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Uncorking Provincial Borders
Will the long awaited
changes resulting
from Bill C-311 help
BC Wineries thrive?
What is Bill C-311?
• The Federal
  Importation of
  Intoxicating Liquors Act
  (IILA) from 1928
  prevents shipment of
  alcohol between
  provinces unless it is
  arranged through
  provincial liquor
  agencies
• Bill C-311 is an
  amendment to the IILA
What Bill C-311 allows
• The importation of wine from a province by
  an individual for personal consumption
  – Not for resale or commercial use
  – “brings the wine, or causes it to be brought
    into another province”
• In quantities as permitted by the laws of
  the destination province
Bill C-311: Where are we at?
• On June 28, Bill C-
  311 became law
• Federal law now
  allows individuals to
  import wine between
  provinces for personal
  use
• Subject to
  law/regulation of the
  destination province
Dragging the
Provinces kicking &
                            GOVERNMENT
screaming                    MONOPOLY

•BC adopting a weak                              BILL C-311
“let’s let the Provincial
Liquor Boards work it
out” attitude.
                                   PROV.
•Ontario implementing a            LIQUOR
                                   BOARDS
task force
•Wording of Alberta and
Manitoba law already
allows importation for
personal use
                                               FREE TRADE
•See WINELAW.CA for                         BETWEEN PROVINCES

ongoing updates
Per capita wine consumption
Wine sales in BC by Origin
The Opportunity
• Canadian per capita wine consumption
  continues to grow but we are just now
  approaching the world average
• In BC, sales of BC VQA wine still only
  represent <20% of all wine sold
• Canadians are drinking more wine and there
  is room for Canadian wineries to capture
  more of the growing domestic market
• Because of the IILA, only a small fraction of
  BC wine labels are currently sold outside BC
Profitability of Dtc sales vs other
          sales channels




                         SOURCE: M. Hicken – “FreeTheWine” website (2008)
Out-of Prov.
                     Winery Visitor




More winery                                     Online
  visitors                                     Customer
                   DIRECT TO
                   CONSUMER




        More online                    Shares with
      orders / Out-of-                others (word-
      province “fans”                   of-mouth)
DTC (Direct to Consumer) wine
      sales – US numbers
• DTC sales accounted for 3% of total wine
  sales for the year ended April 2011
• Breakdown of 3%:
  – Phone, internet, clubs 40%
  – Wineshop sales 60%
• DTC more important to smaller wineries
• DTC grew by 11.6% - over twice the
  overall rate of wine sales growth in the US
                            (SOURCE: ShipCompliant & WinesVines DATA)
What do DTC sales mean for a small to
       medium sized winery?
                   • Moss Adams study
                     (no Canadian study
                     available)
                   • CA, WA & OR
                     wineries
                   • 2007 & 2008 data
                   • 71% of respondents <
                     50,000 cases
Findings regarding Sales
       Channel Strategy




Smaller wineries are more reliant on DTC sales than larger
  wineries
Findings regarding
Sales Channel Strategy




 Wineries that sell more wine DTC tended to
  have better revenue per case sold
Findings regarding Sales
Channel Strategy




Wineries that sell more wine DTC tended to have
 better margins
Findings regarding Sales
Channel Strategy




Wineries with a higher proportion of DTC also tended to have higher selling
and admin cost
What does DTC growth mean for a
          BC Winery?
ASSUMPTIONS
• $1,500,000 wine sales from 7500 case
  volume
• Retail prices: reds = $26.00; whites = $21.50
• Sales mix 58% red; 42% white
• Sales channel mix BCLDB 40%; LRS stores
  30%; DTC (wineshop) 30%
• Margins & balance sheet ratios = StatsCan
  2010 data for BC wineries < $5 million in
  sales
10% shift from BC LDB to DTC
Before                                After
Gross margin = 53%                    Gross Margin = 54.85%
Pre-tax earnings = $40,000            Pre-tax earnings = $81,500
RONA = 4.0                            RONA = 5.4
Interest coverage = 1.62              Interest coverage = 2.25
Net revenue/bottle = $16.67           Net revenue/bottle = $17.35
Valuation* = $945,000                 Valuation* = $1,318,500

  * Assuming a EBITDA multiple of 9
Worth the Effort?

• An investment of $20,000 generated an after
  tax return of $35,978; ROI = 180% in first
  year!
• By shifting sales from government stores to
  DTC, your winery keeps significantly more of
  the retail price.
• Incremental costs are fairly minimal, therefore
  most of the increased margin falls right to the
  bottom line
• In our example, this one change increased
  the value of the winery by over $370,000
SUMMARY
• Canadians are drinking
  more wine
• Bill C-311 should make it
  easier for BC wineries to
  sell more wine DTC in
  other provinces
• The DTC sales channel is
  the most profitable for BC
  wineries
• Selling more wine DTC
  vs. Government stores
  improves profitability &
  ultimately value for BC
  wineries
Join the Conversation
Follow us on Twitter
@MNP_FoodAgPro

Tweet using the #MNPwine and keep the
 wine conversation flowing

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Uncorking Provincial Borders

  • 1. Uncorking Provincial Borders Will the long awaited changes resulting from Bill C-311 help BC Wineries thrive?
  • 2. What is Bill C-311? • The Federal Importation of Intoxicating Liquors Act (IILA) from 1928 prevents shipment of alcohol between provinces unless it is arranged through provincial liquor agencies • Bill C-311 is an amendment to the IILA
  • 3. What Bill C-311 allows • The importation of wine from a province by an individual for personal consumption – Not for resale or commercial use – “brings the wine, or causes it to be brought into another province” • In quantities as permitted by the laws of the destination province
  • 4. Bill C-311: Where are we at? • On June 28, Bill C- 311 became law • Federal law now allows individuals to import wine between provinces for personal use • Subject to law/regulation of the destination province
  • 5. Dragging the Provinces kicking & GOVERNMENT screaming MONOPOLY •BC adopting a weak BILL C-311 “let’s let the Provincial Liquor Boards work it out” attitude. PROV. •Ontario implementing a LIQUOR BOARDS task force •Wording of Alberta and Manitoba law already allows importation for personal use FREE TRADE •See WINELAW.CA for BETWEEN PROVINCES ongoing updates
  • 6. Per capita wine consumption
  • 7. Wine sales in BC by Origin
  • 8. The Opportunity • Canadian per capita wine consumption continues to grow but we are just now approaching the world average • In BC, sales of BC VQA wine still only represent <20% of all wine sold • Canadians are drinking more wine and there is room for Canadian wineries to capture more of the growing domestic market • Because of the IILA, only a small fraction of BC wine labels are currently sold outside BC
  • 9. Profitability of Dtc sales vs other sales channels SOURCE: M. Hicken – “FreeTheWine” website (2008)
  • 10. Out-of Prov. Winery Visitor More winery Online visitors Customer DIRECT TO CONSUMER More online Shares with orders / Out-of- others (word- province “fans” of-mouth)
  • 11. DTC (Direct to Consumer) wine sales – US numbers • DTC sales accounted for 3% of total wine sales for the year ended April 2011 • Breakdown of 3%: – Phone, internet, clubs 40% – Wineshop sales 60% • DTC more important to smaller wineries • DTC grew by 11.6% - over twice the overall rate of wine sales growth in the US (SOURCE: ShipCompliant & WinesVines DATA)
  • 12. What do DTC sales mean for a small to medium sized winery? • Moss Adams study (no Canadian study available) • CA, WA & OR wineries • 2007 & 2008 data • 71% of respondents < 50,000 cases
  • 13. Findings regarding Sales Channel Strategy Smaller wineries are more reliant on DTC sales than larger wineries
  • 14. Findings regarding Sales Channel Strategy Wineries that sell more wine DTC tended to have better revenue per case sold
  • 15. Findings regarding Sales Channel Strategy Wineries that sell more wine DTC tended to have better margins
  • 16. Findings regarding Sales Channel Strategy Wineries with a higher proportion of DTC also tended to have higher selling and admin cost
  • 17. What does DTC growth mean for a BC Winery? ASSUMPTIONS • $1,500,000 wine sales from 7500 case volume • Retail prices: reds = $26.00; whites = $21.50 • Sales mix 58% red; 42% white • Sales channel mix BCLDB 40%; LRS stores 30%; DTC (wineshop) 30% • Margins & balance sheet ratios = StatsCan 2010 data for BC wineries < $5 million in sales
  • 18. 10% shift from BC LDB to DTC Before After Gross margin = 53% Gross Margin = 54.85% Pre-tax earnings = $40,000 Pre-tax earnings = $81,500 RONA = 4.0 RONA = 5.4 Interest coverage = 1.62 Interest coverage = 2.25 Net revenue/bottle = $16.67 Net revenue/bottle = $17.35 Valuation* = $945,000 Valuation* = $1,318,500 * Assuming a EBITDA multiple of 9
  • 19. Worth the Effort? • An investment of $20,000 generated an after tax return of $35,978; ROI = 180% in first year! • By shifting sales from government stores to DTC, your winery keeps significantly more of the retail price. • Incremental costs are fairly minimal, therefore most of the increased margin falls right to the bottom line • In our example, this one change increased the value of the winery by over $370,000
  • 20. SUMMARY • Canadians are drinking more wine • Bill C-311 should make it easier for BC wineries to sell more wine DTC in other provinces • The DTC sales channel is the most profitable for BC wineries • Selling more wine DTC vs. Government stores improves profitability & ultimately value for BC wineries
  • 21. Join the Conversation Follow us on Twitter @MNP_FoodAgPro Tweet using the #MNPwine and keep the wine conversation flowing

Notas do Editor

  1. The median case volume of wineries that sold &gt; 75% via DTC was &lt; 5000 cases
  2. The advantage of this channel, the pricing and product mixflexibility afforded to producers, can be seen in the averagerevenue per case, as well as in the changes in average revenueper case from 2007 to 2008. While increases were seenacross the board, and a 2% increase was experienced overall,the producers who sold more than 75% of their wine throughthe direct-to-consumer channel increased revenue per case bynearly 10%.
  3. As expected, the three-tier-distribution-focused producerswere close to the industry gross margin median of 45% anda clear upward trend in gross margin is visible as the focuson the direct-to-consumer channel increases. Wineries sellingmore than 75% of their wine in the direct-to-consumer channelshowed a dramatic 20-point advantage in gross margin relativeto the industry.
  4. The most surprising element of this analysis, however, isthe pattern of operating expenses. Essentially all of the grossmargin advantage enjoyed by producers in the greater than75% category versus the industry was offset by higher operatingexpenses. While the industry spent 33% of sales on operatingexpenses, the producers who sold more than 75% of their winethrough the direct-to-consumer channel spent 65%, indicatingthat the operational costs associated with a direct-to-consumereffort can be substantial and require a thoughtful approach.In fact, the analysis shows that the highest operating marginswere actually enjoyed by the “middle” group of producers whosold somewhere between 25% and 75% of their wine direct-toconsumer.
  5. What if:We sell the same amount of wine at the same price but we spend an extra $20,000 in operating expenses to shift 10% of our sales (750 cases) from BC LDB to DTC?A/R days increase from 15 to 21 to reflect additional credit salesEverything else remains the same