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Demography of Aging
Colin Depp, Ph.D.
Stein Institute for Research on Aging
UCSD Dept. of Psychiatry
Aristotle 384-322 BC
Aristotle on Older People
“They have lived many years, they have often been taken in,
and often made mistakes; and life on the whole is a bad
business; The result is that they are sure about nothing
and underdo everything. They “think” but they never
“know” and because of their hesitation they always add a
possibility” or a “perhaps”, putting everything in this way.
They are cynical, they tend to put the worst construction
on everything. They are small-minded, not generous,
because money is one of things they must have. They
are cowardly. They are too fond of themselves. They are
not shy, but shameless rather…”
Birren, J.E. & Schroots, J.J.F. The History of
Geropsychology. Handbook of the Psychology of Aging. 3-28,
2001.
Humoral Theory of Aging
• Aging
– Intrinsic process (disease)
– Drying and cooling of the body (lamp
metaphor)
Treatment = Add heat and water!
Birren, J.E. & Schroots, J.J.F. The History of Geropsychology. Handbook of the
Psychology of Aging. 3-28, 2001.
Cicero 106-40 BC
Cicero’s View of Aging
• Cato Major De Senectute (On Old Age) 44 B.C.
• “Old age withdraws us from active pursuits but
one can [fulfill advisory functions]”
• “Memory is impaired, that is, if you do not
exercise it”
• Aging is…
– Not a disease, per se
– Determined to some extent by behavior
Treatment = Adapt
Birren, J.E. & Schroots, J.J.F. The History of Geropsychology.
Handbook of the Psychology of Aging. 3-28, 2001.
Life ExpectancyINDICATOR 14
Life ExpectancyINDICATOR 14
1900
(in
millions)
MALES FEMALES
21st Century
70-74
65-69
60-64
55-59
50-54
80+
45-49
40-44
35-39
30-34
25-29
20-24
15-19
10-14
5-9
0-4
75-79
AGE PYRAMID IN USA (Olshansky, 1997)
75-79
70-74
65-69
60-64
55-59
50-54
80+
45-49
40-44
35-39
30-34
25-29
20-24
15-19
10-14
5-9
0-4
Age Pyramids in Japan
Rapid Changes in Health of Older
People: The Civil War Studies
Fogel et al., 1998
Characteristics of the Civil War
Cohort
• 25% died in infancy
• 40% died before age 15
• Leading causes of death were infectious
disease
• Food clothing and shelter accounted for
75% of costs (now 13%)
• 3100 hours of work per year and two
hours per day of leisure (now 50%)
The Rate of Aging Differs in Step with
Adaptations
100+ yrs
30 yrs
2-5 yrs
3 yrs
Christensen et al. Nature Reviews Genetics 7, 436–448 (June 2006) | doi:10.1038/nrg1871
20 to 30% variability in longevity due to
heredity
A Proportion of Variation in
Longevity is Due to Genes
Kirkwood, 2000; Nature
Some Aging Phenotypes May
Avoid Selective Pressure
Maximum Reproductive Age
Some Variation in Lifespan is
Random
Lifespan in genetically identical worms raised in constant
environments (Kirkwood, 2005)
Peak ages of physiological
performance
• Hearing peaks at 5 years old
• Smell peaks at 10 years old
• Taste peaks at 10 years old
• Flexibility and balance peaks at 13 years old
• Muscle strength peaks at 18 years old
• Tissue repair peaks at 13 years old
• Short term memory peaks at 20 years old
• Immune response peaks at 13 years old
• Lung capacity peaks at 20 years old
Cutler and Mattson (2007) Ageing Res Reviews
Incidence of Elder Abuse
• 1998: National incidence of elder
abuse study (U.S.)
– 236,000 reports of Elder abuse in the
home in 1 year
– 50,000 reports of Elder abuse in the
nursing home in 1 year
– Estimated that only 1 in 5 cases are
reported
Elder Abuse: Demographic
Trends in Risk Factors
Risk for elder abuse is increased
among:
• Women
• “Older” older adults (over 80)
• Those diagnosed with dementia or
MH problem
• Those who are socially isolated
• Those with a caregiver in the home
Depressive SymptomsINDICATOR 19
Depressive SymptomsINDICATOR 19
Behavioral Determinants of
Successful Aging
• Exercise
• Diet
• Cognitive stimulation
• Optimism/resilience
• Social integration
• Positive attitudes toward aging
• Stress reduction
Depression
Functional LimitationsINDICATOR 20
Functional LimitationsINDICATOR 20
Sources of IncomeINDICATOR 9
The Successful AGing
Evaluation (SAGE) Study
N=1006 Randomly
sampled San Diego
adults aged 50-99;
Jeste et al., AJP, In
Press
DRM Studies
DRM: Top 3 Activities in terms
of Positive Affect Ratings
Age
15-25
Age
26-35
Age
36-45
Age
46-55
Age
56-65
Age
66-75
Age
76+
Exercise Exercise Exercise Socializing Exercise Exercise Socializing
Relaxing/
Thinking
Eating/
Drinking
Socializing Exercise Eating/
Drinking
Socializing Working
Reading Socializing Eating/
Drinking
Eating/
Drinking
Socializing Working Eating/
Drinking
DRM: Bottom 3 Activities in terms
of Positive Affective Ratings
Age
15-25
Age
26-35
Age
36-45
Age
46-55
Age
56-65
Age
66-75
Age
76+
Work Work Work TV TV TV Relaxing/
Thinking
TV Computer TV Computer Computer Computer TV
Computer Reading Computer Work Reading Relaxing Exercise
Estimates of TV and Non-TV
Leisure Activities by Age (n=3982)
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
15-25 26-35 36-45 46-55 56-65 66-75 76+
Age
PercentofEpisodes
Non-TV
Leisure
TV
Depp et al., 2010 AJPM
Positive Emotion by Time Spent
Alone, with Spouse or with Others
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
5
15-25 26-35 36-45 46-55 56-65 66-75 76+
Age (banded)
with anyone else
with spouse
alone
Mean
Pos
Affect
Rating
Depp et al.,
Unpublished;
Princeton Affect
and Time Use
Survey
Percent of Waking Time Alone
(n=3982; DRM Study)
0
20
40
60
80
100
15-25 26-35 36-45 46-55 56-65 66-75 76+
Age (banded)
Male
Female
% of
Time
Alone
Depp et al.,
Unpublished;
Princeton Affect
and Time Use
Survey
Thanks!

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Demographics of Aging

  • 1. Demography of Aging Colin Depp, Ph.D. Stein Institute for Research on Aging UCSD Dept. of Psychiatry
  • 3. Aristotle on Older People “They have lived many years, they have often been taken in, and often made mistakes; and life on the whole is a bad business; The result is that they are sure about nothing and underdo everything. They “think” but they never “know” and because of their hesitation they always add a possibility” or a “perhaps”, putting everything in this way. They are cynical, they tend to put the worst construction on everything. They are small-minded, not generous, because money is one of things they must have. They are cowardly. They are too fond of themselves. They are not shy, but shameless rather…” Birren, J.E. & Schroots, J.J.F. The History of Geropsychology. Handbook of the Psychology of Aging. 3-28, 2001.
  • 4. Humoral Theory of Aging • Aging – Intrinsic process (disease) – Drying and cooling of the body (lamp metaphor) Treatment = Add heat and water! Birren, J.E. & Schroots, J.J.F. The History of Geropsychology. Handbook of the Psychology of Aging. 3-28, 2001.
  • 6. Cicero’s View of Aging • Cato Major De Senectute (On Old Age) 44 B.C. • “Old age withdraws us from active pursuits but one can [fulfill advisory functions]” • “Memory is impaired, that is, if you do not exercise it” • Aging is… – Not a disease, per se – Determined to some extent by behavior Treatment = Adapt Birren, J.E. & Schroots, J.J.F. The History of Geropsychology. Handbook of the Psychology of Aging. 3-28, 2001.
  • 7.
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  • 12. 1900 (in millions) MALES FEMALES 21st Century 70-74 65-69 60-64 55-59 50-54 80+ 45-49 40-44 35-39 30-34 25-29 20-24 15-19 10-14 5-9 0-4 75-79 AGE PYRAMID IN USA (Olshansky, 1997) 75-79 70-74 65-69 60-64 55-59 50-54 80+ 45-49 40-44 35-39 30-34 25-29 20-24 15-19 10-14 5-9 0-4
  • 14. Rapid Changes in Health of Older People: The Civil War Studies Fogel et al., 1998
  • 15. Characteristics of the Civil War Cohort • 25% died in infancy • 40% died before age 15 • Leading causes of death were infectious disease • Food clothing and shelter accounted for 75% of costs (now 13%) • 3100 hours of work per year and two hours per day of leisure (now 50%)
  • 16. The Rate of Aging Differs in Step with Adaptations 100+ yrs 30 yrs 2-5 yrs 3 yrs
  • 17. Christensen et al. Nature Reviews Genetics 7, 436–448 (June 2006) | doi:10.1038/nrg1871 20 to 30% variability in longevity due to heredity A Proportion of Variation in Longevity is Due to Genes
  • 18. Kirkwood, 2000; Nature Some Aging Phenotypes May Avoid Selective Pressure Maximum Reproductive Age
  • 19. Some Variation in Lifespan is Random Lifespan in genetically identical worms raised in constant environments (Kirkwood, 2005)
  • 20. Peak ages of physiological performance • Hearing peaks at 5 years old • Smell peaks at 10 years old • Taste peaks at 10 years old • Flexibility and balance peaks at 13 years old • Muscle strength peaks at 18 years old • Tissue repair peaks at 13 years old • Short term memory peaks at 20 years old • Immune response peaks at 13 years old • Lung capacity peaks at 20 years old Cutler and Mattson (2007) Ageing Res Reviews
  • 21. Incidence of Elder Abuse • 1998: National incidence of elder abuse study (U.S.) – 236,000 reports of Elder abuse in the home in 1 year – 50,000 reports of Elder abuse in the nursing home in 1 year – Estimated that only 1 in 5 cases are reported
  • 22. Elder Abuse: Demographic Trends in Risk Factors Risk for elder abuse is increased among: • Women • “Older” older adults (over 80) • Those diagnosed with dementia or MH problem • Those who are socially isolated • Those with a caregiver in the home
  • 23.
  • 26. Behavioral Determinants of Successful Aging • Exercise • Diet • Cognitive stimulation • Optimism/resilience • Social integration • Positive attitudes toward aging • Stress reduction Depression
  • 30. The Successful AGing Evaluation (SAGE) Study N=1006 Randomly sampled San Diego adults aged 50-99; Jeste et al., AJP, In Press
  • 32. DRM: Top 3 Activities in terms of Positive Affect Ratings Age 15-25 Age 26-35 Age 36-45 Age 46-55 Age 56-65 Age 66-75 Age 76+ Exercise Exercise Exercise Socializing Exercise Exercise Socializing Relaxing/ Thinking Eating/ Drinking Socializing Exercise Eating/ Drinking Socializing Working Reading Socializing Eating/ Drinking Eating/ Drinking Socializing Working Eating/ Drinking
  • 33. DRM: Bottom 3 Activities in terms of Positive Affective Ratings Age 15-25 Age 26-35 Age 36-45 Age 46-55 Age 56-65 Age 66-75 Age 76+ Work Work Work TV TV TV Relaxing/ Thinking TV Computer TV Computer Computer Computer TV Computer Reading Computer Work Reading Relaxing Exercise
  • 34. Estimates of TV and Non-TV Leisure Activities by Age (n=3982) 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 15-25 26-35 36-45 46-55 56-65 66-75 76+ Age PercentofEpisodes Non-TV Leisure TV Depp et al., 2010 AJPM
  • 35. Positive Emotion by Time Spent Alone, with Spouse or with Others 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5 15-25 26-35 36-45 46-55 56-65 66-75 76+ Age (banded) with anyone else with spouse alone Mean Pos Affect Rating Depp et al., Unpublished; Princeton Affect and Time Use Survey
  • 36. Percent of Waking Time Alone (n=3982; DRM Study) 0 20 40 60 80 100 15-25 26-35 36-45 46-55 56-65 66-75 76+ Age (banded) Male Female % of Time Alone Depp et al., Unpublished; Princeton Affect and Time Use Survey

Notas do Editor

  1. When you ask older people –Recall that 11% were aging successfully per Rowe and Kahn criteiraIf you ask older people, they almost always believe they are aging well Subjective ratings are somewhat seen as second best but there is obviously a great deal foresearhc on self-rated health in predicting mortality