
     Exports) by Quantity, Average Prices per Metric Ton, and Year-over-Year
     Percentage Changes, 1999-2008 (in million metric tons)
     Import Value, Quantity, and Price
     Figure 4-9: U.S. Asphalt Paving Mixtures Import Value and Percent of U.S.
     Apparent Consumption, 1999-2008 (in millions of dollars)
     Table 4-8: U.S. Asphalt Paving Mixtures Import Value and Year-over-Year
     Percentage Changes, 1999-2008 (in millions of dollars)
     Figure 4-10: U.S. Asphalt Paving Mixtures’ Imports by Quantity and Average
     Import Prices per Metric Ton, 1999-2008 (in thousand metric tons)
     Table 4-9: U.S. Asphalt Paving Mixtures’ Imports by Quantity and Average Import
     Prices per Metric Ton, and Year-over-Year Percentage Changes, 1999-2008 (in
     thousand metric tons)
     Export Value, Quantities and Prices
     Figure 4-11: U.S. Asphalt Paving Mixtures’ Export Value and Percent of Total
     U.S. Shipment Value, 1999-2008 (in millions of dollars)
     Table 4-10: U.S. Asphalt Paving Mixtures’ Export Value and Year-over-Year
     Percentage Changes, 1999-2008 (in millions of dollars)
     Figure 4-12: U.S. Asphalt Paving Mixtures Exports by Quantity and Average
     Export Prices per Metric Ton, 1999-2008 (in thousand metric tons)
     Table 4-11: U.S. Asphalt Paving Mixtures Exports by Quantity and Average
     Export Prices per Metric Ton, 1999-2008 (in thousand metric tons)
Asphalt Shingle and Coating Materials Market
     Shingle and Coating Materials Slides to $7 billion
     Figure 4-13: U.S. Asphalt Shingle and Coating Materials Apparent Consumption
     and Percent of Total U.S. Asphalt Products’ Market, 1999-2008 (in billions of
     dollars)
     Table 4-12: U.S. Asphalt Shingle and Coating Materials Apparent Consumption
     and Year-over-Year Percentage Changes, 1999-2008 (in millions of dollars)
     Asphalt Shingle & Coating Materials Quantity and Price
     Figure 4-14: U.S. Asphalt Shingle and Coating Materials Apparent Consumption
     by Quantity and Average Price per Metric Ton, 1999-2008 (in millions of metric
     tons)
     Table 4-13: U.S. Asphalt Shingle and Coating Materials Apparent Consumption
     by Quantity and Average Price per Metric Ton, and Yearover- Year Percentage
     Changes, 1999-2008 (in thousand metric tons)
     Components of Trade
     Table 4-14: U.S. Asphalt Shingle & Coating Materials Value of Components of
     Trade, 1999-2008 (in millions of dollars)
     Net Shipment Value, Quantity and Price
     Figure 4-15: U.S. Asphalt Shingle & Coating Materials Net Shipment Value
     (Shipments Less Exports) and Percent of U.S. Apparent Consumption, 1999-
     2008 (in billions of dollars)
Table 4-15: U.S. Asphalt Shingle & Coating Materials Net Shipment Value
     (Shipments Less Exports) and Year-over-Year Percentage Changes, 1999-2008
     (in millions of dollars)
     Figure 4-16: U.S. Asphalt Paving Mixtures Net Shipments (Shipments Less
     Exports) by Quantity and Average Net Shipment Prices per Metric Ton, 1999-
     2008 (in millions metric tons)
     Table 4-16: U.S. Asphalt Paving Mixtures Net Shipments (Shipments Less
     Exports) by Quantity, Average Net Shipment Prices per Metric Ton, and Year-
     over-Year Percentage Changes, 1999-2008 (in millions metric tons) ..
     Import Value, Quantity and Prices
     Figure 4-17: U.S. Asphalt Shingle & Coating Materials Import Value and Percent
     of U.S. Apparent Consumption, 1999-2008 (in millions of dollars) ..
     Table 4-17: U.S. Asphalt Shingle & Coating Materials Imports Value and Year-
     over-Year Percentage Changes, 1999-2008 (in millions of dollars)
     Figure 4-18: U.S. Asphalt Shingle & Coating Materials Imports by Quantity and
     Average Import Prices per Metric Ton, 1999-2008 (in thousand metric tons)
     Table 4-18: U.S. Asphalt Shingle & Coating Materials Imports by Quantity,
     Average Import Prices per Metric Ton, and Year-over-Year Percentage Changes,
     1999-2008 (in thousand metric tons)
     Export Value, Quantity and Prices
     Figure 4-19: U.S. Asphalt Shingle & Coating Materials Value of Exports and
     Percent of Total U.S. Shipment Value, 1999-2008 (in millions of dollars)
     Table 4-19: U.S. Asphalt Shingle & Coating Materials Exports and Yearover-
     Year percentage Changes, 1999-2008 (in millions of dollars)
     Figure 4-20: U.S. Asphalt Shingle & Coating Materials Exports by Quantity and
     Average Export Prices per Metric Ton, 1999-2008 (in thousand metric tons)
     Table 4-20: U.S. Asphalt Shingle & Coating Materials Exports by Quantity,
     Average Export Prices per Metric Ton, and Year-over-Year Percentage Changes,
     1999-2008 (in thousand metric tons)
Market Forecast
     Asphalt Products Market to Top $38 billion by 2013
     Figure 4-21: U.S. Asphalt Products’ Market Forecast by Segment: Asphalt
     Paving Mixtures and Shingle and Coating Materials, 2008-2013 (in billions of
     dollars)
     Paving Mixtures to Grow at 14% CAGR
     Table 4-21: U.S. Asphalt Products’ Market Forecast by Segment and Yearover-
     Year Percentage Changes: Asphalt Paving Mixtures and Shingle and Coating
     Materials, 2008-2013 (in millions of dollars)
     Figure 4-22: U.S. Asphalt Paving Mixtures Forecast by Quantity and Average
     Price per Metric Ton, 2008-2013 (in millions of metric tons)
     Government Spending to Bolster Market
     Table 4-22: U.S. Asphalt Paving Mixtures Forecast by Quantity, Average Price
     per Metric Ton, and Year-over-Year Percentage Changes, 2008-2013 (in millions
     of metric tons)
     Roofing Products Will Soften in 2009
Figure 4-23: U.S. Asphalt Shingle and Coating Materials Forecast by Quantity
      and Average Price per Metric Ton, 2008-2013 (in millions of metric tons)
      Slow Improvement by 2013
      Table 4-23: U.S. Asphalt Shingle and Coating Materials Forecast by Quantity,
      Average Price per Metric Ton, and Year-over-Year Percentage Changes, 2008-
      2013 (in millions of metric tons)

Chapter 5: Competitive Overview
      Introduction
      Competitive Landscape Consists of Three Stages
      Fragmented and Regional Business Landscape
      Figure 5-1: Top 10 U.S. Asphalt Refiners by Production Capacity, 2008
      (percentage)
      Marathon Is Largest Refiner with 12% Share of Production Capacity
      Table 5-1: U.S. Asphalt Production Capacity by Company, 2008 (barrels per day)
      Low Refiner Capacity Utilization
      Figure 5-2: Total Asphalt Refiner Net Production Yield and Excess Capacity,
      1999-2008 (in thousand barrels per day)
      Asphalt Considered Secondary and Low Value
      Change in Perception on the Horizon?
      Producers/Pavers Highly Fragmented
      The U.S. Market Consists of Many Local Mini-Markets
      Regional Supply Shortages
Asphalt Producer Profiles
Ergon, Inc
      Overview
      Performance
      Products
      Table 5-2: Selected Ergon Companies and Brands
      Significant Events
Marathon Oil Corporation
      Overview
      Performance
      Figure 5-3: Total Marathon Oil Corporation Revenue, 2004-2008 (in billions of
      dollars)
      Figure 5-4: Marathon Oil Corporation Total Asphalt Yield and Percent of Total
      Refined Product Yield, 2004-2008 (thousand barrels per day)
      Figure 5-5: Marathon Oil Corporation Total Asphalt Sales and Percent of Total
      Refined Product Sales, 2004-2008 (thousand barrels per day)
      Products
      Table 5-3: Selected Marathon Asphalt Products
      Significant Events
NuStar Energy L.P.
      Overview
      Performance
      Figure 5-6: NuStar Energy LP Total Sales by Segment: Product Marketing versus
      Service, 2005-2008 (in millions of dollars)
Figure 5-7: Share of NuStar Energy LP Refining Yield in Thousands of Barrels
      per Day by Major Product: Asphalt versus Other (Naptha, Marine Fuel Oil, etc),
      Q1-Q3 2008 (percent)
      Products
      Significant Events
SemMaterials (SemGroup L.P.)
      Overview
      Performance
      Products
      Table 5-4: Selected SemMaterials Products
      Significant Events
Valero Energy Corporation
      Overview
      Performance
      Figure 5-8: Total Valero Energy Corporation Revenue, 2004-2008 (in billions of
      dollars)
      Figure 5-9: Valero Energy Corporation Total Lube & Asphalt Sales and Percent
      of Total Refined Product Sales, 2004-2008 (in billions of dollars) .
      Figure 5-10: Valero Energy Corporation Total Asphalt Yield and Percent of Total
      Refined Product Yield, 2004-2008 (thousand barrels per day)
      Products
      Table 5-5: Selected Valero Products
      Significant Events
Paving Companies
      Oldcastle Materials (Oldcastle Inc./CRH Plc)
      Overview
      Performance
      Figure 5-11: Total Oldcastle Materials Revenue, 2004-2008 (in billions of dollars)
      Products
      Significant Events
Vulcan Materials Company
      Overview
      Performance
      Figure 5-12: Total Vulcan Materials Revenue, 2004-2008 (in billions of dollars)
      Figure 5-13: Vulcan Materials’ Asphalt Mix and Concrete Revenue and Asphalt
      Mix Share of Total Operating Segment, 2004-2008 (in millions of dollars)
      Figure 5-14: Vulcan Materials Company Asphalt Mix Price and Volume
      Performance, 2004-2008 (in dollars and thousand short tons)
      Products
      Significant Events

Chapter 6: Economic & Marketplace Trends
     Economic Crisis Peaks
     Real GDP Growth Projected at Negative 0.8% for 2009
     Figure 6-1: U.S. Current-Dollar GDP vs. Real GDP, 2000-2009 (in trillions of
     dollars)
     Inflation Rears Its Ugly Head
Figure 6-2: Percentage Changes in U.S. Current-Dollar GDP, Real GDP and the
GDP Price Index, 2001-2009 (percentage)
Economic Future Uncertain
Asphalt Product Producer Prices Skyrocket
Figure 6-3: Estimated Share of Total Material Cost, 1999-2008 (percentage)
Sharp Increase in Liquid Asphalt in 2008
Figure 6-4: Asphalt Paving Mixture & Block Manufacturing Producer Price Index
and the Asphalt Shingle & Coating Materials Manufacturing Producer Price
Index, 1999-2008 (index)
By Contrast, Asphalt Roofing Slower Growth
Figure 6-5: Year-over-Year Percentage Change in Asphalt Paving Mixture &
Block Manufacturing Producer Price Index and the Asphalt Shingle & Coating
Materials Manufacturing Producer Price Index, 1999-2008 (percentage)
Price Increases by Product
Paving Products: Mixtures See 17% Gain in 2008
Figure 6-6: Asphalt Paving Product Manufacturing Producer Price Indexes:
Emulsified Asphalt, Other Liquid Asphalt and Tar Paving Materials, Asphalt and
Tar Paving Mixtures (excluding liquid), 2005-2008 (index)
Figure 6-7: Year-over-Year Percentage Change in Asphalt Paving Product
Manufacturing Producer Price Indexes: Emulsified Asphalt, Other Liquid Asphalt
and Tar Paving Materials, Asphalt and Tar Paving Mixtures (excluding liquid),
2006-2008 (percentage)
Roofing Products See Relatively Modest Price Increases in 2008
Figure 6-8: Asphalt Roofing Product Manufacturing Producer Price Indexes:
Roofing Asphalts & Pitches, Coatings, and Cements; Prepared Asphalt & Tar
Roofing & Siding Products, 1999-2008 (index)
Figure 6-9: Year-over-Year Percentage Change in Asphalt Roofing Product
Manufacturing Producer Price Indexes: Roofing Asphalts & Pitches, Coatings,
and Cements; Prepared Asphalt & Tar Roofing & Siding Products, 1999-2008
(percentage)
Asphalt Input Prices: Crude Up 75%+
Figure 6-10: Crude Petroleum Price Indexes: Domestic Production and Imports,
1999-2008 (index)
Figure 6-11: Year-over-Year Percentage Change in Crude Petroleum Price
Indexes: Domestic Production and Imports, 1999-2008 (percentage)
Coker Projects May Further Reduce Asphalt Supply
Pavement Input Prices: Liquid Asphalt and Aggregate Up 7%
Figure 6-12: Primary Asphalt Pavement Commodity Input Price Indexes: Asphalt
and Construction Aggregates, 1999-2008 (index)
Figure 6-13: Year-over-Year Percentage Change in Primary Asphalt Pavement
Commodity Input Price Indexes: Asphalt and Construction Aggregates, 1999-
2008 (percentage)
Other Asphalt Pavement Input Costs
Figure 6-14: Secondary Asphalt Pavement Commodity Input Price Indexes:
Natural Gas and No. 2 Diesel Fuel, 1999-2008 (index)
Figure 6-15: Year-over-Year Percentage Change in Asphalt Pavement
      Secondary Commodity Input Price Indexes: Natural Gas and No. 2 Diesel Fuel,
      1999-2008 (percentage)
      Concrete Construction Input Prices High
      Figure 6-16: Concrete Construction Primary Commodity Price Indexes: Portland
      Cement, Construction Aggregates and Carbon Steel, 1999-2008 (index)
      Figure 6-17: Year-over-Year Percentage Change in Concrete Construction
      Primary Commodity Price Indexes: Portland Cement, Construction Aggregates
      and Carbon Steel, 1999-2008 (percentage)
      Concrete May Benefit
      Less Road Travel Not Easing Pressure on Aging Roads
      Figure 6-18: Total 12-Month Total Vehicle Distance Traveled versus Gasoline
      Producer Price Index, January 1998-August 2008 (billion miles)
      Prices and Supply Jeopardizing Road Maintenance Asphalt Paving Budgets
      Figure 6-19: Monthly Asphalt Prices by Selected State, January 2005- November
      2008 (in dollars)
      Summer Delays and Postponements
      Administrations Get Creative
      Warming Weather Trends Benefit Marketplace
      Weather Disasters Prompt Government Emergency Financial Response
      Asphalt as a Green Industry
      Reclaimed Road Surfaces The Future of Municipal Paving
      RAP Highest Recycling Rate Among Recycled Industrial Products
      Industry Leadership in Use of Other Waste Products
      Table 6-1: Asphalt Industry Recycling’s Report Card versus Other Industries,
      2008
      Labor Shortages and Immigration to Hamper Road Building
      Illegal Immigrants May Not Fill the Ranks
      Industry Unattractive to Younger Work Force
      Warm Mix Asphalt Positioned to Usurp Hot Mix

Chapter 7: End User Markets
     Paving Industry Consumes 93%
     Asphalt Roofing Suffers with Residential Construction Downturn
     Asphalt Roofing No Rebound in Sight
     Paving Has A Friend in Obama
     Figure 7-1: Estimated Share of U.S. Asphalt Consumption by End-User Market,
     2008 (percentage)
     Total Construction Spending Declines
     Figure 7-2: Total U.S. Construction Spending, 2002-2008 (in billions of dollars)
     Table 7-1: Total U.S. Construction Spending and Year-over-Year Percent
     Change, 2002-2008 (in billions of dollars)
     Non-Residential Spending Starts to Slow in 2008
     Figure 7-3: Total Non-Residential Construction Spending and Percent of Total
     Construction Spending, 2002-2008 (in billions of dollars)
     Table 7-2: Total U.S. Non-Residential Construction Spending and Yearover-
     Year Percent Change, 2002-2008 (in billions of dollars)
Residential Spending Nosedives
     Figure 7-4: Total Residential Construction Spending and Percent of Total
     Construction Spending, 2002-2008 (in billions of dollars)
     Table 7-3: Total U.S. Residential Construction Spending and Year-over- Year
     Percent Change, 2002-2008 (in billions of dollars)
     Highway & Street Construction Down from Mid-Decade Growth Rates
     But Growth Curtailed Somewhat by Delays and Other Constraints
     Figure 7-5: Total Highway & Street Construction Spending and Percent of Total
     Non-Residential Construction Spending, 2002-2008 (in billions of dollars)
     Table 7-4: Total Highway & Street Construction Spending and Year-over- Year
     Percent Change (in billions of dollars)
     State & Local Pavement Spending at $50 Billion for 2008
     Figure 7-6: Total State & Local Pavement Spending and Percent of Total
     Highway & Street Construction Spending, 2002-2008 (in billions of dollars) 175
     Table 7-5: Total State & Local Pavement Spending and Year-over-Year Percent
     Change, 2002-2008 (in billions of dollars)
     Figure 7-7: Share of U.S. State & Local Highway & Street Construction Spending
     by Type of Construction, 2007 (percentage)
     Federal Spending and SAFETEA-LU
     Figure 7-8: Safe, Accountable, Flexible, Efficient Transportation Equity Act: A
     Legacy for Users (SAFETEA-LU) Total Highway Spending (Excluding
     Transportation Research), 2005-2009 (in billions of dollars)
     Table 7-6: Safe, Accountable, Flexible, Efficient Transportation Equity Act: A
     Legacy for Users (SAFETEA-LU) Total Highway Spending (Excluding
     Transportation Research) and Year-over-Year Percent Change, 2005-2009 (in
     billions of dollars)
     New Administration Could Mean Boon for Asphalt
     Non-Residential Pavement Contractor Revenue Affected by Price Fluctuations
     Figure 7-9: Total Non-Residential Pavement Contractor Revenues and Percent
     of Total Highway & Street Construction Spending, 2002-2008 (in billions of
     dollars)
     Table 7-7: Total Non-Residential Pavement Contractor Revenues and Year-over
     Year Percent Change, 2002-2008 (in billions of dollars)
     “Residential” Pavement Contractor Revenue Arcs Downward
     Figure 7-10: Estimated Total “Residential” Pavement Contractor Revenues and
     Percent of Total Highway & Street Construction Spending, 2002-2008 (in billions
     of dollars)
     Table 7-8: Total “Residential” Pavement Contractor Revenues and Yearover-
     Year Percent Change, 2002-2008 (in billions of dollars)
     Roofing Contractor Revenues Decline 16% in 2008
     Figure 7-11: Total Roofing Contractor Revenues and Percent of Total
     Construction Spending, 2002-2008 (in billions of dollars)
     Table 7-9: Total Roofing Contractor Revenues and Year-over-Year Percent
     Change, 2002-2008 (in billions of dollars)

Appendix: Selected Corporate Addresses
Appendix: Selected Associations Addresses




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Asphalt manufacturing in the u.s.

  • 1. Get more info on this report! Asphalt Manufacturing in the U.S. February 1, 2009 Worldwide annual consumption of asphalt is at more than 100 million tons. In the United States, generally 90% of liquid asphalt cement consumed is used for road paving and approximately 10% is used for roofing products, with other specialty applications accounting for only a very small fraction of consumption. Though asphalt occurs naturally, the majority of today’s asphalt is produced as a residual product of the crude oil refining process. Most refiners focus on refining more expensive, lighter, “sweeter” crudes to produce the higher-value products such gasoline and diesel fuel. In all, about two to three percent of all refined crude oil in the United States becomes asphalt. Most crude oil asphalt comes from less expensive, heavier, “sour” crude oils rather than the more expensive lighter, sweet crude oils. For crude oil refiners asphalt accounts for a much larger portion of the product refined. Demand for asphalt is driven to a small degree by the private sector, but most demand comes from federal, state, and local governments. Funding for highway and road infrastructure construction and maintenance plays the largest role, but other public sector projects such as airport runway and taxiway construction can also affect demand. Since funding for highway and road construction and maintenance projects are often set for several years, demand tends to remain rather constant growing more or less at the rate of inflation. However, the recent prospect of massive infrastructure spending to stimulate growth in the U.S. economy under the new Obama administration suggest demand will likely increase significantly in the coming years. Specialists in Business Information (SBI) estimates the U.S. market for liquid asphalt cement totaled $11.7 billion in 2008, up 34% from $8.7 billion in 2007. This report explains why, and forecasts what lies ahead for the asphalt industry from 2009 - 2013. Scope of the Report This SBI report contains data and analysis describing the U.S. market for asphalt. The report focuses on the primary commodity market, refined liquid asphalt cement, and the secondary product market, asphalt paving mixtures. In addition, limited data and analysis are provided for the asphalt shingle and coating materials manufacturing
  • 2. market (asphalt roofing products). Chapter 3 covers the liquid asphalt cement market while Chapter 4 covers the asphalt paving mixtures and asphalt roofing products market. SBI refers to the asphalt paving and roofing markets as the asphalt products market. Chapter 5 covers the competitive landscape of asphalt refiners and blenders with data and analysis on U.S. asphalt refining capacity and utilization including profiles of major asphalt refiners, blenders, and paving mixture manufacturers. Chapter 6 looks at economic and market trends affecting the asphalt industry. Included are an analysis and forecast through 2009 of gross domestic product (GDP), an in-depth cost and price analysis of various components of the asphalt market as well as the competing concrete market, and a look at the shift to warm mix, eco-challenges and weather/seasonality trends.. Finally, Chapter 7 provides a snapshot of the two end-user markets, asphalt paving and asphalt roofing. Additional Information Market Insights: A Selection From The Report Asphalt Demand Demand for asphalt is driven to a small degree by the private sector, but most demand comes from federal, state, and local governments. Funding for highway and road infrastructure construction and maintenance plays the largest role, but other public sector projects such as airport runway and taxiway construction can also affect demand. Since funding for highway and road construction and maintenance projects are often set for several years, demand tends to remain rather constant growing more or less at the rate of inflation. However, the recent prospect of massive infrastructure spending to stimulate growth in the U.S. economy under the new Obama administration suggest demand will likely increase significantly in the coming years. U.S. Market Nears $12 Billion SBI estimates the U.S. market for liquid asphalt cement totaled $11.7 billion in 2008, up 34% from $8.7 billion in 2007. According to SBI estimates, this followed a relatively modest decline in 2007 of six percent from the 2006 level of $9.3 billion and 44% gain over the 2005 level of $6.4 billion. The remarkable rise in value of the market over these few years came about as refiners began to cut back production of asphalt in favor of higher-valued, highermargin refined products resulting in an asphalt shortage that drove prices sharply higher. For the ten-year period between 1999 and 2008, the market grew at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 16%, however, for the five-year period 2004-2008, growth was at a CAGR of 23%. In the News
  • 3. Asphalt Industry Big Winner in Obama Stimulus Plan New York, January 28, 2009 - Thirty billion dollars is the current figure specified for highway construction in the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act moving swiftly toward signature by President Barack Obama. That’s a lot of asphalt! The President’s commitment to a colossal investment in the nation’s road infrastructure is further reinforced by the proposed National Infrastructure Reinvestment Bank that will invest $60 billion over ten years and generate nearly two million new jobs. In the all-new report, Asphalt Manufacturing in the U.S., industrial market research publisher SBI estimates that as much as 28% of the proposed $60 billion will go towards increasing paving projects across American roads. SBI subsequently expects the domestic asphalt industry to surge over the next four years and build on the nearly $12 billion the U.S. market for liquid asphalt cement totaled in 2008, which was a 34% increase from almost $9 billion in 2007. Through 2013, SBI forecasts the U.S. liquid asphalt cement market will top $16 billion accompanied by a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7%. Overall, the U.S. asphalt products market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 10% through 2013 to over $38 billion compared to almost $24 billion in 2008. “The major infrastructure spending expected by the Obama administration and a democratic Congress will mean greater demand for asphalt paving mixtures following the passage of a bill, which we at SBI expect may happen as early as spring 2009. The effects will be most noticeable in 2010 and beyond as state and local governments get their hands on much needed funds for projects already on hold,” says SBI Associate Publisher Shelley Carr. Historically, the demand for asphalt is primarily driven by federal, state, and local governments seeking to fund highways and road infrastructure construction and maintenance. Asphalt Manufacturing in the U.S. provides comprehensive market information for an asphalt industry certain to benefit from President Barack Obama's determination to create jobs in the U.S. quickly. Included are forecasts of what lies ahead for the asphalt industry from 2009-2013. The report focuses on the primary commodity market (refined liquid asphalt cement) and the secondary product market (asphalt paving mixtures). Limited data and analysis are also provided for the asphalt shingle and coating materials manufacturing market (asphalt roofing products). About SBI SBI (Specialists in Business Information) publishes research reports in the industrial, energy, building/construction, automotive/transportation and packaging markets. SBI also offers a full range of custom research services.
  • 4. TABLE OF CONTENTS Chapter 1: Executive Summary Scope of the Report Market Data Provided Methodology A Note on Measures Used Asphalt Production Asphalt Consumption Asphalt Applications Asphalt Supply Asphalt Demand Asphalt Economics Asphalt Distribution and Seasonality The U.S. Liquid Asphalt Cement Market U.S. Market Nears $12 Billion Table 1-1: U.S. Liquid Asphalt Cement Value of Apparent Consumption and Year-over-Year Percentage Change, 1999-2008 (in millions of dollars) 2008 Production Drops 14% Table 1-2: U.S. Liquid Asphalt Cement Apparent Consumption by Volume, Average Price per Barrel, and Year-over-Year Percentage Changes, 1999-2008 (in millions of barrels) Liquid Asphalt Cement Market Forecast Crude Costs to Remain Below 2008 Levels Obama Administration Likely to Spend on Infrastructure Coker Unit Investments Slow 2009 Production Increases Modest, Price Drops Significant Table 1-3: U.S. Liquid Asphalt Cement Value of Apparent Consumption Forecast and Year-over-Year Percentage Change, 2008-2013 (in millions of dollars) Consumption Growth at 8%, Prices Fluctuate Table 1-4: U.S. Liquid Asphalt Cement Apparent Consumption by Volume, Average Price per Barrel Forecasts, and Year-over-Year Percentage Changes, 2008-2013 (in millions of barrels) The U.S. Asphalt Products Market Asphalt Products Market Reaches $24 Billion Table 1-5: U.S. Asphalt Products’ Value of Apparent Consumption and Yearover- Year Percentage Change, 1999-2008 (in millions of dollars) Total Quantities on the Decline Prices on the Move Upward Table 1-6: U.S. Asphalt Products’ Apparent Consumption by Quantity, Average Price per Metric Ton, and Year-over-Year Percentage Changes, 1999-2008 (in thousand metric tons) Asphalt Products Market to Top $38 billion by 2013 Paving Mixtures CAGR 14% by 2013
  • 5. Table 1-7: U.S. Asphalt Products’ Market Forecast by Segment and Yearover- Year Percentage Changes: Asphalt Paving Mixtures and Shingle and Coating Materials, 2008-2013 (in millions of dollars) Competitive Overview: Refiner Focus Fragmented and Regional Business Landscape Marathon Is Largest Refiner with 12% Share of Production Capacity Low Refiner Capacity Utilization Producers/Pavers Highly Fragmented Economic & Marketplace Trends Real GDP Growth Projected at Negative 0.8% for 2009 Figure 1-1: Percentage Changes in U.S. Current-Dollar GDP, Real GDP and the GDP Price Index, 2002-2008 (percentage) Asphalt Product Producer Prices Skyrocket Price Increases by Product Paving Products: Mixtures See 17% Gain in 2008 Roofing Products See Relatively Modest Price Increases in 2008 Asphalt Input Prices: Crude Up 75%+ Coker Projects May Further Reduce Asphalt Supply Pavement Input Prices: Liquid Asphalt and Aggregate Up Overall 7% Other Asphalt Pavement Input Costs Higher Prices on Input Materials for Concrete Prices and Supply Jeopardizing Road Maintenance Budgets Warming Weather Trends Benefit Marketplace Re-Defining as a Green Industry Labor Shortages and Immigration to Hamper Road Building Warm Mix Asphalt Positioned to Usurp Hot Mix End User Markets Paving Industry Consumes 93% Asphalt Plus Asphalt Roofing No Growth in Sight Total Construction Spending Declines Table 1-8: Total U.S. Construction Spending and Year-over-Year Percent Change, 2002-2008 (in millions of dollars) Highway & Street Construction Down from Mid-Decade Table 1-9: Total Highway & Street Construction Spending and Year-over- Year Percent Change, 2002-2008 (in billions of dollars) State & Local Pavement Spending at $50 Billion for 2008 Table 1-10: Total State & Local Pavement Spending and Year-over-Year Percent Change, 2002-2008 (in billions of dollars) Federal Spending and SAFETEA-LU Table 1-11: Safe, Accountable, Flexible, Efficient Transportation Equity Act: A Legacy for Users (SAFETEA-LU) Total Highway Spending (Excluding Transportation Research) and Year-over-Year Percent Change, 2005-2009 (in billions of dollars) Non-Residential Pavement Contractor Revenue Affected by Price Fluctuations Table 1-12: Total Non-Residential Pavement Contractor Revenues and Yearover- Year Percent Change, 2002-2008 (in billions of dollars)
  • 6. “Residential” Pavement Contractor Revenue Arcs Downward Table 1-13: Total “Residential” Pavement Contractor Revenues and Yearover- Year Percent Change, 2002-2008 (in billions of dollars) Roofing Contractor Revenues Decline 16% in 2008 Table 1-14: Total Roofing Contractor Revenues and Year-over-Year Percent Change, 2002-2008 (in billions of dollars) Chapter 2: Introduction Scope of the Report Market Data Provided Competitive Landscape Economic and Market Trends End User Markets Methodology Terms A Note on Measures Used Asphalt Primer Production Consumption Applications Supply Demand Asphalt Economics Distribution and Seasonality Chapter 3: The U.S. Liquid Asphalt Cement Market U.S. Market Nears $12 Billion Figure 3-1: U.S. Liquid Asphalt Cement Value of Apparent Consumption, 1999- 2008 (in billions of dollars) Table 3-1: U.S. Liquid Asphalt Cement Value of Apparent Consumption and Year-over-Year Percentage Change, 1999-2008 (in millions of dollars) Real Consumption Lower, Prices Higher Figure 3-2: U.S. Liquid Asphalt Cement Apparent Consumption by Volume and Average Price per Barrel, 1999-2008 (in millions of barrels) 2008 Production Drops 14% Table 3-2: U.S. Liquid Asphalt Cement Apparent Consumption by Volume, Average Price per Barrel, and Year-over-Year Percentage Changes, 1999-2008 (in millions of barrels) Components of Trade Table 3-3: U.S. Liquid Asphalt Cement Value of Components of Trade, 1999- 2008 (in millions of dollars) Table 3-4: U.S. Liquid Asphalt and Road Oil Supply and Disposition, 1999-2008 (in millions of barrels) Value of Net Shipments Figure 3-3: U.S. Liquid Asphalt Cement Value of Net shipments (Shipments Less Exports) and Percent of U.S. Apparent Consumption, 1999-2008 (in billions of dollars)
  • 7. Table 3-5: U.S. Liquid Asphalt Cement Value of Net Shipments and Yearover- Year Percentage Change, 1999-2008 (in millions of dollars) Net Shipment Volume, Prices Figure 3-4: U.S. Liquid Asphalt Cement Net Shipments (Shipments Less Exports) by Volume and Average Net Shipment Prices per Barrel, 1999-2008 (in billions of dollars) Table 3-6: U.S. Liquid Asphalt Cement Net Shipments by Volume, Average Price per Barrel, and Year-over-Year Percentage Changes, 1999-2008 (in millions of barrels) Value of Imports Volatile Figure 3-5: U.S. Liquid Asphalt Cement Imports and Percent of U.S. Value of Apparent Consumption, 1999-2008 (in millions of dollars) Table 3-7: U.S. Liquid Asphalt Cement Value of Imports and Year-over-Year Percentage Change, 1999-2008 (in millions of dollars) Import Volume Growth at 4%, Prices at 25% in Ten-Year Period Figure 3-6: U.S. Liquid Asphalt Cement Imports by Volume and Average Price per Barrel, 1999-2008 (in millions of barrels) Table 3-8: U.S. Liquid Asphalt Cement Imports by Volume, Average Price per Barrel, and Year-over-Year Percentage Changes, 1999-2008 (in millions of barrels) Export Share Improves Figure 3-7: U.S. Liquid Asphalt Cement Value of Exports and Percent of U.S. Value of Shipments, 1999-2008 (in millions of dollars) Table 3-9: U.S. Liquid Asphalt Cement Value of Exports and Year-over-Year Percentage Change, 1999-2008 (in millions of dollars) Export Volume Growth at 20%, Prices at 11% in Ten-Year Period Figure 3-8: U.S. Liquid Asphalt Cement Imports by Volume and Average Price per Barrel, 1999-2008 (in millions of barrels) Table 3-10: U.S. Liquid Asphalt Cement Exports by Volume, Average Price per Barrel, and Year-over-Year Percentage Changes, 1999-2008 (in millions of barrels) Market Forecast Asphalt Cement Market Impacted by Supply, Demand and Commodity Pricing Crude Costs to Remain Below 2008 Levels Obama Administration Likely to Spend on Infrastructure Coker Unit Projects Further Shift Refiner Interests Away from Asphalt Figure 3-9: U.S. Liquid Asphalt Cement Value of Apparent Consumption Forecast, 1999-2008 (in billions of dollars) 2009 Production Increases Modest, Price Drops Significant Table 3-11: U.S. Liquid Asphalt Cement Value of Apparent Consumption Forecast and Year-over-Year Percentage Change, 2008-2013 (in millions of dollars) Consumption Growth at 8%, Price Fluctuates Figure 3-10: U.S. Liquid Asphalt Cement Apparent Consumption by Volume and Average Price per Barrel Forecasts, 2008-2013 (in millions of barrels).
  • 8. Table 3-12: U.S. Liquid Asphalt Cement Apparent Consumption by Volume, Average Price per Barrel Forecasts, and Year-over-Year Percentage Changes, 2008-2013 (in millions of barrels) Chapter 4: The U.S. Asphalt Products Market Asphalt Products Market Reaches $24 Billion Figure 4-1: U.S. Asphalt Products’ Value of Apparent Consumption, 1999-2008 (in billions of dollars) Table 4-1: U.S. Asphalt Products’ Value of Apparent Consumption and Year- over-Year Percentage Change, 1999-2008 (in millions of dollars) Figure 4-2: Share of U.S. Asphalt Products’ Value of Apparent Consumption by Segment: Asphalt Paving Mixtures and Asphalt Shingle and Coatings, 2008 (percentage) Total Quantities on the Decline Figure 4-3: U.S. Asphalt Products’ Apparent Consumption by Quantity and Average Price per Metric Ton, 1999-2008 (in million metric tons) Prices on the Rise Table 4-2: U.S. Asphalt Products’ Apparent Consumption by Quantity, Average Price per Metric Ton, and Year-over-Year Percentage Changes, 1999-2008 (in thousand metric tons) Figure 4-4: Share of U.S. Asphalt Products’ Quantity of Apparent Consumption by Segment: Asphalt Paving Mixtures and Asphalt Shingle and Coatings, 2008 (percentage) Asphalt Paving Mixtures Market Paving Mixtures Reaches $17 Billion Figure 4-5: U.S. Asphalt Paving Mixtures Apparent Consumption and Percent of Total U.S. Asphalt Products’ Market, 1999-2008 (in billions of dollars) Table 4-3: U.S. Asphalt Paving Mixtures Apparent Consumption Value and Year- over-Year Percentage Change, 1999-2008 (in millions of dollars) Asphalt Paving Mixtures Quantity and Price Figure 4-6: U.S. Asphalt Paving Mixtures Apparent Consumption by Quantity and Average Price per Metric Ton, 1999-2008 (in millions of metric tons) Table 4-4: U.S. Asphalt Paving Mixtures Apparent Consumption by Quantity, Average Price per Metric Ton, and Year-over-Year Percentage Changes, 1999- 2008 (in thousand metric tons) Components of Trade Table 4-5: U.S. Asphalt Paving Mixtures Components of Trade Value, 1999- 2008 (in millions of dollars) Net Shipment Value, Quantity and Price Figure 4-7: U.S. Asphalt Paving Mixtures Net Shipments Value (Shipments Less Exports) and Percent of U.S. Apparent Consumption, 1999-2008 (in billions of dollars) Table 4-6: U.S. Asphalt Paving Mixtures Net Shipments Value (Shipments Less Exports) and Year-over-Year Percentage Changes, 1999-2008 (in millions of dollars)
  • 9. Figure 4-8: U.S. Asphalt Paving Mixtures Net Shipments (Shipments Less Exports) by Quantity and Average Prices per Metric Ton, 1999-2008 (in million metric tons) Table 4-7: U.S. Asphalt Paving Mixtures Net Shipments (Shipments Less Exports) by Quantity, Average Prices per Metric Ton, and Year-over-Year Percentage Changes, 1999-2008 (in million metric tons) Import Value, Quantity, and Price Figure 4-9: U.S. Asphalt Paving Mixtures Import Value and Percent of U.S. Apparent Consumption, 1999-2008 (in millions of dollars) Table 4-8: U.S. Asphalt Paving Mixtures Import Value and Year-over-Year Percentage Changes, 1999-2008 (in millions of dollars) Figure 4-10: U.S. Asphalt Paving Mixtures’ Imports by Quantity and Average Import Prices per Metric Ton, 1999-2008 (in thousand metric tons) Table 4-9: U.S. Asphalt Paving Mixtures’ Imports by Quantity and Average Import Prices per Metric Ton, and Year-over-Year Percentage Changes, 1999-2008 (in thousand metric tons) Export Value, Quantities and Prices Figure 4-11: U.S. Asphalt Paving Mixtures’ Export Value and Percent of Total U.S. Shipment Value, 1999-2008 (in millions of dollars) Table 4-10: U.S. Asphalt Paving Mixtures’ Export Value and Year-over-Year Percentage Changes, 1999-2008 (in millions of dollars) Figure 4-12: U.S. Asphalt Paving Mixtures Exports by Quantity and Average Export Prices per Metric Ton, 1999-2008 (in thousand metric tons) Table 4-11: U.S. Asphalt Paving Mixtures Exports by Quantity and Average Export Prices per Metric Ton, 1999-2008 (in thousand metric tons) Asphalt Shingle and Coating Materials Market Shingle and Coating Materials Slides to $7 billion Figure 4-13: U.S. Asphalt Shingle and Coating Materials Apparent Consumption and Percent of Total U.S. Asphalt Products’ Market, 1999-2008 (in billions of dollars) Table 4-12: U.S. Asphalt Shingle and Coating Materials Apparent Consumption and Year-over-Year Percentage Changes, 1999-2008 (in millions of dollars) Asphalt Shingle & Coating Materials Quantity and Price Figure 4-14: U.S. Asphalt Shingle and Coating Materials Apparent Consumption by Quantity and Average Price per Metric Ton, 1999-2008 (in millions of metric tons) Table 4-13: U.S. Asphalt Shingle and Coating Materials Apparent Consumption by Quantity and Average Price per Metric Ton, and Yearover- Year Percentage Changes, 1999-2008 (in thousand metric tons) Components of Trade Table 4-14: U.S. Asphalt Shingle & Coating Materials Value of Components of Trade, 1999-2008 (in millions of dollars) Net Shipment Value, Quantity and Price Figure 4-15: U.S. Asphalt Shingle & Coating Materials Net Shipment Value (Shipments Less Exports) and Percent of U.S. Apparent Consumption, 1999- 2008 (in billions of dollars)
  • 10. Table 4-15: U.S. Asphalt Shingle & Coating Materials Net Shipment Value (Shipments Less Exports) and Year-over-Year Percentage Changes, 1999-2008 (in millions of dollars) Figure 4-16: U.S. Asphalt Paving Mixtures Net Shipments (Shipments Less Exports) by Quantity and Average Net Shipment Prices per Metric Ton, 1999- 2008 (in millions metric tons) Table 4-16: U.S. Asphalt Paving Mixtures Net Shipments (Shipments Less Exports) by Quantity, Average Net Shipment Prices per Metric Ton, and Year- over-Year Percentage Changes, 1999-2008 (in millions metric tons) .. Import Value, Quantity and Prices Figure 4-17: U.S. Asphalt Shingle & Coating Materials Import Value and Percent of U.S. Apparent Consumption, 1999-2008 (in millions of dollars) .. Table 4-17: U.S. Asphalt Shingle & Coating Materials Imports Value and Year- over-Year Percentage Changes, 1999-2008 (in millions of dollars) Figure 4-18: U.S. Asphalt Shingle & Coating Materials Imports by Quantity and Average Import Prices per Metric Ton, 1999-2008 (in thousand metric tons) Table 4-18: U.S. Asphalt Shingle & Coating Materials Imports by Quantity, Average Import Prices per Metric Ton, and Year-over-Year Percentage Changes, 1999-2008 (in thousand metric tons) Export Value, Quantity and Prices Figure 4-19: U.S. Asphalt Shingle & Coating Materials Value of Exports and Percent of Total U.S. Shipment Value, 1999-2008 (in millions of dollars) Table 4-19: U.S. Asphalt Shingle & Coating Materials Exports and Yearover- Year percentage Changes, 1999-2008 (in millions of dollars) Figure 4-20: U.S. Asphalt Shingle & Coating Materials Exports by Quantity and Average Export Prices per Metric Ton, 1999-2008 (in thousand metric tons) Table 4-20: U.S. Asphalt Shingle & Coating Materials Exports by Quantity, Average Export Prices per Metric Ton, and Year-over-Year Percentage Changes, 1999-2008 (in thousand metric tons) Market Forecast Asphalt Products Market to Top $38 billion by 2013 Figure 4-21: U.S. Asphalt Products’ Market Forecast by Segment: Asphalt Paving Mixtures and Shingle and Coating Materials, 2008-2013 (in billions of dollars) Paving Mixtures to Grow at 14% CAGR Table 4-21: U.S. Asphalt Products’ Market Forecast by Segment and Yearover- Year Percentage Changes: Asphalt Paving Mixtures and Shingle and Coating Materials, 2008-2013 (in millions of dollars) Figure 4-22: U.S. Asphalt Paving Mixtures Forecast by Quantity and Average Price per Metric Ton, 2008-2013 (in millions of metric tons) Government Spending to Bolster Market Table 4-22: U.S. Asphalt Paving Mixtures Forecast by Quantity, Average Price per Metric Ton, and Year-over-Year Percentage Changes, 2008-2013 (in millions of metric tons) Roofing Products Will Soften in 2009
  • 11. Figure 4-23: U.S. Asphalt Shingle and Coating Materials Forecast by Quantity and Average Price per Metric Ton, 2008-2013 (in millions of metric tons) Slow Improvement by 2013 Table 4-23: U.S. Asphalt Shingle and Coating Materials Forecast by Quantity, Average Price per Metric Ton, and Year-over-Year Percentage Changes, 2008- 2013 (in millions of metric tons) Chapter 5: Competitive Overview Introduction Competitive Landscape Consists of Three Stages Fragmented and Regional Business Landscape Figure 5-1: Top 10 U.S. Asphalt Refiners by Production Capacity, 2008 (percentage) Marathon Is Largest Refiner with 12% Share of Production Capacity Table 5-1: U.S. Asphalt Production Capacity by Company, 2008 (barrels per day) Low Refiner Capacity Utilization Figure 5-2: Total Asphalt Refiner Net Production Yield and Excess Capacity, 1999-2008 (in thousand barrels per day) Asphalt Considered Secondary and Low Value Change in Perception on the Horizon? Producers/Pavers Highly Fragmented The U.S. Market Consists of Many Local Mini-Markets Regional Supply Shortages Asphalt Producer Profiles Ergon, Inc Overview Performance Products Table 5-2: Selected Ergon Companies and Brands Significant Events Marathon Oil Corporation Overview Performance Figure 5-3: Total Marathon Oil Corporation Revenue, 2004-2008 (in billions of dollars) Figure 5-4: Marathon Oil Corporation Total Asphalt Yield and Percent of Total Refined Product Yield, 2004-2008 (thousand barrels per day) Figure 5-5: Marathon Oil Corporation Total Asphalt Sales and Percent of Total Refined Product Sales, 2004-2008 (thousand barrels per day) Products Table 5-3: Selected Marathon Asphalt Products Significant Events NuStar Energy L.P. Overview Performance Figure 5-6: NuStar Energy LP Total Sales by Segment: Product Marketing versus Service, 2005-2008 (in millions of dollars)
  • 12. Figure 5-7: Share of NuStar Energy LP Refining Yield in Thousands of Barrels per Day by Major Product: Asphalt versus Other (Naptha, Marine Fuel Oil, etc), Q1-Q3 2008 (percent) Products Significant Events SemMaterials (SemGroup L.P.) Overview Performance Products Table 5-4: Selected SemMaterials Products Significant Events Valero Energy Corporation Overview Performance Figure 5-8: Total Valero Energy Corporation Revenue, 2004-2008 (in billions of dollars) Figure 5-9: Valero Energy Corporation Total Lube & Asphalt Sales and Percent of Total Refined Product Sales, 2004-2008 (in billions of dollars) . Figure 5-10: Valero Energy Corporation Total Asphalt Yield and Percent of Total Refined Product Yield, 2004-2008 (thousand barrels per day) Products Table 5-5: Selected Valero Products Significant Events Paving Companies Oldcastle Materials (Oldcastle Inc./CRH Plc) Overview Performance Figure 5-11: Total Oldcastle Materials Revenue, 2004-2008 (in billions of dollars) Products Significant Events Vulcan Materials Company Overview Performance Figure 5-12: Total Vulcan Materials Revenue, 2004-2008 (in billions of dollars) Figure 5-13: Vulcan Materials’ Asphalt Mix and Concrete Revenue and Asphalt Mix Share of Total Operating Segment, 2004-2008 (in millions of dollars) Figure 5-14: Vulcan Materials Company Asphalt Mix Price and Volume Performance, 2004-2008 (in dollars and thousand short tons) Products Significant Events Chapter 6: Economic & Marketplace Trends Economic Crisis Peaks Real GDP Growth Projected at Negative 0.8% for 2009 Figure 6-1: U.S. Current-Dollar GDP vs. Real GDP, 2000-2009 (in trillions of dollars) Inflation Rears Its Ugly Head
  • 13. Figure 6-2: Percentage Changes in U.S. Current-Dollar GDP, Real GDP and the GDP Price Index, 2001-2009 (percentage) Economic Future Uncertain Asphalt Product Producer Prices Skyrocket Figure 6-3: Estimated Share of Total Material Cost, 1999-2008 (percentage) Sharp Increase in Liquid Asphalt in 2008 Figure 6-4: Asphalt Paving Mixture & Block Manufacturing Producer Price Index and the Asphalt Shingle & Coating Materials Manufacturing Producer Price Index, 1999-2008 (index) By Contrast, Asphalt Roofing Slower Growth Figure 6-5: Year-over-Year Percentage Change in Asphalt Paving Mixture & Block Manufacturing Producer Price Index and the Asphalt Shingle & Coating Materials Manufacturing Producer Price Index, 1999-2008 (percentage) Price Increases by Product Paving Products: Mixtures See 17% Gain in 2008 Figure 6-6: Asphalt Paving Product Manufacturing Producer Price Indexes: Emulsified Asphalt, Other Liquid Asphalt and Tar Paving Materials, Asphalt and Tar Paving Mixtures (excluding liquid), 2005-2008 (index) Figure 6-7: Year-over-Year Percentage Change in Asphalt Paving Product Manufacturing Producer Price Indexes: Emulsified Asphalt, Other Liquid Asphalt and Tar Paving Materials, Asphalt and Tar Paving Mixtures (excluding liquid), 2006-2008 (percentage) Roofing Products See Relatively Modest Price Increases in 2008 Figure 6-8: Asphalt Roofing Product Manufacturing Producer Price Indexes: Roofing Asphalts & Pitches, Coatings, and Cements; Prepared Asphalt & Tar Roofing & Siding Products, 1999-2008 (index) Figure 6-9: Year-over-Year Percentage Change in Asphalt Roofing Product Manufacturing Producer Price Indexes: Roofing Asphalts & Pitches, Coatings, and Cements; Prepared Asphalt & Tar Roofing & Siding Products, 1999-2008 (percentage) Asphalt Input Prices: Crude Up 75%+ Figure 6-10: Crude Petroleum Price Indexes: Domestic Production and Imports, 1999-2008 (index) Figure 6-11: Year-over-Year Percentage Change in Crude Petroleum Price Indexes: Domestic Production and Imports, 1999-2008 (percentage) Coker Projects May Further Reduce Asphalt Supply Pavement Input Prices: Liquid Asphalt and Aggregate Up 7% Figure 6-12: Primary Asphalt Pavement Commodity Input Price Indexes: Asphalt and Construction Aggregates, 1999-2008 (index) Figure 6-13: Year-over-Year Percentage Change in Primary Asphalt Pavement Commodity Input Price Indexes: Asphalt and Construction Aggregates, 1999- 2008 (percentage) Other Asphalt Pavement Input Costs Figure 6-14: Secondary Asphalt Pavement Commodity Input Price Indexes: Natural Gas and No. 2 Diesel Fuel, 1999-2008 (index)
  • 14. Figure 6-15: Year-over-Year Percentage Change in Asphalt Pavement Secondary Commodity Input Price Indexes: Natural Gas and No. 2 Diesel Fuel, 1999-2008 (percentage) Concrete Construction Input Prices High Figure 6-16: Concrete Construction Primary Commodity Price Indexes: Portland Cement, Construction Aggregates and Carbon Steel, 1999-2008 (index) Figure 6-17: Year-over-Year Percentage Change in Concrete Construction Primary Commodity Price Indexes: Portland Cement, Construction Aggregates and Carbon Steel, 1999-2008 (percentage) Concrete May Benefit Less Road Travel Not Easing Pressure on Aging Roads Figure 6-18: Total 12-Month Total Vehicle Distance Traveled versus Gasoline Producer Price Index, January 1998-August 2008 (billion miles) Prices and Supply Jeopardizing Road Maintenance Asphalt Paving Budgets Figure 6-19: Monthly Asphalt Prices by Selected State, January 2005- November 2008 (in dollars) Summer Delays and Postponements Administrations Get Creative Warming Weather Trends Benefit Marketplace Weather Disasters Prompt Government Emergency Financial Response Asphalt as a Green Industry Reclaimed Road Surfaces The Future of Municipal Paving RAP Highest Recycling Rate Among Recycled Industrial Products Industry Leadership in Use of Other Waste Products Table 6-1: Asphalt Industry Recycling’s Report Card versus Other Industries, 2008 Labor Shortages and Immigration to Hamper Road Building Illegal Immigrants May Not Fill the Ranks Industry Unattractive to Younger Work Force Warm Mix Asphalt Positioned to Usurp Hot Mix Chapter 7: End User Markets Paving Industry Consumes 93% Asphalt Roofing Suffers with Residential Construction Downturn Asphalt Roofing No Rebound in Sight Paving Has A Friend in Obama Figure 7-1: Estimated Share of U.S. Asphalt Consumption by End-User Market, 2008 (percentage) Total Construction Spending Declines Figure 7-2: Total U.S. Construction Spending, 2002-2008 (in billions of dollars) Table 7-1: Total U.S. Construction Spending and Year-over-Year Percent Change, 2002-2008 (in billions of dollars) Non-Residential Spending Starts to Slow in 2008 Figure 7-3: Total Non-Residential Construction Spending and Percent of Total Construction Spending, 2002-2008 (in billions of dollars) Table 7-2: Total U.S. Non-Residential Construction Spending and Yearover- Year Percent Change, 2002-2008 (in billions of dollars)
  • 15. Residential Spending Nosedives Figure 7-4: Total Residential Construction Spending and Percent of Total Construction Spending, 2002-2008 (in billions of dollars) Table 7-3: Total U.S. Residential Construction Spending and Year-over- Year Percent Change, 2002-2008 (in billions of dollars) Highway & Street Construction Down from Mid-Decade Growth Rates But Growth Curtailed Somewhat by Delays and Other Constraints Figure 7-5: Total Highway & Street Construction Spending and Percent of Total Non-Residential Construction Spending, 2002-2008 (in billions of dollars) Table 7-4: Total Highway & Street Construction Spending and Year-over- Year Percent Change (in billions of dollars) State & Local Pavement Spending at $50 Billion for 2008 Figure 7-6: Total State & Local Pavement Spending and Percent of Total Highway & Street Construction Spending, 2002-2008 (in billions of dollars) 175 Table 7-5: Total State & Local Pavement Spending and Year-over-Year Percent Change, 2002-2008 (in billions of dollars) Figure 7-7: Share of U.S. State & Local Highway & Street Construction Spending by Type of Construction, 2007 (percentage) Federal Spending and SAFETEA-LU Figure 7-8: Safe, Accountable, Flexible, Efficient Transportation Equity Act: A Legacy for Users (SAFETEA-LU) Total Highway Spending (Excluding Transportation Research), 2005-2009 (in billions of dollars) Table 7-6: Safe, Accountable, Flexible, Efficient Transportation Equity Act: A Legacy for Users (SAFETEA-LU) Total Highway Spending (Excluding Transportation Research) and Year-over-Year Percent Change, 2005-2009 (in billions of dollars) New Administration Could Mean Boon for Asphalt Non-Residential Pavement Contractor Revenue Affected by Price Fluctuations Figure 7-9: Total Non-Residential Pavement Contractor Revenues and Percent of Total Highway & Street Construction Spending, 2002-2008 (in billions of dollars) Table 7-7: Total Non-Residential Pavement Contractor Revenues and Year-over Year Percent Change, 2002-2008 (in billions of dollars) “Residential” Pavement Contractor Revenue Arcs Downward Figure 7-10: Estimated Total “Residential” Pavement Contractor Revenues and Percent of Total Highway & Street Construction Spending, 2002-2008 (in billions of dollars) Table 7-8: Total “Residential” Pavement Contractor Revenues and Yearover- Year Percent Change, 2002-2008 (in billions of dollars) Roofing Contractor Revenues Decline 16% in 2008 Figure 7-11: Total Roofing Contractor Revenues and Percent of Total Construction Spending, 2002-2008 (in billions of dollars) Table 7-9: Total Roofing Contractor Revenues and Year-over-Year Percent Change, 2002-2008 (in billions of dollars) Appendix: Selected Corporate Addresses
  • 16. Appendix: Selected Associations Addresses Available immediately for Online Download at http://www.marketresearch.com/product/display.asp?productid=2088212 US: 800.298.5699 UK +44.207.256.3920 Int'l: +1.240.747.3093 Fax: 240.747.3004