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CPM100E – Time, Cost, Risk and
               Procurement Management


                                   Presented by
                            Mark A. Buchholz, PMP
                           2008 Integrated Project
                           Management Conference



CPM100E - Time, Cost, Risk and Procurement Management   slide 1
Lesson Overview
     Time and Cost Management
          The student will understand the concept of time
          management
          The student will understand the concept of cost
          management
     Risk and Procurement Management
          The student will understand the value of risk
          management to the project manager
          The student will understand the role of procurement
          management in the project office
          The student will understand the implications of contract
          terminations during project execution


CPM100E - Time, Cost, Risk and Procurement Management         slide 2
Time Management
     Project Time Management (PMBOK 3rd Ed, p. 123)
          Activity definition – identifying the specific schedule activities that
          need to be performed to produce the various project deliverables
          Activity sequencing – identifying and documenting dependencies
          among schedule activities
          Activity duration estimating – estimating the number of work
          periods that will be needed to complete individual activities
          Activity resource estimating – estimating the type and quantities
          of resources required to perform each schedule activity
          Schedule development – analyzing activity sequences, durations,
          resource requirements, and schedule constraints to create the
          project schedule
          Schedule control – controlling changes to the project schedule




CPM100E - Time, Cost, Risk and Procurement Management                        slide 3
Time Management
     Project time management
     includes the processes to
     accomplish timely
     completion of the project
     PMBOK 3rd Ed, p. 123.
     Project Scheduling is the
     process of sequencing and
     timing when the work will
     be performed
          Scheduling is determining
          “the When”




CPM100E - Time, Cost, Risk and Procurement Management   slide 4
Time Management
     The Project Scheduling Process
          We need to know what we’re going to do
          We need to know in what order we’re going to do it
          We need to know how long each thing we’re going to
          do is going to take
          We need to know who’s going to do what needs to be
          done
          We need to arrange those things we’re going to do
          according to how they relate to each other
          Then over the course of the project we need to control
          these things and our plan to do that




CPM100E - Time, Cost, Risk and Procurement Management        slide 5
The Integrated Master Schedule (IMS)




     The IMS is
          The document which represents the Integrated Planning and
          Scheduling processes
          At the top level of the project
          A Network diagram which encompasses all the scope, defines
          when things will get done, and tracks how much work was
          accomplished

CPM100E - Time, Cost, Risk and Procurement Management              slide 6
The IMS is a Communication Tool
     Enables communication by establishing a common
     language
          Shared understanding of tasks and relationships
          Defines “what/who” impacts “my tasks”
          Defines “what/who” “my tasks” impact
     Enables use of project management language
          Focus on planned start/finish versus actual start/finish
          How much has been done, versus was planned to be done
     Helps to answer the questions
          When am I going to start?
          When am I going to be done?
          What does that mean to the next task?


CPM100E - Time, Cost, Risk and Procurement Management          slide 7
The IMS is a Management Tool
     Enables Baseline to be established
          Establishes what was planned to be accomplished
          Reference point from which to measure performance
          Gives clear picture of slips and early starts
     Clarifies task dependencies
          Shows who’s responsible for what and when
          Shows impact of extending task duration beyond the plan
     Reliability of the IMS depends upon
          Regular reporting: every day/week/two-weeks/month/etc.
          Accurate statusing: how much of the planned work was
          actually accomplished in that period
     Project Management becomes pro-active not reactive

CPM100E - Time, Cost, Risk and Procurement Management          slide 8
Cost Management
     Project Cost Management includes the processes
     involved in planning, estimating, budgeting and
     controlling costs so that the project can be completed
     within the approved budget (PMBOK 3rd Ed, p. 157)
          Cost estimating – developing an approximation of the
          costs of the resources needed to complete project
          activities
          Cost budgeting – aggregating the estimated costs of
          individual activities or work packages to establish a
          cost baseline
          Cost control – influencing the factors that create cost
          variances and controlling changes to the project
          budget


CPM100E - Time, Cost, Risk and Procurement Management          slide 9
Cost Estimating
     We know what needs to be done
          Scope defined in our WBS
          Activities defined
          Durations estimated
          Resources assigned
     Now it’s a “simple” matter of A times B equals C
          Labor rates times the hours equals the cost
          Add in all the “other” costs to get a total cost
     Or you can use other methods to estimate cost
          Analogous – using the actual cost of a previous project
          Resource cost rates – research the market rates for materials
          Bottom-up estimating – start with the lowest level tasks and
          gradually add-up these costs
          Parametric – use of historical data to statistically develop a cost


CPM100E - Time, Cost, Risk and Procurement Management                     slide 10
Cost Budgeting
     Adding it all up to create the total cost for the project
          Aggregate all the activity or WBS element costs
          Apply a reserve margin to the total you develop to create a new
          total cost
               How much do you need to add in to accommodate the risk on
               this project
               Adding in funding for the “Unknown Unknowns”
          Evaluate and reconcile against how much money is available
     Establish a cost baseline
          A time-phased budget – when the project will spend the money, i.
          e. month-by-month, or quarter-by-quarter
     Project funding requirements
          Once a management reserve margin is applied, establish what
          the total funds the project will need


CPM100E - Time, Cost, Risk and Procurement Management                 slide 11
Risk Management
     Project risk management
     includes the processes
     concerned with conducting risk
     management planning,
     identification, analysis,
     responses, and monitoring and
     control on a project; most of
     these processes are updated
     throughout the project.
     (PMBOK 3rd Ed, P. 237)
          The objectives of project risk
          management are to
              Increase the probability
              and impact of positive
              events
              Decrease the probability
              and impact of events
              adverse to the project

CPM100E - Time, Cost, Risk and Procurement Management   slide 12
Risk Management
     Risk management planning – deciding how to approach, plan
     and execute the risk management activities for a project
     Risk identification – determining which risks might affect the
     project and documenting their characteristics
     Qualitative risk analysis – prioritizing the risks for subsequent
     further analysis or action by assessing and combining their
     probability of occurrence and impact.
     Quantitative risk analysis – numerically analyzing the effect on
     overall project objectives of identified risks
     Risk response planning – developing options and actions to
     enhance opportunities and to reduce threats to project
     objectives
     Risk monitoring and control – tracking identified risks,
     monitoring residual risks, identifying new risks, executing risk
     response plans, and evaluating their effectiveness 3rd Ed, p. 237
                                                   PMBOK
                                                          throughout
CPM100E - Time, Cost, life cycle
     the project Risk and Procurement Management                    slide 13
Risk Management Planning
     Deciding ahead of time how
     the project team will handle the
     process of risk management
          Usually they will simply model
          the behavior of their “parent”
          organization
          Will need to declare on the
          project team who, how, and
          when risk management
          activities will occur
                Its everyone’s
                responsibility
                Its continuous – But it has
                to start early!
                It must be integrated with
                every other process that
                the project team performs
          Includes deciding on what
          level of risk the project is
          willing to assume
CPM100E - Time, Cost, Risk and Procurement Management   slide 14
Risk Identification
     Developing a list of what
     could go wrong – within
     reason (but seriously, dude,
     the rain will never get that
     bad)
          Risk Register
              List of identified risks
              List of potential
              responses
              Root causes of the risk
              Updated risk
              categories




CPM100E - Time, Cost, Risk and Procurement Management   slide 15
Qualitative and Quantitative Risk Analysis
     Qualitative risk analysis – the focus is on whether the
     risk event will occur
     Quantitative risks – the focus is on the impact if the
     risk does occur
     Risk factor is probability times impact
          Risk alpha has a probability of 3 with an impact of 4
          therefore the RF is 12
          Risk beta has a probability of 1 with an impact of 5
          therefore the RF is 5
          Risk gamma has a probability of 5 with an impact of 5
          therefore the RF is 25



CPM100E - Time, Cost, Risk and Procurement Management       slide 16
Risk Response Planning
     We know something is going to happen.
          We’re not sure when but we know it will hurt when it
          happens
     So what are we going to do when the risk event
     occurs
          Make it “hurt” less – Mitigate
          Make it go away faster – Mitigate
          Make it someone else’s problem – Transfer
          Don’t do the thing that is most likely to cause it – Avoid
          Have a plan – Contingency response strategy
          Suffer the pain – Acceptance



CPM100E - Time, Cost, Risk and Procurement Management           slide 17
Risk Monitoring and Control
     We’ve figured it all out, we
     have a plan, now its time to
     watch, observe, and be
     ready to act
          Identify, analyze and plan
          for new risks
          Monitor triggers to see if a
          risk event has occurred
          Monitor the execution of
          our risk response plans to
          make sure that they really
          are having the intended
          effect
          Determine if we need to
          change how we are
          managing risk


CPM100E - Time, Cost, Risk and Procurement Management   slide 18
Project Procurement Management
     Plan purchases and acquisitions – determining what to purchase or
     acquire and determining when and how
     Solicitation planning – plan contracting – documenting products,
     services and results requirement and identifying potential sellers
     Request seller responses – obtaining information, quotations, bids,
     offers, or proposals, as appropriate
     Source selection – select sellers – reviewing offers, choosing among
     potential sellers, and negotiating a written contract with each seller
     Contract administration – managing the contract and relationship
     between the buyer and seller, reviewing and documenting how a
     seller is performing or has performed to establish required corrective
     actions and provide a basis for future relationships with the seller,
     managing contract-related changes and when appropriate, managing
     the contractual relationship with the outside buyer of the project
     Contract closure – completing and settling each contract, including the
     resolution of any open items, and closing each contract 3rd Ed, p. 269
                                                    PMBOK applicable to
     the project or a project phase
CPM100E - Time, Cost, Risk and Procurement Management                     slide 19
What is a Contract
     A contract is a legally
     binding agreement between
     two or more parties
          Non-verbal
          Verbal
          Written
     A contract has certain key
     elements
          Offer
          Consideration
          Acceptance




CPM100E - Time, Cost, Risk and Procurement Management   slide 20
The Contracting Process
     What do we need someone to provide for us
          Services, product, support, etc
     What are the terms by which we want them to provide it to us
          What is it supposed to look like
          When do we want it
          What are the rules that have to be followed when they provide it
     Make us an offer
     Accept the offer
     Make sure we get what we want when and how we need it –
     enforce the terms of the agreement
     When we’re done, make sure we’re really done




CPM100E - Time, Cost, Risk and Procurement Management                  slide 21
Questions and Contact Info
     Questions/Answers?
     Don’t forget to fill out the Course Evaluation Sheets
     Contact:
          Mark A. Buchholz, PMP
          Account Manager, Acquisition Solutions, Inc.
          Email: mbuchholz@acquisitionsolutions.com




CPM100E - Time, Cost, Risk and Procurement Management    slide 22

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CPM100E - Managing Time, Cost, Risk & Procurement

  • 1. CPM100E – Time, Cost, Risk and Procurement Management Presented by Mark A. Buchholz, PMP 2008 Integrated Project Management Conference CPM100E - Time, Cost, Risk and Procurement Management slide 1
  • 2. Lesson Overview Time and Cost Management The student will understand the concept of time management The student will understand the concept of cost management Risk and Procurement Management The student will understand the value of risk management to the project manager The student will understand the role of procurement management in the project office The student will understand the implications of contract terminations during project execution CPM100E - Time, Cost, Risk and Procurement Management slide 2
  • 3. Time Management Project Time Management (PMBOK 3rd Ed, p. 123) Activity definition – identifying the specific schedule activities that need to be performed to produce the various project deliverables Activity sequencing – identifying and documenting dependencies among schedule activities Activity duration estimating – estimating the number of work periods that will be needed to complete individual activities Activity resource estimating – estimating the type and quantities of resources required to perform each schedule activity Schedule development – analyzing activity sequences, durations, resource requirements, and schedule constraints to create the project schedule Schedule control – controlling changes to the project schedule CPM100E - Time, Cost, Risk and Procurement Management slide 3
  • 4. Time Management Project time management includes the processes to accomplish timely completion of the project PMBOK 3rd Ed, p. 123. Project Scheduling is the process of sequencing and timing when the work will be performed Scheduling is determining “the When” CPM100E - Time, Cost, Risk and Procurement Management slide 4
  • 5. Time Management The Project Scheduling Process We need to know what we’re going to do We need to know in what order we’re going to do it We need to know how long each thing we’re going to do is going to take We need to know who’s going to do what needs to be done We need to arrange those things we’re going to do according to how they relate to each other Then over the course of the project we need to control these things and our plan to do that CPM100E - Time, Cost, Risk and Procurement Management slide 5
  • 6. The Integrated Master Schedule (IMS) The IMS is The document which represents the Integrated Planning and Scheduling processes At the top level of the project A Network diagram which encompasses all the scope, defines when things will get done, and tracks how much work was accomplished CPM100E - Time, Cost, Risk and Procurement Management slide 6
  • 7. The IMS is a Communication Tool Enables communication by establishing a common language Shared understanding of tasks and relationships Defines “what/who” impacts “my tasks” Defines “what/who” “my tasks” impact Enables use of project management language Focus on planned start/finish versus actual start/finish How much has been done, versus was planned to be done Helps to answer the questions When am I going to start? When am I going to be done? What does that mean to the next task? CPM100E - Time, Cost, Risk and Procurement Management slide 7
  • 8. The IMS is a Management Tool Enables Baseline to be established Establishes what was planned to be accomplished Reference point from which to measure performance Gives clear picture of slips and early starts Clarifies task dependencies Shows who’s responsible for what and when Shows impact of extending task duration beyond the plan Reliability of the IMS depends upon Regular reporting: every day/week/two-weeks/month/etc. Accurate statusing: how much of the planned work was actually accomplished in that period Project Management becomes pro-active not reactive CPM100E - Time, Cost, Risk and Procurement Management slide 8
  • 9. Cost Management Project Cost Management includes the processes involved in planning, estimating, budgeting and controlling costs so that the project can be completed within the approved budget (PMBOK 3rd Ed, p. 157) Cost estimating – developing an approximation of the costs of the resources needed to complete project activities Cost budgeting – aggregating the estimated costs of individual activities or work packages to establish a cost baseline Cost control – influencing the factors that create cost variances and controlling changes to the project budget CPM100E - Time, Cost, Risk and Procurement Management slide 9
  • 10. Cost Estimating We know what needs to be done Scope defined in our WBS Activities defined Durations estimated Resources assigned Now it’s a “simple” matter of A times B equals C Labor rates times the hours equals the cost Add in all the “other” costs to get a total cost Or you can use other methods to estimate cost Analogous – using the actual cost of a previous project Resource cost rates – research the market rates for materials Bottom-up estimating – start with the lowest level tasks and gradually add-up these costs Parametric – use of historical data to statistically develop a cost CPM100E - Time, Cost, Risk and Procurement Management slide 10
  • 11. Cost Budgeting Adding it all up to create the total cost for the project Aggregate all the activity or WBS element costs Apply a reserve margin to the total you develop to create a new total cost How much do you need to add in to accommodate the risk on this project Adding in funding for the “Unknown Unknowns” Evaluate and reconcile against how much money is available Establish a cost baseline A time-phased budget – when the project will spend the money, i. e. month-by-month, or quarter-by-quarter Project funding requirements Once a management reserve margin is applied, establish what the total funds the project will need CPM100E - Time, Cost, Risk and Procurement Management slide 11
  • 12. Risk Management Project risk management includes the processes concerned with conducting risk management planning, identification, analysis, responses, and monitoring and control on a project; most of these processes are updated throughout the project. (PMBOK 3rd Ed, P. 237) The objectives of project risk management are to Increase the probability and impact of positive events Decrease the probability and impact of events adverse to the project CPM100E - Time, Cost, Risk and Procurement Management slide 12
  • 13. Risk Management Risk management planning – deciding how to approach, plan and execute the risk management activities for a project Risk identification – determining which risks might affect the project and documenting their characteristics Qualitative risk analysis – prioritizing the risks for subsequent further analysis or action by assessing and combining their probability of occurrence and impact. Quantitative risk analysis – numerically analyzing the effect on overall project objectives of identified risks Risk response planning – developing options and actions to enhance opportunities and to reduce threats to project objectives Risk monitoring and control – tracking identified risks, monitoring residual risks, identifying new risks, executing risk response plans, and evaluating their effectiveness 3rd Ed, p. 237 PMBOK throughout CPM100E - Time, Cost, life cycle the project Risk and Procurement Management slide 13
  • 14. Risk Management Planning Deciding ahead of time how the project team will handle the process of risk management Usually they will simply model the behavior of their “parent” organization Will need to declare on the project team who, how, and when risk management activities will occur Its everyone’s responsibility Its continuous – But it has to start early! It must be integrated with every other process that the project team performs Includes deciding on what level of risk the project is willing to assume CPM100E - Time, Cost, Risk and Procurement Management slide 14
  • 15. Risk Identification Developing a list of what could go wrong – within reason (but seriously, dude, the rain will never get that bad) Risk Register List of identified risks List of potential responses Root causes of the risk Updated risk categories CPM100E - Time, Cost, Risk and Procurement Management slide 15
  • 16. Qualitative and Quantitative Risk Analysis Qualitative risk analysis – the focus is on whether the risk event will occur Quantitative risks – the focus is on the impact if the risk does occur Risk factor is probability times impact Risk alpha has a probability of 3 with an impact of 4 therefore the RF is 12 Risk beta has a probability of 1 with an impact of 5 therefore the RF is 5 Risk gamma has a probability of 5 with an impact of 5 therefore the RF is 25 CPM100E - Time, Cost, Risk and Procurement Management slide 16
  • 17. Risk Response Planning We know something is going to happen. We’re not sure when but we know it will hurt when it happens So what are we going to do when the risk event occurs Make it “hurt” less – Mitigate Make it go away faster – Mitigate Make it someone else’s problem – Transfer Don’t do the thing that is most likely to cause it – Avoid Have a plan – Contingency response strategy Suffer the pain – Acceptance CPM100E - Time, Cost, Risk and Procurement Management slide 17
  • 18. Risk Monitoring and Control We’ve figured it all out, we have a plan, now its time to watch, observe, and be ready to act Identify, analyze and plan for new risks Monitor triggers to see if a risk event has occurred Monitor the execution of our risk response plans to make sure that they really are having the intended effect Determine if we need to change how we are managing risk CPM100E - Time, Cost, Risk and Procurement Management slide 18
  • 19. Project Procurement Management Plan purchases and acquisitions – determining what to purchase or acquire and determining when and how Solicitation planning – plan contracting – documenting products, services and results requirement and identifying potential sellers Request seller responses – obtaining information, quotations, bids, offers, or proposals, as appropriate Source selection – select sellers – reviewing offers, choosing among potential sellers, and negotiating a written contract with each seller Contract administration – managing the contract and relationship between the buyer and seller, reviewing and documenting how a seller is performing or has performed to establish required corrective actions and provide a basis for future relationships with the seller, managing contract-related changes and when appropriate, managing the contractual relationship with the outside buyer of the project Contract closure – completing and settling each contract, including the resolution of any open items, and closing each contract 3rd Ed, p. 269 PMBOK applicable to the project or a project phase CPM100E - Time, Cost, Risk and Procurement Management slide 19
  • 20. What is a Contract A contract is a legally binding agreement between two or more parties Non-verbal Verbal Written A contract has certain key elements Offer Consideration Acceptance CPM100E - Time, Cost, Risk and Procurement Management slide 20
  • 21. The Contracting Process What do we need someone to provide for us Services, product, support, etc What are the terms by which we want them to provide it to us What is it supposed to look like When do we want it What are the rules that have to be followed when they provide it Make us an offer Accept the offer Make sure we get what we want when and how we need it – enforce the terms of the agreement When we’re done, make sure we’re really done CPM100E - Time, Cost, Risk and Procurement Management slide 21
  • 22. Questions and Contact Info Questions/Answers? Don’t forget to fill out the Course Evaluation Sheets Contact: Mark A. Buchholz, PMP Account Manager, Acquisition Solutions, Inc. Email: mbuchholz@acquisitionsolutions.com CPM100E - Time, Cost, Risk and Procurement Management slide 22