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Refinement on Fire Danger Rating System
                 (FDRS)
     to Reduce Peat Fires in Malaysia
                By MMD & DOE

      ASEAN Technical Workshop on
  Development of the ASEAN Peatland Fire
   Prediction and Early Warning System
             Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
               20 - 21 March 2012
Contents
◘ Development on Drought Monitoring, Fire
  Prediction and Early Warning System in
  Malaysia
◘ History of FDRS
◘ FDRS Pilot Project in State of Selangor,
  Malaysia
◘ Current Products and Applications of FDRS
◘ Future Plan
Development on Drought
Monitoring, Fire Prediction
and Early Warning System
       in Malaysia
Development on Drought Monitoring,
Fire Prediction and Early Warning System in
Malaysia.
• Seasonal Forecast
• Drought Monitoring (SPI)
• Report by Climate & Hydrology Section of
   non-raining days
• Satellite Hot Spot Monitoring
• Report by Environmental Studies Division
   During haze condition.
• Watch Tower, Air & Land Surveillance
Monthly Rainfall Prediction and Anomaly Percentage March – Mei 2012

a) March 2012                 b) April 2012         c) Mei 2012




            Rainfall Amount




        Anomaly Percentage
Drought Monitoring -Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI)
       Accumulated 1 Month
                                         Accumulated 4 Month




     Accumulated 2 Month
                                        Accumulated 5 Month




     Accumulated 3 Month                  Accumulated 6 Month
Criteria For DROUGHT ALERT/WARNING


Alert
a) Total cumulative rainfall for the last 3 months is 65% below
   the long term average
b) SPI of the last month is less than -1.5
DROUGHT WARNING
a)   Total cumulative rainfall for the last 3 months is 65% below
     the long term average AND Total cumulative rainfall for the
     last 6 months is 65% below the long term average.
b) SPI of the last month is less than -1.5

● SOP for Drought is follow when this Criteria is fulfill
Advice Issue when:




            50% or more stations
          over the region recorded
           no rain for continuous 5
                    days !!




            ● Email are issue when
              the criteria comply, update
              and not comply
Advice on open burning ban



Northern West Coast of                Centre and South of
 Peninsular Malaysia                  Peninsular Malaysia
                           5 REGION



East Coast of Peninsular
       Malaysia                             Sabah


                           Sarawak
Hot Spot Monitoring
Hot Spot Monitoring
Daily Report by Environmental Studies Division
            During haze condition.
History of FDRS
FDRS In METMalaysia
Fire Danger Rating System for
Malaysia is computed and displayed
on MMD website since 2003

Also for Southeast Asia

Based on the Canada Forestry
Service (CFS) through CIDA
THE CANADIAN FOREST FIRE INDEX SYSTEM
● 12th Informal ASEAN Ministerial Meeting on the
  Environment : 6th Meeting of the Conference of
  the Parties to the ASEAN Agreement on
  Transboundary Haze Pollution
  (October 2010 Brunei Darul Salam) endorsed the
  Development of FDRS for the ASEAN Region

● To Refine FDRS
FDRS Pilot Refinement Project in
  State of Selangor, Malaysia
FDRS Pilot Project Over Peatland Area.
         Peat Forest in Selangor
Pilot Project the State of Selangor
The North Selangor Peat Forest Reserve
           Fire Prone Area
VERIFICATION OF FDRS CODES

• Coordinated By NRE
• Observations/Ground        truth    By        DOE,
  JPSM & GEC

• Phase 1 - Verification was carried out from     15
  June 2011 to 31 July 2011

• Phase 2 - Verification in progress from
  1 August 2011 to 30 September 2011
Pilot Project the State of Selangor
   Burning in Parit 4 dan Parit 5, Raja Musa Forest Reserve on 20/6/2011 for FFMC,
                                 DMC, DC, ISI and FWI.
Based observation on
20 Jun 2011:

reflect with actual
situation where most
places show all FDRS
indices are in high
category with high
probability to ignite fire
except for DC Typical
wet-season conditions
and severe haze periods
are unlikely. More than
30 dry days until DC
reaches threshold at
which point severe haze
is highly likely
Pilot Project the State of Selangor
                      FFMC : Burning Was Observed
                     in Johan Setia On 21/6/2011,
                       22/6/2011 and 25/6/2011




                        DMC For 21/6/2011,
                      22/6/2011 dan 25/6/2011




                      DC on 21/6/2011, 22/6/2011 and
                                25/6/2011
Current Products and Applications
            of FDRS
Increase station number from 39 to 168
                  39 station
            Peninsular - 26
            East Malaysia - 13




                  168 station
            Peninsular - 132
            East Malaysia - 36
http://www.met.gov.my/fdrs/




● Zoom to Peninsular & East Malaysia
● Google Map
● Peatland area
Differences between the old and new Malaysian FDRS
Different between old and new Malaysian FDRS

• Better resolution

• Refinement of initial data from 37 principal
  station to all 168 weather station

• FDRS product now are more detail and
  accurate.
Analyses done on some of the FDRS products
Analyses done on some of the FDRS products
Effort work towards refinement
            of FDRS
     Malaysian Meteorological
    Department & Department of
       Environment, Malaysia
Applications of FDRS
• DOE use FDRS as early warning system in order to
  take appropriate action on the ground to curb land
  and peat fires that cause deterioration of air quality
  with particular attention during hot and dry weather

   SATELLITE IMAGE            MAPPING AND COORDINATES
• Verification of fire incidence was done :
  - By having hotspot map superimpose to google map
  and having GIS system to indicate the spesific
  location of hotspots;

  - Ground truthing is done by sending enforcement
  officers from DOE/local authorities patrolling the
  potential fire risk areas.
- Engage local community such (English) RELA to
 monitor the fire prone area - fire suppression by
 engaging BOMBA/DID/MGD to ready with structures
 to mitigate fire breakout
• Use of FDRS as an alert system to the
  enforcement officer to monitor the area of
  concern such as peatland, forest, plantation
  area, waste disposal area and shrubs.
Future Plan for FDRS
Future Plan for FDRS
• Using NWP data to produce FDRS forecast
  maps
• Software Update
• Increase the number of the weather stations
• Redefine fire danger (severity) code
FDRS Forecast Product




● Still in the development stage
● Need verification
ABSTRACT OF CANADIAN FORESTRY FDRS SOFTWARE




                              ● Currently FWI only
                              ● Future Plan, FBPS
Collaboration of MMD and DOE
                               ● Installation of a new
                                 Automatic Weather
                                 Station (AWS) in
                                  peatland area.

                               ● Future Plan,
                                 minimum one
                                 AWS for each
                                 district .
Thank You

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Refinement on Fire Danger Rating System (FDRS) to Reduce Peat Fires in Malaysia

  • 1. Refinement on Fire Danger Rating System (FDRS) to Reduce Peat Fires in Malaysia By MMD & DOE ASEAN Technical Workshop on Development of the ASEAN Peatland Fire Prediction and Early Warning System Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia 20 - 21 March 2012
  • 2. Contents ◘ Development on Drought Monitoring, Fire Prediction and Early Warning System in Malaysia ◘ History of FDRS ◘ FDRS Pilot Project in State of Selangor, Malaysia ◘ Current Products and Applications of FDRS ◘ Future Plan
  • 3. Development on Drought Monitoring, Fire Prediction and Early Warning System in Malaysia
  • 4. Development on Drought Monitoring, Fire Prediction and Early Warning System in Malaysia. • Seasonal Forecast • Drought Monitoring (SPI) • Report by Climate & Hydrology Section of non-raining days • Satellite Hot Spot Monitoring • Report by Environmental Studies Division During haze condition. • Watch Tower, Air & Land Surveillance
  • 5. Monthly Rainfall Prediction and Anomaly Percentage March – Mei 2012 a) March 2012 b) April 2012 c) Mei 2012 Rainfall Amount Anomaly Percentage
  • 6. Drought Monitoring -Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) Accumulated 1 Month Accumulated 4 Month Accumulated 2 Month Accumulated 5 Month Accumulated 3 Month Accumulated 6 Month
  • 7. Criteria For DROUGHT ALERT/WARNING Alert a) Total cumulative rainfall for the last 3 months is 65% below the long term average b) SPI of the last month is less than -1.5 DROUGHT WARNING a) Total cumulative rainfall for the last 3 months is 65% below the long term average AND Total cumulative rainfall for the last 6 months is 65% below the long term average. b) SPI of the last month is less than -1.5 ● SOP for Drought is follow when this Criteria is fulfill
  • 8. Advice Issue when: 50% or more stations over the region recorded no rain for continuous 5 days !! ● Email are issue when the criteria comply, update and not comply
  • 9. Advice on open burning ban Northern West Coast of Centre and South of Peninsular Malaysia Peninsular Malaysia 5 REGION East Coast of Peninsular Malaysia Sabah Sarawak
  • 12. Daily Report by Environmental Studies Division During haze condition.
  • 14. FDRS In METMalaysia Fire Danger Rating System for Malaysia is computed and displayed on MMD website since 2003 Also for Southeast Asia Based on the Canada Forestry Service (CFS) through CIDA
  • 15. THE CANADIAN FOREST FIRE INDEX SYSTEM
  • 16. ● 12th Informal ASEAN Ministerial Meeting on the Environment : 6th Meeting of the Conference of the Parties to the ASEAN Agreement on Transboundary Haze Pollution (October 2010 Brunei Darul Salam) endorsed the Development of FDRS for the ASEAN Region ● To Refine FDRS
  • 17. FDRS Pilot Refinement Project in State of Selangor, Malaysia
  • 18. FDRS Pilot Project Over Peatland Area. Peat Forest in Selangor
  • 19. Pilot Project the State of Selangor The North Selangor Peat Forest Reserve Fire Prone Area
  • 20. VERIFICATION OF FDRS CODES • Coordinated By NRE • Observations/Ground truth By DOE, JPSM & GEC • Phase 1 - Verification was carried out from 15 June 2011 to 31 July 2011 • Phase 2 - Verification in progress from 1 August 2011 to 30 September 2011
  • 21. Pilot Project the State of Selangor Burning in Parit 4 dan Parit 5, Raja Musa Forest Reserve on 20/6/2011 for FFMC, DMC, DC, ISI and FWI. Based observation on 20 Jun 2011: reflect with actual situation where most places show all FDRS indices are in high category with high probability to ignite fire except for DC Typical wet-season conditions and severe haze periods are unlikely. More than 30 dry days until DC reaches threshold at which point severe haze is highly likely
  • 22. Pilot Project the State of Selangor FFMC : Burning Was Observed in Johan Setia On 21/6/2011, 22/6/2011 and 25/6/2011 DMC For 21/6/2011, 22/6/2011 dan 25/6/2011 DC on 21/6/2011, 22/6/2011 and 25/6/2011
  • 23. Current Products and Applications of FDRS
  • 24. Increase station number from 39 to 168 39 station Peninsular - 26 East Malaysia - 13 168 station Peninsular - 132 East Malaysia - 36
  • 25. http://www.met.gov.my/fdrs/ ● Zoom to Peninsular & East Malaysia ● Google Map ● Peatland area
  • 26. Differences between the old and new Malaysian FDRS
  • 27. Different between old and new Malaysian FDRS • Better resolution • Refinement of initial data from 37 principal station to all 168 weather station • FDRS product now are more detail and accurate.
  • 28. Analyses done on some of the FDRS products
  • 29. Analyses done on some of the FDRS products
  • 30. Effort work towards refinement of FDRS Malaysian Meteorological Department & Department of Environment, Malaysia
  • 31. Applications of FDRS • DOE use FDRS as early warning system in order to take appropriate action on the ground to curb land and peat fires that cause deterioration of air quality with particular attention during hot and dry weather SATELLITE IMAGE MAPPING AND COORDINATES
  • 32. • Verification of fire incidence was done : - By having hotspot map superimpose to google map and having GIS system to indicate the spesific location of hotspots; - Ground truthing is done by sending enforcement officers from DOE/local authorities patrolling the potential fire risk areas.
  • 33. - Engage local community such (English) RELA to monitor the fire prone area - fire suppression by engaging BOMBA/DID/MGD to ready with structures to mitigate fire breakout
  • 34. • Use of FDRS as an alert system to the enforcement officer to monitor the area of concern such as peatland, forest, plantation area, waste disposal area and shrubs.
  • 36. Future Plan for FDRS • Using NWP data to produce FDRS forecast maps • Software Update • Increase the number of the weather stations • Redefine fire danger (severity) code
  • 37. FDRS Forecast Product ● Still in the development stage ● Need verification
  • 38. ABSTRACT OF CANADIAN FORESTRY FDRS SOFTWARE ● Currently FWI only ● Future Plan, FBPS
  • 39. Collaboration of MMD and DOE ● Installation of a new Automatic Weather Station (AWS) in peatland area. ● Future Plan, minimum one AWS for each district .