24. Guy Dauncey 2013
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2011
www.earthfuture.com
As we burn the fossil fuels…
Guy Dauncey 2007
www.earthfuture.co
CO2 CO2
CO2
CO2
CO2 CO2
100 million tonnes a day
= 4 million tonnes an hour
= 67,000 tonnes a minute
= 1,000 tonnes a second
48. Guy Dauncey 2013
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2011
www.earthfuture.com
Tar Sands: 1.2 million barrels a day
The world is consuming 89 million barrels a day
62. Guy Dauncey 2013
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2011
www.earthfuture.com
10,000
years past
10,000
years future
The Teeny-Witzy, Ever-So-Brief
Age of Oil
Neolithic Era: 8,000 years
Ancient Egypt: 3,000 years
Roman Empire: 1,000 years
Islamic Golden Age: 600 years
Era of Oil: 100 years
63. Guy Dauncey 2013
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2011
www.earthfuture.com
10,000
years past
10,000
years future
The Teeny-Witzy, Ever-So-Brief
Age of Oil
Neolithic Era: 8,000 years
Ancient Egypt: 3,000 years
Roman Empire: 1,000 years
Islamic Golden Age: 600 years
Age of Oil: 100 years
What happens here?
64. Guy Dauncey 2013
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2011
www.earthfuture.com
A billion years
future
Neolithic Era: 8,000 years
Ancient Egypt: 3,000 years
Roman Empire: 1,000 years
Islamic Golden Age: 600 years
Age of Oil: 100 years
The Sun does not begin to turn into a Red Giant
for a billion years.
That’s 100,000 periods of 10,000 years
69. Guy Dauncey 2013
Earthfuture.com
How Are We Using the Oil?
Cars & light trucks 40%
Heavy trucks 13%
Flying 8%
Shipping 2.5%
Asphalt 3%
Rail freight 1%
Recreational 1%
Military 1.5%
TOTAL TRANSPORT 71%
Non-transport uses 29%
108. Guy Dauncey 2013
Earthfuture.com
Umea, Sweden
Fast-Charging Electric Bus, 18 hours/day
1 – 2 euros for 10-20 kWh electricity to go 10 km
www.opbrid.com
155. Guy Dauncey 2013
Earthfuture.com
Low Price: Renault Twizy EV
2 seats, 100 km range, made in Spain
80 kph top speed, 3.5 hours recharge
$9,700 + $60/month battery lease
161. Guy Dauncey 2013
Earthfuture.com
Top price: Tesla EV Model-X
7 seats. Spacious luggage capacity front & rear
0-90 kph in 4.4 seconds
300-400 kilomertes range
$67,000 plus incentives
Delivery in 2014
166. Guy Dauncey 2013
Earthfuture.com
Made by Dutch students, Eindhoven University
Family size, 4-seater
Roadworthy, legal in Holland
Weight: 380 kg (1120 kg for normal EV)
Range: 400 km no sunshine, 600 km full sunshine
Solar PV cost $4,000
10 months a year it produces more energy than it uses
Excess power back into the grid
181. Guy Dauncey 2013
Earthfuture.com
Cost of a new traffic lane
$300,000 to $500,000 per km 800 vehicles per hour
Cost of a 1.5 metre bike lane
$5,000 to $10,000 per km for re-striping
2,000 trips per hour
= 75 to 250 times more cost-effective
182. Guy Dauncey 2013
Earthfuture.com
Cost of a new traffic lane
$300,000 to $500,000 per km 800 vehicles per hour
Cost of a 1.5 metre bike lane
$5,000 to $10,000 per km for re-striping
2,000 trips per hour
= 75 to 250 times more cost-effective
$35,000 to $150,000 per km when road widening required
= 5 to 35 times more cost-effective
Ministry of Transportation of Ontario, Ontario Bikeways Planning and Design
Guidelines, pg. 8-34, March 1996.
183. Guy Dauncey 2013
Earthfuture.com
Cost of a new traffic lane
$300,000 to $500,000 per km 800 vehicles per hour
Cost of a 1.5 metre bike lane
$5,000 to $10,000 per km for re-striping
2,000 trips per hour
= 75 to 250 times more cost-effective
$35,000 to $150,000 per km when road widening required
= 5 to 35 times more cost-effective
Ministry of Transportation of Ontario, Ontario Bikeways Planning and Design
Guidelines, pg. 8-34, March 1996.
Cost of a new separated bike lane
$100,000 per km
= 7 to 12 times more cost-effective
190. Guy Dauncey 2013
Earthfuture.com
Freight Solutions - Trucking
Super-efficient designs save 35%
Electric plug-in to eliminate idling saves 8%
Slower driving saves 8%
‘Empty miles’ shipping saves 5-15%
Combined innovations could save 60%
But 60% increased demand would
wipe out all the gains.
199. Guy Dauncey 2013
Earthfuture.com
B9 Shipping: 100% renewably powered commercially and
technically viable sailing hybrid cargo ships.
www.b9energy.com
200. Guy Dauncey 2013
Earthfuture.com
9 MW of solar panels
Retractable sails between each cargo bay
Self-unloading cargo bays
Superconducting power link
Modular LNG hydrogen fuel cells
Sleek, low wind resistance design
201. Guy Dauncey 2013
Earthfuture.com
Slowing from 25 to 20 knots – saves 50%
Slowing from 23.5 to 20 knots - saves 25%
Skysails on slow boats (10 knots) - saves 20%
Ecospeed coating and underwater cleaning – saves 20%
Underwater propellor polishing – saves 2%
Black carbon elimination through cleaner fuel
But 50% increased demand would
wipe out all the gains.
203. Guy Dauncey 2013
Earthfuture.com
Proposed EADS VoltAir lithium-air battery aircraft
Superconducting electric motors
Paris Airshow, 2011
Up to Mach 4, Paris – Tokyo in 2.5 hours
205. Guy Dauncey 2013
Earthfuture.com
Renewable Fuel
Biofuel made from…
Farm and forest wastes
Sewage and urban organic wastes
Cultivated algae using waste CO2
Cultivated seaweed
Renewable fuel made from…
Carbon monoxide and industrial wastes
Green hydrogen
Green methanol (hydrogen and waste CO2)
206. Guy Dauncey 2013
Earthfuture.com
Renewable Fuel
Will there be enough?
Rocky Mountain Institute:
with 84% fuel-saving potential
US demand = 3.1 million barrels a day
USDA-DOE analysis:
US farmland could sustainably provide dry collectable
biomass wastes
= 3 million barrels a day.
215. Guy Dauncey 2013
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2013
www.earthfuture.com
D'où venons-nous? Que sommes-nous? Où allons-nous?
Where Do We Come From?
What Are We?
Where Are We Going??
220. Guy Dauncey 2013
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2013
www.earthfuture.com
Number of
atoms in your
body:
1027: 1000 trillion
trillion
All self-organized
into one amazing
whole
221. Guy Dauncey 2013
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2013
www.earthfuture.com
Every atom in your body was either made in the Big Bang
or in a later Supernova explosion
223. Guy Dauncey 2013
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2013
www.earthfuture.com
Number of synapses in your brain
100 trillion
All self-organized into one amazing whole
226. Guy Dauncey 2013
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2013
www.earthfuture.com
Do you have free will to choose your future?
Or is everything predetermined?
232. Guy Dauncey 2013
Earthfuture.com
Taken together,
our efforts to make a better world
are like drops of dew
that slowly accumulate
in the soul of the world.
They hasten the day when the whole Earth,
With all its peoples and all its many creatures,
will enjoy harmony, fulfillment and peace.
Is the Relay Rides $715 a month number excessive?Globe & Mail http://www.theglobeandmail.com/globe-drive/new-cars/auto-news/the-real-cost-of-car-ownership/article1692912/ says $711 to $906 a month