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Decision Making

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Jorge Braga
Jorge Braga
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Decision Making
Introduction ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Wisdom of the Crowd ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Committees and Discussion ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Prediction Markets ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Overview ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
1. Organizational Design of an Economy ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Markets as Information & Incentive Systems ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Organizational Design of a Firm ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
2. Benefits of Centralization ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Benefits of Decentralization ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Specific Knowledge ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Cost of Transferring Knowledge Costly Cheap Specific Knowledge General Knowledge
3. Coordination & Structure ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Modularization ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Integration ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],4. Decision Making, Hierarchy, & Control Decision Management Decision Control (Hierarchy)
Notes on Decision Mgt. v. Control ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
How Much Decision Control? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Flat Hierarchy Gladys Willie Gladys Willie
Evaluating New Ideas ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Hierarchy New Idea Good Bad Accepts (1-p) Rejects p Accepts p Rejects (1-p) Willie Evaluates Accepts p∙q Rejects p(1-q) Rejects (1-p) Gladys Evaluates Willie’s Recommendations Accepts (1-p)(1-q) Rejects (1-p)q Rejects p
Flat New Idea Good Bad Accepts (1-p) Rejects p Accepts p Rejects (1-p) Gladys or Willie Evaluates
Results
Are Hierarchies Conservative? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Other Methods to Increase Control ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Structure and Errors ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
5. Implementation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Implementation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
6. Economic Ideas ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Summary Points ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Decision Making

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  • 20. Hierarchy New Idea Good Bad Accepts (1-p) Rejects p Accepts p Rejects (1-p) Willie Evaluates Accepts p∙q Rejects p(1-q) Rejects (1-p) Gladys Evaluates Willie’s Recommendations Accepts (1-p)(1-q) Rejects (1-p)q Rejects p
  • 21. Flat New Idea Good Bad Accepts (1-p) Rejects p Accepts p Rejects (1-p) Gladys or Willie Evaluates
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