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1
CALIFORNIA’S ENERGY JOURNEY
Michael Avidan
Energy Procurement
Pacific Gas and Electric Company
2
• A regulated investor-owned utility
• Energy services to 15 million people:
– 5.1 million Electric accounts
– 4.2 million Natural Gas accounts
• 70,000 square miles, diverse topography
• 123,054 circuit miles electric distribution
lines and 18,610 circuit miles of
interconnected transmission lines
• Peak load: 22,554 MW on July 25, 2006
• Largest solar customer base in the country,
more than 40% of total installed solar
PG&E: RANKED GREENEST UTILITY IN THE U.S.
Serves 5% of the U.S. population but emits less than 1%
of the total CO2 emitted by the utility sector
3
WHAT MAKES CA“GREEN”? GENERAL (1)
• Blend of low-carbon resources:
Hydro, nuclear, eligible renewables,
natural gas, minimal coal
• Long-standing State policies:
Promoting a lower carbon footprint
• 30+ years of energy efficiency programs
facilitated by “decoupling” of rates and
incentives
• California Energy Action Plan preferred
loading order:
1. Customer Energy Efficiency
2. Demand Response/Dynamic Pricing
3. Renewables
4. Distributed Generation
5. Clean gas-fired plants
4
WHAT MAKES CA“GREEN”? EV CHARGING (2)
Average (532)
Low (219)
HEV Historical
Cumulative PG&E Service Territory
PEV Market Adoption Scenarios
High (845)
ThousandsofEVs
BONUS SLIDE
5
6
WHAT MAKES CA“GREEN”? SMART METERS (3)
• Largest US deployment
• Automated meter reading for all customers
• 10 million meter upgrades by mid-2012
• Frequent meter reads (daily for gas, hourly or 15
minute intervals for electric)
• Enhanced customer energy management
OPPORTUNITIES IN THE ENERGY SPACE
7
Technology
• Generation
• Transmission/Distribution
• Demand Management
Policy
• Legislation
• Market Rules
• Regulation Specific Market
Attributes
• Demographics
• Weather
• Physical Constraints
8
CALIFORNIA’S ENERGY HISTORY
• 1980s: PURPA -
In response to the energy crisis
• 1990s: Electric Restructuring -
“The Market Will Provide”
• 2000s: Renewable Portfolio
Standards (RPS)
• 2010s: GHG Regulation –
Cap and Trade
Data Sources: PG&E’s 2002 Corporate Environmental Report, PG&E’s Preliminary 2012 RPS Volumes Report and
PG&E’s Spring 2012 Long Term Rate Forecast. Last updated March 06, 2013
2012 Preliminary
Actual
19% of total bundled
retail sales
2020 Projected
33% of total
bundled retail sales
2002 Actual
11% of total bundled
retail sales
RENEWABLE PORTFOLIO: PAST, PRESENT, FUTURE
Total RPS-Eligible Procurement
~14,000 GWh
Projected RPS-Eligible Procurement
~28,000 GWh
Total RPS-Eligible Procurement
7,504 GWh
9
Customer-scale Utility-scale
Net Energy Metering
Utility Owned
California Solar Initiative
Available
PG&E
Programs
Feed-in Tariff Programs
Renewables RFO
Self Generation Incentive Program
PG&E RENEWABLE ENERGY PROGRAMS
PV RFO
System Size 1 kW 1 MW 100 MW ++20 MW100 kW 3 MW
Solar Water Heating (CSI Thermal)
Renewable Auction Mech.
in regulatory proceeding
10
CUMULATIVE SOLAR INTERCONNECTIONS
More than 85,000 grid tied solar installations; Roughly 1/3 of all grid tied
PV in the U.S. is in PG&E’s service area; more than ~900 MW (AC Rating)
727
1,949
3,796
6,893
9,712
14,058
20,629
36,412
27,156
1620
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
20,000
22,000
24,000
26,000
28,000
30,000
32,000
34,000
<2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
#OfInterconnections
36,000
38,000
11
INTERMITTENCY OF WIND AND SOLAR POSE
CHALLENGES AS PENETRATION INCREASES
As seen in “15 PowerPoint
Slides That Shook the Earth,”
-greentechmedia.com, Aug. 2010
THE NET LOAD SHAPE IS CHANGING
Load&NetLoad(MW)
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
10,000
20,000
22,000
24,000
26,000
28,000
30,000
32,000
34,000
36,000
38,000
40,000
42,000
44,000
46,000
0:00 1:30 3:00 4:30 6:00 7:30 9:00 10:30 12:00 13:30 15:00 16:30 18:00 19:30 21:00 22:30 0:00
Load Net Load Wind Solar
Load, Wind & Solar Profiles – High Load Case
January 2020
Wind&Solar(MW)
8,000 MW
in 2 hours
6,300 MW
in 2 hours
13,500 MW
in 2 hours
8,000
MW in 2
hours
6,300
MW in 2
hours
13,500
MW in 2
hours
Load, Wind, & Solar Profiles
Source: CAISO
13
NET LOAD PATTERN CHANGES 2012-2020
Source: CAISO
14
BALANCING FUNCTION - AREA CONTROL
Hour Ahead Schedule
Incremental Energy
Decremental Energy
Day Ahead Schedule
Real Time Load
MW
Time
Real-Time Economic Dispatch
Every 5 minutes
Upward Regulation
Ancillary Services
• Regulation
• Spinning Reserve
• Non-Spinning
Reserve
• Replacement
Reserve
• Voltage Support
• Black Start
capability
Downward Regulation
15
16
• Automated home
energy management
• Plug-in hybrid electric
vehicle SmartCharge™
• Integrated local
generation and storage
• Automated transmission
and distribution
• Automated meter reading
• Electric field vehicles
SMART GRID IS A JOURNEY
Today
Integrate existing
services to new
platform
Future
Enable future services
and foster innovation
Near Term
Transform existing services
Years
17
AT PG&E,
WE ARE COMMITTED TO SUSTAINABILITY

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IL ppt avidan: CALIFORNIA’S ENERGY JOURNEY

  • 1. 1 CALIFORNIA’S ENERGY JOURNEY Michael Avidan Energy Procurement Pacific Gas and Electric Company
  • 2. 2 • A regulated investor-owned utility • Energy services to 15 million people: – 5.1 million Electric accounts – 4.2 million Natural Gas accounts • 70,000 square miles, diverse topography • 123,054 circuit miles electric distribution lines and 18,610 circuit miles of interconnected transmission lines • Peak load: 22,554 MW on July 25, 2006 • Largest solar customer base in the country, more than 40% of total installed solar PG&E: RANKED GREENEST UTILITY IN THE U.S. Serves 5% of the U.S. population but emits less than 1% of the total CO2 emitted by the utility sector
  • 3. 3 WHAT MAKES CA“GREEN”? GENERAL (1) • Blend of low-carbon resources: Hydro, nuclear, eligible renewables, natural gas, minimal coal • Long-standing State policies: Promoting a lower carbon footprint • 30+ years of energy efficiency programs facilitated by “decoupling” of rates and incentives • California Energy Action Plan preferred loading order: 1. Customer Energy Efficiency 2. Demand Response/Dynamic Pricing 3. Renewables 4. Distributed Generation 5. Clean gas-fired plants
  • 4. 4 WHAT MAKES CA“GREEN”? EV CHARGING (2) Average (532) Low (219) HEV Historical Cumulative PG&E Service Territory PEV Market Adoption Scenarios High (845) ThousandsofEVs
  • 6. 6 WHAT MAKES CA“GREEN”? SMART METERS (3) • Largest US deployment • Automated meter reading for all customers • 10 million meter upgrades by mid-2012 • Frequent meter reads (daily for gas, hourly or 15 minute intervals for electric) • Enhanced customer energy management
  • 7. OPPORTUNITIES IN THE ENERGY SPACE 7 Technology • Generation • Transmission/Distribution • Demand Management Policy • Legislation • Market Rules • Regulation Specific Market Attributes • Demographics • Weather • Physical Constraints
  • 8. 8 CALIFORNIA’S ENERGY HISTORY • 1980s: PURPA - In response to the energy crisis • 1990s: Electric Restructuring - “The Market Will Provide” • 2000s: Renewable Portfolio Standards (RPS) • 2010s: GHG Regulation – Cap and Trade
  • 9. Data Sources: PG&E’s 2002 Corporate Environmental Report, PG&E’s Preliminary 2012 RPS Volumes Report and PG&E’s Spring 2012 Long Term Rate Forecast. Last updated March 06, 2013 2012 Preliminary Actual 19% of total bundled retail sales 2020 Projected 33% of total bundled retail sales 2002 Actual 11% of total bundled retail sales RENEWABLE PORTFOLIO: PAST, PRESENT, FUTURE Total RPS-Eligible Procurement ~14,000 GWh Projected RPS-Eligible Procurement ~28,000 GWh Total RPS-Eligible Procurement 7,504 GWh 9
  • 10. Customer-scale Utility-scale Net Energy Metering Utility Owned California Solar Initiative Available PG&E Programs Feed-in Tariff Programs Renewables RFO Self Generation Incentive Program PG&E RENEWABLE ENERGY PROGRAMS PV RFO System Size 1 kW 1 MW 100 MW ++20 MW100 kW 3 MW Solar Water Heating (CSI Thermal) Renewable Auction Mech. in regulatory proceeding 10
  • 11. CUMULATIVE SOLAR INTERCONNECTIONS More than 85,000 grid tied solar installations; Roughly 1/3 of all grid tied PV in the U.S. is in PG&E’s service area; more than ~900 MW (AC Rating) 727 1,949 3,796 6,893 9,712 14,058 20,629 36,412 27,156 1620 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 18,000 20,000 22,000 24,000 26,000 28,000 30,000 32,000 34,000 <2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 #OfInterconnections 36,000 38,000 11
  • 12. INTERMITTENCY OF WIND AND SOLAR POSE CHALLENGES AS PENETRATION INCREASES As seen in “15 PowerPoint Slides That Shook the Earth,” -greentechmedia.com, Aug. 2010
  • 13. THE NET LOAD SHAPE IS CHANGING Load&NetLoad(MW) 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000 10,000 20,000 22,000 24,000 26,000 28,000 30,000 32,000 34,000 36,000 38,000 40,000 42,000 44,000 46,000 0:00 1:30 3:00 4:30 6:00 7:30 9:00 10:30 12:00 13:30 15:00 16:30 18:00 19:30 21:00 22:30 0:00 Load Net Load Wind Solar Load, Wind & Solar Profiles – High Load Case January 2020 Wind&Solar(MW) 8,000 MW in 2 hours 6,300 MW in 2 hours 13,500 MW in 2 hours 8,000 MW in 2 hours 6,300 MW in 2 hours 13,500 MW in 2 hours Load, Wind, & Solar Profiles Source: CAISO 13
  • 14. NET LOAD PATTERN CHANGES 2012-2020 Source: CAISO 14
  • 15. BALANCING FUNCTION - AREA CONTROL Hour Ahead Schedule Incremental Energy Decremental Energy Day Ahead Schedule Real Time Load MW Time Real-Time Economic Dispatch Every 5 minutes Upward Regulation Ancillary Services • Regulation • Spinning Reserve • Non-Spinning Reserve • Replacement Reserve • Voltage Support • Black Start capability Downward Regulation 15
  • 16. 16 • Automated home energy management • Plug-in hybrid electric vehicle SmartCharge™ • Integrated local generation and storage • Automated transmission and distribution • Automated meter reading • Electric field vehicles SMART GRID IS A JOURNEY Today Integrate existing services to new platform Future Enable future services and foster innovation Near Term Transform existing services Years
  • 17. 17 AT PG&E, WE ARE COMMITTED TO SUSTAINABILITY