Guy Dauncey's 12 Climate Action Clusters for Canada
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My presentation to the 2016 Ottawa ClimaCon conference. A 20-minute, comprehensive narrated presentation on Canada's best climate solutions.
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Guy Dauncey's 12 Climate Action Clusters for Canada
- 1. Guy Dauncey October 2016 CLIMATE SOLUTIONS ClimaCon 2016, Ottawa Canada
- 2. This is a short version of part of my larger presentation: www.slideshare.net/GuyDauncey/climate-action-now-2016
- 5. The Paris Climate Agreement Great Collapse Great Transition
- 6. Fossil Fuels 65% Forests 11% Methane 16% N2O 6% Industrial meat & dairy 15% IPCC 2014Global Emissions
- 7. Canada’s Emissions Oil & Gas Transport Buildings Electricity Industry Agriculture Other
- 11. The Twelve Most Important Climate Action Clusters 1. Strong climate leadership, vision, engagement, education and adaptation
- 12. Vision…
- 13. Globally – a Huge Way To Go
- 14. Vision…
- 15. CITY OF VICTORIA just voted to go 100% RENEWABLE Vision…
- 16. Vision…
- 17. Oslo voted to slash emissions 95% by 2030 Vision…
- 19. The Twelve Most Important Climate Action Clusters 1. Strong climate leadership, vision, engagement, education and adaptation Individual NGO Municipal Business College Organization Province Canada Who can act on this solution?
- 20. The Twelve Most Important Climate Action Clusters 2. Targets, policies and regulations to achieve 100% renewable energy for electricity
- 21. 100% Renewable Electricity 1. Phase out all coal-fired power by 2025 2. Phase out all gas-fired power by 2030 3. Supportive policies for solar, wind & renewables 4. Policy & finance supports for geothermal power 5. R & D investment in grid, DSM, energy storage
- 22. 100% Renewable Electricity Regulatory policies Fiscal Incentives and Public Financing
- 23. Farewell and Thank You, Fossil Fuels Welcome, Solar Age!
- 24. Price of Solar Module per Watt 1977: $77 1997: $7 2013: $0.7
- 25. Renewable Electricity Supply 330 TWh/year Needed for 100%: an additional 420 TWh/year Canada’s Electrical Demand 2014: 511 TWh 2040: 750 TWh Assumes transition to 100% renewables by 2040
- 26. 100% Renewable Electricity 1. Phase out all coal-fired power by 2025 2. Phase out all gas-fired power by 2030 3. Feed-in tariffs for solar, wind & renewables 4. Policy & finance supports for geothermal power 5. R & D investment in energy storage
- 27. The Twelve Most Important Climate Action Clusters 3. Targets, policies and regulations to achieve a transition to sustainable transportation
- 28. 100% Renewable Energy Transportation 1. Active support for pedestrian cities 2. Major investment in safe, separated cycling 3. Major investment in transit, LRT 4. Zero emissions for all cars/light trucks by 2025/30 5. Solar electrification of railways 6. R&D Investment in trucking, shipping, flying
- 32. All buses in Barcelona will be electric by 2020. Self-financing over 12 years
- 33. Electric bus in Victoria, BC
- 34. Australian-Chinese Brighsun Bus 500 km on one charge with full load
- 35. Real-time electronic bus stops
- 36. Car sharing - Car2Go 118,000 members in Vancouver
- 37. Ambitious targets and incentives for EV uptake and charging network
- 38. 1990
- 39. 1990
- 40. 1990
- 41. 1990
- 42. 1990
- 43. 1990
- 44. 1990
- 45. 1990 25% of new sales
- 46. 1990
- 47. Almost 400,000 advance orders placed for new US $35,000 Tesla Model 3. 320 kilometres range
- 48. The falling price of EV batteries
- 50. October 2016
- 51. April 2016: Holland’s Lower House voted to end purchase of gas/diesel cars by 2025
- 53. I M A G I N E An Electric Vehicles Climate Solutions Treaty 40 nations agree to A Zero Emissions Standard All new cars by 2030 All light trucks by 2032
- 54. Swiss E-Force 18 tonne electric truck 300 km range 80–110 kWh per 100 km at highway speed
- 55. Future railways electric, 100% renewable energy
- 56. Guy Dauncey 2015 www.earthfuture.com Railway Electrification in Canada 50,000 kilometres 14,000 jobs a year over 25 years
- 57. Norway’s Electric Ferry ZeroCat 5.7 km route, 20 minute round trip Range will increase as batteries improve
- 58. Most air pollution – gone
- 59. Long-Distance Trucking: nothing ready yet
- 60. Long-Distance Shipping : nothing ready yet
- 61. Flying: nothing ready yet
- 62. 100% Renewable Energy Transportation 1. Active support for pedestrian cities 2. Major investment in safe, separated cycling 3. Major investment in transit, LRT 4. Zero emissions for all cars/light trucks by 2025/30 5. Solar electrification of railways 6. R&D Investment in trucking, shipping, flying
- 63. The Twelve Most Important Climate Action Clusters 4. Targets, policies and regulations to achieve a transition to sustainable buildings
- 64. 100% renewable energy buildings 1. All new buildings Passive House design by 2021 2. Major home energy retrofit program 3. Condos energy retrofit program 4. Commercial & Industrial energy retrofit programs 5. Urban Centres District Heat programs
- 65. Passive Houses, Victoria 90% reduced heat loss
- 66. Passive House, Victoria, B.C. 90% less heat energy, 15 kwh/m2, 4.4% more cost www.bernhardtpassive.com
- 67. Brussels, Belgium Since 2015, all new buildings and retrofits are required to be Nearly-Zero Energy, based on the Passive House Standard.
- 68. Stockholm, 80,000 apartments district heat from treated sewage
- 69. Vancouver Olympic Village District Heat from sewage pump station
- 70. Six Sources of Renewable Heat Air-source heat Ground-source heat Stored solar heat Biomass/Biogas Heat exchange ventilator Dog-source heat
- 71. 100% renewable energy buildings 1. All new buildings Passive House design by 2021 2. Major home energy retrofit program 3. Condos energy retrofit program 4. Commercial & Industrial energy retrofit programs 5. Urban Centres District Heat programs
- 72. The Twelve Most Important Climate Action Clusters 5. Balance an annually increasing price on carbon with the use of flexible regulations
- 74. FLEXIBLE REGULATIONS GREENHOUSE GASES Fewer Flex-Regs = Higher Price on Carbon Needs $200 a tonne by 2030 to meet Paris (Is Win-Win Possible? Mark Jaccard et al, 2016)
- 75. CARBON PRICING GREENHOUSE GASES More Flex-Regs = Lower Price on Carbon
- 76. Take your pick: • Revenue-neutral carbon tax, balanced by tax reductions • Revenue positive carbon tax, income to climate solutions • Carbon fee and dividend, everyone gets annual cheque • Carbon cap-and-trade, caps for industry, trading for carbon allowances
- 77. The Twelve Most Important Climate Action Clusters 5. Balance an annually increasing price on carbon with the use of flexible regulations
- 78. The Twelve Most Important Climate Action Clusters 6. Build a green, cooperative, entrepreneurial economy for the 21st century
- 79. Mark Carney, Governor, Bank of England “Climate change initiatives offer a $5-7 trillion funding opportunity for capital markets.”
- 80. Almost Twice as Many Green Jobs in Canada By Guy Dauncey 800,000 fossil fuel jobs lost 1,000,000 green energy jobs gained
- 82. The Twelve Most Important Climate Action Clusters 6. Build a green, cooperative, entrepreneurial economy for the 21st century
- 83. The Twelve Most Important Climate Action Clusters 7. Targets, policies and regulations to reduce fossil fuel industry emissions
- 84. ALBERTA OIL SANDS Plan Zero by 2040 into all NEB decisions. Freeze production at an agreed level. Question licenses for all new pipelines. Close down the last oil sands operation by 2040. Firm up requirements for boreal forest restoration.
- 85. The Scientifically Needed Solution That’s Not Happening Yet 1. Each nation is allocated a cap, based on the climate maths. 2. Every producer or importer of fossil fuels bids for a permit in an annual national auction. A Global Carbon Cap
- 86. Fossil fuels imported Fossil fuels extracted An Annual Fossil Fuel Permits Auction Each year, 25 Mt CO2 fewer permits
- 87. 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 Every year 5-10% CO2 reduction
- 88. 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 Every year 5-10% renewable energy increase
- 89. The Scientifically Needed Solution That’s Not Happening Yet 1. Each nation is allocated a cap, based on the climate maths. 2. Every producer or importer of fossil fuels bids for a permit in an annual national auction. A Global Carbon Cap
- 90. Carbon rationing for individuals and businesses
- 91. Carbon rationing for individuals and businesses
- 92. The Twelve Most Important Climate Action Clusters 7. Targets, policies and regulations to reduce fossil fuel industry emissions
- 93. The Twelve Most Important Climate Action Clusters 8. Direct Action to ensure no new fossil fuel expansion projects
- 95. The Twelve Most Important Climate Action Clusters 8. Direct Action to ensure no new fossil fuel expansion projects
- 96. The Twelve Most Important Climate Action Clusters 9. Targets, policies and regulations to help Canada’s emissions-intensive industries reduce their emissions and shift to 100% renewable energy
- 97. INDUSTRY Improve energy efficiency Replace coal and gas with biomass/hydrogen R&D for future green heat
- 98. Industrial Heat: No coal substitutes yet
- 99. The Twelve Most Important Climate Action Clusters 9. Targets, policies and regulations to help Canada’s emissions-intensive industries reduce their emissions and shift to 100% renewable energy
- 100. The Twelve Most Important Climate Action Clusters 10. Targets, policies and regulations to help Canada’s farmers, ranchers and foresters reduce their emissions
- 101. End Deforestation Globally and in Canada 1.5 Gigatonnes of carbon a year globally
- 102. Current logging practices in BC
- 104. The livestock industry – meat & dairy – is causing 15% of global warming
- 105. Who, - me?
- 106. Me?
- 107. Why so big? N2O from manure Methane from manure Methane from anaerobic digestion (burping)US Data Each molecule of methane traps 34 x more heat than CO2 over 100 years; 84 x more over 20 years.
- 108. Under discussion in Denmark
- 109. The Twelve Most Important Climate Action Clusters 10. Targets, policies and regulations to help Canada’s farmers, ranchers and foresters reduce their emissions
- 110. The Twelve Most Important Climate Action Clusters 11. Strengthen efforts to eco-sequestrate the excess carbon out of the atmosphere
- 111. Atmospheric carbon 1850 2016 560 Gt 807 Gt 260 ppm 400 ppm
- 112. Atmospheric carbon 807 Gt 700 GT 350 ppm
- 114. The Twelve Most Important Climate Action Clusters 11. Strengthen efforts to eco-sequestrate the excess carbon out of the atmosphere
- 115. LEARN EDUCATE ACT DREAM INNOVATION NEW SUPPORT POLICIES INCENTIVES R& D ECO-INVESTMENT ECONOMY JOBS PUBLIC, YOU & ME, SCHOOLS, NGOs GOVERNMENTS BUSINESS GREENHOUSE GASES CARBON PRICING FLEXIBLE REGULATIONS Climate Action - Putting it all together
- 116. The Twelve Most Important Climate Action Clusters 12. Work with other nations to accelerate global progress
- 117. Denmark
- 118. Denmark
- 120. “Since Sweden accounts for less than 0.2% of total global emissions, the country could easily have gone unnoticed in the climate debate. Instead, Sweden has chosen to do more than many other countries on issues regarding energy and the climate.”
- 121. “Sweden’s goals to reduce GHG emissions compared with 1990 by 40% by 2020, and to have a vehicle fleet completely rid of fossil fuels by 2030, are stepping stones to the overarching goal of a society with no net GHG emissions by 2050.”
- 122. The Twelve Most Important Climate Action Clusters 12. Work with other nations to accelerate global progress
- 124. The vision of a future in which we have achieved a great transition, avoided collapse, and live in harmony with Nature.
- 126. Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey www.earthfuture.com