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Mobile

                      Seizing the mobile opportunity




Amsterdam 2011-2012
Harvest is a unique consulting firm with a clear framework and
focus: We help companies make money on the web

Harvest online business development framework: three ingredients form the basis of our work




 Strategy and                           1    Make it happen                        2   Consumer                              3
 monetization                                                                          insights

  Thorough analysis and conceptual           Powerful in execution                    Consumer centric thinking in value
   thinking                                                                              proposition
                                              In-depth specialists in online
  Vision development and business                                                      Creative, yet pragmatic solutions
   modeling                                   One stop shop including technical         based on consumer insights
                                               implementation
  Overall picture of online in its multi-                                              Strong commercial gut feel on what
   channel environment                                                                   consumers want




                                                                2
Harvest expertise is captured in pragmatic packages that optimize
your existing business…

Optimizing existing                Advertising                           Product Definition                   Harvest Academy
business:
seven pragmatic packages           How to optimize your advertising      Leveraging product for business      Turn your employee into rock stars
                                   pixel                                 success                               Training by consultants on online
                                    Combine short term revenue           Ensure your business goals are       topics: mobile, advertising,
                                      increase with a solid long term      realized by your product             strategy, commerce, etc.
                                      plan                                Create or improve your product      Cross-learning with other
                                    Get most out of your premium          with our immediately actionable      companies or tailored for you
                                      pixels                               implementation plan and             Unique training methodology,
                                    Set-up your remnant inventory         interaction designs                  experienced trainers and
                                      analytical, lean and mean                                                 inspiring atmosphere
                                                                     1                                   2                                     3


Monetization quick scan            AdSense optimisation                  Harvest Share & $ave button          Business performance dashboard

From good to great                 Take your revenues to the             Acceleration word-of-mouth           Insights from vast data sets
 Identify optimisation            next level                             An average Facebook Wall Post       Automate data harvesting from
   opportunities                    To optimize your AdSense,             leads to 3.2 new visitors             multiple sources
 Practical projects with            testing and tweaking is essential    Low involvement categories          Automate visualisation of the
   detailed execution directions    Harvest helps to start and            need an extra push to share           business KPIs
 Top line growth of current         optimize Adsense                     Harvest Share & $ave button is      Professionalise overview needed
   revenue streams                  We have a double digit growth         an off-the-shelf solution to          to optimise
                                     international track record            reward visitors to share their
                                                                           purchase
                             4                                      5                                     6                                   7


                                                                         3
…or help you kick-start a new business opportunity

New businesses:                    Mobile                                  New business development              Social commerce
seven pragmatic packages
                                   Seizing the mobile opportunity          Entering new markets with new         Where marketing & commerce
                                    Mobile is rapidly growing, both on    concept                               become one
                                      phones as tablets                     Most online companies already        Enormous traffic and time spent on
                                    Companies are struggling to              have strong cards in several         social media provides an opportunity
                                      combine successful consumer             markets                              for social commerce
                                      activation with solid business        New opportunities in other online    Social commerce is not just opening a
                                      models for mobile                       markets can be found by smart        shop on Facebook, it is about driving
                                    Harvest helps to deliver an              analysis and creative thinking       sales through sharing
                                      actionable mobile strategy, with a    Harvest makes a business plan for    Harvest can create a product/service
                                      solid business case, ready to be        a new concept to develop an          social commerce strategy,
                                      implemented                             online footprint in a                including a live f-store &
                                                                     1        new market                     2     traction plan                        3

Market entry strategy              M&A support I                           M&A support II                        Setting up a direct to consumer (D2C)

How to enter the Dutch and         Unique opportunity to acquire real      Ramp up your start-up                 How brands can expand their role in the
European market                    gems                                     Harvest understands the world of    value chain
 High level market scan            General mismatch in culture and         start-ups as well as professional    Setting up an online D2C is a way for
 Map market entry strategy into     approach between start-ups and          consulting                             brands to expand their role in the
   action plan                       corporates                             Harvest professionalizes your          value chain
 Execution action plan and         Harvest is able to bridge the gap       newly acquired business for the      However, online and retail are not in
   document learnings                and to select the best targets          long term…                             the DNA of traditional manufacturers
                                    Harvest provides ready-to-             … and helps to execute low           Harvest can help brands to
                                     execute investment opportunities        hanging fruit to ignite                set-up an online D2C channel
                                     including investment                    growth immediately                     for a manufacturer
                                     proposals
                             4                                       5                                      6                                          7


                                                                            4
Mobile
Mobile is on track to eclipse desktop

 Number of global users [mln]                                                                                   Facts

                                                                                                                 Mobile will beat
      2,000                                                                                                       desktop usage in 2013
      1,800
                                                                                                                 In 2014 there is 90%
      1,600
                                                                                                                  penetration of mobile
      1,400                                                                                                       internet access
      1,200

      1,000                                                                                                      Ex-Google CEO Eric
                                                                                                                  Schmidt: current
        800
                                                                                                                  adoption of mobile web
        600                                                                                                       is 8x times faster than
        400                                                                                                       PC adoption in early
                                                                                                                  days
        200

          -
              2007          2008           2009           2010           2011   2012       2013   2014   2015

                                                    Desktop                            Mobile




Source: Morgan Stanley (2011), Gartner Research (2011), Eric Schmidt (2011)



                                                                                       6
Most phones sold already have mobile internet access

 Sales of phones in The Netherlands [2002-2013, in 1000s of units]                                                            Facts

                                                                                                                               End of 2010: 3.3 million
      7000                                                                                                                      smartphone users in
                                                                                                                                The Netherlands.
      6000
                                                                 400       500
                                                        400
                                                                                     1000                                      In 2011 smartphone
      5000                                        200                                           1600                            sales will be higher than
                                        0
                                                                                                       3050                     GSM sales.
      4000                                                                                                     4079
                             0                                                                                         5147
      3000
                                                                                                                               Conservative estimation
                  0                                              5400     5500                                                  shows that ‘dumb’
                                                 4800   5000                         5000
      2000                            4200                                                      4200                            candybar phones will
                           3700
                                                                                                       2880
                                                                                                                                hardly be sold in 2013.
                2600
      1000                                                                                                     1970
                                                                                                                       1022
          0
                2002       2003       2004       2005   2006     2007      2008      2009       2010   2011    2012    2013

                                                           GSM          Smartphone
                                                                                                              Estimation


Source: GfK (2010, 2011); Harvest forecast analysis



                                                                                            7
Mobile usage among consumers growing really quickly, at the
expense of other media

 Average time spent per day with major media [2009-2010 YoY, %]                                                          Facts

                                                                                                                          Time spent per day with
                                                                                                                   28%     mobile increased with
                                                                                                                           28% YoY.

                                                                                                                          Internet: 155 minutes
                                                                                                                           per day; mobile: 50
                                                                                                                           minutes.

                                                                                                                          Consumption of mobile
                                                                                                                           media (video, music)
                                                                                  6%
                                                                                                                           increased with 600% in
                                                                                                                           the last year.



                                                   -1%
                     -2%

                    Radio                      TV and video                     Internet                       Mobile




Source: Emarketer (December 2010); Video and music requests through mobile phones, Limelight Networks (May 2011)



                                                                                             8
M-commerce is growing faster than e-commerce and
in a steady tempo…

 Consumer spending through mobile commerce [USA, billions]                                                 Facts

      Top products purchased by US mobile buyers (excl. ringtones, apps, music, video, clips): consumer    Forrester estimates
       electronics (57%), books (42%), clothing (34%), computer hardware (31%), jewelry (16%)                mobile spending in
                                                                                                             2012 at $10 billion
                                                                                                  $25        (USA).


                                                                                       $19
                                                                                                            48% of US consumers
                                                                                                             are already using their
                                                                            $14
                                                                                                             mobile devices to
                                                                                                             research and browse
                                                                    $10                                      products and services.
                                                $6
                            $3
                                                                                                            PayPal expects the
                                                                                                             number of m-commerce
                                                                                                             transactions to grow by
                          2010                 2011                2012     2013       2014      2015        a factor of 10 in 2 years
                                                                                                             (worldwide).
 % of
 eCommerce
                           1%                  2%                   3%      4%         5%         6%



Source: Forrester Research (2011); Oracle ATG (April 2011); PayPal (2011)



                                                                                   9
…but consumers only slowly adopt (for three clear reasons)

 User experience on websites not adapted to characteristics of mobile devices and needs of   Conclusion
 consumers
  Limited special mobile features (shopping list, QR code usage, etc.)                       A better user
                                                                                               experience will increase
  A mobile template is not a mobile site!
                                                                                               m-commerce adoption.

 No safe and easy payment standard for mobile
                                                                                              Mobile version of Ideal
  Currence will launch mobile version of most popular paying method Ideal beginning 2012      will boost commerce
  Rabobank will start experimenting sooner with own mobile payment method                     through mobile.

 Low awareness among consumers                                                                New apps with added
  No specific commerce-related apps                                                           value will raise
                                                                                               awareness among
                                                                                               consumers.




Source: Currence (2011)



                                                             10
Smartphone and tablet require tailored app or site, as these devices
have specific usage patterns

                                           Smartphone                                                                       Tablet
                                           [6.6% of all browsing traffic]                                                   [2.2% of all browsing traffic]

 Typical user 2010                          Very diverse                                                                    Male (89%), 25-54 (76%), HBO/WO (73%)

 Typical user 2011                          Very diverse                                                                    Male (81%), 25-54 (71%), HBO/WO (67%)

 Timing:                                    Mainly in the morning (7.00 – 9.00)                                             Especially in the evening (18.00 – 22.00)
 moment of day used                         Small peak during lunchtime (12.00-13.00) and end of
                                             workday (17.00-18.00)

 Sessions per day                           Multiple times a day, short sessions of a few minutes                           Multiple times a day, approx. 1 hour total

 Usage                                         Used in ‘downtime’                                                              Used very intense
                                               Used mostly alone                                                               Often shared with other users (kids, friends)
                                               Used especially when no iPad of computer is present                             Used at different places: couch, toilet, in bed
                                               More used on the road than home (=3G)                                           More used at home than on the road (=WiFi)

 Apps installed                             15                                                                              25

 Users using media apps                     55%                                                                             70%


Source: Sanoma Digital, data Nu.nl (October 2010, June 2011); Trends in Digitaal lezen, IntoMart GfK (2011); expert interviews; Netmarketshare (July 2011)



                                                                                                  11
Different types of apps can be made for mobile devices

                                                                                                                Conclusion
     User experience




                                                                                                                 Depending on specific
                                                                                                                  wishes, companies
                                                                                                                  should choose either a
                                                                                     Native apps                  mobile site, native app
                                                                                      Programmed for one         or hybrid app.
                       Mobile sites (web apps)
                                                                                         platform
                        Cross-platform
                                                                                      Use all special           HTML5 offers
                          compatible             Hybrid apps
                                                                                         phone features such      opportunities to
                        Not all phone            Native app with embedded              as GPS, address
                          features supported        HTML; therefore cross-platform                                develop low-cost apps:
                                                                                         book, phone camera
                        Hosted on                  compatible                                                    works on all platforms
                                                                                      Distributed through
                          server, distributed     Access all special phone              app                      and is easy to develop
                          through the web           features such as GPS, address        store/market, downl      and debug.
                                                    book, phone camera                   oaded and installed
                                                  Distributed through app
                                                    store/market, downloaded and
                                                    installed


                                                                                      Cost and time-to-market



Source: Harvest analyses



                                                                               12
Most companies do not have a clear mobile presence at all;
frontrunners are now taking competitive leap

 Three laggards and explorers                                               Frontrunners                                    Conclusion

  Hunkemoller does not have mobile                                          Bol.com: +200% mobile turnover July            Most large companies
   presence                                                                   2010- Feb 2011                                  still lagging in mobile
                                                                                                                              developments.
  HEMA only has a photo app                                                 Drogisterij.net: in 2010, 3% total turnover
                                                                              mobile and 6% in 2011
                                                                                                                             An exception are the
  MediaMarkt has very simple site without
   real additional value                                                     Thuisbezorgd.nl: 5% of total turnover in        frontrunners who
                                                                              2010                                            already start to gain a
                                                                                                                              competitive advantage
                                                                             Appie: basket size & traffic to AH stores       in mobile.

                                                                                                                             PayPal: 41% of large
                                                                                                                              Dutch webshops offers
                                                                                                                              a form of m-commerce
                                                                                                                              end 2011.




Source: Bol.com, Drogisterij.net, Thuisbezorgd.nl, Gartner, PayPal (2011)



                                                                                           13
Drogisterij.net is a frontrunner in mobile sales of grocery

                               Currently: Drogisterij.net sells more     Expectation: mobile sales will triple in
                               than 3% through mobile                    2012

                                Drogisterij.net is growing rapidly;      CEO Drogisterij.net expects 6%
                                 total turnover was already >€6            sales through mobile end of 2011
                                 million in 2009
                                                                          A new mobile site will boost sales
                                3% of all orders is placed through
                                 mobile device (June 2011)                Sales is expected to be 3x higher in
                                                                           2012 than in 2011
                                No iPhone/Android/other apps

                                Mobile site with UE almost
                                 comparable to Bol.com mobile site

                                Most typical ‘offline’ grocery stores
                                 as Kruidvat and Etos do not yet
                                 offer apps; DIO Drogist has a
                                 simple app for drug information


Source: Drogisterij.net blog



                                                  14
Projected mobile revenues from (in-)app sales and mobile
advertising expected to increase

 Global app store revenue and mobile ad market revenue [$, billions]                                                     Facts

                                                                                                                          Global revenues for
                                                                                                                           sales of apps and within
                                                                                                                           apps are expected to
                                                                                                                           triple within 3 years.
                                                                                                                  $19
                                                                                                                          Total app store
                                                                                                                           downloads will reach
                                                                                                                           17.7 billion in 2011.
                                                                                                $11


                                                                       $6                                                 Mobile ad market H1
                                                                                                                  $39      2011 NL was €1.2
                                            $3                                                  $27                        million, is starting to
                                                                      $20                                                  ramp up, and will grow
                 $1                        $13
                 $5                                                                                                        in a faster pulse.

                2010                      2011                       2012                       2013              2014

                                                     In-app revenues         Ad revenues



Source: Gartner (January 2011); NB: IDC (December 2010) made different estimation; IAB, Ad Spend Report H1 2011



                                                                                              15
Still, the business models are currently not multi-million dollar
opportunities for three reasons

  Relatively low mobile reach                                                               Future expectation
   - About ±5% of total traffic comes through mobile devices
                                                                                              Mobile usage is
                                                                                               increasing; will make
  Consumer not willing to pay for services                                                    business models more
   - Exception 1: services that are really premium                                             attractive.
   - Exception 2: services where users are used to paying for non-mobile alternative (e.g.
     newspapers)                                                                              Consumers learn to pay
                                                                                               for mobile services (e.g.
  The app store and ad revenues are not cash cows (yet)                                       Spotify, data packages)
   - App store revenue is limited: average price €0.79 - €1.99 per app minus VAT and
     revshare app store                                                                       Parties as Google have
   - Low revenue of mobile ads: €0.10 eCPM networks, €3-€5 eCPM direct, but low sell-          entered mobile ad
     trough triggered by smaller screen (less placements)                                      market; eCPMs of
   - Ad market still small: currently 0.5%-1.0% of total ad market                             mobile ads are
                                                                                               expected to grow.




Source: Harvest research



                                                               16
So what business model does work? Eight business models for
mobile with their pros and cons
                    100% free                                 Advertisement                                   Ads + premium features                 Driving indirect sales
                    Free app with free content                Free app with advertisement                     Free lite access with ads; then pay    Increasing basket size or traction by
 not pay directly
 Consumer does




                                                                                                              for premium features                   leading consumers to other channels


                     Large potential reach and usage          Some revenue; enriches sales                   Revenue from ads and                  Increases customer
                    − No revenues                               proposition                                     subscriptions                          satisfaction, loyalty, indirect sales
                                                              − Sales force needed; too many ads              − Paid subscription puts a brake on      and allows PoP marketing
                                                                will harm user experience                       usage                                − Direct results sometimes hard to
                                                                                                                (=less page views)                     measure



                    Paid app                                  Paid app with ads                               Paid subscription                      Direct mobile sales
                    Pay fee in app store to get access to     Pay fee in app store to get access to           Pay in-app subscription fee for full   Select, pay and service through
                    the application, all content is free      the application, plus ads around                access; app includes 1 time usage      mobile channel
 pays directly
  Consumers




                                                              content

                       Direct money                             Direct money                                   Revenue from pay per usage            Direct revenue increase

                    − Fee puts a brake on adoption of         − Fee puts a brake on adoption of               − Paid subscription puts a brake on
                      app (and thus reach)                      app (and thus reach); bad user                  usage (=less page views)
                                                                experience; not a logical choice



                                   Free                                   Ads around                                      Pay for                                 Pay for
                              content model                              content model                             premium content model                  transaction or product

Source: Harvest research; Intentionally left out: 2nd screen monetization and adding mobile experience to offline (retail) channels



                                                                                                    17
Most important take-out in current market: mobile is not a direct
driver for revenues (yet)

 Analysis shows: mobile apps business models                  Mobile apps currently a hygiene factor, driving indirect
 currently not interesting                                    sales

  Business models for a media company where compared;        Two possibilities:
   none of them was highly profitable yet                      Mobile as a hygiene factor: dissatisfier when not having
                                                                 an app (e.g. Bol.com)
  Smartphone penetration is expected to reach 60% in
   2012; a possible tipping point for business models          Mobile as a competitive advantage: driving indirect sales
                                                                (e.g. Appie) or improving proposition (e.g. ABN Amro
                                                                internet banking)




Source: Harvest analyses



                                                         18
Albert Heijn and Bol.com developed apps to increase customer
loyalty and drive sales indirectly

 Appie:                                                            Bol.com:
 large investments, leading to more loyal customers                mobile app can be seen as dissatisfier

  Millions euros investment in continuous product                  5% of bookings now through mobile platforms and
   development                                                       increasing; major part of mobile sales would be
                                                                     otherwise bought through web platform
  Customers are extremely positive about Appie (4**** in
   App Store and 4,5**** in Android Market)                         Finally, mobile presence can be come a ‘dissatisfier’.
                                                                     When a retailer does not offer mobile, some customer
  In a very competitive environment, Albert Heijn as                segments will buy somewhere else.
   market leader succeeded to gain growth in market share




Source: Harvest analyses, Distrifood (2011), Bol.com (2011)



                                                              19
The future of mobile: Tesco introduced a shopping concept based on
QR codes

                                          Tesco’s Home Plus

                                           Tesco in South Korea created the Home
                                            plus virtual store that allows customers to
                                            shop at their leisure

                                           The user purchases the groceries by
                                            scanning QR codes with a smart phone and
                                            they are delivered for when they arrive
                                            home

                                           Online turnover increased by 110%; Home
                                            plus now number #1 in online grocery
                                            sales in South-Korea




Source: Tesco.com; RetailDetail



                                  20
The mobile landscape is quickly changing, growing to a more mature
market

                                                               Today
               €



                                                                 !




                                                                                                                          t
                   From: Experimental phase                            To: Mature phase

  Consumer          Online at one place (home/office)…                 … and now online any time, everywhere

  Market            Low reach (5-8% of total online)…                  … but growing fast

  Technology        Low-tech and inside-out driven                     … but now high-tech and driven by consumer
                     development…                                        needs

  Business                                                              … to professionalizing and growing advertising
                    Business models in baby shoes…                      and app market




                                                          21
Harvest brings together consumer perspective and business
perspective in a pragmatic mobile action strategy

                               Business perspective               Consumer perspective




                                Find the right




                                                      Sweetspot
                               business models                       Offer the best
                                and monetize                         experience for
                                  step-wise                            consumers
  Companies see chances;                                                                 Consumers
   willing to experiment          harvesting                                               increasingly using
   and learn                                                                               m-commerce as it as
                                                                                           fast, easy, and 24/7
  Challenge is to transform
   opportunities to                                                                       Experience is
   concrete plans and                                                                      currently under par
   business model
                                           Mobile action strategy
                                                                                          Trust is too low




                                                      22
Harvest takes into account internal strengths, and opportunities in
the market to create an actionable mobile strategy

Internal                              1   External analysis                     2   Action plan                          3
strengths mapping

Actions                                   Actions                                   Actions
 Strengths and capability overview        Consumer behaviour: mobile               Choice of most suitable business
                                              usage and needs per target group          model
 Evaluation of current traffic and
  traffic flows                            Inspiration: (inter)national best        Business case
                                            practices and examples
                                                                                     Strategic choices and building
                                           Competitive analysis: mobile              blocks for product
                                            activities of competitors
                                                                                     Sketches of product based on
                                           Trends: relevant trends translated        building blocks
                                            to insights & actions
                                                                                     Action plan with timeline
                                           Technique: choice for
                                            native/hybrid/web app




                                                              23
Harvest cooperates with clients to create an actionable strategy using
interviews, analyses and desk research

Internal strengths mapping:              External analysis: expert interviews   Action plan
interviews and data analysis             and desk research

 Interviews with stakeholders and        Interviews with experts on mobile     Define possible mobile business
  management                               app development & mobile trends        models

 Analysis of current (mobile) traffic    Analysis of mobile market, trends     Calculate business case
  to site and app                          and technical developments
                                                                                 Create planning for app
 Evaluation of current initiatives       Analysis of mobile consumer            development
                                           behaviour
                                                                                 Sketch preview of mobile app
                                          Review of competitors and best
                                           practices




                                                           24
We take it all the way: sketches based on the concept are input for the
third party that will actually build the platform




                                   25
Harvest serves an international portfolio of pure online players
and click-and-brick companies

                             "Harvest is without any doubt one of the very best e-consultancy companies in
                            the world. Excellent knowledge and expertise strategically, tactically, and
                            operationally, always with clear focus on top line results”
                              Francine van Dierendonck, Sr. Director and Head Global Philips Flagship Store



                                      "The monetization quick scan that Harvest carried out for Compare Group
                                      highlighted tactical improvements with direct upside and a strategic
                                      opportunity. The Harvest team is very professional and has great knowledge of
                                      e-retail and online in general.”
                                                                                  Ben Kerkhof, CEO Compare Group



                            "Harvest supported Experteer in their go-to-market in the Netherlands. The
                            professionalism, drive and in-depth knowledge of the Dutch online were key to
                            the success of the project and the launch of experteer.nl”
                                                              Nina Zimmerman, Head of Europe Experteer


                                      "Harvest combines a strategic view on creating online success with the power
                                      to execute. Passion for the online business, dedicated to deliver results. And
                                      above all, a pleasure to work with.”
                                                                                            Marc de Vries, CEO Hyves




                                         26
Feel free to reach out to us for more information




                               Harvest – Online Business Development


                               Herengracht 262-266

                               1016 BV AMSTERDAM

                               The Netherlands

                               E: info@harvestamsterdam.com

                               T: +31 (0) 20 4277796

                               I: www.harvestamsterdam.com




                                    27

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Seizing the mobile opportunity

  • 1. Mobile Seizing the mobile opportunity Amsterdam 2011-2012
  • 2. Harvest is a unique consulting firm with a clear framework and focus: We help companies make money on the web Harvest online business development framework: three ingredients form the basis of our work Strategy and 1 Make it happen 2 Consumer 3 monetization insights  Thorough analysis and conceptual  Powerful in execution  Consumer centric thinking in value thinking proposition  In-depth specialists in online  Vision development and business  Creative, yet pragmatic solutions modeling  One stop shop including technical based on consumer insights implementation  Overall picture of online in its multi-  Strong commercial gut feel on what channel environment consumers want 2
  • 3. Harvest expertise is captured in pragmatic packages that optimize your existing business… Optimizing existing Advertising Product Definition Harvest Academy business: seven pragmatic packages How to optimize your advertising Leveraging product for business Turn your employee into rock stars pixel success  Training by consultants on online  Combine short term revenue  Ensure your business goals are topics: mobile, advertising, increase with a solid long term realized by your product strategy, commerce, etc. plan  Create or improve your product  Cross-learning with other  Get most out of your premium with our immediately actionable companies or tailored for you pixels implementation plan and  Unique training methodology,  Set-up your remnant inventory interaction designs experienced trainers and analytical, lean and mean inspiring atmosphere 1 2 3 Monetization quick scan AdSense optimisation Harvest Share & $ave button Business performance dashboard From good to great Take your revenues to the Acceleration word-of-mouth Insights from vast data sets  Identify optimisation next level  An average Facebook Wall Post  Automate data harvesting from opportunities  To optimize your AdSense, leads to 3.2 new visitors multiple sources  Practical projects with testing and tweaking is essential  Low involvement categories  Automate visualisation of the detailed execution directions  Harvest helps to start and need an extra push to share business KPIs  Top line growth of current optimize Adsense  Harvest Share & $ave button is  Professionalise overview needed revenue streams  We have a double digit growth an off-the-shelf solution to to optimise international track record reward visitors to share their purchase 4 5 6 7 3
  • 4. …or help you kick-start a new business opportunity New businesses: Mobile New business development Social commerce seven pragmatic packages Seizing the mobile opportunity Entering new markets with new Where marketing & commerce  Mobile is rapidly growing, both on concept become one phones as tablets  Most online companies already  Enormous traffic and time spent on  Companies are struggling to have strong cards in several social media provides an opportunity combine successful consumer markets for social commerce activation with solid business  New opportunities in other online  Social commerce is not just opening a models for mobile markets can be found by smart shop on Facebook, it is about driving  Harvest helps to deliver an analysis and creative thinking sales through sharing actionable mobile strategy, with a  Harvest makes a business plan for  Harvest can create a product/service solid business case, ready to be a new concept to develop an social commerce strategy, implemented online footprint in a including a live f-store & 1 new market 2 traction plan 3 Market entry strategy M&A support I M&A support II Setting up a direct to consumer (D2C) How to enter the Dutch and Unique opportunity to acquire real Ramp up your start-up How brands can expand their role in the European market gems  Harvest understands the world of value chain  High level market scan  General mismatch in culture and start-ups as well as professional  Setting up an online D2C is a way for  Map market entry strategy into approach between start-ups and consulting brands to expand their role in the action plan corporates  Harvest professionalizes your value chain  Execution action plan and  Harvest is able to bridge the gap newly acquired business for the  However, online and retail are not in document learnings and to select the best targets long term… the DNA of traditional manufacturers  Harvest provides ready-to-  … and helps to execute low  Harvest can help brands to execute investment opportunities hanging fruit to ignite set-up an online D2C channel including investment growth immediately for a manufacturer proposals 4 5 6 7 4
  • 6. Mobile is on track to eclipse desktop Number of global users [mln] Facts  Mobile will beat 2,000 desktop usage in 2013 1,800  In 2014 there is 90% 1,600 penetration of mobile 1,400 internet access 1,200 1,000  Ex-Google CEO Eric Schmidt: current 800 adoption of mobile web 600 is 8x times faster than 400 PC adoption in early days 200 - 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Desktop Mobile Source: Morgan Stanley (2011), Gartner Research (2011), Eric Schmidt (2011) 6
  • 7. Most phones sold already have mobile internet access Sales of phones in The Netherlands [2002-2013, in 1000s of units] Facts  End of 2010: 3.3 million 7000 smartphone users in The Netherlands. 6000 400 500 400 1000  In 2011 smartphone 5000 200 1600 sales will be higher than 0 3050 GSM sales. 4000 4079 0 5147 3000  Conservative estimation 0 5400 5500 shows that ‘dumb’ 4800 5000 5000 2000 4200 4200 candybar phones will 3700 2880 hardly be sold in 2013. 2600 1000 1970 1022 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 GSM Smartphone Estimation Source: GfK (2010, 2011); Harvest forecast analysis 7
  • 8. Mobile usage among consumers growing really quickly, at the expense of other media Average time spent per day with major media [2009-2010 YoY, %] Facts  Time spent per day with 28% mobile increased with 28% YoY.  Internet: 155 minutes per day; mobile: 50 minutes.  Consumption of mobile media (video, music) 6% increased with 600% in the last year. -1% -2% Radio TV and video Internet Mobile Source: Emarketer (December 2010); Video and music requests through mobile phones, Limelight Networks (May 2011) 8
  • 9. M-commerce is growing faster than e-commerce and in a steady tempo… Consumer spending through mobile commerce [USA, billions] Facts  Top products purchased by US mobile buyers (excl. ringtones, apps, music, video, clips): consumer  Forrester estimates electronics (57%), books (42%), clothing (34%), computer hardware (31%), jewelry (16%) mobile spending in 2012 at $10 billion $25 (USA). $19  48% of US consumers are already using their $14 mobile devices to research and browse $10 products and services. $6 $3  PayPal expects the number of m-commerce transactions to grow by 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 a factor of 10 in 2 years (worldwide). % of eCommerce 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% Source: Forrester Research (2011); Oracle ATG (April 2011); PayPal (2011) 9
  • 10. …but consumers only slowly adopt (for three clear reasons) User experience on websites not adapted to characteristics of mobile devices and needs of Conclusion consumers  Limited special mobile features (shopping list, QR code usage, etc.)  A better user experience will increase  A mobile template is not a mobile site! m-commerce adoption. No safe and easy payment standard for mobile  Mobile version of Ideal  Currence will launch mobile version of most popular paying method Ideal beginning 2012 will boost commerce  Rabobank will start experimenting sooner with own mobile payment method through mobile. Low awareness among consumers  New apps with added  No specific commerce-related apps value will raise awareness among consumers. Source: Currence (2011) 10
  • 11. Smartphone and tablet require tailored app or site, as these devices have specific usage patterns Smartphone Tablet [6.6% of all browsing traffic] [2.2% of all browsing traffic] Typical user 2010  Very diverse  Male (89%), 25-54 (76%), HBO/WO (73%) Typical user 2011  Very diverse  Male (81%), 25-54 (71%), HBO/WO (67%) Timing:  Mainly in the morning (7.00 – 9.00)  Especially in the evening (18.00 – 22.00) moment of day used  Small peak during lunchtime (12.00-13.00) and end of workday (17.00-18.00) Sessions per day  Multiple times a day, short sessions of a few minutes  Multiple times a day, approx. 1 hour total Usage  Used in ‘downtime’  Used very intense  Used mostly alone  Often shared with other users (kids, friends)  Used especially when no iPad of computer is present  Used at different places: couch, toilet, in bed  More used on the road than home (=3G)  More used at home than on the road (=WiFi) Apps installed  15  25 Users using media apps  55%  70% Source: Sanoma Digital, data Nu.nl (October 2010, June 2011); Trends in Digitaal lezen, IntoMart GfK (2011); expert interviews; Netmarketshare (July 2011) 11
  • 12. Different types of apps can be made for mobile devices Conclusion User experience  Depending on specific wishes, companies should choose either a Native apps mobile site, native app  Programmed for one or hybrid app. Mobile sites (web apps) platform  Cross-platform  Use all special  HTML5 offers compatible Hybrid apps phone features such opportunities to  Not all phone  Native app with embedded as GPS, address features supported HTML; therefore cross-platform develop low-cost apps: book, phone camera  Hosted on compatible works on all platforms  Distributed through server, distributed  Access all special phone app and is easy to develop through the web features such as GPS, address store/market, downl and debug. book, phone camera oaded and installed  Distributed through app store/market, downloaded and installed Cost and time-to-market Source: Harvest analyses 12
  • 13. Most companies do not have a clear mobile presence at all; frontrunners are now taking competitive leap Three laggards and explorers Frontrunners Conclusion  Hunkemoller does not have mobile  Bol.com: +200% mobile turnover July  Most large companies presence 2010- Feb 2011 still lagging in mobile developments.  HEMA only has a photo app  Drogisterij.net: in 2010, 3% total turnover mobile and 6% in 2011  An exception are the  MediaMarkt has very simple site without real additional value  Thuisbezorgd.nl: 5% of total turnover in frontrunners who 2010 already start to gain a competitive advantage  Appie: basket size & traffic to AH stores in mobile.  PayPal: 41% of large Dutch webshops offers a form of m-commerce end 2011. Source: Bol.com, Drogisterij.net, Thuisbezorgd.nl, Gartner, PayPal (2011) 13
  • 14. Drogisterij.net is a frontrunner in mobile sales of grocery Currently: Drogisterij.net sells more Expectation: mobile sales will triple in than 3% through mobile 2012  Drogisterij.net is growing rapidly;  CEO Drogisterij.net expects 6% total turnover was already >€6 sales through mobile end of 2011 million in 2009  A new mobile site will boost sales  3% of all orders is placed through mobile device (June 2011)  Sales is expected to be 3x higher in 2012 than in 2011  No iPhone/Android/other apps  Mobile site with UE almost comparable to Bol.com mobile site  Most typical ‘offline’ grocery stores as Kruidvat and Etos do not yet offer apps; DIO Drogist has a simple app for drug information Source: Drogisterij.net blog 14
  • 15. Projected mobile revenues from (in-)app sales and mobile advertising expected to increase Global app store revenue and mobile ad market revenue [$, billions] Facts  Global revenues for sales of apps and within apps are expected to triple within 3 years. $19  Total app store downloads will reach 17.7 billion in 2011. $11 $6  Mobile ad market H1 $39 2011 NL was €1.2 $3 $27 million, is starting to $20 ramp up, and will grow $1 $13 $5 in a faster pulse. 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 In-app revenues Ad revenues Source: Gartner (January 2011); NB: IDC (December 2010) made different estimation; IAB, Ad Spend Report H1 2011 15
  • 16. Still, the business models are currently not multi-million dollar opportunities for three reasons  Relatively low mobile reach Future expectation - About ±5% of total traffic comes through mobile devices  Mobile usage is increasing; will make  Consumer not willing to pay for services business models more - Exception 1: services that are really premium attractive. - Exception 2: services where users are used to paying for non-mobile alternative (e.g. newspapers)  Consumers learn to pay for mobile services (e.g.  The app store and ad revenues are not cash cows (yet) Spotify, data packages) - App store revenue is limited: average price €0.79 - €1.99 per app minus VAT and revshare app store  Parties as Google have - Low revenue of mobile ads: €0.10 eCPM networks, €3-€5 eCPM direct, but low sell- entered mobile ad trough triggered by smaller screen (less placements) market; eCPMs of - Ad market still small: currently 0.5%-1.0% of total ad market mobile ads are expected to grow. Source: Harvest research 16
  • 17. So what business model does work? Eight business models for mobile with their pros and cons 100% free Advertisement Ads + premium features Driving indirect sales Free app with free content Free app with advertisement Free lite access with ads; then pay Increasing basket size or traction by not pay directly Consumer does for premium features leading consumers to other channels  Large potential reach and usage  Some revenue; enriches sales  Revenue from ads and  Increases customer − No revenues proposition subscriptions satisfaction, loyalty, indirect sales − Sales force needed; too many ads − Paid subscription puts a brake on and allows PoP marketing will harm user experience usage − Direct results sometimes hard to (=less page views) measure Paid app Paid app with ads Paid subscription Direct mobile sales Pay fee in app store to get access to Pay fee in app store to get access to Pay in-app subscription fee for full Select, pay and service through the application, all content is free the application, plus ads around access; app includes 1 time usage mobile channel pays directly Consumers content  Direct money  Direct money  Revenue from pay per usage  Direct revenue increase − Fee puts a brake on adoption of − Fee puts a brake on adoption of − Paid subscription puts a brake on app (and thus reach) app (and thus reach); bad user usage (=less page views) experience; not a logical choice Free Ads around Pay for Pay for content model content model premium content model transaction or product Source: Harvest research; Intentionally left out: 2nd screen monetization and adding mobile experience to offline (retail) channels 17
  • 18. Most important take-out in current market: mobile is not a direct driver for revenues (yet) Analysis shows: mobile apps business models Mobile apps currently a hygiene factor, driving indirect currently not interesting sales  Business models for a media company where compared; Two possibilities: none of them was highly profitable yet  Mobile as a hygiene factor: dissatisfier when not having an app (e.g. Bol.com)  Smartphone penetration is expected to reach 60% in 2012; a possible tipping point for business models  Mobile as a competitive advantage: driving indirect sales (e.g. Appie) or improving proposition (e.g. ABN Amro internet banking) Source: Harvest analyses 18
  • 19. Albert Heijn and Bol.com developed apps to increase customer loyalty and drive sales indirectly Appie: Bol.com: large investments, leading to more loyal customers mobile app can be seen as dissatisfier  Millions euros investment in continuous product  5% of bookings now through mobile platforms and development increasing; major part of mobile sales would be otherwise bought through web platform  Customers are extremely positive about Appie (4**** in App Store and 4,5**** in Android Market)  Finally, mobile presence can be come a ‘dissatisfier’. When a retailer does not offer mobile, some customer  In a very competitive environment, Albert Heijn as segments will buy somewhere else. market leader succeeded to gain growth in market share Source: Harvest analyses, Distrifood (2011), Bol.com (2011) 19
  • 20. The future of mobile: Tesco introduced a shopping concept based on QR codes Tesco’s Home Plus  Tesco in South Korea created the Home plus virtual store that allows customers to shop at their leisure  The user purchases the groceries by scanning QR codes with a smart phone and they are delivered for when they arrive home  Online turnover increased by 110%; Home plus now number #1 in online grocery sales in South-Korea Source: Tesco.com; RetailDetail 20
  • 21. The mobile landscape is quickly changing, growing to a more mature market Today € ! t From: Experimental phase To: Mature phase Consumer  Online at one place (home/office)…  … and now online any time, everywhere Market  Low reach (5-8% of total online)…  … but growing fast Technology  Low-tech and inside-out driven  … but now high-tech and driven by consumer development… needs Business  … to professionalizing and growing advertising  Business models in baby shoes… and app market 21
  • 22. Harvest brings together consumer perspective and business perspective in a pragmatic mobile action strategy Business perspective Consumer perspective Find the right Sweetspot business models Offer the best and monetize experience for step-wise consumers  Companies see chances;  Consumers willing to experiment harvesting increasingly using and learn m-commerce as it as fast, easy, and 24/7  Challenge is to transform opportunities to  Experience is concrete plans and currently under par business model Mobile action strategy  Trust is too low 22
  • 23. Harvest takes into account internal strengths, and opportunities in the market to create an actionable mobile strategy Internal 1 External analysis 2 Action plan 3 strengths mapping Actions Actions Actions  Strengths and capability overview  Consumer behaviour: mobile  Choice of most suitable business usage and needs per target group model  Evaluation of current traffic and traffic flows  Inspiration: (inter)national best  Business case practices and examples  Strategic choices and building  Competitive analysis: mobile blocks for product activities of competitors  Sketches of product based on  Trends: relevant trends translated building blocks to insights & actions  Action plan with timeline  Technique: choice for native/hybrid/web app 23
  • 24. Harvest cooperates with clients to create an actionable strategy using interviews, analyses and desk research Internal strengths mapping: External analysis: expert interviews Action plan interviews and data analysis and desk research  Interviews with stakeholders and  Interviews with experts on mobile  Define possible mobile business management app development & mobile trends models  Analysis of current (mobile) traffic  Analysis of mobile market, trends  Calculate business case to site and app and technical developments  Create planning for app  Evaluation of current initiatives  Analysis of mobile consumer development behaviour  Sketch preview of mobile app  Review of competitors and best practices 24
  • 25. We take it all the way: sketches based on the concept are input for the third party that will actually build the platform 25
  • 26. Harvest serves an international portfolio of pure online players and click-and-brick companies "Harvest is without any doubt one of the very best e-consultancy companies in the world. Excellent knowledge and expertise strategically, tactically, and operationally, always with clear focus on top line results” Francine van Dierendonck, Sr. Director and Head Global Philips Flagship Store "The monetization quick scan that Harvest carried out for Compare Group highlighted tactical improvements with direct upside and a strategic opportunity. The Harvest team is very professional and has great knowledge of e-retail and online in general.” Ben Kerkhof, CEO Compare Group "Harvest supported Experteer in their go-to-market in the Netherlands. The professionalism, drive and in-depth knowledge of the Dutch online were key to the success of the project and the launch of experteer.nl” Nina Zimmerman, Head of Europe Experteer "Harvest combines a strategic view on creating online success with the power to execute. Passion for the online business, dedicated to deliver results. And above all, a pleasure to work with.” Marc de Vries, CEO Hyves 26
  • 27. Feel free to reach out to us for more information Harvest – Online Business Development
 Herengracht 262-266
 1016 BV AMSTERDAM
 The Netherlands E: info@harvestamsterdam.com
 T: +31 (0) 20 4277796
 I: www.harvestamsterdam.com 27

Notas do Editor

  1. Cijfers van paarmaandengeleden. Het lijkter opdat het al in 2011 gaatgebeuren. Hoofdredacteurnu.nlzegtdathelft van zijn traffic eindditjaarmobiele traffic zalzijn.
  2. Also: decision making where to invest your money. If you have 100,000 euros. Where to spend it? Will mobile return your investment?Dashboards etc,