Spatial ICTs for risk identification and risk reduction:Three geographic scales and three challenges

Spatial ICTs for risk identification and risk reduction: Three geographic scales and three challenges Uwe Deichmann Development Research Group World Bank, Washington DC <udeichmann@worldbank.org> International Day on Disaster Risk Reduction at the World Bank Disaster Risk Management in the Information Age October 8-9, 2008

ICTs are widely used, but challenges remain ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Bank initiatives at three geographic scales ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

The standard risk assessment model applies across spatial scales Damages Losses Mitigation or risk transfer policy analysis, costs/benefits e.g., average annual losses, loss exceedance curves damage ratios Hazard probability Exposure Vulnerability people, assets social/econ/phys conditions geophysical drivers

Combining information on hazards … Severe Storms, 1981 - 2000 World Bank/Columbia University: Natural Disaster Hotspots Study 2005 based on storm track data compiled by UNEP-GRID Geneva Cyclone Frequency Global Analysis: Natural Disaster Risk Hotspots

… and exposure … Population distribution

… to generate risk profiles Multi-hazard mortality risk hotspots Updated global analysis forthcoming in the UN/WB Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction 2009

Country catastrophic risk assessment ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Local risk identification: Use of very high resolution satellite data ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Challenges ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

What to do ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Spatial ICTs for risk identification and risk reduction:Three geographic scales and three challenges

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