The document discusses whether it is time to short the Chinese yuan against major currencies due to concerns about China's economic outlook. It points to China's potential real estate bubble and hidden debt as risks, as well as slowing exports due to weakness in Europe. The document advocates using fundamental analysis of factors like economic stability and technical analysis of market sentiment to identify short-term opportunities for trading currencies like the yuan.

1. Time to Short the Yuan
By: www.TheForexNittyGritty.com

2. China may be heading into an
economic crisis. Is it time to short
the Yuan against major Forex
currencies? If it is time to short the
Yuan, which currency should one
trade against?
By: http://www.theforexnittygritty.com/forex/time-to-short-the-yuan

3. If the Chinese economy tanks
Australia will be hit as it exports a
lot of raw material to China. Japan
is a major trading partner of China.
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4. Will the Yen devalue further if the
Yuan falls? Is Canada and the CAD
safe? How about the US dollar if
the Chinese currency falls due to a
debt crisis and falling exports or,
even worse, a political crisis?
By: http://www.theforexnittygritty.com/forex/time-to-short-the-yuan

5. Forex Factors and How they
Affect the Yuan
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6. Fundamental analysis of Forex
pairs requires good fundamental
analysis followed by up to the
minute technical analysis. The
value of a currency depends on
politics, monetary policy, balance
of trade, currency reserves and
economic stability.
By: http://www.theforexnittygritty.com/forex/time-to-short-the-yuan

7. Shorter term, technical analysis of
market sentiment hinges on
pronouncements and actions of
central banks and technical trading
factors.
By: http://www.theforexnittygritty.com/forex/time-to-short-the-yuan

8. While technical analysis can give
traders an advantage in short term
trading, the fundamentals are what
drive currency prices over the long
term.
By: http://www.theforexnittygritty.com/forex/time-to-short-the-yuan

9. How to trade Forex successfully is
typically to use fundamental
analysis of Forex pairs to gain a
sense of the market possibility and
technical analysis to spot short
term opportunity. With these
caveats in mind, what drives the
Yuan today?
By: http://www.theforexnittygritty.com/forex/time-to-short-the-yuan

10. Real Estate Bubble
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11. China is overbuilt. At lease on the
high end there are way too many
big projects that are sitting empty.
At the same time many smaller
projects that could benefit the
community are not happening.
By: http://www.theforexnittygritty.com/forex/time-to-short-the-yuan

12. Capital that went into mega
construction projects is not making
money and at some point foreign
investment will back off. If the real
estate bubble in China collapses it
may well bring the value of the
Yuan down with it.
By: http://www.theforexnittygritty.com/forex/time-to-short-the-yuan

13. Debt Crisis
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14. Transparency has never been of
China’s strong points. Hidden debt
and unaccounted debt threaten to
bring down the Chinese economic
system.
By: http://www.theforexnittygritty.com/forex/time-to-short-the-yuan

15. The situation is reminiscent of
Japan twenty years ago when the
Japanese economy was riding high
and Japanese investors were buying
Rockefeller Center and the Pebble
Beach golf course.
By: http://www.theforexnittygritty.com/forex/time-to-short-the-yuan

16. The situation is reminiscent of
Japan twenty years ago when the
Japanese economy was riding high
and Japanese investors were buying
Rockefeller Center and the Pebble
Beach golf course.
By: http://www.theforexnittygritty.com/forex/time-to-short-the-yuan

17. Slowing Exports
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18. The worst recession in three
quarters of a century has taken its
toll on China. Its biggest customer
is Europe and the EU is ridden
with recessions and flirting with
loss of members on its southern
flank.
By: http://www.theforexnittygritty.com/forex/time-to-short-the-yuan

19. With exports down the rate of
growth in China is has fallen from
the ten percent per year level over
the last years to 7.5%. Economists
are projecting that the next stop
will be 5% a year and even lower.
By: http://www.theforexnittygritty.com/forex/time-to-short-the-yuan

20. How to trade Forex successfully in
this case is to be aware of the
fundamentals that drive the Yuan
versus the Euro, USD, and other
major currencies and trade
accordingly. If you are going to
short the Yuan do your own
fundamental and technical analysis
and do not rely on tips.
By: http://www.theforexnittygritty.com/forex/time-to-short-the-yuan