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SOURCES OF EMISSIONS
 FROM AUTOMOBILES &
  EFFECTS ON HEALTH


      Dr. K. C . Vor a
       Dy Director & Head
        ARAI Academy,
          ARAI, Pune
Guess, What is this?
Red Blood Cells Exposed to Particles


    1 µm particles          0.078 µm particles




  Smaller Particles are More Dangerous
Air Quality in Asian Cities is an Issue




                         (Riverside, in California)
Mobility

Mobility – Movement of people & Material for their Living

Mobility – Essential part of Society- One cannot leave it

Mobility – In the present form leads following issues
           • Congestion
           • Inadequate Infrastructure
           • Noise & Pollution
           • Dependence on Non- Renewable Resources
Why Sustainable Mobility ?
    Maintaining the capability to provide non-declining
                   accessibility in time

Sustainable Mobility to Add

• Economic Growth                - Profit
• Environment Improvement         - Planet
• Social Progress                   - People



       3P   >   Bottom of Pyramid to Sustainability
Global Challenges                                Requirements for Vehicle
      FACTS               CONSEQUENCES LEGISLATION                                   CUSTOMER
 Increasing world                Development of new        Consumption              Manufacturing cost
    population                      technologies
                                                                                              Driving
                                                            Safety                            pleasure
  Increasing                          Efficient use of
energy demand                              energy                                              Operating
                                                         Emissions                               cost
 Limited energy                       Use of all
    supplies                        energy carriers          Noise                           Sound

     Environmental             Use of environment                    Recycling   Resources
  effects of energy use      protecting technologies
                                                                          ENVIRONMENT

                                                Main Focus


                          Reduction in Resource Consumption
                             Reduction of CO 2 Emission
World                                World CO2
               Mobility                             Emission

                                                    World
                                                    Population



                                                    Crude
                                                    Availability




1950   2000                      2050
              Source: ASPO 2004, Solcomhpouse.com
Factors contributing to Sustainable Mobility
9,000,000
8,000,000Motor         vehicle production in India
                        CV's
                        Cars+MUV
7,000,000
                        3W
6,000,000
                        2W
5,000,000
4,000,000
3,000,000
2,000,000
1,000,000
        0
       1



                    7

                           0

                                  3

                                         6



                                                       2

                                                              5



                                                                              1

                                                                                    4
             4




                                                9




                                                                     8



                                                                                  -0
     -7

           -7

                  -7

                         -8

                                -8

                                       -8

                                              -8

                                                     -9

                                                            -9

                                                                   -9

                                                                            -0
                                                                                 03
    70

           73

                  76

                         79

                                82

                                       85

                                              88

                                                     91

                                                            94

                                                                   97

                                                                          00
  19



                19

                       19



                                     19



                                                   19

                                                          19



                                                                        20

                                                                               20
         19




                              19



                                            19




                                                                 19
                                                            * Source SIAM
2 Wheeler Production Scenario in India

               12,000,000
               10,000,000
Total Number




                8,000,000
                6,000,000

                4,000,000
                2,000,000
                         0
                               2002-03     2003-04     2004-05     2005-06      2006-07     2007-08     2008-09      2000-10

               Tw o Wheelers   5,076,221   5,622,741   6,529,829   7,608,697    8,466,666   8,026,681   8,418,626   10,512,889

                                                                             Year



                   Total 2 wheeler population in India ≈ 91,415,534

                   Sources: MoRTH & SIAM website
India’s Vehicle Population is Accelerating.…


                   80

                   70

                   60
Units (Millions)




                   50                                                        HDV
                                                                             LCV
                   40
                                                                             Pass Cars
                   30                                                        Motorcycles/Others
                   20

                   10

                   0
                                     2004E                           2009P
                        Estimates based on Global Insight (August 2004)
THE EARLY DAYS OF AIR POLLUTION
What
Causes      Stationary
              Sources
                               Mobile
                                Sources
Air         • Combustion of    • Highway vehicles: cars,
               fuels for power    trucks, buses and
Pollution      and heat           motorcycles
            • Other burning    • Off-highway vehicles
Today?         such as
               incineration or
                                  such as aircraft, boats,
                                  locomotives, farm
               forest fires       equipment, RVs,
                                  construction
            •Industrial/          machinery and lawn
               commercial         mowers
               processes
            • Solvents and
               aerosols
Stationary
                 Mobile Sources      Sources
The
Extent     CO
of
Air       VOCs
Polluti    NOx
on           SO2
             PM10
Today               Lead
                           Overall, 54 million metric
                           tons from mobile sources
                           in 1990 (43% of total)
TOTAL EMISSION IN PERCENT BY
WEIGHT
                                       Vehicel Tr affic

                                       Pow er Gener at ion
      15.5%
                20.1%                  Ot her Sour ces

                                       I ndust r y

                                       Dom est ic Em issions
    19.1%


                 37.0%
     8.4%



              Source : Emissions protection report issued by government
Source Apportionment of PM10 Emissions
              in Mumbai City

             7%
      0%               19%
11%
                               Auto Exhaust


                               Resuspended Dust

9%                             Industries

                               Marine

                               Other Minor Sources

                               Other Major Sources




                   54%
                                        Source: NEERI
Source: OICA
Today's Air     Real Fuel




The
Combusti
on
Process                           Pollutants:
                                  Unburned
           Exhaust:                 Hydrocarbons
           • Nitrogen             Carbon Monoxide
(actual)   • Water (steam)        Oxides of
                                    Nitrogen
           • Carbon Dioxide
           • Pollutants           Other elements
                                    or compounds
Refueling    Evaporative
              Losses       Emissions
The
Motor
Vehicle as
a Source
of Air
Pollution
               Exhaust    Crankcase
              Emissions    Losses,
                             etc.
MAJOR VEHICLE/FUEL
EMISSIONS
AN EARLY 1904 CARTON
EFFECTS OF POLLUTANTS
   Different Pollutants have Different Effects:

       Carbon Monoxide - circulatory system, heart
       VOCs - URTI, global warming.
       NOx - lungs, global warming, acid rain.
       Ozone - respiratory system, lungs
       Lead - nervous system, brain
       PM - lung, potential effects on heart
       Diesel, Air Toxics - cancer, respiratory effects
       There are potential effects of the Mixture
       Carbon Dioxide & Carbon Particles - climate
        change
HEALTH EFFECTS

   Some Populations more sensitive than others
    •   Children
    •   Elderly
    •   people with heart and lung disease

   Asthma is growing
    •   150 million asthmatics worldwide
    •   Increasing in most countries (2% to 5% per year)
    •   Asthmatics much more sensitive to air pollution

                                      Source: Health Effects Institute
Health effects of Air
          Premature mortality due to air pollution, Pollution : India
          by region of the world               India projected to
          (Projected Annual Averages for 2001-2020)
                                                                                                                                                                 suffer nearly one
1000                                                                                                                                                             million premature
                                          Premature Deaths thousands per year
    900                                                                                                                                                          deaths per year due to
    800                                                                             950
                                                                                                                                                                 air pollution (ambient
    700
    600
                                                                                                                                                                 and indoor), with
    500                                                                                                                                                          children most affected.
    400
    300
    200                                                                                                                                                         India is major source
    100                                                                                                                                                          of global PM, NOx and
     0
                                                                                                                                                                 mercury emissions—
                                                                                            Latin America &
                      East Asia-Pacific




                                                                                                                                         SubSaharan Africa
              China




                                                                                                                            South Asia
                                            Established Market


                                                                 Former Socialist




                                                                                                              Middle East
                                                                                    India




                                                                                                               Crescent
                                                                   Economies




                                                                                               Caribbean
                                                Economies




                                                                                                                                                                 contributor to
•         Source: World Bank, Health and Environment, Strategy Series Number                                                                                     “Atmospheric Brown
          1, October 2001
                                                                                                                                                                 Cloud” over Indian
                                                                                                                                                                 Ocean
CARBON MONOXIDE
           EFFECTS
   Odorless, colourless & poisonous gas.
   Caused by incomplete combustion of fuel and air
   Most of it comes from motor vehicles
   CO causes dizziness & vomiting sensation.
   CO reacts with Hb (haemoglobin) in blood to give carboxy-
    haemoglobin (CO Hb) which makes Hb unavailable for O2
    transport, thus blocking transport of oxygen to heart and
    brain
   Affects mental functions & visibility more severely even at
    low levels
   Accelerates angina (chest pain) coronary artery disease
   Known to cause death at high levels of exposure
TOXICITY OF CARBON
MONOXIDE
VOLATILE ORGANIC COMPOUNDS
(VOCS) EFFECTS
• General term for a wide range of hydrocarbon compounds


• VOCs result from combustion processes and evaporation of

  gasoline vapors, solvents, etc.


• They contribute to Global Warming


It leads to cold, cough & upper respiratory track infection


• Carcinogenic effects on lung tissues.
NOx EFFECTS
• NO reacts with atmospheric O2 and produce NO2, which is an
  insidious poisonous reddish brown gas.

• NOx results from high temperature combustion processes, e.g.
   cars and utilities

- Reacts with moisture in lungs to form Nitric acid.

- Affects respiratory systems causing bronchitis, pneumonia and
  lung inflections.
- Visibility reduction.
- Contribute to acid rain.

• They play a major role in atmospheric reactions

• Overall levels unchanged but transportation sources are cleaner
Photochemical smog reactants
        emitted by automobiles:
•   hydrocarbons (HC)

    evaporative losses (from the fuel system)

    incomplete combustion

• oxides of nitrogen (NOx)

    high-temperature (∼ 2000 K) combustion in air
HOW SMOG IS FORMED ?




Note : This ozone should not be confused with the layer of ozone in the upper
      atmosphere, which helps shielding us from ultraviolet light.
                                                             (Courtesy U.S.E.P.A.)
OZONE HEALTH EFFECTS
VOCs react with NOX in presence of sunlight and form Ozone leading
  to photochemical smog leading to :
- Visibility reduction.
 - Watering and irritation of eyes.
    - ENT irritation.
    - Respiratory problems.
 - Chemical damage to rubber, clothing, paint and exposed surfaces.


 - Damage to crops.
The ozone problem is the one affecting the most people today:
     Known to cause inflammation in respiratory tract
     Reduces ability to breathe (lung function) for some people
     Increases hospitalization for asthma, other lung diseases
     Effects have been demonstrated for short term, long term effects are less
      certain , some people appear to develop “tolerance”
LEAD HEALTH EFFECTS
   Long known as one of the worst toxics in common use
   Emitted from gasoline additives, battery factories and non-
    ferrous smelters
    Affects various organs and can cause sterility and
    neurological impairment, e.g. retardation and behavioral
    disorders
   Infants and children especially susceptible
   Control of mobile sources has been exceptionally
    successful
   At low doses, lead is associated with
     • nerve damage in fetuses and infants
     • learning deficits
     • lowered Intelligence Quota (IQ)
     Excessive exposure can severely damage nervous system
• This term is used for a
            number of compounds
            containing sulfur

Sulfur   • Primarily caused by burning
            of coal, oil and various
Dioxid      industrial processes
         • They can affect the
e           respiratory system
(SO2)    • They react in the atmosphere
            to form acids, sulfates and
            sulfites
         • Substantial reductions due to
            controls at the sources and
            through use of low sulfur
            fuels
• Carbon dioxide
            • Chlorofluorocarbons
Other       • Formaldehyde
Air         • Benzene
Pollutant
            • Asbestos
s
            • Manganese
            • Dioxins
            • Cadmium
            • Still others which are yet to
               be fully characterized
AIR TOXICS HEALTH
    EFFECTS
   Benzene                    • 1,3 Butadiene
      levels of exposure a        a product of
       function of how much          combustion
       benzene, aromatics in       vehicles the major
       the fuel                      environmental
                                     source
      a “known human a
                                   a “probable” or
       carcinogen”
                                    “known” human
      studies in U.S. and
                                     carcinogen
       Chinese workers have        studies in laboratory
       shown link between            animals and US and
       exposure and                  Czech workers have
       increased leukemia            shown effects
                                           Source: Health Effects Institute
AIR TOXICS HEALTH
     EFFECTS II
   Aldehydes                     PAHs
     • emitted from vehicles       • polycyclic aromatic
       and other sources; also       Hydrocarbons
       formed in the air           • many different toxic
     • Many different
                                     compounds
                                   • known or probable
       aldehydes
                                     carcinogens
       (acetaldehyde,
                                   • Much higher levels
       formaldehyde, others)
                                     from “high emitters”
     • most are probable
                                   • maintained vehicles
       human carcinogens             = lower emissions
     • also can be nose and
       respiratory irritants

                                      Source: Health Effects Institute
• PM10 is a general term for tiny
                airborne particles (under ten
                microns), e.g., dust, soot,

Particulat
                smoke
             • Primary sources are fuel-burning
e               plants and other industrial/
                commercial processes
Matter       • Some are formed in the air

(PM10)       • They irritate the respiratory
                system and may also carry
                metals, sulfates, nitrates, etc.
             • Some overall decreases seen but
                trends may be masked by
                meteorological changes
PM HEALTH EFFECTS
   High levels of PM (e.g. 500 ug /m3) known to
    cause premature death
       e.g. London 1952

   Recent studies in US, Europe, Asia, South
    America have found association of PM with
    death at much lower levels
       no evidence of a “threshold” (safe level)

   To date, a plausible biological mechanism for
    these effects has not been found
                                            Source: Health Effects Institute
PM HEALTH EFFECTS–INDIA & THAILAND
Source: Chhabra 2001, Pande 2001, Vichit-Vadakan 2001




                                            Source: Health Effects Institute
PM HEALTH EFFECTS
   Recent Re-analyses by HEI have generally confirmed
    the results of key studies
   WHO, EPA and others have estimated effects on
    mortality
   WHO analysis (Lancet, 2000) estimated 20,000 annual
    deaths due to traffic pollution in 3 countries ( (France,
    Austria & Switzerland)
       New WHO global estimate underway
   Much work underway to understand effects of PM
    “components” (e.g. ultrafines, metals, chemicals on
    particles)
DIESEL HEALTH EFFECTS
   Diesel engines have substantial advantages
    •   higher fuel efficiency
    •   lower CO and CO2 emissions

   However, they also emit high levels of :
    •   particulate matter, NOx, and chemicals attached
        particulate matter,(e.g. PAHs)

   Two major types of health effects :
    •   acute effects (e.g. exacerbating asthma)
    •   cancer effects

                                        Source: Health Effects Institute
DIESEL RISK ASSESSMENT
    TODAY
   Many Agencies have reviewed
    •   Most (WHO, IARC, US) have concluded diesel a
        “probable human carcinogen”

    •   California calculated unit risk per 1 ug /m3 of
        exposure:
         • 3 excess cancer deaths in 10,000 people (3x10 -4)


    •   US EPA 2000 draft risk assessment :
         • A range of risk (10-3 to 10-5)



                                         Source: Health Effects Institute
SMALLER PARTICLES ARE MORE
DANGEROUS
Red Blood Cells Exposed to Particles

       1 µm particles                  0.078 µm particles
DEPTH OF LUNG PENETRATION
OF COARSE & FINE PARTICLE
                                     PRESEPARATOR ( 10 µm
                                     and above)

                                     Stage 0 (9.0 µm – 10.0 µm )




                                                                  COARSE
                                     Stage 1 (5.8 µm – 9.0 µm )
                         Pharynx     Stage 2 (4.7 µm – 5.8 µm )

         Trachea & primary bronchi   Stage 3 (3.3 µm – 4.7µm )

              Secondary bronchi      Stage 4 (2.1µm – 3.3 µm )
              Terminal bronchi       Stage 5 (1.1 µm – 2.1µm )
              Alveoli                Stage 6 (0.65 µm – 1.1µm)




                                                                  FINE
              Alveoli                Stage 7 (0.43 µm – 0.65 µm )
                                     Stage 8 (0.003 µm- 0.43 µm)
POTENTIAL CONTRIBUTION OF
    PM      FROM S.I. ENGINES
•   Nano particles below 50 nm Dia. penetrate deep into the
    interstitial tissue of the lung, causing respiratory
    inflammation and pulmonary toxicity. Particles which
    are not toxic in micron sizes may be toxic as nano
    particles.
•   S.I. Engines have lower particulate mass & number
    compared to C.I. Engines. However, since number of
    S.I. Engines exceed C.I. Engines, S.I. Engines have high
    potential to contribute particulate emission inventory,
    especially from the 2-wheelers.
•   PM from S.I. Engines are more due to oil and not due to
    fuel. Hence, called as O–PM, G-PM or EM (Emitted
    Matter)
HEALTH EFFECTS OF
NANOPARTICLES
• Origin of inflammatory processes

• Functional impairment of the lung

• Increased risk of heart attack

• Systemic effects in the whole body via the
 blood

• Carcinogenic effects

• Increase in sudden deaths
Composition of Exhaust gas from Gasoline-engine during
operation at lambda = 1

   Misc (Noble                               Nitrous Oxide
  gases, oxygen,                                  (NOx)
    hydorgen       Water (H2O)                     0.1%
       0.7%          13.1%                      Hydro
                           Carbon Dioxide    carbons (HC)
                               (CO2)             0.2%
                               13.7%
                                             Particulates
                                               0.005%

                               Pollutants
                                              Carbon
                                            Monoxide(CO)
                                                0.7%



  Nitrogen (N2)
      71.5%
What is greenhouse effect?
   The Greenhouse Effect is an extremely vital
    process where INFRARED (IR) rays from the
    sun come into the Earth atmosphere. The
    atmosphere then traps these rays after they
    have come in (like the glass in a greenhouse)
    keeping the Earth warm. CO2 (carbon
    dioxide), NO(nitrous oxide), and
    CH4(methane) are destroying the
    atmosphere,
   causing more INFRARED (IR) rays to reflect
    on Earth.
Problems with greenhouse
effect.
   Having more infrared rays reflected on
    Earth makes the Earth warmer. As
    temperatures on Earth rise, so does the
    ocean water level and the ice caps begin
    to melt. The worst possible problem
    would be mass flooding in low lying areas
    of the Earth including many islands in the
    ocean which would basically disappear.
Cause of greenhouse effect
--population growth

    These advances
     are causing the
     world's population
     to double at a
     much faster rate
     than ever before.
 . Today, the world's population is
  doubling in 35 to 40 year.
 As the human population grows,
  pollution from human activity also
  increases. Many activities--such as
  driving automobiles, farming,
  manufacturing are causing much
  pollutants.
EFFECTS ON CLIMATE CHANGE
   Transport a significant contributor;
       More than 30% of CO2

   Growing evidence that        carbon    soot         also        a
    significant contributor
       absorbs sun and heat
       diesel a major source

   Transport contribution likely to grow with rapid
    motorization.


                                           Source: Health Effects Institute
Air Quality Concerns : India
     India is the sixth largest and second fastest growing emitter
      of Green House Gases (GHGs)

Annual Black Carbon Emissions                      in 106 kg/year/1ox1o grid




                                                                  Source: USEPA
SECTORIAL COMPARISON OF COS
/ EFFICIENCY (EUROPE, UE 15)
CO 2 EMISSION
A look At Per Capita Consumption
TRENDS IN CO 2 EMISSIONS
From Energy use in the Leading
Automotive Markets (World), 2002
KEY TO EARLIER SLIDE
  • Size of the bubble is determined by the total CO2 emissions from
    energy use in different sectors of the respective nations. The
    bigger the size of the bubble, the greater the CO2 emisions from
    a country.
  • Includes the CO2 emissions from energy use in different sectors
    and the trasportation sector is one of the major constituents of
    this segment for the year 2002.
  • Motor vehicle penetration is per 1,000 people for the year 2002.
  • Percent share refers to the individual share of a country in the
    total global demand for motor vehicels in 2002.

The transportation sector accounts for 30.0 % of CO2 emissions in the
industrialized economics of the OECD (Organization for Economic
Cooperation and Development) and about 20.0 % worldwide.
                                        Source : OECD, IMF and Frost & Sullivan
GLOBAL CARBON DIOXIDE
      EMISSION
Agreement with EU and ACEA on Fleet Average
220

210

200
      ACEA Fleet Average till 1995
190

180                     185
170
      ACEA                             165
160   140 g/km in 2008
150    25 % reduction from 1995

140   Target in 2003                              140
      165-170 g/km- M1 Vehicles
130

120   Target in 2012                                        120
      120 g/km
110

100
  1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
RECENT CARBON CONTENT INITIATIVES
      (WORLD), 2005-15
 Country /                                  Initiatives
  Region
EU             • Voluntary commitment from the automotive industry to reduce CO2
                 emissions in passenger cars by 25.0 percent relative to 1995 levels
                 by 2008.
               • Emission rates are expected to be brought down to a level of 140 g
                 CO2 / km traveled (or 39 mpg)
               • Depending on early progress, ACEA (European Automobile
                 Manufactures Association) may extend the target to 120 g CO 2 / km
                 (or 46 mpg) by 2012
Japan          • Fuel economy improvements in passenger cars to the extent of 23.0
                 % relative to 1995 levels by 2010
               • Specific targets vary with vehicle weight but extend to 125 g CO 2 /
                 km (or 44 mpg)
Canada         • The government has proposed a target for improving vehicle fuel
                 efficiency by 25.0 % by 2010
Australia      • Voluntary commitment to improve fuel economy by 18.0 % by 2010
United         • California Air Resources Board (CARB) intends to bring down the
States           GHG emissions from the light-duty vehicle fleet by 17.0% in 2020
(California)     and by 25.0% in 2030
CO 2 Reduction Time Table &
            Target
    ACEA – Agreement signed with EC in 1998 for CO2 targets.
           2003 Intermediate target range – 165 ~ 170 g/km
           2008 target – 140 g/km
           2012 target – 120 g/km
        
   JAMA Agreement with EC
        2003 Intermediate target range – 165 ~ 175 g/km
        2009 target – 140 g/km
        2015 target – 125 g/km


   KAMA Agreement with EC
        2004 Intermediate target range – 165 ~ 175 g/km
        2009 target – 140 g/km.


   New Target Proposed in 2007 in European Parliament
         Year 2015 – 125g CO2/km
         Year 2020 – 95 g CO2/km
         Year 2025 – 70g CO2/km
Global Review
   Europe & Japan continue to lead the world with the most
    stringent passenger vehicle GHG & FE standards.
   Japan standards are expected to lead to the lowest fleet
    average GHG emissions in the world (125g CO2/km by
    2015).
   California passenger vehicle regulations are expected to
    achieve the greatest overall reduction in GHG emission in
    the world.
   U.S. passenger vehicle standards continue to lag behind
    other nations but could move ahead of Canada, Australia,
    South Korea, & California by 2020 with passage of U.S.
    senate bill.
   South Korea is the only nation in the world with standard in
    place that is expected to have rising GHG emissions from
    passenger vehicles.
CO2 emissions VS engine type
POTENTIAL FOR REDUCING
GHGS
From Vehicles Technology / Biofuels /
Mobility
CO 2 EMISSIONS
Conventional & Alternative
Technology
Well-to-Tank                            Tank-to-Wheels
                Generation           Transmission   31%      Plug-to-Wheels      23%
                   33%                   94%                       76%




                               31%                                     76%          = 23%




                  Refining       Transmission             Pump-to-Wheels
                    82%              98%                       16%            13%
                                                    80%
Source: http://www.nesea.org   80%                                         16%         = 13%
WELL TO WHEEL CARBON EMISSIONS


                                  3

Fuel Cell (H2 from Renewable Resources)
                                                                         48

   Fuel Cell (H2 from Natural Resources)
                                                                                  55
                    Fuel Cell (Gasoline)

                                                              40
                          Diesel Hybrid

                       Gasoline Hybrid                                  48


                       Advanced Diesel                                            55


                Advanced Gasoline ICE
                                                                                                 70

                      Conventional ICE                                                                          100


                                           0   10   20   30        40        50        60   70        80   90   100
DEVELOPMENT OF LOW
CARBON TECHNOLOGIES
(WORLD), 2005-15
Today             Tomorrow

                         Hydrogen Technology


                          Hybrid / EV Technology


                             Alternative Fuels


            Improvement of Conventional Fuels


        Conventional Veh. Technology for higer Fuel Eff.
Automotive Industry              Fuel Industry
 Improve Fuel Efficiency        Environmentally
   Reduce Emissions              friendly fuels
Alternative drive systems




      Customer                    Regulators
     Fuel-saving              Relevant framework
    ways of driving         Appropriate infrastructure
Need for an Integrated
Approach
Involving All Stakeholders
NEED FOR PUBLIC ie. FISCAL
EFFORTS
LOOKING AHEAD:
    TRENDS AND POSSIBILITIES FOR
    CONTROL
   In reducing the health effects from vehicle
    emissions, one fact is clear:
       Even if the emissions from each vehicle and its
        fuel are reduced,,
       the use of vehicles will increase,
       vehicles will age and need maintenance..
       This can offset, in whole or in part, the pollution
        reductions and health benefits if careful planning
        is not done
CONCLUSIONS
 Vehicle effects on health result from both engine emissions
  and fuel
 In general, as economies develop, vehicles will contribute
  25% to 40 % of most pollutants
   more for some pollutants and in urban settings
 There are a variety of health effects caused by vehicle
  emissions, including cancer, premature death, and increased
  hospitalization
 Also a significant contributor to climate change
 With increasing travel, health effects will only be reduced with
  continual improvement in fuels, emissions controls, and
  better maintenance
 Introduction of Environment Friendly Technologies like Fuel
  Cells, Electric/Electric-Hybrid
 Use of renewable fuels for toxic and Green House Gas
  Emission Control
Thank You
….

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Dr. vora ppt chapter 1 emission sources

  • 1. SOURCES OF EMISSIONS FROM AUTOMOBILES & EFFECTS ON HEALTH Dr. K. C . Vor a Dy Director & Head ARAI Academy, ARAI, Pune
  • 3. Red Blood Cells Exposed to Particles 1 µm particles 0.078 µm particles Smaller Particles are More Dangerous
  • 4. Air Quality in Asian Cities is an Issue (Riverside, in California)
  • 5. Mobility Mobility – Movement of people & Material for their Living Mobility – Essential part of Society- One cannot leave it Mobility – In the present form leads following issues • Congestion • Inadequate Infrastructure • Noise & Pollution • Dependence on Non- Renewable Resources
  • 6. Why Sustainable Mobility ? Maintaining the capability to provide non-declining accessibility in time Sustainable Mobility to Add • Economic Growth - Profit • Environment Improvement - Planet • Social Progress - People 3P > Bottom of Pyramid to Sustainability
  • 7. Global Challenges Requirements for Vehicle FACTS CONSEQUENCES LEGISLATION CUSTOMER Increasing world Development of new Consumption Manufacturing cost population technologies Driving Safety pleasure Increasing Efficient use of energy demand energy Operating Emissions cost Limited energy Use of all supplies energy carriers Noise Sound Environmental Use of environment Recycling Resources effects of energy use protecting technologies ENVIRONMENT Main Focus Reduction in Resource Consumption Reduction of CO 2 Emission
  • 8. World World CO2 Mobility Emission World Population Crude Availability 1950 2000 2050 Source: ASPO 2004, Solcomhpouse.com
  • 9. Factors contributing to Sustainable Mobility
  • 10. 9,000,000 8,000,000Motor vehicle production in India CV's Cars+MUV 7,000,000 3W 6,000,000 2W 5,000,000 4,000,000 3,000,000 2,000,000 1,000,000 0 1 7 0 3 6 2 5 1 4 4 9 8 -0 -7 -7 -7 -8 -8 -8 -8 -9 -9 -9 -0 03 70 73 76 79 82 85 88 91 94 97 00 19 19 19 19 19 19 20 20 19 19 19 19 * Source SIAM
  • 11. 2 Wheeler Production Scenario in India 12,000,000 10,000,000 Total Number 8,000,000 6,000,000 4,000,000 2,000,000 0 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2000-10 Tw o Wheelers 5,076,221 5,622,741 6,529,829 7,608,697 8,466,666 8,026,681 8,418,626 10,512,889 Year Total 2 wheeler population in India ≈ 91,415,534 Sources: MoRTH & SIAM website
  • 12. India’s Vehicle Population is Accelerating.… 80 70 60 Units (Millions) 50 HDV LCV 40 Pass Cars 30 Motorcycles/Others 20 10 0 2004E 2009P Estimates based on Global Insight (August 2004)
  • 13. THE EARLY DAYS OF AIR POLLUTION
  • 14. What Causes Stationary Sources Mobile Sources Air • Combustion of • Highway vehicles: cars, fuels for power trucks, buses and Pollution and heat motorcycles • Other burning • Off-highway vehicles Today? such as incineration or such as aircraft, boats, locomotives, farm forest fires equipment, RVs, construction •Industrial/ machinery and lawn commercial mowers processes • Solvents and aerosols
  • 15. Stationary Mobile Sources Sources The Extent CO of Air VOCs Polluti NOx on SO2 PM10 Today Lead Overall, 54 million metric tons from mobile sources in 1990 (43% of total)
  • 16. TOTAL EMISSION IN PERCENT BY WEIGHT Vehicel Tr affic Pow er Gener at ion 15.5% 20.1% Ot her Sour ces I ndust r y Dom est ic Em issions 19.1% 37.0% 8.4% Source : Emissions protection report issued by government
  • 17. Source Apportionment of PM10 Emissions in Mumbai City 7% 0% 19% 11% Auto Exhaust Resuspended Dust 9% Industries Marine Other Minor Sources Other Major Sources 54% Source: NEERI
  • 19. Today's Air Real Fuel The Combusti on Process Pollutants: Unburned Exhaust: Hydrocarbons • Nitrogen Carbon Monoxide (actual) • Water (steam) Oxides of Nitrogen • Carbon Dioxide • Pollutants Other elements or compounds
  • 20. Refueling Evaporative Losses Emissions The Motor Vehicle as a Source of Air Pollution Exhaust Crankcase Emissions Losses, etc.
  • 22. AN EARLY 1904 CARTON
  • 23. EFFECTS OF POLLUTANTS  Different Pollutants have Different Effects:  Carbon Monoxide - circulatory system, heart  VOCs - URTI, global warming.  NOx - lungs, global warming, acid rain.  Ozone - respiratory system, lungs  Lead - nervous system, brain  PM - lung, potential effects on heart  Diesel, Air Toxics - cancer, respiratory effects  There are potential effects of the Mixture  Carbon Dioxide & Carbon Particles - climate change
  • 24. HEALTH EFFECTS  Some Populations more sensitive than others • Children • Elderly • people with heart and lung disease  Asthma is growing • 150 million asthmatics worldwide • Increasing in most countries (2% to 5% per year) • Asthmatics much more sensitive to air pollution Source: Health Effects Institute
  • 25. Health effects of Air Premature mortality due to air pollution, Pollution : India by region of the world  India projected to (Projected Annual Averages for 2001-2020) suffer nearly one 1000 million premature Premature Deaths thousands per year 900 deaths per year due to 800 950 air pollution (ambient 700 600 and indoor), with 500 children most affected. 400 300 200  India is major source 100 of global PM, NOx and 0 mercury emissions— Latin America & East Asia-Pacific SubSaharan Africa China South Asia Established Market Former Socialist Middle East India Crescent Economies Caribbean Economies contributor to • Source: World Bank, Health and Environment, Strategy Series Number “Atmospheric Brown 1, October 2001 Cloud” over Indian Ocean
  • 26. CARBON MONOXIDE EFFECTS  Odorless, colourless & poisonous gas.  Caused by incomplete combustion of fuel and air  Most of it comes from motor vehicles  CO causes dizziness & vomiting sensation.  CO reacts with Hb (haemoglobin) in blood to give carboxy- haemoglobin (CO Hb) which makes Hb unavailable for O2 transport, thus blocking transport of oxygen to heart and brain  Affects mental functions & visibility more severely even at low levels  Accelerates angina (chest pain) coronary artery disease  Known to cause death at high levels of exposure
  • 28. VOLATILE ORGANIC COMPOUNDS (VOCS) EFFECTS • General term for a wide range of hydrocarbon compounds • VOCs result from combustion processes and evaporation of gasoline vapors, solvents, etc. • They contribute to Global Warming It leads to cold, cough & upper respiratory track infection • Carcinogenic effects on lung tissues.
  • 29. NOx EFFECTS • NO reacts with atmospheric O2 and produce NO2, which is an insidious poisonous reddish brown gas. • NOx results from high temperature combustion processes, e.g. cars and utilities - Reacts with moisture in lungs to form Nitric acid. - Affects respiratory systems causing bronchitis, pneumonia and lung inflections. - Visibility reduction. - Contribute to acid rain. • They play a major role in atmospheric reactions • Overall levels unchanged but transportation sources are cleaner
  • 30. Photochemical smog reactants emitted by automobiles: • hydrocarbons (HC) evaporative losses (from the fuel system) incomplete combustion • oxides of nitrogen (NOx) high-temperature (∼ 2000 K) combustion in air
  • 31. HOW SMOG IS FORMED ? Note : This ozone should not be confused with the layer of ozone in the upper atmosphere, which helps shielding us from ultraviolet light. (Courtesy U.S.E.P.A.)
  • 32. OZONE HEALTH EFFECTS VOCs react with NOX in presence of sunlight and form Ozone leading to photochemical smog leading to : - Visibility reduction. - Watering and irritation of eyes. - ENT irritation. - Respiratory problems. - Chemical damage to rubber, clothing, paint and exposed surfaces. - Damage to crops. The ozone problem is the one affecting the most people today:  Known to cause inflammation in respiratory tract  Reduces ability to breathe (lung function) for some people  Increases hospitalization for asthma, other lung diseases  Effects have been demonstrated for short term, long term effects are less certain , some people appear to develop “tolerance”
  • 33. LEAD HEALTH EFFECTS  Long known as one of the worst toxics in common use  Emitted from gasoline additives, battery factories and non- ferrous smelters  Affects various organs and can cause sterility and neurological impairment, e.g. retardation and behavioral disorders  Infants and children especially susceptible  Control of mobile sources has been exceptionally successful  At low doses, lead is associated with • nerve damage in fetuses and infants • learning deficits • lowered Intelligence Quota (IQ) Excessive exposure can severely damage nervous system
  • 34. • This term is used for a number of compounds containing sulfur Sulfur • Primarily caused by burning of coal, oil and various Dioxid industrial processes • They can affect the e respiratory system (SO2) • They react in the atmosphere to form acids, sulfates and sulfites • Substantial reductions due to controls at the sources and through use of low sulfur fuels
  • 35. • Carbon dioxide • Chlorofluorocarbons Other • Formaldehyde Air • Benzene Pollutant • Asbestos s • Manganese • Dioxins • Cadmium • Still others which are yet to be fully characterized
  • 36. AIR TOXICS HEALTH EFFECTS  Benzene • 1,3 Butadiene  levels of exposure a  a product of function of how much combustion benzene, aromatics in  vehicles the major the fuel environmental source  a “known human a  a “probable” or carcinogen” “known” human  studies in U.S. and carcinogen Chinese workers have  studies in laboratory shown link between animals and US and exposure and Czech workers have increased leukemia shown effects Source: Health Effects Institute
  • 37. AIR TOXICS HEALTH EFFECTS II  Aldehydes  PAHs • emitted from vehicles • polycyclic aromatic and other sources; also Hydrocarbons formed in the air • many different toxic • Many different compounds • known or probable aldehydes carcinogens (acetaldehyde, • Much higher levels formaldehyde, others) from “high emitters” • most are probable • maintained vehicles human carcinogens = lower emissions • also can be nose and respiratory irritants Source: Health Effects Institute
  • 38. • PM10 is a general term for tiny airborne particles (under ten microns), e.g., dust, soot, Particulat smoke • Primary sources are fuel-burning e plants and other industrial/ commercial processes Matter • Some are formed in the air (PM10) • They irritate the respiratory system and may also carry metals, sulfates, nitrates, etc. • Some overall decreases seen but trends may be masked by meteorological changes
  • 39. PM HEALTH EFFECTS  High levels of PM (e.g. 500 ug /m3) known to cause premature death  e.g. London 1952  Recent studies in US, Europe, Asia, South America have found association of PM with death at much lower levels  no evidence of a “threshold” (safe level)  To date, a plausible biological mechanism for these effects has not been found Source: Health Effects Institute
  • 40. PM HEALTH EFFECTS–INDIA & THAILAND Source: Chhabra 2001, Pande 2001, Vichit-Vadakan 2001 Source: Health Effects Institute
  • 41. PM HEALTH EFFECTS  Recent Re-analyses by HEI have generally confirmed the results of key studies  WHO, EPA and others have estimated effects on mortality  WHO analysis (Lancet, 2000) estimated 20,000 annual deaths due to traffic pollution in 3 countries ( (France, Austria & Switzerland)  New WHO global estimate underway  Much work underway to understand effects of PM “components” (e.g. ultrafines, metals, chemicals on particles)
  • 42. DIESEL HEALTH EFFECTS  Diesel engines have substantial advantages • higher fuel efficiency • lower CO and CO2 emissions  However, they also emit high levels of : • particulate matter, NOx, and chemicals attached particulate matter,(e.g. PAHs)  Two major types of health effects : • acute effects (e.g. exacerbating asthma) • cancer effects Source: Health Effects Institute
  • 43. DIESEL RISK ASSESSMENT TODAY  Many Agencies have reviewed • Most (WHO, IARC, US) have concluded diesel a “probable human carcinogen” • California calculated unit risk per 1 ug /m3 of exposure: • 3 excess cancer deaths in 10,000 people (3x10 -4) • US EPA 2000 draft risk assessment : • A range of risk (10-3 to 10-5) Source: Health Effects Institute
  • 44. SMALLER PARTICLES ARE MORE DANGEROUS Red Blood Cells Exposed to Particles 1 µm particles 0.078 µm particles
  • 45. DEPTH OF LUNG PENETRATION OF COARSE & FINE PARTICLE PRESEPARATOR ( 10 µm and above) Stage 0 (9.0 µm – 10.0 µm ) COARSE Stage 1 (5.8 µm – 9.0 µm ) Pharynx Stage 2 (4.7 µm – 5.8 µm ) Trachea & primary bronchi Stage 3 (3.3 µm – 4.7µm ) Secondary bronchi Stage 4 (2.1µm – 3.3 µm ) Terminal bronchi Stage 5 (1.1 µm – 2.1µm ) Alveoli Stage 6 (0.65 µm – 1.1µm) FINE Alveoli Stage 7 (0.43 µm – 0.65 µm ) Stage 8 (0.003 µm- 0.43 µm)
  • 46. POTENTIAL CONTRIBUTION OF PM FROM S.I. ENGINES • Nano particles below 50 nm Dia. penetrate deep into the interstitial tissue of the lung, causing respiratory inflammation and pulmonary toxicity. Particles which are not toxic in micron sizes may be toxic as nano particles. • S.I. Engines have lower particulate mass & number compared to C.I. Engines. However, since number of S.I. Engines exceed C.I. Engines, S.I. Engines have high potential to contribute particulate emission inventory, especially from the 2-wheelers. • PM from S.I. Engines are more due to oil and not due to fuel. Hence, called as O–PM, G-PM or EM (Emitted Matter)
  • 47. HEALTH EFFECTS OF NANOPARTICLES • Origin of inflammatory processes • Functional impairment of the lung • Increased risk of heart attack • Systemic effects in the whole body via the blood • Carcinogenic effects • Increase in sudden deaths
  • 48. Composition of Exhaust gas from Gasoline-engine during operation at lambda = 1 Misc (Noble Nitrous Oxide gases, oxygen, (NOx) hydorgen Water (H2O) 0.1% 0.7% 13.1% Hydro Carbon Dioxide carbons (HC) (CO2) 0.2% 13.7% Particulates 0.005% Pollutants Carbon Monoxide(CO) 0.7% Nitrogen (N2) 71.5%
  • 49. What is greenhouse effect?  The Greenhouse Effect is an extremely vital process where INFRARED (IR) rays from the sun come into the Earth atmosphere. The atmosphere then traps these rays after they have come in (like the glass in a greenhouse) keeping the Earth warm. CO2 (carbon dioxide), NO(nitrous oxide), and CH4(methane) are destroying the atmosphere,
  • 50. causing more INFRARED (IR) rays to reflect on Earth.
  • 51.
  • 52. Problems with greenhouse effect.  Having more infrared rays reflected on Earth makes the Earth warmer. As temperatures on Earth rise, so does the ocean water level and the ice caps begin to melt. The worst possible problem would be mass flooding in low lying areas of the Earth including many islands in the ocean which would basically disappear.
  • 53. Cause of greenhouse effect --population growth  These advances are causing the world's population to double at a much faster rate than ever before.
  • 54.  . Today, the world's population is doubling in 35 to 40 year.  As the human population grows, pollution from human activity also increases. Many activities--such as driving automobiles, farming, manufacturing are causing much pollutants.
  • 55. EFFECTS ON CLIMATE CHANGE  Transport a significant contributor;  More than 30% of CO2  Growing evidence that carbon soot also a significant contributor  absorbs sun and heat  diesel a major source  Transport contribution likely to grow with rapid motorization. Source: Health Effects Institute
  • 56. Air Quality Concerns : India  India is the sixth largest and second fastest growing emitter of Green House Gases (GHGs) Annual Black Carbon Emissions in 106 kg/year/1ox1o grid Source: USEPA
  • 57. SECTORIAL COMPARISON OF COS / EFFICIENCY (EUROPE, UE 15)
  • 58. CO 2 EMISSION A look At Per Capita Consumption
  • 59. TRENDS IN CO 2 EMISSIONS From Energy use in the Leading Automotive Markets (World), 2002
  • 60. KEY TO EARLIER SLIDE • Size of the bubble is determined by the total CO2 emissions from energy use in different sectors of the respective nations. The bigger the size of the bubble, the greater the CO2 emisions from a country. • Includes the CO2 emissions from energy use in different sectors and the trasportation sector is one of the major constituents of this segment for the year 2002. • Motor vehicle penetration is per 1,000 people for the year 2002. • Percent share refers to the individual share of a country in the total global demand for motor vehicels in 2002. The transportation sector accounts for 30.0 % of CO2 emissions in the industrialized economics of the OECD (Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development) and about 20.0 % worldwide. Source : OECD, IMF and Frost & Sullivan
  • 62. Agreement with EU and ACEA on Fleet Average 220 210 200 ACEA Fleet Average till 1995 190 180 185 170 ACEA 165 160 140 g/km in 2008 150 25 % reduction from 1995 140 Target in 2003 140 165-170 g/km- M1 Vehicles 130 120 Target in 2012 120 120 g/km 110 100 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
  • 63. RECENT CARBON CONTENT INITIATIVES (WORLD), 2005-15 Country / Initiatives Region EU • Voluntary commitment from the automotive industry to reduce CO2 emissions in passenger cars by 25.0 percent relative to 1995 levels by 2008. • Emission rates are expected to be brought down to a level of 140 g CO2 / km traveled (or 39 mpg) • Depending on early progress, ACEA (European Automobile Manufactures Association) may extend the target to 120 g CO 2 / km (or 46 mpg) by 2012 Japan • Fuel economy improvements in passenger cars to the extent of 23.0 % relative to 1995 levels by 2010 • Specific targets vary with vehicle weight but extend to 125 g CO 2 / km (or 44 mpg) Canada • The government has proposed a target for improving vehicle fuel efficiency by 25.0 % by 2010 Australia • Voluntary commitment to improve fuel economy by 18.0 % by 2010 United • California Air Resources Board (CARB) intends to bring down the States GHG emissions from the light-duty vehicle fleet by 17.0% in 2020 (California) and by 25.0% in 2030
  • 64. CO 2 Reduction Time Table &  Target ACEA – Agreement signed with EC in 1998 for CO2 targets.  2003 Intermediate target range – 165 ~ 170 g/km  2008 target – 140 g/km  2012 target – 120 g/km   JAMA Agreement with EC  2003 Intermediate target range – 165 ~ 175 g/km  2009 target – 140 g/km  2015 target – 125 g/km  KAMA Agreement with EC  2004 Intermediate target range – 165 ~ 175 g/km  2009 target – 140 g/km.  New Target Proposed in 2007 in European Parliament  Year 2015 – 125g CO2/km  Year 2020 – 95 g CO2/km  Year 2025 – 70g CO2/km
  • 65. Global Review  Europe & Japan continue to lead the world with the most stringent passenger vehicle GHG & FE standards.  Japan standards are expected to lead to the lowest fleet average GHG emissions in the world (125g CO2/km by 2015).  California passenger vehicle regulations are expected to achieve the greatest overall reduction in GHG emission in the world.  U.S. passenger vehicle standards continue to lag behind other nations but could move ahead of Canada, Australia, South Korea, & California by 2020 with passage of U.S. senate bill.  South Korea is the only nation in the world with standard in place that is expected to have rising GHG emissions from passenger vehicles.
  • 66. CO2 emissions VS engine type
  • 67. POTENTIAL FOR REDUCING GHGS From Vehicles Technology / Biofuels / Mobility
  • 68. CO 2 EMISSIONS Conventional & Alternative Technology
  • 69. Well-to-Tank Tank-to-Wheels Generation Transmission 31% Plug-to-Wheels 23% 33% 94% 76% 31% 76% = 23% Refining Transmission Pump-to-Wheels 82% 98% 16% 13% 80% Source: http://www.nesea.org 80% 16% = 13%
  • 70. WELL TO WHEEL CARBON EMISSIONS 3 Fuel Cell (H2 from Renewable Resources) 48 Fuel Cell (H2 from Natural Resources) 55 Fuel Cell (Gasoline) 40 Diesel Hybrid Gasoline Hybrid 48 Advanced Diesel 55 Advanced Gasoline ICE 70 Conventional ICE 100 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
  • 71. DEVELOPMENT OF LOW CARBON TECHNOLOGIES (WORLD), 2005-15
  • 72. Today Tomorrow Hydrogen Technology Hybrid / EV Technology Alternative Fuels Improvement of Conventional Fuels Conventional Veh. Technology for higer Fuel Eff.
  • 73. Automotive Industry Fuel Industry Improve Fuel Efficiency Environmentally Reduce Emissions friendly fuels Alternative drive systems Customer Regulators Fuel-saving Relevant framework ways of driving Appropriate infrastructure
  • 74. Need for an Integrated Approach Involving All Stakeholders
  • 75. NEED FOR PUBLIC ie. FISCAL EFFORTS
  • 76. LOOKING AHEAD: TRENDS AND POSSIBILITIES FOR CONTROL  In reducing the health effects from vehicle emissions, one fact is clear:  Even if the emissions from each vehicle and its fuel are reduced,,  the use of vehicles will increase,  vehicles will age and need maintenance..  This can offset, in whole or in part, the pollution reductions and health benefits if careful planning is not done
  • 77. CONCLUSIONS  Vehicle effects on health result from both engine emissions and fuel  In general, as economies develop, vehicles will contribute 25% to 40 % of most pollutants more for some pollutants and in urban settings  There are a variety of health effects caused by vehicle emissions, including cancer, premature death, and increased hospitalization  Also a significant contributor to climate change  With increasing travel, health effects will only be reduced with continual improvement in fuels, emissions controls, and better maintenance  Introduction of Environment Friendly Technologies like Fuel Cells, Electric/Electric-Hybrid  Use of renewable fuels for toxic and Green House Gas Emission Control

Notas do Editor

  1. The purpose of this presentation is to promote common electronic presentation format within R&A for all R&A presentations. It is also in response to the directive issued by Nick Scheele on August 27, 2003.
  2. growing evidence that small particles are a health hazard one example: interaction of particles with red blood cells case 1: "large" particles, 1 um; no interaction with cell / particle cannot penetrate cell membrane case 2: particle in diesel soot size range; cell cannot protect itself against particles penetrating it. in general: tailpipe emitted (soot) particle are too small to be identified as hostile invader by the immune system; no identification -> no protection, no removal -> accumulation in the body
  3. growing evidence that small particles are a health hazard one example: interaction of particles with red blood cells case 1: "large" particles, 1 um; no interaction with cell / particle cannot penetrate cell membrane case 2: particle in diesel soot size range; cell cannot protect itself against particles penetrating it. in general: tailpipe emitted (soot) particle are too small to be identified as hostile invader by the immune system; no identification -> no protection, no removal -> accumulation in the body
  4. growing evidence that small particles are a health hazard one example: interaction of particles with red blood cells case 1: "large" particles, 1 um; no interaction with cell / particle cannot penetrate cell membrane case 2: particle in diesel soot size range; cell cannot protect itself against particles penetrating it. in general: tailpipe emitted (soot) particle are too small to be identified as hostile invader by the immune system; no identification -> no protection, no removal -> accumulation in the body