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I s su e            12 ,         Vo lu me                  2 4       /      J u ne           17,          20 11

Factors Impacting Rates this Week                                                                                         The Week Ahead -> The “Keys”
Tim McLaughlin                                                                                                            - FOMC, Housing Data, and GDP drive the week
    Europe/Greece Debt Issues: The US financial markets
are extending its high level of volatility as the euro zone debt                                                           Date             Economic Release                                     Prediction                 Last
crisis remains in focus, with growing uncertainty regarding
Greece's ability to avoid a sovereign default. Treasuries and                                                              6/21             Existing Home Sales                                      4.85M                 5.05M
Mortgage Backed Securities are higher throughout the week
(prices up/rates down) amid the euro-area debt uneasiness.                                                                 6/21             Existing Home Sales (MoM)                                -4.0%                 -0.8%

   The Fed/China: We saw two drivers on Wednesday                                                                          6/22             MBA Mortgage Applications                                    -                13.0%
have a direct impact on the markets from the Fed. First, pre-
                                                                                                                           6/22             House Price Index (MoM)                                  -0.2%                 -0.3%
market open, there were a series of hawkish comments
from Fed President Fisher (Dallas), in addition to a Chinese                                                               6/22             FOMC Rate Decision                                       0.25%                0.25%
report signaled accelerated inflation, inciting the Peoples
Bank of China to raise reserve requirements by 50bps, all of                                                               6/23             Chicago Fed Nat Activity                                     -                 -0.45
which provided a pre-market pop to Fixed Income.
                                                                                                                           6/23             Initial Jobless Claims                                       -                 414K
And then in the latter half of the day Fed Chairman Ben
Bernanke was on the tape commenting on the US debt                                                                         6/23             Continuing Claims                                            -                3675K
ceiling, stating it should not be used as a mechanism to
                                                                                                                           6/23             BB Consumer Comfort                                          -                     -
force budget cuts: “Failing to raise the debt ceiling in a
timely way would be self-defeating if the objective is to chart                                                            6/23             New Home Sales                                           310K                  323K
a course toward a better fiscal situation for our nation,” the
Federal Reserve chairman said in some of his strongest                                                                     6/23             New Home Sales (MoM)                                     -4.0%                 7.3%
words yet on fiscal policy, a subject on which he is normally
cautious.                                                                                                                  6/23             RPX Composite 28 day                                         -                0.50%

His comments raise the stakes for both sides if they fail to                                                               6/24             Cap Goods Orders                                          0.5%                 -2.6%
reach a deal to increase the debt limit but are likely to
prompt a backlash from Republicans who want spending                                                                       6/24             Cap Goods Shipped                                            -                 -1.7%
cuts in return for an increase in the amount the government
can borrow.                                                                                                                6/24             Durable Goods Orders                                      1.6%                 -3.6%

The market, as of late, appears to have rabbit ears around                                                                 6/24                  ex Transportation                                    1.1%                 -1.6%
any talks regarding the debt ceiling, and any comments
made by officials in an authoritative role are impacting the                                                               6/24             GDP (QoQ) – Annualized                                    1.9%                 1.8%
markets (positively or negatively) in an exponential fashion.
                                                                                                                           6/24             GDP Price Index                                           1.9%                 1.9%
    Takeaways: With all the volatility and uncertainty in the                                                              6/24             Core PCE (QoQ)                                            1.4%                 1.4%
marketplace right now (both at home and abroad), that has
translated into a continuum “flight to quality” trade which has                                                            6/24             Personal Consumption                                      2.2%                 2.2%
driven the Fixed Income sector, and mortgage rates in
particular, to their lowest rates of the year. 30 year Fixed
Mortgages in the mid 4% range, 15 year Fixed Mortgages in                                                                   Q: Does Weichert offer “Premium Pricing” quotes?
the high 3% range, and attractive hybrid ARM structures in                                                                  A: We sure do! Premium pricing is a rate quote that
the low 3% range (and the high 2% range with points). Been                                                                  allows you to roll some/all of your closing costs into
waiting to buy and now is the time? Looking for one last                                                                    your rate. Want more info on making your loan a
chance to refinance that existing mortgage? Your Weichert                                                                   low/no cost loan? Ask us how…we can help!
Financial Gold Services Manager can help…ask them how!




       Mortgage Access Corp. d/b/a Weichert Financial Services, Executive Offices, 225 Littleton Road, Morris Plains, NJ 07950. 1-800-829-CASH. NMLS Company ID: 2731. Licensed by the NJ Dept of Banking and Insurance. Licensed Mortgage
       Banker with the State Dept of Banking in NY and CT. Licensed by the Pennsylvania Department of Banking, Mortgage Lender 21042. Licensed Lender in AK, AR, DE, MD, D.C., GA, ME, MI, MN, WI, IA, IL, IN, LA, VT, FL, WV, RI, KY, NC,
       ID, MS, NE, WY, OK,TN, WA. Licensed by the Virginia State Corporation Commission, License #ML105. Licensed Mortgage Lender in the Commonwealth of Massachusetts. License #ML1713, Certificate #43155. Certificate of Authority to
       transact business in CO, SC. Registered Mortgage Lender in TX. Licensed with the Financial Institutions Division in New Mexico, License # 01297. Licensed by the Department of Corporations under the California Residential Mortgage
       Lending Act. Licensed Mortgage Broker and Lender Ohio. Licensed Loan Broker and Lender Rhode Island. Kansas Licensed Mortgage Company, License #MC.0001229. Licensed by the New Hampshire Banking Department, License #
       8714-MB. Licensed Oregon Mortgage Lender License #ML2528. Weichert Financial Services arranges loans with third-party providers. Equal Housing Lender.

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Market Monitor June 17, 2011

  • 1. I s su e 12 , Vo lu me 2 4 / J u ne 17, 20 11 Factors Impacting Rates this Week The Week Ahead -> The “Keys” Tim McLaughlin - FOMC, Housing Data, and GDP drive the week Europe/Greece Debt Issues: The US financial markets are extending its high level of volatility as the euro zone debt Date Economic Release Prediction Last crisis remains in focus, with growing uncertainty regarding Greece's ability to avoid a sovereign default. Treasuries and 6/21 Existing Home Sales 4.85M 5.05M Mortgage Backed Securities are higher throughout the week (prices up/rates down) amid the euro-area debt uneasiness. 6/21 Existing Home Sales (MoM) -4.0% -0.8% The Fed/China: We saw two drivers on Wednesday 6/22 MBA Mortgage Applications - 13.0% have a direct impact on the markets from the Fed. First, pre- 6/22 House Price Index (MoM) -0.2% -0.3% market open, there were a series of hawkish comments from Fed President Fisher (Dallas), in addition to a Chinese 6/22 FOMC Rate Decision 0.25% 0.25% report signaled accelerated inflation, inciting the Peoples Bank of China to raise reserve requirements by 50bps, all of 6/23 Chicago Fed Nat Activity - -0.45 which provided a pre-market pop to Fixed Income. 6/23 Initial Jobless Claims - 414K And then in the latter half of the day Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke was on the tape commenting on the US debt 6/23 Continuing Claims - 3675K ceiling, stating it should not be used as a mechanism to 6/23 BB Consumer Comfort - - force budget cuts: “Failing to raise the debt ceiling in a timely way would be self-defeating if the objective is to chart 6/23 New Home Sales 310K 323K a course toward a better fiscal situation for our nation,” the Federal Reserve chairman said in some of his strongest 6/23 New Home Sales (MoM) -4.0% 7.3% words yet on fiscal policy, a subject on which he is normally cautious. 6/23 RPX Composite 28 day - 0.50% His comments raise the stakes for both sides if they fail to 6/24 Cap Goods Orders 0.5% -2.6% reach a deal to increase the debt limit but are likely to prompt a backlash from Republicans who want spending 6/24 Cap Goods Shipped - -1.7% cuts in return for an increase in the amount the government can borrow. 6/24 Durable Goods Orders 1.6% -3.6% The market, as of late, appears to have rabbit ears around 6/24 ex Transportation 1.1% -1.6% any talks regarding the debt ceiling, and any comments made by officials in an authoritative role are impacting the 6/24 GDP (QoQ) – Annualized 1.9% 1.8% markets (positively or negatively) in an exponential fashion. 6/24 GDP Price Index 1.9% 1.9% Takeaways: With all the volatility and uncertainty in the 6/24 Core PCE (QoQ) 1.4% 1.4% marketplace right now (both at home and abroad), that has translated into a continuum “flight to quality” trade which has 6/24 Personal Consumption 2.2% 2.2% driven the Fixed Income sector, and mortgage rates in particular, to their lowest rates of the year. 30 year Fixed Mortgages in the mid 4% range, 15 year Fixed Mortgages in Q: Does Weichert offer “Premium Pricing” quotes? the high 3% range, and attractive hybrid ARM structures in A: We sure do! Premium pricing is a rate quote that the low 3% range (and the high 2% range with points). Been allows you to roll some/all of your closing costs into waiting to buy and now is the time? Looking for one last your rate. Want more info on making your loan a chance to refinance that existing mortgage? Your Weichert low/no cost loan? Ask us how…we can help! Financial Gold Services Manager can help…ask them how! Mortgage Access Corp. d/b/a Weichert Financial Services, Executive Offices, 225 Littleton Road, Morris Plains, NJ 07950. 1-800-829-CASH. NMLS Company ID: 2731. Licensed by the NJ Dept of Banking and Insurance. Licensed Mortgage Banker with the State Dept of Banking in NY and CT. Licensed by the Pennsylvania Department of Banking, Mortgage Lender 21042. Licensed Lender in AK, AR, DE, MD, D.C., GA, ME, MI, MN, WI, IA, IL, IN, LA, VT, FL, WV, RI, KY, NC, ID, MS, NE, WY, OK,TN, WA. Licensed by the Virginia State Corporation Commission, License #ML105. Licensed Mortgage Lender in the Commonwealth of Massachusetts. License #ML1713, Certificate #43155. Certificate of Authority to transact business in CO, SC. Registered Mortgage Lender in TX. Licensed with the Financial Institutions Division in New Mexico, License # 01297. Licensed by the Department of Corporations under the California Residential Mortgage Lending Act. Licensed Mortgage Broker and Lender Ohio. Licensed Loan Broker and Lender Rhode Island. Kansas Licensed Mortgage Company, License #MC.0001229. Licensed by the New Hampshire Banking Department, License # 8714-MB. Licensed Oregon Mortgage Lender License #ML2528. Weichert Financial Services arranges loans with third-party providers. Equal Housing Lender.