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7 MYTHS OF LEAN
                                                 AND HOW

                                 ANALYTICS CAN HELP




                                                           Ben Yoskovitz
http://www.flickr.com/photos/kxlly/349894433/
                                                           @byosko
HOW DO WE BRING
 INVESTORS AND
 ENTREPRENEURS
   TOGETHER?




                  http://farm4.staticflickr.com/3489/3922495716_bea9de1bed_z.jpg?zz=1
More wins than losses
                                                                                                             GoInstant
           1st startup                                                                   Year One Labs
                                                           Started blogging
                                                                                     Standout Jobs
                                        Big pivot




  1996           1998                2001                                  2006   2007               2010        2011

                                                   The “I got too comfy” years             Failed           $0




http://www.flickr.com/photos/atbaker/3745556550/
Pre-order today!
     (please)




   http://leananalyticsbook.com
Basics of Lean Startup




                      Eric Ries
                   http://theleanstartup.com
MYTH #1: LEAN = CHEAP
KNOW WHEN TO
   HACK
AND WHEN TO
   SCALE
MYTH #2: LEAN = SMALL




              http://www.flickr.com/photos/cobalt/7824157082/sizes/c/in/photostream/
HAVE YOU EVER HAD A
HARD TIME HIRING
     TOP TALENT?
ALL THE HARD
                                              WORK IS IN THE ...
http://www.flickr.com/photos/kiki/36895053/
WHAT ARE THE
  RISKS WITH
ACCELERATORS?
MYTH #3: LEAN = CRAPPY




              http://www.flickr.com/photos/privatenobby/79831409/sizes/l/in/photostream/
AN MVP
      IS FOR
   LEARNING
 AND MUST PROVIDE
THE CORE VALUE
   YOU PROMISED
MYTH #4: PIVOT IS BAD WORD




                http://www.flickr.com/photos/kaitlinmarie/6006759537/sizes/l/in/photostream/
A SHIFT IN ONE ASPECT
 OF YOUR STARTUP’S
   FOCUS BASED ON
VALIDATED LEARNING
BEWARE THE
LAZY PIVOT
SOME PIVOTS WORK (BIG TIME!)


               from b2c to b2b.




               from friends to moms.
IF THE
FUNDAMENTALS
  AREN’T THERE
   YOU CAN’T
    SCALE
MYTH #5: LEAN = CONSUMER STARTUPS




http://www.flickr.com/photos/travlr/with/3005170442/
If you want to:

• Compete
• Reduce waste
• Innovate
• Succeed
MYTH #6: LEAN = EASY




                  http://www.flickr.com/photos/jeffk/59597637/
MYTH #7: LEAN = AUTO WIN




              http://www.flickr.com/photos/8136496@N05/2327243497/sizes/l/in/photostream/
THINGS TAKE
     TIME
 EVEN IF STARTUPS
SHOULD BE GOING
    FASTER
EXTERNAL
PRESSURE IS A
DANGEROUS
   THING
SO HOW CAN
                                                LEAN ANALYTICS
                                                                        HELP?


http://www.flickr.com/photos/skidder/37675092/sizes/l/in/photostream/
Analytics is the measurement of
movement towards your
business goals.
In a startup, the purpose of
analytics is to iterate to
product/market fit before the
money runs out.
VANITY METRICS ARE BAD

                    A metric from the early, foolish days of the Web.
      Hits
                    Count people instead.
                    Marginally better than hits. Unless you’re displaying
  Page views
                    ad inventory, count people.
                    Is this one person visiting a hundred times, or are a
     Visits
                    hundred people visiting once? Fail.
                    This tells you nothing about what they did, why they
 Unique visitors
                    stuck around, or if they left.

Followers/friends   Count actions instead. Find out how many followers
      /likes        will do your bidding.
http://www.flickr.com/photos/circasassy/78581
                     55676/




                        it’s a


bad
                        If it won’t change
                        how you behave,




metric.
LEADING            LAGGING
Number today that   Historical metric
  shows metric       that shows how
tomorrow-makes        you’re doing-
    the news        reports the news


                     http://www.flickr.com/photos/vegaseddie/3310041214/sizes/l/in/photostream/
What mode of e-commerce are you?
How many of your
 customers buy a    Then you are in this   Your customers will   You are just
                                                                                    Focus on
second time in 90         mode               buy from you           like
      days?

                                                                                   Low CAC,
   1-15%            Acquisition                 Once               70%               high
                                                                 of retailers      checkout




  15-30%                Hybrid                  2-2.5              20%             Increasing
                                                per year         of retailers        returns



                                                                                    Loyalty,
   >30%                Loyalty                   >2.5              10%             inventory
                                                per year         of retailers      expansion


                                                                      (Thanks to Kevin Hilstrom for
                                                                                  this.)
SO WHAT
   METRICS
SHOULD YOU TRACK?
YOUR BASIC                   THE STAGE OF
   BUSINESS                       YOUR
    MODEL                        STARTUP
     How you make $$               Lifecycle


• E-commerce                     • Empathy
• SaaS                           • Stickiness
• Free mobile app                • Virality
• Media site                     • Revenue
• Collaborative content site     • Scale
• Two-sided marketplace
CORRESPONDING FUNDING


 Accelerator ($25-$50k)




     Seed ($500k)




    Series A ($1-3M)




   Series B+ ($5-10M)
Case study: Buffer goes from
Stickiness to Scale (through Revenue)

      • Stage: Scale
      • Model: SaaS (consumer)
      • Popular social sharing application.
      • Focused primarily on customer acquisition
      • Charged from day one
Buffer charges early to prove people
want the problem solved

                  of visitors create an account
         20%      (acquisition / Empathy)
                  of sign-ups become active
         64%      (start of Stickiness)
                  of sign-ups return in the 1st month
         60%      (engagement / Stickiness)
                  of sign-ups are active after 6 months
         20%      (engagement / Stickiness)
                  convert from free to paid
          2%      (Revenue)
SKIP STEPS
AT YOUR
OWN RISK
Case study: ClearFit



      • Stage: Scale
      • Model: SaaS

      • Recruitment marketing and assessment
        software

      • Switched business models from monthly
        subscription to pay per job posting
ClearFit: Lots of money!




10x
                                       revenue increase off
                                       of 3x in sales volume


     “People don’t do subscriptions for haircuts, hamburgers, and
     hiring. You have to understand your customer, who they are,
     how and why they buy, and how they value your product or
     service.” - Ben Baldwin, co-founder
DON’T JUST
FOLLOW THE
  LEADER




  http://www.flickr.com/photos/86791111@N00/3126955746/
How it all comes together


                                            The business you’re in

                                    E-    2-sided          Mobile   User-gen
                                                    SaaS                       Media
                                 commerce market            app      content
                    Empathy
The stage you’re




                                         One Metric
                   Stickiness
       at




                      Virality

                    Revenue             That Matters.
                       Scale
CHOOSE
  ONLY ONE
  METRIC
    AND
DRAW A LINE
IN THE SAND
Case study: Timehop aims for
virality through content sharing


       • Stage: Virality
       • Model: Mobile app
       • Social network around the past
       • Focused on virality (but not the viral
        coefficient)
The One Metric That Matters:
Content sharing


            • Focused on % of daily active users
            that share content

            • Aiming for 20-30% of daily active users
            to share content


    “All that matters now is virality. Everything else—be it
    press, publicity stunts or something else—is like pushing a
    rock up a mountain: it will never scale. But being viral will.”
    - Jonathan Wegener, co-founder
METRICS ARE
LIKE SQUEEZE
    TOYS
Once, a leader convinced others
in the absence of data.
Now, a leader knows what
questions to ask.
Thank you.
  follow me.                                  email me.
                       @byosko


                                  byosko@gmail.com
instigatorblog.com


                     subscribe.
                                                pre-order!


          leananalyticsbook.com

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7 Myths of Lean and How Analytics Can Help

  • 1. 7 MYTHS OF LEAN AND HOW ANALYTICS CAN HELP Ben Yoskovitz http://www.flickr.com/photos/kxlly/349894433/ @byosko
  • 2. HOW DO WE BRING INVESTORS AND ENTREPRENEURS TOGETHER? http://farm4.staticflickr.com/3489/3922495716_bea9de1bed_z.jpg?zz=1
  • 3. More wins than losses GoInstant 1st startup Year One Labs Started blogging Standout Jobs Big pivot 1996 1998 2001 2006 2007 2010 2011 The “I got too comfy” years Failed $0 http://www.flickr.com/photos/atbaker/3745556550/
  • 4.
  • 5. Pre-order today! (please) http://leananalyticsbook.com
  • 6. Basics of Lean Startup Eric Ries http://theleanstartup.com
  • 7. MYTH #1: LEAN = CHEAP
  • 8. KNOW WHEN TO HACK AND WHEN TO SCALE
  • 9. MYTH #2: LEAN = SMALL http://www.flickr.com/photos/cobalt/7824157082/sizes/c/in/photostream/
  • 10. HAVE YOU EVER HAD A HARD TIME HIRING TOP TALENT?
  • 11. ALL THE HARD WORK IS IN THE ... http://www.flickr.com/photos/kiki/36895053/
  • 12. WHAT ARE THE RISKS WITH ACCELERATORS?
  • 13. MYTH #3: LEAN = CRAPPY http://www.flickr.com/photos/privatenobby/79831409/sizes/l/in/photostream/
  • 14. AN MVP IS FOR LEARNING AND MUST PROVIDE THE CORE VALUE YOU PROMISED
  • 15.
  • 16. MYTH #4: PIVOT IS BAD WORD http://www.flickr.com/photos/kaitlinmarie/6006759537/sizes/l/in/photostream/
  • 17. A SHIFT IN ONE ASPECT OF YOUR STARTUP’S FOCUS BASED ON VALIDATED LEARNING
  • 19. SOME PIVOTS WORK (BIG TIME!) from b2c to b2b. from friends to moms.
  • 20. IF THE FUNDAMENTALS AREN’T THERE YOU CAN’T SCALE
  • 21. MYTH #5: LEAN = CONSUMER STARTUPS http://www.flickr.com/photos/travlr/with/3005170442/
  • 22. If you want to: • Compete • Reduce waste • Innovate • Succeed
  • 23. MYTH #6: LEAN = EASY http://www.flickr.com/photos/jeffk/59597637/
  • 24. MYTH #7: LEAN = AUTO WIN http://www.flickr.com/photos/8136496@N05/2327243497/sizes/l/in/photostream/
  • 25. THINGS TAKE TIME EVEN IF STARTUPS SHOULD BE GOING FASTER
  • 27. SO HOW CAN LEAN ANALYTICS HELP? http://www.flickr.com/photos/skidder/37675092/sizes/l/in/photostream/
  • 28. Analytics is the measurement of movement towards your business goals.
  • 29. In a startup, the purpose of analytics is to iterate to product/market fit before the money runs out.
  • 30. VANITY METRICS ARE BAD A metric from the early, foolish days of the Web. Hits Count people instead. Marginally better than hits. Unless you’re displaying Page views ad inventory, count people. Is this one person visiting a hundred times, or are a Visits hundred people visiting once? Fail. This tells you nothing about what they did, why they Unique visitors stuck around, or if they left. Followers/friends Count actions instead. Find out how many followers /likes will do your bidding.
  • 31. http://www.flickr.com/photos/circasassy/78581 55676/ it’s a bad If it won’t change how you behave, metric.
  • 32. LEADING LAGGING Number today that Historical metric shows metric that shows how tomorrow-makes you’re doing- the news reports the news http://www.flickr.com/photos/vegaseddie/3310041214/sizes/l/in/photostream/
  • 33. What mode of e-commerce are you? How many of your customers buy a Then you are in this Your customers will You are just Focus on second time in 90 mode buy from you like days? Low CAC, 1-15% Acquisition Once 70% high of retailers checkout 15-30% Hybrid 2-2.5 20% Increasing per year of retailers returns Loyalty, >30% Loyalty >2.5 10% inventory per year of retailers expansion (Thanks to Kevin Hilstrom for this.)
  • 34. SO WHAT METRICS SHOULD YOU TRACK?
  • 35. YOUR BASIC THE STAGE OF BUSINESS YOUR MODEL STARTUP How you make $$ Lifecycle • E-commerce • Empathy • SaaS • Stickiness • Free mobile app • Virality • Media site • Revenue • Collaborative content site • Scale • Two-sided marketplace
  • 36. CORRESPONDING FUNDING Accelerator ($25-$50k) Seed ($500k) Series A ($1-3M) Series B+ ($5-10M)
  • 37. Case study: Buffer goes from Stickiness to Scale (through Revenue) • Stage: Scale • Model: SaaS (consumer) • Popular social sharing application. • Focused primarily on customer acquisition • Charged from day one
  • 38. Buffer charges early to prove people want the problem solved of visitors create an account 20% (acquisition / Empathy) of sign-ups become active 64% (start of Stickiness) of sign-ups return in the 1st month 60% (engagement / Stickiness) of sign-ups are active after 6 months 20% (engagement / Stickiness) convert from free to paid 2% (Revenue)
  • 40. Case study: ClearFit • Stage: Scale • Model: SaaS • Recruitment marketing and assessment software • Switched business models from monthly subscription to pay per job posting
  • 41. ClearFit: Lots of money! 10x revenue increase off of 3x in sales volume “People don’t do subscriptions for haircuts, hamburgers, and hiring. You have to understand your customer, who they are, how and why they buy, and how they value your product or service.” - Ben Baldwin, co-founder
  • 42. DON’T JUST FOLLOW THE LEADER http://www.flickr.com/photos/86791111@N00/3126955746/
  • 43. How it all comes together The business you’re in E- 2-sided Mobile User-gen SaaS Media commerce market app content Empathy The stage you’re One Metric Stickiness at Virality Revenue That Matters. Scale
  • 44. CHOOSE ONLY ONE METRIC AND DRAW A LINE IN THE SAND
  • 45. Case study: Timehop aims for virality through content sharing • Stage: Virality • Model: Mobile app • Social network around the past • Focused on virality (but not the viral coefficient)
  • 46. The One Metric That Matters: Content sharing • Focused on % of daily active users that share content • Aiming for 20-30% of daily active users to share content “All that matters now is virality. Everything else—be it press, publicity stunts or something else—is like pushing a rock up a mountain: it will never scale. But being viral will.” - Jonathan Wegener, co-founder
  • 48. Once, a leader convinced others in the absence of data.
  • 49. Now, a leader knows what questions to ask.
  • 50. Thank you. follow me. email me. @byosko byosko@gmail.com instigatorblog.com subscribe. pre-order! leananalyticsbook.com