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Using impact evaluations in sport:
       An art and a science

            Dr. Jyotsna Puri
          Head of Evaluation
      Deputy Executive Director, 3ie
          www.3ieimpact.org
PROGRESA
So what was different with Progesa?
• Why was it different?
• Why did policy
  makers take note?
• ……
• It was an IMPACT
  EVALUATION!
• ….
• What is an IMPACT
  EVALUATION??
What do we need to measure impact?


Providing sports
programs to
disadvantaged youth


                      Before   After
Project (treatment)             92
comparison
Before versus after single difference comparison
         Before versus after = 92 – 40 = 52
                             Before          After
       Project (treatment)    40              92
       comparison




  The project led a larger number of girls and
  boys to higher levels of health.

But this could have happened in the absence of the program?!
Post-treatment comparison
          Single difference = 92 – 84 = 8

                        Before         After
 Project (treatment)                    92
 comparison                             84




But we don’t know if they were similar before…
What do we need to measure impact?
              Before             After




Project




Comparison
Basic Setup of a Randomized Evaluation


                  Potential Participants

                   Evaluation Sample




                 Random Assignment

             Treatment
               Group                       Comparison
                                             Group

  Participants           No-Shows
                                                        Based on Orr (1999)
RANDOMIZATION RANDOMIZATION RANDOMIZATION

RANDOMIZATION   RANDOMIZATION
RANDOMIZATION RANDOMIZATION

RANDOMIZATION                                                 RANDOMIZATION

RANDOMIZATION RANDOMIZATION RANDOMIZATION RANDOMIZATION RANDOMIZATION


RANDOMIZATION
                               RANDOMIZATION
Evidence on the impact of
sport on development has
been scarce.
An impact evaluation examining the
           impact of sport
Did the program cause an
increase in development
indicators amongst program
participants?

Were the effects on boys and
girls the same?

What are the
necessary/sufficient conditions
for success?

Can this be extrapolated to
other circumstances/contexts?
2010 study on sports - Conclusions
Does sport contribute to
personal development and well
being of disadvantaged youth?
•Unclear and non-significant
impact on self-esteem and self-
efficacy.
•Peer leaders (South Africa: yes,
Magic Bus: unclear)
•HIV/AIDS, gender beliefs?
Evaluating Sports and development : A need for
                better thinking
 • Ill defined program theory.
 • Small sample sizes
 • Survey samples powered
   for heterogeneous impacts
   (e.g. girls vs. boys, starting
   levels of self-esteem)
 • Before vs. after but
   comparisons not chosen
   well.
Improving Lives through Impact
Evaluation
3ie
   Improv
           ing the
 supply
         side an
   the dem        d
            and
     side of
eviden
       ce base
develo          d
       pment
              s
3ie sub-grant windows
• Funds ‘IMPACT’
  evaluations and provides
  technical expertise;

• Necessary attributes:
   -   Counterfactual analysis
   -   Policy relevant, LIMCs
   -   Good program theory
   -   Capacity development
   -   High technical quality
   -   Use mixed methods
   -   Policy impact and
       potential for scaling up
Policy impact!?!
We take sophisticated techniques
Which make nice academic studies
Which get published in top journals
Bridging the gap: Bringing facts to
 policy makers and program managers
• School based deworming:
  cuts absenteeism by one-
  fourth and costs only 50
  cents/child/year.
• Conditional cash transfer
  programs: reduce poverty
  and increase level of
  secondary school
  enrollment.
• Financial performance
  incentives: can improve
  use and quality of health
  services.
Policy Window

Policy window grants



Preparation grants:
                      Sri Lanka, Philippines, Fiji,
                      Ecuador, South Africa,
                      NEPAD, Uganda etc.
3ie: State of the art expertise
• More than 100 impact
  evaluations.
• Systematic reviews
• Policy impact
• More than 50 countries
• Other:
  –   Staff expertise
  –   Experts network
  –   Training
  –   Monitoring
  –   In-house research
Impact Evaluations
– Efficacy and design
– Effectiveness of
  interventions.
– Cost effectiveness of
  interventions
– Trade-offs and
  unintended
  consequences.
Thank you.
  jpuri@3ieimpact.org
        #jo_puri
WWW.3IEIMPACT.ORG
  FACEBOOK/TWITTER

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Maidan Summit 2012 Dr. Jyotsna Puri, 3ie

  • 1. Using impact evaluations in sport: An art and a science Dr. Jyotsna Puri Head of Evaluation Deputy Executive Director, 3ie www.3ieimpact.org
  • 3. So what was different with Progesa? • Why was it different? • Why did policy makers take note? • …… • It was an IMPACT EVALUATION! • …. • What is an IMPACT EVALUATION??
  • 4. What do we need to measure impact? Providing sports programs to disadvantaged youth Before After Project (treatment) 92 comparison
  • 5. Before versus after single difference comparison Before versus after = 92 – 40 = 52 Before After Project (treatment) 40 92 comparison The project led a larger number of girls and boys to higher levels of health. But this could have happened in the absence of the program?!
  • 6. Post-treatment comparison Single difference = 92 – 84 = 8 Before After Project (treatment) 92 comparison 84 But we don’t know if they were similar before…
  • 7. What do we need to measure impact? Before After Project Comparison
  • 8. Basic Setup of a Randomized Evaluation Potential Participants Evaluation Sample Random Assignment Treatment Group Comparison Group Participants No-Shows Based on Orr (1999)
  • 9. RANDOMIZATION RANDOMIZATION RANDOMIZATION RANDOMIZATION RANDOMIZATION RANDOMIZATION RANDOMIZATION RANDOMIZATION RANDOMIZATION RANDOMIZATION RANDOMIZATION RANDOMIZATION RANDOMIZATION RANDOMIZATION RANDOMIZATION RANDOMIZATION
  • 10. Evidence on the impact of sport on development has been scarce.
  • 11. An impact evaluation examining the impact of sport Did the program cause an increase in development indicators amongst program participants? Were the effects on boys and girls the same? What are the necessary/sufficient conditions for success? Can this be extrapolated to other circumstances/contexts?
  • 12. 2010 study on sports - Conclusions Does sport contribute to personal development and well being of disadvantaged youth? •Unclear and non-significant impact on self-esteem and self- efficacy. •Peer leaders (South Africa: yes, Magic Bus: unclear) •HIV/AIDS, gender beliefs?
  • 13. Evaluating Sports and development : A need for better thinking • Ill defined program theory. • Small sample sizes • Survey samples powered for heterogeneous impacts (e.g. girls vs. boys, starting levels of self-esteem) • Before vs. after but comparisons not chosen well.
  • 14. Improving Lives through Impact Evaluation
  • 15. 3ie Improv ing the supply side an the dem d and side of eviden ce base develo d pment s
  • 16. 3ie sub-grant windows • Funds ‘IMPACT’ evaluations and provides technical expertise; • Necessary attributes: - Counterfactual analysis - Policy relevant, LIMCs - Good program theory - Capacity development - High technical quality - Use mixed methods - Policy impact and potential for scaling up
  • 18. We take sophisticated techniques
  • 19. Which make nice academic studies
  • 20. Which get published in top journals
  • 21. Bridging the gap: Bringing facts to policy makers and program managers • School based deworming: cuts absenteeism by one- fourth and costs only 50 cents/child/year. • Conditional cash transfer programs: reduce poverty and increase level of secondary school enrollment. • Financial performance incentives: can improve use and quality of health services.
  • 22. Policy Window Policy window grants Preparation grants: Sri Lanka, Philippines, Fiji, Ecuador, South Africa, NEPAD, Uganda etc.
  • 23. 3ie: State of the art expertise • More than 100 impact evaluations. • Systematic reviews • Policy impact • More than 50 countries • Other: – Staff expertise – Experts network – Training – Monitoring – In-house research
  • 24. Impact Evaluations – Efficacy and design – Effectiveness of interventions. – Cost effectiveness of interventions – Trade-offs and unintended consequences.
  • 25. Thank you. jpuri@3ieimpact.org #jo_puri WWW.3IEIMPACT.ORG FACEBOOK/TWITTER

Notas do Editor

  1. 3ie was set up in 2008 after the report ‘When will we ever learn’? Was put out by the Center for Global development. The organization’s main mission is to increase development effectiveness through the better use of evidence in developing countries. Our main work is in encouraging impact evaluations and systematic reviews. 3ie provides mainly technical, management and financial support, provided by our donors to high quality impact evaluations and systematic reviews. We disburse approximately XX dollars annually. We have three offices with our headquarters in Delhi and two offices in London and another in Washington DC.
  2. Policy Window grants: India: $500k, breakthrough, early child marriage. China: 2 awards total $1 Million; Intestinal parasites.  Uganda: Phase 1:  $60k   (total to be determined, expected approx US$300k): Staff recruitment and retention in post conflict areas. Morocco: US$330k; youth training.   Policy preparation grants: Fiji, ongoing - poverty reduction strategy. South Africa, completed: School feeding programme and ECD Ecuador, 2 proposals submitted: Philippines, on-going with the department of education. Sri Lanka, award in process – to be determined.   Others in play Argentina (CIPPEC) Kyrgyzstan (doubtful) FINO (India) NEPAD, e-Africa programme IFRC, Haiti Pakistan, Planning Commission Colombia, SINERGIA  Also under discussion a 'Philippines Policy Window' of 10-12 studies financed by AusAID.
  3. Also heterogeneity; What can be scaled up? What can be/should be replicated? Policy impact and relevance.