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Understand, Visualize and Predict Customer Behavior




                 The CRM “Customer-centricity Chasm”

                 Customer Interaction Hub Illustrated Demo

                 Customer Case Study Snap Shot

                 Market Leading Analyst Recognition
       INSIGHT          ACTION

Home
Customer Analytics Maturity Model
       • Commence at any stage                                                                    Real-time Decisioning
       • Benefit from a clear                                                                       • Inbound contextual RTD




                                                                                                                                     ACTION
         roadmap to success                                                                         • Adaptive learning

                                                                              Real-time Scoring
                                                                                 •    Eliminate customer lists, mass-scoring
                                                                                 •    Up to the second outbound selection accuracy



                                                            Optimize Contacts
                                                             • Analytically match customers with right offer, at right time,
                                                               via right channel, balanced against business constraints


                                          Predict Uplift
                                            • Predict persuadability; eliminate sure things, lost causes, sleeping dogs




                                                                                                                                     INSIGHT
                                            • Reduce spend 40% while improving outcome 30-300%


                     Understand & Predict Behavior
                       • Predict and define ideal target customer segments
                       • 3D visual customer data mining & automated modeling


  Explore Customers
    • Uncover areas of interest and opportunities to act
    • Ad hoc, thin-client customer data exploration for the business user


                                  (Underpinned by customer data access, generic BI & reporting tools)


        INSIGHT                  ACTION

Home
The CRM “Customer-centricity Chasm”
                 DATA                        INCREMENTAL CRM                            CRM TOUCH POINTS


                                       Right message, right time
         Customer Profile             Dialogue across touch points
                                         Optimize engagement
                                                         “Line of
                                                          sight”

             Transaction


                                       Infuse customer-specific
                                       insight into touch points
                 Channel




         Lines of Business              Understand past behavior
                                          Predict future needs
                                           “Hindsight”
                                         “Hindsight”                 “Foresight”
                                                                       “Foresight”

                                      What    |   Why        |      Next   |   Change
       Customer Preference


       INSIGHT               ACTION

Home
Optimized Customized Customer Interactions
                                                           Customer             We sent you
      Customer                                             completes             an email
                                                                                                    Documents
                                                             survey                                 generated
                                                                                yesterday –
                                                                                                    and mailed
                                                                                do you have
                                                                                    any
                                           Thank you for                        questions?
                                             updating
                                               your
                                           preferences!

                                                                                                                    Offer
                                                                                                                 acceptance
                                                                                                                  feedback
                                                                       Ideal promo:                                survey
                                                                         Unlimited
         Please                                                            Text
         update                       Last day of                                                  Value
          your                        Unlimited                                               reinforcement
       preferences                       Text                                                 - you saved $X
                                        promo                                                   this month

                                                                                                               Your Business
  The Results

  •   Improved customer experience
  •   Increased customer satisfaction and advocacy
  •   Increased customer value, wallet share
  •   Improved customer retention
  •   Single source for customer preferences


         INSIGHT                 ACTION

Home
                                                                                                                              4
The CRM “Customer-centricity Chasm”

                  Expectation                                                           Reality
        • We understand them                                                   • Product-centric campaigns
        • We value their business                                              • Operationally focused
        • We deliver on our promises                                           • Information & channel silos
        • We remember them                                                     • Independent business units
        • We strive for relevancy                                              • Customer ad fatigue
        • We are connected                                                     • Limited capacity for
                                                                                 engagement

  “What customers expect from us”                                               “What we actually have”


        INSIGHT                     ACTION

Home
          © 2011 Portrait Software - A Pitney Bowes Business Insight Company
INSIGHT   ACTION

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Optimizing Customer Interactions




                                       Mobile    Web


                                                       Kiosk /
                               Email                                  INTERACTIVE
  PROACTIVE                                             ATM


                                 Mail                  IVR

                                           Contact
                                           Center
                  “Outbound”                                     “Inbound”
                  Channels                                        Channels

        INSIGHT      ACTION

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The Portrait Suite
                               Fulfill.

                               Recommend.

                               Orchestrate.


                 Optimize.

                 Predict.

                 Understand.

                 Explore.


       INSIGHT     ACTION

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What’s it Worth?
                   Financial Services                              Telecommunications
                                       Products held per            36% increase in churn reduction
                                     customer up by 50%

                        Customer retention up >20%                           20% reduction in churn

                                                            Immediate increase in customer retention
                      Incremental revenue up 327%          Reduced marketing costs >DK100,000 PA

                 Reduced marketing costs by >10%                         Churn decreased by 37.5%


                         ROI from a single campaign                 Emerging Markets

                                                             Increased revenue by $1.2M per month
                       Insurance

                      Customer retention up 300%                       Incremental revenue of £48M


                 “Immediate increase in renewals”                              Profitability rose 10%


                 Uplift doubles customer retention              Revenue per customer 314% higher


       INSIGHT              ACTION

Home
Home
                 Information Quality                         Data Quality Tools            Data Integration Tools




       INSIGHT
                                                                                                                           DATA




                                                             Predictive Analytics & Data




       ACTION
                                                             Mining                        Customer Data Mining




                                   5 Magic

                 Gartner
                                   The ONLY


                                   Quadrants
                                                                                                                           INSIGHT




                                   vendor on all
                                        DQ


                              DI
                                                             Cross-channel Comms Mgmt      Multi-channel Comms Mgmt
                                               MCCM




                              CCCM
                                        CDM
                                                                                                                           STRATEGY




                                                             Document Output               Customer Service Contact Ctrs
                                      The ONLY
                                      vendor on
                                      all 4 Waves
                                                                                                                                           PBBI – Customer Communications Management




                                       IQ
                                                      CCCM




                           DOCCM
                                       PA/DM
                                                                                                                           COMMUNICATION
Forrester’s View of Inbound & Outbound CM

                                Dialogue




                                                        Customer Analytics

                   Foundation
                  Interaction
                                                                   Analytic
                  Fulfillment
                                                                   Insight




                                Interaction Optimizer



        INSIGHT     ACTION

Home
Overview

                 Case Study: Retention (Telecommunications Example)

                 Case Study: Cross-sell (Financial Services Example)

                 Case Study: Cross-sell (Retail Example)
       INSIGHT            ACTION

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Portrait Uplift
  Predict the “persuadables” that will react to your marketing.


                                 Portrait Uplift empowers you to focus your marketing
                 INSIGHT
                 - PREDICT
                                 upon only those customers that will positively change
                                 behavior as result of your message.
   Benefits                      • Award winning solution – Predict change in
   • Eliminate                        behavior
     marketing waste                      Predict which customers are Persuadables, while
                                           weeding out Sure Things, Lost Causes and
   • Reduce                                Sleeping Dogs.
     customer ad-                • Spend your marketing funds only where it            Uplift Segmentation
     fatigue, opt-out &               will have an impact
     attrition                            Boost impact by 30-300%
                                          Reduce cost by 40%
   • Boost return on             • Increase analytic bandwidth and throughput
     marketing
                                          Automate Uplift modeling best practice
     investment
                                          Build more accurate uplift models
                                           in a fraction of the time


       INSIGHT               ACTION

Home
“Uplift analysis is a must-consider
        concept for every organization
        with significant campaign
        management activities”.
                          Gareth Herschel, Gartner, “Predictive Modeling Now more than Ever”,
                                                            Gartner Customer 360, March 2011




       INSIGHT   ACTION

Home
Uplift Segmentation for Retention Marketing
                                If we target, customer will:
                                           Stay




   If we do nothing,
   customer will:
                  Churn                                        Stay




                                          Churn
        INSIGHT        ACTION

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Uplift Segmentation for Cross-sell Marketing
                                If we target, customer will:
                                           Buy




   If we do nothing,
   customer will:
                  Not Buy                                      Buy




                                        Not Buy
        INSIGHT        ACTION

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Incremental Impact for Response

                                                Positive              No impact    Negative
                                    120%        impact                             impact              1        Persuadables:
                                                                                                                Only buy if treated
 Proportion of incremental effect




                                    100%

                                                                       Put this money                      2A
                                                                                                                Sure Things:
                                    80%                                back into your                           Buy whether you
                                                                      marketing budget             2            treat or not

                                    60%
                                                  1                     2               3                  2B   Lost Causes:
                                                                                                                Won’t buy whether
                                    40%                                                                         you treat or not

                                                                                                       3        Sleeping Dogs:
                                    20%
                                                                                                                Buy unless you treat

                                     0%
                                           0%    20%            40%      60%      80%       100%
                                                           Proportion targeted
                                     INSIGHT           ACTION

Home
   17
Customer Case Studies

       Business Challenge: Targeting for customer churn campaigns but lower campaign costs

       The Telenor Group is currently ranked as one of the                                         Benefits
       world’s largest mobile operators (in terms of
       subscriptions). Mobile subscriptions rank at 168                                            • Traditional targeting reduced churn by
       million worldwide with telecom operators in 13                                              5%, but with significant negative effects
       countries.                                                                                  • Uplift model reduced these significantly
                                                                                                                          • Saving 40% of treatment costs
       Portrait Customer analytics assisted Telenor in
       delivering next generation targeting for customer                                                                  • Further reducing churn to 6.8%
       retention (churn) campaigns Removing negative effects                                       • Fully automated data build from Teradata
       thus decreasing both churn and campaign costs                                               • Sun Solaris server
                                                                                                   • 3 m customers, > 300 variables
                                                   Results
                       Without Uplift             improved
        Reduction in                                36%
       Overall Churn

                             With Uplift                                                                               Introduction of
                                                                                                                       first prediction                                Introduction of
                                                                                                                       model                                           refined
                                             5%              6.8%
                                                                                                                25 %                                                   prediction model
                                                                                                                          23 %

                                                                                                                20 %                                                         20 %
                                                                                                                          19 %   19 %
                                                                                                                                                              18 %                   18 %
                                                                                                                                          17 %
                                                                                        annual defection rate



                                                                                                                                                                      16 %
                                        Without Uplift                                                          15 %             15 %                  14 %
                                                                                                                                                                             15 %
                                                                                                                                                                                     14 %
                                                                                                                                          14 %                14 %    13 %                         13 %
            Treated                                                                                                                                                                                                    13 %
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              12 %
                                                                                                                                                       12 %                                        11 %                11 %
            Volume                                                                                                                                                                          11 %          11 %                       11 %
                                                                Treated volume                                  10 %                                                                        10 %                              10 %
                           With Uplift                          reduced by 40%                                                                                                                            9%     9%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 8%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     9%


                                                                                                                5%
                                                     60%                         100%
                                                                                                                0%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              months




                                                                                                                                                                                                           07
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                                                                                                                                                                Konkurrentchurn               Eksternchurn



        INSIGHT                          ACTION

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Interactive Visual Insight



                                                    Mobile
                                               subscribers and
                                                   defection
                                              distributed across
                                                  geographic
                                              regions in Norway




        Blue indicating high defection rate
        Green indicating low defection rate
        INSIGHT            ACTION

Home
Dramatic Impact to Customer Retention
                                                        Introduced
                                                       churn model



                                             25 %
                                                           23 %

                                             20 %                                                                    20 %
                                                           19 %   19 %
                                                                                                 18 %                         18 %
                                                                           17 %
                 annual defection rate




                                                                                                          16 %
                                             15 %                                                                    15 %
                                                                  15 %                  14 %                                  14 %
                                                                           14 %                  14 %     13 %                                13
                                                                                        12 %                                                  11
                                                                                                                                     11 %
                                             10 %                                                                                    10 %



                                                  5%


                                                  0%
                                                                                                    months
                                                                                7
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       INSIGHT                           ACTION

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Typical Telco Retention Campaign Results

                       Annual defection rate - Mobile retention campaign


                   Yes - renewal      3.5 %


                   Control group                            33.0 %


                 Reject - renewal                                           51.2 %

                                 0%    10 %   20 %   30 %    40 %    50 %      60 %




       • Can we predict “save-ability” rather than churn risk?



       INSIGHT               ACTION

Home
Uplift Business Case: a Double-win




       INSIGHT   ACTION

Home
Dramatic Impact to Customer Retention
                                     Introduced
                                    churn model                                Introduced
                                                                               Uplift model
                                 25 %
                                        23 %

                                 20 %                                                      20 %
                                        19 %   19 %
                                                                       18 %                         18 %
         annual defection rate




                                                       17 %
                                                                                16 %
                                 15 %                                                      15 %
                                               15 %           14 %                                  14 %
                                                       14 %            14 %     13 %                               13 %                13 %
                                                              12 %                                                                            12 %
                                                                                                                   11 %   11 %         11 %          11 %
                                                                                                           11 %
                                 10 %                                                                      10 %
                                                                                                                                 9%
                                                                                                                                              10 %
                                                                                                                          9%                         9%
                                                                                                                                 8%

                                 5%


                                 0%
                                                                                                                                          months




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                                                                          Konkurrentchurn                    Eksternchurn

       INSIGHT                             ACTION

Home
Customer Case Studies

       Business Challenge: Inability to target the customer with the most relevant message


       U.S. Bancorp (NYSE: USB), with $266 billion in assets, is
       the parent company of U.S. Bank, the 6th largest               Benefits
       commercial bank in the United States.                           Incremental revenue increased 327%
                                                                       >$500K incremental revenue per campaign
       US Bank engaged Portrait Software and its team of experts       Reduced baseline cost from lower volume
       to produce and trial an Uplift model that had the ability to    189% increase in incremental response by
       generate data models which would lead to the incremental         avoiding negative effects (downlift)
       performance and improved customer experience that US            Campaign ROI increased from 75% to 400%
       Bank was striving to achieve.                                     in 5 years
                                                                       Increased incremental cross-sell revenue by
                                                                        more than 300%


                                                                                      $1,000,000                            1000%
                                                                                       $900,000                             900%
                                                                                       $800,000                             800%
                                                                                       $700,000                             700%



                                                                         Net Income
                                                                                       $600,000                             600%




                                                                                                                                    RoI
                                                                                       $500,000                             500%
                                                                                       $400,000                             400%
                                                                                       $300,000                             300%
                                                                                       $200,000                             200%
                                                                                       $100,000                             100%
                                                                                             $-                             0%




                                                                                                   Decile by uplift score




        INSIGHT                  ACTION

Home
Highlights: Location-data Integration
       Business Challenge: Find more cost-effective ways to acquire new DDA customers using direct mail

       U.S. Bancorp (NYSE: USB), with $266 billion in assets, is
       the parent company of U.S. Bank, the 6th largest                                                               : Location Enhanced
       commercial bank in the United States.                                                      Benefits
                                                                                                   Turned around campaign from loss to profit
       US Bank use direct mail to entire postal routes to acquire                                  91% increase in incremental revenue
       new DDA customers, but low response rates and lift versus                                   Generate additional $300K per campaign
       control made even their best targeting models unprofitable.                                 Can either reduce volume with same net adds,
       Portrait Uplift delivered more effective targeting models using                               or achieve more net new DDAs with same volume
       existing data, and achieved campaign profitability by
       enhancing with new location-based attributes such as local
       product penetration rates and nearest branch drive time.
         Incremental Revenue ($’000s)




                                                                             +91%
                                        Break-even
                                                                              Location-enhanced



                                                         +41%
                                                                                 Uplift Model
                                                           Portrait Uplift
                                                              Model
                                            Previous
                                            champio
                                               n




        INSIGHT                                        ACTION

Home
Customer Case Study: Uplift in Retail

        Business Challenge: Improve incremental revenue from monthly consumer catalog mailings


        Fortune 50 company with $60B+ annual revenues
        that sells about 140K PCs / day. It has nearly 2B
        customer interactions per year, including about 15M
        direct mail catalogs per month.                         Benefits
                                                                Increased revenue by $1.2M/month at existing mailing
        Portrait was challenged to develop an Uplift model to   volumes, or $2.5M/month with more focused targeting
        increase the incremental revenue delivered by monthly    Validated in blind trial and now in market, with software
        catalog mailings compared to existing response and        and services hosted by this company’s MSP
        value based targeting.                                   Demonstrated applicability to individualized email
                                                                  versioning, with $250K additional revenue in a small test




                        Uplift model delivers
                        $2.5M more revenue
                        ($500K more profit)




         INSIGHT               ACTION

 Home
26
Example reduced monthly mailing volume




                                                          In-house Model




                                           Uplift model delivers
                                           incremental lift by 88%
                                           over existing model




                 Example Reduced Targeting ~30% of mailable universe
       INSIGHT      ACTION

Home
August Mailing Results

                                                            August Uplift Results

                                    300%

                                    250%
       Incremental Revenue Index




                                    200%

                                    150%

                                    100%

                                     50%

                                      0%
                                               1             2           3            4            5
                                                                       Quintile


                                   The actual mailing for the Development audience produced $612K incremental
                                   revenue at full volumes, but would have done over $1.3M at the recommended
                                   40%, and over $3.1M over no mail


          INSIGHT                                  ACTION

Home
Portrait Optimizer
  Allocate your marketing for maximum impact & mutual benefit.


                                  Portrait Optimizer is a contact optimization solution that
                 INSIGHT
                 - OPTIMIZE
                                  can optimally allocate your marketing spend where it
                                  will have the greatest impact, across campaigns and
                                  customers, for utmost ROI.
   Benefits
   • Optimize                      • Analytically weighs your business’ constraints vs. expected benefit
     marketing ROI                   to determine the right mix of offers & channels for individual
                                     customers
   • Eliminate                     • Improves customer-centricity while enforcing        Achieve Contact
     marketing waste                 constraints, and improving financial outcome        Optimization
                                      Constraints include eligibility, quantity & value Best Practice
   • Boost relevancy                    Considers preferences, propensity & persuadability
                                   • Flexible framework
   • Reduce                             Optimize offers, message, channel, product, incentive,
     customer ad-                        time frame and more
     fatigue &                     • Dual interface
     opt-out                            Foster alignment across marketers and analyst teams


       INSIGHT                ACTION

Home
How does Offer Optimization Work?
                    THIS GOES IN           THIS COMES
                                                OUT
                 For Each       For Each
                   Offer        Customer   • The right
                                             offers…

                                           • Allocated to the
                                             right
                                             customers…

                                           • To maximize
                                             overall impact.

                                            … while satisfying
                                            all the constraints.


       INSIGHT         ACTION

Home
Highlights: Contact Optimization
   • Maximize return from direct marketing with business constraints
                 Eligibility, quantity and financial constraints
                 Includes customer preferences, propensities and “persuadability”
                 Increases customer-centricity
   • Broad optimization framework
                 Optimizes offers, message, channel, product,
                  incentive, time-frame
   • Seamless integration with campaign planning
                 Marketer view (Portrait Dialogue)
                 Analyst view (Portrait Customer Analytics)




        INSIGHT              ACTION

Home
Portrait and Microsoft Dynamics CRM


Infusing Customer-centric Insight
into Microsoft Dynamics CRM
Dynamics CRM – Interaction History




        INSIGHT   ACTION

Home
   3
Outbound Messages
                       Received by
                    individual contacts
                 sent via Portrait Dialogue




       INSIGHT      ACTION

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The history of the Real-
                                                    time next-best-offer
                                                recommendations made to
                    Real-time next-best-offer    the Contact are listed for
                 recommendations are made as       the Rep’s reference
                 determined by rules & models
                       built in Interaction
                            Optimizer




       INSIGHT           ACTION

Home
Once presented to the Contact,
                        the Rep can assign a disposition
                      of Accept, Decline, or NoAction. The
                      Rep can also view the details of the
                          Campaign as set-up in CRM




       INSIGHT   ACTION

Home
Infuse Customer-centricity into Dynamics CRM




                                                       The applications
                                                       you use today




                                                       Made intelligent




                                                      Using your own data




        INSIGHT   ACTION

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Dynamics CRM and PCM - Architecture
        Overview
                                                                                              G
                                                                        Bran   Bran
                                                                                ch    A               D
                                 SharePoint Report Center                ch


                                                                          Branch          B       C




                                      Real-time
                                      Campaign
                                       History
                      Portrait
                                      Create
                      Dialogue         Task
                                                                     CORE CRM
                                                                     Core CRM
                                          Create
                                          Event




                                            CRM DB
                                   (Accounts, Contacts, Prospects)



       INSIGHT         ACTION

Home
           Slide 38

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Portrait uplift and optimizer deck

  • 1. Understand, Visualize and Predict Customer Behavior The CRM “Customer-centricity Chasm” Customer Interaction Hub Illustrated Demo Customer Case Study Snap Shot Market Leading Analyst Recognition INSIGHT ACTION Home
  • 2. Customer Analytics Maturity Model • Commence at any stage Real-time Decisioning • Benefit from a clear • Inbound contextual RTD ACTION roadmap to success • Adaptive learning Real-time Scoring • Eliminate customer lists, mass-scoring • Up to the second outbound selection accuracy Optimize Contacts • Analytically match customers with right offer, at right time, via right channel, balanced against business constraints Predict Uplift • Predict persuadability; eliminate sure things, lost causes, sleeping dogs INSIGHT • Reduce spend 40% while improving outcome 30-300% Understand & Predict Behavior • Predict and define ideal target customer segments • 3D visual customer data mining & automated modeling Explore Customers • Uncover areas of interest and opportunities to act • Ad hoc, thin-client customer data exploration for the business user (Underpinned by customer data access, generic BI & reporting tools) INSIGHT ACTION Home
  • 3. The CRM “Customer-centricity Chasm” DATA INCREMENTAL CRM CRM TOUCH POINTS Right message, right time Customer Profile Dialogue across touch points Optimize engagement “Line of sight” Transaction Infuse customer-specific insight into touch points Channel Lines of Business Understand past behavior Predict future needs “Hindsight” “Hindsight” “Foresight” “Foresight” What | Why | Next | Change Customer Preference INSIGHT ACTION Home
  • 4. Optimized Customized Customer Interactions Customer We sent you Customer completes an email Documents survey generated yesterday – and mailed do you have any Thank you for questions? updating your preferences! Offer acceptance feedback Ideal promo: survey Unlimited Please Text update Last day of Value your Unlimited reinforcement preferences Text - you saved $X promo this month Your Business The Results • Improved customer experience • Increased customer satisfaction and advocacy • Increased customer value, wallet share • Improved customer retention • Single source for customer preferences INSIGHT ACTION Home 4
  • 5. The CRM “Customer-centricity Chasm” Expectation Reality • We understand them • Product-centric campaigns • We value their business • Operationally focused • We deliver on our promises • Information & channel silos • We remember them • Independent business units • We strive for relevancy • Customer ad fatigue • We are connected • Limited capacity for engagement “What customers expect from us” “What we actually have” INSIGHT ACTION Home © 2011 Portrait Software - A Pitney Bowes Business Insight Company
  • 6. INSIGHT ACTION Home
  • 7. Optimizing Customer Interactions Mobile Web Kiosk / Email INTERACTIVE PROACTIVE ATM Mail IVR Contact Center “Outbound” “Inbound” Channels Channels INSIGHT ACTION Home
  • 8. The Portrait Suite Fulfill. Recommend. Orchestrate. Optimize. Predict. Understand. Explore. INSIGHT ACTION Home
  • 9. What’s it Worth? Financial Services Telecommunications Products held per 36% increase in churn reduction customer up by 50% Customer retention up >20% 20% reduction in churn Immediate increase in customer retention Incremental revenue up 327% Reduced marketing costs >DK100,000 PA Reduced marketing costs by >10% Churn decreased by 37.5% ROI from a single campaign Emerging Markets Increased revenue by $1.2M per month Insurance Customer retention up 300% Incremental revenue of £48M “Immediate increase in renewals” Profitability rose 10% Uplift doubles customer retention Revenue per customer 314% higher INSIGHT ACTION Home
  • 10. Home Information Quality Data Quality Tools Data Integration Tools INSIGHT DATA Predictive Analytics & Data ACTION Mining Customer Data Mining 5 Magic Gartner The ONLY Quadrants INSIGHT vendor on all DQ DI Cross-channel Comms Mgmt Multi-channel Comms Mgmt MCCM CCCM CDM STRATEGY Document Output Customer Service Contact Ctrs The ONLY vendor on all 4 Waves PBBI – Customer Communications Management IQ CCCM DOCCM PA/DM COMMUNICATION
  • 11. Forrester’s View of Inbound & Outbound CM Dialogue Customer Analytics Foundation Interaction Analytic Fulfillment Insight Interaction Optimizer INSIGHT ACTION Home
  • 12. Overview Case Study: Retention (Telecommunications Example) Case Study: Cross-sell (Financial Services Example) Case Study: Cross-sell (Retail Example) INSIGHT ACTION Home
  • 13. Portrait Uplift Predict the “persuadables” that will react to your marketing. Portrait Uplift empowers you to focus your marketing INSIGHT - PREDICT upon only those customers that will positively change behavior as result of your message. Benefits • Award winning solution – Predict change in • Eliminate behavior marketing waste  Predict which customers are Persuadables, while weeding out Sure Things, Lost Causes and • Reduce Sleeping Dogs. customer ad- • Spend your marketing funds only where it Uplift Segmentation fatigue, opt-out & will have an impact attrition  Boost impact by 30-300%  Reduce cost by 40% • Boost return on • Increase analytic bandwidth and throughput marketing  Automate Uplift modeling best practice investment  Build more accurate uplift models in a fraction of the time INSIGHT ACTION Home
  • 14. “Uplift analysis is a must-consider concept for every organization with significant campaign management activities”. Gareth Herschel, Gartner, “Predictive Modeling Now more than Ever”, Gartner Customer 360, March 2011 INSIGHT ACTION Home
  • 15. Uplift Segmentation for Retention Marketing If we target, customer will: Stay If we do nothing, customer will: Churn Stay Churn INSIGHT ACTION Home
  • 16. Uplift Segmentation for Cross-sell Marketing If we target, customer will: Buy If we do nothing, customer will: Not Buy Buy Not Buy INSIGHT ACTION Home
  • 17. Incremental Impact for Response Positive No impact Negative 120% impact impact 1 Persuadables: Only buy if treated Proportion of incremental effect 100% Put this money 2A Sure Things: 80% back into your Buy whether you marketing budget 2 treat or not 60% 1 2 3 2B Lost Causes: Won’t buy whether 40% you treat or not 3 Sleeping Dogs: 20% Buy unless you treat 0% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Proportion targeted INSIGHT ACTION Home 17
  • 18. Customer Case Studies Business Challenge: Targeting for customer churn campaigns but lower campaign costs The Telenor Group is currently ranked as one of the Benefits world’s largest mobile operators (in terms of subscriptions). Mobile subscriptions rank at 168 • Traditional targeting reduced churn by million worldwide with telecom operators in 13 5%, but with significant negative effects countries. • Uplift model reduced these significantly • Saving 40% of treatment costs Portrait Customer analytics assisted Telenor in delivering next generation targeting for customer • Further reducing churn to 6.8% retention (churn) campaigns Removing negative effects • Fully automated data build from Teradata thus decreasing both churn and campaign costs • Sun Solaris server • 3 m customers, > 300 variables Results Without Uplift improved Reduction in 36% Overall Churn With Uplift Introduction of first prediction Introduction of model refined 5% 6.8% 25 % prediction model 23 % 20 % 20 % 19 % 19 % 18 % 18 % 17 % annual defection rate 16 % Without Uplift 15 % 15 % 14 % 15 % 14 % 14 % 14 % 13 % 13 % Treated 13 % 12 % 12 % 11 % 11 % Volume 11 % 11 % 11 % Treated volume 10 % 10 % 10 % With Uplift reduced by 40% 9% 9% 8% 9% 5% 60% 100% 0% months 07 7 07 08 8 7 07 7 7 08 07 07 7 07 07 r.0 .0 .0 l. 0 t.0 .0 v. b. b. g. n. n. n. p. s. ar ar ai ju ap ok no fe fe ja ju ja au se de m m m Konkurrentchurn Eksternchurn INSIGHT ACTION Home
  • 19. Interactive Visual Insight Mobile subscribers and defection distributed across geographic regions in Norway Blue indicating high defection rate Green indicating low defection rate INSIGHT ACTION Home
  • 20. Dramatic Impact to Customer Retention Introduced churn model 25 % 23 % 20 % 20 % 19 % 19 % 18 % 18 % 17 % annual defection rate 16 % 15 % 15 % 15 % 14 % 14 % 14 % 14 % 13 % 13 12 % 11 11 % 10 % 10 % 5% 0% months 7 07 7 07 7 7 07 07 07 7 r.0 .0 l. 0 t.0 .0 v. b. g. n. n. p. ar ai ju ap ok no fe ja ju au se m m INSIGHT ACTION Home
  • 21. Typical Telco Retention Campaign Results Annual defection rate - Mobile retention campaign Yes - renewal 3.5 % Control group 33.0 % Reject - renewal 51.2 % 0% 10 % 20 % 30 % 40 % 50 % 60 % • Can we predict “save-ability” rather than churn risk? INSIGHT ACTION Home
  • 22. Uplift Business Case: a Double-win INSIGHT ACTION Home
  • 23. Dramatic Impact to Customer Retention Introduced churn model Introduced Uplift model 25 % 23 % 20 % 20 % 19 % 19 % 18 % 18 % annual defection rate 17 % 16 % 15 % 15 % 15 % 14 % 14 % 14 % 14 % 13 % 13 % 13 % 12 % 12 % 11 % 11 % 11 % 11 % 11 % 10 % 10 % 9% 10 % 9% 9% 8% 5% 0% months 07 7 07 08 8 7 07 7 7 08 07 07 07 07 7 r.0 .0 .0 l. 0 t.0 .0 v. b. b. g. n. n. n. p. s. ar ar ai ju ap ok no fe fe ja ju ja au se de m m m Konkurrentchurn Eksternchurn INSIGHT ACTION Home
  • 24. Customer Case Studies Business Challenge: Inability to target the customer with the most relevant message U.S. Bancorp (NYSE: USB), with $266 billion in assets, is the parent company of U.S. Bank, the 6th largest Benefits commercial bank in the United States.  Incremental revenue increased 327%  >$500K incremental revenue per campaign US Bank engaged Portrait Software and its team of experts  Reduced baseline cost from lower volume to produce and trial an Uplift model that had the ability to  189% increase in incremental response by generate data models which would lead to the incremental avoiding negative effects (downlift) performance and improved customer experience that US  Campaign ROI increased from 75% to 400% Bank was striving to achieve. in 5 years  Increased incremental cross-sell revenue by more than 300% $1,000,000 1000% $900,000 900% $800,000 800% $700,000 700% Net Income $600,000 600% RoI $500,000 500% $400,000 400% $300,000 300% $200,000 200% $100,000 100% $- 0% Decile by uplift score INSIGHT ACTION Home
  • 25. Highlights: Location-data Integration Business Challenge: Find more cost-effective ways to acquire new DDA customers using direct mail U.S. Bancorp (NYSE: USB), with $266 billion in assets, is the parent company of U.S. Bank, the 6th largest : Location Enhanced commercial bank in the United States. Benefits  Turned around campaign from loss to profit US Bank use direct mail to entire postal routes to acquire  91% increase in incremental revenue new DDA customers, but low response rates and lift versus  Generate additional $300K per campaign control made even their best targeting models unprofitable.  Can either reduce volume with same net adds, Portrait Uplift delivered more effective targeting models using or achieve more net new DDAs with same volume existing data, and achieved campaign profitability by enhancing with new location-based attributes such as local product penetration rates and nearest branch drive time. Incremental Revenue ($’000s) +91% Break-even Location-enhanced +41% Uplift Model Portrait Uplift Model Previous champio n INSIGHT ACTION Home
  • 26. Customer Case Study: Uplift in Retail Business Challenge: Improve incremental revenue from monthly consumer catalog mailings Fortune 50 company with $60B+ annual revenues that sells about 140K PCs / day. It has nearly 2B customer interactions per year, including about 15M direct mail catalogs per month. Benefits Increased revenue by $1.2M/month at existing mailing Portrait was challenged to develop an Uplift model to volumes, or $2.5M/month with more focused targeting increase the incremental revenue delivered by monthly  Validated in blind trial and now in market, with software catalog mailings compared to existing response and and services hosted by this company’s MSP value based targeting.  Demonstrated applicability to individualized email versioning, with $250K additional revenue in a small test Uplift model delivers $2.5M more revenue ($500K more profit) INSIGHT ACTION Home 26
  • 27. Example reduced monthly mailing volume In-house Model Uplift model delivers incremental lift by 88% over existing model Example Reduced Targeting ~30% of mailable universe INSIGHT ACTION Home
  • 28. August Mailing Results August Uplift Results 300% 250% Incremental Revenue Index 200% 150% 100% 50% 0% 1 2 3 4 5 Quintile The actual mailing for the Development audience produced $612K incremental revenue at full volumes, but would have done over $1.3M at the recommended 40%, and over $3.1M over no mail INSIGHT ACTION Home
  • 29. Portrait Optimizer Allocate your marketing for maximum impact & mutual benefit. Portrait Optimizer is a contact optimization solution that INSIGHT - OPTIMIZE can optimally allocate your marketing spend where it will have the greatest impact, across campaigns and customers, for utmost ROI. Benefits • Optimize • Analytically weighs your business’ constraints vs. expected benefit marketing ROI to determine the right mix of offers & channels for individual customers • Eliminate • Improves customer-centricity while enforcing Achieve Contact marketing waste constraints, and improving financial outcome Optimization  Constraints include eligibility, quantity & value Best Practice • Boost relevancy  Considers preferences, propensity & persuadability • Flexible framework • Reduce  Optimize offers, message, channel, product, incentive, customer ad- time frame and more fatigue & • Dual interface opt-out  Foster alignment across marketers and analyst teams INSIGHT ACTION Home
  • 30. How does Offer Optimization Work? THIS GOES IN THIS COMES OUT For Each For Each Offer Customer • The right offers… • Allocated to the right customers… • To maximize overall impact. … while satisfying all the constraints. INSIGHT ACTION Home
  • 31. Highlights: Contact Optimization • Maximize return from direct marketing with business constraints  Eligibility, quantity and financial constraints  Includes customer preferences, propensities and “persuadability”  Increases customer-centricity • Broad optimization framework  Optimizes offers, message, channel, product, incentive, time-frame • Seamless integration with campaign planning  Marketer view (Portrait Dialogue)  Analyst view (Portrait Customer Analytics) INSIGHT ACTION Home
  • 32. Portrait and Microsoft Dynamics CRM Infusing Customer-centric Insight into Microsoft Dynamics CRM
  • 33. Dynamics CRM – Interaction History INSIGHT ACTION Home 3
  • 34. Outbound Messages Received by individual contacts sent via Portrait Dialogue INSIGHT ACTION Home
  • 35. The history of the Real- time next-best-offer recommendations made to Real-time next-best-offer the Contact are listed for recommendations are made as the Rep’s reference determined by rules & models built in Interaction Optimizer INSIGHT ACTION Home
  • 36. Once presented to the Contact, the Rep can assign a disposition of Accept, Decline, or NoAction. The Rep can also view the details of the Campaign as set-up in CRM INSIGHT ACTION Home
  • 37. Infuse Customer-centricity into Dynamics CRM The applications you use today Made intelligent Using your own data INSIGHT ACTION Home
  • 38. Dynamics CRM and PCM - Architecture Overview G Bran Bran ch A D SharePoint Report Center ch Branch B C Real-time Campaign History Portrait Create Dialogue Task CORE CRM Core CRM Create Event CRM DB (Accounts, Contacts, Prospects) INSIGHT ACTION Home Slide 38