Technical paper 1

1. http://publictransportdiaries.com
Cornie Huizenga, Secretary General, SLoCaT Partnership
EcoMobility World Festival
7 October 2015
Transport and Climate Change

2. Mission: Integrate Sustainable Transport in Global Policies on
Sustainable Development and Climate Change
SLoCaT Partnership
90+ Members: International Organizations – Government –
Development Banks – NGOs – Private Sector - Academe
SLoCaT Foundation: Established in 2014 with sole objective to
support the functioning of the SLoCaT Partnership
Diamond
Supporters
Platinum
Supporters
Gold
Supporters

3. Conclusions and Recommendations
United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change
Source: UNFCCC 2014
UNFCCC Secretariat
NAMA Registry
Ad hoc Working Group on the Durban
Platform for Enhanced Actions (ADP)
Technology Mechanisms Financial Mechanisms
Subsidiary Body for Scientific
and Technological Advice
(SBSTA)
Subsidiary Body for
Implementation
(SBI)
Convention Bodies
Intergovernmental
Panel for Climate
Change (IPCC)
Conference of the Parties (COP)
Conference of the Parties serving as the meeting of the Parties to the Kyoto Protocol (CMP)
United Nations Framework Convention for Climate Change
(UNFCCC)

4. 0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
BillionTonsofCO2Billions
Power
Other transformation
Industry
Transport
Residential
Commercial
Agriculture
Source: International Energy Agency (2014), Tracking Clean Energy Progress 2014, OECD/IEA, Paris
Transport sector CO2 emissions projected to increase
by about 60% from 2015 to 2050
Transport Emissions Trends (6DS Scenario)

5. -100%
-90%
-80%
-70%
-60%
-50%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
Agriculture Commercial Residential Transport Industry Power
2DSCO2Growthbetween2015to2050
2015-2050 Growth 2DS
Transport must reduce emissions by 40% of 2015 levels by 2050 for 2DS
however, non-OECD countries have just begun to motorize
Source: IEA WEO 2012
2DS Growth in Different Sectors 2015-2050

6. Conclusions and RecommendationsGlobal High Shift Scenario
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
Total Private Public + NMT Total Private Public + NMT
Passenger Kilometer Travel CO2 Transport Costs
Growth(with2010as100)
2010 2050 - BAU 2050- High Avoid & Shift
• $100 trillion savings in public/private infrastructure
• 1,700 megaton reduction of annual carbon dioxide (CO2)
= 40% reduction of urban passenger transport emissions
Source: ITDP/UC Davis 2014

7. Conclusions and RecommendationsUrban Mobility Policy Scenarios 2050
ITF Transport Outlook 2015
• 38% of global growth in surface transport passenger
emissions will come from cities in these regions in 2050
under a BAU scenario

8. Conclusions and RecommendationsCOP20 Lima Transport Scorecard
Source: SLoCaT-BtG 2015
• Six negotiation streams tracked at COP20 Lima
• INDCs have made significant progress
• Adaptation has also made strides
• Other areas show no substantive progress

10. Conclusions and RecommendationsINDC Pledges
Source: Carbon Brief 2015
INDC pledges submitted as of October 1, 2015
cover nearly 90% of global emissions

11. Conclusions and RecommendationsTransport in INDCs by Region
Source: SLoCaT Partnership 2015, http://www.slocat.net/docs/1503
Region
% of
submissions
in region
Transport
Sector
Mentioned
Specified
Transport
Target
Transport
Mitigation
Quantified
Specified
Transport
Measures
Urban
Transport
Measures
Africa 36% 88% 36% 50% 69% 48%
US & Canada 4% 100% 0% 0% 100% 0%
Europe & Central Asia 27% 100% 0% 0% 25% 67%
Latin
America/Caribbean
11% 100% 40% 20% 60% 33%
Asia-Pacific/Middle
East
22% 100% 20% 20% 80% 26%

12. Conclusions and RecommendationsTransport Modes in INDCs
Source: SLoCaT Partnership 2015
16%
29%
16%
13%
4%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
%shareinINDc's

13. Conclusions and RecommendationsTransport Strategies in INDCs
Source: SLoCaT Partnership 2015
35%
41%
5%
8%
24%
8%
3% 3%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
ShareofINDC

14. Conclusions and RecommendationsTransport Measures in INDCs
Source: SLoCaT Partnership 2015
Country Proposed Urban Transport Sector Measures
Benin
Improve traffic flow in urban crossings of large cities; develop a river-lagoon transport system
with navigable rivers; modernize and extend rail infrastructure; develop urban transport.
China
Increase mode share of public transport in in large- and medium-sized cities to 30% by 2020;
promote urban pedestrian and bicycle infrastructure; accelerate green freight development.
Gabon
Increase infrastructure investments, public transport services (e.g. congestion reduction in
Libreville), restrict importation of vehicles that are more than 3 years old.
Japan
Promote modal shift to public transport and railways; develop traffic safety facilities and
improve traffic flow through ITS; promote driverless cars, eco-driving and car sharing.
Jordan
Increase public transport mode share to 25% by 2025; reduce vehicle fuel emissions and
vehicle travel, particularly in densely populated areas.
Macedonia
Increase electrification of transport, increase use of railways, renew vehicle fleets
increase use of bicycles and walking; introduce parking policies
Republic of
Korea
Continue to expand infrastructure for environment friendly public transport; introduce low-
carbon standards for fuel efficiency; provide incentives for electric and hybrid vehicles.

15. Conclusions and RecommendationsTransport Targets in INDCs
Source: SLoCaT Partnership 2015
• D.R. Congo: 10Mt CO2eq reduction by urban
transport improvements
• Trinidad and Tobago: 30% reduction in GHG
emissions by 2030 in public transport sector vs.
BAU
• Bangladesh: Achieve shift of up to 20% in urban
passenger travel from road to rail by 2030 vs. BAU
• China: Promote share of public transport in large
and medium-sized cities, targeting 30% by 2020
• Israel: 20% shift from private to public
transportation

16. Conclusions and Recommendations
LPAA Transport Commitments Relevant to Cities
Source: http://ppmc-cop21.org/lpaatransportinitiatives/
C40 Clean Bus Declaration
C40 Cities Climate Leadership Group
MobiliseYourCity:
Sustainable Urban Mobility Plans
CODATU
Declaration on Climate Leadership
UITP
Urban Electric Mobility Initiative
UN-Habitat
Vehicle Fuel Efficiency Accelerator
GFEI
Modal Shift to Cycling Worldwide
WCA/ECF
ITS for the Climate
ATEC_ITS France
Global Green Freight Action Plan
Green Freight Steering Group
International ZEV Alliance
Cal EPA

17. Conclusions and RecommendationsCity-Focused Transport Initiatives
Source: http://ppmc-cop21.org/city-commitments-on-transport-and-climate-change/
• Civitas has helped 60 demonstration cities implement
innovative measures to develop greener transport
• Covenant of Mayors signatories aim to meet and
exceed the EU 20% CO2 reduction objective by 2020
• Sustainable Urban Mobility Campaign boosts mobility
campaigners in EU, Norway, Iceland and Liechtenstein
• European Mobility Week encourages cities to invite
local residents to try alternative forms of transport
• Compact of Mayors encourages increased capital flows
to cities to support local action reducing GHG emissions

18. Conclusions and Recommendations
• COP21 outcomes should focus on technology transfer,
financing policies, and strategies to support urban
transport
• INDCs should give additional attention to urban
transport through projects and policies to optimize
mitigation potential
• LPAA activities should be leveraged to scale up
• Global transport and climate change community should
leverage SDGs/targets
• The transport community should capitalize on Habitat III
Recommendations

19. Global Agreement on Climate Change that empowers transport
sector to take action on climate change
Inclusive platform on mobility and
climate created by SLoCaT Partnership
and Michelin Challenge Bibendum
Common
Messages on
Mobility and
Climate
Knowledge
Products
National, Regional
and Thematic
Dialogues
Events at COP21
PPMC Components:
www.ppmc-cop21.org