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Maintaining CdTe manufacturing cost advantage




Scottsdale
January 21, 2011
Abound Solar overview
Product               CdTe photovoltaic modules

Market focus          Utility and commercial scale projects

History               Nearly 20 years of development at Colorado State
                      University; spun out in 2007

Production            Ramping first factory to 200MW, 840MW total capacity by
                      2014

Location              100% USA Manufacturing




 Abound Solar, Inc.                 Confidential                            1
Abound – Key Metrics


                      • Headquarters: Loveland, Colorado
       Locations      • Plant 1: Longmont, Colorado
                      • Plant 2: Tipton, Indiana (to be constructed)

    Nameplate         • 2010: 65 MW
   Manufacturing      • 2012: 200 MW
     Capacity         • 2014: >800 MW


 Median Efficiency    • November 2010: ~10%



                      • First factory: < $0.90 per watt
  Production Cost
                      • GW-scale: < $0.60 per watt



      Capex Cost      • < $1.00 per watt of capacity




 Abound Solar, Inc.                      Confidential                  2
Step 1: Choose the right technology
CdTe can offer sustainable cost advantage




Source:   Lux Research
    Abound Solar, Inc.            Confidential   3
Step 2: Drive production volumes
First Solar scale curve shows 15% cost reduction with every doubling of volume


                             3.00
                                        2004


                             2.50
   Production cost ($ / W)




                             2.00
                                         2005
                             1.50

                                        2006    2007
                                                              2008
                             1.00                                              2009

                                                                                      2010          20111
                             0.50


                             0.00
                                    0              500                  1000                 1500           2000
                                                       Annual production run-rate (MW)
1) Projected
Sources: First Solar, Barclays Capital
              Abound Solar, Inc.                               Confidential                                    4
Industry supply curve shows increasing cost of marginal
efficiency gains
                                     2.00
                                                                                                     SunPower

                                                                                           Suntech
           Production cost ($ / W)




                                     1.50

                                                                                     Trina

                                     1.00                  Trony


                                                                             First Solar
                                     0.50



                                     0.00
                                            0%            5%              10%                 15%          20%
                                                           Module conversion efficiency


Sources: UBS, Barclays Capital, BCG, company financials
    Abound Solar, Inc.                                             Confidential                                  5
Efficiency-adjusted pricing shows demand for efficiency

                                                                                                    SunPower
                          2.00
                                                                                        Suntech

                                                                              First Solar
                                                                                            Trina
                          1.50
            ASP ($ / W)




                          1.00
                                                             a-Si1
                                                       (single junction)



                          0.50



                          0.00
                                 0%                        5%                 10%            15%      20%
                                                           Module conversion efficiency

1) a-Si pricing estimated due to lack of comparable
Sources: Greentech Media, juwi Solar, company financials
    Abound Solar, Inc.                                                 Confidential                            6
Profitability driven by gap between production cost and
marketing willingness-to-pay
              2.00                                                          FIT reductions
                                                                            Market pressure


              1.50
        $/W




              1.00          Demand                                Technological innovations
                                                                  Production scale
                             Supply
                                                                  Vertical integration


              0.50



              0.00
                      0%         5%               10%       15%             20%
                                  Module conversion efficiency

                Margin provides greatest room for error as prices and costs drop
 Abound Solar, Inc.                      Confidential                                   7
Abound Solar driving to lowest manufacturing costs


1) Select fundamentally robust and proven semiconductor

2) Simplify production process

3) Drive yields and efficiencies

4) Increase production scale




  Abound Solar, Inc.               Confidential           8
Next generation CdTe – Doing it better, faster and simpler


                                 Abound Production Process Using
                                 Closed Space Sublimation (“CSS”)
                       • Proprietary semiconductor deposition process (single tool)
                       • Patented




        Operational
                                         Capex Advantages                   Product Advantages
        Advantages
• Higher yields                       • Less costly/complex               • Stronger modules
                                        equipment
• Better materials utilization                                            • More reliable modules
                                      • Common hardware
• Greater uniformity                                                      • Lower voltage (lower BOS
                                      • Fewer downstream                    costs for customers)
• Higher throughput                     process steps
                                                                          • All black (aesthetics)
• Fewer process steps                 • Significantly smaller
• Easier to optimize                    production footprint
  semiconductor process



 Abound Solar, Inc.                             Confidential                                           9
Rapid scale-up versus First Solar validates the
manufacturability of Abound’s process
                       Modules Produced1,2                                                                Line Yield1,2

                  Produced 67,000 modules in September                                        85% yield after 1st year of production




                                                                   Module Power1,3,4

                                          Achieved >68 Wp average module power five years faster




                            Ramping module efficiency ~5.5x faster than First Solar
Notes:
1 Abound Solar data beginning 9/09
2 First Solar data beginning 6/01 from NREL report
3 First Solar 2009 Analyst Day Presentation and Abound estimates
     Abound Solar, Inc.                                               Confidential                                                     10
Leverage DOE loan guarantee to scale production

On December 9, Abound closed on $400M loan guarantee from US Department of
Energy

Two US Manufacturing sites
   • Longmont, Colorado (200 MW)
   • Tipton, Indiana (640 MW)




 Abound Solar, Inc.                Confidential                              11
November 2009: 50kW in Oregon




 Abound Solar, Inc.    Confidential   12
March 2010: 190kW in California




 Abound Solar, Inc.      Confidential   13
June 2010: 800kW in Germany




 Abound Solar, Inc.    Confidential   14
July 2010: 2,400kW in Germany




 Abound Solar, Inc.     Confidential   15
November 2010: 5,600kW in Germany




 Abound Solar, Inc.   Confidential   16
Summary


Market pricing provides diminishing returns to higher efficiencies

Higher marginal cost to efficiency improvements as overall efficiency increases

Largest margin exists for low-cost 10-13% CdTe modules

Abound pursuing multi-pronged strategy to aggressively reduce costs while
optimizing efficiency




  Abound Solar, Inc.                 Confidential                                 17

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Maintaining CdTe cost advantages over competing technologies

  • 1. Maintaining CdTe manufacturing cost advantage Scottsdale January 21, 2011
  • 2. Abound Solar overview Product CdTe photovoltaic modules Market focus Utility and commercial scale projects History Nearly 20 years of development at Colorado State University; spun out in 2007 Production Ramping first factory to 200MW, 840MW total capacity by 2014 Location 100% USA Manufacturing Abound Solar, Inc. Confidential 1
  • 3. Abound – Key Metrics • Headquarters: Loveland, Colorado Locations • Plant 1: Longmont, Colorado • Plant 2: Tipton, Indiana (to be constructed) Nameplate • 2010: 65 MW Manufacturing • 2012: 200 MW Capacity • 2014: >800 MW Median Efficiency • November 2010: ~10% • First factory: < $0.90 per watt Production Cost • GW-scale: < $0.60 per watt Capex Cost • < $1.00 per watt of capacity Abound Solar, Inc. Confidential 2
  • 4. Step 1: Choose the right technology CdTe can offer sustainable cost advantage Source: Lux Research Abound Solar, Inc. Confidential 3
  • 5. Step 2: Drive production volumes First Solar scale curve shows 15% cost reduction with every doubling of volume 3.00 2004 2.50 Production cost ($ / W) 2.00 2005 1.50 2006 2007 2008 1.00 2009 2010 20111 0.50 0.00 0 500 1000 1500 2000 Annual production run-rate (MW) 1) Projected Sources: First Solar, Barclays Capital Abound Solar, Inc. Confidential 4
  • 6. Industry supply curve shows increasing cost of marginal efficiency gains 2.00 SunPower Suntech Production cost ($ / W) 1.50 Trina 1.00 Trony First Solar 0.50 0.00 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% Module conversion efficiency Sources: UBS, Barclays Capital, BCG, company financials Abound Solar, Inc. Confidential 5
  • 7. Efficiency-adjusted pricing shows demand for efficiency SunPower 2.00 Suntech First Solar Trina 1.50 ASP ($ / W) 1.00 a-Si1 (single junction) 0.50 0.00 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% Module conversion efficiency 1) a-Si pricing estimated due to lack of comparable Sources: Greentech Media, juwi Solar, company financials Abound Solar, Inc. Confidential 6
  • 8. Profitability driven by gap between production cost and marketing willingness-to-pay 2.00 FIT reductions Market pressure 1.50 $/W 1.00 Demand Technological innovations Production scale Supply Vertical integration 0.50 0.00 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% Module conversion efficiency Margin provides greatest room for error as prices and costs drop Abound Solar, Inc. Confidential 7
  • 9. Abound Solar driving to lowest manufacturing costs 1) Select fundamentally robust and proven semiconductor 2) Simplify production process 3) Drive yields and efficiencies 4) Increase production scale Abound Solar, Inc. Confidential 8
  • 10. Next generation CdTe – Doing it better, faster and simpler Abound Production Process Using Closed Space Sublimation (“CSS”) • Proprietary semiconductor deposition process (single tool) • Patented Operational Capex Advantages Product Advantages Advantages • Higher yields • Less costly/complex • Stronger modules equipment • Better materials utilization • More reliable modules • Common hardware • Greater uniformity • Lower voltage (lower BOS • Fewer downstream costs for customers) • Higher throughput process steps • All black (aesthetics) • Fewer process steps • Significantly smaller • Easier to optimize production footprint semiconductor process Abound Solar, Inc. Confidential 9
  • 11. Rapid scale-up versus First Solar validates the manufacturability of Abound’s process Modules Produced1,2 Line Yield1,2 Produced 67,000 modules in September 85% yield after 1st year of production Module Power1,3,4 Achieved >68 Wp average module power five years faster Ramping module efficiency ~5.5x faster than First Solar Notes: 1 Abound Solar data beginning 9/09 2 First Solar data beginning 6/01 from NREL report 3 First Solar 2009 Analyst Day Presentation and Abound estimates Abound Solar, Inc. Confidential 10
  • 12. Leverage DOE loan guarantee to scale production On December 9, Abound closed on $400M loan guarantee from US Department of Energy Two US Manufacturing sites • Longmont, Colorado (200 MW) • Tipton, Indiana (640 MW) Abound Solar, Inc. Confidential 11
  • 13. November 2009: 50kW in Oregon Abound Solar, Inc. Confidential 12
  • 14. March 2010: 190kW in California Abound Solar, Inc. Confidential 13
  • 15. June 2010: 800kW in Germany Abound Solar, Inc. Confidential 14
  • 16. July 2010: 2,400kW in Germany Abound Solar, Inc. Confidential 15
  • 17. November 2010: 5,600kW in Germany Abound Solar, Inc. Confidential 16
  • 18. Summary Market pricing provides diminishing returns to higher efficiencies Higher marginal cost to efficiency improvements as overall efficiency increases Largest margin exists for low-cost 10-13% CdTe modules Abound pursuing multi-pronged strategy to aggressively reduce costs while optimizing efficiency Abound Solar, Inc. Confidential 17