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Sales and Distribution   Smarter Transportation
Whitepaper




The Case for
Smarter Transportation
2   Solving for Smarter maintenance
    The Casetoday’s dataTransportation challenges




The Case for Smarter Transportation
Transportation is the circulatory system of our economy.
Though many people take it for granted, every day the world
                                                                      Transportation is the circulatory system
relies on a complex network of transportation systems to              of our economy.
move people, food and the products that sustain civilization.
Airplanes, trains, ships, cars, buses, trucks and bicycles navigate
myriad routes to reach their destinations. Even if you don’t
                                                                      Collectively, these systems facilitate the full range of human
leave your home, your life is still influenced by this massive
                                                                      activity, from commerce to education to recreation. This
system: virtually every tangible good—food, clothing,
                                                                      crucial transportation circulatory system consists of:
medicine, fuel, and electronics—has been transported into
your world from somewhere else.
                                                                      •	   Vehicles, aircraft, trains and ships that move people and cargo
                                                                           from one place to another.
                                                                      •	   Infrastructure that makes it possible for movement to take
                                                                           place (such as roads, rail lines and bridges).
                                                                      •	   Terminals where journeys begin and end, where passengers
                                                                           transfer from one mode of transportation to another and
                                                                           where freight is organized and assembled (for example,
                                                                           stations, car parks, airports and seaports).

                                                                      The types of vehicles, infrastructure and terminals are different
                                                                      from system to system, and from era to era. But the basic
                                                                      dynamics of transportation remain. And as we consider the
                                                                      future of our current transportation systems, we find ourselves
                                                                      at a crossroads.

                                                                      Globalization, population growth and rampant urbanization
                                                                      are conspiring to overwhelm transportation systems around
                                                                      the world, many of which were built to accommodate a
                                                                      fraction of their current load. Over the last 50 years,
                                                                      international trade in manufactured goods grew 100-fold.
                                                                      In 1950, there were 83 cities of a million people or more.
                                                                      Today, there are 4761, and more than half of the world’s
                                                                      population lives in urban areas.2 And demands on the world’s
                                                                      transportation infrastructure are expected to increase at
                                                                      double the rate of population growth.3
Sales and Distribution   3




                                                                          That’s why operators around the world are gearing up
                                                                          for major infrastructure projects to break the logjams. It’s
                                                                          estimated that in the next 20 years up to $30 trillion will
                                                                          be spent on transportation infrastructure.9 And emerging
                                                                          economies are heavily investing in transportation to serve
                                                                          the needs of their swelling populations and to support
                                                                          economic development.

                                                                          But we’re going to need far more than just new infrastructure
                                                                          to solve these problems, because the cost of maintaining our
                                                                          existing roads, rails, equipment and terminals is already
                                                                          straining government budgets and corporate balance sheets.

                                                                          Fortunately, we are on the verge of a transformative change for
                                                                          the world’s transportation systems. For the first time, we can
                                                                          measure, monitor and manage transportation operations
The negative effects of these overburdened systems in mature              in real time.
markets are not hard to quantify:

•	   Almost one-quarter of U.S. scheduled flights in 2008 were
     delayed; 4
•	   Traffic congestion costs the European Union more than one
                                                                          We find ourselves on the verge of a
     percent of gross domestic product (GDP)—or over 100                  transformative change for the world’s
     billion Euros per year; 5                                            transportation systems.
•	   Less than half of container vessels arrive in port on schedule;6
•	   Twenty percent of CO2 emissions are the byproduct of
     transportation;7
•	   U.S. drivers wasted 4.2 billion hours, 2.8 billion gallons of fuel
     and $87.2 billion due to traffic congestion in 2007.8

These trends are inefficient and unsustainable. They’re also
incredibly expensive. They jeopardize the growth of businesses,
cities, countries and entire regions, constricting economies and
wasting money.
4     The Case for Smarter Transportation




But to build truly smarter transportation                                 Catalysts for Smarter Transportation
systems, we will also need to:                                            We see three key catalysts that are increasing the pressure on
•	   Increase the capacity of existing transportation networks by         transportation systems and ratcheting up the urgency for
     accurately predicting demand and better aligning capacity for        improvement. They are each fueled by the unrelenting demand
     both passenger and freight carriers.                                 for faster, cheaper and better transportation options brought
•	   Build an enduring economic and political case for change             about by population growth, urbanization and globalization.
     using more complete information about costs, pricing and             And though these catalysts may carry different weight between
     demand.                                                              developed and emerging regions, and between different modes
•	   Create new business models to attract private and public             of transportation, they are virtually universal.
     investment.
•	   Develop advanced traffic control systems for air, land and sea;
     design intelligent vehicles, aircraft and trains that act as nodes
     on an integrated network.                                            We must do more with less. The prices and
•	   Empower customers with information about their                       taxes we pay must reflect true costs so that
     transportation choices.
                                                                          customer demand (and therefore public and
•	   Reduce energy use and harmful emissions, while assuring
     safety.                                                              private investment) will gravitate to the most
                                                                          efficient modes of transportation.
In short, we will need smarter transportation.

The important work toward this transformation has already
begun. And as each element of digital infrastructure is applied           1. The need for new, more sustainable public and
to our roads, railways, ships and aircraft, we move one step                 commercial revenue models. As older transportation
closer to a more effective global transportation system for the              infrastructure deteriorates, traditional revenue models—
21st century.                                                                such as tax revenue for public transport and roads, passenger
                                                                             fares on commercial carriers and fees for freight—are no
                                                                             longer sufficient to cover costs or generate adequate profits.
                                                                             The systems need fixing, and some projects require massive
                                                                             infrastructure overhaul, costing billions. But few are willing
                                                                             or able to pay for it.

                                                                            For these reasons, we need to do more with less. The prices
                                                                            and taxes we pay must reflect the true costs (construction,
                                                                            operation, fuel, environmental impact and safety) so that
                                                                            customer demand, and therefore public and private
                                                                            investment, will gravitate to the most efficient modes of
                                                                            transportation.
Sales and Distribution   5




2. Global and regional competition. To be competitive,             Our Approach to Smarter Transportation
   both private operators and governments must provide             By marrying digital technology with physical infrastructure,
   efficient, convenient transportation services. A city’s         we can collect and analyze historic and real-time data about
   prospects for future growth depend on competing for             how transportation networks are used. We can use analytics to
   corporate and residential tax revenue. Businesses locate        predict demand and balance capacity within and throughout
   in cities that provide easy access to goods, services and       modes of transport. We can model future demand, capacity,
   employees. Residents count transportation high among            cost and impacts. And we can use data to build defensible
   quality-of-life criteria. And commercial carriers face          cases for change; change that is economically palatable and
   increased competition within and between modes of               profitable; change that requires less investment than simply
   transportation. For example, on some short routes, high         building more roads, bridges, airports and rails.
   speed rail has taken majority market share from airlines.
                                                                   This is our approach to smarter transportation. It is an
3. Greenhouse gas emissions and energy consumption.                approach that begins with creating a strategic transportation
   In some countries, the transportation sector accounts           vision, identifying and coalescing key stakeholders and aligning
   for nearly one-third of all greenhouse gas emissions.10         with the overarching goals of the region or business. It relies
   As lawmakers take aim at reducing carbon emissions and          heavily on data, and as such requires standards for the
   energy use, and as fuel costs increase, public and commercial   exchange of information among systems, yielding a detailed
   transportation providers need to increase throughput while      understanding of current cost and asset utilization and how
   reducing environmental impact. This will certainly require      demand patterns can be expected to change in the future.
   more efficient vehicles, but it will also require advanced
   road, rail, sea and air traffic management systems, fewer
   delays and better alignment of capacity with demand.
6   The Case for Smarter Transportation




This strategic approach often will not be accomplished             The sharing of data can also enable compelling new sources
through a single master plan, centralized control or               of revenue and innovative business models. In the
government mandate. In many cases it will be accomplished by       commercial arena, there is the potential for a new
independent parties acting in their own best interest to serve     transportation service industry: Integrated Travel Providers
customers and constituents, reduce costs and prosper. And the      that can own and operate multiple modes of transportation
solutions that are employed will address four strategic            and offer end-to-end travel services; Mobility Service
imperatives in parallel:                                           Providers that aggregate information about all modes of
                                                                   travel and serve them up to customers on mobile devices,
1. Predict demand and optimize capacity, assets and                making it possible for travelers to shop, purchase and execute
   infrastructure. Current transportation systems experience       their travel with continuous information updates; and Lead
   both congestion and under-utilization because demand is not     Logistics Providers, independent parties who aggregate and
   accurately predicted, capacity is poorly managed and loads      coordinate end-to-end shipping, providing freight customers
   are not balanced. This wastes money and time and degrades       with self-service tools and a single contract.
   service. Transportation providers need deeper insights and
   predictive models for demand throughout the network.
   Some are already collecting and analyzing historic and
   real-time data from digital devices to see patterns based on    A more strategic approach may not be
   recurring factors such as location, time and date, unplanned
   factors such as weather and intentional actions such as price
                                                                   accomplished through a single master plan,
   changes and promotions. The sources of this information         centralized control or government mandate.
   include sensors on vehicles and infrastructure, video           In many cases this will be accomplished by
   monitoring, GPS data, mobile phone signals, satellite
                                                                   independent parties acting in their own best
   images, air traffic control data, reservation systems, smart
   fare cards and more.                                            interest to serve customers and constituents,
                                                                   reduce costs and prosper.
    Armed with this holistic view of demand, managers can
    employ advanced traffic management systems for land, sea
    and air which allow operators to model and manage optimal
    routes, schedules and capacity in real time.                   Data driven traffic management also provides new
                                                                   opportunities for revenue generation. Road congestion
                                                                   charging has shown great promise in both reducing traffic
                                                                   and raising money. And usage-based tax models such as
                                                                   road-user charging based on miles driven, zone entry
                                                                   charges, or tolls can replace gas tax revenues while helping
                                                                   shape behavior.
Sales and Distribution   7




                                                             The program reduced downtown traffic by 18 percent,
                                                             reduced CO2 emissions by 14 percent in the city center
                                                             and increased public transportation ridership by 80,000
                                                             passengers per day. Inner-city retailers saw a six percent
                                                             boost in business. What’s more, estimated revenue of
                                                             €84 million is channeled back into improving public
                                                             transportation.

                                                             Researchers at KTH Royal Institute of Technology in
                                                             Sweden are gathering real-time information from the Global
                                                             Positioning System devices in nearly 1,500 taxi cabs in
                                                             Stockholm and will soon expand to gather data from delivery
                                                             trucks, traffic sensors, transit systems, pollution monitors
                                                             and weather information. The data will be processed using
                                                             IBM streaming analytics software, giving city managers and
                                                             travelers real-time information on traffic flow, travel times
                                                             and the best commuting options.
In 2005, Stockholm’s city center was buckling under the
                                                             For example, a resident could send a text message listing
weight of nearly half a million commuter vehicles every
                                                             their location and desired destination. The technology
weekday. Commute times were rapidly rising. And city
                                                             would instantly process the real-time traffic, rail and
residents were concerned about the environmental impact of
                                                             weather information and provide anticipated travel times
gridlocked car traffic.
                                                             via car and public transportation, giving the individual an
                                                             accurate and instant view of the fastest way to get to his or
The Swedish National Road Administration worked with
                                                             her destination.
IBM® to implement a road charging system to reduce
congestion and encourage use of public transit and green
                                                             Also see: Singapore Land Transport Authority
cars. Congestion was reduced so much that bus timetables
had to be changed to reflect faster transit times. And the
citizens of Stockholm voted to make the system permanent.
8   The Case for Smarter Transportation




                                          2. Improve the end-to-end experience for travelers and
                                             freight customers. In a smarter transportation system,
In a smarter transportation                  travelers and freight customers are empowered with information
                                             and tools to determine for themselves the best way to move
system, travelers and freight                from origin to destination, across all modes of transporta-
                                             tion, with due consideration to cost, time, convenience and

customers are empowered                      environmental impact. These tools can also simplify supply
                                             chain planning, pricing and execution for freight customers,

with information and tools to                provide information about alternate routes and schedules
                                             and enable real-time alerts, promotions, and information

determine for themselves the
                                             about connecting carriers.

                                            Other smarter transportation capabilities can impact the
best way to move from origin                customer experience as well: advanced traffic management
                                            can reduce delays; better planning of routes and schedules
to destination, throughout                  can improve on-time performance; and self-service
                                            technology can reduce lines and help make air and rail
all modes of transportation,                terminals more efficient and convenient.


with due consideration to                   When Air Canada wanted to extend self service beyond the
                                            airport by integrating mobility into its self-service portfolio,

cost, time, convenience and                 the airline saw the opportunity to introduce a new class of
                                            services that makes the most of the “always on” nature of
                                            mobile devices and creates a dialogue with customers.
environmental impact.
                                            Air Canada engaged IBM to develop applications for the
                                            Apple iPhone, iPod Touch and BlackBerry that allow
                                            passengers to download electronic boarding passes, check in,
                                            get flight status, book rental cars and more. There were
Sales and Distribution   9




                                                                 3. Increase operational efficiency while reducing
                                                                    environmental impact. The inefficiencies of today’s
                                                                    transportation systems can translate into deteriorating
                                                                    service, excess cost, energy use and environmental impact.
                                                                    And in urban areas we are reaching the limits of how much
                                                                    land can be dedicated to new roads, rails and terminals.

                                                                   Transportation systems are tremendously asset-intensive and
                                                                   use large amounts of energy. Smarter systems optimize
                                                                   existing assets and infrastructure, minimizing the need for
                                                                   increased investment. They save money and time by
                                                                   knowing the location, status and availability of all equipment
                                                                   and assets. They can shift from scheduled to predictive
                                                                   maintenance which improves up time and equipment life.
                                                                   Energy use, carbon emissions and cost can be reduced by monitor-
                                                                   ing vehicles in real time and by better planning of supply
                                                                   chains and parts inventories. Crew planning tools ensure
                                                                   personnel with the necessary skills are available where and
                                                                   when they are needed. Cargo loading can be accelerated and
                                                                   the number of trips required can be reduced using analytic
                                                                   tools. And the financial impact of different operational choices
                                                                   can be modeled to make the most of revenue and cost.

                                                                   China Ocean Shipping Company (COSCO) is China’s
more than 30,000 downloads of the app in 64 countries in           largest shipping conglomerate, operating in more than 1,500
the first six days, with a 60 percent increase in mobile           ports in 160 countries. COSCO needed to make the most of
check-ins. Ninety-three percent of Air Canada passengers           its distribution resources to strengthen its competitive
say self service has improved their travel experience. The app     position. Fundamental to this goal was preparing for growth
saves 80 percent of the per-check-in cost compared to              in the area of logistics services, without affecting service
counter check-in. The project won the Canadian New Media           levels. When COSCO pursued this path by acquiring other
Award for Best Mobile App of 2009.                                 logistics service providers, it inherited redundant facilities
                                                                   and shipping routes, causing inefficiencies.
Also see: Amsterdam Schiphol Airport Baggage Handling
10    The Case for Smarter Transportation




                                                                    The solution streamlined COSCO’s distribution network,
                                                                    reducing the number of distribution centers by 60 percent
                                                                    with no degradation of service. Logistics costs were reduced
                                                                    by 23 percent through leaner inventory management,
                                                                    efficient loading and optimized route planning. Their CO2
                                                                    emissions fell by 15 percent, along with a 25 percent
                                                                    reduction in fuel costs. The transformation of COSCO’s
                                                                    supply chain not only benefited the company’s bottom line,
                                                                    but also allowed COSCO to use environmentally sustainable
                                                                    practices supporting its obligations as a member of the
                                                                    United Nation’s Global Compact and making it possible for
                                                                    the organization to meet its own internal corporate social
                                                                    responsibility expectations.

                                                                  4. Assure safety and security. Paramount to the success of
                                                                     any transportation system is safety and security, which
                                                                     cannot be compromised. Fortunately, a smarter system can
                                                                     improve safety and security even as costs are reduced. Sensors
                                                                     provide data to enable a shift from scheduled to “predictive”
                                                                     maintenance and can monitor the condition of equipment and
                                                                     infrastructure in real time, avoiding impending failures.
                                                                     Video cameras can constantly scan rail lines, airports and
                                                                     roadways while analytic tools identify risks. Advanced traffic
                                                                     management systems can reduce congestion and accidents.

     In order to provide a truly interconnected service, COSCO      Also, a smarter transportation system can improve security
     implemented a supply chain optimization solution that          by detecting and evaluating threats through analysis of
     provided data-driven recommendations for the five major        passenger information, electronic surveillance and biometric
     logistic areas: product development; sourcing; production;     identification and by ensuring that passenger and cargo data
     warehousing; and distribution.                                 is only accessible to authorized personnel.

                                                                    The border agency for one of the world’s most heavily
                                                                    travelled nations was formed to strengthen border protection
                                                                    without impeding the progress of lawful travelers. The
                                                                    agency has more than 25,000 staff throughout 135 countries.
Sales and Distribution   11




Using advanced analytics implemented and supported by             Conclusion
IBM, the agency initiated a program to integrate advance          Transportation systems are complex. But they are not more
passenger information, biometrics and data sharing between        complex than many of the other systems that IBM has
stakeholders including airlines, immigration, police and          worked to transform by collecting data, analyzing it and
customs. The strategy, known as Advanced Passenger                making smarter decisions. Global financial markets have
Processing, makes it possible for the agency to move their        reaped the rewards of these efficiencies. So have hospitals,
border controls as far as possible from their national frontier   global retailers and government agencies.
by checking visitors in advance of their arrival at the border.

It works like this: A near real-time risk assessment is
performed while the traveler is in transit, by comparing          Smarter transportation can drive economic
information from travel documents and carrier reservation
systems to the latest watch lists looking for a match. This
                                                                  vitality and improve our quality of life.
enhances security and speeds up processing for the vast
majority of visitors and citizens. The assessment identifies
matches with a high degree of accuracy. Matches are passed        Smarter transportation can drive economic vitality and
on for human validation to determine whether a match              improve our quality of life. It can be more efficient, provide
should be regarded as a genuine risk and thus become a “hit”      better service to customers and constituents, protect the
and potential “alert.” Alerts are passed on to the appropriate    environment and help assure our safety and security. That’s
border control agency for action. The goal is to clear low        why IBM is working with some of the most advanced operators
risk passengers as early as possible in the travel process, so    of transportation networks in the world, from municipal
that the agency can focus their attention on those that           governments to railway operators to airlines. We have the
generate a hit.                                                   technology today to start giving travelers and customers
                                                                  what they really want—smooth seamless door-to-door
By mid-2009, after nearly four years of operation in a            transportation. Let’s build smarter transportation for the
number of ports-of-entry and for selected transportation          21st century.
carriers, the project has handled more than 106 million
passenger movements per annum. It has greatly assisted
a number of counter-terrorism operations and led to
more than 1,900 arrests for crimes including murder,
rape and assault.
References
1 http://www.citypopulation.de/world/Agglomerations.html

2 http://www.unhabitat.org/pmss/listItemDetails.
   aspx?publicationID=2917
                                                                  © Copyright IBM Corporation 2010

3 “Review of Proposals and Alternative Concepts for               IBM Corporation
                                                                  Route 100
  Significant Systematic Expansions to the U.S. Highway           Somers, NY 10589 U.S.A.
  Infrastructure.” Commission Briefing Paper 4M-04.
                                                                  Produced in the United States of America
  Cambridge Systematics, March 20, 2007.                          September 2010
                                                                  All Rights Reserved
4 RITA, Bureau of Transportation Statistics, 2009.
                                                                  IBM, the IBM logo, Smarter Planet, Let’s Build A Smarter Planet, the
   http://www.transtats.bts.gov/HomeDrillChart.asp                planet icon and ibm.com are trademarks or registered trademarks of
                                                                  International Business Machines Corporation in the United States, other
5 Traffic congestion costs the EU over 1% of GDP                  countries, or both. If these and other IBM trademarked terms are marked
                                                                  on their first occurrence in this information with a trademark symbol (® or
   http://ec.europa.eu/research/growth/gcc/projects/in-action-    TM), these symbols indicate U.S. registered or common law trademarks
   airships.html                                                  owned by IBM at the time this information was published. Such trademarks
   http://www.computing.co.uk/computing/analysis/2244382/         may also be registered or common law trademarks in other countries. A
                                                                  current list of IBM trademarks is available on the web at ibm.com/legal/
   europe-split-best-way-forward-4723503
                                                                  copytrade.shtml

6 Speech by Ron Widdows, CEO of APL, to the 2007                  Other company, product and service names may be trademarks or service
                                                                  marks of others.
  European Conference of Ministers of Transport, Sofia,
  Bulgaria, June 8, 2007.                                         References in this publication to IBM products and services do not
                                                                  imply that IBM intends to make them available in all countries in which
                                                                  IBM operates.
7 “Human-Related Sources and Sinks of Carbon Dioxide,”
   http://epa.gov//climatechange/emissions/co2_human.html
                                                                           Please Recycle

8 Traffic congestion costs the US $87.2B, 2.8 gallons of fuel,
  4.2 billion hours according to Texas Transportation Institute
  in 2009
   http://mobility.tamu.edu/ums/media_information/press_
   release.stm
   http://mobility.tamu.edu/ums/

9 CIBC economist Benjamin Tal
   http://network.nationalpost.com/NP/blogs/fpposted/
   archive/2009/01/26/global-infrastructure-spending-jumps.
   aspx

10 US EPA
   http://www.epa.gov/oms/climate/420r06003summary.htm




                                                                                                                      TTE03001-USEN-00

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Smart Transportation Case Study by IBM

  • 1. Sales and Distribution Smarter Transportation Whitepaper The Case for Smarter Transportation
  • 2. 2 Solving for Smarter maintenance The Casetoday’s dataTransportation challenges The Case for Smarter Transportation Transportation is the circulatory system of our economy. Though many people take it for granted, every day the world Transportation is the circulatory system relies on a complex network of transportation systems to of our economy. move people, food and the products that sustain civilization. Airplanes, trains, ships, cars, buses, trucks and bicycles navigate myriad routes to reach their destinations. Even if you don’t Collectively, these systems facilitate the full range of human leave your home, your life is still influenced by this massive activity, from commerce to education to recreation. This system: virtually every tangible good—food, clothing, crucial transportation circulatory system consists of: medicine, fuel, and electronics—has been transported into your world from somewhere else. • Vehicles, aircraft, trains and ships that move people and cargo from one place to another. • Infrastructure that makes it possible for movement to take place (such as roads, rail lines and bridges). • Terminals where journeys begin and end, where passengers transfer from one mode of transportation to another and where freight is organized and assembled (for example, stations, car parks, airports and seaports). The types of vehicles, infrastructure and terminals are different from system to system, and from era to era. But the basic dynamics of transportation remain. And as we consider the future of our current transportation systems, we find ourselves at a crossroads. Globalization, population growth and rampant urbanization are conspiring to overwhelm transportation systems around the world, many of which were built to accommodate a fraction of their current load. Over the last 50 years, international trade in manufactured goods grew 100-fold. In 1950, there were 83 cities of a million people or more. Today, there are 4761, and more than half of the world’s population lives in urban areas.2 And demands on the world’s transportation infrastructure are expected to increase at double the rate of population growth.3
  • 3. Sales and Distribution 3 That’s why operators around the world are gearing up for major infrastructure projects to break the logjams. It’s estimated that in the next 20 years up to $30 trillion will be spent on transportation infrastructure.9 And emerging economies are heavily investing in transportation to serve the needs of their swelling populations and to support economic development. But we’re going to need far more than just new infrastructure to solve these problems, because the cost of maintaining our existing roads, rails, equipment and terminals is already straining government budgets and corporate balance sheets. Fortunately, we are on the verge of a transformative change for the world’s transportation systems. For the first time, we can measure, monitor and manage transportation operations The negative effects of these overburdened systems in mature in real time. markets are not hard to quantify: • Almost one-quarter of U.S. scheduled flights in 2008 were delayed; 4 • Traffic congestion costs the European Union more than one We find ourselves on the verge of a percent of gross domestic product (GDP)—or over 100 transformative change for the world’s billion Euros per year; 5 transportation systems. • Less than half of container vessels arrive in port on schedule;6 • Twenty percent of CO2 emissions are the byproduct of transportation;7 • U.S. drivers wasted 4.2 billion hours, 2.8 billion gallons of fuel and $87.2 billion due to traffic congestion in 2007.8 These trends are inefficient and unsustainable. They’re also incredibly expensive. They jeopardize the growth of businesses, cities, countries and entire regions, constricting economies and wasting money.
  • 4. 4 The Case for Smarter Transportation But to build truly smarter transportation Catalysts for Smarter Transportation systems, we will also need to: We see three key catalysts that are increasing the pressure on • Increase the capacity of existing transportation networks by transportation systems and ratcheting up the urgency for accurately predicting demand and better aligning capacity for improvement. They are each fueled by the unrelenting demand both passenger and freight carriers. for faster, cheaper and better transportation options brought • Build an enduring economic and political case for change about by population growth, urbanization and globalization. using more complete information about costs, pricing and And though these catalysts may carry different weight between demand. developed and emerging regions, and between different modes • Create new business models to attract private and public of transportation, they are virtually universal. investment. • Develop advanced traffic control systems for air, land and sea; design intelligent vehicles, aircraft and trains that act as nodes on an integrated network. We must do more with less. The prices and • Empower customers with information about their taxes we pay must reflect true costs so that transportation choices. customer demand (and therefore public and • Reduce energy use and harmful emissions, while assuring safety. private investment) will gravitate to the most efficient modes of transportation. In short, we will need smarter transportation. The important work toward this transformation has already begun. And as each element of digital infrastructure is applied 1. The need for new, more sustainable public and to our roads, railways, ships and aircraft, we move one step commercial revenue models. As older transportation closer to a more effective global transportation system for the infrastructure deteriorates, traditional revenue models— 21st century. such as tax revenue for public transport and roads, passenger fares on commercial carriers and fees for freight—are no longer sufficient to cover costs or generate adequate profits. The systems need fixing, and some projects require massive infrastructure overhaul, costing billions. But few are willing or able to pay for it. For these reasons, we need to do more with less. The prices and taxes we pay must reflect the true costs (construction, operation, fuel, environmental impact and safety) so that customer demand, and therefore public and private investment, will gravitate to the most efficient modes of transportation.
  • 5. Sales and Distribution 5 2. Global and regional competition. To be competitive, Our Approach to Smarter Transportation both private operators and governments must provide By marrying digital technology with physical infrastructure, efficient, convenient transportation services. A city’s we can collect and analyze historic and real-time data about prospects for future growth depend on competing for how transportation networks are used. We can use analytics to corporate and residential tax revenue. Businesses locate predict demand and balance capacity within and throughout in cities that provide easy access to goods, services and modes of transport. We can model future demand, capacity, employees. Residents count transportation high among cost and impacts. And we can use data to build defensible quality-of-life criteria. And commercial carriers face cases for change; change that is economically palatable and increased competition within and between modes of profitable; change that requires less investment than simply transportation. For example, on some short routes, high building more roads, bridges, airports and rails. speed rail has taken majority market share from airlines. This is our approach to smarter transportation. It is an 3. Greenhouse gas emissions and energy consumption. approach that begins with creating a strategic transportation In some countries, the transportation sector accounts vision, identifying and coalescing key stakeholders and aligning for nearly one-third of all greenhouse gas emissions.10 with the overarching goals of the region or business. It relies As lawmakers take aim at reducing carbon emissions and heavily on data, and as such requires standards for the energy use, and as fuel costs increase, public and commercial exchange of information among systems, yielding a detailed transportation providers need to increase throughput while understanding of current cost and asset utilization and how reducing environmental impact. This will certainly require demand patterns can be expected to change in the future. more efficient vehicles, but it will also require advanced road, rail, sea and air traffic management systems, fewer delays and better alignment of capacity with demand.
  • 6. 6 The Case for Smarter Transportation This strategic approach often will not be accomplished The sharing of data can also enable compelling new sources through a single master plan, centralized control or of revenue and innovative business models. In the government mandate. In many cases it will be accomplished by commercial arena, there is the potential for a new independent parties acting in their own best interest to serve transportation service industry: Integrated Travel Providers customers and constituents, reduce costs and prosper. And the that can own and operate multiple modes of transportation solutions that are employed will address four strategic and offer end-to-end travel services; Mobility Service imperatives in parallel: Providers that aggregate information about all modes of travel and serve them up to customers on mobile devices, 1. Predict demand and optimize capacity, assets and making it possible for travelers to shop, purchase and execute infrastructure. Current transportation systems experience their travel with continuous information updates; and Lead both congestion and under-utilization because demand is not Logistics Providers, independent parties who aggregate and accurately predicted, capacity is poorly managed and loads coordinate end-to-end shipping, providing freight customers are not balanced. This wastes money and time and degrades with self-service tools and a single contract. service. Transportation providers need deeper insights and predictive models for demand throughout the network. Some are already collecting and analyzing historic and real-time data from digital devices to see patterns based on A more strategic approach may not be recurring factors such as location, time and date, unplanned factors such as weather and intentional actions such as price accomplished through a single master plan, changes and promotions. The sources of this information centralized control or government mandate. include sensors on vehicles and infrastructure, video In many cases this will be accomplished by monitoring, GPS data, mobile phone signals, satellite independent parties acting in their own best images, air traffic control data, reservation systems, smart fare cards and more. interest to serve customers and constituents, reduce costs and prosper. Armed with this holistic view of demand, managers can employ advanced traffic management systems for land, sea and air which allow operators to model and manage optimal routes, schedules and capacity in real time. Data driven traffic management also provides new opportunities for revenue generation. Road congestion charging has shown great promise in both reducing traffic and raising money. And usage-based tax models such as road-user charging based on miles driven, zone entry charges, or tolls can replace gas tax revenues while helping shape behavior.
  • 7. Sales and Distribution 7 The program reduced downtown traffic by 18 percent, reduced CO2 emissions by 14 percent in the city center and increased public transportation ridership by 80,000 passengers per day. Inner-city retailers saw a six percent boost in business. What’s more, estimated revenue of €84 million is channeled back into improving public transportation. Researchers at KTH Royal Institute of Technology in Sweden are gathering real-time information from the Global Positioning System devices in nearly 1,500 taxi cabs in Stockholm and will soon expand to gather data from delivery trucks, traffic sensors, transit systems, pollution monitors and weather information. The data will be processed using IBM streaming analytics software, giving city managers and travelers real-time information on traffic flow, travel times and the best commuting options. In 2005, Stockholm’s city center was buckling under the For example, a resident could send a text message listing weight of nearly half a million commuter vehicles every their location and desired destination. The technology weekday. Commute times were rapidly rising. And city would instantly process the real-time traffic, rail and residents were concerned about the environmental impact of weather information and provide anticipated travel times gridlocked car traffic. via car and public transportation, giving the individual an accurate and instant view of the fastest way to get to his or The Swedish National Road Administration worked with her destination. IBM® to implement a road charging system to reduce congestion and encourage use of public transit and green Also see: Singapore Land Transport Authority cars. Congestion was reduced so much that bus timetables had to be changed to reflect faster transit times. And the citizens of Stockholm voted to make the system permanent.
  • 8. 8 The Case for Smarter Transportation 2. Improve the end-to-end experience for travelers and freight customers. In a smarter transportation system, In a smarter transportation travelers and freight customers are empowered with information and tools to determine for themselves the best way to move system, travelers and freight from origin to destination, across all modes of transporta- tion, with due consideration to cost, time, convenience and customers are empowered environmental impact. These tools can also simplify supply chain planning, pricing and execution for freight customers, with information and tools to provide information about alternate routes and schedules and enable real-time alerts, promotions, and information determine for themselves the about connecting carriers. Other smarter transportation capabilities can impact the best way to move from origin customer experience as well: advanced traffic management can reduce delays; better planning of routes and schedules to destination, throughout can improve on-time performance; and self-service technology can reduce lines and help make air and rail all modes of transportation, terminals more efficient and convenient. with due consideration to When Air Canada wanted to extend self service beyond the airport by integrating mobility into its self-service portfolio, cost, time, convenience and the airline saw the opportunity to introduce a new class of services that makes the most of the “always on” nature of mobile devices and creates a dialogue with customers. environmental impact. Air Canada engaged IBM to develop applications for the Apple iPhone, iPod Touch and BlackBerry that allow passengers to download electronic boarding passes, check in, get flight status, book rental cars and more. There were
  • 9. Sales and Distribution 9 3. Increase operational efficiency while reducing environmental impact. The inefficiencies of today’s transportation systems can translate into deteriorating service, excess cost, energy use and environmental impact. And in urban areas we are reaching the limits of how much land can be dedicated to new roads, rails and terminals. Transportation systems are tremendously asset-intensive and use large amounts of energy. Smarter systems optimize existing assets and infrastructure, minimizing the need for increased investment. They save money and time by knowing the location, status and availability of all equipment and assets. They can shift from scheduled to predictive maintenance which improves up time and equipment life. Energy use, carbon emissions and cost can be reduced by monitor- ing vehicles in real time and by better planning of supply chains and parts inventories. Crew planning tools ensure personnel with the necessary skills are available where and when they are needed. Cargo loading can be accelerated and the number of trips required can be reduced using analytic tools. And the financial impact of different operational choices can be modeled to make the most of revenue and cost. China Ocean Shipping Company (COSCO) is China’s more than 30,000 downloads of the app in 64 countries in largest shipping conglomerate, operating in more than 1,500 the first six days, with a 60 percent increase in mobile ports in 160 countries. COSCO needed to make the most of check-ins. Ninety-three percent of Air Canada passengers its distribution resources to strengthen its competitive say self service has improved their travel experience. The app position. Fundamental to this goal was preparing for growth saves 80 percent of the per-check-in cost compared to in the area of logistics services, without affecting service counter check-in. The project won the Canadian New Media levels. When COSCO pursued this path by acquiring other Award for Best Mobile App of 2009. logistics service providers, it inherited redundant facilities and shipping routes, causing inefficiencies. Also see: Amsterdam Schiphol Airport Baggage Handling
  • 10. 10 The Case for Smarter Transportation The solution streamlined COSCO’s distribution network, reducing the number of distribution centers by 60 percent with no degradation of service. Logistics costs were reduced by 23 percent through leaner inventory management, efficient loading and optimized route planning. Their CO2 emissions fell by 15 percent, along with a 25 percent reduction in fuel costs. The transformation of COSCO’s supply chain not only benefited the company’s bottom line, but also allowed COSCO to use environmentally sustainable practices supporting its obligations as a member of the United Nation’s Global Compact and making it possible for the organization to meet its own internal corporate social responsibility expectations. 4. Assure safety and security. Paramount to the success of any transportation system is safety and security, which cannot be compromised. Fortunately, a smarter system can improve safety and security even as costs are reduced. Sensors provide data to enable a shift from scheduled to “predictive” maintenance and can monitor the condition of equipment and infrastructure in real time, avoiding impending failures. Video cameras can constantly scan rail lines, airports and roadways while analytic tools identify risks. Advanced traffic management systems can reduce congestion and accidents. In order to provide a truly interconnected service, COSCO Also, a smarter transportation system can improve security implemented a supply chain optimization solution that by detecting and evaluating threats through analysis of provided data-driven recommendations for the five major passenger information, electronic surveillance and biometric logistic areas: product development; sourcing; production; identification and by ensuring that passenger and cargo data warehousing; and distribution. is only accessible to authorized personnel. The border agency for one of the world’s most heavily travelled nations was formed to strengthen border protection without impeding the progress of lawful travelers. The agency has more than 25,000 staff throughout 135 countries.
  • 11. Sales and Distribution 11 Using advanced analytics implemented and supported by Conclusion IBM, the agency initiated a program to integrate advance Transportation systems are complex. But they are not more passenger information, biometrics and data sharing between complex than many of the other systems that IBM has stakeholders including airlines, immigration, police and worked to transform by collecting data, analyzing it and customs. The strategy, known as Advanced Passenger making smarter decisions. Global financial markets have Processing, makes it possible for the agency to move their reaped the rewards of these efficiencies. So have hospitals, border controls as far as possible from their national frontier global retailers and government agencies. by checking visitors in advance of their arrival at the border. It works like this: A near real-time risk assessment is performed while the traveler is in transit, by comparing Smarter transportation can drive economic information from travel documents and carrier reservation systems to the latest watch lists looking for a match. This vitality and improve our quality of life. enhances security and speeds up processing for the vast majority of visitors and citizens. The assessment identifies matches with a high degree of accuracy. Matches are passed Smarter transportation can drive economic vitality and on for human validation to determine whether a match improve our quality of life. It can be more efficient, provide should be regarded as a genuine risk and thus become a “hit” better service to customers and constituents, protect the and potential “alert.” Alerts are passed on to the appropriate environment and help assure our safety and security. That’s border control agency for action. The goal is to clear low why IBM is working with some of the most advanced operators risk passengers as early as possible in the travel process, so of transportation networks in the world, from municipal that the agency can focus their attention on those that governments to railway operators to airlines. We have the generate a hit. technology today to start giving travelers and customers what they really want—smooth seamless door-to-door By mid-2009, after nearly four years of operation in a transportation. Let’s build smarter transportation for the number of ports-of-entry and for selected transportation 21st century. carriers, the project has handled more than 106 million passenger movements per annum. It has greatly assisted a number of counter-terrorism operations and led to more than 1,900 arrests for crimes including murder, rape and assault.
  • 12. References 1 http://www.citypopulation.de/world/Agglomerations.html 2 http://www.unhabitat.org/pmss/listItemDetails. aspx?publicationID=2917 © Copyright IBM Corporation 2010 3 “Review of Proposals and Alternative Concepts for IBM Corporation Route 100 Significant Systematic Expansions to the U.S. Highway Somers, NY 10589 U.S.A. Infrastructure.” Commission Briefing Paper 4M-04. Produced in the United States of America Cambridge Systematics, March 20, 2007. September 2010 All Rights Reserved 4 RITA, Bureau of Transportation Statistics, 2009. IBM, the IBM logo, Smarter Planet, Let’s Build A Smarter Planet, the http://www.transtats.bts.gov/HomeDrillChart.asp planet icon and ibm.com are trademarks or registered trademarks of International Business Machines Corporation in the United States, other 5 Traffic congestion costs the EU over 1% of GDP countries, or both. If these and other IBM trademarked terms are marked on their first occurrence in this information with a trademark symbol (® or http://ec.europa.eu/research/growth/gcc/projects/in-action- TM), these symbols indicate U.S. registered or common law trademarks airships.html owned by IBM at the time this information was published. Such trademarks http://www.computing.co.uk/computing/analysis/2244382/ may also be registered or common law trademarks in other countries. A current list of IBM trademarks is available on the web at ibm.com/legal/ europe-split-best-way-forward-4723503 copytrade.shtml 6 Speech by Ron Widdows, CEO of APL, to the 2007 Other company, product and service names may be trademarks or service marks of others. European Conference of Ministers of Transport, Sofia, Bulgaria, June 8, 2007. References in this publication to IBM products and services do not imply that IBM intends to make them available in all countries in which IBM operates. 7 “Human-Related Sources and Sinks of Carbon Dioxide,” http://epa.gov//climatechange/emissions/co2_human.html Please Recycle 8 Traffic congestion costs the US $87.2B, 2.8 gallons of fuel, 4.2 billion hours according to Texas Transportation Institute in 2009 http://mobility.tamu.edu/ums/media_information/press_ release.stm http://mobility.tamu.edu/ums/ 9 CIBC economist Benjamin Tal http://network.nationalpost.com/NP/blogs/fpposted/ archive/2009/01/26/global-infrastructure-spending-jumps. aspx 10 US EPA http://www.epa.gov/oms/climate/420r06003summary.htm TTE03001-USEN-00