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GLOBAL

WARMING
Global Warming
• an average increase in the
 temperature of the
 atmosphere near the Earth’s
 surface and in the
 troposphere1, which can
 contribute to changes in
 global climate patterns
Global Warming
• What are the
 main causes?
Causes
• Burning of fossil fuels (Coal/Crude oil)
  – Power plants generate electricity

  – Transportation-----fuels for transports (E.g. LPG,
    kerosene, fuel oil)

  – Industrial processes (E.g. manufacture of
    cement, steel, aluminium)
Causes
• Other greenhouse
 gases emission

  –   Agriculture
  –   Forestry
  –   Other land uses
  –   Waste management
Example : Using natural gas to cook
CH4 + 2O2  CO2 + 2H2O
                                                   r
                                        xide, othe
                             ar bon dio
                   Besides c as methane,
                   gase  s such           , nitrogen
                               ro carbons
                   ch lorofluo     zone al
                                           so
                               do          eenhou
                                                   se
                    ox ides an            r
                             te  to the g
                    contribu
                     effect.
Can you describe the Greenhouse effect?




Serious greenhouse effect


Global Warming
Greenhouse gases in the atmosphere
                  ↓
  Some infrared radiation is trapped
                  ↓
         Greenhouse effect




Serious greenhouse effect


Global Warming
How serious the problem is?...
Increase in greenhouse
gases
• Concentration of greenhouse gases in
   the atmosphere is highly increasing by
   human activities

  → Leads to the increasing seriousness of global
     warming
Global surface
temperatures
 – increased about 0.6°C/century since the
   late19th century
 – increased to 2°C/century over the past
   25 years
Environmental
 and Human
   Effects
Direct Temperature
Effects
    Increase in average temperature

  More extreme heat waves during the
 summer; Less extreme cold spells during
              the winter

 Harmful to those with heart problems,
 asthma, the elderly, the very young and
              the homeless
Climate-sensitive diseases
 • Increase the risk of some infectious diseases
  – [particularly that appear in warm areas; are
    spread by mosquitoes and other insects]
  – E.g. Malaria, dengue fever, yellow fever,
    encephalitis

• Algal blooms occur more frequently as
  temperatures warm (particularly in areas with
  polluted waters)

   Diseases (e.g. cholera) accompanying algal
          blooms become more frequent
Air Quality
        An increase in the concentration of
                ground-level ozone



               Damage lung tissue



        Harmful for those with asthma and
           other chronic lung diseases
Food supply

   Rising temperatures and variable
             precipitation

Decrease the production of staple foods
     in many of the poorest regions

    Increasing risks of malnutrition
Population displacement
                   Rising sea levels

       Increase the risk of coastal flooding

     (Necessitate population displacement)
• More than half of the world's population now lives
    within 60km of the sea.
•   Most vulnerable regions: Nile delta in Egypt, the
    Ganges-Brahmaputra delta in Bangladesh, many small
    islands, such as the Maldives, the Marshall Islands and
    Tuvalu.
UV Exposure (Australia)

• Skin Cancer   
  – an abnormal growth of skin tissues.


• Premature aging
  – make the skin thick, wrinkled, and leathery  


• Cataracts  
  – No longer have transparent lenses in their eyes
UV Exposure (Australia)
• Other Eye Damages
  – Skin cancer around the eyes



• Suppression of Immunity   
  – Overexposure to UV radiation  suppress proper
    functioning of the body's immune system and natural
    defenses of skin
  – UV-B radiation weakens the immune system 
    increases the chance of infection and disease
Extreme Events
•   Extreme Events:
•   Heat waves; Cold waves; Storms; Floods and
    Droughts
                 Global warming

    An increase in the frequency of extreme events

    More event-related deaths, injuries, infectious
        diseases, and stress-related disorders
Extreme Events in Europe!




        Natural Disasters...
Heat waves
Heat waves in Europe have become much more
likely; the extreme temperatures
of the summer of 2003 are estimated to have been
75% due to human influence.
Increased temperatures worsen drought conditions.
The heat wave in the summer of 2003 caused massive loss
of life – the deaths
of at least 22,146 people have been attributed to the heat
(table 1.2).
Table 1.2: Excess deaths from Europe's 2003 heat wave
(WHO 2004):
France 14,802
Spain3 59
Italy 3,134
Portugal 2,106
England and Wales 2,045
Totals 22,146
Extreme Events in Europe!
France - 14,082 deaths. Experienced seven
  consecutive days of temperatures above
                     40C.
    UK - 2,139 deaths. Record-breaking
    temperature of 38.5C was recorded on
 August 10, 2003. Rail travel was disrupted
  across the country (rails buckling) and the
   London eye shut down due to excessive
           heat in the wheel pods.
Italy - Approx. 3000 deaths. Temperatures
   were around 38C in most cities for weeks.
Portugal – 2,100 deaths. Extensive forest
   fires. 1st of August recorded as the hottest
   day in centiries. 48C
Holland – 1,500 deaths.
Spain – 141 deaths. Records broken in multiple
                       cities.
   Germany - 300 deaths. Record broken in
   multiple cities. Rivers were at their lowest
 recorded level this century, affecting shipping.
Switzerland – melting glaciers in the Alps caused
avalanches and flash floods. Nationwide record
         temperature of 41.5C recorded.
Windstorms...

  The windstorms at the end of 1999 were among the most
  dramatic in European history. Anatol, Lothar and Martin,
  affected Scandinavia, France, Germany and neighbouring
       countries. These storms killed almost 150 people
and caused massive losses (€6.7 billion in insured losses from
   Lothar and Martin, €500 million in economic losses from
  Anatol). In France the storms threw an amount of timber
           equal to three times the annual harvest.
Floods...
The major flood event of the last few years, and the most
  economically destructive disaster in Europe’s history,
  occurred in 2002. Floods took place along the Danube and
  Elbe rivers, affecting much of Central Europe; there was
  also significant flooding in the UK and France. 600,000
  people were affected and 80 killed in 11 countries.
  Economic losses were at least €15 billion.
Droughts...
Much of Southern Europe has been in the grip of severe drought
  for at least a
year, the worst ever recorded. In the summer of 2005, 97% of
   Portugal
experienced severe drought conditions, France considered closing
   nuclear
power plants, and across the European Union cereal production
  fell by at least
28 million tonnes - around 10% of the total.
GLOBAL

WARMING

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Global warming and natural disasters

  • 2. Global Warming • an average increase in the temperature of the atmosphere near the Earth’s surface and in the troposphere1, which can contribute to changes in global climate patterns
  • 3. Global Warming • What are the main causes?
  • 4. Causes • Burning of fossil fuels (Coal/Crude oil) – Power plants generate electricity – Transportation-----fuels for transports (E.g. LPG, kerosene, fuel oil) – Industrial processes (E.g. manufacture of cement, steel, aluminium)
  • 5. Causes • Other greenhouse gases emission – Agriculture – Forestry – Other land uses – Waste management
  • 6. Example : Using natural gas to cook CH4 + 2O2  CO2 + 2H2O r xide, othe ar bon dio Besides c as methane, gase s such , nitrogen ro carbons ch lorofluo zone al so do eenhou se ox ides an r te to the g contribu effect.
  • 7. Can you describe the Greenhouse effect? Serious greenhouse effect Global Warming
  • 8. Greenhouse gases in the atmosphere ↓ Some infrared radiation is trapped ↓ Greenhouse effect Serious greenhouse effect Global Warming
  • 9. How serious the problem is?...
  • 10. Increase in greenhouse gases • Concentration of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere is highly increasing by human activities → Leads to the increasing seriousness of global warming
  • 11. Global surface temperatures – increased about 0.6°C/century since the late19th century – increased to 2°C/century over the past 25 years
  • 13.
  • 14. Direct Temperature Effects Increase in average temperature More extreme heat waves during the summer; Less extreme cold spells during the winter Harmful to those with heart problems, asthma, the elderly, the very young and the homeless
  • 15. Climate-sensitive diseases • Increase the risk of some infectious diseases – [particularly that appear in warm areas; are spread by mosquitoes and other insects] – E.g. Malaria, dengue fever, yellow fever, encephalitis • Algal blooms occur more frequently as temperatures warm (particularly in areas with polluted waters) Diseases (e.g. cholera) accompanying algal blooms become more frequent
  • 16. Air Quality An increase in the concentration of ground-level ozone Damage lung tissue Harmful for those with asthma and other chronic lung diseases
  • 17. Food supply Rising temperatures and variable precipitation Decrease the production of staple foods in many of the poorest regions Increasing risks of malnutrition
  • 18. Population displacement Rising sea levels Increase the risk of coastal flooding (Necessitate population displacement) • More than half of the world's population now lives within 60km of the sea. • Most vulnerable regions: Nile delta in Egypt, the Ganges-Brahmaputra delta in Bangladesh, many small islands, such as the Maldives, the Marshall Islands and Tuvalu.
  • 19. UV Exposure (Australia) • Skin Cancer    – an abnormal growth of skin tissues. • Premature aging – make the skin thick, wrinkled, and leathery   • Cataracts   – No longer have transparent lenses in their eyes
  • 20. UV Exposure (Australia) • Other Eye Damages – Skin cancer around the eyes • Suppression of Immunity    – Overexposure to UV radiation  suppress proper functioning of the body's immune system and natural defenses of skin – UV-B radiation weakens the immune system  increases the chance of infection and disease
  • 21. Extreme Events • Extreme Events: • Heat waves; Cold waves; Storms; Floods and Droughts Global warming An increase in the frequency of extreme events More event-related deaths, injuries, infectious diseases, and stress-related disorders
  • 22. Extreme Events in Europe! Natural Disasters...
  • 24. Heat waves in Europe have become much more likely; the extreme temperatures of the summer of 2003 are estimated to have been 75% due to human influence. Increased temperatures worsen drought conditions.
  • 25. The heat wave in the summer of 2003 caused massive loss of life – the deaths of at least 22,146 people have been attributed to the heat (table 1.2). Table 1.2: Excess deaths from Europe's 2003 heat wave (WHO 2004): France 14,802 Spain3 59 Italy 3,134 Portugal 2,106 England and Wales 2,045 Totals 22,146
  • 26. Extreme Events in Europe! France - 14,082 deaths. Experienced seven consecutive days of temperatures above 40C. UK - 2,139 deaths. Record-breaking temperature of 38.5C was recorded on August 10, 2003. Rail travel was disrupted across the country (rails buckling) and the London eye shut down due to excessive heat in the wheel pods.
  • 27. Italy - Approx. 3000 deaths. Temperatures were around 38C in most cities for weeks. Portugal – 2,100 deaths. Extensive forest fires. 1st of August recorded as the hottest day in centiries. 48C Holland – 1,500 deaths.
  • 28. Spain – 141 deaths. Records broken in multiple cities. Germany - 300 deaths. Record broken in multiple cities. Rivers were at their lowest recorded level this century, affecting shipping. Switzerland – melting glaciers in the Alps caused avalanches and flash floods. Nationwide record temperature of 41.5C recorded.
  • 29. Windstorms... The windstorms at the end of 1999 were among the most dramatic in European history. Anatol, Lothar and Martin, affected Scandinavia, France, Germany and neighbouring countries. These storms killed almost 150 people and caused massive losses (€6.7 billion in insured losses from Lothar and Martin, €500 million in economic losses from Anatol). In France the storms threw an amount of timber equal to three times the annual harvest.
  • 30. Floods... The major flood event of the last few years, and the most economically destructive disaster in Europe’s history, occurred in 2002. Floods took place along the Danube and Elbe rivers, affecting much of Central Europe; there was also significant flooding in the UK and France. 600,000 people were affected and 80 killed in 11 countries. Economic losses were at least €15 billion.
  • 31. Droughts... Much of Southern Europe has been in the grip of severe drought for at least a year, the worst ever recorded. In the summer of 2005, 97% of Portugal experienced severe drought conditions, France considered closing nuclear power plants, and across the European Union cereal production fell by at least 28 million tonnes - around 10% of the total.