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Prepared By
         Ghaith Al Darmaki
     gm.al.darmaki@gmail.com
MBA for Engineering Business Managers
     Manchester Business School
     Project Management Definition.
       Impact of HR
       Impact of MIS.
       Impact of Finance
       Impact of Production.
       Generation and Screening of project ideas:
          Generation of ideas
          Monitoring the environment
          Corporate appraisal
          Profit potential of industries: Porter Model
          Scouting for project ideas
          Preliminary screening
          Project rating index
          Investment Criteria

Project Management - Unit I      Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki   2
 What is the “PROJECT” ?




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    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sntDr31QcsI

Project Management - Unit I   Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki              3
 There are a number of different definitions of a project:
       “ A temporary endeavor undertaken to create a unique product
        or service” (PMI, 2004, p.5)
       “…A project is an organization of people dedicated to a specific
        purpose or objective. Projects generally involve large, expensive,
        unique, or high risk undertakings which have to be completed by
        a certain date, for a certain amount of money, within some
        expected level of performance. At a minimum, all projects need
        to have well defined objectives and sufficient resources to carry
        them out”. (quoted from Steiner (1969) by Pinto and
        Kharbanda (1995))
       “…a combination of human and nonhuman resources pulled
        together in a temporary organization to achieve a specified
                                                                        e
        purpose”. (Cleland, D.I. and Kerzner (1985))               c op
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Project Management - Unit I     Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki
                                                                 Ou              4
 What is the “PROJECT MANAGEMENT” ?




Project Management - Unit I   Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki   5
 “PROJECT MANAGEMENT” is:

         The  application of knowledge, skills,
         tools and techniques to project
         activities in order to meet stakeholders’
         needs and expectations.




Project Management - Unit I   Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki   6
 Demands:
     Scope, time, cost , quality
     Stakeholders with differing needs and
       expectations
     Identified requirements (needs) and unidentified
       requirements (expectations).




Project Management - Unit I   Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki   7
 Project Objectives

                    1990s                                                        Today

                                                                                        Client
                                                                             Budget
                                                                                      Satisfaction
                              Budget




                     Time                                                     Time
                                  Quality                                              Quality



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Project Management - Unit I                 Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki                                  8
 From the view point of organization HR represent the people
     at work. They are the sum total of inherent abilities, acquired
     knowledge and skills, talents and aptitudes of its employees.
    HR is the most important element of organization. Efficient
     utilization of all other resources depends on the quality of HR.
    HR includes all dynamic components of all people at all level in
     organization and they have greatest potential to develop and
     grow provided the right climate is provided to them.
     Generation of new projects and managing and evaluating
     existing projects need decision making abilities of employees.
    HR thus plays an important role in Project management.


Project Management - Unit I   Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki            9
 What is “ Management”?
    What is “Information”?
    What is “System”?




Project Management - Unit I   Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki   10
 Management comprises the processes that describe
     what managers do in the operation of their
     organization like Planning, organization, control and
     making decisions. Decision making is a
     fundamental pre requisite to each of the fore going
     process including Project management.
    Information is data that have been retrieved and
     used for informative purpose and decision making.
    Systems are a set of elements joined together for a
     common objective. An organization is a system and
     the various divisions, departments and units are the
     subsystem.
Project Management - Unit I   Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki   11
 The objective of an MIS:
      Provide information for decision making on
       planning, organizing and controlling the
       operations of subsystems of the firm and to
       provide a synergistic organization in the process.
    Why MIS is important for Project Management ?!
       Important in facilitating decisions.




Project Management - Unit I   Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki   12
 What is the Role of Finance in Project Management ?




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           http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_NS-M0FizA4

Project Management - Unit I   Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki                13
 Finance function deals with the problem of raising funds and
     their effective utilization in business.
    Various decisions regarding acquisition of assets, specific
     norms where money is to be invested is the scope of finance.
    It is the ways and means of managing money and involves
     activity concerned with planning and controlling of firms
     financial resources.
    Finance plays an important role while evaluating a new
     project and to generate finance for the project.
    It helps to decide on which type of finance is to be chosen
     and what kind of working capital levels are to be maintained
     in the project.
    Thus finance has an impact on decision making in evaluating a
     project.

Project Management - Unit I   Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki         14
 Production is a process of converting raw materials to finished
     goods. Production plays an important role in project
     management.
    The choice of technology required for the project is to be
     decided depending on the plant capacity and the
     appropriateness of technology.
    It involves ensuring the availability of raw materials and
     other utilities.
    The important charts and lay outs drawings like Material
     flow diagram, production line diagram etc facilitates in Project
     management.
    Production helps in evaluating a project such that it meets the
     expectations of the stakeholders.
Project Management - Unit I   Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki            15
Generation and screening
       of project ideas
    Get the right business at the right time.
    The business has to identify the investment
     opportunity which is feasible and promising.
    Identification of promising investment opportunities
     requires
       Imagination.
       Sensitivity to environmental changes.
       A realistic assessment of what the firm can do.



Project Management - Unit I   Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki   16
Generation and screening
       of project ideas
    Guidelines helpful in the generation and screening of
     project ideas are given below:
       Generation of ideas.
       Monitoring the environment.
       Corporate appraisal.
       Profit potential of industries.
       Scouting for project ideas.
       Preliminary screening.
       Project rating index.

Project Management - Unit I   Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki   17
Generation and screening
       of project ideas    Generation of ideas.
          Stimulating the flow of ideas: to stimulate the flow of investment
           ideas, the following are helpful:
            SWOT analysis: (Strength, Weakness, Opportunities and
               threats): It represents a conscious, deliberate and systematic
               effort by an organization to identify opportunities that can be
               profitably exploited by it. Periodic SWOT analysis facilitates
               the generation of ideas.
            Clear articulation of objectives: The operational objectives of a
               firm may be one or more of the following:
                  Cost reduction
                  Productivity improvement
                  Increase in capacity utilization
                  Improvement in contribution margin
                  Expansion into promising fields.
            Fostering a Conducive climate: To tap the creativity of people
               and to harness their entrepreneurial urges a favorable
               organizational climate has to be encouraged.
Project Management - Unit I         Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki               18
Generation and screening
       of project ideas    Generation of ideas.
    SWOT Example:




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   http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GNXYI10Po6A

Project Management - Unit I   Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki                19
Generation and screening
       of project ideas  Monitoring the environment
    The firm must systematically monitor the
     environment and assess its competitive abilities.
     For purposes of monitoring, the business
     environment may be divided into six broad sectors.
      Economic
      Governmental.
      Technological.
      Socio-demographic Sector.
      Competition Sector.
      Supplier Sector

Project Management - Unit I   Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki   20
Generation and screening
       of project ideas  Monitoring the environment
                   Economic (State of the economy, Overall rate of growth, Growth rate
                    of primary, secondary, and tertiary sectors, Cyclical fluctuations etc.)

                   Governmental. (Industrial policy, Government programmes and
                    projects, Tax framework,. Subsidies, incentives, Import and export
                    policies etc.)

                   Technological. (Emergence of new technologies, Access to technical
                    know-how, foreign as well as indigenous etc.)

                   Socio-demographic Sector. (Population trends, Age shifts in
                    population, Income distribution, Educational profile, Attitudes toward
                    consumption and investment)

                   Competition Sector. (. Number of firms in the industry and the
                    market share of the top few (four or five), Entry barrier, Marketing
                    policies and practices etc.)

                   Supplier Sector (Availability and cost of raw materials, Availability and
                    cost of energy, Availability and cost of money etc.)

Project Management - Unit I                 Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki                      21
Generation and screening
       of project ideas  Monitoring the environment

    Example:



                      PESTEL Analysis of Ericsson Oman LLC


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                                          Document
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Project Management - Unit I        Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki              22
Generation and screening
       of project ideas  Corporate appraisal
            A realistic appraisal of corporate strengths and
             weaknesses is essential for identifying investment
             opportunities which can be profitably exploited. The
             broad areas of corporate appraisal and the important
             aspects to be considered under them are as follows:
                   Marketing and Distribution (Market image, market share,
                    customer loyalty etc.)
                   Production and operations ( Condition and capacity of
                    plant, cost structure)
                   Research and development (Research capability, co
                    ordination between research and operations, etc)
                   Corporate resources and personnel (corporate image,
                    state of industrial relation etc.)
                   Finance and accounting ( Cost of capital, relation with
                    shareholders, accounting and control system)


Project Management - Unit I           Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki          23
Generation and screening
       of project ideas  Corporate appraisal

    Mckinsey value chain model




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Project Management - Unit I   Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki                24
Generation and screening
       of project ideas  Profit potential of industries

    There are several useful tools or frameworks that
     are helpful in identifying promising investment
     opportunities.
      Porter Model.
      Life Cycle Approach.
      Experience Curve.




Project Management - Unit I   Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki   25
Generation and screening
       of project ideas  Profit potential of industries

           Porter Model
            Michael Porter has argued that the profit
              potential of an industry depends on the
              combined strength of the following five basic
              competitive forces:
                Threat of new entrants
                Rivalry among existing firms
                Pressure from substitute products
                Bargaining power of buyers
                Bargaining power of sellers
Project Management - Unit I   Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki   26
Generation and screening
       of project ideas  Profit potential of industries




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Project Management - Unit I   Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki                27
Generation and screening
       of project ideas  Profit potential of industries

           Life Cycle Approach.
            Many industrial economists believe that most
               products evolve through a life cycle which has
               four stages:
            pioneering stage,
            rapid growth stage,
            maturity and stabilization stage,
            and decline stage.



Project Management - Unit I   Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki    28
Generation and screening
       of project ideas  Profit potential of industries

            Each stage presents investment opportunities that
             exhibit different characteristics.
               Investment in the pioneering stage may have a
                  low return and negative NPV. However, it may
                  possibly create options for participating in the
                  growth stage.
               Investment in the growth stage is likely to earn
                  a high return and generate positive NPV.
               Investment in the maturity stage may earn
                  average return and be NPV-neutral.
               Finally, investment in the decline stage may
                  earn low returns and produce negative NPV.
Project Management - Unit I    Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki        29
Generation and screening
       of project ideas  Profit potential of industries




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Project Management - Unit I   Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki                30
Generation and screening
       of project ideas  Profit potential of industries
           The Experience Curve
            Investments aimed at reducing costs are
              essential to the long-term survival and
              profitability of the firm. The experience curve is
              a useful tool for planning such investments.
            The experience curve shows how the cost
              per unit behaves with respect to the
              accumulated volume of production. The
              accumulated volume of production is the total
              number of units produced cumulatively from
              the very beginning, it should not be confused
              with the annual rate of production.
Project Management - Unit I    Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki      31
Generation and screening
       of project ideas  Profit potential of industries

            Generally, the cost per unit declines with the
             accumulated volume of production because of:
                             Learning effects:
                              by time labour skills improve  productivity
                              increases  lower costs.
                             Technological improvements:
                              more volume  deploy improved techniques
                              and processes. lower cost


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Project Management - Unit I              Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki                32
Generation and screening
       of project ideas  Profit potential of industries

            Example of The Experience Curve:




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Project Management - Unit I   Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki                33
Generation and screening
       of project ideas  Scouting for project ideas

            A wide variety of sources should be tapped to
             identify good project ideas. They are:
               Analyze the Performance of Existing
                  Industries.
               Examine the Inputs and Outputs of Various
                  Industries
               Review Imports and Exports
               Study new technological developments
               Explore the possibility of reviving sick units.


Project Management - Unit I   Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki      34
Generation and screening
       of project ideas  Preliminary screening.
            Some kind of preliminary screening is required
             to eliminate ideas which prima facie are not
             promising. For this purpose the following
             aspects may be looked into:
            Compatibility with the promoter.
            Consistency with governmental priorities
            Availability of inputs
            Adequacy of market
            Reasonableness of cost
            Acceptability of risk level

Project Management - Unit I   Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki   35
Generation and screening
    of project ideas  Preliminary screening.
                   Compatibility with the promoter: The idea must be compatible
                    with the interest personality and resources of the
                    entrepreneur. It must offer him rapid growth and high return
                    on the invested capital.
            Consistency with governmental priorities: The project idea
                    must be feasible given the national goals and governmental
                    framework.
            Availability of inputs: The resources and inputs required for
                    the project must be reasonably assured. Capital requirements,
                    technical know how, raw materials, power supply etc is within
                    the manageable limits.
            Adequacy of market: The size of the present market must
                    offer the prospect of adequate sales volume. There should be
                    potential for growth and a reasonable return on investment.
            Reasonableness of cost: the cost structure of the project must
                    enable it to realize an acceptable profit with a price.
            Acceptability of risk level: The desirability of a project is
                    critically dependent on the risk characterizing it. The risk
Project Management -factors can be technological Ghaith Al Darmaki
                     Unit I               Prepared By: changes, competition from    36
                    substitutes, competition from imports, governmental control
Generation and screening
       of project ideas  Preliminary screening.
                   Compatibility with the promoter:




                http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gxo2rGr7Yfg




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Project Management - Unit I            Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki                37
Generation and screening
       of project ideas       Project rating index

            When a firm evaluates a large number of
             project ideas regularly, it may be helpful to
             streamline the process if preliminary screening.
             For this purpose a preliminary evaluation may
             be translated into a project rating index.




Project Management - Unit I   Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki    38
Generation and screening
       of project ideas       Project rating index

            The steps involved in determining the project
             rating index are as follows:
                      1.      Identify factors relevant for project rating.
                      2.      Assign weights to these factors (the weights are
                              supposed to reflect their relative importance).
                      3.      Rate the project proposal on various factors,
                              using a suitable rating scale. (Typically a 5-point
                              scale or a 7-point scale is used for this purpose.)
                      4.      For each factor, multiply the factor rating with
                              the factor weight to get the factor score.
                      5.      Add all the factor scores to get the overall
                              project rating index.
Project Management - Unit I                Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki           39
Generation and screening
  of project ideas                                                    Project rating index
                   Example:                                     Step 3                              Step 4




               Step 1          Step 2                                                            e
                                                                                             p       Step 5
                                                                                          co
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                                                                               t
                                                                          Ou

Project Management - Unit I     Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki                                          40
THANK YOU




Project Management - Unit I      Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki   41

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Project Management: Unit I - introduction

  • 1. Prepared By Ghaith Al Darmaki gm.al.darmaki@gmail.com MBA for Engineering Business Managers Manchester Business School
  • 2. Project Management Definition.  Impact of HR  Impact of MIS.  Impact of Finance  Impact of Production.  Generation and Screening of project ideas:  Generation of ideas  Monitoring the environment  Corporate appraisal  Profit potential of industries: Porter Model  Scouting for project ideas  Preliminary screening  Project rating index  Investment Criteria Project Management - Unit I Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki 2
  • 3.  What is the “PROJECT” ? t of Ou o p e Sc  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sntDr31QcsI Project Management - Unit I Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki 3
  • 4.  There are a number of different definitions of a project:  “ A temporary endeavor undertaken to create a unique product or service” (PMI, 2004, p.5)  “…A project is an organization of people dedicated to a specific purpose or objective. Projects generally involve large, expensive, unique, or high risk undertakings which have to be completed by a certain date, for a certain amount of money, within some expected level of performance. At a minimum, all projects need to have well defined objectives and sufficient resources to carry them out”. (quoted from Steiner (1969) by Pinto and Kharbanda (1995))  “…a combination of human and nonhuman resources pulled together in a temporary organization to achieve a specified e purpose”. (Cleland, D.I. and Kerzner (1985)) c op o fS t Project Management - Unit I Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki Ou 4
  • 5.  What is the “PROJECT MANAGEMENT” ? Project Management - Unit I Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki 5
  • 6.  “PROJECT MANAGEMENT” is: The application of knowledge, skills, tools and techniques to project activities in order to meet stakeholders’ needs and expectations. Project Management - Unit I Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki 6
  • 7.  Demands: Scope, time, cost , quality Stakeholders with differing needs and expectations Identified requirements (needs) and unidentified requirements (expectations). Project Management - Unit I Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki 7
  • 8.  Project Objectives 1990s Today Client Budget Satisfaction Budget Time Time Quality Quality t of Ou o p e Sc Project Management - Unit I Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki 8
  • 9.  From the view point of organization HR represent the people at work. They are the sum total of inherent abilities, acquired knowledge and skills, talents and aptitudes of its employees.  HR is the most important element of organization. Efficient utilization of all other resources depends on the quality of HR.  HR includes all dynamic components of all people at all level in organization and they have greatest potential to develop and grow provided the right climate is provided to them. Generation of new projects and managing and evaluating existing projects need decision making abilities of employees.  HR thus plays an important role in Project management. Project Management - Unit I Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki 9
  • 10.  What is “ Management”?  What is “Information”?  What is “System”? Project Management - Unit I Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki 10
  • 11.  Management comprises the processes that describe what managers do in the operation of their organization like Planning, organization, control and making decisions. Decision making is a fundamental pre requisite to each of the fore going process including Project management.  Information is data that have been retrieved and used for informative purpose and decision making.  Systems are a set of elements joined together for a common objective. An organization is a system and the various divisions, departments and units are the subsystem. Project Management - Unit I Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki 11
  • 12.  The objective of an MIS: Provide information for decision making on planning, organizing and controlling the operations of subsystems of the firm and to provide a synergistic organization in the process.  Why MIS is important for Project Management ?!  Important in facilitating decisions. Project Management - Unit I Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki 12
  • 13.  What is the Role of Finance in Project Management ? O ut of o p e Sc http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_NS-M0FizA4 Project Management - Unit I Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki 13
  • 14.  Finance function deals with the problem of raising funds and their effective utilization in business.  Various decisions regarding acquisition of assets, specific norms where money is to be invested is the scope of finance.  It is the ways and means of managing money and involves activity concerned with planning and controlling of firms financial resources.  Finance plays an important role while evaluating a new project and to generate finance for the project.  It helps to decide on which type of finance is to be chosen and what kind of working capital levels are to be maintained in the project.  Thus finance has an impact on decision making in evaluating a project. Project Management - Unit I Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki 14
  • 15.  Production is a process of converting raw materials to finished goods. Production plays an important role in project management.  The choice of technology required for the project is to be decided depending on the plant capacity and the appropriateness of technology.  It involves ensuring the availability of raw materials and other utilities.  The important charts and lay outs drawings like Material flow diagram, production line diagram etc facilitates in Project management.  Production helps in evaluating a project such that it meets the expectations of the stakeholders. Project Management - Unit I Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki 15
  • 16. Generation and screening of project ideas  Get the right business at the right time.  The business has to identify the investment opportunity which is feasible and promising.  Identification of promising investment opportunities requires  Imagination.  Sensitivity to environmental changes.  A realistic assessment of what the firm can do. Project Management - Unit I Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki 16
  • 17. Generation and screening of project ideas  Guidelines helpful in the generation and screening of project ideas are given below:  Generation of ideas.  Monitoring the environment.  Corporate appraisal.  Profit potential of industries.  Scouting for project ideas.  Preliminary screening.  Project rating index. Project Management - Unit I Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki 17
  • 18. Generation and screening of project ideas Generation of ideas.  Stimulating the flow of ideas: to stimulate the flow of investment ideas, the following are helpful:  SWOT analysis: (Strength, Weakness, Opportunities and threats): It represents a conscious, deliberate and systematic effort by an organization to identify opportunities that can be profitably exploited by it. Periodic SWOT analysis facilitates the generation of ideas.  Clear articulation of objectives: The operational objectives of a firm may be one or more of the following:  Cost reduction  Productivity improvement  Increase in capacity utilization  Improvement in contribution margin  Expansion into promising fields.  Fostering a Conducive climate: To tap the creativity of people and to harness their entrepreneurial urges a favorable organizational climate has to be encouraged. Project Management - Unit I Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki 18
  • 19. Generation and screening of project ideas Generation of ideas.  SWOT Example: O ut of o p e Sc http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GNXYI10Po6A Project Management - Unit I Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki 19
  • 20. Generation and screening of project ideas Monitoring the environment  The firm must systematically monitor the environment and assess its competitive abilities. For purposes of monitoring, the business environment may be divided into six broad sectors.  Economic  Governmental.  Technological.  Socio-demographic Sector.  Competition Sector.  Supplier Sector Project Management - Unit I Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki 20
  • 21. Generation and screening of project ideas Monitoring the environment  Economic (State of the economy, Overall rate of growth, Growth rate of primary, secondary, and tertiary sectors, Cyclical fluctuations etc.)  Governmental. (Industrial policy, Government programmes and projects, Tax framework,. Subsidies, incentives, Import and export policies etc.)  Technological. (Emergence of new technologies, Access to technical know-how, foreign as well as indigenous etc.)  Socio-demographic Sector. (Population trends, Age shifts in population, Income distribution, Educational profile, Attitudes toward consumption and investment)  Competition Sector. (. Number of firms in the industry and the market share of the top few (four or five), Entry barrier, Marketing policies and practices etc.)  Supplier Sector (Availability and cost of raw materials, Availability and cost of energy, Availability and cost of money etc.) Project Management - Unit I Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki 21
  • 22. Generation and screening of project ideas Monitoring the environment  Example: PESTEL Analysis of Ericsson Oman LLC t of Microsoft Word Ou o p e Document Sc Project Management - Unit I Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki 22
  • 23. Generation and screening of project ideas Corporate appraisal  A realistic appraisal of corporate strengths and weaknesses is essential for identifying investment opportunities which can be profitably exploited. The broad areas of corporate appraisal and the important aspects to be considered under them are as follows:  Marketing and Distribution (Market image, market share, customer loyalty etc.)  Production and operations ( Condition and capacity of plant, cost structure)  Research and development (Research capability, co ordination between research and operations, etc)  Corporate resources and personnel (corporate image, state of industrial relation etc.)  Finance and accounting ( Cost of capital, relation with shareholders, accounting and control system) Project Management - Unit I Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki 23
  • 24. Generation and screening of project ideas Corporate appraisal  Mckinsey value chain model O ut of o p e Sc Project Management - Unit I Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki 24
  • 25. Generation and screening of project ideas Profit potential of industries  There are several useful tools or frameworks that are helpful in identifying promising investment opportunities.  Porter Model.  Life Cycle Approach.  Experience Curve. Project Management - Unit I Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki 25
  • 26. Generation and screening of project ideas Profit potential of industries Porter Model  Michael Porter has argued that the profit potential of an industry depends on the combined strength of the following five basic competitive forces:  Threat of new entrants  Rivalry among existing firms  Pressure from substitute products  Bargaining power of buyers  Bargaining power of sellers Project Management - Unit I Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki 26
  • 27. Generation and screening of project ideas Profit potential of industries O ut of o p e Sc Project Management - Unit I Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki 27
  • 28. Generation and screening of project ideas Profit potential of industries Life Cycle Approach.  Many industrial economists believe that most products evolve through a life cycle which has four stages:  pioneering stage,  rapid growth stage,  maturity and stabilization stage,  and decline stage. Project Management - Unit I Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki 28
  • 29. Generation and screening of project ideas Profit potential of industries  Each stage presents investment opportunities that exhibit different characteristics.  Investment in the pioneering stage may have a low return and negative NPV. However, it may possibly create options for participating in the growth stage.  Investment in the growth stage is likely to earn a high return and generate positive NPV.  Investment in the maturity stage may earn average return and be NPV-neutral.  Finally, investment in the decline stage may earn low returns and produce negative NPV. Project Management - Unit I Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki 29
  • 30. Generation and screening of project ideas Profit potential of industries O ut of o p e Sc Project Management - Unit I Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki 30
  • 31. Generation and screening of project ideas Profit potential of industries The Experience Curve  Investments aimed at reducing costs are essential to the long-term survival and profitability of the firm. The experience curve is a useful tool for planning such investments.  The experience curve shows how the cost per unit behaves with respect to the accumulated volume of production. The accumulated volume of production is the total number of units produced cumulatively from the very beginning, it should not be confused with the annual rate of production. Project Management - Unit I Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki 31
  • 32. Generation and screening of project ideas Profit potential of industries  Generally, the cost per unit declines with the accumulated volume of production because of:  Learning effects: by time labour skills improve  productivity increases  lower costs.  Technological improvements: more volume  deploy improved techniques and processes. lower cost O ut of o p e Sc Project Management - Unit I Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki 32
  • 33. Generation and screening of project ideas Profit potential of industries  Example of The Experience Curve: O ut of o p e Sc Project Management - Unit I Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki 33
  • 34. Generation and screening of project ideas Scouting for project ideas  A wide variety of sources should be tapped to identify good project ideas. They are:  Analyze the Performance of Existing Industries.  Examine the Inputs and Outputs of Various Industries  Review Imports and Exports  Study new technological developments  Explore the possibility of reviving sick units. Project Management - Unit I Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki 34
  • 35. Generation and screening of project ideas Preliminary screening.  Some kind of preliminary screening is required to eliminate ideas which prima facie are not promising. For this purpose the following aspects may be looked into:  Compatibility with the promoter.  Consistency with governmental priorities  Availability of inputs  Adequacy of market  Reasonableness of cost  Acceptability of risk level Project Management - Unit I Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki 35
  • 36. Generation and screening of project ideas Preliminary screening.  Compatibility with the promoter: The idea must be compatible with the interest personality and resources of the entrepreneur. It must offer him rapid growth and high return on the invested capital.  Consistency with governmental priorities: The project idea must be feasible given the national goals and governmental framework.  Availability of inputs: The resources and inputs required for the project must be reasonably assured. Capital requirements, technical know how, raw materials, power supply etc is within the manageable limits.  Adequacy of market: The size of the present market must offer the prospect of adequate sales volume. There should be potential for growth and a reasonable return on investment.  Reasonableness of cost: the cost structure of the project must enable it to realize an acceptable profit with a price.  Acceptability of risk level: The desirability of a project is critically dependent on the risk characterizing it. The risk Project Management -factors can be technological Ghaith Al Darmaki Unit I Prepared By: changes, competition from 36 substitutes, competition from imports, governmental control
  • 37. Generation and screening of project ideas Preliminary screening.  Compatibility with the promoter: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gxo2rGr7Yfg O ut of o p e Sc Project Management - Unit I Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki 37
  • 38. Generation and screening of project ideas Project rating index  When a firm evaluates a large number of project ideas regularly, it may be helpful to streamline the process if preliminary screening. For this purpose a preliminary evaluation may be translated into a project rating index. Project Management - Unit I Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki 38
  • 39. Generation and screening of project ideas Project rating index  The steps involved in determining the project rating index are as follows: 1. Identify factors relevant for project rating. 2. Assign weights to these factors (the weights are supposed to reflect their relative importance). 3. Rate the project proposal on various factors, using a suitable rating scale. (Typically a 5-point scale or a 7-point scale is used for this purpose.) 4. For each factor, multiply the factor rating with the factor weight to get the factor score. 5. Add all the factor scores to get the overall project rating index. Project Management - Unit I Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki 39
  • 40. Generation and screening of project ideas Project rating index  Example: Step 3 Step 4 Step 1 Step 2 e p Step 5 co o fS t Ou Project Management - Unit I Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki 40
  • 41. THANK YOU Project Management - Unit I Prepared By: Ghaith Al Darmaki 41