Magellan Strategies Arizona Republican Primary Survey Memorandum 060514

!
JUNE 5th, 2014
MEMORANDUM
TO: INTERESTED PARTIES
FROM: DAVID FLAHERTY, MAGELLAN STRATEGIES
RE: ARIZONA GOVERNOR REPUBLICAN PRIMARY SURVEY
________________________________________________________________________
This memorandum is a summary of an automated voice recorded survey 630n
likely Republican primary voters in the state of Arizona. The survey has a margin of
error of +/- 3.90% at the 95% confidence level, the survey was fielded June 3rd
and
4th
.
Governor Ballot Test
It is clear that Doug Ducey has been successful introducing himself voters in this
early stage of the Arizona Governor’s race, and voters like what they see so far in
the candidate. The survey finds Doug Ducey maintaining a double digit, 12 point
lead over a very crowded field of candidates with 28% support, followed by Scott
Smith with 16%, Christine Jones with 12%, and Ken Bennett with 12%. Candidates
Al Melvin and Frank Riggs have 2% each and 23% remain undecided. This
survey’s ballot test is similar to our last Republican primary survey fielded May 13th
and 14th
that showed Doug Ducey with a 14 point lead over the other candidates
with 27% support. The current survey shows Scott Smith moving up by 4 points
from 12% to 16% compared to our May survey, gaining a little distance on Ken
Bennett and Christine Jones who had 13% and 12% respectively.
Governor Ballot Test Among Key Voting Subgroups
The most important voting subgroup in an Arizona Republican primary is senior
voters aged 65 and older, which make up slightly more than 40% of the total vote.
Among the senior subgroup Doug Ducey has 28% support and a 15 point lead
over Scott Smith and Christine Jones with 13%each. Among all male voters Doug
Ducey’s lead is 19 points, with 32% and 13% for Scott Smith and Christine Jones
respectively. Among all female voter the ballot test is much tighter, with Doug
Ducey having 24% support, Scott Smith with 18%, and Christine Jones with 11%.
Another revealing insight into the race is reviewing the ballot test among voters that
consider themselves closer to the Tea Party, and voters that identify themselves as
closer to the “traditional Republican Party”. Among voters that consider themselves
closer to the Tea Party (46% of all respondents), Doug Ducey has a 23 point lead
with 34% of the vote, Christine Jones with 12%, and Scott Smith with 11%.

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Arizona Republican Primary Survey Topline Results
Magellan Strategies are pleased to present the topline results for a 630n
autodial survey of likely Republican primary voters, and independent and
unaffiliated voters that are likely to vote in the Republican primary election
in the state of Arizona. The interviews were conducted June 3rd
and 4th
,
2014. This survey has a margin of error of +/- 3.90% at the 95 percent
confidence interval. This survey was weighted based upon past Republican
primary election voting demographics.
T1. Are you registered to vote as a Republican, a Democrat or an independent voter?
Republican..............................................................86%
Independent............................................................14%
T2. As you may know, independent voters can vote in the August primary election. How
likely are you to vote in the August primary election? (Asked only to respondents who
self-identified as independent or unaffiliated voters)
Extremely likely.......................................................79%
Very likely...............................................................16%
Somewhat likely........................................................5%
T3. And if the primary election were being held today, would you choose to vote in the
Democrat primary or the Republican primary? (Asked only to respondents who self-
identified as independent or unaffiliated voters)
Republican primary...............................................100%

Magellan ID#: AZREP-060314 Arizona Republican Primary Survey Topline Results
Field Dates: 6/3/14 – 6/4/14, MoE +/- 3.90%, 630n, CONFIDENTIAL
Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027
www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585
2
T4. How likely are you to vote in the August primary election? (Asked only to
respondents who self-identified as registered Republicans)
Extremely likely.......................................................92%
Very likely.................................................................6%
Somewhat likely........................................................2%
T5. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Ken Bennett?
Favorable................................................................26%
Unfavorable ...........................................................15%
No opinion .............................................................34%
Never heard of .......................................................22%
Unsure......................................................................3%
Name ID ................................................................75%
Hard name ID.........................................................41%
T6. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Doug Ducey?
Favorable................................................................39%
Unfavorable ...........................................................21%
No opinion .............................................................31%
Never heard of .........................................................8%
Unsure......................................................................1%
Name ID ................................................................91%
Hard name ID.........................................................60%
T7. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Christine Jones?
Favorable................................................................22%
Unfavorable ...........................................................27%
No opinion .............................................................29%
Never heard of .......................................................21%
Unsure......................................................................1%
Name ID ................................................................78%
Hard name ID.........................................................49%

3
T8. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Scott Smith?
Favorable................................................................23%
Unfavorable ...........................................................17%
No opinion .............................................................32%
Never heard of .......................................................25%
Unsure......................................................................3%
Name ID ................................................................72%
Hard name ID.........................................................40%
T9. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Tom Horne?
Favorable................................................................20%
Unfavorable ...........................................................60%
No opinion .............................................................15%
Never heard of .........................................................2%
Unsure......................................................................3%
Name ID ................................................................95%
Hard name ID.........................................................80%
T10. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Mark Brnovich?
Favorable..................................................................7%
Unfavorable ...........................................................13%
No opinion .............................................................29%
Never heard of .......................................................49%
Unsure......................................................................2%
Name ID ................................................................49%
Hard name ID.........................................................20%

4
T11. If the Republican primary election for Governor were being held today for whom
would you vote if the candidates were Ken Bennett, Doug Ducey, Christine Jones, Al
Melvin, Frank Riggs, Scott Smith, and Andrew Thomas?
Doug Ducey ...........................................................28%
Scott Smith..............................................................16%
Christine Jones ........................................................12%
Ken Bennett ............................................................12%
Andrew Thomas........................................................5%
Al Melvin..................................................................2%
Frank Riggs ...............................................................2%
Undecided..............................................................23%
T12. If the Republican primary election for Attorney General were being held today for
whom would you vote if the candidates were Tom Horne and Mark Brnovich?
Mark Brnovich ........................................................43%
Tom Horne .............................................................26%
Undecided..............................................................31%
T13. If the Republican primary election for Secretary of State were being held today for
whom would you vote if the candidates were Wil Cardon, Michele Reagan and Justin
Pierce?
Michele Reagan ......................................................20%
Wil Cardon .............................................................18%
Justin Pierce ............................................................15%
Undecided .............................................................47%
T14. If the Republican primary election for Treasurer were being held today for whom
would you vote if the candidates were Jeff DeWit, Randy Pullen, and Hugh Hallman?
Hugh Hallman ........................................................14%
Jeff DeWit ...............................................................13%
Randy Pullen.............................................................8%
Undecided..............................................................65%

5
T15. Do you consider yourself to be very conservative, conservative, moderate or liberal
when it comes to fiscal issues like taxes and government spending?
Very conservative....................................................45%
Conservative ...........................................................37%
Moderate ................................................................16%
Liberal.......................................................................2%
T16. Do you consider yourself to be very conservative, conservative, moderate or liberal
when it comes to social issues like abortion and same-sex marriage?
Very conservative....................................................41%
Conservative ...........................................................26%
Moderate ................................................................19%
Liberal.....................................................................14%
T17. If you had to choose, would you identify yourself more closely with the traditional
Republican Party, or would you identify yourself more closely with the Tea Party
Movement?
Traditional Republican party...................................43%
Tea Party Movement ...............................................46%
No opinion .............................................................11%
And now I have a couple of questions for statistical purposes only…
T18. Are you a man or a woman?
Woman...................................................................52%
Man ........................................................................48%
T19. What is your marital status?
Married...................................................................69%
Single and have never been married .........................4%
Unmarried and living with a partner .........................5%
Widowed................................................................13%
Separated..................................................................0%
Divorced...................................................................7%
No opinion ...............................................................2%

6
T20. Which of the following age groups applies to you?
18-34........................................................................7%
35-44......................................................................10%
45-54......................................................................19%
55-64......................................................................23%
65+.........................................................................41%
T21. For statistical purposes only, what is your race? Press 1 if you are white, Press 2 if
you are Hispanic or Latino, press 3 if you belong to another ethnic group.
White......................................................................88%
Hispanic or Latino.....................................................6%
Another ethnic group ................................................6%
Survey Methodology
This survey was conducted using automated telephone touchtone technology. The
sample used for this survey was randomly drawn from an Arizona voter file. The survey
response data was weighted based upon past Republican primary election voting
demographics. The interviews were conducted on June 3rd
and 4th
, 2014. Three attempts
were made to interview each household in the sample. This survey has a margin of error
of 3.90% at the 95 percent confidence interval.

Magellan Strategies Arizona 2014 Likely Republican Primary Voter Summary
785n, MoE +/- 3.50%, May 28th
to June 1st 2
Magellan Strategies |1685 Boxelder Street, Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027
MagellanStrategies.com | 303-861-8585
Among voters that consider themselves closer to the “traditional Republican Party”
(43% of all respondents), Doug Ducey trails Scott Smith by 2 points, 24% to 22%
respectively, and Ken Bennett comes in third with 18%.
Candidate Image Ratings
Looking at the candidate image ratings, we find Doug Ducey having the highest
favorability rating among all candidates with 39% having a favorable opinion of
him and 21% having an unfavorable opinion of him. 31% of have heard of Doug
Ducey but do not have an opinion of him. Scott Smith and Ken Bennett have net-
positive image ratings with 23% favorable/17% unfavorable/32% heard of but no
opinion, and Ken Bennett with 26% favorable/15% unfavorable/34% heard of but
no opinion. Among the leading candidates Christine Jones has a net-negative image
rating with 22% having a favorable opinion of her, 27% and unfavorable opinion
and 20% have heard of her and have no opinion.
Survey Methodology
This survey was conducted using an automated voice recorded method
interviewing 630n likely 2014 Republican primary voters. The interviews were
conducted on June 3rd
and 4th
, of 2014. The sample for this survey was randomly
selected from an Arizona voter file and was selected proportionate to the state’s
likely non-Presidential voting population in accordance with a probability sample
design that gives all voters an equal chance to be included. The results were
slightly weighted to reflect past gender and age demographics of the non-
Presidential voting population. The survey’s margin of error is +/- 3.90% at the 95
percent confidence interval. Any questions regarding this survey should be directed
to David Flaherty of Magellan Strategies at dflaherty@magellanstrategies.com or
303-861-8585.
About Magellan Strategies
Magellan Strategies is a full-service survey research firm offering quantitative,
qualitative, and predictive data modeling services to Republican candidates,
campaigns and conservative organizations across the country.

Arizona Republican Primary Survey, June 3rd - 4th, 2014, 630N, 3.90% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 1-1
SUMMARY TABLES
GENDER~MARITAL AGE REGION RACE REP VS. TEA
----------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------- --------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
TOT
---------
MARR
MEN
--------
SING
MEN
---------
WOM
TOT
---------
MARR
WOM
--------
SING
WOM
---------
18-34
---------
35-44
--------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65+
--------
NRTH
---------
STH
--------
NRTH
CENT
---------
STH
CENT
---------
WHTE
--------
HISP
LTNO
---------
OTHR
---------
REP
PRTY
--------
TEA
PRTY
---------
TOTAL 630
100.0
302
100.0
241
100.0
60
100.0
328
100.0
196
100.0
125
100.0
44
100.0
63
100.0
120
100.0
145
100.0
258
100.0
88
100.0
38
100.0
290
100.0
214
100.0
556
100.0
40
100.0
35
100.0
269
100.0
289
100.0
BENNETT IMAGE RATING
FAVORABLE 164
26.0
81
26.8
61
25.4
19
31.7
83
25.3
44
22.6
32
25.7
4
8.3
12
19.5
33
27.8
50
34.5
64
25.0
23
25.8
6
15.7
70
24.3
65
30.2
152
27.4
5
12.9
7
18.9
71
26.2
74
25.7
UNFAVORABLE 94
14.9
51
16.8
43
17.8
8
12.7
43
13.1
21
10.8
22
17.5
20
45.7
12
19.8
27
22.6
13
9.2
21
8.0
6
7.1
4
9.8
53
18.2
31
14.5
70
12.7
15
36.4
9
25.2
42
15.6
51
17.6
DUCEY IMAGE RATING
FAVORABLE 245
39.0
135
44.5
109
45.3
25
41.2
111
33.8
67
34.3
37
29.3
5
10.4
27
43.3
47
39.3
64
44.1
103
39.7
29
32.9
11
29.2
122
42.2
83
38.9
222
39.9
9
22.6
15
42.1
79
29.2
137
47.3
UNFAVORABLE 134
21.3
57
18.7
47
19.4
10
16.5
77
23.6
40
20.4
37
30.0
21
48.0
10
15.7
25
20.6
31
21.1
48
18.5
10
11.9
5
12.0
74
25.6
45
21.0
108
19.5
19
48.5
6
18.5
82
30.4
47
16.1
JONES IMAGE RATING
FAVORABLE 141
22.3
77
25.5
62
25.8
15
24.6
63
19.4
39
19.8
25
19.8
2
4.5
17
26.7
36
29.8
28
19.4
58
22.5
21
24.2
10
25.7
70
24.3
39
18.3
123
22.2
10
24.6
8
22.3
54
20.2
78
26.9
UNFAVORABLE 170
27.0
82
27.1
68
28.1
14
22.9
88
26.9
44
22.4
40
32.4
20
45.7
14
21.9
27
22.2
40
27.8
69
26.9
14
15.3
7
19.3
93
32.1
56
26.4
145
26.0
16
40.7
9
27.1
68
25.4
84
29.2
SMITH IMAGE RATING
FAVORABLE 145
22.9
73
24.2
50
20.9
23
37.5
72
21.8
49
25.0
23
18.1
14
31.2
14
21.9
25
20.6
38
26.2
54
21.0
11
12.6
2
4.0
54
18.6
78
36.4
132
23.7
4
10.9
9
24.7
83
30.9
53
18.2
UNFAVORABLE 105
16.6
59
19.4
52
21.7
6
9.4
46
14.1
19
9.5
28
22.1
10
22.9
7
10.4
30
24.8
24
16.8
34
13.2
8
9.2
5
12.8
53
18.4
38
17.9
88
15.9
12
29.6
5
13.2
36
13.2
60
20.7
HORNE IMAGE RATING
FAVORABLE 127
20.2
79
26.1
63
26.1
15
24.9
49
14.8
32
16.3
17
13.3
3
6.7
11
16.9
20
16.6
30
20.5
64
24.9
23
25.6
14
37.7
48
16.6
42
19.8
112
20.1
12
30.1
4
11.1
40
14.9
77
26.5
UNFAVORABLE 377
59.9
179
59.2
146
60.4
33
55.5
198
60.5
126
64.4
69
55.3
30
68.7
31
49.7
82
68.4
88
60.4
146
56.7
44
49.8
13
35.6
191
65.9
129
60.3
332
59.8
24
60.3
21
61.3
189
70.3
149
51.5

Table 1-2
SUMMARY TABLES
FISCAL IDEOLOGY SOCIAL IDEOLOGY BENNETT IMG DUCEY IMG JONES IMG SMITH IMG HORNE IMG BRNOVICH
IMG
------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------- ------------------- -------------------- -------------------- ------------------- ------------------- --------------------
TOTAL
---------
VERY
CONS
---------
CONS
ERVE
--------
MODE
RATE
---------
LIB
ERAL
---------
VERY
CONS
--------
CONS
ERVE
---------
MODE
RATE
---------
LIB
ERAL
--------
FAV
---------
UN
FAV
---------
FAV
--------
UN
FAV
---------
FAV
--------
UN
FAV
---------
FAV
---------
UN
FAV
--------
FAV
---------
UN
FAV
---------
FAV
--------
UN
FAV
---------
TOTAL 630
100.0
284
100.0
233
100.0
103
100.0
11
100.0
256
100.0
166
100.0
120
100.0
88
100.0
164
100.0
94
100.0
245
100.0
134
100.0
141
100.0
170
100.0
145
100.0
105
100.0
127
100.0
377
100.0
44
100.0
81
100.0
FAVORABLE 164
26.0
80
28.1
59
25.6
22
21.0
3
28.0
67
26.3
54
32.7
29
24.4
13
14.5
164
100.0
94
38.4
41
30.4
45
31.9
60
35.1
57
39.2
50
48.0
44
34.9
101
26.8
32
71.9
29
35.9
UNFAVORABLE 94
14.9
28
9.8
24
10.2
41
39.5
2
15.8
30
11.6
18
10.8
24
20.0
22
25.2
94
100.0
27
11.2
59
44.1
30
21.7
52
30.5
34
23.3
39
37.5
7
5.6
85
22.5
7
15.3
44
53.9
DUCEY IMAGE RATING
FAVORABLE 245
39.0
140
49.5
83
35.6
19
18.0
4
32.9
117
45.8
71
43.0
38
31.9
19
21.3
94
57.6
27
29.3
245
100.0
76
53.9
76
44.5
55
37.7
53
50.6
73
57.6
127
33.7
21
48.2
27
33.5
UNFAVORABLE 134
21.3
29
10.4
49
20.9
49
48.2
6
57.7
28
11.0
27
16.4
38
31.6
41
46.3
41
24.9
59
63.1
134
100.0
37
26.1
74
43.7
58
40.3
43
41.1
16
12.9
114
30.2
18
41.3
53
65.3
JONES IMAGE RATING
FAVORABLE 141
22.3
71
25.2
48
20.7
20
19.2
1
11.3
60
23.4
48
28.8
16
13.2
17
19.4
45
27.4
30
32.5
76
30.9
37
27.4
141
100.0
37
25.6
33
31.9
47
36.5
85
22.5
23
52.3
20
24.3
UNFAVORABLE 170
27.0
78
27.6
48
20.8
39
38.0
5
43.7
59
23.2
37
22.5
36
29.7
38
43.0
60
36.5
52
55.5
76
30.9
74
55.6
170
100.0
50
34.7
62
59.5
36
28.1
118
31.2
16
35.1
58
71.4
SMITH IMAGE RATING
FAVORABLE 145
22.9
41
14.5
61
26.1
39
38.1
4
32.9
47
18.3
40
24.3
25
20.8
32
36.8
57
34.6
34
36.0
55
22.2
58
43.5
37
26.3
50
29.5
145
100.0
29
22.4
105
28.0
21
47.2
39
48.1
UNFAVORABLE 105
16.6
50
17.8
31
13.5
18
18.0
4
40.1
41
16.1
34
20.4
21
17.4
9
9.9
50
30.7
39
41.9
53
21.6
43
32.1
33
23.7
62
36.6
105
100.0
16
12.2
83
22.0
18
39.8
39
47.4
HORNE IMAGE RATING
FAVORABLE 127
20.2
81
28.6
38
16.5
7
6.5
1
11.3
67
26.1
34
20.3
20
17.0
6
7.4
44
27.1
7
7.6
73
29.9
16
12.3
47
33.1
36
21.0
29
19.7
16
14.8
127
100.0
9
19.4
19
22.8
UNFAVORABLE 377
59.9
141
49.7
143
61.2
85
82.4
9
83.8
123
48.0
98
59.0
81
67.0
76
86.5
101
61.9
85
90.5
127
51.9
114
85.0
85
60.4
118
69.1
105
73.0
83
79.5
377
100.0
36
79.9
61
74.8

Table 1-3
SUMMARY TABLES
GOP GOVERNOR BALLOT AG BALLOT SOS BALLOT TREASURER BALLOT
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
BENN
ETT
---------
DUC
EY
--------
JON
ES
---------
MEL
VIN
---------
RIG
GS
--------
SMI
TH
---------
THO
MAS
---------
UNDE
CIDE
--------
HOR
NE
---------
BRNO
VICH
---------
UNDE
CIDE
--------
CARD
ON
---------
REAG
AN
--------
PIE
RCE
---------
UNDE
CIDE
---------
DE
WIT
--------
PULL
EN
---------
HALL
MAN
---------
UNDE
CIDE
--------
TOTAL 630
100.0
73
100.0
176
100.0
76
100.0
15
100.0
12
100.0
100
100.0
33
100.0
146
100.0
165
100.0
268
100.0
196
100.0
112
100.0
125
100.0
92
100.0
301
100.0
81
100.0
53
100.0
90
100.0
406
100.0
FAVORABLE 164
26.0
53
72.2
37
21.1
10
12.8 2.0
6
46.0
28
28.0
8
25.7
22
14.9
46
27.8
82
30.5
36
18.3
44
39.4
42
33.5
14
14.6
64
21.4
29
35.4
25
46.6
24
26.2
87
21.4
UNFAVORABLE 94
14.9
3
3.8
19
10.6
16
21.7
2
10.8
3
28.2
31
31.6
11
32.2
9
5.9
21
12.6
60
22.4
13
6.6
16
14.1
29
23.0
27
28.9
22
7.4
14
16.6
7
13.8
32
35.2
41
10.1
DUCEY IMAGE RATING
FAVORABLE 245
39.0
20
27.5
149
84.6
20
25.8
5
33.8
1
11.6
16
15.6
10
29.6
25
17.5
86
52.0
95
35.3
65
32.9
66
58.6
51
40.7
34
36.8
95
31.6
46
56.6
25
47.2
31
34.9
143
35.3
UNFAVORABLE 134
21.3
29
40.1
20
27.0
2
16.2
6
51.6
52
52.2
12
34.9
12
8.2
32
19.4
79
29.5
23
11.6
15
13.4
40
32.2
36
39.0
43
14.2
10
12.5
15
28.7
40
44.5
69
16.9
JONES IMAGE RATING
FAVORABLE 141
22.3
12
16.4
31
17.9
53
70.7
5
30.5
3
22.6
15
14.7
3
9.1
19
13.0
45
27.2
69
25.6
27
13.8
43
38.5
49
38.9
14
14.7
35
11.8
42
51.3
13
24.5
15
16.9
71
17.5
UNFAVORABLE 170
27.0
28
38.8
55
31.4
1
1.2
3
17.3
6
51.6
43
43.4
15
44.7
19
12.9
54
32.8
73
27.3
43
21.8
31
27.8
33
26.3
43
46.1
64
21.2
17
20.9
20
37.4
48
54.0
85
20.9
SMITH IMAGE RATING
FAVORABLE 145
22.9
10
13.3
17
9.6
8
11.0
2
13.9
1
4.4
91
91.3
3
9.1
13
9.0
40
24.0
69
25.5
36
18.5
34
30.6
42
33.7
18
20.0
50
16.5
12
15.2
18
33.5
34
38.1
80
19.8
UNFAVORABLE 105
16.6
25
33.8
33
19.1
11
14.4
2
10.8
9
74.2
1
0.6
13
39.0
11
7.8
22
13.1
66
24.7
17
8.5
28
25.0
31
25.2
21
23.2
24
7.9
29
36.0
14
25.7
24
27.1
38
9.2
HORNE IMAGE RATING
FAVORABLE 127
20.2
17
22.7
42
24.0
18
24.2
5
35.4
1
9.0
10
10.2
5
15.3
29
19.7
103
62.2
5
2.0
19
9.9
24
21.0
32
25.7
17
18.1
55
18.3
17
20.6
13
24.2
13
14.3
85
21.0
UNFAVORABLE 377
59.9
53
71.6
99
56.2
50
65.8
5
30.6
10
78.6
78
78.1
17
49.9
68
46.6
24
14.5
252
94.0
101
51.6
81
72.1
77
61.9
48
52.4
171
56.8
52
63.7
38
71.3
61
67.6
227
55.9

Table 1-4
SUMMARY TABLES
GOV CAND DMA
-------------------- ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
PRO
FAM
---------
BUS
ESTB
--------
PHOE
NIX
---------
YUMA
---------
TUC
SON
--------
ALBQ
STFE
---------
TOTAL 630
100.0
228
100.0
240
100.0
565
100.0
1
100.0
64
100.0
FAVORABLE 164
26.0
67
29.2
65
27.0
155
27.4
9
14.3
UNFAVORABLE 94
14.9
31
13.8
45
18.6
88
15.5
6
9.2
DUCEY IMAGE RATING
FAVORABLE 245
39.0
101
44.3
88
36.5
229
40.5
17
26.4
UNFAVORABLE 134
21.3
33
14.4
76
31.6
126
22.3
8
12.9
JONES IMAGE RATING
FAVORABLE 141
22.3
60
26.3
55
22.9
130
23.0
11
17.3
UNFAVORABLE 170
27.0
62
27.4
75
31.1
157
27.9
13
20.1
SMITH IMAGE RATING
FAVORABLE 145
22.9
56
24.7
53
22.1
141
25.0
3
5.1
UNFAVORABLE 105
16.6
35
15.2
52
21.8
98
17.3
7
10.5
HORNE IMAGE RATING
FAVORABLE 127
20.2
58
25.4
44
18.3
105
18.6
23
35.5
UNFAVORABLE 377
59.9
105
46.1
180
74.7
351
62.1
27
41.9

Table 2-1
SUMMARY TABLES
----------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------- --------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
TOT
---------
MARR
MEN
--------
SING
MEN
---------
WOM
TOT
---------
MARR
WOM
--------
SING
WOM
---------
18-34
---------
35-44
--------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65+
--------
NRTH
---------
STH
--------
NRTH
CENT
---------
STH
CENT
---------
WHTE
--------
HISP
LTNO
---------
OTHR
---------
REP
PRTY
--------
TEA
PRTY
---------
TOTAL 630
100.0
302
100.0
241
100.0
60
100.0
328
100.0
196
100.0
125
100.0
44
100.0
63
100.0
120
100.0
145
100.0
258
100.0
88
100.0
38
100.0
290
100.0
214
100.0
556
100.0
40
100.0
35
100.0
269
100.0
289
100.0
BRNOVICH IMAGE
RATING
FAVORABLE 44
7.0
24
7.9
14
6.0
9
15.7
21
6.3
15
7.7
6
4.5
3
4.6
15
12.6
12
8.6
14
5.4
8
9.6
2
5.5
13
4.4
21
9.9
39
7.1
4
9.6
1
3.3
22
8.3
18
6.1
UNFAVORABLE 81
12.9
35
11.6
29
11.9
7
10.8
46
14.1
21
10.7
25
20.3
21
48.0
12
18.6
8
6.9
15
10.2
25
9.8
3
3.4
6
14.7
46
15.7
27
12.8
62
11.2
14
34.1
5
15.6
39
14.3
43
14.7
GOP GOVERNOR
BALLOT
DOUG DUCEY 176
27.9
96
31.7
82
34.2
14
22.5
80
24.3
52
26.4
27
22.1
5
10.4
15
23.0
41
34.2
45
30.8
71
27.5
18
20.0
9
24.7
98
33.9
51
23.6
160
28.9
9
21.5
7
19.2
60
22.4
97
33.7
SCOTT SMITH 100
15.8
40
13.2
31
12.7
9
15.4
60
18.2
40
20.4
20
15.9
14
31.2
10
15.4
13
11.1
29
20.0
34
13.1
2
2.8
1
1.4
39
13.3
58
27.1
90
16.2
3
6.7
7
19.9
64
23.9
31
10.6
CHRISTINE JONES 76
12.0
40
13.3
29
12.2
11
17.8
35
10.8
26
13.1
10
7.9
1
2.3
9
14.4
27
22.3
5
3.2
34
13.2
11
12.1
6
16.8
37
12.8
21
10.0
69
12.5
5
13.5
1
2.7
32
11.8
36
12.4
KEN BENNETT 73
11.6
43
14.1
38
15.9
4
7.1
31
9.4
15
7.8
13
10.3
6
8.8
11
8.9
26
17.8
31
12.1
14
15.6
3
8.8
32
11.1
24
11.3
67
12.1
3
7.2
3
9.6
47
17.5
22
7.7
ANDREW THOMAS 33
5.2
13
4.4
9
3.9
4
6.3
20
6.0
4
1.9
16
12.8
17
39.3
5
4.0
2
1.2
9
3.5
3
3.3 0.8
13
4.6
17
7.8
19
3.5
14
34.3
3
1.3
28
9.8
AL MELVIN 15
2.4
7
2.3
7
2.8
8
2.4
5
2.7
3
2.2
1
2.2
3
2.8
2
1.1
9
3.4
8
9.4
2
5.6
3
1.1
1
0.6
10
1.7
1
2.5
4
12.2
4
1.6
9
3.1
FRANK RIGGS 12
1.9
3
1.1
2
0.6
2
2.8
9
2.8
4
2.1
5
4.0
1
2.3
4
3.4
7
2.6
5
1.6
8
3.6
12
2.1
1
1.6
2
0.6
9
3.2
UNDECIDED 146
23.1
60
20.0
43
17.6
17
28.2
85
26.0
50
25.7
31
24.8
6
14.6
23
36.1
16
13.3
37
25.9
63
24.4
33
36.9
16
41.9
63
21.7
34
16.1
128
23.0
6
14.3
12
34.8
56
20.9
56
19.5

Table 2-2
SUMMARY TABLES
IMG
------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------- ------------------- -------------------- -------------------- ------------------- ------------------- --------------------
TOTAL
---------
VERY
CONS
---------
CONS
ERVE
--------
MODE
RATE
---------
LIB
ERAL
---------
VERY
CONS
--------
CONS
ERVE
---------
MODE
RATE
---------
LIB
ERAL
--------
FAV
---------
UN
FAV
---------
FAV
--------
UN
FAV
---------
FAV
--------
UN
FAV
---------
FAV
---------
UN
FAV
--------
FAV
---------
UN
FAV
---------
FAV
--------
UN
FAV
---------
TOTAL 630
100.0
284
100.0
233
100.0
103
100.0
11
100.0
256
100.0
166
100.0
120
100.0
88
100.0
164
100.0
94
100.0
245
100.0
134
100.0
141
100.0
170
100.0
145
100.0
105
100.0
127
100.0
377
100.0
44
100.0
81
100.0
BRNOVICH IMAGE
RATING
FAVORABLE 44
7.0
25
8.8
9
3.9
10
10.2
13
5.1
18
11.1
9
7.7
4
4.2
32
19.5
7
7.3
21
8.7
18
13.7
23
16.5
16
9.2
21
14.5
18
16.9
9
6.8
36
9.4
44
100.0
UNFAVORABLE 81
12.9
22
7.7
24
10.4
35
33.7
1
9.1
19
7.6
19
11.2
22
18.7
21
23.8
29
17.9
44
46.9
27
11.1
53
39.7
20
14.0
58
34.1
39
27.1
39
36.8
19
14.6
61
16.1
81
100.0
GOP GOVERNOR
BALLOT
DOUG DUCEY 176
27.9
100
35.1
66
28.4
7
6.7
3
27.9
80
31.4
52
31.4
30
24.8
13
15.2
37
22.6
19
19.9
149
60.5
31
22.3
55
32.4
17
11.7
33
32.0
42
33.1
99
26.2
5
12.0
12
14.2
SCOTT SMITH 100
15.8
19
6.8
47
20.3
33
31.7
1
4.9
24
9.4
21
12.9
23
18.8
32
36.0
28
17.1
31
33.6
16
6.3
52
38.8
15
10.4
43
25.4
91
62.9
1
0.5
10
8.0
78
20.6
7
15.2
32
39.3
CHRISTINE JONES 76
12.0
36
12.7
21
9.0
16
15.9
2
21.1
28
10.9
22
13.4
12
9.9
14
15.6
10
5.9
16
17.5
20
8.0
20
15.3
53
38.0
1
0.6
8
5.8
11
10.4
18
14.4
50
13.2
8
17.1
5
6.7
KEN BENNETT 73
11.6
34
12.0
28
12.0
10
9.4
2
17.3
25
9.7
20
12.3
19
15.9
9
10.4
53
32.4
3
3.0
20
8.2
29
22.0
12
8.5
28
16.7
10
6.7
25
23.7
17
13.0
53
13.9
11
23.6
12
14.7
ANDREW THOMAS 33
5.2
12
4.3
10
4.5
11
10.4
16
6.2
4
2.5
12
9.8
1
1.2
8
5.2
11
11.4
10
4.0
12
8.6
3
2.1
15
8.7
3
2.1
13
12.3
5
4.0
17
4.4
1
3.3
12
15.0
AL MELVIN 15
2.4
8
2.9
5
2.2
1
1.3
8
3.0
5
2.9
1
0.8
1
1.5 0.2
2
1.7
5
2.0
2
1.8
5
3.2
3
1.5
2
1.4
2
1.5
5
4.1
5
1.2
2
2.0
FRANK RIGGS 12
1.9
7
2.5
4
1.7
1
1.1
6
2.2
5
3.1
2
1.9
6
3.4
3
3.7
1
0.6
6
4.7
3
2.0
6
3.7
1
0.4
9
8.7
1
0.9
10
2.6
6
12.8
2
2.6
UNDECIDED 146
23.1
67
23.7
51
22.0
24
23.5
3
28.8
70
27.3
36
21.5
24
20.1
16
18.2
22
13.2
9
9.2
25
10.4
12
8.9
19
13.5
19
11.0
13
9.0
11
10.9
29
22.5
68
18.0
7
16.1
5
5.7

Table 2-3
SUMMARY TABLES
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
BENN
ETT
---------
DUC
EY
--------
JON
ES
---------
MEL
VIN
---------
RIG
GS
--------
SMI
TH
---------
THO
MAS
---------
UNDE
CIDE
--------
HOR
NE
---------
BRNO
VICH
---------
UNDE
CIDE
--------
CARD
ON
---------
REAG
AN
--------
PIE
RCE
---------
UNDE
CIDE
---------
DE
WIT
--------
PULL
EN
---------
HALL
MAN
---------
UNDE
CIDE
--------
TOTAL 630
100.0
73
100.0
176
100.0
76
100.0
15
100.0
12
100.0
100
100.0
33
100.0
146
100.0
165
100.0
268
100.0
196
100.0
112
100.0
125
100.0
92
100.0
301
100.0
81
100.0
53
100.0
90
100.0
406
100.0
BRNOVICH IMAGE
RATING
FAVORABLE 44
7.0
11
14.3
5
3.0
8
10.0
6
46.2
7
6.8
1
4.4
7
4.9
8
4.8
35
13.0
2
0.8
11
9.6
18
14.6
7
7.8
8
2.7
14
17.8
9
17.8
12
13.4
9
2.1
UNFAVORABLE 81
12.9
12
16.3
12
6.6
5
7.2
2
10.8
2
16.9
32
32.1
12
36.9
5
3.2
34
20.6
42
15.7
5
2.6
15
13.5
31
24.9
24
26.4
11
3.6
14
17.3
11
20.4
32
36.1
24
5.9
GOP GOVERNOR
BALLOT
DOUG DUCEY 176
27.9
176
100.0
60
36.5
73
27.3
42
21.3
42
37.6
28
22.7
27
29.6
78
25.9
30
37.0
19
35.7
23
25.1
104
25.6
SCOTT SMITH 100
15.8
100
100.0
24
14.5
49
18.2
27
13.6
17
15.0
26
20.4
17
18.8
40
13.3
5
6.2
10
18.7
27
30.4
57
14.1
CHRISTINE JONES 76
12.0
76
100.0
16
9.8
43
16.2
16
8.1
13
12.0
30
24.2
9
9.3
23
7.7
8
10.1
11
20.5
11
11.9
46
11.3
KEN BENNETT 73
11.6
73
100.0
20
12.0
40
15.0
13
6.8
14
12.3
24
18.9
7
7.1
29
9.8
8
10.3
9
17.6
10
11.0
46
11.3
ANDREW THOMAS 33
5.2
33
100.0
7
4.2
16
5.9
10
5.2
6
5.1
3
2.8
18
19.4
6
2.0
7
8.1
1
1.0
13
14.0
13
3.3
AL MELVIN 15
2.4
15
100.0
9
5.6
1
0.6
4
2.0
8
7.3
2
1.3
1
1.6
4
1.2
4
5.0
2
2.6
8
2.1
FRANK RIGGS 12
1.9
12
100.0
3
1.6
7
2.7
2
1.2
3
2.3
3
3.1
7
2.2
6
7.0
2
1.7
5
1.3
UNDECIDED 146
23.1
146
100.0
26
15.8
38
14.1
82
41.6
9
8.3
12
9.6
10
11.1
114
38.0
13
16.3
3
6.4
3
3.3
126
31.1

Table 2-4
SUMMARY TABLES
GOV CAND DMA
-------------------- ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
PRO
FAM
---------
BUS
ESTB
--------
PHOE
NIX
---------
YUMA
---------
TUC
SON
--------
ALBQ
STFE
---------
TOTAL 630
100.0
228
100.0
240
100.0
565
100.0
1
100.0
64
100.0
BRNOVICH IMAGE
RATING
FAVORABLE 44
7.0
12
5.2
22
9.3
41
7.3
3
5.1
UNFAVORABLE 81
12.9
35
15.5
36
15.1
75
13.3
6
10.0
GOP GOVERNOR
BALLOT
DOUG DUCEY 176
27.9
58
25.6
72
30.1
160
28.4
15
24.2
SCOTT SMITH 100
15.8
31
13.5
43
17.7
99
17.5
1
0.8
CHRISTINE JONES 76
12.0
34
15.0
31
12.8
69
12.3
6
9.7
KEN BENNETT 73
11.6
18
8.1
35
14.8
66
11.8
7
10.9
ANDREW THOMAS 33
5.2
12
5.4
15
6.4
33
5.9
AL MELVIN 15
2.4
9
4.1
4
1.6
7
1.2
8
12.9
FRANK RIGGS 12
1.9
4
1.9
3
1.1
12
2.2
UNDECIDED 146
23.1
60
26.4
37
15.5
118
20.9
1
100.0
26
41.4

Table 3-1
SUMMARY TABLES
----------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------- --------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
TOT
---------
MARR
MEN
--------
SING
MEN
---------
WOM
TOT
---------
MARR
WOM
--------
SING
WOM
---------
18-34
---------
35-44
--------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65+
--------
NRTH
---------
STH
--------
NRTH
CENT
---------
STH
CENT
---------
WHTE
--------
HISP
LTNO
---------
OTHR
---------
REP
PRTY
--------
TEA
PRTY
---------
TOTAL 630
100.0
302
100.0
241
100.0
60
100.0
328
100.0
196
100.0
125
100.0
44
100.0
63
100.0
120
100.0
145
100.0
258
100.0
88
100.0
38
100.0
290
100.0
214
100.0
556
100.0
40
100.0
35
100.0
269
100.0
289
100.0
GOP ATTORNEY
GENERAL BALLOT
MARK BRNOVICH 268
42.6
136
45.0
115
47.8
21
34.6
132
40.4
70
35.9
60
47.8
23
51.7
18
28.4
61
50.8
60
41.5
107
41.3
30
34.2
9
23.1
134
46.3
95
44.5
229
41.2
22
56.2
17
49.9
139
51.5
106
36.5
TOM HORNE 165
26.2
95
31.3
78
32.3
16
26.5
71
21.5
45
22.9
26
20.6
18
40.0
10
15.1
29
23.9
36
25.0
73
28.4
27
30.3
17
46.0
70
24.1
51
24.0
146
26.3
11
28.2
8
22.2
53
19.6
99
34.1
UNDECIDED 196
31.2
72
23.7
48
20.0
23
38.9
125
38.1
81
41.2
39
31.6
4
8.3
36
56.5
30
25.3
48
33.5
78
30.3
31
35.5
12
30.9
86
29.6
68
31.6
180
32.5
6
15.6
10
27.8
78
28.9
85
29.3
GOP SOS BALLOT
MICHELE REAGAN 125
19.8
67
22.1
53
22.1
14
22.6
58
17.7
26
13.5
32
25.4
1
2.3
17
26.7
24
19.8
30
20.6
54
20.7
10
10.9
6
15.5
77
26.5
33
15.2
114
20.6
5
12.4
6
16.4
73
27.2
40
13.8
WIL CARDON 112
17.8
69
22.8
53
22.0
16
26.4
43
13.1
32
16.4
11
8.7
1
2.2
9
13.9
26
21.8
28
19.0
49
18.9
25
28.4
7
17.4
33
11.4
48
22.2
97
17.4
6
15.3
9
27.1
45
16.8
60
20.8
JUSTIN PIERCE 92
14.7
28
9.4
26
10.7
3
4.4
64
19.6
39
19.9
25
20.1
31
70.4
8
12.6
10
8.4
15
10.5
28
10.9
3
3.9
2
6.4
55
19.1
31
14.5
70
12.6
21
53.0
1
4.3
25
9.1
65
22.4
UNDECIDED 301
47.7
138
45.7
109
45.2
28
46.6
162
49.6
98
50.2
57
45.8
11
25.2
29
46.8
60
50.0
72
50.0
128
49.5
50
56.8
23
60.7
125
43.0
103
48.0
275
49.5
8
19.2
18
52.1
126
46.9
125
43.1
GOP TREASURER
BALLOT
HUGH HALLMAN 90
14.3
31
10.1
20
8.4
10
17.0
59
18.1
35
18.0
24
19.3
24
53.9
7
10.9
16
13.0
15
10.3
29
11.1
4
5.1
2
4.0
46
16.0
38
17.6
77
13.9
13
31.5
41
15.3
45
15.7
JEFF DEWIT 81
12.9
55
18.2
47
19.3
9
14.3
26
8.0
19
9.5
8
6.0
5
10.5
15
24.2
19
16.3
15
10.6
27
10.3
8
9.6
4
11.9
38
13.0
31
14.3
68
12.2
5
13.3
8
23.2
31
11.5
45
15.4
RANDY PULLEN 53
8.4
31
10.1
24
9.9
7
11.0
22
6.8
15
7.8
7
5.7
1
2.3 0.6
11
9.0
18
12.1
23
9.0
6
7.3
3
8.0
25
8.7
18
8.5
42
7.5
10
25.0
1
3.8
25
9.2
25
8.7
UNDECIDED 406
64.4
186
61.6
150
62.4
35
57.7
220
67.1
127
64.7
86
69.0
15
33.3
40
64.2
74
61.8
97
67.0
180
69.6
69
78.0
29
76.0
181
62.3
128
59.6
369
66.3
12
30.2
25
73.1
172
64.0
174
60.2

Table 3-2
SUMMARY TABLES
IMG
------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------- ------------------- -------------------- -------------------- ------------------- ------------------- --------------------
TOTAL
---------
VERY
CONS
---------
CONS
ERVE
--------
MODE
RATE
---------
LIB
ERAL
---------
VERY
CONS
--------
CONS
ERVE
---------
MODE
RATE
---------
LIB
ERAL
--------
FAV
---------
UN
FAV
---------
FAV
--------
UN
FAV
---------
FAV
--------
UN
FAV
---------
FAV
---------
UN
FAV
--------
FAV
---------
UN
FAV
---------
FAV
--------
UN
FAV
---------
TOTAL 630
100.0
284
100.0
233
100.0
103
100.0
11
100.0
256
100.0
166
100.0
120
100.0
88
100.0
164
100.0
94
100.0
245
100.0
134
100.0
141
100.0
170
100.0
145
100.0
105
100.0
127
100.0
377
100.0
44
100.0
81
100.0
GOP ATTORNEY
GENERAL BALLOT
MARK BRNOVICH 268
42.6
94
33.1
105
45.3
63
61.5
6
55.8
73
28.5
75
45.4
69
57.6
51
57.7
82
50.1
60
64.1
95
38.6
79
59.1
69
48.8
73
43.0
69
47.4
66
63.3
5
4.2
252
66.8
35
78.6
42
51.9
TOM HORNE 165
26.2
95
33.4
53
22.6
17
16.2
1
11.3
84
32.7
45
27.4
20
16.4
16
18.5
46
28.1
21
22.2
86
35.0
32
24.0
45
31.9
54
31.9
40
27.5
22
20.7
103
80.6
24
6.3
8
17.9
34
41.9
UNDECIDED 196
31.2
95
33.5
75
32.2
23
22.3
4
32.9
99
38.8
45
27.1
31
25.9
21
23.8
36
21.9
13
13.7
65
26.4
23
17.0
27
19.3
43
25.1
36
25.1
17
16.0
19
15.2
101
26.8
2
3.4
5
6.2
GOP SOS BALLOT
MICHELE REAGAN 125
19.8
49
17.3
53
23.0
21
20.1
2
16.2
42
16.5
36
22.0
36
29.7
10
11.9
42
25.6
29
30.7
51
20.7
40
30.0
49
34.5
33
19.3
42
29.1
31
30.1
32
25.2
77
20.5
18
41.0
31
38.3
WIL CARDON 112
17.8
49
17.3
41
17.8
18
17.5
4
32.9
49
19.3
38
23.1
14
11.6
10
11.8
44
27.0
16
16.9
66
26.7
15
11.2
43
30.6
31
18.3
34
23.7
28
26.8
24
18.5
81
21.4
11
24.3
15
18.6
JUSTIN PIERCE 92
14.7
42
14.7
25
10.9
25
24.6
43
16.8
12
7.4
21
17.7
16
18.2
14
8.3
27
28.5
34
13.9
36
26.9
14
9.7
43
25.0
18
12.8
21
20.5
17
13.1
48
12.8
7
16.3
24
29.9
UNDECIDED 301
47.7
144
50.7
113
48.4
39
37.7
6
50.9
122
47.5
79
47.5
49
41.1
51
58.0
64
39.2
22
23.9
95
38.7
43
31.9
35
25.2
64
37.4
50
34.4
24
22.6
55
43.2
171
45.3
8
18.4
11
13.2
GOP TREASURER
BALLOT
HUGH HALLMAN 90
14.3
26
9.3
31
13.3
32
31.3
1
5.0
23
8.9
18
11.0
32
26.5
17
19.3
24
14.4
32
33.8
31
12.8
40
29.8
15
10.8
48
28.5
34
23.7
24
23.2
13
10.1
61
16.1
12
27.1
32
39.9
JEFF DEWIT 81
12.9
36
12.5
37
16.0
8
7.8
1
4.9
34
13.2
35
21.2
9
7.7
3
3.6
29
17.6
14
14.4
46
18.7
10
7.6
42
29.7
17
10.0
12
8.6
29
27.9
17
13.1
52
13.7
14
32.5
14
17.3
RANDY PULLEN 53
8.4
25
8.9
15
6.5
9
8.8
4
32.1
24
9.5
15
8.9
7
5.9
7
7.6
25
15.1
7
7.8
25
10.2
15
11.4
13
9.2
20
11.6
18
12.3
14
13.0
13
10.0
38
10.0
9
21.2
11
13.3
UNDECIDED 406
64.4
197
69.3
149
64.2
53
52.1
6
58.0
175
68.4
97
58.8
72
59.9
61
69.6
87
53.0
41
43.9
143
58.3
69
51.2
71
50.3
85
49.9
80
55.5
38
35.8
85
66.7
227
60.2
9
19.3
24
29.5

Table 3-3
SUMMARY TABLES
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
BENN
ETT
---------
DUC
EY
--------
JON
ES
---------
MEL
VIN
---------
RIG
GS
--------
SMI
TH
---------
THO
MAS
---------
UNDE
CIDE
--------
HOR
NE
---------
BRNO
VICH
---------
UNDE
CIDE
--------
CARD
ON
---------
REAG
AN
--------
PIE
RCE
---------
UNDE
CIDE
---------
DE
WIT
--------
PULL
EN
---------
HALL
MAN
---------
UNDE
CIDE
--------
TOTAL 630
100.0
73
100.0
176
100.0
76
100.0
15
100.0
12
100.0
100
100.0
33
100.0
146
100.0
165
100.0
268
100.0
196
100.0
112
100.0
125
100.0
92
100.0
301
100.0
81
100.0
53
100.0
90
100.0
406
100.0
GOP ATTORNEY
GENERAL BALLOT
MARK BRNOVICH 268
42.6
40
54.8
73
41.8
43
57.5
1
10.1
7
58.6
49
49.1
16
48.2
38
25.9
268
100.0
53
47.1
75
60.0
32
34.4
109
36.2
47
57.8
28
52.6
39
43.7
154
38.0
TOM HORNE 165
26.2
20
26.9
60
34.4
16
21.4
9
62.9
3
21.4
24
24.1
7
20.9
26
17.9
165
100.0
31
28.1
35
28.1
30
32.6
69
22.8
21
26.0
19
35.2
27
30.0
99
24.3
UNDECIDED 196
31.2
13
18.3
42
23.8
16
21.1
4
27.0
2
19.9
27
26.8
10
30.8
82
56.1
196
100.0
28
24.8
15
11.9
30
33.0
123
41.0
13
16.2
6
12.3
24
26.3
153
37.7
GOP SOS BALLOT
MICHELE REAGAN 125
19.8
24
32.2
28
16.2
30
40.1
2
11.1
26
25.6
3
10.5
12
8.2
35
21.2
75
27.9
15
7.6
125
100.0
21
26.0
15
27.9
19
20.9
70
17.3
WIL CARDON 112
17.8
14
18.8
42
24.0
13
17.8
8
54.9
3
21.4
17
16.9
6
17.4
9
6.4
31
19.0
53
19.7
28
14.2
112
100.0
32
39.8
19
35.5
17
19.2
44
10.7
JUSTIN PIERCE 92
14.7
7
8.9
27
15.6
9
11.3
1
10.1
3
23.7
17
17.5
18
54.1
10
7.0
30
18.2
32
11.9
30
15.5
92
100.0
17
21.4
12
22.9
40
44.1
23
5.7
UNDECIDED 301
47.7
29
40.0
78
44.2
23
30.8
4
23.9
7
54.9
40
40.0
6
18.0
114
78.4
69
41.5
109
40.5
123
62.7
301
100.0
10
12.9
7
13.6
14
15.8
269
66.2
GOP TREASURER
BALLOT
HUGH HALLMAN 90
14.3
10
13.5
23
12.8
11
14.2
2
15.6
2
12.4
27
27.4
13
38.2
3
2.0
27
16.3
39
14.6
24
12.1
17
15.4
19
15.0
40
42.9
14
4.7
90
100.0
JEFF DEWIT 81
12.9
8
11.4
30
17.1
8
10.9
4
27.2
6
46.2
5
5.0
7
19.9
13
9.1
21
12.8
47
17.5
13
6.7
32
28.9
21
16.9
17
18.8
10
3.5
81
100.0
RANDY PULLEN 53
8.4
9
12.7
19
10.8
11
14.4
10
10.0
1
1.7
3
2.3
19
11.3
28
10.4
6
3.3
19
16.8
15
11.8
12
13.1
7
2.4
53
100.0
UNDECIDED 406
64.4
46
62.4
104
59.3
46
60.6
8
57.3
5
41.4
57
57.6
13
40.2
126
86.5
99
59.6
154
57.5
153
77.9
44
38.9
70
56.2
23
25.2
269
89.4
406
100.0

Table 3-4
SUMMARY TABLES
GOV CAND DMA
-------------------- ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
PRO
FAM
---------
BUS
ESTB
--------
PHOE
NIX
---------
YUMA
---------
TUC
SON
--------
ALBQ
STFE
---------
TOTAL 630
100.0
228
100.0
240
100.0
565
100.0
1
100.0
64
100.0
GOP ATTORNEY
GENERAL BALLOT
MARK BRNOVICH 268
42.6
58
25.5
144
59.9
250
44.3
18
28.1
TOM HORNE 165
26.2
86
37.8
44
18.5
138
24.4
27
43.0
UNDECIDED 196
31.2
84
36.7
52
21.6
177
31.3
1
100.0
18
28.9
GOP SOS BALLOT
MICHELE REAGAN 125
19.8
46
20.2
50
21.0
119
21.1
6
9.2
WIL CARDON 112
17.8
52
22.9
44
18.4
98
17.3
14
22.1
JUSTIN PIERCE 92
14.7
39
16.9
36
15.0
89
15.7
1
100.0
2
3.8
UNDECIDED 301
47.7
91
39.9
110
45.6
259
45.9
41
64.8
GOP TREASURER
BALLOT
HUGH HALLMAN 90
14.3
34
15.1
46
19.1
88
15.5
2
3.7
JEFF DEWIT 81
12.9
38
16.7
31
12.8
76
13.5
5
8.3
RANDY PULLEN 53
8.4
21
9.2
28
11.6
49
8.6
4
6.4
UNDECIDED 406
64.4
135
59.1
136
56.5
352
62.4
1
100.0
52
81.6

Table 4-1
----------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------- --------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
TOT
---------
MARR
MEN
--------
SING
MEN
---------
WOM
TOT
---------
MARR
WOM
--------
SING
WOM
---------
18-34
---------
35-44
--------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65+
--------
NRTH
---------
STH
--------
NRTH
CENT
---------
STH
CENT
---------
WHTE
--------
HISP
LTNO
---------
OTHR
---------
REP
PRTY
--------
TEA
PRTY
---------
TOTAL 630
100.0
302
100.0
241
100.0
60
100.0
328
100.0
196
100.0
125
100.0
44
100.0
63
100.0
120
100.0
145
100.0
258
100.0
88
100.0
38
100.0
290
100.0
214
100.0
556
100.0
40
100.0
35
100.0
269
100.0
289
100.0
REPUBLICAN 541
85.9
257
85.1
201
83.2
57
94.0
284
86.6
176
89.9
100
80.6
41
91.9
52
82.6
103
86.1
129
89.0
217
83.8
79
89.2
31
82.4
248
85.6
183
85.6
482
86.8
32
79.1
28
79.6
230
85.6
257
88.9
INDEPENDENT 89
14.1
45
14.9
40
16.8
4
6.0
44
13.4
20
10.1
24
19.4
4
8.1
11
17.4
17
13.9
16
11.0
42
16.2
10
10.8
7
17.6
42
14.4
31
14.4
73
13.2
8
20.9
7
20.4
39
14.4
32
11.1

Table 4-2
IMG
------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------- ------------------- -------------------- -------------------- ------------------- ------------------- --------------------
TOTAL
---------
VERY
CONS
---------
CONS
ERVE
--------
MODE
RATE
---------
LIB
ERAL
---------
VERY
CONS
--------
CONS
ERVE
---------
MODE
RATE
---------
LIB
ERAL
--------
FAV
---------
UN
FAV
---------
FAV
--------
UN
FAV
---------
FAV
--------
UN
FAV
---------
FAV
---------
UN
FAV
--------
FAV
---------
UN
FAV
---------
FAV
--------
UN
FAV
---------
TOTAL 630
100.0
284
100.0
233
100.0
103
100.0
11
100.0
256
100.0
166
100.0
120
100.0
88
100.0
164
100.0
94
100.0
245
100.0
134
100.0
141
100.0
170
100.0
145
100.0
105
100.0
127
100.0
377
100.0
44
100.0
81
100.0
REPUBLICAN 541
85.9
249
87.9
204
87.5
78
76.2
10
89.3
233
91.1
148
89.5
88
73.4
71
81.2
141
86.0
81
86.5
222
90.3
110
82.1
125
88.6
142
83.4
122
84.2
91
87.2
111
87.1
326
86.5
36
81.6
67
82.1
INDEPENDENT 89
14.1
34
12.1
29
12.5
24
23.8
1
10.7
23
8.9
17
10.5
32
26.6
17
18.8
23
14.0
13
13.5
24
9.7
24
17.9
16
11.4
28
16.6
23
15.8
13
12.8
16
12.9
51
13.5
8
18.4
15
17.9

Table 4-3
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
BENN
ETT
---------
DUC
EY
--------
JON
ES
---------
MEL
VIN
---------
RIG
GS
--------
SMI
TH
---------
THO
MAS
---------
UNDE
CIDE
--------
HOR
NE
---------
BRNO
VICH
---------
UNDE
CIDE
--------
CARD
ON
---------
REAG
AN
--------
PIE
RCE
---------
UNDE
CIDE
---------
DE
WIT
--------
PULL
EN
---------
HALL
MAN
---------
UNDE
CIDE
--------
TOTAL 630
100.0
73
100.0
176
100.0
76
100.0
15
100.0
12
100.0
100
100.0
33
100.0
146
100.0
165
100.0
268
100.0
196
100.0
112
100.0
125
100.0
92
100.0
301
100.0
81
100.0
53
100.0
90
100.0
406
100.0
REPUBLICAN 541
85.9
59
81.0
160
91.0
58
77.0
12
79.9
12
100.0
84
84.5
29
87.5
126
86.8
144
87.3
223
83.1
174
88.5
102
90.7
99
79.3
81
88.1
259
86.2
76
93.7
50
94.8
80
89.4
334
82.4
INDEPENDENT 89
14.1
14
19.0
16
9.0
17
23.0
3
20.1
15
15.5
4
12.5
19
13.2
21
12.7
45
16.9
23
11.5
10
9.3
26
20.7
11
11.9
42
13.8
5
6.3
3
5.2
10
10.6
71
17.6

Table 4-4
GOV CAND DMA
-------------------- ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
PRO
FAM
---------
BUS
ESTB
--------
PHOE
NIX
---------
YUMA
---------
TUC
SON
--------
ALBQ
STFE
---------
TOTAL 630
100.0
228
100.0
240
100.0
565
100.0
1
100.0
64
100.0
REPUBLICAN 541
85.9
205
90.0
210
87.4
486
86.1
1
100.0
53
83.8
INDEPENDENT 89
14.1
23
10.0
30
12.6
79
13.9
10
16.2

Table 5-1
T2. As you may know, independent voters can vote in the August primary election. How likely are you to vote in the August primary election? (Asked only to respondents who self-identified as independent or
unaffiliated voters)
----------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------- --------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
TOT
---------
MARR
MEN
--------
SING
MEN
---------
WOM
TOT
---------
MARR
WOM
--------
SING
WOM
---------
18-34
---------
35-44
--------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65+
--------
NRTH
---------
STH
--------
NRTH
CENT
---------
STH
CENT
---------
WHTE
--------
HISP
LTNO
---------
OTHR
---------
REP
PRTY
--------
TEA
PRTY
---------
TOTAL 89
100.0
45
100.0
40
100.0
4
100.0
44
100.0
20
100.0
24
100.0
4
100.0
11
100.0
17
100.0
16
100.0
42
100.0
10
100.0
7
100.0
42
100.0
31
100.0
73
100.0
8
100.0
7
100.0
39
100.0
32
100.0
EXTREMELY LIKELY 71
79.5
35
78.5
31
77.5
3
84.9
35
80.6
13
68.2
22
90.7
4
100.0
10
87.1
11
64.7
10
59.8
37
89.2
7
78.4
5
81.4
31
75.2
26
85.3
56
76.3
8
100.0
6
88.6
32
83.3
26
80.2
VERY LIKELY 14
15.8
8
16.9
7
18.1 8.3
6
14.6
6
31.8 0.6
6
35.3
6
37.1
2
5.4
2
21.6
1
9.0
9
21.1
3
8.3
13
18.3
1
7.9
6
16.1
6
18.6
SOMEWHAT LIKELY 4
4.7
2
4.6
2
4.5 6.8
2
4.8
2
8.7
1
12.9 3.1
2
5.4
1
9.6
2
3.7
2
6.4
4
5.3 3.5 0.6 1.2

Table 5-2
IMG
------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------- ------------------- -------------------- -------------------- ------------------- ------------------- --------------------
TOTAL
---------
VERY
CONS
---------
CONS
ERVE
--------
MODE
RATE
---------
LIB
ERAL
---------
VERY
CONS
--------
CONS
ERVE
---------
MODE
RATE
---------
LIB
ERAL
--------
FAV
---------
UN
FAV
---------
FAV
--------
UN
FAV
---------
FAV
--------
UN
FAV
---------
FAV
---------
UN
FAV
--------
FAV
---------
UN
FAV
---------
FAV
--------
UN
FAV
---------
TOTAL 89
100.0
34
100.0
29
100.0
24
100.0
1
100.0
23
100.0
17
100.0
32
100.0
17
100.0
23
100.0
13
100.0
24
100.0
24
100.0
16
100.0
28
100.0
23
100.0
13
100.0
16
100.0
51
100.0
8
100.0
15
100.0
EXTREMELY LIKELY 71
79.5
28
81.3
23
78.7
20
80.3 33.4
20
86.9
15
83.9
21
64.8
15
93.4
22
96.9
12
93.7
24
100.0
21
88.6
16
98.5
27
96.6
23
100.0
13
98.2
16
95.7
41
80.1
8
100.0
14
98.3
VERY LIKELY 14
15.8
6
18.0
4
15.5
3
13.9
3
12.1
1
7.2
10
30.8 0.9
1
2.4
1
4.4
2
10.3
1
2.0
1
4.3
10
18.7
SOMEWHAT LIKELY 4
4.7 0.7
2
5.9
1
5.8
1
66.6 1.1
2
8.9
1
4.4
1
5.7 0.6 1.9 1.0 1.5 1.4 1.8
1
1.3 1.7

Table 5-3
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
BENN
ETT
---------
DUC
EY
--------
JON
ES
---------
MEL
VIN
---------
RIG
GS
--------
SMI
TH
---------
THO
MAS
---------
UNDE
CIDE
--------
HOR
NE
---------
BRNO
VICH
---------
UNDE
CIDE
--------
CARD
ON
---------
REAG
AN
--------
PIE
RCE
---------
UNDE
CIDE
---------
DE
WIT
--------
PULL
EN
---------
HALL
MAN
---------
UNDE
CIDE
--------
TOTAL 89
100.0
14
100.0
16
100.0
17
100.0
3
100.0
15
100.0
4
100.0
19
100.0
21
100.0
45
100.0
23
100.0
10
100.0
26
100.0
11
100.0
42
100.0
5
100.0
3
100.0
10
100.0
71
100.0
EXTREMELY LIKELY 71
79.5
11
77.8
13
82.6
11
63.1
3
100.0
15
100.0
4
100.0
13
69.1
19
89.5
35
77.7
17
74.1
10
100.0
17
64.7
10
93.6
33
79.9
5
100.0
3
100.0
8
82.6
55
76.9
VERY LIKELY 14
15.8
3
22.2
2
13.0
4
25.9
4
22.8
2
10.5
8
17.5
4
17.2
7
27.9
1
6.4
6
14.7
14
19.6
SOMEWHAT LIKELY 4
4.7
1
4.4
2
11.0
2
8.1
2
4.8
2
8.7
2
7.4
2
5.4
2
17.4
2
3.5

Table 5-4
GOV CAND DMA
-------------------- ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
PRO
FAM
---------
BUS
ESTB
--------
PHOE
NIX
---------
YUMA
---------
TUC
SON
--------
ALBQ
STFE
---------
TOTAL 89
100.0
23
100.0
30
100.0
79
100.0
10
100.0
EXTREMELY LIKELY 71
79.5
16
69.6
30
98.2
64
81.0
7
68.2
VERY LIKELY 14
15.8
6
28.0 1.0
11
14.5
3
25.6
SOMEWHAT LIKELY 4
4.7
1
2.4 0.8
4
4.5
1
6.2

Table 6-1
T3. And if the primary election were being held today, would you choose to vote in the Democrat primary or the Republican primary? (Asked only to respondents who self-identified as independent or unaffiliated voters)
----------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------- --------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
TOT
---------
MARR
MEN
--------
SING
MEN
---------
WOM
TOT
---------
MARR
WOM
--------
SING
WOM
---------
18-34
---------
35-44
--------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65+
--------
NRTH
---------
STH
--------
NRTH
CENT
---------
STH
CENT
---------
WHTE
--------
HISP
LTNO
---------
OTHR
---------
REP
PRTY
--------
TEA
PRTY
---------
TOTAL 89
100.0
45
100.0
40
100.0
4
100.0
44
100.0
20
100.0
24
100.0
4
100.0
11
100.0
17
100.0
16
100.0
42
100.0
10
100.0
7
100.0
42
100.0
31
100.0
73
100.0
8
100.0
7
100.0
39
100.0
32
100.0
REPUBLICAN PRIMARY 89
100.0
45
100.0
40
100.0
4
100.0
44
100.0
20
100.0
24
100.0
4
100.0
11
100.0
17
100.0
16
100.0
42
100.0
10
100.0
7
100.0
42
100.0
31
100.0
73
100.0
8
100.0
7
100.0
39
100.0
32
100.0

Table 6-2
IMG
------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------- ------------------- -------------------- -------------------- ------------------- ------------------- --------------------
TOTAL
---------
VERY
CONS
---------
CONS
ERVE
--------
MODE
RATE
---------
LIB
ERAL
---------
VERY
CONS
--------
CONS
ERVE
---------
MODE
RATE
---------
LIB
ERAL
--------
FAV
---------
UN
FAV
---------
FAV
--------
UN
FAV
---------
FAV
--------
UN
FAV
---------
FAV
---------
UN
FAV
--------
FAV
---------
UN
FAV
---------
FAV
--------
UN
FAV
---------
TOTAL 89
100.0
34
100.0
29
100.0
24
100.0
1
100.0
23
100.0
17
100.0
32
100.0
17
100.0
23
100.0
13
100.0
24
100.0
24
100.0
16
100.0
28
100.0
23
100.0
13
100.0
16
100.0
51
100.0
8
100.0
15
100.0
100.0
34
100.0
29
100.0
24
100.0
1
100.0
23
100.0
17
100.0
32
100.0
17
100.0
23
100.0
13
100.0
24
100.0
24
100.0
16
100.0
28
100.0
23
100.0
13
100.0
16
100.0
51
100.0
8
100.0
15
100.0

Table 6-3
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
BENN
ETT
---------
DUC
EY
--------
JON
ES
---------
MEL
VIN
---------
RIG
GS
--------
SMI
TH
---------
THO
MAS
---------
UNDE
CIDE
--------
HOR
NE
---------
BRNO
VICH
---------
UNDE
CIDE
--------
CARD
ON
---------
REAG
AN
--------
PIE
RCE
---------
UNDE
CIDE
---------
DE
WIT
--------
PULL
EN
---------
HALL
MAN
---------
UNDE
CIDE
--------
TOTAL 89
100.0
14
100.0
16
100.0
17
100.0
3
100.0
15
100.0
4
100.0
19
100.0
21
100.0
45
100.0
23
100.0
10
100.0
26
100.0
11
100.0
42
100.0
5
100.0
3
100.0
10
100.0
71
100.0
100.0
14
100.0
16
100.0
17
100.0
3
100.0
15
100.0
4
100.0
19
100.0
21
100.0
45
100.0
23
100.0
10
100.0
26
100.0
11
100.0
42
100.0
5
100.0
3
100.0
10
100.0
71
100.0

Table 6-4
GOV CAND DMA
-------------------- ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
PRO
FAM
---------
BUS
ESTB
--------
PHOE
NIX
---------
YUMA
---------
TUC
SON
--------
ALBQ
STFE
---------
TOTAL 89
100.0
23
100.0
30
100.0
79
100.0
10
100.0
100.0
23
100.0
30
100.0
79
100.0
10
100.0

Table 7-1
T4. How likely are you to vote in the August primary election? (Asked only to respondents who self-identified as registered Republicans)
----------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------- --------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
TOT
---------
MARR
MEN
--------
SING
MEN
---------
WOM
TOT
---------
MARR
WOM
--------
SING
WOM
---------
18-34
---------
35-44
--------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65+
--------
NRTH
---------
STH
--------
NRTH
CENT
---------
STH
CENT
---------
WHTE
--------
HISP
LTNO
---------
OTHR
---------
REP
PRTY
--------
TEA
PRTY
---------
TOTAL 541
100.0
257
100.0
201
100.0
57
100.0
284
100.0
176
100.0
100
100.0
41
100.0
52
100.0
103
100.0
129
100.0
217
100.0
79
100.0
31
100.0
248
100.0
183
100.0
482
100.0
32
100.0
28
100.0
230
100.0
257
100.0
EXTREMELY LIKELY 500
92.4
246
95.6
192
95.8
54
94.6
254
89.6
163
92.5
84
83.7
41
100.0
49
93.8
93
90.2
122
94.9
196
90.4
73
92.8
28
89.4
228
91.8
172
93.7
441
91.6
31
99.5
28
100.0
203
88.1
245
95.5
VERY LIKELY 31
5.7
9
3.4
7
3.5
2
3.4
22
7.7
11
6.1
11
11.1
3
6.2
9
9.1
6
4.6
12
5.6
3
4.1
1
4.4
17
7.0
9
4.9
31
6.3 0.5
21
9.0
8
3.3
SOMEWHAT LIKELY 10
1.9
3
1.0
1
0.7
1
1.9
8
2.7
2
1.4
5
5.2
1
0.7
1
0.6
9
4.0
2
3.1
2
6.2
3
1.2
3
1.5
10
2.1
7
2.8
3
1.2

Table 7-2
IMG
------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------- ------------------- -------------------- -------------------- ------------------- ------------------- --------------------
TOTAL
---------
VERY
CONS
---------
CONS
ERVE
--------
MODE
RATE
---------
LIB
ERAL
---------
VERY
CONS
--------
CONS
ERVE
---------
MODE
RATE
---------
LIB
ERAL
--------
FAV
---------
UN
FAV
---------
FAV
--------
UN
FAV
---------
FAV
--------
UN
FAV
---------
FAV
---------
UN
FAV
--------
FAV
---------
UN
FAV
---------
FAV
--------
UN
FAV
---------
TOTAL 541
100.0
249
100.0
204
100.0
78
100.0
10
100.0
233
100.0
148
100.0
88
100.0
71
100.0
141
100.0
81
100.0
222
100.0
110
100.0
125
100.0
142
100.0
122
100.0
91
100.0
111
100.0
326
100.0
36
100.0
67
100.0
92.4
242
97.0
178
87.4
71
90.6
10
97.5
223
95.6
129
87.3
82
92.9
66
92.3
138
98.1
78
96.0
212
95.5
106
96.6
115
92.6
140
98.3
118
97.3
89
97.0
105
94.6
310
95.1
35
96.2
64
95.8
VERY LIKELY 31
5.7
7
2.7
20
9.6
4
5.6
9
3.9
12
8.1
5
5.3
5
7.0
1
0.6
2
2.5
6
2.5
3
2.4
7
6.0
2
1.6
3
2.7
6
5.2
11
3.5
1
2.3
1
1.0
SOMEWHAT LIKELY 10
1.9
1
0.3
6
3.0
3
3.7 2.5
1
0.5
7
4.6
2
1.8
1
0.8
2
1.4
1
1.5
4
2.0
1
1.1
2
1.4 0.2
3
3.0 0.2
5
1.5
1
1.5
2
3.2

Table 7-3
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
BENN
ETT
---------
DUC
EY
--------
JON
ES
---------
MEL
VIN
---------
RIG
GS
--------
SMI
TH
---------
THO
MAS
---------
UNDE
CIDE
--------
HOR
NE
---------
BRNO
VICH
---------
UNDE
CIDE
--------
CARD
ON
---------
REAG
AN
--------
PIE
RCE
---------
UNDE
CIDE
---------
DE
WIT
--------
PULL
EN
---------
HALL
MAN
---------
UNDE
CIDE
--------
TOTAL 541
100.0
59
100.0
160
100.0
58
100.0
12
100.0
12
100.0
84
100.0
29
100.0
126
100.0
144
100.0
223
100.0
174
100.0
102
100.0
99
100.0
81
100.0
259
100.0
76
100.0
50
100.0
80
100.0
334
100.0
92.4
57
95.6
144
90.2
51
86.8
10
85.1
12
100.0
83
98.3
28
98.1
115
91.1
129
89.7
213
95.7
157
90.6
95
93.9
90
90.7
80
98.7
235
90.6
72
94.7
46
91.8
79
98.3
303
90.6
VERY LIKELY 31
5.7
2
3.2
12
7.4
6
10.2
2
12.9
1
1.7
1
1.9
8
6.0
14
9.6
6
2.6
11
6.4
5
5.3
7
6.6
19
7.3
2
2.9
3
6.0
25
7.6
SOMEWHAT LIKELY 10
1.9
1
1.2
4
2.4
2
3.0 2.1
4
2.9
1
0.7
4
1.7
5
3.0
1
0.8
3
2.7
1
1.3
6
2.1
2
2.3
1
2.2
1
1.7
6
1.8

Table 7-4
GOV CAND DMA
-------------------- ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
PRO
FAM
---------
BUS
ESTB
--------
PHOE
NIX
---------
YUMA
---------
TUC
SON
--------
ALBQ
STFE
---------
TOTAL 541
100.0
205
100.0
210
100.0
486
100.0
1
100.0
53
100.0
92.4
193
94.3
197
93.6
450
92.4
1
100.0
49
92.3
VERY LIKELY 31
5.7
8
4.0
10
4.9
29
5.9
2
4.1
SOMEWHAT LIKELY 10
1.9
4
1.7
3
1.5
8
1.7
2
3.6

Table 8-1
----------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------- --------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
TOT
---------
MARR
MEN
--------
SING
MEN
---------
WOM
TOT
---------
MARR
WOM
--------
SING
WOM
---------
18-34
---------
35-44
--------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65+
--------
NRTH
---------
STH
--------
NRTH
CENT
---------
STH
CENT
---------
WHTE
--------
HISP
LTNO
---------
OTHR
---------
REP
PRTY
--------
TEA
PRTY
---------
TOTAL 630
100.0
302
100.0
241
100.0
60
100.0
328
100.0
196
100.0
125
100.0
44
100.0
63
100.0
120
100.0
145
100.0
258
100.0
88
100.0
38
100.0
290
100.0
214
100.0
556
100.0
40
100.0
35
100.0
269
100.0
289
100.0
(FAV - UNFAV) 70
11.1
30
10.0
18
7.6
11
19.0
40
12.1
23
11.8
10
8.2
-16
-37.4 -0.2
6
5.3
37
25.3
44
17.0
16
18.6
2
5.9
18
6.2
34
15.7
82
14.7
-9
-23.5
-2
-6.4
29
10.6
23
8.1
FAVORABLE 164
26.0
81
26.8
61
25.4
19
31.7
83
25.3
44
22.6
32
25.7
4
8.3
12
19.5
33
27.8
50
34.5
64
25.0
23
25.8
6
15.7
70
24.3
65
30.2
152
27.4
5
12.9
7
18.9
71
26.2
74
25.7
UNFAVORABLE 94
14.9
51
16.8
43
17.8
8
12.7
43
13.1
21
10.8
22
17.5
20
45.7
12
19.8
27
22.6
13
9.2
21
8.0
6
7.1
4
9.8
53
18.2
31
14.5
70
12.7
15
36.4
9
25.2
42
15.6
51
17.6
NO OPINION 217
34.5
101
33.4
83
34.4
18
29.3
116
35.6
79
40.5
37
29.4
17
39.3
18
28.1
25
21.2
49
33.5
108
42.0
32
35.8
15
38.6
94
32.3
78
36.3
186
33.4
16
40.2
16
46.1
94
35.0
96
33.3
NEVER HEARD OF 136
21.6
57
19.0
42
17.3
16
26.2
78
24.0
48
24.5
30
24.4
3
6.7
14
22.7
30
25.2
32
22.0
57
21.9
22
24.7
12
32.3
65
22.3
37
17.5
128
23.1
4
10.5
3
9.8
52
19.4
62
21.4
UNSURE 19
3.1
12
4.1
12
5.1
7
2.1
3
1.6
4
3.0
6
9.9
4
3.2
1
0.8
8
3.1
6
6.6
1
3.6
9
3.0
3
1.6
19
3.5
10
3.8
6
1.9
NAME ID 475
75.4
233
76.9
187
77.6
44
73.8
242
73.9
145
73.9
90
72.6
41
93.3
42
67.4
86
71.7
112
77.3
194
74.9
61
68.7
24
64.1
217
74.7
173
81.0
408
73.4
36
89.5
31
90.2
207
76.8
222
76.7
HARD NAME ID 257
40.9
132
43.5
104
43.3
27
44.5
126
38.4
65
33.4
54
43.2
24
54.1
25
39.3
60
50.4
63
43.7
85
33.0
29
32.9
10
25.5
123
42.5
96
44.7
223
40.0
20
49.4
15
44.1
113
41.8
125
43.3

Table 8-2
IMG
------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------- ------------------- -------------------- -------------------- ------------------- ------------------- --------------------
TOTAL
---------
VERY
CONS
---------
CONS
ERVE
--------
MODE
RATE
---------
LIB
ERAL
---------
VERY
CONS
--------
CONS
ERVE
---------
MODE
RATE
---------
LIB
ERAL
--------
FAV
---------
UN
FAV
---------
FAV
--------
UN
FAV
---------
FAV
--------
UN
FAV
---------
FAV
---------
UN
FAV
--------
FAV
---------
UN
FAV
---------
FAV
--------
UN
FAV
---------
TOTAL 630
100.0
284
100.0
233
100.0
103
100.0
11
100.0
256
100.0
166
100.0
120
100.0
88
100.0
164
100.0
94
100.0
245
100.0
134
100.0
141
100.0
170
100.0
145
100.0
105
100.0
127
100.0
377
100.0
44
100.0
81
100.0
(FAV - UNFAV) 70
11.1
52
18.3
36
15.4
-19
-18.5
1
12.2
38
14.8
36
21.9
5
4.5
-9
-10.6
164
100.0
-94
-100.0
67
27.2
-18
-13.7
14
10.3
8
4.6
23
15.9
11
10.5
37
29.2
17
4.4
25
56.6
-15
-18.0
FAVORABLE 164
26.0
80
28.1
59
25.6
22
21.0
3
28.0
67
26.3
54
32.7
29
24.4
13
14.5
164
100.0
94
38.4
41
30.4
45
31.9
60
35.1
57
39.2
50
48.0
44
34.9
101
26.8
32
71.9
29
35.9
UNFAVORABLE 94
14.9
28
9.8
24
10.2
41
39.5
2
15.8
30
11.6
18
10.8
24
20.0
22
25.2
94
100.0
27
11.2
59
44.1
30
21.7
52
30.5
34
23.3
39
37.5
7
5.6
85
22.5
7
15.3
44
53.9
NO OPINION 217
34.5
101
35.5
94
40.4
21
20.2
2
18.5
96
37.5
61
37.1
31
25.5
29
33.4
69
28.3
28
20.5
48
33.9
36
21.2
42
29.3
7
6.9
43
34.1
118
31.2
5
10.7
2
2.8
NEVER HEARD OF 136
21.6
61
21.5
51
22.1
19
19.0
4
37.7
53
20.7
28
16.8
32
26.5
23
26.5
46
18.9
7
5.0
17
12.3
16
9.3
12
8.1
6
5.3
28
21.9
68
18.0
1
2.0
4
5.5
UNSURE 19
3.1
15
5.2
4
1.8 0.3
10
3.9
4
2.7
4
3.6 0.3
8
3.3 0.1
7
3.9
2
2.3
5
3.5
6
1.6
2
1.9
NAME ID 475
75.4
208
73.3
177
76.1
83
80.7
7
62.3
193
75.4
133
80.6
84
69.9
64
73.1
164
100.0
94
100.0
191
77.9
127
95.0
123
87.6
148
86.8
133
91.9
97
92.4
95
74.5
304
80.5
44
98.0
75
92.6
HARD NAME ID 257
40.9
107
37.8
83
35.7
62
60.5
5
43.8
97
37.9
72
43.5
53
44.4
35
39.7
164
100.0
94
100.0
122
49.6
100
74.5
75
53.6
112
65.6
90
62.5
90
85.5
52
40.5
186
49.3
39
87.2
73
89.9

Table 8-3
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
BENN
ETT
---------
DUC
EY
--------
JON
ES
---------
MEL
VIN
---------
RIG
GS
--------
SMI
TH
---------
THO
MAS
---------
UNDE
CIDE
--------
HOR
NE
---------
BRNO
VICH
---------
UNDE
CIDE
--------
CARD
ON
---------
REAG
AN
--------
PIE
RCE
---------
UNDE
CIDE
---------
DE
WIT
--------
PULL
EN
---------
HALL
MAN
---------
UNDE
CIDE
--------
TOTAL 630
100.0
73
100.0
176
100.0
76
100.0
15
100.0
12
100.0
100
100.0
33
100.0
146
100.0
165
100.0
268
100.0
196
100.0
112
100.0
125
100.0
92
100.0
301
100.0
81
100.0
53
100.0
90
100.0
406
100.0
(FAV - UNFAV) 70
11.1
50
68.4
18
10.5
-7
-8.9
-1
-8.8
2
17.8
-4
-3.5
-2
-6.5
13
8.9
25
15.2
22
8.2
23
11.7
28
25.3
13
10.5
-13
-14.2
42
13.9
15
18.8
17
32.8
-8
-9.1
46
11.2
FAVORABLE 164
26.0
53
72.2
37
21.1
10
12.8 2.0
6
46.0
28
28.0
8
25.7
22
14.9
46
27.8
82
30.5
36
18.3
44
39.4
42
33.5
14
14.6
64
21.4
29
35.4
25
46.6
24
26.2
87
21.4
UNFAVORABLE 94
14.9
3
3.8
19
10.6
16
21.7
2
10.8
3
28.2
31
31.6
11
32.2
9
5.9
21
12.6
60
22.4
13
6.6
16
14.1
29
23.0
27
28.9
22
7.4
14
16.6
7
13.8
32
35.2
41
10.1
NO OPINION 217
34.5
10
13.7
68
38.5
30
39.5
11
74.0
1
8.9
34
34.3
10
30.7
54
36.8
51
30.9
78
29.1
88
45.0
43
38.5
28
22.1
43
46.7
103
34.4
25
30.9
17
31.7
27
29.6
149
36.7
NEVER HEARD OF 136
21.6
3
4.7
45
25.5
19
25.7
2
13.2
2
16.9
6
6.1
4
11.5
54
37.3
40
24.3
45
16.9
51
25.7
6
5.5
25
20.1
6
7.0
98
32.7
14
17.1
3
5.0
8
9.0
111
27.4
UNSURE 19
3.1
4
5.5
8
4.3 0.2
7
5.1
7
4.4
3
1.2
9
4.4
3
2.4
2
1.2
3
2.8
12
4.1
2
2.9
18
4.4
NAME ID 475
75.4
66
89.8
123
70.2
56
74.1
13
86.8
10
83.1
94
93.9
29
88.5
84
57.6
118
71.3
220
82.0
137
69.8
103
92.1
98
78.7
83
90.3
190
63.2
67
82.9
49
92.1
82
91.0
277
68.2
HARD NAME ID 257
40.9
56
76.1
56
31.7
26
34.6
2
12.8
9
74.2
59
59.6
19
57.9
30
20.8
67
40.4
142
52.9
49
24.8
60
53.6
71
56.5
40
43.5
87
28.8
42
52.0
32
60.4
55
61.4
128
31.5

Table 8-4
GOV CAND DMA
-------------------- ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
PRO
FAM
---------
BUS
ESTB
--------
PHOE
NIX
---------
YUMA
---------
TUC
SON
--------
ALBQ
STFE
---------
TOTAL 630
100.0
228
100.0
240
100.0
565
100.0
1
100.0
64
100.0
(FAV - UNFAV) 70
11.1
35
15.4
20
8.4
67
11.8
3
5.1
FAVORABLE 164
26.0
67
29.2
65
27.0
155
27.4
9
14.3
UNFAVORABLE 94
14.9
31
13.8
45
18.6
88
15.5
6
9.2
NO OPINION 217
34.5
74
32.5
73
30.6
189
33.5
28
43.9
NEVER HEARD OF 136
21.6
46
20.3
51
21.3
119
21.1
1
100.0
15
23.8
UNSURE 19
3.1
10
4.2
6
2.5
14
2.4
6
8.7
NAME ID 475
75.4
172
75.5
183
76.1
432
76.5
43
67.5
HARD NAME ID 257
40.9
98
43.0
110
45.6
242
42.9
15
23.5

Table 9-1
----------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------- --------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
TOT
---------
MARR
MEN
--------
SING
MEN
---------
WOM
TOT
---------
MARR
WOM
--------
SING
WOM
---------
18-34
---------
35-44
--------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65+
--------
NRTH
---------
STH
--------
NRTH
CENT
---------
STH
CENT
---------
WHTE
--------
HISP
LTNO
---------
OTHR
---------
REP
PRTY
--------
TEA
PRTY
---------
TOTAL 630
100.0
302
100.0
241
100.0
60
100.0
328
100.0
196
100.0
125
100.0
44
100.0
63
100.0
120
100.0
145
100.0
258
100.0
88
100.0
38
100.0
290
100.0
214
100.0
556
100.0
40
100.0
35
100.0
269
100.0
289
100.0
(FAV - UNFAV) 111
17.7
78
25.8
63
25.9
15
24.7
33
10.2
27
13.9
-1
-0.7
-17
-37.6
17
27.6
22
18.7
33
23.1
55
21.2
19
21.0
7
17.2
48
16.6
38
17.9
114
20.4
-10
-25.9
8
23.6
-3
-1.2
90
31.2
FAVORABLE 245
39.0
135
44.5
109
45.3
25
41.2
111
33.8
67
34.3
37
29.3
5
10.4
27
43.3
47
39.3
64
44.1
103
39.7
29
32.9
11
29.2
122
42.2
83
38.9
222
39.9
9
22.6
15
42.1
79
29.2
137
47.3
UNFAVORABLE 134
21.3
57
18.7
47
19.4
10
16.5
77
23.6
40
20.4
37
30.0
21
48.0
10
15.7
25
20.6
31
21.1
48
18.5
10
11.9
5
12.0
74
25.6
45
21.0
108
19.5
19
48.5
6
18.5
82
30.4
47
16.1
NO OPINION 194
30.8
77
25.6
67
27.9
10
16.2
117
35.6
73
37.5
43
34.7
13
28.9
23
36.4
34
28.8
38
26.5
86
33.1
32
36.3
14
37.7
78
27.1
69
32.4
176
31.7
10
24.9
8
23.9
82
30.4
81
27.9
NEVER HEARD OF 50
7.9
31
10.3
15
6.4
16
26.1
19
5.7
14
7.0
5
4.2
6
12.8
3
4.7
10
8.4
12
8.2
19
7.5
15
17.2
7
18.1
15
5.2
13
6.0
44
7.8
2
4.0
5
13.9
25
9.2
21
7.3
UNSURE 7
1.0
3
0.8
3
1.1
4
1.2
2
1.0
2
1.7
3
2.9 0.2
3
1.1
2
1.8
1
3.0
4
1.8
6
1.1
1
1.6
2
0.7
4
1.3
NAME ID 574
91.0
269
88.9
223
92.6
45
73.9
305
93.0
181
92.1
117
94.1
38
87.2
60
95.3
106
88.7
133
91.7
236
91.3
71
81.0
30
78.8
275
94.8
198
92.2
506
91.1
38
96.0
29
84.5
242
90.1
264
91.4
HARD NAME ID 379
60.2
191
63.3
156
64.7
35
57.7
188
57.4
107
54.6
74
59.4
26
58.4
37
59.0
72
59.9
94
65.2
150
58.2
39
44.7
16
41.1
196
67.7
128
59.8
330
59.4
28
71.1
21
60.6
160
59.6
184
63.5

Table 9-2
IMG
------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------- ------------------- -------------------- -------------------- ------------------- ------------------- --------------------
TOTAL
---------
VERY
CONS
---------
CONS
ERVE
--------
MODE
RATE
---------
LIB
ERAL
---------
VERY
CONS
--------
CONS
ERVE
---------
MODE
RATE
---------
LIB
ERAL
--------
FAV
---------
UN
FAV
---------
FAV
--------
UN
FAV
---------
FAV
--------
UN
FAV
---------
FAV
---------
UN
FAV
--------
FAV
---------
UN
FAV
---------
FAV
--------
UN
FAV
---------
TOTAL 630
100.0
284
100.0
233
100.0
103
100.0
11
100.0
256
100.0
166
100.0
120
100.0
88
100.0
164
100.0
94
100.0
245
100.0
134
100.0
141
100.0
170
100.0
145
100.0
105
100.0
127
100.0
377
100.0
44
100.0
81
100.0
(FAV - UNFAV) 111
17.7
111
39.1
34
14.7
-31
-30.2
-3
-24.8
89
34.8
44
26.5 0.2
-22
-25.0
54
32.7
-32
-33.8
245
100.0
-134
-100.0
39
27.8
1
0.8
-4
-2.6
10
9.5
57
44.6
13
3.6
3
6.9
-26
-31.7
FAVORABLE 245
39.0
140
49.5
83
35.6
19
18.0
4
32.9
117
45.8
71
43.0
38
31.9
19
21.3
94
57.6
27
29.3
245
100.0
76
53.9
76
44.5
55
37.7
53
50.6
73
57.6
127
33.7
21
48.2
27
33.5
UNFAVORABLE 134
21.3
29
10.4
49
20.9
49
48.2
6
57.7
28
11.0
27
16.4
38
31.6
41
46.3
41
24.9
59
63.1
134
100.0
37
26.1
74
43.7
58
40.3
43
41.1
16
12.9
114
30.2
18
41.3
53
65.3
NO OPINION 194
30.8
86
30.5
75
32.2
32
31.1
1
7.1
89
34.7
52
31.7
36
29.6
17
19.5
24
14.7
5
5.1
25
17.5
19
11.4
26
18.0
8
7.8
31
24.3
105
27.9
4
9.3
1
1.2
NEVER HEARD OF 50
7.9
24
8.6
23
10.0
2
1.9 2.2
18
7.0
13
7.8
8
6.6
11
12.5
4
2.6
2
2.5
4
2.5 0.3
5
3.5
1
0.5
6
4.5
28
7.3
1
1.2
UNSURE 7
1.0
3
1.1
3
1.2
1
0.7
4
1.5
2
1.2 0.3 0.4
1
0.3 0.1
1
0.4
1
0.6
3
0.9
NAME ID 574
91.0
256
90.3
207
88.8
100
97.3
11
97.8
234
91.4
151
91.0
112
93.1
77
87.1
159
97.1
91
97.5
245
100.0
134
100.0
137
97.5
170
99.6
139
96.1
104
99.5
121
94.8
346
91.8
44
98.8
81
100.0
HARD NAME ID 379
60.2
170
59.9
132
56.6
68
66.2
10
90.6
145
56.7
98
59.4
76
63.5
59
67.6
135
82.4
87
92.4
245
100.0
134
100.0
113
80.0
150
88.2
113
78.1
96
91.7
90
70.5
241
63.9
40
89.5
80
98.8

Table 9-3
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
BENN
ETT
---------
DUC
EY
--------
JON
ES
---------
MEL
VIN
---------
RIG
GS
--------
SMI
TH
---------
THO
MAS
---------
UNDE
CIDE
--------
HOR
NE
---------
BRNO
VICH
---------
UNDE
CIDE
--------
CARD
ON
---------
REAG
AN
--------
PIE
RCE
---------
UNDE
CIDE
---------
DE
WIT
--------
PULL
EN
---------
HALL
MAN
---------
UNDE
CIDE
--------
TOTAL 630
100.0
73
100.0
176
100.0
76
100.0
15
100.0
12
100.0
100
100.0
33
100.0
146
100.0
165
100.0
268
100.0
196
100.0
112
100.0
125
100.0
92
100.0
301
100.0
81
100.0
53
100.0
90
100.0
406
100.0
(FAV - UNFAV) 111
17.7
-9
-12.7
149
84.6
-1
-1.2
3
17.6
-5
-40.0
-36
-36.6
-2
-5.3
14
9.3
54
32.6
16
5.8
42
21.4
51
45.2
11
8.5
-2
-2.2
52
17.4
36
44.1
10
18.4
-9
-9.6
74
18.3
FAVORABLE 245
39.0
20
27.5
149
84.6
20
25.8
5
33.8
1
11.6
16
15.6
10
29.6
25
17.5
86
52.0
95
35.3
65
32.9
66
58.6
51
40.7
34
36.8
95
31.6
46
56.6
25
47.2
31
34.9
143
35.3
UNFAVORABLE 134
21.3
29
40.1
20
27.0
2
16.2
6
51.6
52
52.2
12
34.9
12
8.2
32
19.4
79
29.5
23
11.6
15
13.4
40
32.2
36
39.0
43
14.2
10
12.5
15
28.7
40
44.5
69
16.9
NO OPINION 194
30.8
18
24.4
24
13.6
27
35.8
6
37.8
4
32.3
25
24.9
12
35.5
79
54.2
40
24.4
70
26.3
83
42.4
28
24.8
27
21.3
19
20.2
121
40.2
21
25.5
13
24.1
12
13.8
148
36.5
NEVER HEARD OF 50
7.9
6
8.0
2
0.9
8
10.6
2
12.2
1
4.5
7
7.3
25
17.1
7
4.2
22
8.1
21
10.8
4
3.2
7
5.8
3
3.7
36
11.8
4
5.5
5
5.0
41
10.1
UNSURE 7
1.0
2
0.9
1
0.7
4
3.0
2
0.8
4
2.3 0.3
6
2.1
2
1.8
5
1.2
NAME ID 574
91.0
68
92.0
172
98.2
67
88.7
13
87.8
12
95.5
92
92.7
33
100.0
116
79.9
158
95.8
244
91.1
171
87.0
108
96.8
118
94.2
89
96.0
259
86.0
77
94.5
53
100.0
84
93.2
360
88.7
HARD NAME ID 379
60.2
50
67.6
149
84.6
40
52.9
7
50.1
8
63.2
67
67.7
21
64.5
37
25.7
118
71.4
174
64.8
87
44.5
81
72.0
91
72.8
70
75.8
138
45.8
56
69.1
40
75.9
71
79.4
212
52.2

Table 9-4
GOV CAND DMA
-------------------- ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
PRO
FAM
---------
BUS
ESTB
--------
PHOE
NIX
---------
YUMA
---------
TUC
SON
--------
ALBQ
STFE
---------
TOTAL 630
100.0
228
100.0
240
100.0
565
100.0
1
100.0
64
100.0
(FAV - UNFAV) 111
17.7
68
29.9
12
4.9
103
18.2
9
13.5
FAVORABLE 245
39.0
101
44.3
88
36.5
229
40.5
17
26.4
UNFAVORABLE 134
21.3
33
14.4
76
31.6
126
22.3
8
12.9
NO OPINION 194
30.8
74
32.3
58
23.9
168
29.7
26
41.3
NEVER HEARD OF 50
7.9
17
7.5
18
7.3
37
6.6
1
100.0
11
17.5
UNSURE 7
1.0
3
1.5
2
0.7
5
1.0
1
1.8
NAME ID 574
91.0
208
91.0
221
91.9
522
92.4
51
80.7
HARD NAME ID 379
60.2
134
58.7
163
68.0
354
62.7
25
39.4

Table 10-1
----------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------- --------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
TOT
---------
MARR
MEN
--------
SING
MEN
---------
WOM
TOT
---------
MARR
WOM
--------
SING
WOM
---------
18-34
---------
35-44
--------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65+
--------
NRTH
---------
STH
--------
NRTH
CENT
---------
STH
CENT
---------
WHTE
--------
HISP
LTNO
---------
OTHR
---------
REP
PRTY
--------
TEA
PRTY
---------
TOTAL 630
100.0
302
100.0
241
100.0
60
100.0
328
100.0
196
100.0
125
100.0
44
100.0
63
100.0
120
100.0
145
100.0
258
100.0
88
100.0
38
100.0
290
100.0
214
100.0
556
100.0
40
100.0
35
100.0
269
100.0
289
100.0
(FAV - UNFAV) -30
-4.7
-5
-1.6
-5
-2.2
1
1.7
-25
-7.5
-5
-2.5
-16
-12.7
-18
-41.2
3
4.8
9
7.6
-12
-8.4
-11
-4.4
8
8.9
2
6.3
-23
-7.8
-17
-8.0
-22
-3.9
-6
-16.1
-2
-4.8
-14
-5.2
-7
-2.3
FAVORABLE 141
22.3
77
25.5
62
25.8
15
24.6
63
19.4
39
19.8
25
19.8
2
4.5
17
26.7
36
29.8
28
19.4
58
22.5
21
24.2
10
25.7
70
24.3
39
18.3
123
22.2
10
24.6
8
22.3
54
20.2
78
26.9
UNFAVORABLE 170
27.0
82
27.1
68
28.1
14
22.9
88
26.9
44
22.4
40
32.4
20
45.7
14
21.9
27
22.2
40
27.8
69
26.9
14
15.3
7
19.3
93
32.1
56
26.4
145
26.0
16
40.7
9
27.1
68
25.4
84
29.2
NO OPINION 182
28.8
77
25.5
60
24.9
17
28.3
104
31.9
74
37.8
30
24.4
16
37.0
16
25.9
18
15.2
51
35.0
80
31.0
27
30.7
11
28.3
67
23.0
77
35.9
157
28.2
11
26.8
14
41.3
82
30.6
76
26.3
NEVER HEARD OF 131
20.8
61
20.2
46
19.2
14
23.9
70
21.3
39
20.0
28
22.2
6
12.8
16
25.5
36
29.7
26
17.8
48
18.6
23
26.5
9
24.9
60
20.6
38
18.0
125
22.4
3
7.8
3
9.3
63
23.3
46
16.0
UNSURE 7
1.0
5
1.7
5
2.0 0.3
1
0.5
1
1.2
4
3.2
3
1.1
3
3.3
1
1.8
3
1.4
7
1.2
1
0.5
5
1.6
NAME ID 492
78.2
236
78.1
190
78.8
46
75.9
256
78.2
157
80.0
95
76.6
38
87.2
47
74.5
80
67.1
119
82.2
208
80.4
62
70.2
28
73.3
230
79.4
173
80.6
424
76.4
37
92.2
31
90.7
205
76.2
238
82.3
HARD NAME ID 311
49.4
159
52.7
130
53.9
29
47.6
152
46.3
83
42.2
65
52.2
22
50.2
31
48.7
62
51.9
68
47.2
128
49.4
35
39.5
17
45.0
163
56.3
96
44.7
268
48.2
26
65.4
17
49.4
123
45.6
162
56.0

Table 10-2
IMG
------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------- ------------------- -------------------- -------------------- ------------------- ------------------- --------------------
TOTAL
---------
VERY
CONS
---------
CONS
ERVE
--------
MODE
RATE
---------
LIB
ERAL
---------
VERY
CONS
--------
CONS
ERVE
---------
MODE
RATE
---------
LIB
ERAL
--------
FAV
---------
UN
FAV
---------
FAV
--------
UN
FAV
---------
FAV
--------
UN
FAV
---------
FAV
---------
UN
FAV
--------
FAV
---------
UN
FAV
---------
FAV
--------
UN
FAV
---------
TOTAL 630
100.0
284
100.0
233
100.0
103
100.0
11
100.0
256
100.0
166
100.0
120
100.0
88
100.0
164
100.0
94
100.0
245
100.0
134
100.0
141
100.0
170
100.0
145
100.0
105
100.0
127
100.0
377
100.0
44
100.0
81
100.0
(FAV - UNFAV) -30
-4.7
-7
-2.3
-19
-18.8
-4
-32.4
1
0.2
10
6.3
-20
-16.5
-21
-23.6
-15
-9.1
-22
-23.0
-38
-28.1
141
100.0
-170
-100.0
-13
-9.1
-29
-27.6
11
8.4
-33
-8.7
8
17.1
-38
-47.1
FAVORABLE 141
22.3
71
25.2
48
20.7
20
19.2
1
11.3
60
23.4
48
28.8
16
13.2
17
19.4
45
27.4
30
32.5
76
30.9
37
27.4
141
100.0
37
25.6
33
31.9
47
36.5
85
22.5
23
52.3
20
24.3
UNFAVORABLE 170
27.0
78
27.6
48
20.8
39
38.0
5
43.7
59
23.2
37
22.5
36
29.7
38
43.0
60
36.5
52
55.5
76
30.9
74
55.6
170
100.0
50
34.7
62
59.5
36
28.1
118
31.2
16
35.1
58
71.4
NO OPINION 182
28.8
75
26.6
81
34.7
22
21.4
3
30.2
90
35.0
44
26.6
33
27.3
15
16.9
39
23.9
8
8.1
60
24.6
19
14.4
47
32.3
8
8.0
28
22.2
98
25.9
4
8.7
4
4.4
NEVER HEARD OF 131
20.8
54
19.1
53
22.9
22
21.1
2
14.7
42
16.4
35
21.3
36
29.7
18
20.5
19
11.8
4
3.8
33
13.4
3
2.6
10
7.0
1
0.5
16
12.6
76
20.0
2
3.9
UNSURE 7
1.0
4
1.5
2
0.8 0.3
5
2.0
1
0.8 0.2
1
0.3
1
0.2
1
0.4
1
0.6
1
0.4
NAME ID 492
78.2
225
79.3
177
76.2
81
78.6
9
85.3
209
81.6
129
77.9
85
70.3
70
79.3
144
87.8
90
96.2
212
86.4
131
97.4
141
100.0
170
100.0
134
92.7
104
99.5
111
86.8
300
79.6
43
96.1
81
100.0
HARD NAME ID 311
49.4
150
52.8
97
41.5
59
57.2
6
55.0
119
46.6
85
51.3
52
43.0
55
62.4
105
63.9
82
88.0
152
61.8
111
83.0
141
100.0
170
100.0
87
60.3
96
91.5
82
64.6
203
53.7
39
87.4
78
95.6

Table 10-3
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
BENN
ETT
---------
DUC
EY
--------
JON
ES
---------
MEL
VIN
---------
RIG
GS
--------
SMI
TH
---------
THO
MAS
---------
UNDE
CIDE
--------
HOR
NE
---------
BRNO
VICH
---------
UNDE
CIDE
--------
CARD
ON
---------
REAG
AN
--------
PIE
RCE
---------
UNDE
CIDE
---------
DE
WIT
--------
PULL
EN
---------
HALL
MAN
---------
UNDE
CIDE
--------
TOTAL 630
100.0
73
100.0
176
100.0
76
100.0
15
100.0
12
100.0
100
100.0
33
100.0
146
100.0
165
100.0
268
100.0
196
100.0
112
100.0
125
100.0
92
100.0
301
100.0
81
100.0
53
100.0
90
100.0
406
100.0
(FAV - UNFAV) -30
-4.7
-16
-22.5
-24
-13.5
52
69.4
2
13.1
-4
-29.0
-29
-28.7
-12
-35.6 0.1
-9
-5.7
-5
-1.7
-16
-7.9
12
10.7
16
12.6
-29
-31.4
-28
-9.4
25
30.4
-7
-13.0
-33
-37.1
-14
-3.5
FAVORABLE 141
22.3
12
16.4
31
17.9
53
70.7
5
30.5
3
22.6
15
14.7
3
9.1
19
13.0
45
27.2
69
25.6
27
13.8
43
38.5
49
38.9
14
14.7
35
11.8
42
51.3
13
24.5
15
16.9
71
17.5
UNFAVORABLE 170
27.0
28
38.8
55
31.4
1
1.2
3
17.3
6
51.6
43
43.4
15
44.7
19
12.9
54
32.8
73
27.3
43
21.8
31
27.8
33
26.3
43
46.1
64
21.2
17
20.9
20
37.4
48
54.0
85
20.9
NO OPINION 182
28.8
17
23.2
52
29.8
10
12.7
4
28.7
3
21.3
32
32.3
11
34.3
52
35.8
33
20.1
79
29.5
69
35.2
28
25.2
27
21.2
31
33.6
96
31.9
20
24.9
18
34.2
18
20.1
125
30.8
NEVER HEARD OF 131
20.8
16
21.6
34
19.4
12
15.3
3
23.4
1
4.5
10
9.6
4
11.9
52
35.6
30
18.3
46
17.3
54
27.6
9
8.0
17
13.5
5
5.5
100
33.3
2
2.9
2
4.0
8
9.1
118
29.2
UNSURE 7
1.0
3
1.5
4
2.7
3
1.6
1
0.3
3
1.6
1
0.5 0.2
6
2.0
7
1.6
NAME ID 492
78.2
57
78.4
139
79.1
64
84.7
11
76.6
12
95.5
90
90.4
29
88.1
90
61.7
132
80.1
221
82.4
139
70.8
102
91.5
108
86.5
87
94.4
195
64.8
79
97.1
51
96.0
82
90.9
281
69.2
HARD NAME ID 311
49.4
40
55.2
87
49.3
54
71.9
7
47.8
9
74.2
58
58.1
18
53.8
38
25.9
99
60.0
142
52.9
70
35.6
74
66.3
81
65.2
56
60.8
99
32.9
59
72.2
33
61.9
64
70.8
156
38.4

Table 10-4
GOV CAND DMA
-------------------- ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
PRO
FAM
---------
BUS
ESTB
--------
PHOE
NIX
---------
YUMA
---------
TUC
SON
--------
ALBQ
STFE
---------
TOTAL 630
100.0
228
100.0
240
100.0
565
100.0
1
100.0
64
100.0
(FAV - UNFAV) -30
-4.7
-3
-1.1
-20
-8.2
-28
-4.9
-2
-2.8
FAVORABLE 141
22.3
60
26.3
55
22.9
130
23.0
11
17.3
UNFAVORABLE 170
27.0
62
27.4
75
31.1
157
27.9
13
20.1
NO OPINION 182
28.8
61
26.9
58
24.1
161
28.5
21
32.2
NEVER HEARD OF 131
20.8
39
17.3
53
21.9
113
20.0
1
100.0
17
26.2
UNSURE 7
1.0
5
2.2
4
0.7
3
4.3
NAME ID 492
78.2
184
80.6
188
78.1
448
79.3
44
69.5
HARD NAME ID 311
49.4
122
53.6
130
54.0
287
50.8
24
37.4

Table 11-1
----------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------- --------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
TOT
---------
MARR
MEN
--------
SING
MEN
---------
WOM
TOT
---------
MARR
WOM
--------
SING
WOM
---------
18-34
---------
35-44
--------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65+
--------
NRTH
---------
STH
--------
NRTH
CENT
---------
STH
CENT
---------
WHTE
--------
HISP
LTNO
---------
OTHR
---------
REP
PRTY
--------
TEA
PRTY
---------
TOTAL 630
100.0
302
100.0
241
100.0
60
100.0
328
100.0
196
100.0
125
100.0
44
100.0
63
100.0
120
100.0
145
100.0
258
100.0
88
100.0
38
100.0
290
100.0
214
100.0
556
100.0
40
100.0
35
100.0
269
100.0
289
100.0
(FAV - UNFAV) 40
6.3
14
4.8
-2
-0.8
17
28.1
25
7.8
30
15.5
-5
-4.0
4
8.3
7
11.5
-5
-4.2
14
9.4
20
7.9
3
3.4
-3
-8.8
1
0.2
40
18.5
43
7.8
-7
-18.7
4
11.4
48
17.7
-7
-2.5
FAVORABLE 145
22.9
73
24.2
50
20.9
23
37.5
72
21.8
49
25.0
23
18.1
14
31.2
14
21.9
25
20.6
38
26.2
54
21.0
11
12.6
2
4.0
54
18.6
78
36.4
132
23.7
4
10.9
9
24.7
83
30.9
53
18.2
UNFAVORABLE 105
16.6
59
19.4
52
21.7
6
9.4
46
14.1
19
9.5
28
22.1
10
22.9
7
10.4
30
24.8
24
16.8
34
13.2
8
9.2
5
12.8
53
18.4
38
17.9
88
15.9
12
29.6
5
13.2
36
13.2
60
20.7
NO OPINION 200
31.7
103
34.1
88
36.7
15
24.4
97
29.5
65
33.1
31
25.1
14
31.1
24
37.7
24
20.4
44
30.3
94
36.5
33
37.3
13
33.6
99
34.1
55
25.9
170
30.7
19
46.8
11
31.8
68
25.4
107
37.0
NEVER HEARD OF 161
25.5
60
19.7
42
17.4
17
28.7
101
30.8
60
30.8
34
27.5
7
14.8
17
26.6
31
26.0
38
26.4
68
26.3
29
32.3
17
44.2
77
26.5
39
18.0
145
26.1
5
12.7
10
30.3
72
26.8
62
21.4
UNSURE 20
3.2
8
2.6
8
3.3
12
3.7
3
1.7
9
7.3
2
3.4
10
8.1 0.3
8
3.0
7
8.5
2
5.4
7
2.4
4
1.8
20
3.6
10
3.6
8
2.8
NAME ID 449
71.3
235
77.7
191
79.3
43
71.3
214
65.4
133
67.6
81
65.3
38
85.2
44
70.0
79
65.9
106
73.3
183
70.7
52
59.2
19
50.4
206
71.1
172
80.2
390
70.3
35
87.3
24
69.7
187
69.6
219
75.8
HARD NAME ID 249
39.6
132
43.5
103
42.6
28
46.9
118
35.9
68
34.4
50
40.2
24
54.1
20
32.3
54
45.5
62
43.0
88
34.2
19
21.9
6
16.8
107
37.0
116
54.3
220
39.6
16
40.5
13
37.9
119
44.2
112
38.8

Table 11-2
IMG
------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------- ------------------- -------------------- -------------------- ------------------- ------------------- --------------------
TOTAL
---------
VERY
CONS
---------
CONS
ERVE
--------
MODE
RATE
---------
LIB
ERAL
---------
VERY
CONS
--------
CONS
ERVE
---------
MODE
RATE
---------
LIB
ERAL
--------
FAV
---------
UN
FAV
---------
FAV
--------
UN
FAV
---------
FAV
--------
UN
FAV
---------
FAV
---------
UN
FAV
--------
FAV
---------
UN
FAV
---------
FAV
--------
UN
FAV
---------
TOTAL 630
100.0
284
100.0
233
100.0
103
100.0
11
100.0
256
100.0
166
100.0
120
100.0
88
100.0
164
100.0
94
100.0
245
100.0
134
100.0
141
100.0
170
100.0
145
100.0
105
100.0
127
100.0
377
100.0
44
100.0
81
100.0
(FAV - UNFAV) 40
6.3
-9
-3.3
29
12.6
21
20.1
-1
-7.2
6
2.2
6
3.9
4
3.5
24
26.9
6
3.9
-6
-5.9
2
0.6
15
11.4
4
2.6
-12
-7.1
145
100.0
-105
-100.0
13
10.2
22
5.9
3
7.5
1
0.7
FAVORABLE 145
22.9
41
14.5
61
26.1
39
38.1
4
32.9
47
18.3
40
24.3
25
20.8
32
36.8
57
34.6
34
36.0
55
22.2
58
43.5
37
26.3
50
29.5
145
100.0
29
22.4
105
28.0
21
47.2
39
48.1
UNFAVORABLE 105
16.6
50
17.8
31
13.5
18
18.0
4
40.1
41
16.1
34
20.4
21
17.4
9
9.9
50
30.7
39
41.9
53
21.6
43
32.1
33
23.7
62
36.6
105
100.0
16
12.2
83
22.0
18
39.8
39
47.4
NO OPINION 200
31.7
103
36.4
78
33.5
16
15.9
2
21.1
90
35.3
48
29.1
39
32.8
22
25.0
34
21.0
14
14.6
68
27.7
27
20.4
45
32.3
38
22.4
46
36.0
103
27.4
4
7.9
4
4.5
NEVER HEARD OF 161
25.5
77
27.2
59
25.2
24
23.5
1
5.8
66
25.6
40
24.2
31
25.4
24
27.7
18
11.2
7
7.5
65
26.3
5
3.9
24
17.3
15
8.9
33
26.1
77
20.3
2
3.9
UNSURE 20
3.2
12
4.1
4
1.8
5
4.4
12
4.6
3
2.1
4
3.7
1
0.6
4
2.4
5
2.2 0.3
4
2.6
4
3.4
9
2.3
1
1.2
NAME ID 449
71.3
195
68.7
170
73.1
74
72.0
10
94.2
179
69.8
122
73.7
85
71.0
63
71.7
141
86.4
87
92.5
175
71.5
129
96.1
116
82.4
151
88.5
145
100.0
105
100.0
90
70.5
292
77.4
42
94.9
81
100.0
HARD NAME ID 249
39.6
92
32.3
92
39.6
58
56.1
8
73.0
88
34.5
74
44.6
46
38.2
41
46.7
107
65.3
73
77.9
108
43.8
101
75.6
70
50.1
113
66.1
145
100.0
105
100.0
44
34.5
189
50.0
39
87.0
78
95.5

Table 11-3
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
BENN
ETT
---------
DUC
EY
--------
JON
ES
---------
MEL
VIN
---------
RIG
GS
--------
SMI
TH
---------
THO
MAS
---------
UNDE
CIDE
--------
HOR
NE
---------
BRNO
VICH
---------
UNDE
CIDE
--------
CARD
ON
---------
REAG
AN
--------
PIE
RCE
---------
UNDE
CIDE
---------
DE
WIT
--------
PULL
EN
---------
HALL
MAN
---------
UNDE
CIDE
--------
TOTAL 630
100.0
73
100.0
176
100.0
76
100.0
15
100.0
12
100.0
100
100.0
33
100.0
146
100.0
165
100.0
268
100.0
196
100.0
112
100.0
125
100.0
92
100.0
301
100.0
81
100.0
53
100.0
90
100.0
406
100.0
(FAV - UNFAV) 40
6.3
-15
-20.5
-17
-9.5
-3
-3.4 3.1
-9
-69.7
90
90.8
-10
-29.9
2
1.2
18
10.9
2
0.9
20
9.9
6
5.6
11
8.5
-3
-3.3
26
8.7
-17
-20.8
4
7.8
10
11.1
43
10.5
FAVORABLE 145
22.9
10
13.3
17
9.6
8
11.0
2
13.9
1
4.4
91
91.3
3
9.1
13
9.0
40
24.0
69
25.5
36
18.5
34
30.6
42
33.7
18
20.0
50
16.5
12
15.2
18
33.5
34
38.1
80
19.8
UNFAVORABLE 105
16.6
25
33.8
33
19.1
11
14.4
2
10.8
9
74.2
1
0.6
13
39.0
11
7.8
22
13.1
66
24.7
17
8.5
28
25.0
31
25.2
21
23.2
24
7.9
29
36.0
14
25.7
24
27.1
38
9.2
NO OPINION 200
31.7
26
34.9
58
33.2
31
41.2
7
44.5
1
4.5
7
6.7
15
45.3
56
38.6
52
31.5
77
28.8
71
36.0
27
24.1
32
26.0
43
46.4
98
32.5
30
36.8
18
34.4
21
22.9
131
32.4
NEVER HEARD OF 161
25.5
13
18.0
59
33.5
25
33.4
5
30.9
1
4.5
1
1.5
2
6.6
54
37.4
46
27.7
48
18.0
67
33.9
20
17.5
19
15.1
9
10.0
113
37.5
10
12.1
3
6.5
9
10.2
138
34.1
UNSURE 20
3.2
8
4.6
2
12.4
11
7.2
6
3.7
8
3.0
6
3.1
3
2.7 0.4
17
5.6
2
1.8
19
4.6
NAME ID 449
71.3
60
82.0
109
61.8
50
66.6
10
69.1
10
83.1
98
98.5
31
93.4
81
55.4
113
68.6
212
79.0
124
63.0
89
79.7
106
84.9
83
89.6
171
56.9
72
87.9
50
93.5
79
88.0
249
61.4
HARD NAME ID 249
39.6
35
47.1
50
28.7
19
25.4
4
24.6
10
78.6
92
91.9
16
48.1
24
16.8
61
37.2
135
50.2
53
27.0
62
55.6
74
58.9
40
43.2
73
24.4
42
51.2
31
59.2
59
65.2
118
29.0

Table 11-4
GOV CAND DMA
-------------------- ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
PRO
FAM
---------
BUS
ESTB
--------
PHOE
NIX
---------
YUMA
---------
TUC
SON
--------
ALBQ
STFE
---------
TOTAL 630
100.0
228
100.0
240
100.0
565
100.0
1
100.0
64
100.0
(FAV - UNFAV) 40
6.3
22
9.4
1
0.3
43
7.7
-3
-5.4
FAVORABLE 145
22.9
56
24.7
53
22.1
141
25.0
3
5.1
UNFAVORABLE 105
16.6
35
15.2
52
21.8
98
17.3
7
10.5
NO OPINION 200
31.7
71
31.1
66
27.3
175
30.9
1
100.0
24
37.4
NEVER HEARD OF 161
25.5
56
24.7
62
25.8
137
24.2
24
37.1
UNSURE 20
3.2
10
4.3
7
3.1
14
2.5
6
9.8
NAME ID 449
71.3
162
71.0
171
71.2
414
73.3
1
100.0
34
53.1
HARD NAME ID 249
39.6
91
39.9
105
43.9
239
42.4
10
15.6

Magellan Strategies Arizona Republican Primary Survey Memorandum 060514

Magellan Strategies Arizona Republican Primary Survey Memorandum 060514

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