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“ All the World’s a Stage” Ian Miles  –   Manchester Institute of Innovation Research MBS - University of Manchester Ian.Miles@mbs.ac.uk  Knowledge Economy and  Information Society 2 – Information Society Evolution
Course material should be available on webct – but in the meantime go to http:// www.freewebs.com/mioir/keisintro.htm
This seminar: ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Understanding Information Society ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Sociotechnical Approach to Information Society ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],  CHRIS FREEMAN’s classes of Innovation: Incremental ------  Radical ------------ Revolutionary Local, minor change in product or process   Substantial change usually based on new understanding   Major and wide-ranging change based on breakthroughs of far-reaching significance
Revolutionary Technology ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
An IT  Revolution? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
A Sociotechnical Approach – Eras as related to Technological revolutions: ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Opportunities are grasped … ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],… leading to widespread change Not IMPACTS – strategies, counterstrategies, partial knowledge and visions
Technological revolutions - social phenomena, involving: ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Sociotechnical Approach: ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Is Information Society evolving? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Evolution of Computing: Moore’s Law etc. ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Various measures of computer power Time    Envelope curve  (systems of all types )
Evolution of Computing: Mark Weiser’s Overview source: http://www.ubiq.com/hypertext/weiser/UbiHome.html Sales/Year Envelope curve  (systems of all types ) MAINFRAME: one computer serves many people  PC: one  ----- computer per person  UBIQUITY:  --- many  --------- computers per person
Information Society   v1.0 - v4.0 http://www.emeraldinsight.com/Insight/ViewContentServlet?Filename=Published/EmeraldFullTextArticle/Pdf/2720070203.pdf   Distant Local Mobile Ubiquitous 1960s/ 70s  1980s/ mid90s  mid1990s/ 2000s  2010s?/?
Information Society v1.0 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Information Technology (Mainframes) Distant Local Mobile Ubiquitous 1960s/ 70s  1980s/ mid90s  mid1990s/ 2000s  2010s?/?
Information Society v2.0 Information Technology (PCs) Distant Local Mobile Ubiquitous 1960s/ 70s  1980s/ mid90s  mid1990s/ 2000s  2010s?/?  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Information Society v3.0 Information Technology  (Notebooks, Web) Distant Local Mobile Ubiquitous 1960s/ 70s  1980s/ mid90s  mid1990s/ 2000s  2010s?/?  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Information Society v4.0 Information Technology (AmI) Distant Local Mobile Ubiquitous 1960s/ 70s  1980s/ mid90s  mid1990s/ 2000s  2010s?/?  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Four “phases” of Information Society Islands Archipelago Continent Ecosystem 1960s/70s  1980s/90s  1990s/2000s  ?2010  Distant     Local     Mobile     Ubiquitous
Evolution of Information Society: Some Issues ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Additional Powerpoints ,[object Object],[object Object]
End of Presentation (if there is not time for the remaining slides!)
Moore’s  Law (original) Number of transistors on a chip – Gordon Moore (Intel) noted in 1965 that this was doubling every 18 months  (these data – 2 years) This example from: http://www.kurzweilai.net/articles/art0593.html?printable=1 Try a google/ google image search on “Moore’s Law”.
Moore’s  Law (original) Number of transistors on a chip – Image from Wikipedia Try a google/ google image search on “Moore’s Law”.
Moore’s  Law:  Computer Power From a Scientific American article 1960  1970  1980  1990   Millions of Instructions  per second (MIPS) 100 10 1.0 0.1 .01 Mainframe Minicompr PC Embedded
Moore’s  Law (extended) Estimate of PROCESSING POWER (and cost)  Kurzweil Image from Wikipedia “ Moore's Law of Integrated Circuits was not the first, but the fifth paradigm to provide accelerating price-performance. Computing devices have been consistently multiplying in power (per unit of time) from the mechanical calculating devices used in the 1890 U.S. Census, to Turing's relay-based "Robinson" machine that cracked the Nazi enigma code, to the CBS vacuum tube computer that predicted the election of Eisenhower, to the transistor-based machines used in the first space launches, to the integrated-circuit-based personal [computers]. “
Power increase, price decrease 1.6 years
Similar trends – sometimes even more rapid – for many other elements of IT Even Hard Disc Drives!
More attractive technology – cheaper, powerful: liable to be adopted
But is it a “Law”? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Law and Order ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Tuomi’s Analysis ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Stages of Information Society Evolution

  • 1. “ All the World’s a Stage” Ian Miles – Manchester Institute of Innovation Research MBS - University of Manchester Ian.Miles@mbs.ac.uk Knowledge Economy and Information Society 2 – Information Society Evolution
  • 2. Course material should be available on webct – but in the meantime go to http:// www.freewebs.com/mioir/keisintro.htm
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  • 14. Evolution of Computing: Mark Weiser’s Overview source: http://www.ubiq.com/hypertext/weiser/UbiHome.html Sales/Year Envelope curve (systems of all types ) MAINFRAME: one computer serves many people PC: one ----- computer per person UBIQUITY: --- many --------- computers per person
  • 15. Information Society v1.0 - v4.0 http://www.emeraldinsight.com/Insight/ViewContentServlet?Filename=Published/EmeraldFullTextArticle/Pdf/2720070203.pdf Distant Local Mobile Ubiquitous 1960s/ 70s 1980s/ mid90s mid1990s/ 2000s 2010s?/?
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  • 20. Four “phases” of Information Society Islands Archipelago Continent Ecosystem 1960s/70s 1980s/90s 1990s/2000s ?2010 Distant  Local  Mobile  Ubiquitous
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  • 23. End of Presentation (if there is not time for the remaining slides!)
  • 24. Moore’s Law (original) Number of transistors on a chip – Gordon Moore (Intel) noted in 1965 that this was doubling every 18 months (these data – 2 years) This example from: http://www.kurzweilai.net/articles/art0593.html?printable=1 Try a google/ google image search on “Moore’s Law”.
  • 25. Moore’s Law (original) Number of transistors on a chip – Image from Wikipedia Try a google/ google image search on “Moore’s Law”.
  • 26. Moore’s Law: Computer Power From a Scientific American article 1960 1970 1980 1990  Millions of Instructions per second (MIPS) 100 10 1.0 0.1 .01 Mainframe Minicompr PC Embedded
  • 27. Moore’s Law (extended) Estimate of PROCESSING POWER (and cost) Kurzweil Image from Wikipedia “ Moore's Law of Integrated Circuits was not the first, but the fifth paradigm to provide accelerating price-performance. Computing devices have been consistently multiplying in power (per unit of time) from the mechanical calculating devices used in the 1890 U.S. Census, to Turing's relay-based "Robinson" machine that cracked the Nazi enigma code, to the CBS vacuum tube computer that predicted the election of Eisenhower, to the transistor-based machines used in the first space launches, to the integrated-circuit-based personal [computers]. “
  • 28. Power increase, price decrease 1.6 years
  • 29. Similar trends – sometimes even more rapid – for many other elements of IT Even Hard Disc Drives!
  • 30. More attractive technology – cheaper, powerful: liable to be adopted
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