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AUG 2011




09/27/12              1
Harley Davidson Strategic Audit


Presented to: Dr. Saneya el Galaly

Presented By:
Mahmoud Abdel Hamid
Karim Mohsen
Mohamed Hossam
Mohamed Madkour




4/09/2011                            2
Agenda
• Brief History of HD        • Alternative Strategy
• Current Situation              – TOWS Matrix
    – Corporate Governance   •   Possible strategies
    – Financial position
•
                             •   Recommended Strategies
    Vision and Mission
•   Environmental Scanning   •   Evaluation
•   Industry Analysis        •   Conclusion
•   SWOT
•   EFAS
• IFAS
• KSFA




4/09/2011                                                 3
HISTORY
Foundation
It all started in Milwaukee, Wisconsin in 1903 when William Harley,
Walter, and Arthur Davidson, along, created the first Harley-Davidson
in their family building.




 09/27/12                                           ® Tony Gauvin, UMFK,
                                                                       4
  4/09/2011                                                         2005 4
HD Today
• Manufactures heavyweight Custom & Touring Motorcycles

• Owns Buell Motorcycle & Harley Davidson Financial services
(HDFS)

• Has over 1,500 dealers worldwide in 30 countries.

• Foreign business is about 18% of Sales; R&D, 3.2%.

• Has about 7,900 employees.




09/27/12                                                       5
 4/09/2011                                                         5
Corporate Governance
• Although the motorcycling business is fun, we take
  corporate governance seriously.
• The Board of Directors is composed of accomplished
  leaders from a range of industries who meet regularly to
  review Company objectives and plan for future growth.
• These individuals draw on their diverse backgrounds and
  experiences.
• They are proud Harley-Davidson enthusiasts, and they
  work to ensure that the decisions made by Harley-
  Davidson promote fairness, financial transparency and
  accountability to all our shareholders


 4/09/2011                                                   6
Financial Ratios
                        H-D    Industry   S&P 500
Current P/E Ratio       36.7     30.6       20.5

Current Ratio            2        2         1.4

Leverage Ratio          4.3      3.5        2.3

Price/Sales Ratio       1.96     1.65       2.21

Price/Book Value        4.33     4.57       3.64

Price/Cash Flow Ratio   18.5     17.4       17.1

Gross Margin            37.8     30.9       38.3

Net Profit Margin       5.3      5.4        12.4

Return On Equity        12       19.4       22.5

Return On Assets        2.8      6.2         8

Return On Capital       3.6      10.5       10.5

  4/09/2011                                         7
Financial Ratios
Management Efficiency indicators
                                    H-D      Industry   S&P 500
Income/Employee                    41,217     36,567    107,222

Revenue/Employee                   771,323   654,649    963,920

Receivable Turnover                  3.2       11.6       14.2

Inventory Turnover                   9.3       8.8        11.6

Asset Turnover                       0.5       1.2        0.8




  4/09/2011                                                       8
Current Vision

  “We fulfill dreams inspired by the many
  roads of the world by providing
  extraordinary motorcycles and customer
  experiences. We fuel the passion for
  freedom in our customers to express their
  own individuality.”



09/27/12                                      9
Current Mission

 “We ride with our customers and apply this
 deep connection in every market we serve
 to create superior value for all of our
 stakeholders.”




                                          10
HD Values

      These are our values. They are the heart of how
  we run our business. They guide our actions and
  serve as the framework for the decisions and
  contributions our employees make at every level of
  the Company.
       •   Tell the Truth.
       •   Be Fair.
       •   Keep Your Promises.
       •   Respect the Individual.
       •   Encourage Intellectual Curiosity.



09/27/12                                            11
Mission & Vision Analysis
          COMPONENTS            MISSION   VISION


  CUSTOMERS                      YES       YES

  PRODUCTS & SERVICES            YES       YES

  MARKETS                        YES       NO

  CONCERN FOR SURVIVAL           YES       NO

  TECHNOLOGY                      NO       YES

  PHILOSOPHY                     YES       YES

  SELF CONCEPT                   YES       YES

  CONCERN      FOR     PUBLIC    YES       YES

  IMAGE
  CONCERN FOR EMPLOYEES           NO       NO




09/27/12                                           12
American Market




                             Data Monitor 2010




09/27/12                                         13
Macro Environment ANALYSIS
Political

 Considering HD as American Icon
 Opportunities in emerging economies [India, China], consider Harley-
    Davidson as an American idol so that they are not welcoming Harley-
    Davidson into their soil.

Economic

 Global recession is effecting economies world wide therefore HD has to
    sustain its position in the market.
 The increase in prices for many key row material in manufacturing
 GDP per capita trend in the past five years (42 ~ 47 KUSD) is not showing
    severe variation.
Social
  More diverse lifestyles, Creating many Harley Clubs and academies around
  the globe like Rider’s Edge .
 Average purchaser of a U.S Harley-Davidson motorcycle is a married male in
  his mid-forties. This is affected by early retirement plans and healthcare
  programs not letting the luxury option of owning a new motorcycle.
 New interest from different demographic groups outside US.
09/27/12                                                                       14
Continued…
Legal
   Legislation effects of Helmets for motorcyclists forcing all riders by law, otherwise fines are
    applied.
   The Congress repealed financial incentives for states without universal helmet laws.
   Licensing of motorcycles inside major city in addition to suburban.

Environmental
   This industry is the first attacked by environmental activists, the environmental
    laws varies from country to country. In Europe its Euro, in India its BS.
   Harley-Davidson’s one of the main problem is this environmental problems.


 Technological
   More technological advancements because customers looking for energy
    efficient and technologically advanced bikes now a day.
   Harley-Davidson is one of the main manufacturer and user of V-ENGINE
    configuration.
   Harley-Davidson’s have a wide variety of products according to Standard,
09/27/12
    Performance,     Touring & custom.
Issue Priority Matrix
                                         Probability of occurring

                                       High              Medium               Low
                                *Increase in Oil   * Drop in APAC      * Embargo due
                                Prices             market Demand “     to political
                                *Increase in       Japan Earthquake”   instability
 Impact of occurring




                                Steel Prices       *more aggressive
                                *Competition       Governmental
                        High
                                                   Regulation of
                                                   Environmental
                                                   standards
                                *New                                    
                                Technology
                       Medium

                                *Increase in                            
                                Insurance costs
                        Low

09/27/12                                                                               16
Industry                                 New Entrant (Low)

Analysis                                 • Switching cost is moderate to high
                                         • Switching cost is moderate to high

                                         •Economies of scale ,capital ,, emission
                                         •Economies of scale ,capital emission
                                         standards ,, distribution channel
                                         standards distribution channel

                                         •High tech Involvement
                                         •High tech Involvement

                                         •Small scale Producers
                                         •Small scale Producers



                                          Rivalry Competition (High)
    Power of Buyer (Low)
                                          •Honda, Yamaha, Suzuki ( All
                                          •Honda, Yamaha, Suzuki ( All              POWER OF SUPPLIER
    •Low power of customer as they
    •Low power of customer as they        Japanese) with high existing assets
                                          Japanese) with high existing assets
                                                                                    (Moderate)
    are individual
    are individual
                                          •High exit barriers
                                          •High exit barriers
                                                                                    •Consolidated supplier.
                                                                                    •Consolidated supplier.
    •High level of differentiation and
    •High level of differentiation and
                                          •Strategic Alliance between Suzuki
                                          •Strategic Alliance between Suzuki
    customer loyalty
    customer loyalty                                                                •Out source Steel, Basic
                                                                                    •Out source Steel, Basic
                                          and Kawasaki through product
                                          and Kawasaki through product
                                          diversification.
                                          diversification.                          Electronics (huge contract)
                                                                                    Electronics (huge contract)
    •Less no. of Dealers also rely on
    •Less no. of Dealers also rely on
    individual customers
    individual customers                                                            •Assembly within the Company
                                                                                    •Assembly within the Company
                                          •Industry growth has been
                                          •Industry growth has been
                                          forecasted 3.4%
                                          forecasted 3.4%                           •Ease of switching suppliers
                                                                                    •Ease of switching suppliers


                                           Substitute Product (Low)
                                           •Very few substitute as luxury
                                           •Very
                                           bike.
                                           bike.

                                           •Cars, bicycle and sports car.
                                           •Cars, bicycle

                                           •NO subs when looking for
                                           •NO subs when looking for
                                           luxury bike.
                                           luxury bike.


 09/27/12                                                                                                          17
Industry Matrix
                                              Harley              Honda               Yamaha

Critical Success Factors   Weight     Rating     Weighted   Rating   Weighted   Rating   Weighted
             Competitive Profile Matrix           Score               Score               Score

Product Selection            0.15         2        0.30       4        0.60       4        0.60
Product Quality              0.1          3        0.30       4        0.40       3         0.3
Price Competitiveness        0.10         1        0.10       3        0.30       3        0.30
Management                   0.05         4        0.20       4        0.20       4        0.20
Financial Position           0.05         4        0.20       3        0.15       3        0.15
Customer Loyalty             0.20         4        0.80       2        0.40       2        0.40
Global Expansion             0.2          2        0.40       4        0.80       4        0.80
Market Share                 0.15         3        0.45       3        0.45       3        0.45



Total                        1.00                  2.75                3.30                3.20




09/27/12                                                                                          18
External Analysis
•   Opportunities
    – The international heavy weight market is growing and is now larger than
      the U. S. heavyweight market
    – The European demand for Harley Davidson is the highest in the
      international market and represents the single largest motorcycle market
      in the world.
    – Asian economy is booming, China/India is the only place not effected by
      global recession
    – Alliances with Ford Motor Company or other automobile manufacturers
      are possible.
    – younger riders are increasing becoming interested in bikes.
    – Interest rates are at historical lows through different dealers.
    – Increasing demand for bikes in US markets
    – Customers value perception through a good quality parts maintaining
      loyalty.




09/27/12                                                                    19
External Analysis
• Threats
   – High rise in the Oil prices. Harley-Davidson vehicles are heavy weight
     motorcycles and this is one of the major threats they are facing,
     because their vehicles are more oil consuming
   – Harleys average buying age is 42 years old and increasing.
   – The European Union’s motorcycles noise standards are more stringent
     than those of Environmental Protection Agencies in the U.S and
     increased environmental stand.
   – Some competitors of Harley Davidson have larger financial and
     marketing resources and they are more diversified increase HD risk.
   – international importing Tax , and increase in labor cost
   – The expiration of US government initiatives to stabilize credit markets
     programs could have a negative impact on capital markets and limit the
     company’s access to capital market funding




09/27/12                                                                  20
EFAS Matrix
Key External Factors                                                   Weight   Ratin   Weighted
                                                                                 g       Score
Opportunities
1-The international heavy weight market is growing and is now larger   0.12      2        0.24
than the U. S. heavyweight market
2-The European demand for Harley Davidson is the highest in the        0.06      2        0.12
international market and represents the single largest motorcycle
market in the world
3-Asian economy is booming, China/India is the only place not          0.05      2        0.1
effected by global recession
4-Alliances with Ford Motor Company or other automobile                0.04      1        0.04
manufacturers are possible.
5-younger riders are increasing becoming interested in bikes           0.04      4        0.16
6-Interest rates are at historical lows through different dealers.     0.08      3        0.24
7-Increasing demand for bikes in US markets                            0.06      4        0.24
8-Customers value perception through a good quality parts               0.1      4        0.4
maintaining loyalty




09/27/12                                                                                           21
EFAS Matrix
Threats                                                                      Weight   Ratin   Weighted
                                                                                       g       Score

1. High rise in the Oil prices. Harley-Davidson vehicles are heavy             0.12      2       0.24
weight motorcycles and this is one of the major threats they are facing,
because their vehicles are more oil consuming.
2. Harleys average buying age is 42 years old and increasing.                  0.04      2       0.08
3. The European Union’s motorcycles noise standards are more                   0.1       3        0.3
stringent than those of Environmental Protection Agencies in the U.S
and increased environmental stand.
4. Some competitors of Harley Davidson have larger financial and               0.05      1       0.05
marketing resources and they are more diversified.                                 Below
5. international importing Tax , and increase in labor cost                    0.08   2          0.16
6. The expiration of US government initiatives to stabilize credit markets     0.06
                                                                                   Average
                                                                                      2          0.12
programs could have a negative impact on capital markets and limit the
company’s access to capital market funding


                                                                              1.00               2.49




09/27/12                                                                                                 22
Internal Analysis
• Strengths
   – Robust Cash Flow.
   – Strong Market Position and Brand image
   – Strong relationships built on trust and respect with suppliers and
     dealers..
   – Harley Davidson operates in two principal business segments:
     Motorcycles and Related Products, and Financial Services.
   – Harley Davidson is the only major American motorcycle manufacturer.
   – The Harley Owners Group (HOG) is the industry’s largest company
     sponsored motorcycle enthusiast organization, which currently has
     approximately 750,000 members worldwide.
   – Harley Davidson offers customers the opportunity to customize their
     bikes
   – Harley Davidson has a strong marketing department, which sponsors
     and participates in all major motorcycle consumer shows and rallies.
   – Proven product quality
   – CSR (Breast Cancer Network)


09/27/12                                                                    23
Internal Analysis
• Weaknesses
   – Declining Financial performance

   – Poor Credit rating (BBB+)

   – Unfunded employee post retirement benefits

   – High price, Harley-Davidson bikes are the costly bikes in this category.
      They just started making some bikes in the low cost category Harley
      Davidson has had difficulty gaining market share in some European
      countries.

   – The top Board of Directors for Harley-Davidson are all men.

   – Difficult to attract and retain talented employee.


09/27/12                                                                    24
IFAS Matrix                                                       Weight   Rating   Weighted
Key Internal Factors                                                                   Score
Strengths
1. Robust Cash Flow.                                                 0.06      4        0.24
2. Strong Market Position and Brand image.                           0.1       3        0.3
3. Strong relationships built on trust and respect with suppliers    0.1       3        0.3
and dealers.
4. Harley Davidson operates in two principal business                0.04      3        0.12
segments: Motorcycles and Related Products, and Financial
Services.
5. Harley Davidson is the only major American motorcycle             0.05      4        0.2
manufacturer.
6. The Harley Owners Group (HOG) is the industry’s largest           0.06      4        0.24
company sponsored motorcycle enthusiast organization, which
currently has approximately 750,000 members worldwide.
7. Harley Davidson offer’s a custom the opportunity to               0.06      4        0.24
customize their bikes.
8. Harley Davidson has a strong marketing department,                0.05      3        0.15
9. Proven Product quality                                            0.1       4        0.4
10. CSR (Breast Cancer Network)                                      0.02      3        0.06

 09/27/12                                                                                     22
IFAS Matrix
Weaknesses
                                                 Weight   Rating   Weighted
                                                                    Score
1. Declining Financial performance               0.1       2          0.2

2. Poor Credit rating (BBB+)                     0.08      1         0.08

3. Unfunded employee post retirement benefits    0.06      2         0.12

4. High price, Harley-Davidson bikes are the     0.08      2         0.16

costly. They just started making some bikes in

the low cost category
5. The top Board of Directors for Harley-        0.02     Below
                                                            2        0.04

Davidson are all men.                                     Average
6. Difficult to attract and retain talented      0.02      2         0.04

employee.

                                                 1.00                2.89


09/27/12                                                                      26
Strategic Factor Analysis
                                                                                          Weighted
                  Key Strategic Factors                                   Weight   Rating  Score    Duration
                      Proven product quality                               0.15      4      0.6     Inter-L
    Strengths         Strong market position and brand image               0.12      3      0.36     S-Inter
                      Wide distribution network                            0.07      3      0.21     S

                      Declining financial performance                      0.05      2       0.1     Inter
                      Unfunded employee post retirement benefits           0.03      2      0.06     Inter
   Weaknesses
                      High prices, Harley-Davidson bikes are the costly
                      bikes in this category. They just started making
                      some bikes in the low cost category.                 0.05      2       0.1     Inter-L

                      Harley-Davidson have a good brand value
                      among its customers and in U.S people                0.10
                                                                                Below 0.4
                                                                                   4                 Inter

  Opportunities       Dealers are financing the purchase of used HD
                      motorcycles at low interest rates                    0.07 Average
                                                                                   3  0.21           S
                      The international heavy weight motorcycles
                      market is growing                                    0.11      2      0.22     S-Inter
                      Environmental protection laws (emissions and
                      noise)                                               0.04      3      0.12     Inter-L
     Threats
                      High rise in the Oil prices                          0.15      2       0.3     Inter-L
                      Increase in Labor cost                               0.06      2      0.12     Inter
                                                                                            2.8


09/27/12                                                                                                 27
TOWS Matrix
                                                        Strengths                                    Weaknesses
                                      S.1. Proven product quality                    W.1. Declining financial performance

                                      S.2. Strong market position and brand image    W.2. Unfunded employee post retirement benefits

                                                                                     W.3. High prices, Harley-Davidson bikes are the
                                                                                     costly bikes in this category. They just started
                                      S.3. Wide distribution network                 making some bikes in the low cost category.
                                                                                      
  Opportunities
                                      1. Follow market penetration strategy by       1. Buell Product development producing low
  O.1. Harley-Davidson have a
  good brand value among its             expanding presence in US and EURO           price bikes approaching low income market
  customers and in U.S people            markets                                     segment ( W.3 O.2 O.3)
                                      2. Create more offerings capitalizing on low   2. Capitalizing on the growing International
  O.2. Dealers are financing the         Interest rates                              Market potential optimizing the manufacturing
  purchase of used HD                                                                cost and accordingly recovering financial
  motorcycles at low interest rates
                                                                                     position (W.1 O.3 O.2 )
  O.3. The international heavy
  weight motorcycles market is
  growing
  Threats
                                      1. Direct R&D efforts to focus on producing    1. Down Size company's resources (W.1
  T.1. Environmental protection
                                      optimized oil consuming motors                    W.2 T.3)
  laws (emissions and noise)
                                                                                     2. Open Foreign factory to gain international
  T.2. High rise in the Oil prices                                                      market share at lower cost

  T.3. Increase in Labor cost



09/27/12                                                                                                                                28
VRIO Analysis
•      Valuable
HD motorcycles are valuable because of the lifestyle factor. HD neutralizes other competitors in this
      category because the lifestyle and culture cannot be duplicated. Rivals in the industry all
      compete for different, yet complementary, lifestyle factors.

•      Rare
HD motorcycles are not rare. However, the reputation and personal value is rare and controlled only
      by that individual. Motorcycle manufacturers are many,. That image is rare,.

•      Imitability
HD has a causally ambiguous position within the market, This market position is difficult to imitate, as
      is the culture that customers, suppliers, and employees participate in. passion for HD cannot
      be imitated or substituted.

•      Organization
Harley-Davidson’s most un-substitutable capabilities are the knowledge,. fosters and encourages the
       culture that makes its company special to customers, employees and suppliers. Without this
       culture, HD would not survive in today’s market.



09/27/12                                                                                              29
Harley Davidson Core Competencies

• Human Resources and Capital
   – Trust, know-how, managerial capabilities and
     company culture.
• Innovation resources from suppliers,
  employees and management
• Reputational resources
   – Brand name, reputation with suppliers and
     product perception

09/27/12                                         30
Harley Davidson Capabilities

• Integrated technological resources
   – Usage of Information system to insure smooth
     flow of production
• Unique skills of employees
   – Provide high level training programs for its
     employees to add value to the company
• Manufacturing
   – HD manufacturing plants are capable of
     producing many different models

09/27/12                                            31
Strategic Recommendations
o Reinforce strategic alliance engagement with Asian distribution
  network
–   Lack of market expansion leads to few opportunities
o Create more attractive offering capitalizing on low interest rate
–   Weak Performance in US
o Direct the R&D efforts optimizing the oil consuming engines
–   High Rise of Oil & Environmental compliance
o Product development /Horizontal Diversification
–   Leveraging on the growth of demand in the international motorcycle
    market
o Improve Return on Equity/Capital/Assets /Stability)
–   Higher turnover & sales




09/27/12                                                                 32
Strategies Analysis
 o Strategy 1:
    o   Reinforce strategic alliance engagement with Asian distribution channels
    •   Lack of market expansion leads to few opportunities


    o Implementation
     Invest time and persistence in order to successfully operate
        in Asian market
     Create country based teams that are determined to make
        wise cultural decisions.
     More involvement with foreign government through office of
        trade of the US
     More participation in the world trade organization activities

09/27/12                                                                           33
Strategies Analysis
 o Strategy 1:
     o   Reinforce strategic alliance engagement with Asian distribution channels
     •   Lack of market expansion leads to few opportunities


     o Pro/Cons
                      PRO                                CONS

         Increase Sales                     Significantly huge effort &
                                            investment capital
         Extend international market        Long payback period which
         presence enhancing brand           might impact the financial
         image                              position.



 •   Cooperative Business level strategy


09/27/12                                                                            34
Strategies Analysis
 o Strategy 2:
 o   Create more attractive offering capitalizing on low interest rate
           • Weak Performance in US


           o Implementation
       Establish frame agreements with financial institutes for
          funding & support HD Mania.
       Extend their marketing campaign through different type of
          media (Social Media) and loyalty programs.




09/27/12                                                                 35
Strategies Analysis
 o Strategy 2:
 o   Create more attractive offering capitalizing on low interest rate
           • Weak Performance in US


           o Pro/Cons
                        PRO                                        CONS

          Increase Sales                      Complication of reaching short/Mid term
                                              agreement with financial institutes.

          Sustain positive cash flow.         Considerably marketing & media
          (Current /Liquidity Ratio)          expenses
          Targeting lower income
          market segment


      •   Cooperative Business level strategy
09/27/12                                                                          36
Strategies Analysis
 o Strategy 3:
    o   Direct the R&D efforts optimizing the oil consuming engines
    •   High Rise of Oil and the Environmental compliance


    o Implementation
     Joint R&D initiatives with Ford Motors R&D team for:

            Oil consumption reduction for HD motorcycles

            New Hybrid motors using alternative energy sources
             (bio fuel and green energy)




09/27/12                                                              37
Strategies Analysis
 o Strategy 3:
    o   Direct the R&D efforts optimizing the oil consuming engines
    •   High Rise of Oil & Environmental compliance


    o Pro/Cons
                     PROS                              CONS

        Lower environmental                Huge resources for R&D
        emissions

        Going Green initiatives            Higher costs of
                                           manufacturing

    •   Functional level strategy



09/27/12                                                              38
Conclusion

• HD is working for international (Asia/Europe) expansion
  and maintaining the American focus.

• HD has decided not to manufacture its bikes overseas to
  uphold the image and reputation of “Made in USA”
  brand.

• Increase diversity programming

• Bring HD heritage to the rest of planet


09/27/12                                                    39
Thank You !
09/27/12      40

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Harley Davidson, Strategic Analysis

  • 2. Harley Davidson Strategic Audit Presented to: Dr. Saneya el Galaly Presented By: Mahmoud Abdel Hamid Karim Mohsen Mohamed Hossam Mohamed Madkour 4/09/2011 2
  • 3. Agenda • Brief History of HD • Alternative Strategy • Current Situation – TOWS Matrix – Corporate Governance • Possible strategies – Financial position • • Recommended Strategies Vision and Mission • Environmental Scanning • Evaluation • Industry Analysis • Conclusion • SWOT • EFAS • IFAS • KSFA 4/09/2011 3
  • 4. HISTORY Foundation It all started in Milwaukee, Wisconsin in 1903 when William Harley, Walter, and Arthur Davidson, along, created the first Harley-Davidson in their family building. 09/27/12 ® Tony Gauvin, UMFK, 4 4/09/2011 2005 4
  • 5. HD Today • Manufactures heavyweight Custom & Touring Motorcycles • Owns Buell Motorcycle & Harley Davidson Financial services (HDFS) • Has over 1,500 dealers worldwide in 30 countries. • Foreign business is about 18% of Sales; R&D, 3.2%. • Has about 7,900 employees. 09/27/12 5 4/09/2011 5
  • 6. Corporate Governance • Although the motorcycling business is fun, we take corporate governance seriously. • The Board of Directors is composed of accomplished leaders from a range of industries who meet regularly to review Company objectives and plan for future growth. • These individuals draw on their diverse backgrounds and experiences. • They are proud Harley-Davidson enthusiasts, and they work to ensure that the decisions made by Harley- Davidson promote fairness, financial transparency and accountability to all our shareholders 4/09/2011 6
  • 7. Financial Ratios H-D Industry S&P 500 Current P/E Ratio 36.7 30.6 20.5 Current Ratio 2 2 1.4 Leverage Ratio 4.3 3.5 2.3 Price/Sales Ratio 1.96 1.65 2.21 Price/Book Value 4.33 4.57 3.64 Price/Cash Flow Ratio 18.5 17.4 17.1 Gross Margin 37.8 30.9 38.3 Net Profit Margin 5.3 5.4 12.4 Return On Equity 12 19.4 22.5 Return On Assets 2.8 6.2 8 Return On Capital 3.6 10.5 10.5 4/09/2011 7
  • 8. Financial Ratios Management Efficiency indicators H-D Industry S&P 500 Income/Employee 41,217 36,567 107,222 Revenue/Employee 771,323 654,649 963,920 Receivable Turnover 3.2 11.6 14.2 Inventory Turnover 9.3 8.8 11.6 Asset Turnover 0.5 1.2 0.8 4/09/2011 8
  • 9. Current Vision “We fulfill dreams inspired by the many roads of the world by providing extraordinary motorcycles and customer experiences. We fuel the passion for freedom in our customers to express their own individuality.” 09/27/12 9
  • 10. Current Mission “We ride with our customers and apply this deep connection in every market we serve to create superior value for all of our stakeholders.” 10
  • 11. HD Values These are our values. They are the heart of how we run our business. They guide our actions and serve as the framework for the decisions and contributions our employees make at every level of the Company. • Tell the Truth. • Be Fair. • Keep Your Promises. • Respect the Individual. • Encourage Intellectual Curiosity. 09/27/12 11
  • 12. Mission & Vision Analysis COMPONENTS MISSION VISION CUSTOMERS YES YES PRODUCTS & SERVICES YES YES MARKETS YES NO CONCERN FOR SURVIVAL YES NO TECHNOLOGY NO YES PHILOSOPHY YES YES SELF CONCEPT YES YES CONCERN FOR PUBLIC YES YES IMAGE CONCERN FOR EMPLOYEES NO NO 09/27/12 12
  • 13. American Market Data Monitor 2010 09/27/12 13
  • 14. Macro Environment ANALYSIS Political  Considering HD as American Icon  Opportunities in emerging economies [India, China], consider Harley- Davidson as an American idol so that they are not welcoming Harley- Davidson into their soil. Economic  Global recession is effecting economies world wide therefore HD has to sustain its position in the market.  The increase in prices for many key row material in manufacturing  GDP per capita trend in the past five years (42 ~ 47 KUSD) is not showing severe variation. Social  More diverse lifestyles, Creating many Harley Clubs and academies around the globe like Rider’s Edge .  Average purchaser of a U.S Harley-Davidson motorcycle is a married male in his mid-forties. This is affected by early retirement plans and healthcare programs not letting the luxury option of owning a new motorcycle.  New interest from different demographic groups outside US. 09/27/12 14
  • 15. Continued… Legal  Legislation effects of Helmets for motorcyclists forcing all riders by law, otherwise fines are applied.  The Congress repealed financial incentives for states without universal helmet laws.  Licensing of motorcycles inside major city in addition to suburban. Environmental  This industry is the first attacked by environmental activists, the environmental laws varies from country to country. In Europe its Euro, in India its BS.  Harley-Davidson’s one of the main problem is this environmental problems. Technological  More technological advancements because customers looking for energy efficient and technologically advanced bikes now a day.  Harley-Davidson is one of the main manufacturer and user of V-ENGINE configuration.  Harley-Davidson’s have a wide variety of products according to Standard, 09/27/12 Performance, Touring & custom.
  • 16. Issue Priority Matrix Probability of occurring   High Medium Low *Increase in Oil * Drop in APAC * Embargo due Prices market Demand “ to political *Increase in Japan Earthquake” instability Impact of occurring Steel Prices *more aggressive *Competition Governmental High Regulation of Environmental standards *New     Technology Medium *Increase in     Insurance costs Low 09/27/12 16
  • 17. Industry New Entrant (Low) Analysis • Switching cost is moderate to high • Switching cost is moderate to high •Economies of scale ,capital ,, emission •Economies of scale ,capital emission standards ,, distribution channel standards distribution channel •High tech Involvement •High tech Involvement •Small scale Producers •Small scale Producers Rivalry Competition (High) Power of Buyer (Low) •Honda, Yamaha, Suzuki ( All •Honda, Yamaha, Suzuki ( All POWER OF SUPPLIER •Low power of customer as they •Low power of customer as they Japanese) with high existing assets Japanese) with high existing assets (Moderate) are individual are individual •High exit barriers •High exit barriers •Consolidated supplier. •Consolidated supplier. •High level of differentiation and •High level of differentiation and •Strategic Alliance between Suzuki •Strategic Alliance between Suzuki customer loyalty customer loyalty •Out source Steel, Basic •Out source Steel, Basic and Kawasaki through product and Kawasaki through product diversification. diversification. Electronics (huge contract) Electronics (huge contract) •Less no. of Dealers also rely on •Less no. of Dealers also rely on individual customers individual customers •Assembly within the Company •Assembly within the Company •Industry growth has been •Industry growth has been forecasted 3.4% forecasted 3.4% •Ease of switching suppliers •Ease of switching suppliers Substitute Product (Low) •Very few substitute as luxury •Very bike. bike. •Cars, bicycle and sports car. •Cars, bicycle •NO subs when looking for •NO subs when looking for luxury bike. luxury bike. 09/27/12 17
  • 18. Industry Matrix Harley Honda Yamaha Critical Success Factors Weight Rating Weighted Rating Weighted Rating Weighted Competitive Profile Matrix Score Score Score Product Selection 0.15 2 0.30 4 0.60 4 0.60 Product Quality 0.1 3 0.30 4 0.40 3 0.3 Price Competitiveness 0.10 1 0.10 3 0.30 3 0.30 Management 0.05 4 0.20 4 0.20 4 0.20 Financial Position 0.05 4 0.20 3 0.15 3 0.15 Customer Loyalty 0.20 4 0.80 2 0.40 2 0.40 Global Expansion 0.2 2 0.40 4 0.80 4 0.80 Market Share 0.15 3 0.45 3 0.45 3 0.45 Total 1.00 2.75 3.30 3.20 09/27/12 18
  • 19. External Analysis • Opportunities – The international heavy weight market is growing and is now larger than the U. S. heavyweight market – The European demand for Harley Davidson is the highest in the international market and represents the single largest motorcycle market in the world. – Asian economy is booming, China/India is the only place not effected by global recession – Alliances with Ford Motor Company or other automobile manufacturers are possible. – younger riders are increasing becoming interested in bikes. – Interest rates are at historical lows through different dealers. – Increasing demand for bikes in US markets – Customers value perception through a good quality parts maintaining loyalty. 09/27/12 19
  • 20. External Analysis • Threats – High rise in the Oil prices. Harley-Davidson vehicles are heavy weight motorcycles and this is one of the major threats they are facing, because their vehicles are more oil consuming – Harleys average buying age is 42 years old and increasing. – The European Union’s motorcycles noise standards are more stringent than those of Environmental Protection Agencies in the U.S and increased environmental stand. – Some competitors of Harley Davidson have larger financial and marketing resources and they are more diversified increase HD risk. – international importing Tax , and increase in labor cost – The expiration of US government initiatives to stabilize credit markets programs could have a negative impact on capital markets and limit the company’s access to capital market funding 09/27/12 20
  • 21. EFAS Matrix Key External Factors Weight Ratin Weighted g Score Opportunities 1-The international heavy weight market is growing and is now larger 0.12 2 0.24 than the U. S. heavyweight market 2-The European demand for Harley Davidson is the highest in the 0.06 2 0.12 international market and represents the single largest motorcycle market in the world 3-Asian economy is booming, China/India is the only place not 0.05 2 0.1 effected by global recession 4-Alliances with Ford Motor Company or other automobile 0.04 1 0.04 manufacturers are possible. 5-younger riders are increasing becoming interested in bikes 0.04 4 0.16 6-Interest rates are at historical lows through different dealers. 0.08 3 0.24 7-Increasing demand for bikes in US markets 0.06 4 0.24 8-Customers value perception through a good quality parts 0.1 4 0.4 maintaining loyalty 09/27/12 21
  • 22. EFAS Matrix Threats Weight Ratin Weighted g Score 1. High rise in the Oil prices. Harley-Davidson vehicles are heavy 0.12 2 0.24 weight motorcycles and this is one of the major threats they are facing, because their vehicles are more oil consuming. 2. Harleys average buying age is 42 years old and increasing. 0.04 2 0.08 3. The European Union’s motorcycles noise standards are more 0.1 3 0.3 stringent than those of Environmental Protection Agencies in the U.S and increased environmental stand. 4. Some competitors of Harley Davidson have larger financial and 0.05 1 0.05 marketing resources and they are more diversified. Below 5. international importing Tax , and increase in labor cost 0.08 2 0.16 6. The expiration of US government initiatives to stabilize credit markets 0.06 Average 2 0.12 programs could have a negative impact on capital markets and limit the company’s access to capital market funding 1.00 2.49 09/27/12 22
  • 23. Internal Analysis • Strengths – Robust Cash Flow. – Strong Market Position and Brand image – Strong relationships built on trust and respect with suppliers and dealers.. – Harley Davidson operates in two principal business segments: Motorcycles and Related Products, and Financial Services. – Harley Davidson is the only major American motorcycle manufacturer. – The Harley Owners Group (HOG) is the industry’s largest company sponsored motorcycle enthusiast organization, which currently has approximately 750,000 members worldwide. – Harley Davidson offers customers the opportunity to customize their bikes – Harley Davidson has a strong marketing department, which sponsors and participates in all major motorcycle consumer shows and rallies. – Proven product quality – CSR (Breast Cancer Network) 09/27/12 23
  • 24. Internal Analysis • Weaknesses – Declining Financial performance – Poor Credit rating (BBB+) – Unfunded employee post retirement benefits – High price, Harley-Davidson bikes are the costly bikes in this category. They just started making some bikes in the low cost category Harley Davidson has had difficulty gaining market share in some European countries. – The top Board of Directors for Harley-Davidson are all men. – Difficult to attract and retain talented employee. 09/27/12 24
  • 25. IFAS Matrix Weight Rating Weighted Key Internal Factors Score Strengths 1. Robust Cash Flow. 0.06 4 0.24 2. Strong Market Position and Brand image. 0.1 3 0.3 3. Strong relationships built on trust and respect with suppliers 0.1 3 0.3 and dealers. 4. Harley Davidson operates in two principal business 0.04 3 0.12 segments: Motorcycles and Related Products, and Financial Services. 5. Harley Davidson is the only major American motorcycle 0.05 4 0.2 manufacturer. 6. The Harley Owners Group (HOG) is the industry’s largest 0.06 4 0.24 company sponsored motorcycle enthusiast organization, which currently has approximately 750,000 members worldwide. 7. Harley Davidson offer’s a custom the opportunity to 0.06 4 0.24 customize their bikes. 8. Harley Davidson has a strong marketing department, 0.05 3 0.15 9. Proven Product quality 0.1 4 0.4 10. CSR (Breast Cancer Network) 0.02 3 0.06 09/27/12 22
  • 26. IFAS Matrix Weaknesses Weight Rating Weighted Score 1. Declining Financial performance 0.1 2 0.2 2. Poor Credit rating (BBB+) 0.08 1 0.08 3. Unfunded employee post retirement benefits 0.06 2 0.12 4. High price, Harley-Davidson bikes are the 0.08 2 0.16 costly. They just started making some bikes in the low cost category 5. The top Board of Directors for Harley- 0.02 Below 2 0.04 Davidson are all men. Average 6. Difficult to attract and retain talented 0.02 2 0.04 employee. 1.00 2.89 09/27/12 26
  • 27. Strategic Factor Analysis Weighted Key Strategic Factors Weight Rating Score Duration Proven product quality 0.15 4 0.6  Inter-L Strengths Strong market position and brand image 0.12 3 0.36  S-Inter Wide distribution network 0.07 3 0.21  S Declining financial performance 0.05 2 0.1  Inter Unfunded employee post retirement benefits 0.03 2 0.06  Inter Weaknesses High prices, Harley-Davidson bikes are the costly bikes in this category. They just started making some bikes in the low cost category. 0.05 2 0.1  Inter-L Harley-Davidson have a good brand value among its customers and in U.S people 0.10 Below 0.4 4  Inter Opportunities Dealers are financing the purchase of used HD motorcycles at low interest rates 0.07 Average 3 0.21  S The international heavy weight motorcycles market is growing 0.11 2 0.22  S-Inter Environmental protection laws (emissions and noise) 0.04 3 0.12  Inter-L Threats High rise in the Oil prices 0.15 2 0.3  Inter-L Increase in Labor cost 0.06 2 0.12  Inter 2.8 09/27/12 27
  • 28. TOWS Matrix Strengths Weaknesses S.1. Proven product quality W.1. Declining financial performance   S.2. Strong market position and brand image W.2. Unfunded employee post retirement benefits W.3. High prices, Harley-Davidson bikes are the costly bikes in this category. They just started S.3. Wide distribution network making some bikes in the low cost category.       Opportunities 1. Follow market penetration strategy by 1. Buell Product development producing low O.1. Harley-Davidson have a good brand value among its expanding presence in US and EURO price bikes approaching low income market customers and in U.S people markets segment ( W.3 O.2 O.3) 2. Create more offerings capitalizing on low 2. Capitalizing on the growing International O.2. Dealers are financing the Interest rates Market potential optimizing the manufacturing purchase of used HD cost and accordingly recovering financial motorcycles at low interest rates position (W.1 O.3 O.2 ) O.3. The international heavy weight motorcycles market is growing Threats 1. Direct R&D efforts to focus on producing 1. Down Size company's resources (W.1 T.1. Environmental protection optimized oil consuming motors W.2 T.3) laws (emissions and noise) 2. Open Foreign factory to gain international T.2. High rise in the Oil prices market share at lower cost T.3. Increase in Labor cost 09/27/12 28
  • 29. VRIO Analysis • Valuable HD motorcycles are valuable because of the lifestyle factor. HD neutralizes other competitors in this category because the lifestyle and culture cannot be duplicated. Rivals in the industry all compete for different, yet complementary, lifestyle factors. • Rare HD motorcycles are not rare. However, the reputation and personal value is rare and controlled only by that individual. Motorcycle manufacturers are many,. That image is rare,. • Imitability HD has a causally ambiguous position within the market, This market position is difficult to imitate, as is the culture that customers, suppliers, and employees participate in. passion for HD cannot be imitated or substituted. • Organization Harley-Davidson’s most un-substitutable capabilities are the knowledge,. fosters and encourages the culture that makes its company special to customers, employees and suppliers. Without this culture, HD would not survive in today’s market. 09/27/12 29
  • 30. Harley Davidson Core Competencies • Human Resources and Capital – Trust, know-how, managerial capabilities and company culture. • Innovation resources from suppliers, employees and management • Reputational resources – Brand name, reputation with suppliers and product perception 09/27/12 30
  • 31. Harley Davidson Capabilities • Integrated technological resources – Usage of Information system to insure smooth flow of production • Unique skills of employees – Provide high level training programs for its employees to add value to the company • Manufacturing – HD manufacturing plants are capable of producing many different models 09/27/12 31
  • 32. Strategic Recommendations o Reinforce strategic alliance engagement with Asian distribution network – Lack of market expansion leads to few opportunities o Create more attractive offering capitalizing on low interest rate – Weak Performance in US o Direct the R&D efforts optimizing the oil consuming engines – High Rise of Oil & Environmental compliance o Product development /Horizontal Diversification – Leveraging on the growth of demand in the international motorcycle market o Improve Return on Equity/Capital/Assets /Stability) – Higher turnover & sales 09/27/12 32
  • 33. Strategies Analysis o Strategy 1: o Reinforce strategic alliance engagement with Asian distribution channels • Lack of market expansion leads to few opportunities o Implementation  Invest time and persistence in order to successfully operate in Asian market  Create country based teams that are determined to make wise cultural decisions.  More involvement with foreign government through office of trade of the US  More participation in the world trade organization activities 09/27/12 33
  • 34. Strategies Analysis o Strategy 1: o Reinforce strategic alliance engagement with Asian distribution channels • Lack of market expansion leads to few opportunities o Pro/Cons PRO CONS Increase Sales Significantly huge effort & investment capital Extend international market Long payback period which presence enhancing brand might impact the financial image position. • Cooperative Business level strategy 09/27/12 34
  • 35. Strategies Analysis o Strategy 2: o Create more attractive offering capitalizing on low interest rate • Weak Performance in US o Implementation  Establish frame agreements with financial institutes for funding & support HD Mania.  Extend their marketing campaign through different type of media (Social Media) and loyalty programs. 09/27/12 35
  • 36. Strategies Analysis o Strategy 2: o Create more attractive offering capitalizing on low interest rate • Weak Performance in US o Pro/Cons PRO CONS Increase Sales Complication of reaching short/Mid term agreement with financial institutes. Sustain positive cash flow. Considerably marketing & media (Current /Liquidity Ratio) expenses Targeting lower income market segment • Cooperative Business level strategy 09/27/12 36
  • 37. Strategies Analysis o Strategy 3: o Direct the R&D efforts optimizing the oil consuming engines • High Rise of Oil and the Environmental compliance o Implementation  Joint R&D initiatives with Ford Motors R&D team for:  Oil consumption reduction for HD motorcycles  New Hybrid motors using alternative energy sources (bio fuel and green energy) 09/27/12 37
  • 38. Strategies Analysis o Strategy 3: o Direct the R&D efforts optimizing the oil consuming engines • High Rise of Oil & Environmental compliance o Pro/Cons PROS CONS Lower environmental Huge resources for R&D emissions Going Green initiatives Higher costs of manufacturing • Functional level strategy 09/27/12 38
  • 39. Conclusion • HD is working for international (Asia/Europe) expansion and maintaining the American focus. • HD has decided not to manufacture its bikes overseas to uphold the image and reputation of “Made in USA” brand. • Increase diversity programming • Bring HD heritage to the rest of planet 09/27/12 39

Notas do Editor

  1. Harley-Davidson (Harley) is one of the leading automotive companies, which produces heavyweight motorcycles, motorcycle parts, accessories, apparel and general merchandise. The company also provides financial services such as wholesale and retail financing and insurance programs. Harley primarily operates in the US. It is headquartered in Milwaukee, Wisconsin and employs about 7,900 people
  2. Harley-Davidson (Harley) is one of the leading automotive companies, which produces heavyweight motorcycles, motorcycle parts, accessories, apparel and general merchandise. The company also provides financial services such as wholesale and retail financing and insurance programs. Harley primarily operates in the US. It is headquartered in Milwaukee, Wisconsin and employs about 7,900 people
  3. P/E Ratio A valuation ratio of a company's current share price compared to its per-share earnings, a high P/E suggests that investors are expecting higher earnings growth in the future compared to companies with a lower P/E. Current Ratio a liquidity ratio that measures a company's ability to pay short-term obligations. Leverage Ratio : Any ratio used to calculate the financial leverage of a company to get an idea of the company's methods of financing or to measure its ability to meet financial obligations. Price/Sales : A ratio for valuing a stock relative to its own past performance, other companies or the market itself. ROE : The amount of net income returned as a percentage of shareholders equity. Return on equity measures a corporation's profitability by revealing how much profit a company generates with the money shareholders have invested.
  4. Alliances with Ford Motor Company or other automobile manufacturers are possible ( Capitalizing on the distribution channels allowing more market penetration strategies) Interest rates are at historical lows ( HD dealers can offer a Low interest financing packages) Harley-Davidson have a good brand value among its customers and in U.S people, so they can exploit this situation, by teaching and educating the customers what is considered as a quality product and what are the things they are using for manufacturing their bikes. This will increase the customer loyalty to this brand and this will help in a market penetration
  5. High rise in the Oil prices. Harley-Davidson vehicles are heavy weight motorcycles and this is one of the major threats they are facing, because their vehicles are more oil consuming
  6. Fitch credit rating agency assigned BBB+ long-term credit rating to Harley with negative outlook and maintained the short-term F-2 rating with stable outlook. The change was triggered by the severe and rapid downturn in demand for most of Harley’s products on a global basis. This rating is expected to result in a weakening of Harley’s financial flexibility. Therefore, decline in credit rating restricts the company’s access to additional sources of financing and to the financial markets.
  7. improve Return on Equity/Capital/Assets (Corporate/Directional/Stability ) Higher turnover, i.e., sales mprove Return on Equity/Capital/Assets (Corporate/Directional/Stability ) Higher turnover, i.e., sales
  8. improve Return on Equity/Capital/Assets (Corporate/Directional/Stability ) Higher turnover, i.e., sales mprove Return on Equity/Capital/Assets (Corporate/Directional/Stability ) Higher turnover, i.e., sales
  9. improve Return on Equity/Capital/Assets (Corporate/Directional/Stability ) Higher turnover, i.e., sales mprove Return on Equity/Capital/Assets (Corporate/Directional/Stability ) Higher turnover, i.e., sales
  10. improve Return on Equity/Capital/Assets (Corporate/Directional/Stability ) Higher turnover, i.e., sales mprove Return on Equity/Capital/Assets (Corporate/Directional/Stability ) Higher turnover, i.e., sales
  11. improve Return on Equity/Capital/Assets (Corporate/Directional/Stability ) Higher turnover, i.e., sales mprove Return on Equity/Capital/Assets (Corporate/Directional/Stability ) Higher turnover, i.e., sales