SlideShare uma empresa Scribd logo
1 de 34
Analytical Methods for
Economic Evaluation of FTAs
Chong-Sup Kim
Types of preferential trade agreements
Free
Trade
Common
External
Tariff
Factor
Movement
Policy
Harmonization
Free Trade
Area
X
Custom
Union
X X
Common
Market
X X X
Economic
Union
X X X X
Economic Effects
Trade Creation and Trade Diversion
Terms of trade
Increasing returns and increased
competition
Investment
Trade Creation
 Efficient production of B replaces inefficient
domestic production.
Country AC 100% tariff RTA with B
A 50 50 50
B 40 80 40
C 30 60 60
Trade Diversion
 Inefficient production of B replaces
efficient production of C.
Country AC 50% tariff RTA with B
A 50 50 50
B 40 60 40
C 30 45 45
IR(intra-regional exports/total exports) and
Share of RI scheme in total world exports
Founded 1960 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990
ANZCERTA 1983
5.7
2.4
6.1
2.1
6.2
1.7
6.4
1.4
7.0
1.6
7.6
1.5
EC 1957
34.5
24.9
51.0
39.0
50.0
35.9
54.0
34.9
54.5
35.6
60.4
41.4
CUFTA 1989
26.5
21.9
32.8
20.5
30.6
16.8
26.5
15.1
38.0
16.7
34.0
15.8
ASEAN 1967
4.4
2.6
20.7
2.1
15.9
2.6
16.9
3.7
18.4
3.9
18.6
4.3
ANDEAN
PACT
1969
0.7
2.9
2.0
1.6
3.7
1.6
3.8
1.6
3.4
1.2
4.6
0.9
CACM 1961
7.0
0.4
25.7
0.4
23.3
0.3
24.1
0.2
14.7
0.2
14.8
0.1
LAFTA 1960/80
7.9
6.0
9.9
4.4
13.6
3.5
13.7
4.2
8.3
4.7
10.6
3.4
ECOWAS 1975
na
na
3.0
1.0
4.2
1.4
3.5
1.7
5.3
1.1
6.0
0.6
Economic Effects of
Korea-Colombia FTA
- Contents -
1. Overview of the Colombian Economy
2. Characteristics of the Colombian Economy
3. Economic Relation between Korea and Colombia
4. Economic Effects of Korea-Colombia FTA
1. Overview of the Colombian Economy
Indicator Korea Colombia
GDP ($billion) 957 207
GDP per capita ($) 19,750 4,100
Population (1,000,000) 48.5 44.5
Growth rate (%) 4.97 7.55
Inflation rate (%) 2.53 5.65
Exports ($billion) 360 34
Agriculture VA (% of GDP) 3.7 7.8
2007
Indicators
2. Characteristics of the Colombian Economy
Colombia’s Trade in Goods 2000-2008 (millions of US$)
2. Characteristics of the Colombian Economy
Germany
4%
USA
30%
Mexico
10%
Brazil
8%
China
8%
Japan
5%
Rep. of Korea
4%
Others
31%
Colombia’s Major Trade Partners by Destination, 2007 (as % of total)
2. Characteristics of the Colombian Economy
0
13%
1
0%
2
5%
3
46%
4
1%
5
8%
6
12%
7
5%
8
7%
9
3%
0 Food and live animals
1 Beverages and tobacco
2 Crude materials, inedible, except
fuels
3 Mineral fuels, lubricants and related
materials
4 Animal and vegetable oils, fats and
waxes
5 Chemicals and related products,
n.e.s.
6 Manufactured goods classified
chiefly by material
7 Machinery and transport equipment
8 Miscellaneous manufactured articles
9 Commodities and transactions not
classified elsewhere in the SITC
Colombia’s Exports by Sector in SITC 1 digit, 2008 (as % of total)
2. Characteristics of the Colombian Economy
Trade Agreements of Colombia
No Name of Free Trade Agreement Progress
1 Colombia-CAN(Bolivia, Ecuador, Peru) FTA Signed the agreement 26th May. 1969
2 Colombia-G2(Mexico) FTA Entry into Force since 1st Jan. 1995
3 Colombia-MERCOSUR FTA
Entry into Force since 1st Feb. 2005
(Brazil, Argentina, Uruguay)
Entry into Force since 19th Apr. 2005
(Paraguay)
4 Colombia-Chile FTA Entry into Force since 8th May. 2009
5 Colombia-US FTA Signed the agreement 22th Nov. 2006
6 Colombia-North Triangle(Guatemala,
Honduras, El Salvador) FTA
Signed the agreement 9th Aug. 2007
7 Colombia-Canada FTA Signed the agreement 21th Nov. 2008
8 Colombia-EFTA(Swiss, Norway, Ireland,
Liechtenstein) FTA
Signed the agreement 25th Nov. 2008
9 CAN-EU FTA Negotiations Ongoing by Countries
10 Colombia-Korea FTA Joint Study Ongoing
3. Economic Relation between Korea and Colombia
Korea’s Trade with Colombia
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
MillionsofUS$
Korea's export Korea's import
3. Economic Relation between Korea and Peru
Korea-Peru Trade Intensity Index
Xkp Mkp Xk Mk Xp Mp Xpk Mpk Xw Mw Xkp/Xk Mp/Mw TII(K-P) Xpk/Xp Mk/Mw TII(P-K)
1981 16 72 21,271 26,154 3,247 3,777 55 8 1,915,110 2,001,390 0.0008 0.0019 0.3986 0.0169 0.0131 1.2962
1982 14 83 21,827 24,250 2,919 3,301 55 9 1,775,420 1,864,270 0.0006 0.0018 0.3622 0.0188 0.0130 1.4485
1983 5 53 24,460 26,196 2,577 2,238 29 12 1,730,030 1,808,750 0.0002 0.0012 0.1652 0.0113 0.0145 0.7770
1984 6 63 29,259 30,628 3,086 1,642 2 3 1,837,160 1,921,410 0.0002 0.0009 0.2400 0.0006 0.0159 0.0407
1985 7 108 30,291 31,058 2,981 1,566 64 5 1,874,990 1,976,230 0.0002 0.0008 0.2916 0.0215 0.0157 1.3661
1986 16 112 34,799 31,734 2,505 1,915 43 10 2,044,180 2,147,760 0.0005 0.0009 0.5157 0.0172 0.0148 1.1618
1987 24 91 47,316 41,026 2,605 3,375 48 12 2,416,780 2,510,300 0.0005 0.0013 0.3773 0.0184 0.0163 1.1275
1988 10 90 60,705 51,812 2,689 2,320 51 8 2,763,910 2,875,620 0.0002 0.0008 0.2042 0.0190 0.0180 1.0526
1989 3 90 60,527 60,210 3,488 2,520 68 1 2,986,470 3,110,880 0.0000 0.0008 0.0612 0.0195 0.0194 1.0073
1990 10 94 67,815 74,405 3,276 3,172 80 7 3,382,420 3,517,220 0.0001 0.0009 0.1635 0.0244 0.0212 1.1544
1991 25 137 72,378 81,826 3,329 2,724 83 15 3,493,210 3,635,530 0.0003 0.0007 0.4610 0.0249 0.0225 1.1077
1992 78 115 77,340 82,951 3,484 4,118 123 77 3,747,700 3,894,460 0.0010 0.0011 0.9538 0.0353 0.0213 1.6575
1993 58 85 85,816 86,630 3,465 4,409 124 90 3,722,350 3,795,520 0.0007 0.0012 0.5818 0.0358 0.0228 1.5679
1994 132 89 101,358 102,348 4,507 6,121 139 141 4,256,510 4,319,760 0.0013 0.0014 0.9191 0.0308 0.0237 1.3017
1995 194 131 131,330 135,110 5,513 8,293 159 195 5,080,540 5,141,970 0.0015 0.0016 0.9159 0.0288 0.0263 1.0976
1996 204 181 137,683 150,157 5,854 8,385 164 213 5,302,720 5,388,490 0.0015 0.0016 0.9522 0.0280 0.0279 1.0053
1997 236 104 144,102 144,635 6,707 9,011 95 236 5,527,580 5,596,930 0.0016 0.0016 1.0172 0.0142 0.0258 0.5481
1998 265 62 132,780 93,372 5,700 8,759 42 264 5,398,220 5,525,090 0.0020 0.0016 1.2589 0.0074 0.0169 0.4360
1999 190 78 143,881 119,741 6,019 7,323 91 201 5,665,670 5,821,390 0.0013 0.0013 1.0498 0.0151 0.0206 0.7350
2000 213 143 172,257 160,481 6,872 8,040 134 234 6,385,770 6,593,110 0.0012 0.0012 1.0140 0.0195 0.0243 0.8011
2001 188 116 150,436 141,098 6,944 7,919 109 269 6,139,540 6,381,270 0.0012 0.0012 1.0070 0.0157 0.0221 0.7099
2002 196 205 162,308 152,125 7,648 8,154 166 205 6,432,980 6,628,810 0.0012 0.0012 0.9817 0.0217 0.0229 0.9458
2003 204 194 193,806 178,826 8,860 9,047 177 236 7,516,020 7,748,270 0.0011 0.0012 0.9015 0.0200 0.0231 0.8656
2004 245 283 253,741 224,460 12,469 10,733 202 209 9,131,810 9,486,550 0.0010 0.0011 0.8534 0.0162 0.0237 0.6847
2005 282 249 284,337 261,211 17,291 13,206 228 360 10,367,000 10,754,300 0.0010 0.0012 0.8077 0.0132 0.0243 0.5429
2006 316 657 296,680 281,859 23,744 16,254 550 408 11,945,000 12,370,200 0.0011 0.0013 0.8106 0.0232 0.0228 1.0166
2007 441 928 360,719 365,752 27,784 21,114 815 521 13,867,300 14,458,100 0.0012 0.0015 0.8372 0.0293 0.0253 1.1595
3. Economic Relation between Korea and Colombia
Sector 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Food and live animals 0.13 0.09 0.12 0.12 0.17 0.11
Beverages and tobacco - - 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.00
Crude materials, inedible, except fuels 1.90 1.62 1.48 2.96 2.03 3.41
Mineral fuel, lubricants, and related
materials
0.01 0.04 20.09 0.32 0.45 0.43
Chemicals and related products 88.38 68.73 114.14 136.07 114.54 169.20
Manufactured goods classified chiefly by
material
32.67 47.61 51.87 82.67 92.37 156.44
Machinery and transport equipment 160.75 327.97 422.71 668.42 885.33 730.82
Miscellaneous manufactured articles 12.72 13.42 13.18 22.30 25.74 30.28
Commodities and transactions 0.01 0.00 0.02 0.04 0.03 0.07
Total 296.56 459.47 623.60 912.90 1120.66 1090.76
Korea’s Export to Colombia by Sectors (millions of US$)
Sector 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Food and live animals 13.64 17.63 30.68 42.29 34.21 47.16
Crude materials, inedible, except fuels 2.82 4.63 5.48 22.46 34.17 51.26
Animal and vegetable oils, fats, and
waxes
- 0.03 0.10 0.08 0.15 0.16
Chemicals and related products 0.13 0.09 0.04 0.06 0.35 0.21
Manufactured goods classified chiefly
by material
52.62 81.98 98.52 137.40 42.85 39.43
Machinery and transport equipment 0.55 0.16 0.49 0.64 0.65 0.56
Miscellaneous manufactured articles 1.65 1.82 1.49 2.61 3.94 4.65
Commodities and transactions 0.00 - 0.00 0.00 0.00 -
Total 71.41 106.34 136.80 205.53 116.31 143.43
Korea’s Import from Colombia by Sectors (millions of US$)
3. Economic Relation between Korea and Colombia
Korea’s main exports to Colombia
unit: US$
Source: UN COMTRADE
SITC Code Description 2007 2008
78439 Other parts, accessories (Motor vehicles) 49,327,868 164,296,522
76411 Telephone sets 65,418,367 40,532,789
57112 Having a specific gravity of 0.94 or more 25,969,134 34,530,074
67682 U,I,H,L,T sections 3,269,426 32,673,487
78219 Motor vehicles for the transport of goods, N.E.S. 27,578,441 24,484,810
57439 Polyesters in primary form, N.E.S. 7,753,795 20,359,675
67321 Of width of 600mm or more 3,318,395 19,541,263
67341 Of a width of 600mm or more 12,999,884 16,922,854
57529 Other acrylic polymers 7,850,137 13,570,221
65163 Other yarn, 9,159,536 11,732,174
74174 Heat exchange units 7,080 11,217,178
72322 Mechanical shovels, excavators and shovel loaders 6,434,118 10,650,096
72471 Household or laundry-type washing machines 8,072,645 10,521,462
51489 Compounds with other nitrogen function 5,472,809 7,830,980
74474 Other continuous-action elevators and conveyors 4,291,616 7,136,651
3. Economic Relation between Korea and Colombia
Korea’s main imports from Colombia
unit: US$
Source: UN COMTRADE
SITC Code Description 2007 2008
07111 Coffee not roasted not decaffeinated 31,118,947 42,216,963
67155 Ferro-nickel 38,840,315 37,708,297
28821 Copper waste and scrap 28,271,640 30,784,955
28823 Alumium waste and scrap 3,129,699 12,122,061
28239 Ferrous waste and scrap, N.E.S 33,291 5,413,978
07131 Extracts, essences and concentrates of coffee 1,632,006 2,738,936
64163 Toilet or facial tissue stock, towel or napkin stock 1,315,898 874,303
21199 Hides and skins, N.E.S, raw 671,441 459,310
61172 Of reptiles 257,258 426,746
88135 Apparatus and equipment for photographic 0 382,641
09899 Other food preparations 192,080 380,452
29198 Ambergris, castoreum, civet and musk 1,905,200 355,395
06111 Cane sugar, raw 78,036 215,124
83111 With outer surface of leather 90,118 210,725
03411 Fish, live 89,306 202,764
3. Economic Relation between Korea and Colombia
Korea’s FDI to Colombia
Total 47,594
Wholesale and retail trade 41,268
Manufacturing 5,623
Mining and quarrying 515
Information and communications 79
Arts, sports and recreation related services 100
Business facilities management and business support services 8
Unit: US$1000
3. Economic Relation between Korea and Colombia
4. Economic Effects of Korea-Colombia FTA
RCA Analysis
RCA Indices of Korea’s Main Export Products
HS6 Code Commodities Exports, US$ RCA
HS-852520 Transmission app 14,021,010,198 4.5
HS-854221 Monolithic integrated circuits, digital 14,008,078,033 4.3
HS-870323 Vehicles, of a cylinder capacity >1500cc but not >3000cc 13,438,840,714 2.4
HS-271019 Petroleum oils & oils obtained from bituminous minerals & preparations 12,427,812,869 2.3
HS-847330 Parts & accessories of the machines of heading 84.71 8,882,152,403 2.1
HS-852990 Other parts suitable 8,751,615,197 4.8
HS-890120 Tankers 8,428,122,076 16.8
HS-890190 Vessels for the transportof goods & for the transportof both persons & goods 7,662,342,637 10.3
HS-901380 Liquid crystal devices not constituting articles 7,037,834,672 12.1
HS-870899 Other parts & accessories for the motor vehicles 6,167,308,985 2.6
HS-847160 Input/output units, whether/not containing storage units in the same housing 5,170,574,809 3.4
HS-870332 Vehicles for the transport of persons, of a cylinder capacity >1500cc but not >2500cc 4,090,203,363 1.6
HS-851712 Telephones for cellular networks/for other wireless networks 3,728,878,001 6.1
HS-870322 Vehicles (excl. of 87.02 & 8703.10), of a cylinder capacity >1000cc but not >1500cc 3,655,657,651 2.9
HS-870324 Vehicles (excl. of 87.02 & 8703.10), of a cylinder capacity >3000cc 3,598,647,198 1.0
HS-854232 Electronic integrated circuits, memories 3,174,082,912 10.1
HS-854229 Monolithic integrated circuits, other than digital 2,880,556,909 2.0
HS-271011 Light petroleum oils & preparations 2,534,466,963 0.7
HS-854231 Electronic integrated circuits, processors & controllers 2,334,373,779 4.5
HS-901390 Parts & accessories of the articles of 90.13 2,298,289,595 16.6
HS-847170 Storage units 2,129,611,367 1.5
HS-852812 Reception app. for television 2,083,660,322 2.1
HS-291736 Terephthalic acid & its salts 1,866,316,613 12.8
HS-851770 Parts of telephone sets 1,693,298,337 4.0
HS-847989 Other machines & mechanical appliances 1,652,700,633 1.7
HS-842952 Self-propelled mechanical shovels & excavators 1,611,106,532 3.7
HS-390330 Acrylonitrile-butadiene-styrene (ABS) copolymers 1,540,137,618 12.0
HS-853400 Printed circuits 1,425,509,397 2.2
HS-854389 Other electrical machines & app 1,410,406,676 4.1
HS-841810 Combined refrigerator-freezers 1,342,901,908 7.8
4. Economic Effects of Korea-Colombia FTA
CGE model
Macroeconomic indicators Korea Colombia
1 Welfare 0.018 % 0.051 %
2 Real GDP 0.036 % 0.022 %
3 Exports 0.030 % 0.123 %
4 Imports 0.035 % 0.119 %
4. Economic Effects of Korea-Colombia FTA
CGE model
Sector Production Value Added Imports Exports
1 Agriculture -0.007 -0.009 0.034 0.031
2 Agroindustrial products -0.004 -0.005 0.036 -0.047
3 Fishing -0.003 -0.005 0.024 -0.016
4 Textiles 0.055 0.054 0.086 0.127
5 Wearing apparel -0.056 -0.058 0.070 -0.078
6 Leather products -0.075 -0.077 0.015 -0.081
7 Wood products -0.026 -0.028 0.045 -0.038
8 Mineral and coal -0.030 -0.032 0.024 -0.023
9 Petroleum and petroleum products -0.009 -0.011 0.001 -0.035
10 Chemical, rubber and plastic prod 0.021 0.019 0.073 0.104
11 Ferrous and non ferrous metal prod -0.037 -0.039 0.073 -0.051
12 Electronic and electronic equipment -0.100 -0.102 -0.012 -0.100
13 Machinery and transport equipment 0.063 0.062 0.063 0.221
14 Other manufacturing goods -0.021 -0.023 0.052 -0.003
15 Services -0.002 -0.004 0.056 -0.049
Economic Effects of Korea-Colombia FTA
Analytical
Framework
World
LatinAmerica Asia
KoreaColombia
TYPE1
TYPE2
TYPE3TYPE3
TYPE2
Type 1
502
Type 1
1404
Type 2
239
Type 3
57
Type 2
1804
Type 3
1025
RCA>1RCA<1
BeingExportedtoColombia
NotbeingExportedtoColombia
Categories based on
RCA and exports
4. Economic Effects of Korea-Colombia FTA
Table 7.4 The Impact of FTA on the Competitive Products of Colombia, TYPE 1
HS6 Code Korea's IM from Colombia Colombia's EX PEC Korea's IM Colombia Korea
US$ Share, % to World, US$ % from World, US$ RCA Tariff
HS-090111 21,954,049 18.4 1,280,402,071 100.0 119,471,645 78.1 2
HS-720260 79,433,818 14.5 913,553,068 100.0 547,045,319 173.4 3
HS-271011 946,108 0.0 516,381,569 7.2 7,208,356,298 1.9 3.3
HS-080300 69,656 0.1 492,126,783 100.0 121,507,508 46.6 30
HS-620342 273,066 0.2 168,316,536 100.0 144,263,996 5.6 13
HS-390410 5,280 0.0 167,215,549 100.0 31,095,192 11.4 6.5
HS-390210 1,145 0.0 134,866,295 100.0 20,242,212 5.3 6.5
HS-170490 463,539 1.0 131,358,627 100.0 45,592,764 11.6 8
HS-740400 10,946,850 1.4 128,702,670 15.0 787,062,677 5.9 0
HS-210111 203,359 7.7 116,881,233 100.0 2,655,128 20.3 8
HS-490199 1,590 0.0 106,331,631 74.2 143,345,167 3.9 0
HS-620462 167,420 0.1 96,820,477 42.7 226,336,316 3.3 13
HS-170111 3,211,329 0.8 92,731,162 22.7 394,869,667 9.3 3
HS-060319 5,833 2.8 91,822,685 100.0 206,532 78.7 25
HS-710391 16,901 1.1 86,739,406 100.0 1,595,156 35.4 5
HS-610910 21,827 0.0 62,216,093 31.2 199,371,071 1.7 13
HS-621210 629 0.0 61,830,007 100.0 39,197,110 5.3 13
HS-210690 118,095 0.0 54,692,094 18.0 303,293,495 1.6 76.8
HS-410411 1,670,496 2.8 49,783,645 81.2 59,283,724 10.3 5
HS-630260 1,932 0.0 44,652,732 100.0 23,970,643 6.2 13
HS-330499 89 0.0 40,101,716 11.1 362,466,205 1.3 8
HS-392112 2,376 0.0 40,043,159 100.0 5,414,470 21.7 6.5
HS-760200 1,228,017 0.2 33,841,456 6.3 515,748,799 2.2 0
4. Economic Effects of Korea-Colombia FTA
Table 7.7 The Impact of FTA on the Competitive Products of Korea, TYPE 1
HS6 Code Colombia's IM from Korea Korea's export PEC Colombia's IM Korea Colombia
US$ Share, % to world, US$ % from World, US$ RCA Tariff
HS-870323 50,106,416 11.2 13,438,840,714 100 446,170,664 2.4 35
HS-271019 2,399,439 0.7 12,427,812,869 100 335,691,897 2.3 9.1
HS-847330 2,848,030 2.8 8,882,152,403 100 100,243,278 2.1 5
HS-852990 1,757,107 3.7 8,751,615,197 100 47,468,611 4.8 8.8
HS-901380 2,376 0.0 7,037,834,672 100 6,051,516 12.1 5
HS-870899 3,581,844 4.2 6,167,308,985 100 85,402,866 2.6 10.4
HS-847160 2,750,569 2.6 5,170,574,809 100 107,102,729 3.4 5
HS-870332 19,926,930 69.4 4,090,203,363 100 28,703,436 1.6 35
HS-851712 21,298,936 12.0 3,728,878,001 100 177,155,670 6.1 5
HS-870322 44,675,414 14.7 3,655,657,651 100 303,773,961 2.9 35
HS-854232 53,106 5.8 3,174,082,912 100 915,485 10.1 5
HS-854231 68,839 1.9 2,334,373,779 100 3,581,345 4.5 5
HS-901390 119 0.0 2,298,289,595 100 699,953 16.6 5
HS-847170 787,544 2.8 2,129,611,367 100 27,742,004 1.5 5
HS-851770 55,224 0.2 1,693,298,337 100 22,593,286 4.0 5
HS-847989 684,045 1.2 1,652,700,633 100 55,734,597 1.7 5.7
HS-842952 1,456,681 2.1 1,611,106,532 100 68,436,048 3.7 5
HS-390330 2,272,161 31.3 1,540,137,618 100 7,255,882 12.0 5
HS-853400 246,302 15.8 1,425,509,397 100 1,556,106 2.2 10
HS-841810 5,924,975 21.9 1,342,901,908 100 27,031,973 7.8 20
HS-401110 4,005,763 4.8 1,291,555,243 100 84,012,531 2.2 15
HS-852851 81,011 0.8 1,270,888,506 100 10,472,984 8.2 5
4. Economic Effects of Korea-Peru FTA
Index of Trade Conformity
Trade Intensity Index
 The trade intensity index (T) is used to
determine whether the value of trade
between two countries is greater or
smaller than would be expected on the
basis of their importance in world
trade.
 Iij is defined for country i's exports to
country j as the share of i's exports
going to j (Xij/Xi) relative to the share
of j's imports (Mj) in world imports
(Mw).
 If the trade intensity index takes a
value above (below) unity the
countries have greater (smaller)
bilateral trade than would be expected
based on the partner's share in world
trade.
w
j
i
ij
ij
M
M
X
X
I 
Trade Intensity Index
B
A
World
400 Trade(Imports) = 40,000
500
200
Iab
=(200/500)/(400/40,000)
= 40
Revealed comparative advantage
 Balassa's (1965) measure of
relative export performance
by country and industry,
defined as a country's share
of world exports of a good
divided by its share of total
world exports.
 RCAij is revealed
comparative advantage of
country i in product j.
 Xij and Xi represent country
i’s exports of product j and
total exports.
w
wj
i
ij
ij
X
X
X
X
RCA 
Revealed comparative advantage
B
World
Exports
40,000
5005
200
RCAij=(5/500)/(200/40000)=2
Index of Trade Conformity (ITC)
 Xik (Mik) denotes the product k’s share
in country i’s total exports (imports).
 ITC can have a value from 0 to 1. The
more similar an economy’s export
structure to another economy’s import
structure, the closer the ITC is to 1.
 
 




k k jkik
k jkik
ij
MX
MX
ITC
22
Prod. A’s
export
B’s
import
1 40 4
2 60 6
3 0 0
4 0 0
5 0 0
ITC = 1 ITC = 0
Index of Trade Conformity (ITC)
Prod. A’s
export
B’s
import
1 40 0
2 60 0
3 0 4
4 0 6
5 0 0

Mais conteúdo relacionado

Mais procurados

Exit Poll Release – Q4 ‘06
  	Exit Poll Release – Q4 ‘06    	Exit Poll Release – Q4 ‘06
Exit Poll Release – Q4 ‘06
mensa25
 
Webcast 1 q16 ing(1)
Webcast 1 q16 ing(1)Webcast 1 q16 ing(1)
Webcast 1 q16 ing(1)
Localiza
 

Mais procurados (8)

Dodo pizza monthly update - january 2019
Dodo pizza   monthly update - january 2019Dodo pizza   monthly update - january 2019
Dodo pizza monthly update - january 2019
 
Exit Poll Release – Q4 ‘06
  	Exit Poll Release – Q4 ‘06    	Exit Poll Release – Q4 ‘06
Exit Poll Release – Q4 ‘06
 
EPIC RESEARCH SINGAPORE - Daily SGX Singapore report of 09 February 2015
EPIC RESEARCH SINGAPORE - Daily SGX Singapore report of 09 February 2015EPIC RESEARCH SINGAPORE - Daily SGX Singapore report of 09 February 2015
EPIC RESEARCH SINGAPORE - Daily SGX Singapore report of 09 February 2015
 
Income statementsamsung fiscal year is january december. all values
Income statementsamsung fiscal year is january december. all valuesIncome statementsamsung fiscal year is january december. all values
Income statementsamsung fiscal year is january december. all values
 
Equity Research Report 02 April 2018 Ways2Capital
Equity Research Report 02 April 2018 Ways2CapitalEquity Research Report 02 April 2018 Ways2Capital
Equity Research Report 02 April 2018 Ways2Capital
 
Webcast 1 q16 ing(1)
Webcast 1 q16 ing(1)Webcast 1 q16 ing(1)
Webcast 1 q16 ing(1)
 
May 2018 Real Estate Update for The Woodlands, Texas
May 2018 Real Estate Update for The Woodlands, TexasMay 2018 Real Estate Update for The Woodlands, Texas
May 2018 Real Estate Update for The Woodlands, Texas
 
Greek International Trade
Greek International TradeGreek International Trade
Greek International Trade
 

Semelhante a Example of Analytical method for Economic Evaluation of Free Trade Agreement

Global Logistics pt. 12$22,508,809,010,000.docx
Global Logistics pt. 12$22,508,809,010,000.docxGlobal Logistics pt. 12$22,508,809,010,000.docx
Global Logistics pt. 12$22,508,809,010,000.docx
pauline234567
 
WRI Operating Statement Detail
WRI Operating Statement DetailWRI Operating Statement Detail
WRI Operating Statement Detail
Scott Pickering
 
DATA MINING WITH WEKA
DATA MINING WITH WEKADATA MINING WITH WEKA
DATA MINING WITH WEKA
Shubham Gupta
 

Semelhante a Example of Analytical method for Economic Evaluation of Free Trade Agreement (20)

Global Logistics pt. 12$22,508,809,010,000.docx
Global Logistics pt. 12$22,508,809,010,000.docxGlobal Logistics pt. 12$22,508,809,010,000.docx
Global Logistics pt. 12$22,508,809,010,000.docx
 
FLT catalog
FLT catalogFLT catalog
FLT catalog
 
WRI Operating Statement Detail
WRI Operating Statement DetailWRI Operating Statement Detail
WRI Operating Statement Detail
 
2010科管局企業社會責任報告
2010科管局企業社會責任報告2010科管局企業社會責任報告
2010科管局企業社會責任報告
 
Coparticipación marzo-2015
Coparticipación marzo-2015Coparticipación marzo-2015
Coparticipación marzo-2015
 
New Frontiers in the Political Economy of Minerals & Hydrocarbons: Section III
New Frontiers in the Political Economy of Minerals & Hydrocarbons: Section IIINew Frontiers in the Political Economy of Minerals & Hydrocarbons: Section III
New Frontiers in the Political Economy of Minerals & Hydrocarbons: Section III
 
Health Insurance In Turkey - Bülent EREN (2014)
Health Insurance In Turkey - Bülent EREN (2014)Health Insurance In Turkey - Bülent EREN (2014)
Health Insurance In Turkey - Bülent EREN (2014)
 
Excel Model for Valuation of Natural Gas Firm
Excel Model for Valuation of Natural Gas FirmExcel Model for Valuation of Natural Gas Firm
Excel Model for Valuation of Natural Gas Firm
 
Tablas de ing_econ._1
Tablas de ing_econ._1Tablas de ing_econ._1
Tablas de ing_econ._1
 
$ANF Valuation Model
$ANF Valuation Model$ANF Valuation Model
$ANF Valuation Model
 
bKash equity valuation 2018
bKash equity valuation 2018bKash equity valuation 2018
bKash equity valuation 2018
 
Quarterly balance of payments first quarter 2018 final (1)
Quarterly balance of payments first quarter 2018 final (1)Quarterly balance of payments first quarter 2018 final (1)
Quarterly balance of payments first quarter 2018 final (1)
 
DATA MINING WITH WEKA
DATA MINING WITH WEKADATA MINING WITH WEKA
DATA MINING WITH WEKA
 
Jainam market mirror
Jainam market mirrorJainam market mirror
Jainam market mirror
 
Coparticipación agosto-2015
Coparticipación agosto-2015Coparticipación agosto-2015
Coparticipación agosto-2015
 
Coparticipación enero-2015
Coparticipación enero-2015Coparticipación enero-2015
Coparticipación enero-2015
 
Ekiti State Financial Report for the year 2015
Ekiti State Financial Report for the year 2015Ekiti State Financial Report for the year 2015
Ekiti State Financial Report for the year 2015
 
1Q16 Conference Call
1Q16 Conference Call1Q16 Conference Call
1Q16 Conference Call
 
Three statements model on BX
Three statements model on BXThree statements model on BX
Three statements model on BX
 
Coparticipación setiembre-2015
Coparticipación setiembre-2015Coparticipación setiembre-2015
Coparticipación setiembre-2015
 

Mais de Ira Kristina Lumban Tobing

Mais de Ira Kristina Lumban Tobing (20)

Introduction to the Psychology of International Cooperation Seventeen motivat...
Introduction to the Psychology of International Cooperation Seventeen motivat...Introduction to the Psychology of International Cooperation Seventeen motivat...
Introduction to the Psychology of International Cooperation Seventeen motivat...
 
State of commodity dependance 2019
State of commodity dependance 2019State of commodity dependance 2019
State of commodity dependance 2019
 
UNCTAD ¬ cocoa study industry structures and competition
UNCTAD ¬ cocoa study industry structures and competitionUNCTAD ¬ cocoa study industry structures and competition
UNCTAD ¬ cocoa study industry structures and competition
 
Cocoa ¬ a guide to trade practices of ITC. #NeedToSaveThis
Cocoa ¬   a guide to trade practices of ITC. #NeedToSaveThisCocoa ¬   a guide to trade practices of ITC. #NeedToSaveThis
Cocoa ¬ a guide to trade practices of ITC. #NeedToSaveThis
 
CHOCOLATE GREENWASHING
CHOCOLATE GREENWASHINGCHOCOLATE GREENWASHING
CHOCOLATE GREENWASHING
 
Study on the costs, advantages and disadvantages of cocoa certification commi...
Study on the costs, advantages and disadvantages of cocoa certification commi...Study on the costs, advantages and disadvantages of cocoa certification commi...
Study on the costs, advantages and disadvantages of cocoa certification commi...
 
A Guide to traceAbility A Practical Approach to Advance Sustainability in Glo...
A Guide to traceAbility A Practical Approach to Advance Sustainability in Glo...A Guide to traceAbility A Practical Approach to Advance Sustainability in Glo...
A Guide to traceAbility A Practical Approach to Advance Sustainability in Glo...
 
IDENTIFICATION OF KEY SUCCESS FACTORS OF STRATEGIES IN ENTERING THE INDIAN MA...
IDENTIFICATION OF KEY SUCCESS FACTORS OF STRATEGIES IN ENTERING THE INDIAN MA...IDENTIFICATION OF KEY SUCCESS FACTORS OF STRATEGIES IN ENTERING THE INDIAN MA...
IDENTIFICATION OF KEY SUCCESS FACTORS OF STRATEGIES IN ENTERING THE INDIAN MA...
 
Analysis of Cocoa Beans Processing And Quality in Post Harvest in South East ...
Analysis of Cocoa Beans Processing And Quality in Post Harvest in South East ...Analysis of Cocoa Beans Processing And Quality in Post Harvest in South East ...
Analysis of Cocoa Beans Processing And Quality in Post Harvest in South East ...
 
STRATEGI PEMBANGUNAN DAYA SAING INDUSTRI DALAM NEGERI MENGHADAPI ACFTA
STRATEGI PEMBANGUNAN DAYA SAING INDUSTRI DALAM NEGERI MENGHADAPI ACFTASTRATEGI PEMBANGUNAN DAYA SAING INDUSTRI DALAM NEGERI MENGHADAPI ACFTA
STRATEGI PEMBANGUNAN DAYA SAING INDUSTRI DALAM NEGERI MENGHADAPI ACFTA
 
Marketing Management Course Assignment ~ LG Electronic Global Strategy in Em...
Marketing Management Course Assignment ~  LG Electronic Global Strategy in Em...Marketing Management Course Assignment ~  LG Electronic Global Strategy in Em...
Marketing Management Course Assignment ~ LG Electronic Global Strategy in Em...
 
Marketing Management Course Assignment ~ Brand In the Hand ADIDAS
Marketing Management Course Assignment ~  Brand In the Hand  ADIDASMarketing Management Course Assignment ~  Brand In the Hand  ADIDAS
Marketing Management Course Assignment ~ Brand In the Hand ADIDAS
 
Marketing Management Course Assignment ~ Dove Evolution of a Brand
Marketing Management Course Assignment ~  Dove Evolution of a BrandMarketing Management Course Assignment ~  Dove Evolution of a Brand
Marketing Management Course Assignment ~ Dove Evolution of a Brand
 
Marketing Management Course Assignment ~ Moods of Norway
Marketing Management Course Assignment  ~  Moods of NorwayMarketing Management Course Assignment  ~  Moods of Norway
Marketing Management Course Assignment ~ Moods of Norway
 
Marketing management course assignment ~Marcks and Spencer plan a
Marketing management course assignment   ~Marcks and Spencer plan aMarketing management course assignment   ~Marcks and Spencer plan a
Marketing management course assignment ~Marcks and Spencer plan a
 
Marketing Management Course Assignment ~STARBUCKS
Marketing Management Course Assignment   ~STARBUCKSMarketing Management Course Assignment   ~STARBUCKS
Marketing Management Course Assignment ~STARBUCKS
 
Marketing Management Course Paper Assignment ~LV in India
Marketing Management Course Paper Assignment ~LV in IndiaMarketing Management Course Paper Assignment ~LV in India
Marketing Management Course Paper Assignment ~LV in India
 
Information technology environment ~ ira kristina l. tobing
Information technology environment ~ ira kristina l. tobingInformation technology environment ~ ira kristina l. tobing
Information technology environment ~ ira kristina l. tobing
 
Governmental environment ~ ir kristina l. tobing
Governmental environment ~ ir kristina l. tobingGovernmental environment ~ ir kristina l. tobing
Governmental environment ~ ir kristina l. tobing
 
Fiscal policy ~ ira kristina l. tobing
Fiscal policy ~ ira kristina l. tobingFiscal policy ~ ira kristina l. tobing
Fiscal policy ~ ira kristina l. tobing
 

Último

FULL ENJOY Call Girls In Majnu Ka Tilla, Delhi Contact Us 8377877756
FULL ENJOY Call Girls In Majnu Ka Tilla, Delhi Contact Us 8377877756FULL ENJOY Call Girls In Majnu Ka Tilla, Delhi Contact Us 8377877756
FULL ENJOY Call Girls In Majnu Ka Tilla, Delhi Contact Us 8377877756
dollysharma2066
 
Call Girls Electronic City Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Servi...
Call Girls Electronic City Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Servi...Call Girls Electronic City Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Servi...
Call Girls Electronic City Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Servi...
amitlee9823
 
Call Girls Jp Nagar Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Service Bang...
Call Girls Jp Nagar Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Service Bang...Call Girls Jp Nagar Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Service Bang...
Call Girls Jp Nagar Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Service Bang...
amitlee9823
 
Nelamangala Call Girls: 🍓 7737669865 🍓 High Profile Model Escorts | Bangalore...
Nelamangala Call Girls: 🍓 7737669865 🍓 High Profile Model Escorts | Bangalore...Nelamangala Call Girls: 🍓 7737669865 🍓 High Profile Model Escorts | Bangalore...
Nelamangala Call Girls: 🍓 7737669865 🍓 High Profile Model Escorts | Bangalore...
amitlee9823
 
Call Girls Kengeri Satellite Town Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Gir...
Call Girls Kengeri Satellite Town Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Gir...Call Girls Kengeri Satellite Town Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Gir...
Call Girls Kengeri Satellite Town Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Gir...
amitlee9823
 
unwanted pregnancy Kit [+918133066128] Abortion Pills IN Dubai UAE Abudhabi
unwanted pregnancy Kit [+918133066128] Abortion Pills IN Dubai UAE Abudhabiunwanted pregnancy Kit [+918133066128] Abortion Pills IN Dubai UAE Abudhabi
unwanted pregnancy Kit [+918133066128] Abortion Pills IN Dubai UAE Abudhabi
Abortion pills in Kuwait Cytotec pills in Kuwait
 
Call Girls In Majnu Ka Tilla 959961~3876 Shot 2000 Night 8000
Call Girls In Majnu Ka Tilla 959961~3876 Shot 2000 Night 8000Call Girls In Majnu Ka Tilla 959961~3876 Shot 2000 Night 8000
Call Girls In Majnu Ka Tilla 959961~3876 Shot 2000 Night 8000
dlhescort
 
Call Girls Hebbal Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Service Bangalore
Call Girls Hebbal Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Service BangaloreCall Girls Hebbal Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Service Bangalore
Call Girls Hebbal Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Service Bangalore
amitlee9823
 
The Abortion pills for sale in Qatar@Doha [+27737758557] []Deira Dubai Kuwait
The Abortion pills for sale in Qatar@Doha [+27737758557] []Deira Dubai KuwaitThe Abortion pills for sale in Qatar@Doha [+27737758557] []Deira Dubai Kuwait
The Abortion pills for sale in Qatar@Doha [+27737758557] []Deira Dubai Kuwait
daisycvs
 

Último (20)

FULL ENJOY Call Girls In Majnu Ka Tilla, Delhi Contact Us 8377877756
FULL ENJOY Call Girls In Majnu Ka Tilla, Delhi Contact Us 8377877756FULL ENJOY Call Girls In Majnu Ka Tilla, Delhi Contact Us 8377877756
FULL ENJOY Call Girls In Majnu Ka Tilla, Delhi Contact Us 8377877756
 
Katrina Personal Brand Project and portfolio 1
Katrina Personal Brand Project and portfolio 1Katrina Personal Brand Project and portfolio 1
Katrina Personal Brand Project and portfolio 1
 
Call Girls Electronic City Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Servi...
Call Girls Electronic City Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Servi...Call Girls Electronic City Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Servi...
Call Girls Electronic City Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Servi...
 
Call Girls Jp Nagar Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Service Bang...
Call Girls Jp Nagar Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Service Bang...Call Girls Jp Nagar Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Service Bang...
Call Girls Jp Nagar Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Service Bang...
 
👉Chandigarh Call Girls 👉9878799926👉Just Call👉Chandigarh Call Girl In Chandiga...
👉Chandigarh Call Girls 👉9878799926👉Just Call👉Chandigarh Call Girl In Chandiga...👉Chandigarh Call Girls 👉9878799926👉Just Call👉Chandigarh Call Girl In Chandiga...
👉Chandigarh Call Girls 👉9878799926👉Just Call👉Chandigarh Call Girl In Chandiga...
 
Dr. Admir Softic_ presentation_Green Club_ENG.pdf
Dr. Admir Softic_ presentation_Green Club_ENG.pdfDr. Admir Softic_ presentation_Green Club_ENG.pdf
Dr. Admir Softic_ presentation_Green Club_ENG.pdf
 
The Path to Product Excellence: Avoiding Common Pitfalls and Enhancing Commun...
The Path to Product Excellence: Avoiding Common Pitfalls and Enhancing Commun...The Path to Product Excellence: Avoiding Common Pitfalls and Enhancing Commun...
The Path to Product Excellence: Avoiding Common Pitfalls and Enhancing Commun...
 
Nelamangala Call Girls: 🍓 7737669865 🍓 High Profile Model Escorts | Bangalore...
Nelamangala Call Girls: 🍓 7737669865 🍓 High Profile Model Escorts | Bangalore...Nelamangala Call Girls: 🍓 7737669865 🍓 High Profile Model Escorts | Bangalore...
Nelamangala Call Girls: 🍓 7737669865 🍓 High Profile Model Escorts | Bangalore...
 
Call Girls Zirakpur👧 Book Now📱7837612180 📞👉Call Girl Service In Zirakpur No A...
Call Girls Zirakpur👧 Book Now📱7837612180 📞👉Call Girl Service In Zirakpur No A...Call Girls Zirakpur👧 Book Now📱7837612180 📞👉Call Girl Service In Zirakpur No A...
Call Girls Zirakpur👧 Book Now📱7837612180 📞👉Call Girl Service In Zirakpur No A...
 
Call Girls Kengeri Satellite Town Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Gir...
Call Girls Kengeri Satellite Town Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Gir...Call Girls Kengeri Satellite Town Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Gir...
Call Girls Kengeri Satellite Town Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Gir...
 
(Anamika) VIP Call Girls Napur Call Now 8617697112 Napur Escorts 24x7
(Anamika) VIP Call Girls Napur Call Now 8617697112 Napur Escorts 24x7(Anamika) VIP Call Girls Napur Call Now 8617697112 Napur Escorts 24x7
(Anamika) VIP Call Girls Napur Call Now 8617697112 Napur Escorts 24x7
 
Malegaon Call Girls Service ☎ ️82500–77686 ☎️ Enjoy 24/7 Escort Service
Malegaon Call Girls Service ☎ ️82500–77686 ☎️ Enjoy 24/7 Escort ServiceMalegaon Call Girls Service ☎ ️82500–77686 ☎️ Enjoy 24/7 Escort Service
Malegaon Call Girls Service ☎ ️82500–77686 ☎️ Enjoy 24/7 Escort Service
 
Phases of Negotiation .pptx
 Phases of Negotiation .pptx Phases of Negotiation .pptx
Phases of Negotiation .pptx
 
Mysore Call Girls 8617370543 WhatsApp Number 24x7 Best Services
Mysore Call Girls 8617370543 WhatsApp Number 24x7 Best ServicesMysore Call Girls 8617370543 WhatsApp Number 24x7 Best Services
Mysore Call Girls 8617370543 WhatsApp Number 24x7 Best Services
 
Cracking the Cultural Competence Code.pptx
Cracking the Cultural Competence Code.pptxCracking the Cultural Competence Code.pptx
Cracking the Cultural Competence Code.pptx
 
unwanted pregnancy Kit [+918133066128] Abortion Pills IN Dubai UAE Abudhabi
unwanted pregnancy Kit [+918133066128] Abortion Pills IN Dubai UAE Abudhabiunwanted pregnancy Kit [+918133066128] Abortion Pills IN Dubai UAE Abudhabi
unwanted pregnancy Kit [+918133066128] Abortion Pills IN Dubai UAE Abudhabi
 
Cheap Rate Call Girls In Noida Sector 62 Metro 959961乂3876
Cheap Rate Call Girls In Noida Sector 62 Metro 959961乂3876Cheap Rate Call Girls In Noida Sector 62 Metro 959961乂3876
Cheap Rate Call Girls In Noida Sector 62 Metro 959961乂3876
 
Call Girls In Majnu Ka Tilla 959961~3876 Shot 2000 Night 8000
Call Girls In Majnu Ka Tilla 959961~3876 Shot 2000 Night 8000Call Girls In Majnu Ka Tilla 959961~3876 Shot 2000 Night 8000
Call Girls In Majnu Ka Tilla 959961~3876 Shot 2000 Night 8000
 
Call Girls Hebbal Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Service Bangalore
Call Girls Hebbal Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Service BangaloreCall Girls Hebbal Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Service Bangalore
Call Girls Hebbal Just Call 👗 7737669865 👗 Top Class Call Girl Service Bangalore
 
The Abortion pills for sale in Qatar@Doha [+27737758557] []Deira Dubai Kuwait
The Abortion pills for sale in Qatar@Doha [+27737758557] []Deira Dubai KuwaitThe Abortion pills for sale in Qatar@Doha [+27737758557] []Deira Dubai Kuwait
The Abortion pills for sale in Qatar@Doha [+27737758557] []Deira Dubai Kuwait
 

Example of Analytical method for Economic Evaluation of Free Trade Agreement

  • 1. Analytical Methods for Economic Evaluation of FTAs Chong-Sup Kim
  • 2. Types of preferential trade agreements Free Trade Common External Tariff Factor Movement Policy Harmonization Free Trade Area X Custom Union X X Common Market X X X Economic Union X X X X
  • 3. Economic Effects Trade Creation and Trade Diversion Terms of trade Increasing returns and increased competition Investment
  • 4. Trade Creation  Efficient production of B replaces inefficient domestic production. Country AC 100% tariff RTA with B A 50 50 50 B 40 80 40 C 30 60 60
  • 5. Trade Diversion  Inefficient production of B replaces efficient production of C. Country AC 50% tariff RTA with B A 50 50 50 B 40 60 40 C 30 45 45
  • 6. IR(intra-regional exports/total exports) and Share of RI scheme in total world exports Founded 1960 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 ANZCERTA 1983 5.7 2.4 6.1 2.1 6.2 1.7 6.4 1.4 7.0 1.6 7.6 1.5 EC 1957 34.5 24.9 51.0 39.0 50.0 35.9 54.0 34.9 54.5 35.6 60.4 41.4 CUFTA 1989 26.5 21.9 32.8 20.5 30.6 16.8 26.5 15.1 38.0 16.7 34.0 15.8 ASEAN 1967 4.4 2.6 20.7 2.1 15.9 2.6 16.9 3.7 18.4 3.9 18.6 4.3 ANDEAN PACT 1969 0.7 2.9 2.0 1.6 3.7 1.6 3.8 1.6 3.4 1.2 4.6 0.9 CACM 1961 7.0 0.4 25.7 0.4 23.3 0.3 24.1 0.2 14.7 0.2 14.8 0.1 LAFTA 1960/80 7.9 6.0 9.9 4.4 13.6 3.5 13.7 4.2 8.3 4.7 10.6 3.4 ECOWAS 1975 na na 3.0 1.0 4.2 1.4 3.5 1.7 5.3 1.1 6.0 0.6
  • 8. - Contents - 1. Overview of the Colombian Economy 2. Characteristics of the Colombian Economy 3. Economic Relation between Korea and Colombia 4. Economic Effects of Korea-Colombia FTA
  • 9. 1. Overview of the Colombian Economy Indicator Korea Colombia GDP ($billion) 957 207 GDP per capita ($) 19,750 4,100 Population (1,000,000) 48.5 44.5 Growth rate (%) 4.97 7.55 Inflation rate (%) 2.53 5.65 Exports ($billion) 360 34 Agriculture VA (% of GDP) 3.7 7.8 2007 Indicators
  • 10. 2. Characteristics of the Colombian Economy Colombia’s Trade in Goods 2000-2008 (millions of US$)
  • 11. 2. Characteristics of the Colombian Economy Germany 4% USA 30% Mexico 10% Brazil 8% China 8% Japan 5% Rep. of Korea 4% Others 31% Colombia’s Major Trade Partners by Destination, 2007 (as % of total)
  • 12. 2. Characteristics of the Colombian Economy 0 13% 1 0% 2 5% 3 46% 4 1% 5 8% 6 12% 7 5% 8 7% 9 3% 0 Food and live animals 1 Beverages and tobacco 2 Crude materials, inedible, except fuels 3 Mineral fuels, lubricants and related materials 4 Animal and vegetable oils, fats and waxes 5 Chemicals and related products, n.e.s. 6 Manufactured goods classified chiefly by material 7 Machinery and transport equipment 8 Miscellaneous manufactured articles 9 Commodities and transactions not classified elsewhere in the SITC Colombia’s Exports by Sector in SITC 1 digit, 2008 (as % of total)
  • 13. 2. Characteristics of the Colombian Economy Trade Agreements of Colombia No Name of Free Trade Agreement Progress 1 Colombia-CAN(Bolivia, Ecuador, Peru) FTA Signed the agreement 26th May. 1969 2 Colombia-G2(Mexico) FTA Entry into Force since 1st Jan. 1995 3 Colombia-MERCOSUR FTA Entry into Force since 1st Feb. 2005 (Brazil, Argentina, Uruguay) Entry into Force since 19th Apr. 2005 (Paraguay) 4 Colombia-Chile FTA Entry into Force since 8th May. 2009 5 Colombia-US FTA Signed the agreement 22th Nov. 2006 6 Colombia-North Triangle(Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador) FTA Signed the agreement 9th Aug. 2007 7 Colombia-Canada FTA Signed the agreement 21th Nov. 2008 8 Colombia-EFTA(Swiss, Norway, Ireland, Liechtenstein) FTA Signed the agreement 25th Nov. 2008 9 CAN-EU FTA Negotiations Ongoing by Countries 10 Colombia-Korea FTA Joint Study Ongoing
  • 14. 3. Economic Relation between Korea and Colombia Korea’s Trade with Colombia 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 MillionsofUS$ Korea's export Korea's import
  • 15. 3. Economic Relation between Korea and Peru Korea-Peru Trade Intensity Index Xkp Mkp Xk Mk Xp Mp Xpk Mpk Xw Mw Xkp/Xk Mp/Mw TII(K-P) Xpk/Xp Mk/Mw TII(P-K) 1981 16 72 21,271 26,154 3,247 3,777 55 8 1,915,110 2,001,390 0.0008 0.0019 0.3986 0.0169 0.0131 1.2962 1982 14 83 21,827 24,250 2,919 3,301 55 9 1,775,420 1,864,270 0.0006 0.0018 0.3622 0.0188 0.0130 1.4485 1983 5 53 24,460 26,196 2,577 2,238 29 12 1,730,030 1,808,750 0.0002 0.0012 0.1652 0.0113 0.0145 0.7770 1984 6 63 29,259 30,628 3,086 1,642 2 3 1,837,160 1,921,410 0.0002 0.0009 0.2400 0.0006 0.0159 0.0407 1985 7 108 30,291 31,058 2,981 1,566 64 5 1,874,990 1,976,230 0.0002 0.0008 0.2916 0.0215 0.0157 1.3661 1986 16 112 34,799 31,734 2,505 1,915 43 10 2,044,180 2,147,760 0.0005 0.0009 0.5157 0.0172 0.0148 1.1618 1987 24 91 47,316 41,026 2,605 3,375 48 12 2,416,780 2,510,300 0.0005 0.0013 0.3773 0.0184 0.0163 1.1275 1988 10 90 60,705 51,812 2,689 2,320 51 8 2,763,910 2,875,620 0.0002 0.0008 0.2042 0.0190 0.0180 1.0526 1989 3 90 60,527 60,210 3,488 2,520 68 1 2,986,470 3,110,880 0.0000 0.0008 0.0612 0.0195 0.0194 1.0073 1990 10 94 67,815 74,405 3,276 3,172 80 7 3,382,420 3,517,220 0.0001 0.0009 0.1635 0.0244 0.0212 1.1544 1991 25 137 72,378 81,826 3,329 2,724 83 15 3,493,210 3,635,530 0.0003 0.0007 0.4610 0.0249 0.0225 1.1077 1992 78 115 77,340 82,951 3,484 4,118 123 77 3,747,700 3,894,460 0.0010 0.0011 0.9538 0.0353 0.0213 1.6575 1993 58 85 85,816 86,630 3,465 4,409 124 90 3,722,350 3,795,520 0.0007 0.0012 0.5818 0.0358 0.0228 1.5679 1994 132 89 101,358 102,348 4,507 6,121 139 141 4,256,510 4,319,760 0.0013 0.0014 0.9191 0.0308 0.0237 1.3017 1995 194 131 131,330 135,110 5,513 8,293 159 195 5,080,540 5,141,970 0.0015 0.0016 0.9159 0.0288 0.0263 1.0976 1996 204 181 137,683 150,157 5,854 8,385 164 213 5,302,720 5,388,490 0.0015 0.0016 0.9522 0.0280 0.0279 1.0053 1997 236 104 144,102 144,635 6,707 9,011 95 236 5,527,580 5,596,930 0.0016 0.0016 1.0172 0.0142 0.0258 0.5481 1998 265 62 132,780 93,372 5,700 8,759 42 264 5,398,220 5,525,090 0.0020 0.0016 1.2589 0.0074 0.0169 0.4360 1999 190 78 143,881 119,741 6,019 7,323 91 201 5,665,670 5,821,390 0.0013 0.0013 1.0498 0.0151 0.0206 0.7350 2000 213 143 172,257 160,481 6,872 8,040 134 234 6,385,770 6,593,110 0.0012 0.0012 1.0140 0.0195 0.0243 0.8011 2001 188 116 150,436 141,098 6,944 7,919 109 269 6,139,540 6,381,270 0.0012 0.0012 1.0070 0.0157 0.0221 0.7099 2002 196 205 162,308 152,125 7,648 8,154 166 205 6,432,980 6,628,810 0.0012 0.0012 0.9817 0.0217 0.0229 0.9458 2003 204 194 193,806 178,826 8,860 9,047 177 236 7,516,020 7,748,270 0.0011 0.0012 0.9015 0.0200 0.0231 0.8656 2004 245 283 253,741 224,460 12,469 10,733 202 209 9,131,810 9,486,550 0.0010 0.0011 0.8534 0.0162 0.0237 0.6847 2005 282 249 284,337 261,211 17,291 13,206 228 360 10,367,000 10,754,300 0.0010 0.0012 0.8077 0.0132 0.0243 0.5429 2006 316 657 296,680 281,859 23,744 16,254 550 408 11,945,000 12,370,200 0.0011 0.0013 0.8106 0.0232 0.0228 1.0166 2007 441 928 360,719 365,752 27,784 21,114 815 521 13,867,300 14,458,100 0.0012 0.0015 0.8372 0.0293 0.0253 1.1595
  • 16. 3. Economic Relation between Korea and Colombia Sector 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Food and live animals 0.13 0.09 0.12 0.12 0.17 0.11 Beverages and tobacco - - 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.00 Crude materials, inedible, except fuels 1.90 1.62 1.48 2.96 2.03 3.41 Mineral fuel, lubricants, and related materials 0.01 0.04 20.09 0.32 0.45 0.43 Chemicals and related products 88.38 68.73 114.14 136.07 114.54 169.20 Manufactured goods classified chiefly by material 32.67 47.61 51.87 82.67 92.37 156.44 Machinery and transport equipment 160.75 327.97 422.71 668.42 885.33 730.82 Miscellaneous manufactured articles 12.72 13.42 13.18 22.30 25.74 30.28 Commodities and transactions 0.01 0.00 0.02 0.04 0.03 0.07 Total 296.56 459.47 623.60 912.90 1120.66 1090.76 Korea’s Export to Colombia by Sectors (millions of US$)
  • 17. Sector 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Food and live animals 13.64 17.63 30.68 42.29 34.21 47.16 Crude materials, inedible, except fuels 2.82 4.63 5.48 22.46 34.17 51.26 Animal and vegetable oils, fats, and waxes - 0.03 0.10 0.08 0.15 0.16 Chemicals and related products 0.13 0.09 0.04 0.06 0.35 0.21 Manufactured goods classified chiefly by material 52.62 81.98 98.52 137.40 42.85 39.43 Machinery and transport equipment 0.55 0.16 0.49 0.64 0.65 0.56 Miscellaneous manufactured articles 1.65 1.82 1.49 2.61 3.94 4.65 Commodities and transactions 0.00 - 0.00 0.00 0.00 - Total 71.41 106.34 136.80 205.53 116.31 143.43 Korea’s Import from Colombia by Sectors (millions of US$) 3. Economic Relation between Korea and Colombia
  • 18. Korea’s main exports to Colombia unit: US$ Source: UN COMTRADE SITC Code Description 2007 2008 78439 Other parts, accessories (Motor vehicles) 49,327,868 164,296,522 76411 Telephone sets 65,418,367 40,532,789 57112 Having a specific gravity of 0.94 or more 25,969,134 34,530,074 67682 U,I,H,L,T sections 3,269,426 32,673,487 78219 Motor vehicles for the transport of goods, N.E.S. 27,578,441 24,484,810 57439 Polyesters in primary form, N.E.S. 7,753,795 20,359,675 67321 Of width of 600mm or more 3,318,395 19,541,263 67341 Of a width of 600mm or more 12,999,884 16,922,854 57529 Other acrylic polymers 7,850,137 13,570,221 65163 Other yarn, 9,159,536 11,732,174 74174 Heat exchange units 7,080 11,217,178 72322 Mechanical shovels, excavators and shovel loaders 6,434,118 10,650,096 72471 Household or laundry-type washing machines 8,072,645 10,521,462 51489 Compounds with other nitrogen function 5,472,809 7,830,980 74474 Other continuous-action elevators and conveyors 4,291,616 7,136,651 3. Economic Relation between Korea and Colombia
  • 19. Korea’s main imports from Colombia unit: US$ Source: UN COMTRADE SITC Code Description 2007 2008 07111 Coffee not roasted not decaffeinated 31,118,947 42,216,963 67155 Ferro-nickel 38,840,315 37,708,297 28821 Copper waste and scrap 28,271,640 30,784,955 28823 Alumium waste and scrap 3,129,699 12,122,061 28239 Ferrous waste and scrap, N.E.S 33,291 5,413,978 07131 Extracts, essences and concentrates of coffee 1,632,006 2,738,936 64163 Toilet or facial tissue stock, towel or napkin stock 1,315,898 874,303 21199 Hides and skins, N.E.S, raw 671,441 459,310 61172 Of reptiles 257,258 426,746 88135 Apparatus and equipment for photographic 0 382,641 09899 Other food preparations 192,080 380,452 29198 Ambergris, castoreum, civet and musk 1,905,200 355,395 06111 Cane sugar, raw 78,036 215,124 83111 With outer surface of leather 90,118 210,725 03411 Fish, live 89,306 202,764 3. Economic Relation between Korea and Colombia
  • 20. Korea’s FDI to Colombia Total 47,594 Wholesale and retail trade 41,268 Manufacturing 5,623 Mining and quarrying 515 Information and communications 79 Arts, sports and recreation related services 100 Business facilities management and business support services 8 Unit: US$1000 3. Economic Relation between Korea and Colombia
  • 21. 4. Economic Effects of Korea-Colombia FTA RCA Analysis RCA Indices of Korea’s Main Export Products HS6 Code Commodities Exports, US$ RCA HS-852520 Transmission app 14,021,010,198 4.5 HS-854221 Monolithic integrated circuits, digital 14,008,078,033 4.3 HS-870323 Vehicles, of a cylinder capacity >1500cc but not >3000cc 13,438,840,714 2.4 HS-271019 Petroleum oils & oils obtained from bituminous minerals & preparations 12,427,812,869 2.3 HS-847330 Parts & accessories of the machines of heading 84.71 8,882,152,403 2.1 HS-852990 Other parts suitable 8,751,615,197 4.8 HS-890120 Tankers 8,428,122,076 16.8 HS-890190 Vessels for the transportof goods & for the transportof both persons & goods 7,662,342,637 10.3 HS-901380 Liquid crystal devices not constituting articles 7,037,834,672 12.1 HS-870899 Other parts & accessories for the motor vehicles 6,167,308,985 2.6 HS-847160 Input/output units, whether/not containing storage units in the same housing 5,170,574,809 3.4 HS-870332 Vehicles for the transport of persons, of a cylinder capacity >1500cc but not >2500cc 4,090,203,363 1.6 HS-851712 Telephones for cellular networks/for other wireless networks 3,728,878,001 6.1 HS-870322 Vehicles (excl. of 87.02 & 8703.10), of a cylinder capacity >1000cc but not >1500cc 3,655,657,651 2.9 HS-870324 Vehicles (excl. of 87.02 & 8703.10), of a cylinder capacity >3000cc 3,598,647,198 1.0 HS-854232 Electronic integrated circuits, memories 3,174,082,912 10.1 HS-854229 Monolithic integrated circuits, other than digital 2,880,556,909 2.0 HS-271011 Light petroleum oils & preparations 2,534,466,963 0.7 HS-854231 Electronic integrated circuits, processors & controllers 2,334,373,779 4.5 HS-901390 Parts & accessories of the articles of 90.13 2,298,289,595 16.6 HS-847170 Storage units 2,129,611,367 1.5 HS-852812 Reception app. for television 2,083,660,322 2.1 HS-291736 Terephthalic acid & its salts 1,866,316,613 12.8 HS-851770 Parts of telephone sets 1,693,298,337 4.0 HS-847989 Other machines & mechanical appliances 1,652,700,633 1.7 HS-842952 Self-propelled mechanical shovels & excavators 1,611,106,532 3.7 HS-390330 Acrylonitrile-butadiene-styrene (ABS) copolymers 1,540,137,618 12.0 HS-853400 Printed circuits 1,425,509,397 2.2 HS-854389 Other electrical machines & app 1,410,406,676 4.1 HS-841810 Combined refrigerator-freezers 1,342,901,908 7.8
  • 22. 4. Economic Effects of Korea-Colombia FTA CGE model Macroeconomic indicators Korea Colombia 1 Welfare 0.018 % 0.051 % 2 Real GDP 0.036 % 0.022 % 3 Exports 0.030 % 0.123 % 4 Imports 0.035 % 0.119 %
  • 23. 4. Economic Effects of Korea-Colombia FTA CGE model Sector Production Value Added Imports Exports 1 Agriculture -0.007 -0.009 0.034 0.031 2 Agroindustrial products -0.004 -0.005 0.036 -0.047 3 Fishing -0.003 -0.005 0.024 -0.016 4 Textiles 0.055 0.054 0.086 0.127 5 Wearing apparel -0.056 -0.058 0.070 -0.078 6 Leather products -0.075 -0.077 0.015 -0.081 7 Wood products -0.026 -0.028 0.045 -0.038 8 Mineral and coal -0.030 -0.032 0.024 -0.023 9 Petroleum and petroleum products -0.009 -0.011 0.001 -0.035 10 Chemical, rubber and plastic prod 0.021 0.019 0.073 0.104 11 Ferrous and non ferrous metal prod -0.037 -0.039 0.073 -0.051 12 Electronic and electronic equipment -0.100 -0.102 -0.012 -0.100 13 Machinery and transport equipment 0.063 0.062 0.063 0.221 14 Other manufacturing goods -0.021 -0.023 0.052 -0.003 15 Services -0.002 -0.004 0.056 -0.049
  • 24. Economic Effects of Korea-Colombia FTA Analytical Framework World LatinAmerica Asia KoreaColombia TYPE1 TYPE2 TYPE3TYPE3 TYPE2 Type 1 502 Type 1 1404 Type 2 239 Type 3 57 Type 2 1804 Type 3 1025 RCA>1RCA<1 BeingExportedtoColombia NotbeingExportedtoColombia Categories based on RCA and exports
  • 25. 4. Economic Effects of Korea-Colombia FTA Table 7.4 The Impact of FTA on the Competitive Products of Colombia, TYPE 1 HS6 Code Korea's IM from Colombia Colombia's EX PEC Korea's IM Colombia Korea US$ Share, % to World, US$ % from World, US$ RCA Tariff HS-090111 21,954,049 18.4 1,280,402,071 100.0 119,471,645 78.1 2 HS-720260 79,433,818 14.5 913,553,068 100.0 547,045,319 173.4 3 HS-271011 946,108 0.0 516,381,569 7.2 7,208,356,298 1.9 3.3 HS-080300 69,656 0.1 492,126,783 100.0 121,507,508 46.6 30 HS-620342 273,066 0.2 168,316,536 100.0 144,263,996 5.6 13 HS-390410 5,280 0.0 167,215,549 100.0 31,095,192 11.4 6.5 HS-390210 1,145 0.0 134,866,295 100.0 20,242,212 5.3 6.5 HS-170490 463,539 1.0 131,358,627 100.0 45,592,764 11.6 8 HS-740400 10,946,850 1.4 128,702,670 15.0 787,062,677 5.9 0 HS-210111 203,359 7.7 116,881,233 100.0 2,655,128 20.3 8 HS-490199 1,590 0.0 106,331,631 74.2 143,345,167 3.9 0 HS-620462 167,420 0.1 96,820,477 42.7 226,336,316 3.3 13 HS-170111 3,211,329 0.8 92,731,162 22.7 394,869,667 9.3 3 HS-060319 5,833 2.8 91,822,685 100.0 206,532 78.7 25 HS-710391 16,901 1.1 86,739,406 100.0 1,595,156 35.4 5 HS-610910 21,827 0.0 62,216,093 31.2 199,371,071 1.7 13 HS-621210 629 0.0 61,830,007 100.0 39,197,110 5.3 13 HS-210690 118,095 0.0 54,692,094 18.0 303,293,495 1.6 76.8 HS-410411 1,670,496 2.8 49,783,645 81.2 59,283,724 10.3 5 HS-630260 1,932 0.0 44,652,732 100.0 23,970,643 6.2 13 HS-330499 89 0.0 40,101,716 11.1 362,466,205 1.3 8 HS-392112 2,376 0.0 40,043,159 100.0 5,414,470 21.7 6.5 HS-760200 1,228,017 0.2 33,841,456 6.3 515,748,799 2.2 0
  • 26. 4. Economic Effects of Korea-Colombia FTA Table 7.7 The Impact of FTA on the Competitive Products of Korea, TYPE 1 HS6 Code Colombia's IM from Korea Korea's export PEC Colombia's IM Korea Colombia US$ Share, % to world, US$ % from World, US$ RCA Tariff HS-870323 50,106,416 11.2 13,438,840,714 100 446,170,664 2.4 35 HS-271019 2,399,439 0.7 12,427,812,869 100 335,691,897 2.3 9.1 HS-847330 2,848,030 2.8 8,882,152,403 100 100,243,278 2.1 5 HS-852990 1,757,107 3.7 8,751,615,197 100 47,468,611 4.8 8.8 HS-901380 2,376 0.0 7,037,834,672 100 6,051,516 12.1 5 HS-870899 3,581,844 4.2 6,167,308,985 100 85,402,866 2.6 10.4 HS-847160 2,750,569 2.6 5,170,574,809 100 107,102,729 3.4 5 HS-870332 19,926,930 69.4 4,090,203,363 100 28,703,436 1.6 35 HS-851712 21,298,936 12.0 3,728,878,001 100 177,155,670 6.1 5 HS-870322 44,675,414 14.7 3,655,657,651 100 303,773,961 2.9 35 HS-854232 53,106 5.8 3,174,082,912 100 915,485 10.1 5 HS-854231 68,839 1.9 2,334,373,779 100 3,581,345 4.5 5 HS-901390 119 0.0 2,298,289,595 100 699,953 16.6 5 HS-847170 787,544 2.8 2,129,611,367 100 27,742,004 1.5 5 HS-851770 55,224 0.2 1,693,298,337 100 22,593,286 4.0 5 HS-847989 684,045 1.2 1,652,700,633 100 55,734,597 1.7 5.7 HS-842952 1,456,681 2.1 1,611,106,532 100 68,436,048 3.7 5 HS-390330 2,272,161 31.3 1,540,137,618 100 7,255,882 12.0 5 HS-853400 246,302 15.8 1,425,509,397 100 1,556,106 2.2 10 HS-841810 5,924,975 21.9 1,342,901,908 100 27,031,973 7.8 20 HS-401110 4,005,763 4.8 1,291,555,243 100 84,012,531 2.2 15 HS-852851 81,011 0.8 1,270,888,506 100 10,472,984 8.2 5
  • 27. 4. Economic Effects of Korea-Peru FTA Index of Trade Conformity
  • 28.
  • 29. Trade Intensity Index  The trade intensity index (T) is used to determine whether the value of trade between two countries is greater or smaller than would be expected on the basis of their importance in world trade.  Iij is defined for country i's exports to country j as the share of i's exports going to j (Xij/Xi) relative to the share of j's imports (Mj) in world imports (Mw).  If the trade intensity index takes a value above (below) unity the countries have greater (smaller) bilateral trade than would be expected based on the partner's share in world trade. w j i ij ij M M X X I 
  • 30. Trade Intensity Index B A World 400 Trade(Imports) = 40,000 500 200 Iab =(200/500)/(400/40,000) = 40
  • 31. Revealed comparative advantage  Balassa's (1965) measure of relative export performance by country and industry, defined as a country's share of world exports of a good divided by its share of total world exports.  RCAij is revealed comparative advantage of country i in product j.  Xij and Xi represent country i’s exports of product j and total exports. w wj i ij ij X X X X RCA 
  • 33. Index of Trade Conformity (ITC)  Xik (Mik) denotes the product k’s share in country i’s total exports (imports).  ITC can have a value from 0 to 1. The more similar an economy’s export structure to another economy’s import structure, the closer the ITC is to 1.         k k jkik k jkik ij MX MX ITC 22
  • 34. Prod. A’s export B’s import 1 40 4 2 60 6 3 0 0 4 0 0 5 0 0 ITC = 1 ITC = 0 Index of Trade Conformity (ITC) Prod. A’s export B’s import 1 40 0 2 60 0 3 0 4 4 0 6 5 0 0