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Sasumua: linking a landscape and
institutional mosaic to climate change
               in Kenya




      Meine van Noordwijk and Thomas Yatich
        World Agroforestry Centre (ICRAF)

        2009 Forest Day 3, Learning Event

                                WORLD AGROFORESTRY CENTRE
WORLD AGROFORESTRY CENTRE
Globally Appropriate Mitigation Actions (GAMA)




Nationally Appropriate Mitigation Actions (NAMA)
                                         Landscape
                                       approaches to
                                        adaptation +
                                         mitigation
Locally Appropriate Mitigation Actions (LAMA)

                                    WORLD AGROFORESTRY CENTRE
WORLD AGROFORESTRY CENTRE
¾Administrative
mosaic
¾Ethnic and social
affinity mosaic
¾Watershed hierar-
chies
¾Patchwork of ve-
getation
¾Patchwork of land
access/ forest class
rules
WORLD AGROFORESTRY CENTRE
rainfall      cloud
                                                           canopy water
What matters most in a ‘forest’:
                               interception
                                                            evaporation
                                                            transpiration
                                                              surface

                                                   the treesevaporation

                               through-fall

the landscape                     stem-flow
                                                            surface
                                                            run-on
Stream:
        surface    infiltration

flow   {
quick- run-off
         lateral
                          recharge
                                                   the soil sub-
                                                            surface


base
       outflow
                                 ?        uptake            lateral
                                                            inflow
                                               WORLD AGROFORESTRY CENTRE

flow               percolation
Myth-use of forest hydrology for
                maintaining political control over land
    1
        4

            2
        3
5




                                WORLD AGROFORESTRY CENTRE
http://presa.worldagroforestry.org/files/2009/07/presasasumua.pdf




                                 WORLD AGROFORESTRY CENTRE
Paradigm CES:     Paradigm COS:                   Paradigm CIS: ‘Co-
‘Commoditized ES’ ‘Compensating                   investment in
or markets for    Opportunities                   Stewardship’ and
commoditized      Skipped’ or paying               co-manage-ment of
environmental service   land users for accepting land-scapes for redu-
procure-ment (or land   man-datory or volun- cing poverty and
use proxies with        tary restrictions on their enhancing ES, sharing
periodic full impact    use of land                risk and responsibility
study)




                                                WORLD AGROFORESTRY CENTRE
WORLD AGROFORESTRY CENTRE
Predictability of rainfall at gro-
                                            wing-season scale is still low




 July 2009 Forecast
 of El Nino condi-
 tions: above-average
 rainfall in Kenya
 In fact: late start of
 rains, below-average
 total as yet; water
 rationing in Nairobi
                                                       WORLD AGROFORESTRY CENTRE

http://portal.iri.columbia.edu/portal/server.pt
+
           Dam & spillway
            under repair
                                 Chania river intake



~ 50 NTU                      5-10 NTU




                            WORLD AGROFORESTRY CENTRE
Lesson 2




           WORLD AGROFORESTRY CENTRE
WORLD AGROFORESTRY CENTRE
http://presa.worldagroforestry.org/files/2009/07/presasasumua.pdf
                                        Stakeholders
                                        • Local farmers organizations
                                        • Nairobi City Water and
                                        Sewerage Company
                                        • Water Resources
                                        Management Authority
                                        • Athi River Water Services
                                        Board
                                        • Kenya Forestry Service
                                        • Ministry of Livestock.

                                       Research Partners
                                       • World Agroforestry Centre
                                       (ICRAF);
                                       • National Environment
                                       Management Authority (NEMA)
                                       of
                                       Kenya
                                       • Jomo Kenyatta University of
                                       Agriculture and Technology

                                    WORLD AGROFORESTRY CENTRE
                     Nairobi
Rapid/replicable Hydrological Appraisal (RHA: 6
 months, 5k$) integrates 3 types of knowledge

                  Public/Policy
                   Ecological
                   Knowledge




       Local                        Hydrologist
     Ecological                     Ecological
     Knowledge                      Knowledge
                                  WORLD AGROFORESTRY CENTRE
WORLD AGROFORESTRY CENTRE
WORLD AGROFORESTRY CENTRE
Lesson 3




           WORLD AGROFORESTRY CENTRE
performance
new components &                         indicators
technologies
                         Landscape
                                                       actors,
                           mosaic
          Plots (land use s.s.)
                                                       stake-holders

          Matrix (filter) resource
                        interactions
          Roads/streams (channel)



           agreed         Negotiation
           changes         process
           spontaneous
           change
                                        WORLD AGROFORESTRY CENTRE
                    Negotiation Support System: tool + process
WORLD AGROFORESTRY CENTRE
Lesson 4




           WORLD AGROFORESTRY CENTRE
WORLD AGROFORESTRY CENTRE
WORLD AGROFORESTRY CENTRE
WORLD AGROFORESTRY CENTRE
Conclusions:
1. NAMA between LAMA and GAMA
2. LAMA: Mosaic of mosaics
   •   Administrative mosaic
   •   Ethnic and social affinity mosaic
   •   Watershed hierarchies
   •   Patchwork of vegetation
   •   Patchwork of land access/ forest class
       rules
3. Realistic, Conditional, Voluntary &
Pro-poor: equally large challenges in
all 4 aspects
                                 WORLD AGROFORESTRY CENTRE

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Meine van Noordwijk - Sasumua: linking a landscape and institutional mosaic to climate change in Kenya

  • 1. Sasumua: linking a landscape and institutional mosaic to climate change in Kenya Meine van Noordwijk and Thomas Yatich World Agroforestry Centre (ICRAF) 2009 Forest Day 3, Learning Event WORLD AGROFORESTRY CENTRE
  • 3. Globally Appropriate Mitigation Actions (GAMA) Nationally Appropriate Mitigation Actions (NAMA) Landscape approaches to adaptation + mitigation Locally Appropriate Mitigation Actions (LAMA) WORLD AGROFORESTRY CENTRE
  • 5. ¾Administrative mosaic ¾Ethnic and social affinity mosaic ¾Watershed hierar- chies ¾Patchwork of ve- getation ¾Patchwork of land access/ forest class rules WORLD AGROFORESTRY CENTRE
  • 6. rainfall cloud canopy water What matters most in a ‘forest’: interception evaporation transpiration surface the treesevaporation through-fall the landscape stem-flow surface run-on Stream: surface infiltration flow { quick- run-off lateral recharge the soil sub- surface base outflow ? uptake lateral inflow WORLD AGROFORESTRY CENTRE flow percolation
  • 7. Myth-use of forest hydrology for maintaining political control over land 1 4 2 3 5 WORLD AGROFORESTRY CENTRE
  • 9. Paradigm CES: Paradigm COS: Paradigm CIS: ‘Co- ‘Commoditized ES’ ‘Compensating investment in or markets for Opportunities Stewardship’ and commoditized Skipped’ or paying co-manage-ment of environmental service land users for accepting land-scapes for redu- procure-ment (or land man-datory or volun- cing poverty and use proxies with tary restrictions on their enhancing ES, sharing periodic full impact use of land risk and responsibility study) WORLD AGROFORESTRY CENTRE
  • 11. Predictability of rainfall at gro- wing-season scale is still low July 2009 Forecast of El Nino condi- tions: above-average rainfall in Kenya In fact: late start of rains, below-average total as yet; water rationing in Nairobi WORLD AGROFORESTRY CENTRE http://portal.iri.columbia.edu/portal/server.pt
  • 12. + Dam & spillway under repair Chania river intake ~ 50 NTU 5-10 NTU WORLD AGROFORESTRY CENTRE
  • 13. Lesson 2 WORLD AGROFORESTRY CENTRE
  • 15. http://presa.worldagroforestry.org/files/2009/07/presasasumua.pdf Stakeholders • Local farmers organizations • Nairobi City Water and Sewerage Company • Water Resources Management Authority • Athi River Water Services Board • Kenya Forestry Service • Ministry of Livestock. Research Partners • World Agroforestry Centre (ICRAF); • National Environment Management Authority (NEMA) of Kenya • Jomo Kenyatta University of Agriculture and Technology WORLD AGROFORESTRY CENTRE Nairobi
  • 16. Rapid/replicable Hydrological Appraisal (RHA: 6 months, 5k$) integrates 3 types of knowledge Public/Policy Ecological Knowledge Local Hydrologist Ecological Ecological Knowledge Knowledge WORLD AGROFORESTRY CENTRE
  • 19. Lesson 3 WORLD AGROFORESTRY CENTRE
  • 20. performance new components & indicators technologies Landscape actors, mosaic Plots (land use s.s.) stake-holders Matrix (filter) resource interactions Roads/streams (channel) agreed Negotiation changes process spontaneous change WORLD AGROFORESTRY CENTRE Negotiation Support System: tool + process
  • 22. Lesson 4 WORLD AGROFORESTRY CENTRE
  • 26. Conclusions: 1. NAMA between LAMA and GAMA 2. LAMA: Mosaic of mosaics • Administrative mosaic • Ethnic and social affinity mosaic • Watershed hierarchies • Patchwork of vegetation • Patchwork of land access/ forest class rules 3. Realistic, Conditional, Voluntary & Pro-poor: equally large challenges in all 4 aspects WORLD AGROFORESTRY CENTRE